Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, February 3, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Heat | 42% | 88 | 94 |
 | 24 | Knicks | 58% | 90 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Magic | 58% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 3 | Timberwolves | 57% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 53% | 95 | 97 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Lakers | 48% | 105 | 101 |
 | 4 | Mavericks | 52% | 106 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 10 | Celtics | 71% | 100 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Bulls | 16% | 86 | 96 |
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Saturday, February 2, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Raptors | 34% | 90 | 91 |
| 7 | Nets | 66% | 96 | 98 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 43% | 94 | 96 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Bucks | 63% | 96 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 66% | 101 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Pistons | 47% | 95 | 115 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 19% | 88 | 97 |
| 13 | SuperSonics | 81% | 99 | 91 | |
Friday, February 1, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Hawks | 32% | 93 | 90 |
| 23 | Wizards | 68% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Knicks | 33% | 92 | 87 |
| 18 | Pacers | 67% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 51% | 99 | 98 |
| 12 | Celtics | 49% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Spurs | 55% | 89 | 83 |
| 25 | Heat | 45% | 87 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 42% | 98 | 85 |
| 11 | Pistons | 58% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 81% | 102 | 100 |
| 27 | Grizzlies | 19% | 92 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 39% | 95 | 73 | |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 28% | 96 | 98 |
| 15 | Suns | 72% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 2 | Kings | 85% | 106 | 132 |
Thursday, January 31, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 39% | 92 | 92 |
| 14 | Raptors | 61% | 96 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 45% | 94 | 93 |
| 22 | Cavaliers | 55% | 96 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Bucks | 41% | 95 | 100 |
| 11 | Nets | 59% | 98 | 125 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Clippers | 29% | 93 | 91 |
| 7 | Spurs | 71% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 23% | 99 | 91 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 77% | 108 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Suns | 32% | 95 | 97 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 68% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 56% | 103 | 99 |
| 12 | SuperSonics | 44% | 101 | 95 | |
Wednesday, January 30, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 46% | 92 | 91 |
| 13 | 76ers | 54% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 21% | 91 | 82 |
| 16 | Pacers | 79% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 16% | 90 | 71 |
| 9 | Pistons | 84% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Lakers | 41% | 101 | 111 |
| 5 | Magic | 59% | 104 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bulls | 14% | 84 | 78 |
| 10 | Jazz | 86% | 98 | 90 |
Tuesday, January 29, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pistons | 52% | 95 | 89 |
| 22 | Wizards | 48% | 94 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Timberwolves | 68% | 101 | 81 |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 32% | 96 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 52% | 91 | 71 |
| 21 | Knicks | 48% | 90 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 79% | 104 | 127 |
| 27 | Hawks | 21% | 94 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Celtics | 35% | 97 | 90 |
| 7 | Bucks | 65% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 18% | 98 | 117 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 82% | 109 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Warriors | 30% | 95 | 96 |
| 18 | Rockets | 70% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 20% | 91 | 78 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 80% | 102 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 33% | 87 | 100 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 67% | 93 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 17% | 88 | 90 |
| 14 | Suns | 83% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 37% | 95 | 92 |
| 8 | SuperSonics | 63% | 99 | 86 | |
Monday, January 28, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Clippers | 61% | 97 | 115 |
| 29 | Grizzlies | 39% | 94 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 31% | 85 | 89 |
| 14 | Jazz | 69% | 91 | 101 |
Sunday, January 27, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Magic | 45% | 97 | 97 |
| 16 | Raptors | 55% | 98 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Lakers | 58% | 94 | 87 |
| 15 | 76ers | 42% | 92 | 93 |
Saturday, January 26, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Nets | 59% | 90 | 77 | |
| 23 | Heat | 41% | 87 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 129 |
