FinalWin Prob.pScore
3036%95
112
2764%99
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
128.78777.0
MIL logo MIL
124.78597.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

BucksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAMIL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL112
100%
106
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)112
99.7%
106
0.3%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAAnthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)111
99.6%
106
0.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0MILRuffin Dunk (14 PTS) (Williams 11 AST)110
99.0%
106
1.0%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)110
99.3%
104
0.7%
Q4 - 0:15.0MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)109
99.3%
104
0.7%
Q4 - 0:16.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)108
98.5%
104
1.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAQuinn Layup (17 PTS)108
99.4%
101
0.6%
Q4 - 0:45.0MIAHeat Rebound106
97.2%
101
2.8%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot106
95.1%
101
4.9%
Q4 - 1:07MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)106
95.1%
101
4.9%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)106
97.9%
98
2.1%
Q4 - 1:14MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)105
97.8%
98
2.2%
Q4 - 1:22MILRuffin Tip Shot (12 PTS)104
96.1%
98
3.9%
Q4 - 1:23MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:8 Def:7)104
97.5%
96
2.5%
Q4 - 1:24MILMISS Mason Layup104
98.3%
96
1.7%
Q4 - 1:33MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)104
96.9%
96
3.1%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 2104
97.1%
96
2.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)104
98.0%
96
2.0%
Q4 - 1:35MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)103
97.0%
96
3.0%
Q4 - 1:35MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)103
97.2%
95
2.8%
Q4 - 1:37MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
98.0%
94
2.0%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot103
98.2%
94
1.8%
Q4 - 1:59MILBell 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)103
98.6%
94
1.4%
Q4 - 2:02MILMason REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)103
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 2:05MILMISS Bell Layup103
99.5%
91
0.5%
Q4 - 2:10MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)103
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 2:12MIARuffin BLOCK (2 BLK)103
99.4%
91
0.6%
Q4 - 2:34MILWilliams 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)103
99.6%
91
0.4%
Q4 - 2:42MIADavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)103
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 2:42MIADavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)102
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 2:55MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)101
99.3%
89
0.7%
Q4 - 2:55MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 2:59MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)101
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 3:00MIAMISS Williams 29' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 3:16MILWilliams 11' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)101
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 3:24MIAAnthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)101
99.7%
86
0.3%
Q4 - 3:24MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2100
99.6%
86
0.4%
Q4 - 3:34MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)100
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot100
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 3:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)100
99.3%
86
0.7%
Q4 - 3:56MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.2%
86
0.8%
Q4 - 4:19MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Quinn 4 AST)100
99.0%
86
1.0%
Q4 - 4:38MILWilliams 19' Jump Shot (13 PTS)97
98.1%
86
1.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIABarron 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Williams 10 AST)97
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 5:10MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)94
95.5%
84
4.5%
Q4 - 5:12MILMISS Redd Layup94
95.0%
84
5.0%
Q4 - 5:30MIAAnthony Layup (6 PTS)94
93.8%
84
6.2%
Q4 - 5:33MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)92
91.7%
84
8.3%
Q4 - 5:35MIAMISS Davis 21' Jump Shot92
89.7%
84
10.3%
Q4 - 5:54MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
91.8%
84
8.2%
Q4 - 5:55MILMISS Bell Free Throw 2 of 292
91.4%
84
8.6%
Q4 - 5:55MILBell Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)92
89.4%
84
10.6%
Q4 - 6:10MILBUCKS Rebound92
88.7%
83
11.3%
Q4 - 6:10MILMISS Bell 5' Jump Shot92
90.9%
83
9.1%
Q4 - 6:27MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)92
88.8%
83
11.2%
Q4 - 6:27MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 291
88.1%
83
11.9%
Q4 - 6:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)91
89.3%
83
10.7%
Q4 - 6:32MIAMISS Barron 22' Jump Shot91
86.7%
83
13.3%
Q4 - 7:03MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Redd 4 AST)91
86.5%
83
13.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIAWilliams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Barron 4 AST)91
91.6%
80
8.4%
