FinalWin Prob.pScore
2435%93
94
1865%98
97
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
105.68985.2
ATL logo ATL
109.08993.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA94
0%
97
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)94
1.4%
97
98.6%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLMISS Stoudamire Free Throw 2 of 294
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 0:03.0ATLStoudamire Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)94
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAWade Driving Dunk (24 PTS)94
2.2%
96
97.8%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
1.9%
96
98.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLMISS Horford Free Throw 2 of 292
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)92
0.9%
96
99.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)92
1.7%
95
98.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)92
6.9%
95
93.1%
Q4 - 0:18.0ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 292
7.9%
94
92.1%
Q4 - 0:22.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
6.5%
94
93.5%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Davis 18' Jump Shot92
8.9%
94
91.1%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)92
17.5%
94
82.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Davis 29' 3PT Jump Shot92
9.5%
94
90.5%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAHeat Rebound92
20.5%
94
79.5%
Q4 - 0:45.0ATLMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot92
17.1%
94
82.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
12.3%
94
87.7%
Q4 - 1:01ATLMISS Bibby 27' 3PT Jump Shot92
18.7%
94
81.3%
Q4 - 1:23ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)92
13.7%
94
86.3%
Q4 - 1:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot92
16.3%
94
83.7%
Q4 - 1:35MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
23.7%
94
76.3%
Q4 - 1:36ATLMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot92
20.7%
94
79.3%
Q4 - 1:55MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (22 PTS)92
15.9%
94
84.1%
Q4 - 2:13ATLSmith Dunk (13 PTS) (Johnson 8 AST)90
12.1%
94
87.9%
Q4 - 2:17MIABibby STEAL (1 STL)90
15.2%
92
84.8%
Q4 - 2:29MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)90
26.3%
92
73.7%
Q4 - 2:31ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot90
22.3%
92
77.7%
Q4 - 2:34ATLHAWKS Rebound90
15.1%
92
84.9%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMISS Johnson 2' Driving Layup90
22.3%
92
77.7%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)90
15.0%
92
85.0%
Q4 - 2:50MIAMarion Tip Shot (14 PTS)90
15.0%
92
85.0%
Q4 - 2:54MIASmith BLOCK (3 BLK)88
9.2%
92
90.8%
Q4 - 3:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
13.3%
92
86.7%
Q4 - 3:05ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
14.0%
91
86.0%
Q4 - 3:28MIADavis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)88
16.3%
90
83.7%
Q4 - 3:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
10.8%
90
89.2%
Q4 - 3:37ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot85
9.7%
90
90.3%
Q4 - 3:57MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
7.3%
90
92.7%
Q4 - 3:57MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)84
6.7%
90
93.3%
Q4 - 4:14ATLJohnson 30' 3PT Jump Shot (39 PTS)83
5.2%
90
94.8%
Q4 - 4:37MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)83
10.0%
87
90.0%
Q4 - 4:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)80
5.1%
87
94.9%
Q4 - 4:55ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (35 PTS)80
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 5:15MIAWade 8' Running Jump Shot (20 PTS)80
8.6%
85
91.4%
Q4 - 5:30ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 7 AST)78
6.4%
85
93.6%
Q4 - 5:41ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
8.6%
83
91.4%
Q4 - 5:43ATLMISS Johnson Layup78
10.7%
83
89.3%
Q4 - 6:02MIAMarion 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)78
9.7%
83
90.3%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)78
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q4 - 6:19MIAMISS Cook 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
10.6%
83
89.4%
Q4 - 6:29MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)78
13.1%
83
86.9%
Q4 - 6:30ATLMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot78
11.9%
83
88.1%
Q4 - 6:47ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
9.6%
83
90.4%
Q4 - 6:49MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
10.0%
83
90.0%
Q4 - 6:49MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)78
12.0%
83
88.0%
Q4 - 6:51MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
10.0%
83
90.0%
Q4 - 6:54ATLMISS Childress 3PT Jump Shot77
9.0%
83
91.0%
Q4 - 7:19MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)77
8.5%
83
91.5%
Q4 - 7:19MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)76
8.0%
83
92.0%
Q4 - 7:37ATLJohnson Driving Layup (34 PTS)75
