FinalWin Prob.pScore
2321%100
111
779%110
122
ORTG#PossPace
IND logo IND
112.199104.2
ORL logo ORL
122.010095.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicPacersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventINDORL
Q4 - 0:00.0IND111
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0ORLTurkoglu 33' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)111
0%
122
100%
Q4 - 0:26.0ORLMAGIC Rebound111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:27.0INDMISS Rush 23' Jump Shot111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLLewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)111
0.1%
119
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)111
0.1%
118
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)111
0.5%
117
99.5%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDFoster Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)110
0.4%
117
99.6%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDPacers Rebound109
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 0:43.0ORLMISS Bogans 22' Jump Shot109
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 1:08INDDiener Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)109
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 1:08INDDiener Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)108
0.3%
117
99.7%
Q4 - 1:15ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nelson 9 AST)107
0.2%
117
99.8%
Q4 - 1:29ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)107
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 1:31INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot107
1.0%
114
99.0%
Q4 - 1:46ORLBogans Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T22)107
1.8%
114
98.2%
Q4 - 2:03INDRush Dunk (12 PTS) (Diener 5 AST)107
1.1%
114
98.9%
Q4 - 2:19INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)105
0.8%
114
99.2%
Q4 - 2:20ORLMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
0.7%
114
99.3%
Q4 - 2:36INDDaniels Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)105
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 2:36INDDaniels Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)104
0.4%
114
99.6%
Q4 - 2:41INDFoster REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)103
0.3%
114
99.7%
Q4 - 2:44INDMISS Rush Driving Layup103
0.2%
114
99.8%
Q4 - 2:59ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (24 PTS)103
0.5%
114
99.5%
Q4 - 3:07ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)103
0.6%
112
99.4%
Q4 - 3:08INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.8%
112
99.2%
Q4 - 3:18ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (22 PTS) (Bogans 4 AST)103
1.1%
112
98.9%
Q4 - 3:37INDMurphy Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)103
2.5%
110
97.5%
Q4 - 3:37INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 2102
2.3%
110
97.7%
Q4 - 3:53ORLHoward Alley Oop Layup (18 PTS) (Turkoglu 6 AST)102
2.4%
110
97.6%
Q4 - 4:05INDBogans STEAL (1 STL)102
3.3%
108
96.7%
Q4 - 4:17ORLLewis 12' Jump Shot (17 PTS)102
4.8%
108
95.2%
Q4 - 4:36INDGranger 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS)102
6.7%
106
93.3%
Q4 - 5:02ORLTurkoglu Driving Reverse Layup (20 PTS)100
5.6%
106
94.4%
Q4 - 5:24INDDiener 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Granger 3 AST)100
7.5%
104
92.5%
Q4 - 5:43ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Turkoglu 5 AST)97
4.0%
104
96.0%
Q4 - 5:57INDDunleavy Free Throw 3 of 3 (16 PTS)97
7.5%
101
92.5%
Q4 - 5:57INDDunleavy Free Throw 2 of 3 (15 PTS)96
7.2%
101
92.8%
Q4 - 5:57INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 1 of 395
6.8%
101
93.2%
Q4 - 6:10ORLJump Ball Nelson vs. Granger: Tip to Dunleavy95
6.3%
101
93.7%
Q4 - 6:29INDDaniels Driving Dunk (12 PTS)95
4.5%
101
95.5%
Q4 - 6:39ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P7.T20)93
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 6:40ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)93
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 6:42ORLMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
3.2%
101
96.8%
Q4 - 6:48ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
2.5%
101
97.5%
Q4 - 6:49INDMISS Daniels Driving Layup93
2.8%
101
97.2%
Q4 - 7:00ORLLewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)93
3.5%
101
96.5%
Q4 - 7:10ORLMAGIC Rebound93
6.7%
98
93.3%
Q4 - 7:11ORLMISS Turkoglu 8' Running Jump Shot93
8.2%
98
91.8%