Q4 - 7:40MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)88
86.8%
80
13.2%
Q4 - 7:42MILMISS Redd 19' Jump Shot88
85.6%
80
14.4%
Q4 - 7:54MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)88
82.8%
80
17.2%
Q4 - 8:07MILRedd Free Throw 3 of 3 (27 PTS)85
71.2%
80
28.8%
Q4 - 8:07MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 3 (26 PTS)85
71.9%
79
28.1%
Q4 - 8:07MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 3 (25 PTS)85
72.7%
78
27.3%
Q4 - 8:25MIAWilliams Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)85
80.5%
77
19.5%
Q4 - 8:25MIABarron 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)84
76.2%
77
23.8%
Q4 - 8:38MILVillanueva Foul Turnover (P2.T9)82
71.4%
77
28.6%
Q4 - 8:56MIAQuinn 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Barron 3 AST)82
65.8%
77
34.2%
Q4 - 9:26MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
52.4%
77
47.6%
Q4 - 9:27MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
50.5%
77
49.5%
Q4 - 9:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
46.1%
77
53.9%
Q4 - 9:33MILMISS Bell 15' Jump Shot79
50.5%
77
49.5%
Q4 - 9:36MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:7 Def:7)79
46.1%
77
53.9%
Q4 - 9:37MILMISS Yi 16' Jump Shot79
50.5%
77
49.5%
Q4 - 10:10MIAQuinn 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barron 2 AST)79
45.3%
77
54.7%
Q4 - 10:23MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
34.8%
77
65.2%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Barron 22' Jump Shot76
31.1%
77
68.9%
Q4 - 10:39MILRuffin Foul Turnover (P1.T8)76
34.8%
77
65.2%
Q4 - 10:42MILBUCKS Rebound76
29.5%
77
70.5%
Q4 - 10:42MILMISS Williams Layup76
33.1%
77
66.9%
Q4 - 11:05MIABarron 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Davis 10 AST)76
29.9%
77
70.1%
Q4 - 11:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
25.7%
77
74.3%
Q4 - 11:22MILMISS Mason 8' Jump Shot74
24.4%
77
75.6%
Q4 - 11:42MIABarron Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Davis 9 AST)74
21.6%
77
78.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
18.3%
77
81.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILBell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
15.1%
77
84.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MILMISS Bell 20' Jump Shot72
18.0%
77
82.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAJones Dunk (9 PTS) (Davis 8 AST)72
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
11.1%
77
88.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
9.2%
77
90.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 268
9.0%
77
91.0%
Q3 - 0:55.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
7.8%
77
92.2%
Q3 - 1:04MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)68
9.9%
76
90.1%
Q3 - 1:04MIAHeat Rebound68
11.9%
76
88.1%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Williams 36' 3PT Jump Shot68
10.5%
76
89.5%
Q3 - 1:31MILVillanueva 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Redd 3 AST)68
11.8%
76
88.2%
Q3 - 1:53MIAWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Davis 7 AST)68
14.0%
74
86.0%
Q3 - 2:03MIAHeat Rebound65
10.5%
74
89.5%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 165
9.0%
74
91.0%
Q3 - 2:38MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)63
7.4%
74
92.6%
Q3 - 2:38MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)63
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 2:47MIAJones Layup (5 PTS) (Marion 3 AST)63
8.7%
72
91.3%
Q3 - 3:03MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)61
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q3 - 3:04MILMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 161
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q3 - 3:08MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)61
9.3%
70
90.7%
Q3 - 3:10MIAMISS Davis 13' Jump Shot61
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q3 - 3:34MILMason Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 9 AST)61
11.0%
70
89.0%
Q3 - 3:47MIABarron 7' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 6 AST)61
12.8%
68
87.2%
Q3 - 3:58MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Barron 12' Hook Shot59
9.8%
68
90.2%
Q3 - 4:17MILRuffin Layup (10 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)59
11.5%
68
88.5%
Q3 - 4:28MIADavis 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Williams 8 AST)59
13.1%
66
86.9%
Q3 - 4:41MILVillanueva Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)57
11.5%
66
88.5%
Q3 - 4:51MIARedd STEAL (1 STL)57
9.6%
66
90.4%
Q3 - 5:06MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
11.9%
66
88.1%
Q3 - 5:06MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
12.2%
65
87.8%
Q3 - 5:20MIABarron 10' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 5 AST)57
13.6%
64
86.4%
Q3 - 5:35MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
11.9%
64
88.1%
Q3 - 5:37MILMISS Mason Free Throw 2 of 255
11.7%
64
88.3%
Q3 - 5:37MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 255
10.7%
64
89.3%
Q3 - 5:56MIAWilliams 3PT Layup (6 PTS) (Marion 2 AST)55
10.1%
64
89.9%
Q3 - 6:00MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)52
7.6%
64
92.4%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot52
7.2%
64
92.8%
Q3 - 6:20MILRedd 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)52
8.0%
64
92.0%
