FinalWin Prob.pScore
2926%81
79
2474%89
92
ORTG#PossPace
CHI logo CHI
83.29590.2
MIA logo MIA
101.19196.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBullsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHIMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA79
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
0%
92
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
0%
91
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:13.0CHIMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)79
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)79
0.1%
89
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)79
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0CHIMISS Hoiberg 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)79
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)79
0.1%
87
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0CHIRobinson Out Of Bounds Turnover (P3.T19)79
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)79
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q4 - 0:38.0CHIWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)79
1.0%
84
99.0%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T21)76
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIRobinson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:52.0CHIMISS Robinson Free Throw 1 of 275
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)75
0.3%
84
99.7%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
0.3%
83
99.7%
Q4 - 0:57.0CHIWorld Peace Driving Layup (21 PTS)75
0.5%
82
99.5%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)73
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 1:02MIAMourning Dunk (16 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)73
0.6%
81
99.4%
Q4 - 1:15CHIJones STEAL (2 STL)73
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q4 - 1:36MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)73
3.0%
79
97.0%
Q4 - 1:58CHIFizer 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ollie 2 AST)73
8.1%
76
91.9%
Q4 - 2:08MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T20)71
6.0%
76
94.0%
Q4 - 2:22CHIWorld Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS)71
3.2%
76
96.8%
Q4 - 2:45CHIBulls Rebound68
1.6%
76
98.4%
Q4 - 2:46CHIMISS Miller Reverse Layup68
1.0%
76
99.0%
Q4 - 2:57CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 2:58CHIMISS Ollie 18' Jump Shot68
1.4%
76
98.6%
Q4 - 3:19MIAStrickland 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS)68
2.0%
76
98.0%
Q4 - 3:38MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)68
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q4 - 3:40CHIMISS Fizer Driving Layup68
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q4 - 3:50CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q4 - 3:52MIAMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot68
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q4 - 4:04MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)68
3.9%
74
96.1%
Q4 - 4:06CHIMISS Fizer 19' Jump Shot68
4.4%
74
95.6%
Q4 - 4:27MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)68
5.6%
74
94.4%
Q4 - 4:27MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
7.8%
72
92.2%
Q4 - 4:47CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 268
8.2%
72
91.8%
Q4 - 4:47CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 268
10.1%
72
89.9%
Q4 - 5:03MIAJackson Reverse Layup (8 PTS)68
12.2%
72
87.8%
Q4 - 5:27CHIHoiberg 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 4 AST)68
16.0%
70
84.0%
Q4 - 5:36CHIWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)65
9.0%
70
91.0%
Q4 - 5:38MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
8.2%
70
91.8%
Q4 - 5:57MIAHEAT Rebound65
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q4 - 5:59CHIMISS Hassell Driving Layup65
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 6:13MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T19)65
9.9%
70
90.1%
Q4 - 6:30MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q4 - 6:32CHIMISS Miller Driving Layup65
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q4 - 6:52MIAStrickland 10' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)65
9.8%
70
90.2%
Q4 - 7:21MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
13.2%
68
86.8%
Q4 - 7:23CHIMISS Miller 5' Jump Shot65
14.4%
68
85.6%
Q4 - 7:43MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T18)65
17.2%
68
82.8%
Q4 - 8:05CHIHassell 11' Jump Shot (5 PTS)65
14.2%
68
85.8%
Q4 - 8:11CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q4 - 8:17MIAMISS Jones Driving Layup63
10.6%
68
89.4%
Q4 - 8:25MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)63
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q4 - 8:27CHIMISS Hoiberg 19' Jump Shot63
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q4 - 8:40CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
11.4%
68
88.6%
Q4 - 8:42MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
10.6%
68
89.4%
Q4 - 8:54MIAHEAT Rebound63
9.0%
68
91.0%
Q4 - 8:56CHIMISS Hoiberg 21' Jump Shot63
9.7%
68
90.3%
Q4 - 9:10CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
11.9%
68
88.1%
Q4 - 9:12MIAMISS Stepania 6' Jump Shot63
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q4 - 9:15MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q4 - 9:17MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot63
