for complete access.
All Games Wednesday, March 19, 2008
FinalWin Prob.pScore
30
Heat
15%88
54
14
Raptors
85%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
64.38479.7
TOR logo TOR
114.38488.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR54
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIABarron Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Barron Free Throw 1 of 253
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIABarron REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIABaston BLOCK (1 BLK)53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAHeat Rebound53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Quinn 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:01TORHumphries 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)53
0%
96
100%
Q4 - 1:20TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:21MIAMISS Cook Running Layup53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:26MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:28TORMISS Ford Driving Finger Roll Layup53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:34TORBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:35MIAMISS Barron 17' Jump Shot53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:40MIACook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:41MIAMISS Cook 8' Running Jump Shot53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 1:59MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:01TORMISS Ford Driving Finger Roll Layup53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:19MIAJones Traveling Turnover (P3.T13)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:30MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:32TORMISS Humphries Alley Oop Dunk53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:38TORBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:44MIABarron REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 2:45MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 3:03MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 3:05TORMISS Humphries Alley Oop Layup53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 3:19MIAAnthony Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 3:40TORKapono Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 3:55TORKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 3:56MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 4:18TORGraham Layup (9 PTS) (Ford 6 AST)53
0%
94
100%
Q4 - 4:26TORFord REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)53
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 4:27MIAMISS Cook 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 4:37MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 4:38TORMISS Humphries 19' Jump Shot53
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 4:48MIABlount 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cook 2 AST)53
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 5:11TORHumphries 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 5 AST)51
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 5:22MIACook 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barron 1 AST)51
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:50TORFord 17' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
0%
90
100%
Q4 - 5:58TORHumphries REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 5:59MIAMISS Cook 18' Jump Shot49
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16TORBaston Foul Turnover (P1.T9)49
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:27MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)49
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:44TORGraham 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Baston 1 AST)47
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 7:05TORBaston REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:21MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:23TORMISS Kapono 7' Running Jump Shot47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:33MIAHumphries STEAL (1 STL)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36MIAHeat Rebound47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36MIANesterovic BLOCK (3 BLK)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:51MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:52TORMISS Graham 21' Jump Shot47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:15MIAJones Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T10)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:35TORMISS Nesterovic 18' Jump Shot47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:53TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 8:54MIAMISS Davis 9' Pullup Jump Shot47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 9:17TORGraham 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)47
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 9:27TORGraham REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54TORKapono 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 4 AST)47
0.1%
83
99.9%
Q4 - 10:02TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:04MIAMISS Barron 8' Running Bank Shot47
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:27TORGraham 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Ford 3 AST)47
0.1%
80
99.9%
Q4 - 10:50TORRAPTORS Rebound47
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 10:51MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 10:59MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 11:00TORMISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot47