Q3 - 6:46MIAWilliams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Davis 4 AST)52
9.2%
62
90.8%
Q3 - 7:07MILWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mason 2 AST)49
7.3%
62
92.7%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMarion Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)49
8.2%
60
91.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAMarion Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)48
8.0%
60
92.0%
Q3 - 7:37MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 7:38MILMISS Gadzuric 10' Jump Shot47
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 7:51MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)47
6.2%
60
93.8%
Q3 - 7:52MIAMISS Davis 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 7:59MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)47
7.3%
60
92.7%
Q3 - 7:59MILMISS Villanueva 11' Jump Shot47
6.9%
60
93.1%
Q3 - 8:08MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
6.5%
60
93.5%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Marion Layup47
6.8%
60
93.2%
Q3 - 8:23MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)47
7.6%
60
92.4%
Q3 - 8:23MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)47
7.7%
59
92.3%
Q3 - 8:34MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 8:35MILMISS Villanueva 27' 3PT Jump Shot47
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 8:48MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)47
8.5%
58
91.5%
Q3 - 9:10MILVillanueva Layup (8 PTS)44
6.8%
58
93.2%
Q3 - 9:11MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 9:13MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot44
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 9:14MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 9:14MILMISS Villanueva 7' Jump Shot44
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 9:15MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)44
7.8%
56
92.2%
Q3 - 9:16MILMISS Gadzuric Running Layup44
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 9:29MILMISS Williams 22' Jump Shot44
8.5%
56
91.5%
Q3 - 9:29MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)44
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 9:44MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
7.7%
56
92.3%
Q3 - 9:45MIAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
8.1%
56
91.9%
Q3 - 9:57MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)44
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q3 - 10:01MILMISS Mason Free Throw 1 of 144
9.1%
56
90.9%
Q3 - 10:04MIAGadzuric STEAL (2 STL)44
10.4%
54
89.6%
Q3 - 10:27MILVillanueva 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)44
12.0%
54
88.0%
Q3 - 10:35MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q3 - 10:37MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
14.7%
52
85.3%
Q3 - 10:53MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
13.3%
52
86.7%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Marion 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
13.9%
52
86.1%
Q3 - 11:12MILVillanueva Layup (4 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)44
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q3 - 11:27MIAVillanueva STEAL (1 STL)44
17.3%
50
82.7%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)44
19.4%
50
80.6%
Q3 - 11:42MILMISS Villanueva 13' Jump Shot44
18.7%
50
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL44
17.2%
50
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)44
17.2%
50
82.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 2 of 244
18.4%
50
81.6%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cook Free Throw 1 of 244
19.9%
50
80.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAHeat Rebound44
19.6%
50
80.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIARedd BLOCK (1 BLK)44
18.6%
50
81.4%
Q2 - 0:18.0MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)44
19.5%
50
80.5%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
18.1%
50
81.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIABarron Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
17.6%
50
82.4%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)42
15.7%
50
84.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0MILRedd Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)42
15.9%
49
84.1%
Q2 - 1:01MIAMarion Foul Turnover (P5.T8)42
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 1:05MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 1:07MILMISS Gadzuric 6' Jump Shot42
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 1:11MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)42
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 1:12MILMISS Bell 3PT Jump Shot42
19.4%
48
80.6%
Q2 - 1:30MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)42
18.7%
48
81.3%
Q2 - 1:48MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)40
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 1:49MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 240
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 1:49MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
15.1%
48
84.9%
Q2 - 1:49MIARuffin STEAL (3 STL)40
16.8%
47
83.2%
Q2 - 1:59MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)40
17.7%
47
82.3%
Q2 - 2:00MIAMISS Blount 13' Jump Shot40
17.1%
47
82.9%