Q4 - 7:34ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)93
6.7%
98
93.3%
Q4 - 7:35INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 293
6.9%
98
93.1%
Q4 - 7:35INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 1 of 293
8.2%
98
91.8%
Q4 - 7:44ORLHoward Alley Oop Dunk (16 PTS) (Arroyo 4 AST)93
8.9%
98
91.1%
Q4 - 7:47ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
11.1%
96
88.9%
Q4 - 7:51INDLewis BLOCK (1 BLK)93
12.0%
96
88.0%
Q4 - 7:55ORLArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)93
14.5%
96
85.5%
Q4 - 8:14INDDaniels 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)93
11.9%
96
88.1%
Q4 - 8:27ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)91
9.5%
96
90.5%
Q4 - 8:33ORLArroyo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)91
14.9%
93
85.1%
Q4 - 8:35INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
15.9%
93
84.1%
Q4 - 8:40INDGranger REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)91
18.5%
93
81.5%
Q4 - 8:42INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
15.9%
93
84.1%
Q4 - 8:55ORLHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P6.T18)91
18.5%
93
81.5%
Q4 - 9:10INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Rush 5 AST)91
14.9%
93
85.1%
Q4 - 9:17INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
9.9%
93
90.1%
Q4 - 9:19ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Fadeaway Jumper88
9.2%
93
90.8%
Q4 - 9:44INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Murphy 5 AST)88
7.8%
93
92.2%
Q4 - 10:09ORLTurkoglu Slam Dunk (18 PTS) (Bogans 3 AST)85
5.5%
93
94.5%
Q4 - 10:11ORLMAGIC Rebound85
6.7%
91
93.3%
Q4 - 10:12ORLMISS Turkoglu Layup85
7.8%
91
92.2%
Q4 - 10:35INDRush 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Diener 4 AST)85
6.7%
91
93.3%
Q4 - 10:44INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
4.4%
91
95.6%
Q4 - 10:46ORLMISS Turkoglu 20' Fadeaway Jumper82
4.1%
91
95.9%
Q4 - 11:04INDCook STEAL (3 STL)82
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q4 - 11:09ORLArroyo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T17)82
4.9%
91
95.1%
Q4 - 11:38INDDaniels Driving Layup (8 PTS)82
3.9%
91
96.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0IND80
3.2%
91
96.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0ORLEvans 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 8 AST)80
3.5%
91
96.5%
Q3 - 0:18.0INDDaniels Layup (6 PTS)80
5.2%
88
94.8%
Q3 - 0:22.0ORLCook Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)78
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q3 - 0:28.0INDCook STEAL (2 STL)78
3.5%
88
96.5%
Q3 - 0:38.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
4.2%
88
95.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLMISS Evans Free Throw 2 of 278
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0ORLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
3.6%
88
96.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
4.2%
87
95.8%
Q3 - 0:46.0INDMISS Dunleavy 17' Running Jump Shot78
4.5%
87
95.5%
Q3 - 1:11ORLEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)78
5.5%
87
94.5%
Q3 - 1:11ORLEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)78
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q3 - 1:15ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q3 - 1:17INDMISS Rush 14' Jump Shot78
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q3 - 1:24INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
7.9%
85
92.1%
Q3 - 1:26ORLMISS Evans 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
7.4%
85
92.6%
Q3 - 1:37ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
6.5%
85
93.5%
Q3 - 1:39INDMISS Daniels 17' Jump Shot78
6.9%
85
93.1%
Q3 - 2:00INDHarrison REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
7.8%
85
92.2%
Q3 - 2:03ORLMISS Turkoglu 11' Running Jump Shot78
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q3 - 2:20INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (14 PTS)78
6.7%
85
93.3%
Q3 - 2:32ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)76
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q3 - 2:32ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)76
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q3 - 2:48INDDunleavy 22' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Diener 3 AST)76
6.7%
83
93.3%
Q3 - 2:59INDPacers Rebound74
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 2:59ORLMISS Foyle 9' Hook Shot74
5.4%
83
94.6%