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 11:17MIAQuinn Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)47
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 11:21MIAHeat Rebound45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 11:22MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 11:41MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q4 - 11:42TORMISS Kapono 20' Jump Shot45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:24.0TORFord Driving Layup (6 PTS)43
0.1%
78
99.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0MIAFord STEAL (1 STL)43
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 0:53.0TORBosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)43
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:03MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)43
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:03MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)42
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Cook 21' Jump Shot41
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)41
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:20TORMISS Kapono Free Throw 2 of 241
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:20TORKapono Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
0.1%
76
99.9%
Q3 - 1:40TORMoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)41
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 1:41MIAMISS Cook 19' Jump Shot41
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 2:01TORParker Driving Dunk (14 PTS) (Calderon 10 AST)41
0.1%
75
99.9%
Q3 - 2:05MIACalderon STEAL (4 STL)41
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 2:29TORCalderon 18' Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Nesterovic 4 AST)41
0.1%
73
99.9%
Q3 - 2:44TORMoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)41
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Anthony 9' Floating Jump Shot41
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 2:55MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 2:56TORMISS Nesterovic 9' Hook Shot41
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 3:13TORMoon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)41
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 3:14TORMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 3:36MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 3:36MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 3:40TORParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 3:56TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 3:58MIANesterovic BLOCK (2 BLK)39
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 4:10MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Quinn 17' Jump Shot39
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 4:25TORMoon Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)39
0.1%
71
99.9%
Q3 - 4:25TORMISS Moon Free Throw 1 of 239
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 4:40TORRAPTORS Rebound39
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 4:41TORMISS Moon Alley Oop Layup39
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 4:55MIAJones Layup (2 PTS)39
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 4:58MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot37
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 5:28TORParker 16' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Calderon 9 AST)37
0.1%
70
99.9%
Q3 - 5:50MIACook 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)37
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 6:03MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)34
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 6:04TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot34
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 6:19MIAQuinn Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 6:19MIAQuinn Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 6:32TORMoon Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)32
0.1%
68
99.9%
Q3 - 6:37TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 6:39MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup32
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 6:57TORMISS Calderon Free Throw 2 of 232
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 6:57TORCalderon Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)32
0.1%
66
99.9%
Q3 - 7:13TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)32
0.1%
65
99.9%
Q3 - 7:14MIAMISS Davis 19' Pullup Jump Shot32
0.1%
65
99.9%
Q3 - 7:30TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)32
0.1%
65
99.9%
Q3 - 7:30TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)32
0.1%
64
99.9%
Q3 - 7:54MIADavis Driving Layup (12 PTS)32
0.2%
63
99.8%
Q3 - 8:06MIACook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:07TORMISS Bosh 8' Driving Bank Hook Shot30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:20TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:21MIAMISS Barron 23' Jump Shot30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:36MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:37TORMISS Bosh 22' Jump Shot30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:47TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 8:48MIAMISS Davis 20' Turnaround Jump Shot30
0.1%
63
99.9%
Q3 - 9:14TORCalderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)30
0.2%
63
99.8%
Q3 - 9:32TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)30