Q2 - 2:21MILRedd 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Bell 1 AST)40
18.4%
47
81.6%
Q2 - 2:45MIADavis 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
22.7%
44
77.3%
Q2 - 3:04MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 3:05MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 238
20.6%
44
79.4%
Q2 - 3:05MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 1 of 238
19.9%
44
80.1%
Q2 - 3:05MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)38
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 3:07MILMISS Redd 8' Jump Shot38
20.2%
44
79.8%
Q2 - 3:26MIAMarion Layup (6 PTS) (Williams 7 AST)38
18.8%
44
81.2%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)36
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 3:37MIAMISS Blount 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
15.9%
44
84.1%
Q2 - 3:58MILBell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ruffin 2 AST)36
17.2%
44
82.8%
Q2 - 4:03MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)36
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 4:04MILMISS Villanueva 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 4:15MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)36
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot36
21.6%
41
78.4%
Q2 - 4:38MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)36
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 4:39MILMISS Villanueva 6' Hook Shot36
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 4:49MIARuffin STEAL (2 STL)36
21.0%
41
79.0%
Q2 - 4:59MIAHeat Rebound36
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 4:59MIARuffin BLOCK (1 BLK)36
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)36
22.9%
41
77.1%
Q2 - 5:00MIAMISS Marion Layup36
21.5%
41
78.5%
Q2 - 5:19MILRuffin Layup (7 PTS) (Redd 2 AST)36
23.1%
41
76.9%
Q2 - 5:39MIADavis Reverse Layup (5 PTS) (Blount 2 AST)36
25.0%
39
75.0%
Q2 - 5:55MILBell 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Redd 1 AST)34
23.1%
39
76.9%
Q2 - 6:17MIAQuinn 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)34
27.1%
36
72.9%
Q2 - 6:47MILRuffin Dunk (5 PTS) (Ivey 1 AST)32
25.4%
36
74.6%
Q2 - 7:09MIAMarion 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)32
27.5%
34
72.5%
Q2 - 7:36MILRedd 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)30
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 7:51MIACook 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)30
29.6%
31
70.4%
Q2 - 8:06MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
27.7%
31
72.3%
Q2 - 8:10MILMISS Ruffin Free Throw 2 of 228
27.3%
31
72.7%
Q2 - 8:10MILRuffin Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)28
26.6%
31
73.4%
Q2 - 8:10MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)28
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 8:11MILMISS Ruffin Layup28
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 8:12MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)28
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 8:13MILMISS Ivey Layup28
29.0%
30
71.0%
Q2 - 8:26MIAAnthony Layup (4 PTS)28
27.4%
30
72.6%
Q2 - 8:27MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot26
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 8:39MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 8:43MILMISS Yi Free Throw 2 of 226
25.3%
30
74.7%
Q2 - 8:43MILMISS Yi Free Throw 1 of 226
24.0%
30
76.0%
Q2 - 8:49MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)26
23.5%
30
76.5%
Q2 - 8:51MIAMISS Barron 10' Jump Hook Shot26
24.1%
30
75.9%
Q2 - 9:11MILIvey Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)26
25.6%
30
74.4%
Q2 - 9:11MILIvey Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 9:18MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)26
27.4%
28
72.6%
Q2 - 9:19MIAMISS Barron 14' Jump Shot26
28.0%
28
72.0%
Q2 - 9:26MILBell Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)26
29.7%
28
70.3%
Q2 - 9:38MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
27.4%
28
72.6%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 226
27.7%
28
72.3%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 226
28.7%
28
71.3%
Q2 - 9:59MILBell 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ruffin 1 AST)26
29.7%
28
70.3%
Q2 - 10:07MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)26
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q2 - 10:08MILMISS Yi 20' Jump Shot26
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q2 - 10:20MIAAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)26
31.6%
26
68.4%
Q2 - 10:31MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
29.7%
26
70.3%
Q2 - 10:32MILMISS Redd 14' Jump Shot24
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q2 - 10:38MILBUCKS Rebound24
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q2 - 10:39MILMISS Bell 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
29.0%
26
71.0%
Q2 - 10:55MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Barron 16' Jump Shot24
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q2 - 11:09MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q2 - 11:10MILMISS Mason 16' Jump Shot24
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q2 - 11:17MIARuffin STEAL (1 STL)24
27.3%
26
72.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
29.3%
26
70.7%