11.1%
68
88.9%
Q4 - 9:31MIAHEAT Rebound63
9.5%
68
90.5%
Q4 - 9:31CHIMISS Hassell 25' 3PT Jump Shot63
10.1%
68
89.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAEllis 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (James 4 AST)63
11.8%
68
88.2%
Q4 - 10:15MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)63
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q4 - 10:16CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 263
15.3%
66
84.7%
Q4 - 10:16CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)63
17.2%
66
82.8%
Q4 - 10:28CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
15.1%
66
84.9%
Q4 - 10:30MIAMISS Stepania 15' Jump Shot62
14.2%
66
85.8%
Q4 - 10:45CHICurry Foul Turnover (P3.T17)62
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q4 - 11:06CHIHassell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
15.7%
66
84.3%
Q4 - 11:08MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot62
14.8%
66
85.2%
Q4 - 11:23CHIJackson STEAL (3 STL)62
12.9%
66
87.1%
Q4 - 11:47MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (James 3 AST)62
15.6%
66
84.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound62
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS James 61' 3PT Jump Shot62
24.9%
63
75.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0CHIHassell 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)62
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 0:05.0CHIHoiberg REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot59
15.0%
63
85.0%
Q3 - 0:26.0CHIRobinson Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Hoiberg 1 AST)59
13.3%
63
86.7%
Q3 - 0:39.0MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)57
11.1%
63
88.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)57
9.2%
63
90.8%
Q3 - 1:00CHIMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot57
9.7%
63
90.3%
Q3 - 1:21MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)57
11.4%
63
88.6%
Q3 - 1:44CHIOllie 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)57
13.5%
61
86.5%
Q3 - 2:13MIAStrickland Driving Layup (10 PTS)55
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q3 - 2:20CHIStepania STEAL (1 STL)55
13.5%
59
86.5%
Q3 - 2:33CHIBulls Rebound55
16.1%
59
83.9%
Q3 - 2:34MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 255
15.7%
59
84.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)55
14.5%
59
85.5%
Q3 - 2:34MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
15.8%
58
84.2%
Q3 - 2:36MIAMISS Gill 10' Jump Shot55
17.8%
58
82.2%
Q3 - 2:56CHIMiller 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
15.8%
58
84.2%
Q3 - 3:19MIAJackson 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)53
14.0%
58
86.0%
Q3 - 3:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 3:26CHIMISS World Peace 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
17.0%
56
83.0%
Q3 - 3:34CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
18.9%
56
81.1%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Strickland 5' Running Jump Shot53
18.1%
56
81.9%
Q3 - 3:48CHIWorld Peace Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)53
16.2%
56
83.8%
Q3 - 4:07MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)53
18.8%
56
81.2%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 253
19.8%
55
80.2%
Q3 - 4:20CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 153
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q3 - 4:20CHIWorld Peace Layup (15 PTS)53
18.5%
55
81.5%
Q3 - 4:41CHIOllie REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
16.4%
55
83.6%
Q3 - 4:43MIAMISS Stepania 7' Hook Shot51
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 4:59MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q3 - 5:01CHIMISS Robinson 13' Jump Shot51
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q3 - 5:19MIAStrickland 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)51
16.5%
55
83.5%
Q3 - 5:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
18.7%
53
81.3%
Q3 - 5:32CHIMISS Miller 16' Jump Shot51
19.5%
53
80.5%
Q3 - 5:53MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P4.T16)51
21.6%
53
78.4%
Q3 - 6:06MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
18.6%
53
81.4%
Q3 - 6:08CHIMISS Ollie Driving Layup51
19.4%
53
80.6%
Q3 - 6:28CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
21.4%
53
78.6%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 251
21.0%
53
79.0%
Q3 - 6:30MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 6:49CHIRobinson 21' Jump Shot (6 PTS)51
21.2%
52
78.8%
Q3 - 6:56CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q3 - 6:58MIAMISS Jones 14' Jump Shot49
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q3 - 7:14CHIMourning STEAL (3 STL)49
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q3 - 7:40MIAJump Ball Gill vs. Ollie: Tip to Miller49
18.8%
52
81.2%
Q3 - 7:40MIAMISS Gill 18' Jump Shot49
18.0%
52
82.0%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMourning Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (14 PTS)49
16.3%
52
83.7%
Q3 - 7:49MIAMourning Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (13 PTS)49
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q3 - 7:57MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
21.0%
50
79.0%
Q3 - 7:59CHIMISS Oakley 18' Jump Shot49
21.9%
50
78.1%
Q3 - 8:20MIAGill Layup (6 PTS)49