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 9:33MIAMISS Cook 22' Jump Shot30
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 9:46MIABlount REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 9:46TORMISS Bargnani 24' 3PT Jump Shot30
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 10:13MIAQuinn 16' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)30
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 10:17MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)28
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 10:18MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 10:42TORBargnani 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)28
0.2%
61
99.8%
Q3 - 11:01TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)28
0.3%
58
99.7%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Blount 13' Fadeaway Jumper28
0.3%
58
99.7%
Q3 - 11:18MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)28
0.3%
58
99.7%
Q3 - 11:20TORMISS Bosh 13' Turnaround Jump Shot28
0.3%
58
99.7%
Q3 - 11:36MIABlount 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cook 1 AST)28
0.3%
58
99.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR26
0.2%
58
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORRAPTORS Rebound26
0.2%
58
99.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORMISS Moon 23' Jump Shot26
0.2%
58
99.8%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIACalderon STEAL (3 STL)26
0.2%
58
99.8%
Q2 - 0:27.0TORNesterovic 10' Driving Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)26
0.3%
58
99.7%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIACook 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Quinn 3 AST)26
0.3%
56
99.7%
Q2 - 1:04TORBargnani 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)23
0.3%
56
99.7%
Q2 - 1:22MIABlount 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Quinn 2 AST)23
0.3%
54
99.7%
Q2 - 1:42TORParker Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)20
0.2%
54
99.8%
Q2 - 1:47MIACalderon STEAL (2 STL)20
0.3%
52
99.7%
Q2 - 1:53TORCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)20
0.3%
52
99.7%
Q2 - 2:07MIAParker STEAL (1 STL)20
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 2:21MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
0.5%
49
99.5%
Q2 - 2:22TORMISS Parker 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
0.5%
49
99.5%
Q2 - 2:28TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 2:30MIANesterovic BLOCK (1 BLK)20
0.4%
49
99.6%
Q2 - 2:53TORNesterovic 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)20
0.5%
49
99.5%
Q2 - 3:06TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)20
0.6%
47
99.4%
Q2 - 3:07MIAMISS Blount 17' Jump Shot20
0.6%
47
99.4%
Q2 - 3:31TORMoon Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)20
0.7%
47
99.3%
Q2 - 3:37MIANesterovic STEAL (1 STL)20
0.8%
45
99.2%
Q2 - 3:44TORCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)20
0.9%
45
99.1%
Q2 - 3:59TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
0.8%
45
99.2%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Cook 18' Pullup Jump Shot20
0.8%
45
99.2%
Q2 - 4:07TORNesterovic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)20
0.9%
45
99.1%
Q2 - 4:10TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
0.8%
45
99.2%
Q2 - 4:11TORMISS Bargnani 19' Jump Shot20
0.9%
45
99.1%
Q2 - 4:27TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)20
0.8%
45
99.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Davis 8' Running Jump Shot20
0.9%
45
99.1%
Q2 - 4:50TORParker 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)20
0.9%
45
99.1%
Q2 - 5:06TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)20
1.1%
43
98.9%
Q2 - 5:07MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot20
1.1%
43
98.9%
Q2 - 5:26TORNesterovic Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 3 AST)20
1.2%
43
98.8%
Q2 - 5:47TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
1.4%
41
98.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Blount 18' Jump Shot20
1.4%
41
98.6%
Q2 - 6:10TORFord Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)20
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q2 - 6:24TORDelfino REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
1.4%
41
98.6%
Q2 - 6:25MIAMISS Barron 21' Jump Shot20
1.5%
41
98.5%
Q2 - 6:45TORFord 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kapono 1 AST)20
1.6%
41
98.4%
Q2 - 6:48TORKapono REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
2.0%
38
98.0%
Q2 - 6:50TORMISS Delfino Driving Dunk20
2.2%
38
97.8%
Q2 - 7:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)20
2.2%
38
97.8%
Q2 - 7:04MIAMISS Barron 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot20
2.2%
38
97.8%
Q2 - 7:12MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
2.4%
38
97.6%
Q2 - 7:15TORMISS Bosh Slam Dunk20
2.3%
38
97.7%
Q2 - 7:30TORRAPTORS Rebound20
2.1%
38
97.9%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Cook Driving Layup20
2.2%
38
97.8%
Q2 - 7:46TORDelfino Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
2.4%
38
97.6%
Q2 - 7:46TORDelfino Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
2.4%
37
97.6%
Q2 - 8:04TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)20
2.7%
36
97.3%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Cook 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
2.8%
36
97.2%
Q2 - 8:24TORRAPTORS Turnover: Backcourt (T#3)20
3.0%
36
97.0%
Q2 - 8:37MIAQuinn 22' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)20