Q3 - 3:11ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)74
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 3:12INDMISS Diener 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
5.3%
83
94.7%
Q3 - 3:21INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q3 - 3:23ORLMISS Nelson Driving Layup74
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 3:28INDNelson STEAL (3 STL)74
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 3:40ORLEvans 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Nelson 7 AST)74
6.0%
83
94.0%
Q3 - 3:57ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
7.0%
81
93.0%
Q3 - 3:58INDMISS Murphy Free Throw 2 of 274
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q3 - 3:58INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)74
8.0%
81
92.0%
Q3 - 4:10ORLEvans Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)73
7.2%
81
92.8%
Q3 - 4:18ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)73
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q3 - 4:19INDMISS Murphy 17' Jump Shot73
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q3 - 4:25INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 4:26INDMISS Dunleavy 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
8.8%
79
91.2%
Q3 - 4:41INDPacers Rebound73
9.9%
79
90.1%
Q3 - 4:42ORLMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
9.4%
79
90.6%
Q3 - 4:55INDDunleavy 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS)73
8.3%
79
91.7%
Q3 - 5:09ORLHoward 8' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)71
7.5%
79
92.5%
Q3 - 5:28INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Dunleavy 4 AST)71
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q3 - 5:34ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 5:44ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 5:45INDFoster REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 5:45INDMISS Foster Tip Shot69
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 5:46INDFoster REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 5:46INDMISS Foster Tip Shot69
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 5:48INDMISS Murray 9' Fadeaway Jumper69
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 5:58INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)69
7.4%
77
92.6%
Q3 - 6:00ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q3 - 6:17INDMurray Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Murphy 4 AST)69
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q3 - 6:34ORLNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 3 AST)67
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q3 - 6:49ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)67
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 6:50INDMISS Dunleavy Free Throw 2 of 267
7.7%
74
92.3%
Q3 - 6:50INDDunleavy Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)67
8.5%
74
91.5%
Q3 - 6:59INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
7.6%
74
92.4%
Q3 - 6:59ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 166
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 6:59ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 7:00ORLMISS Howard Layup66
9.7%
72
90.3%
Q3 - 7:21INDFoster 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murphy 3 AST)66
8.8%
72
91.2%
Q3 - 7:34ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)64
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 7:48INDDunleavy 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)64
6.6%
72
93.4%
Q3 - 8:02ORLTurkoglu Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)62
6.0%
72
94.0%
Q3 - 8:07ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 8:08INDMISS Dunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 8:21INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)62
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 8:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 262
7.8%
70
92.2%
Q3 - 8:22ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 262
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 8:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 8:32INDMISS Granger Free Throw 2 of 262
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 8:32INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)62
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 8:50ORLLewis Dunk (12 PTS) (Evans 2 AST)61
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 8:54INDNelson STEAL (2 STL)61