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q4 - 7:49ATLHAWKS Rebound75
8.5%
81
91.5%
Q4 - 7:51ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot75
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 8:13MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P3.T11)75
9.7%
81
90.3%
Q4 - 8:25ATLStoudamire 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 6 AST)75
12.2%
81
87.8%
Q4 - 8:42MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)75
15.2%
79
84.8%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Blount Free Throw 1 of 274
14.4%
79
85.6%
Q4 - 9:06MIAHeat Rebound74
16.0%
79
84.0%
Q4 - 9:07ATLMISS Williams 10' Jump Shot74
15.0%
79
85.0%
Q4 - 9:27ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
12.9%
79
87.1%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot74
13.8%
79
86.2%
Q4 - 9:41ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)74
16.0%
79
84.0%
Q4 - 9:41ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)74
16.5%
78
83.5%
Q4 - 9:47MIAWade 20' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)74
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q4 - 10:07ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)72
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 10:16MIAPachulia STEAL (1 STL)72
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 10:27MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
16.7%
77
83.3%
Q4 - 10:29ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot72
15.7%
77
84.3%
Q4 - 10:39ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 10:40ATLMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
15.7%
77
84.3%
Q4 - 11:07MIAAl. Johnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)72
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q4 - 11:22ATLChildress Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)72
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIAAl. Johnson Layup (7 PTS)72
14.3%
77
85.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound70
11.9%
77
88.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot70
10.4%
77
89.6%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLChildress Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)70
12.6%
77
87.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Childress Free Throw 1 of 270
13.0%
76
87.0%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)70
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
14.3%
76
85.7%
Q3 - 0:26.0ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)70
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Al. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 270
12.9%
76
87.1%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
14.3%
76
85.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHeat Rebound69
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Bibby 18' Jump Shot69
11.9%
76
88.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Marion 19' Jump Shot69
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 1:01MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
13.3%
76
86.7%
Q3 - 1:03ATLMISS Smith Layup69
12.6%
76
87.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS)69
11.1%
76
88.9%
Q3 - 1:38ATLSmith Dunk (11 PTS) (Bibby 5 AST)67
9.3%
76
90.7%
Q3 - 1:49ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)67
11.0%
74
89.0%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Marion Layup67
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 1:55MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)67
13.2%
74
86.8%
Q3 - 1:56MIAMISS Cook 28' 3PT Jump Shot67
11.7%
74
88.3%
Q3 - 2:24ATLBibby 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
13.6%
74
86.4%
Q3 - 2:38ATLJump Ball Childress vs. Cook: Tip to Smith67
15.8%
72
84.2%
Q3 - 2:38MIAChildress BLOCK (1 BLK)67
16.6%
72
83.4%
Q3 - 3:00ATLSmith 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)67
18.7%
72
81.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMarion 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)67
21.9%
70
78.1%
Q3 - 3:28MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)65
19.1%
70
80.9%
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Johnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper65
18.2%
70
81.8%
Q3 - 3:50ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
16.3%
70
83.7%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Quinn 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
17.1%
70
82.9%
Q3 - 4:22MIAHeat Rebound65
19.4%
70
80.6%
Q3 - 4:22MIAMISS Marion 9' Turnaround Jump Shot65
17.3%
70
82.7%
Q3 - 4:44ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)65
19.4%
70
80.6%
Q3 - 4:44ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)65
20.0%
69
80.0%
Q3 - 4:57ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
21.8%
68
78.2%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup65
22.9%
68
77.1%
Q3 - 5:07MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
25.5%
68
74.5%