2.7%
36
97.3%
Q2 - 8:50TORFord Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)18
2.5%
36
97.5%
Q2 - 8:50TORMISS Ford Free Throw 1 of 218
2.5%
35
97.5%
Q2 - 9:00TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
2.4%
35
97.6%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Quinn 13' Floating Jump Shot18
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 9:20MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
2.8%
35
97.2%
Q2 - 9:21TORMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
2.7%
35
97.3%
Q2 - 9:30TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
2.5%
35
97.5%
Q2 - 9:31MIAMISS Blount 8' Driving Hook Shot18
2.6%
35
97.4%
Q2 - 9:52TORNesterovic 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ford 2 AST)18
2.8%
35
97.2%
Q2 - 10:10TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
3.1%
33
96.9%
Q2 - 10:11MIAMISS Cook 3PT Jump Shot18
3.2%
33
96.8%
Q2 - 10:42TORKapono Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Delfino 1 AST)18
3.5%
33
96.5%
Q2 - 11:05MIAQuinn Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)18
3.8%
31
96.2%
Q2 - 11:10TORDelfino Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q2 - 11:14MIADelfino STEAL (1 STL)16
3.2%
31
96.8%
Q2 - 11:30TORBosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)16
3.5%
31
96.5%
Q2 - 11:30TORBosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)16
3.5%
30
96.5%
Q2 - 11:36TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
3.8%
29
96.2%
Q2 - 11:38MIAMISS Blount 10' Turnaround Bank Shot16
3.9%
29
96.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR16
4.2%
29
95.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADavis 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Blount 1 AST)16
3.8%
29
96.2%
Q1 - 0:04.0TORNesterovic 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ford 1 AST)13
3.2%
29
96.8%
Q1 - 0:27.0TORNesterovic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
3.6%
27
96.4%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
3.6%
27
96.4%
Q1 - 0:55.0MIAHeat Rebound13
3.8%
27
96.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORMISS Kapono 19' Jump Shot13
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q1 - 1:03TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)13
3.6%
27
96.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAMISS Davis 16' Pullup Jump Shot13
3.7%
27
96.3%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
3.8%
27
96.2%
Q1 - 1:13TORMISS Parker 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot13
3.8%
27
96.2%
Q1 - 1:40MIABarron 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)13
3.6%
27
96.4%
Q1 - 1:57TORBargnani Running Layup (9 PTS) (Nesterovic 3 AST)11
3.2%
27
96.8%
Q1 - 2:09TORBargnani REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
3.6%
25
96.4%
Q1 - 2:10MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
3.7%
25
96.3%
Q1 - 2:31MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
3.9%
25
96.1%
Q1 - 2:31MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
3.7%
25
96.3%
Q1 - 2:58TORParker 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)11
3.9%
25
96.1%
Q1 - 3:05TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
4.8%
22
95.2%
Q1 - 3:07MIAMISS Barron 19' Jump Shot11
4.9%
22
95.1%
Q1 - 3:22TORNesterovic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)11
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 3:40TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
4.7%
22
95.3%
Q1 - 3:41MIAMISS Barron 20' Jump Shot11
4.9%
22
95.1%
Q1 - 3:59TORCalderon 19' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
5.2%
22
94.8%
Q1 - 4:13TORRAPTORS Rebound11
5.5%
20
94.5%
Q1 - 4:15TORMISS Bargnani Driving Reverse Layup11
6.0%
20
94.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIACalderon STEAL (1 STL)11
5.6%
20
94.4%
Q1 - 4:40TORNesterovic 8' Jump Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
6.1%
20
93.9%
Q1 - 5:06MIADavis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Quinn 1 AST)11
6.6%
18
93.4%
Q1 - 5:14MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
5.6%
18
94.4%
Q1 - 5:15TORMISS Nesterovic 17' Jump Shot8
5.5%
18
94.5%
Q1 - 5:26TORCalderon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
5.2%
18
94.8%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot8
5.3%
18
94.7%
Q1 - 5:41TORBargnani Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)8
5.6%
18
94.4%
Q1 - 5:56MIADavis 11' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
6.6%
15
93.4%
Q1 - 6:12TORMoon Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)6
6.2%
15
93.8%
Q1 - 6:13TORMoon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)6
6.6%
13
93.4%
Q1 - 6:14TORMISS Bargnani 15' Jump Shot6
7.0%
13
93.0%
Q1 - 6:30MIAQuinn Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
6.6%
13
93.4%
Q1 - 6:47TORBargnani Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Nesterovic 1 AST)6
7.2%
13
92.8%
Q1 - 7:02MIADavis Layup (2 PTS)6
7.7%
11
92.3%
Q1 - 7:18TORBosh 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)4
7.2%
11
92.8%
Q1 - 7:33TORParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
7.7%
9
92.3%
Q1 - 7:34MIAMISS Quinn 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
7.9%
9
92.1%
Q1 - 7:56TORBargnani Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
8.3%
9
91.7%
Q1 - 8:09TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)4
8.7%
7
91.3%
Q1 - 8:11MIABosh BLOCK (1 BLK)4
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 8:29MIABarron REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