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 9:06ORLEvans Dunk (9 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)61
8.9%
68
91.1%
Q3 - 9:29INDGranger 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Murray 2 AST)61
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 9:40INDFoster REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q3 - 9:41INDMISS Dunleavy 11' Running Jump Shot58
7.1%
66
92.9%
Q3 - 9:48INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
7.8%
66
92.2%
Q3 - 9:50ORLMISS Turkoglu 17' Fadeaway Jumper58
7.5%
66
92.5%
Q3 - 10:13INDMurray Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
6.8%
66
93.2%
Q3 - 10:18INDPacers Rebound56
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 10:19INDHoward BLOCK (3 BLK)56
5.4%
66
94.6%
Q3 - 10:24INDGranger Free Throw Technical (13 PTS)56
6.0%
66
94.0%
Q3 - 10:41ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P5.T13)55
5.3%
66
94.7%
Q3 - 10:53INDDunleavy 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Murphy 2 AST)55
4.5%
66
95.5%
Q3 - 11:04ORLEvans Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)53
4.1%
66
95.9%
Q3 - 11:16INDLewis STEAL (1 STL)53
4.6%
64
95.4%
Q3 - 11:40ORLEvans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)53
5.3%
64
94.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL53
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound53
6.8%
61
93.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Turkoglu 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
7.5%
61
92.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
7.3%
61
92.7%
Q2 - 0:04.0INDMurray Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
7.0%
61
93.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0ORLArroyo Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
6.2%
61
93.8%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)51
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q2 - 0:31.0ORLMISS Arroyo 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
7.7%
59
92.3%
Q2 - 0:43.0INDGranger Dunk (12 PTS) (Rush 4 AST)51
7.2%
59
92.8%
Q2 - 0:48.0ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)49
6.2%
59
93.8%
Q2 - 1:07ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
5.9%
59
94.1%
Q2 - 1:08INDMISS Murray 11' Jump Shot49
6.1%
59
93.9%
Q2 - 1:22ORLHoward Dunk (10 PTS)49
6.3%
59
93.7%
Q2 - 1:42INDMurphy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Rush 3 AST)49
7.5%
57
92.5%
Q2 - 1:51INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
5.6%
57
94.4%
Q2 - 1:53ORLMISS Howard Layup46
5.5%
57
94.5%
Q2 - 2:13INDGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
5.3%
57
94.7%
Q2 - 2:13INDGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)45
5.2%
57
94.8%
Q2 - 2:30ORLHoward Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Turkoglu 4 AST)44
4.7%
57
95.3%
Q2 - 2:48INDRush Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Murray 1 AST)44
5.3%
55
94.7%
Q2 - 2:53ORLArroyo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)42
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 3:04INDMurray 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)42
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 3:24ORLArroyo 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)40
3.9%
55
96.1%
Q2 - 3:28ORLMAGIC Rebound40
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 3:30ORLCook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 3:30ORLMISS Cook Tip Shot40
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 3:31ORLMISS Cook 5' Running Jump Shot40
4.7%
53
95.3%
Q2 - 3:49INDMurray 10' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)40
4.3%
53
95.7%
Q2 - 4:08ORLLewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Arroyo 3 AST)38
4.0%
53
96.0%
Q2 - 4:26INDGranger 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)38
5.0%
50
95.0%
Q2 - 4:45ORLBogans 9' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)36
4.5%
50
95.5%
Q2 - 5:15INDMurray Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)36
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 5:15INDMISS Murray Free Throw 1 of 235
4.9%
48
95.1%
Q2 - 5:15ORLHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T10)35
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 5:32INDGranger Foul Turnover (P2.T7)35
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 5:40ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)35
5.1%
48
94.9%