Q3 - 5:08ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot65
24.5%
68
75.5%
Q3 - 5:32MIADavis Driving Reverse Layup (19 PTS)65
22.2%
68
77.8%
Q3 - 5:52ATLHorford 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bibby 4 AST)63
19.6%
68
80.4%
Q3 - 6:09MIAJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)63
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)63
22.3%
66
77.7%
Q3 - 6:09MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 6:12MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)63
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 6:14MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)63
23.3%
66
76.7%
Q3 - 6:38ATLBibby 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)63
25.5%
66
74.5%
Q3 - 6:43ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
28.4%
64
71.6%
Q3 - 6:45MIAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)63
29.5%
64
70.5%
Q3 - 6:57MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
32.0%
64
68.0%
Q3 - 6:58ATLMISS Bibby 30' 3PT Jump Shot63
30.9%
64
69.1%
Q3 - 7:08ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 7:09MIAMISS Quinn 20' Jump Shot63
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)63
31.9%
64
68.1%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Davis 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
29.2%
64
70.8%
Q3 - 7:38MIAHeat Rebound63
31.9%
64
68.1%
Q3 - 7:39ATLMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot63
30.7%
64
69.3%
Q3 - 7:55ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)63
28.1%
64
71.9%
Q3 - 7:57MIASmith BLOCK (2 BLK)63
29.3%
64
70.7%
Q3 - 8:13ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Bibby 3 AST)63
31.8%
64
68.2%
Q3 - 8:17ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q3 - 8:19MIAMISS Williams Driving Layup63
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 8:33ATLSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)63
38.7%
62
61.3%
Q3 - 8:44ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
34.7%
62
65.3%
Q3 - 8:45MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot63
35.9%
62
64.1%
Q3 - 8:59MIAHeat Rebound63
38.7%
62
61.3%
Q3 - 9:00ATLMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
37.5%
62
62.5%
Q3 - 9:09MIABlount Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)63
34.3%
62
65.7%
Q3 - 9:09MIABlount Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)62
33.5%
62
66.5%
Q3 - 9:28ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (30 PTS)61
31.2%
62
68.8%
Q3 - 9:49MIADavis Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)61
34.3%
60
65.7%
Q3 - 10:00ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)61
37.9%
60
62.1%
Q3 - 10:00ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)61
38.4%
59
61.6%
Q3 - 10:17MIABlount Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)61
40.4%
58
59.6%
Q3 - 10:32ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)61
44.3%
58
55.7%
Q3 - 10:32ATLSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)61
45.1%
57
54.9%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMarion 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)61
47.4%
56
52.6%
Q3 - 11:06MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
43.4%
56
56.6%
Q3 - 11:08ATLMISS Bibby 19' Jump Shot59
42.3%
56
57.7%
Q3 - 11:19ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
40.0%
56
60.0%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Blount 13' Turnaround Jump Shot59
41.0%
56
59.0%
Q3 - 11:43MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
43.5%
56
56.5%
Q3 - 11:45ATLMISS Horford 6' Jump Shot59
42.4%
56
57.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATL59
40.0%
56
60.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound59
40.0%
56
60.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 38' 3PT Jump Shot59
42.4%
56
57.6%
Q2 - 0:05.0MIADavis 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)59
40.2%
56
59.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
33.1%
56
66.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot56
31.7%
56
68.3%
Q2 - 0:20.0ATLJohnson 29' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Bibby 2 AST)56
33.1%
56
66.9%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAWilliams 29' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)56
40.2%
53
59.8%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLJohnson Layup (25 PTS)53
33.1%
53
66.9%
Q2 - 1:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
37.0%
51
63.0%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot53
37.7%
51
62.3%
Q2 - 1:20MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
38.8%
51
61.2%
Q2 - 1:21ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot53
38.3%
51
61.7%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMarion Reverse Layup (8 PTS)53
37.2%
51
62.8%
Q2 - 1:47ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Bibby 1 AST)51
32.8%
51
67.2%