Q2 - 11:38MILMISS Bell 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL24
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILBUCKS Rebound24
27.4%
26
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MILMISS Williams 30' 3PT Jump Shot24
28.7%
26
71.3%
Q1 - 0:05.0MIACook 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)24
27.5%
26
72.5%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
25.2%
26
74.8%
Q1 - 0:28.0MILMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot22
24.8%
26
75.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
23.9%
26
76.1%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
23.5%
26
76.5%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)20
21.8%
26
78.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MILWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)20
22.0%
25
78.0%
Q1 - 0:54.0MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Cook 26' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.3%
24
75.7%
Q1 - 1:15MIAHeat Rebound20
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 1:16MILMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 1:32MIABarron Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q1 - 1:45MIAWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.3%
24
74.7%
Q1 - 1:46MILMISS Redd 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
24.9%
24
75.1%
Q1 - 1:57MILYi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
23.9%
24
76.1%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 2 of 220
24.1%
24
75.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIAMISS Anthony Free Throw 1 of 220
25.1%
24
74.9%
Q1 - 2:16MILRuffin Dunk (2 PTS) (Mason 1 AST)20
25.6%
24
74.4%
Q1 - 2:24MILRedd Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)20
27.5%
22
72.5%
Q1 - 2:45MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 6 AST)20
29.4%
21
70.6%
Q1 - 3:11MILMason Dunk (4 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)17
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 3:18MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Blount 13' Jump Shot17
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 3:31MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)17
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q1 - 3:41MILRuffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
27.3%
19
72.7%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)17
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q1 - 3:42MIAMISS Marion Tip Shot17
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Jones Layup17
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
29.4%
19
70.6%
Q1 - 3:49MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
27.9%
19
72.1%
Q1 - 4:13MILWilliams Layup (2 PTS)17
29.2%
19
70.8%
Q1 - 4:16MIAWilliams STEAL (1 STL)17
30.7%
17
69.3%
Q1 - 4:30MILRedd Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)17
33.0%
17
67.0%
Q1 - 4:30MILMISS Redd Free Throw 1 of 217
33.3%
16
66.7%
Q1 - 4:48MIABlount Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)17
32.6%
16
67.4%
Q1 - 4:53MILWilliams Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)15
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 5:08MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 5:09MIAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot15
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 5:23MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)15
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 5:25MILMISS Williams 19' Jump Shot15
30.1%
16
69.9%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMarion Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)15
28.8%
16
71.2%
Q1 - 5:57MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
27.3%
16
72.7%
Q1 - 5:58MILMISS Villanueva 13' Jump Hook Shot13
26.7%
16
73.3%
Q1 - 6:01MILBUCKS Rebound13
25.6%
16
74.4%
Q1 - 6:02MILMISS Gadzuric Free Throw 1 of 113
27.0%
16
73.0%
Q1 - 6:11MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)13
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 6:12MIAMISS Davis 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
29.3%
14
70.7%
Q1 - 6:29MILRedd Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)13
30.5%
14
69.5%
Q1 - 6:44MIADavis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 5 AST)13
28.8%
14
71.2%
Q1 - 7:00MILMason Layup (2 PTS)10
25.6%
14
74.4%
Q1 - 7:01MILMason REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 7:02MILMISS Redd 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
28.3%
12
71.7%
Q1 - 7:22MIACook 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)10
27.1%
12
72.9%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
24.4%
12
75.6%
Q1 - 7:29MILMISS Williams 15' Jump Shot7
23.9%
12
76.1%
Q1 - 7:48MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)7
22.8%
12
77.2%
Q1 - 7:56MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 7:57MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 7:57MILMISS Gadzuric Tip Shot5
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 7:58MILMISS Mason 18' Jump Shot5
21.2%
12
78.8%
Q1 - 8:11MILGadzuric REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.3%
12
79.7%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot5
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 8:28MILRedd 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS)5