Q2 - 6:00INDDunleavy 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rush 2 AST)35
4.5%
48
95.5%
Q2 - 6:08INDDiener REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
3.8%
48
96.2%
Q2 - 6:09ORLMISS Cook 16' Jump Shot32
3.7%
48
96.3%
Q2 - 6:26INDHarrison 16' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Dunleavy 3 AST)32
3.4%
48
96.6%
Q2 - 6:36INDRush REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 6:38INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
2.8%
48
97.2%
Q2 - 6:52ORLCook 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
3.1%
48
96.9%
Q2 - 7:00INDCook STEAL (1 STL)30
3.4%
46
96.6%
Q2 - 7:14ORLArroyo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
4.1%
46
95.9%
Q2 - 7:14ORLArroyo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
4.1%
45
95.9%
Q2 - 7:22ORLFoyle REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
4.5%
44
95.5%
Q2 - 7:24INDMISS Murphy 22' Jump Shot30
4.6%
44
95.4%
Q2 - 7:44ORLCook 28' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bogans 2 AST)30
5.0%
44
95.0%
Q2 - 8:02INDGranger 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diener 2 AST)30
6.1%
41
93.9%
Q2 - 8:20ORLJump Ball Turkoglu vs. Harrison: Tip to Granger28
5.6%
41
94.4%
Q2 - 8:42INDHarrison Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Granger 2 AST)28
5.0%
41
95.0%
Q2 - 8:54INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
4.6%
41
95.4%
Q2 - 8:56ORLMISS Turkoglu 26' 3PT Jump Shot26
4.4%
41
95.6%
Q2 - 9:10INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)26
4.2%
41
95.8%
Q2 - 9:21ORLLewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Arroyo 2 AST)23
3.5%
41
96.5%
Q2 - 9:50INDMurphy 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rush 1 AST)23
4.2%
38
95.8%
Q2 - 10:02ORLTurkoglu 11' Fadeaway Jumper (14 PTS)21
4.0%
38
96.0%
Q2 - 10:19ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
4.3%
36
95.7%
Q2 - 10:20INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 2 of 221
4.4%
36
95.6%
Q2 - 10:20INDMISS Harrison Free Throw 1 of 221
4.6%
36
95.4%
Q2 - 10:30ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Arroyo 1 AST)21
4.8%
36
95.2%
Q2 - 10:36INDRush Inbound Turnover (P1.T5)21
5.2%
34
94.8%
Q2 - 10:38ORLTurkoglu Dunk (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)21
5.8%
34
94.2%
Q2 - 10:48ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
6.3%
32
93.7%
Q2 - 10:49INDMISS Rush 15' Jump Shot21
6.5%
32
93.5%
Q2 - 11:04ORLTurkoglu 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)21
6.9%
32
93.1%
Q2 - 11:21INDMurphy Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)21
7.6%
30
92.4%
Q2 - 11:38ORLTurkoglu Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Bogans 1 AST)18
6.3%
30
93.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND18
6.9%
28
93.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
7.6%
28
92.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Nelson 23' Jump Shot18
7.4%
28
92.6%
Q1 - 0:20.0INDRush Layup (5 PTS) (Granger 1 AST)18
7.1%
28
92.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0INDDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 0:26.0ORLMISS Bogans Layup16
6.2%
28
93.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0INDNelson STEAL (1 STL)16
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q1 - 0:45.0INDFoster REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 216
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 216
6.0%
28
94.0%
Q1 - 0:46.0ORLMAGIC Rebound16
5.9%
28
94.1%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDMISS Diener 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
6.0%
28
94.0%
Q1 - 0:56.0ORLBogans 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)16
6.3%
28
93.7%
Q1 - 1:10INDDaniels Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)16
7.7%
25
92.3%
Q1 - 1:24ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)14
7.0%
25
93.0%
Q1 - 1:24ORLMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 214
7.1%
24
92.9%
Q1 - 1:34ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
7.1%
24
92.9%
Q1 - 1:35INDMISS Granger Driving Layup14
7.3%
24
92.7%
Q1 - 1:42INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
7.6%
24
92.4%
Q1 - 1:44ORLMISS Howard 9' Hook Shot14
7.4%
24
92.6%
Q1 - 1:57INDRush 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Daniels 1 AST)14
7.1%
24
92.9%
Q1 - 2:13ORLBogans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)11
5.9%
24
94.1%
Q1 - 2:35ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