| 6 | Bucks | 77% | 102 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Kings | 57% | 100 | 114 |
| 14 | Jazz | 43% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 45% | 97 | 111 |
| 20 | Hornets | 55% | 99 | 104 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 52% | 97 | 102 |
| 21 | Wizards | 48% | 96 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 52% | 97 | 108 |
| 25 | Cavaliers | 48% | 96 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | SuperSonics | 47% | 98 | 95 | |
| 17 | Pacers | 53% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hawks | 11% | 92 | 80 |
| 3 | Timberwolves | 89% | 107 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 37% | 88 | 92 |
| 28 | Bulls | 63% | 92 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 54% | 102 | 133 |
| 18 | Clippers | 46% | 101 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 60% | 99 | 90 |
| 26 | Warriors | 40% | 96 | 82 |
Friday, January 25, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Timberwolves | 56% | 98 | 100 |
| 16 | Raptors | 44% | 96 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 32% | 96 | 81 | |
| 17 | Pacers | 68% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | 76ers | 36% | 88 | 106 |
| 9 | Celtics | 64% | 93 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pistons | 61% | 98 | 107 |
| 27 | Hawks | 39% | 95 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 30% | 95 | 91 |
| 1 | Lakers | 70% | 102 | 94 |
Thursday, January 24, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Cavaliers | 32% | 92 | 85 |
| 20 | Wizards | 68% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 61% | 98 | 91 |
| 24 | Knicks | 39% | 94 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Heat | 25% | 90 | 87 |
| 11 | Magic | 75% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | SuperSonics | 28% | 97 | 99 | |
| 6 | Bucks | 72% | 104 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Nets | 56% | 96 | 103 | |
| 19 | Rockets | 44% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 63% | 105 | 104 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 37% | 101 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Jazz | 20% | 95 | 80 |
| 2 | Kings | 80% | 105 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 13% | 88 | 82 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 87% | 102 | 120 |
Wednesday, January 23, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Pacers | 30% | 93 | 94 |
| 10 | Celtics | 70% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | SuperSonics | 52% | 100 | 101 | |
| 21 | Hornets | 48% | 99 | 111 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Timberwolves | 57% | 100 | 83 |
| 16 | Pistons | 43% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 27% | 87 | 96 |
| 15 | Raptors | 73% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Spurs | 37% | 93 | 98 |
| 7 | Jazz | 63% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 56% | 100 | 90 |
| 17 | Clippers | 44% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Grizzlies | 34% | 93 | 95 |
| 26 | Warriors | 66% | 98 | 107 |
Tuesday, January 22, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | 76ers | 46% | 88 | 91 |
| 20 | Wizards | 54% | 90 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hawks | 16% | 96 | 86 |
| 8 | Magic | 84% | 108 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bulls | 26% | 81 | 79 |
| 24 | Heat | 74% | 89 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 38% | 99 | 92 |
| 6 | Bucks | 62% | 103 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 53% | 101 | 113 |
| 19 | Rockets | 47% | 100 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 28% | 91 | 92 | |
| 5 | Spurs | 72% | 98 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Nuggets | 8% | 91 | 107 |
| 2 | Lakers | 92% | 108 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Kings | 49% | 100 | 110 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 101 | 116 |
Monday, January 21, 2002
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 37% | 94 | 111 | |
| 20 | Knicks | 63% | 98 | 68 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | SuperSonics | 37% | 90 | 109 | |
| 13 | 76ers | 63% | 94 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Rockets | 44% | 97 | 91 |
| 22 | Hawks | 56% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bucks | 44% | 98 | 97 |
| 14 | Pistons | 56% | 99 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Nets | 37% | 98 | 105 | |
| 5 | Mavericks | 63% | 102 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 62% | 95 | 93 |
| 29 | Bulls | 38% | 92 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Jazz | 62% | 99 | 101 |
| 27 | Warriors | 38% | 95 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 15% | 90 | 101 |
| 2 | Timberwolves | 85% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Heat | 46% | 89 | 95 |
| 26 | Cavaliers | 54% | 90 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Raptors | 35% | 90 | 97 |
| 9 | Celtics | 65% | 94 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Grizzlies | 8% | 90 | 98 |
| 1 | Kings | 92% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Nuggets | 32% | 93 | 89 |
| 18 | Clippers | 68% | 99 | 102 |