Q2 - 1:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q2 - 1:52ATLMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
41.4%
48
58.6%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMarion Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)51
40.2%
48
59.8%
Q2 - 2:01MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q2 - 2:03MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot49
34.2%
48
65.8%
Q2 - 2:26ATLChildress Foul Turnover (P1.T5)49
36.1%
48
63.9%
Q2 - 2:32MIABlount 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)49
33.5%
48
66.5%
Q2 - 2:42MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
30.5%
48
69.5%
Q2 - 2:43ATLMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot47
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q2 - 2:58MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)47
28.2%
48
71.8%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q2 - 3:13ATLMISS Childress Driving Layup45
25.0%
48
75.0%
Q2 - 3:32MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
23.3%
48
76.7%
Q2 - 3:43ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)45
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q2 - 3:43ATLChildress Dunk (6 PTS)45
25.7%
48
74.3%
Q2 - 3:44ATLMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot45
29.7%
46
70.3%
Q2 - 4:00ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 4:02MIAMISS Marion Layup45
28.5%
46
71.5%
Q2 - 4:28ATLStoudamire Running Layup (6 PTS) (Childress 3 AST)45
30.2%
46
69.8%
Q2 - 4:31MIAChildress STEAL (1 STL)45
32.7%
44
67.3%
Q2 - 4:52ATLSmith Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)45
35.3%
44
64.7%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWade Driving Layup (15 PTS)45
37.5%
42
62.5%
Q2 - 5:20ATLSmith Running Layup (3 PTS) (Stoudamire 1 AST)43
35.1%
42
64.9%
Q2 - 5:23ATLStoudamire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
37.5%
40
62.5%
Q2 - 5:24MIAMISS Blount Layup43
38.4%
40
61.6%
Q2 - 5:45ATLSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)43
40.4%
40
59.6%
Q2 - 5:45ATLMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 243
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 5:50ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
40.2%
39
59.8%
Q2 - 5:51MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)43
41.1%
39
58.9%
Q2 - 6:08MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
42.9%
39
57.1%
Q2 - 6:09ATLMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot43
41.9%
39
58.1%
Q2 - 6:27MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)43
39.7%
39
60.3%
Q2 - 6:33MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Quinn 17' Jump Shot40
33.0%
39
67.0%
Q2 - 6:49ATLPachulia Layup (4 PTS) (Childress 2 AST)40
35.1%
39
64.9%
Q2 - 7:02ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
37.0%
37
63.0%
Q2 - 7:03MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot40
37.8%
37
62.2%
Q2 - 7:24ATLStoudamire 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)40
39.6%
37
60.4%
Q2 - 7:41MIAAl. Johnson Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)40
42.0%
35
58.0%
Q2 - 7:47MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
39.7%
35
60.3%
Q2 - 7:48ATLMISS Stoudamire 29' 3PT Jump Shot38
38.8%
35
61.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
36.6%
35
63.4%
Q2 - 8:02MIAAl. Johnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)37
35.9%
35
64.1%
Q2 - 8:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
34.6%
35
65.4%
Q2 - 8:21ATLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
34.9%
34
65.1%
Q2 - 8:50MIACook 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)36
36.7%
33
63.3%
Q2 - 9:14ATLStoudamire 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)34
34.2%
33
65.8%
Q2 - 9:24ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Marion 27' 3PT Jump Shot34
37.1%
31
62.9%
Q2 - 9:37MIAAl. Johnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
38.9%
31
61.1%
Q2 - 9:38ATLMISS Johnson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot34
38.1%
31
61.9%
Q2 - 9:50ATLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
36.3%
31
63.7%
Q2 - 9:50MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 234
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 9:50MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)34
38.2%
31
61.8%
Q2 - 9:54MIAHeat Rebound33
36.6%
31
63.4%
Q2 - 9:55MIAStoudamire BLOCK (1 BLK)33
34.8%
31
65.2%
Q2 - 10:06MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
36.5%
31
63.5%
Q2 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper33
34.7%
31
65.3%
Q2 - 10:22ATLJohnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Childress 1 AST)33
36.5%
31
63.5%
Q2 - 10:24ATLHAWKS Rebound33
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 10:25ATLMISS Stoudamire Layup33
42.8%
28
57.2%
Q2 - 10:29MIAJohnson STEAL (3 STL)33
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 10:48ATLJohnson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T4)33