7.1%
21
92.9%
Q1 - 2:36INDMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
7.3%
21
92.7%
Q1 - 2:53ORLTurkoglu Traveling Turnover (P2.T7)11
7.7%
21
92.3%
Q1 - 2:58ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
7.1%
21
92.9%
Q1 - 2:59INDMISS Granger Layup11
7.3%
21
92.7%
Q1 - 3:22ORLHoward 7' Hook Shot (6 PTS)11
7.9%
21
92.1%
Q1 - 3:38ORLCook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 3:40INDMISS Rush 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 3:46ORLTurkoglu Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)11
9.3%
19
90.7%
Q1 - 3:51ORLBogans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
8.5%
19
91.5%
Q1 - 3:52INDMISS Daniels 10' Running Jump Shot11
8.7%
19
91.3%
Q1 - 4:03ORLCook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Turkoglu 3 AST)11
9.2%
19
90.8%
Q1 - 4:12ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 4:14INDMISS Murphy 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
11.0%
16
89.0%
Q1 - 4:36ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T5)11
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 4:46INDDunleavy Foul Turnover (P2.T3)11
10.7%
16
89.3%
Q1 - 4:54INDDunleavy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
11.7%
16
88.3%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMISS Howard 8' Hook Shot11
11.4%
16
88.6%
Q1 - 5:07INDDaniels 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
10.6%
16
89.4%
Q1 - 5:24ORLNelson Layup (2 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)9
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 5:29INDEvans STEAL (1 STL)9
10.6%
14
89.4%
Q1 - 5:34INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
11.5%
14
88.5%
Q1 - 5:35INDMISS Murphy 21' Jump Shot9
10.9%
14
89.1%
Q1 - 5:50ORLLewis Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
11.6%
14
88.4%
Q1 - 6:05ORLMAGIC Rebound9
12.3%
12
87.7%
Q1 - 6:06INDMISS Murray 21' Jump Shot9
12.6%
12
87.4%
Q1 - 6:20ORLLewis Layup (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 2 AST)9
13.3%
12
86.7%
Q1 - 6:26ORLTurkoglu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
14.2%
10
85.8%
Q1 - 6:27INDMISS Dunleavy Layup9
14.5%
10
85.5%
Q1 - 6:49ORLTurkoglu Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)9
15.3%
10
84.7%
Q1 - 7:06INDMurray Foul Turnover (P1.T1)9
15.9%
8
84.1%
Q1 - 7:17ORLTurkoglu Driving Dunk (2 PTS)9
17.1%
8
82.9%
Q1 - 7:22ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 7:24INDMISS Murray 19' Jump Shot9
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 7:43ORLHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)9
19.4%
6
80.6%
Q1 - 7:46ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.1%
6
81.9%
Q1 - 7:47INDMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
18.5%
6
81.5%
Q1 - 7:55INDGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.4%
6
80.6%
Q1 - 7:57ORLMISS Turkoglu Driving Layup9
19.0%
6
81.0%
Q1 - 8:09INDFoster Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)9
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 8:09INDMISS Foster Free Throw 1 of 28
17.5%
6
82.5%
Q1 - 8:31ORLHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS)8
18.0%
6
82.0%
Q1 - 8:46INDMurphy Dunk (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 2 AST)8
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 9:00ORLHoward 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Turkoglu 1 AST)6
18.0%
4
82.0%
Q1 - 9:15INDGranger 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Murphy 1 AST)6
18.7%
2
81.3%
Q1 - 9:25ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)4
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 9:31ORLLewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.5%
2
83.5%
Q1 - 9:32INDMISS Foster 17' Jump Shot4
16.9%
2
83.1%
Q1 - 9:43ORLEvans 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)4
17.9%
2
82.1%
Q1 - 10:05INDFoster Dunk (2 PTS) (Dunleavy 1 AST)4
18.7%
0
81.3%
Q1 - 10:19ORLHoward Foul Turnover (P1.T2)2
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 10:36ORLEvans REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 10:37INDMISS Murphy 15' Jump Shot2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 10:43INDPacers Rebound2
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 10:44INDHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)2
16.9%
0
83.1%
Q1 - 10:59INDMurphy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
17.7%
0
82.3%