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q3 - 8:34MIAHEAT Rebound49
26.4%
48
73.6%
Q3 - 8:35CHIMISS World Peace 17' Jump Shot49
27.4%
48
72.6%
Q3 - 9:03MIAMourning 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)49
28.8%
48
71.2%
Q3 - 9:16CHIOllie 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)49
31.8%
46
68.2%
Q3 - 9:37MIAStrickland 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)47
28.9%
46
71.1%
Q3 - 10:06CHIMiller Dunk (17 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)47
30.8%
44
69.2%
Q3 - 10:11MIAGrant Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T15)45
28.2%
44
71.8%
Q3 - 10:17MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
25.1%
44
74.9%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
27.3%
44
72.7%
Q3 - 10:37CHIBulls Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)45
25.2%
44
74.8%
Q3 - 10:44CHIBulls Rebound45
28.3%
44
71.7%
Q3 - 10:45CHIMourning BLOCK (1 BLK)45
26.1%
44
73.9%
Q3 - 11:01CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
27.4%
44
72.6%
Q3 - 11:03MIAMISS Mourning 15' Jump Shot45
26.6%
44
73.4%
Q3 - 11:24CHIOakley 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)45
24.7%
44
75.3%
Q3 - 11:39MIAMourning Dunk (10 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)43
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q3 - 11:53CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
24.7%
42
75.3%
Q3 - 11:53CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
24.1%
42
75.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHIMiller 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ollie 1 AST)41
19.9%
42
80.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAGrant Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)38
15.9%
42
84.1%
Q2 - 0:18.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
18.3%
40
81.7%
Q2 - 0:20.0CHIMISS Robinson 15' Jump Shot38
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 0:36.0CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)38
19.8%
40
80.2%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Jones Finger Roll38
19.3%
40
80.7%
Q2 - 1:06CHIMiller 12' Jump Shot (12 PTS)38
18.7%
40
81.3%
Q2 - 1:30MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)36
15.9%
40
84.1%
Q2 - 1:40MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
18.6%
38
81.4%
Q2 - 1:42CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 236
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 1:42CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)36
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 1:42CHIWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 1:43CHIMISS Ollie Driving Layup35
17.1%
38
82.9%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMourning Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)35
17.7%
38
82.3%
Q2 - 1:57CHIJackson STEAL (2 STL)35
16.8%
38
83.2%
Q2 - 2:15MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
18.1%
38
81.9%
Q2 - 2:34CHIMourning STEAL (2 STL)35
20.2%
36
79.8%
Q2 - 2:41CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 2:42MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup35
21.5%
36
78.5%
Q2 - 2:47CHIGill STEAL (1 STL)35
20.3%
36
79.7%
Q2 - 2:58MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 3:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
23.9%
34
76.1%
Q2 - 3:18CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 2 of 235
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 3:18CHIWorld Peace Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
25.6%
34
74.4%
Q2 - 3:27MIAMourning Foul Turnover (P2.T13)34
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 3:47CHIMourning STEAL (1 STL)34
21.8%
34
78.2%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMourning 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
24.2%
34
75.8%
Q2 - 4:08MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 4:10CHIMISS Oakley 18' Jump Shot34
26.4%
32
73.6%
Q2 - 4:32CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
28.0%
32
72.0%
Q2 - 4:34MIAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot34
27.3%
32
72.7%
Q2 - 4:59MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)34
25.8%
32
74.2%
Q2 - 5:00CHIMISS Hassell 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
26.5%
32
73.5%
Q2 - 5:16CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
27.8%
32
72.2%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Jones 18' Jump Shot34
27.0%
32
73.0%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)34
25.4%
32
74.6%
Q2 - 5:36MIAMISS Grant 19' Jump Shot34
27.0%
32
73.0%
Q2 - 5:50CHIFizer 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
25.4%
32
74.6%
Q2 - 6:16MIAMourning Driving Layup (6 PTS)32
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 6:29MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
25.0%
30
75.0%
Q2 - 6:30CHIMISS Robinson 19' Jump Shot32
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 6:51MIAJones 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)32
27.6%
30
72.4%
Q2 - 7:20CHIFizer Driving Layup (2 PTS)32
29.1%
28
70.9%
Q2 - 7:37MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)30
27.1%
28
72.9%
Q2 - 7:52CHIJones STEAL (1 STL)30
31.3%
25
68.7%
Q2 - 7:55MIAJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)30
33.8%
25
66.2%
Q2 - 8:01CHIJackson STEAL (1 STL)30
30.9%
25
69.1%
Q2 - 8:16MIAEllis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 2 AST)30