43.6%
28
56.4%
Q2 - 10:53MIAJohnson STEAL (2 STL)33
40.9%
28
59.1%
Q2 - 11:02MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
42.6%
28
57.4%
Q2 - 11:03ATLMISS Williams Driving Layup33
41.9%
28
58.1%
Q2 - 11:15ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
40.4%
28
59.6%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Quinn 21' Jump Shot33
41.1%
28
58.9%
Q2 - 11:34ATLPachulia Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)33
42.7%
28
57.3%
Q2 - 11:46ATLPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q2 - 11:47ATLMISS Stoudamire 21' Jump Shot33
46.8%
26
53.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL33
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound33
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Johnson 28' 3PT Jump Shot33
46.9%
26
53.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADavis 27' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)33
45.2%
26
54.8%
Q1 - 0:24.0ATLJohnson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (17 PTS)30
39.7%
26
60.3%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
42.5%
24
57.5%
Q1 - 0:38.0MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)29
42.1%
24
57.9%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLBibby Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)28
39.7%
24
60.3%
Q1 - 1:08MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)28
37.9%
24
62.1%
Q1 - 1:36ATLBibby 18' Jump Shot (3 PTS)26
35.2%
24
64.8%
Q1 - 1:46MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)26
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q1 - 2:05ATLJohnson 19' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)24
35.4%
22
64.6%
Q1 - 2:22MIAWade Dunk (12 PTS)24
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 2:40ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q1 - 2:40ATLChildress Tip Shot (4 PTS)22
35.4%
20
64.6%
Q1 - 2:43ATLMISS Johnson 18' Fadeaway Jumper22
39.2%
18
60.8%
Q1 - 3:02MIABlount Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)22
36.9%
18
63.1%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
35.1%
18
64.9%
Q1 - 3:09ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot20
34.4%
18
65.6%
Q1 - 3:18ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Banks 28' 3PT Jump Shot20
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 3:45ATLJohnson 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)20
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 3:55MIAWade Alley Oop Layup (10 PTS) (Banks 4 AST)20
37.0%
16
63.0%
Q1 - 4:00MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
35.2%
16
64.8%
Q1 - 4:01ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot18
34.1%
16
65.9%
Q1 - 4:15MIADavis 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)18
32.5%
16
67.5%
Q1 - 4:35ATLChildress Dunk (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)16
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 4:38ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 4:40MIAMISS Wade Driving Layup16
33.2%
14
66.8%
Q1 - 4:46MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
34.9%
14
65.1%
Q1 - 4:47ATLMISS Bibby 28' 3PT Jump Shot16
34.1%
14
65.9%
Q1 - 5:05ATLChildress REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
32.1%
14
67.9%
Q1 - 5:06MIAMISS Davis 5' Jump Shot16
32.7%
14
67.3%
Q1 - 5:33ATLJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)16
34.2%
14
65.8%
Q1 - 5:41MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Banks 3 AST)16
37.8%
11
62.2%
Q1 - 5:57ATLJohnson Running Dunk (8 PTS)14
36.1%
11
63.9%
Q1 - 5:59MIAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)14
37.9%
9
62.1%
Q1 - 6:08ATLJohnson Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)14
39.3%
9
60.7%
Q1 - 6:13ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (2 PTS)14
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 6:25MIABanks Driving Layup (2 PTS)14
43.1%
6
56.9%
Q1 - 6:37ATLBibby Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
41.2%
6
58.8%
Q1 - 6:37ATLMISS Bibby Free Throw 1 of 212
41.5%
5
58.5%
Q1 - 6:43ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMISS Blount 4' Jump Shot12
41.8%
5
58.2%
Q1 - 7:00ATLJohnson 21' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)12
43.2%
5
56.8%
Q1 - 7:16MIAWade Driving Layup (6 PTS)12
43.8%
3
56.2%
Q1 - 7:39ATLJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)10
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWade Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
40.1%
3
59.9%
Q1 - 8:08MIABanks REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 8:09ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot8
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 8:17ATLBibby REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
36.4%
3
63.6%
Q1 - 8:17MIAMISS Blount 17' Fadeaway Jumper8
37.0%
3
63.0%
Q1 - 8:42MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 8:44ATLMISS Smith 10' Turnaround Jump Shot8