9.4%
7
90.6%
Q1 - 8:30TORMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot4
9.2%
7
90.8%
Q1 - 8:42TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
8.7%
7
91.3%
Q1 - 8:43MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot4
8.9%
7
91.1%
Q1 - 9:06TORBosh 8' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)4
9.3%
7
90.7%
Q1 - 9:13TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
9.8%
5
90.2%
Q1 - 9:14MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot4
10.1%
5
89.9%
Q1 - 9:33MIAHeat Rebound4
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Blount 21' Jump Shot4
10.1%
5
89.9%
Q1 - 9:57TORParker 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Moon 1 AST)4
10.7%
5
89.3%
Q1 - 10:19MIABlount 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)4
12.0%
2
88.0%
Q1 - 10:36TORMoon Putback Slam Dunk (2 PTS)2
11.3%
2
88.7%
Q1 - 10:37TORMoon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
12.0%
0
88.0%
Q1 - 10:38TORMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
12.6%
0
87.4%
Q1 - 10:49MIAQuinn 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
12.0%
0
88.0%
Q1 - 11:08MIAQuinn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:09TORMISS Parker 21' Jump Shot0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 11:29TORBosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
10.5%
0
89.5%
Q1 - 11:30MIAMISS Davis 22' Jump Shot0
10.7%
0
89.3%
Q1 - 11:44MIADavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.2%
0
88.8%
Q1 - 11:45TORMISS Bosh Driving Reverse Layup0
11.0%
0
89.0%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Bosh vs. Blount: Tip to Calderon0
10.5%
0
89.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.65 32.5%
TOR
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
5
13
38%
TOR
13
22
59%
Midrange
MIA
10
42
24%
TOR
19
38
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
23
22%
33%
TOR
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
Free Throws
MIA
9
10
90%
TOR
11
15
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Quinn1444%7.0 / 16
R. Davis1250%6.0 / 12
M. Blount1142%5.5 / 13
D. Cook821%4.0 / 19
B. Jones630%3.0 / 10
E. Barron314%1.5 / 11
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Bargnani1464%7.0 / 11
A. Parker1470%7.0 / 10
R. Nesterovic1267%6.0 / 9
J. Calderon1083%5.0 / 6
J. Moon964%4.5 / 7
J. Graham990%4.5 / 5
C. Bosh833%4.0 / 12
T. Ford867%4.0 / 6
J. Kapono660%3.0 / 5
K. Humphries440%2.0 / 5
C. Delfino250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+12
-13
83
TOR
74
+8
-10
82
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.65 32.5%
TOR
1.14 57.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.2
109.7
MIA 64.3 +50.0
TOR 114.3
Pace
90.5
90.7
MIA 79.7
TOR 88.7 +9.0
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.9
MIA 18.1
TOR 16.2 +1.8
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
51.1%
MIA 28.8%
TOR 59.0% +30.2%
TO %
15.4%
12.3%
MIA 13.6%
TOR 12.3% +1.3%
ORB %
22.2%
23.5%
MIA 15.4%
TOR 16.1% +0.7%
FTrt
30.0
24.7
MIA 12.8
TOR 20.8 +8.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.5%
62.0%
MIA 60.0%
TOR 74.4% +14.4%
STL %
7.9%
7.6%
MIA 7.1%
TOR 10.7% +3.6%
BLK %
7.1%
6.9%
MIA 1.7%
TOR 9.1% +7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.16 and 2.16.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.6%
53.7%
MIA 32.5%
TOR 57.1% +24.6%
Rim FG%
59.2%
58.5%
MIA 38.5%
TOR 59.1% +20.6%
Mid FG%
38.8%
43.3%
MIA 23.8%
TOR 50.0% +26.2%
3P %
35.8%
39.2%
MIA 21.7%
TOR 58.3% +36.6%
FT %
72.7%
81.2%
MIA 90.0% +16.7%
TOR 73.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.2%
28.9%
MIA 16.7%
TOR 30.6% +13.9%
Mid Att. %
48.1%
49.4%
MIA 53.8%
TOR 52.8% +1.1%
3P Att. %
21.7%
21.7%
MIA 29.5% +12.8%
TOR 16.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8484
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points5496
Rebounds3449
Assists1229
Steals69
Blocks15
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)5 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)44 (2)
Field Goals20-7839-72
At-the-Rim FG5-1313-22
Midrange FG10-4219-38
2-Point FG15-5532-60
3-Point FG5-237-12
Free Throws9-1011-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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30 Miami Heat
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Chris Quinn
G · 6'2" 175 · 24
48.0
14
44%
5
3
0
0
5
3
1
4
4-4
100%
5-8
63%
0-6
0%
Ricky Davis
F · 6'7" 195 · 28
36.7
12
50%
5
3
1
0
3
1
0
5
0-0
-
3-10
30%
2-2
100%
Earl Barron
F · 7'0" 250 · 27
34.1
3
14%
8
1
1
0
1
1
2
6
1-2
50%
1-10
10%
0-0
-
Daequan Cook
G · 6'5" 210 · 21
30.6
8
21%
3
2
2
0
0
3
1
2
0-0
-
1-10
10%
2-9
22%
Mark Blount
C · 7'0" 250 · 32
28.1
11
42%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
4-12
33%
1-1
100%
Bobby Jones
F · 6'7" 215 · 24
35.0
6
30%
8
2
0
0
3
3
3
5
4-4
100%
1-3
33%
0-5
0%
Joel Anthony
C · 6'9" 245 · 26
27.5
0
0%
4
0
1
1
1
3
1
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
Jason Williams
G · 6'1" 180 · 32
Shawn Marion
G-F · 6'7" 228 · 30
Alexander Johnson
F · 6'9" 240 · 25
Udonis Haslem
F · 6'8" 235 · 28
Marcus Banks
G · 6'2" 205 · 26
Alonzo Mourning
#33 · C · 6'10" 261 · 38
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dorell Wright
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 205 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Dwyane Wade
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
54
33%
34
12
6
1
13
0
8
26
9-10
90%
15-55
27%
5-23
22%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.