Q1 - 11:00ORLMISS Lewis 10' Running Jump Shot2
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:22INDGranger Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
16.5%
0
83.5%
Q1 - 11:25ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:31ORLHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
14.6%
0
85.4%
Q1 - 11:33INDMISS Granger 21' Jump Shot0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 11:37INDMurray REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
15.4%
0
84.6%
Q1 - 11:39INDHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
14.8%
0
85.2%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Howard vs. Foster: Tip to Murphy0
15.5%
0
84.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.12 56.1%
ORL
1.42 70.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
16
26
62%
ORL
25
33
76%
Midrange
IND
17
35
49%
ORL
12
24
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
ORL
12
18.0
20
60%
90%
Free Throws
IND
21
32
66%
ORL
12
19
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Granger2467%12.0 / 18
T. Murphy1860%9.0 / 15
M. Dunleavy1650%8.0 / 16
M. Daniels1470%7.0 / 10
K. Rush1255%6.0 / 11
R. Murray1150%5.5 / 11
J. Foster750%3.5 / 7
T. Diener550%2.5 / 5
D. Harrison467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
H. Turkoglu2759%13.5 / 23
R. Lewis2292%11.0 / 12
M. Evans1995%9.5 / 10
D. Howard1860%9.0 / 15
K. Bogans1192%5.5 / 6
C. Arroyo990%4.5 / 5
J. Nelson857%4.0 / 7
B. Cook867%4.0 / 6
A. Foyle0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

IND
86
+11
-13
97
ORL
78
+8
-22
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

IND
1.12 56.1%
ORL
1.42 70.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.8
111.2
IND 112.1
ORL 122.0 +9.9
Pace
98.0
93.5
IND 104.2 +9.0
ORL 95.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.1
15.1
IND 13.8 +1.3
ORL 15.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
53.7%
IND 54.9%
ORL 71.4% +16.5%
TO %
15.0%
14.7%
IND 11.9% +8.6%
ORL 20.5%
ORB %
24.4%
23.4%
IND 22.0% +6.0%
ORL 16.0%
FTrt
29.2
35.5
IND 39.0 +14.3
ORL 24.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.1%
55.8%
IND 61.0%
ORL 61.2% +0.2%
STL %
7.7%
6.8%
IND 13.1% +4.1%
ORL 9.0%
BLK %
7.9%
6.2%
IND 5.3%
ORL 6.6% +1.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.8%
55.9%
IND 56.1%
ORL 70.9% +14.8%
Rim FG%
58.0%
61.5%
IND 61.5%
ORL 75.8% +14.3%
Mid FG%
38.9%
40.8%
IND 48.6%
ORL 50.0% +1.4%
3P %
37.4%
38.6%
IND 38.1%
ORL 60.0% +21.9%
FT %
76.8%
72.1%
IND 65.6% +2.4%
ORL 63.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.0%
35.5%
IND 31.7%
ORL 42.9% +11.1%
Mid Att. %
40.1%
32.3%
IND 42.7%
ORL 31.2% +11.5%
3P Att. %
28.9%
32.2%
IND 25.6%
ORL 26.0% +0.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.29 and 2.29.
Game TotalsINDORL
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes22.825.2
Points111122
Rebounds3036
Assists2530
Steals139
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)22 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (2)4 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)21 (3)32 (3)
Field Goals41-8249-77
At-the-Rim FG16-2625-33
Midrange FG17-3512-24
2-Point FG33-6137-57
3-Point FG8-2112-20
Free Throws21-3212-19
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 222 · 25
38.2
24
67%
6
3
4
1
3
2
1
5
4-5
80%
7-11
64%
2-5
40%
F · 6'11" 245 · 28
35.3
18
60%
9
5
0
1
0
3
2
7
4-8
50%
4-8
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'9" 230 · 27
34.5
16
50%
3
4
0
0
2
2
0
3
3-5
60%
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
C · 6'11" 250 · 31
20.4
7
50%
5
0
0
0
0
4
4
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 200 · 29
20.1
11
50%
1
2
3
0
3
1
1
0
3-4
75%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 26
27.9
5
50%
1
5
1
0
2
3
0
1
2-2
100%
0-0
-
1-4
25%
G · 6'6" 215 · 27
27.8
12
55%
2
5
3
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
3-7
43%
2-4
50%
F · 6'6" 200 · 27
22.6
14
70%
2
1
0
0
1
2
0
2
2-2
100%
6-9
67%
0-0
-
C · 7'0" 280 · 26
13.1
4
67%
1
0
2
1
1
4
0
1
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 215 · 26
0.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 25
F · 6'10" 230 · 22
#11 · G · 6'3" 188 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · G · 6'4" 200 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C-F · 6'11" 255 · 29
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
111
56%
30
25
13
3
13
0
9
21
21-32
66%
33-61
54%
8-21
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.