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 8:55ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
36.4%
3
63.6%
Q1 - 8:58MIAMISS Marion 12' Turnaround Jump Shot8
37.0%
3
63.0%
Q1 - 9:17ATLJohnson 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)8
38.3%
3
61.7%
Q1 - 9:33MIAMarion 5' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 2 AST)8
39.6%
1
60.4%
Q1 - 9:53MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.3%
1
61.7%
Q1 - 9:53ATLMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot6
37.6%
1
62.4%
Q1 - 10:02ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
36.0%
1
64.0%
Q1 - 10:03MIAMISS Banks 9' Running Jump Shot6
36.6%
1
63.4%
Q1 - 10:10MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
37.9%
1
62.1%
Q1 - 10:11ATLMISS Bibby 20' Jump Shot6
37.3%
1
62.7%
Q1 - 10:25MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)6
36.0%
1
64.0%
Q1 - 10:39MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.5%
1
65.5%
Q1 - 10:39ATLMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot4
33.9%
1
66.1%
Q1 - 10:56MIADavis 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
32.6%
1
67.4%
Q1 - 11:15ATLJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
30.9%
1
69.1%
Q1 - 11:27ATLWilliams Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)2
29.5%
1
70.5%
Q1 - 11:50MIAWade 19' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Banks 1 AST)2
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Smith vs. Blount: Tip to Banks0
29.4%
0
70.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
ATL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
26
58%
ATL
16
22
73%
Midrange
MIA
16
38
42%
ATL
14
40
35%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
17
35%
53%
ATL
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
ATL
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Davis2784%13.5 / 16
D. Wade2455%12.0 / 22
S. Marion1447%7.0 / 15
M. Blount1354%6.5 / 12
A. Johnson990%4.5 / 5
J. Williams350%1.5 / 3
M. Banks233%1.0 / 3
D. Cook211%1.0 / 9
C. Quinn0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Johnson3967%19.5 / 29
J. Smith1350%6.5 / 13
A. Horford950%4.5 / 9
S. Stoudamire964%4.5 / 7
M. Bibby829%4.0 / 14
M. Williams836%4.0 / 11
J. Childress758%3.5 / 6
Z. Pachulia467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+15
-12
92
ATL
81
+13
-8
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
ATL
1.02 51.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
106.6
MIA 105.6
ATL 109.0 +3.4
Pace
90.5
91.4
MIA 85.2
ATL 93.2 +8.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.6
MIA 16.9
ATL 15.4 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.3%
MIA 49.4% +2.5%
ATL 46.9%
TO %
15.4%
15.5%
MIA 12.8%
ATL 8.0% +4.8%
ORB %
22.2%
29.8%
MIA 25.6% +4.0%
ATL 21.6%
FTrt
30.0
34.0
MIA 22.2
ATL 35.0 +12.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
60.6%
MIA 59.5%
ATL 60.0% +0.5%
STL %
7.9%
7.9%
MIA 3.4%
ATL 6.7% +3.3%
BLK %
7.1%
8.4%
MIA 6.5%
ATL 12.5% +6.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
52.0%
MIA 50.5%
ATL 51.1% +0.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.6%
MIA 57.7%
ATL 72.7% +15.0%
Mid FG%
38.8%
38.5%
MIA 42.1% +7.1%
ATL 35.0%
3P %
35.8%
35.6%
MIA 35.3% +7.5%
ATL 27.8%
FT %
72.7%
77.2%
MIA 77.8%
ATL 78.6% +0.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
36.9%
MIA 32.1% +4.6%
ATL 27.5%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
46.7%
MIA 46.9% +3.1%
ATL 50.0%
3P Att. %
21.7%
16.5%
MIA 21.0%
ATL 22.5% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points9497
Rebounds4040
Assists2221
Steals36
Blocks48
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (4)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (5)32 (0)
Field Goals37-8135-80
At-the-Rim FG15-2616-22
Midrange FG16-3814-40
2-Point FG31-6430-62
3-Point FG6-175-18
Free Throws14-1822-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
43.8
14
47%
13
3
1
0
2
2
6
7
2-2
100%
6-13
46%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
41.2
27
84%
4
2
0
0
2
3
1
3
0-0
-
6-9
67%
5-7
71%
G · 6'4" 220 · 26
39.2
24
55%
4
8
0
1
4
4
1
3
2-4
50%
11-18
61%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
24.6
13
54%
5
0
0
0
1
2
0
5
5-6
83%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
10.6
2
33%
1
4
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
28.6
2
11%
4
2
1
0
0
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-6
17%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
23.4
9
90%
6
0
0
2
1
3
1
5
5-6
83%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
18.1
0
0%
3
2
1
1
1
2
2
1
0-0
-
0-4
0%
0-1
0%
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
10.4
3
50%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#21 · G · 6'4" 190 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
94
51%
40
22
3
4
12
0
11
29
14-18
78%
31-64
48%
6-17
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.