21.7%
12
78.3%
Q1 - 8:32MILRedd REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 8:34MIAVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)5
24.7%
9
75.3%
Q1 - 8:57MILRedd 28' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)5
25.8%
9
74.2%
Q1 - 9:08MIACook 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)5
28.3%
6
71.7%
Q1 - 9:28MILVillanueva Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)3
27.2%
6
72.8%
Q1 - 9:37MIAGadzuric STEAL (1 STL)3
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 9:55MILGadzuric Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
30.3%
4
69.7%
Q1 - 10:09MIACook 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)3
31.5%
2
68.5%
Q1 - 10:17MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:19MILMISS Mason Layup0
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 10:21MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 10:25MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot0
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:46MILGadzuric Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:53MILWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.9%
2
73.1%
Q1 - 10:54MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot0
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 11:04MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 11:05MILMISS Villanueva 6' Jump Shot0
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 11:16MILVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.1%
2
72.9%
Q1 - 11:17MIAMISS Williams 20' Jump Shot0
27.5%
2
72.5%
Q1 - 11:32MILRedd 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
28.4%
2
71.6%
Q1 - 11:48MIAMarion Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
30.0%
0
70.0%
Q1 - 12:00MILJump Ball Gadzuric vs. Blount: Tip to Cook0
31.5%
0
68.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
MIL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
11
18
61%
MIL
17
29
59%
Midrange
MIA
15
35
43%
MIL
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
14
21.0
25
56%
84%
MIL
8
12.0
21
38%
57%
Free Throws
MIA
18
28
64%
MIL
26
41
63%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Williams2158%10.5 / 18
C. Quinn17121%8.5 / 7
E. Barron1647%8.0 / 17
R. Davis1464%7.0 / 11
D. Cook1275%6.0 / 8
J. Anthony964%4.5 / 7
B. Jones975%4.5 / 6
S. Marion844%4.0 / 9
M. Blount638%3.0 / 8
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Redd2771%13.5 / 19
M. Williams2665%13.0 / 20
C. Bell1554%7.5 / 14
M. Ruffin1464%7.0 / 11
C. Villanueva1036%5.0 / 14
D. Mason840%4.0 / 10
D. Gadzuric429%2.0 / 7
R. Ivey250%1.0 / 2
J. Yi0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+18
-12
93
MIL
76
+24
-9
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 60.2%
MIL
1.03 51.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
105.5
MIA 128.7 +4.0
MIL 124.7
Pace
90.5
91.2
MIA 77.0
MIL 97.6 +20.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.0
MIA 18.7
MIL 14.8 +3.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
48.2%
MIA 60.3% +12.1%
MIL 48.2%
TO %
15.4%
15.5%
MIA 12.6%
MIL 8.2% +4.4%
ORB %
22.2%
30.1%
MIA 33.3%
MIL 38.0% +4.7%
FTrt
30.0
29.4
MIA 35.9
MIL 49.4 +13.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
58.2%
MIA 82.5% +21.4%
MIL 61.1%
STL %
7.9%
7.2%
MIA 5.7%
MIL 9.4% +3.7%
BLK %
7.1%
7.2%
MIA 8.1% +0.6%
MIL 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
50.9%
MIA 60.2% +8.7%
MIL 51.5%
Rim FG%
59.2%
54.3%
MIA 61.1% +2.5%
MIL 58.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
41.4%
MIA 42.9% +9.6%
MIL 33.3%
3P %
35.8%
34.4%
MIA 56.0% +17.9%
MIL 38.1%
FT %
72.7%
73.3%
MIA 64.3% +0.9%
MIL 63.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
37.4%
MIA 23.1%
MIL 34.9% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
43.2%
MIA 44.9%
MIL 39.8% +5.1%
3P Att. %
21.7%
19.5%
MIA 32.1% +6.8%
MIL 25.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAMIL
Possessions8785
Possession Minutes27.120.9
Points112106
Rebounds4445
Assists3322
Steals58
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)12 (1)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (5)19 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)26 (0)
Field Goals40-7836-83
At-the-Rim FG11-1817-29
Midrange FG15-3511-33
2-Point FG26-5328-62
3-Point FG14-258-21
Free Throws18-2826-41
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
38.5
14
64%
4
10
0
0
2
6
0
4
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
37.3
21
58%
3
10
0
0
2
4
0
3
6-7
86%
0-6
0%
5-9
56%
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
28.4
12
75%
1
0
1
0
1
4
0
1
0-2
0%
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 228 · 30
28.2
8
44%
12
3
1
2
5
1
6
6
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
20.6
6
38%
6
2
1
1
0
3
0
6
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F-C · 7'0" 250 · 27
27.2
16
47%
5
4
1
0
1
3
1
4
3-4
75%
5-14
36%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
20.6
17
121%
1
4
0
0
0
1
0
1
2-2
100%
3-3
100%
3-3
100%
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
20.0
9
64%
10
0
1
2
1
1
4
6
3-8
38%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
19.3
9
75%
2
0
0
0
0
5
1
1
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
112
60%
44
33
5
5
12
0
13
31
18-28
64%
26-53
49%
14-25
56%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.