33.5%
25
66.5%
Q2 - 8:41CHIRobinson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Fizer 2 AST)30
37.9%
22
62.1%
Q2 - 9:06CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)28
35.0%
22
65.0%
Q2 - 9:08MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot28
34.3%
22
65.7%
Q2 - 9:28CHIRobinson Dunk (2 PTS) (Mercer 1 AST)28
32.6%
22
67.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)26
30.6%
22
69.4%
Q2 - 9:40CHIJames STEAL (2 STL)26
28.3%
22
71.7%
Q2 - 9:56MIAJackson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
30.7%
22
69.3%
Q2 - 10:08CHICurry Dunk (2 PTS)26
32.5%
20
67.5%
Q2 - 10:09CHICurry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)24
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q2 - 10:11CHIMISS Mercer Driving Layup24
29.0%
20
71.0%
Q2 - 10:21CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)24
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Jones 16' Jump Shot24
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q2 - 10:43MIAHEAT Rebound24
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q2 - 10:43CHIMISS Robinson 18' Jump Shot24
28.9%
20
71.1%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)24
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q2 - 10:57MIAHEAT Rebound24
28.2%
20
71.8%
Q2 - 10:58MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot24
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q2 - 11:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q2 - 11:20CHIMISS Fizer 17' Jump Shot24
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q2 - 11:26MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)24
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q2 - 11:29CHIJames STEAL (1 STL)24
27.7%
20
72.3%
Q2 - 11:31CHIFizer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q2 - 11:33CHIStepania BLOCK (1 BLK)24
28.3%
20
71.7%
Q2 - 11:34CHICurry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
29.7%
20
70.3%
Q2 - 11:38CHIMISS Curry 5' Hook Shot24
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHI24
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIBulls Rebound24
29.8%
20
70.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHIMISS Mercer 10' Running Jump Shot24
28.4%
20
71.6%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
29.1%
20
70.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)24
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot24
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 0:29.0CHIMISS Mercer 18' Jump Shot24
32.1%
18
67.9%
Q1 - 0:38.0CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
33.2%
18
66.8%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 7' Running Jump Shot24
32.7%
18
67.3%
Q1 - 0:54.0CHICurry Foul Turnover (P1.T3)24
31.6%
18
68.4%
Q1 - 1:12MIAEllis Dunk (2 PTS) (James 1 AST)24
33.1%
18
66.9%
Q1 - 1:20MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 1:21CHIMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot24
36.2%
16
63.8%
Q1 - 1:36MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P1.T8)24
37.4%
16
62.6%
Q1 - 1:55CHIWorld Peace Layup (9 PTS)24
35.7%
16
64.3%
Q1 - 1:59MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)22
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 2:08CHIMiller Layup (10 PTS) (Fizer 1 AST)22
31.2%
16
68.8%
Q1 - 2:28MIAGill Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)20
29.1%
16
70.9%
Q1 - 2:35MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
31.2%
14
68.8%
Q1 - 2:36CHIMISS Oakley 16' Jump Shot20
31.8%
14
68.2%
Q1 - 2:46CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
33.1%
14
66.9%
Q1 - 2:48MIAMISS James 3PT Jump Shot20
32.5%
14
67.5%
Q1 - 3:06CHIMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)20
30.3%
14
69.7%
Q1 - 3:06CHIMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)19
29.8%
14
70.2%
Q1 - 3:14CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
28.7%
14
71.3%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Strickland 19' Jump Shot18
28.0%
14
72.0%
Q1 - 3:34CHIOllie 21' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (World Peace 3 AST)18
26.7%
14
73.3%
Q1 - 3:45MIAGill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)16
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 3:52CHIMercer Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)16
23.3%
14
76.7%
Q1 - 4:12CHIBulls Rebound16
24.7%
14
75.3%
Q1 - 4:14MIAMISS Gill 3PT Jump Shot16
24.1%
14
75.9%
Q1 - 4:29CHIMISS World Peace Free Throw 1 of 116
23.1%
14
76.9%
Q1 - 4:29CHIWorld Peace Layup (7 PTS)16
22.8%
14
77.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)14
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 4:38MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.9%
14
80.1%
Q1 - 4:40CHIMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot14
20.4%
14
79.6%
Q1 - 4:54CHIOllie Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)14
21.6%
14
78.4%
Q1 - 5:10MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)13
19.7%
14
80.3%
Q1 - 5:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
20.9%
12
79.1%
Q1 - 5:26CHIMISS World Peace 22' Jump Shot13
21.4%
12
78.6%
Q1 - 5:33CHIMercer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
22.5%
12
77.5%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Grant 5' Jump Shot13
22.0%
12
78.0%
Q1 - 6:01CHIMiller Dunk (6 PTS) (World Peace 2 AST)13
20.7%
12
79.3%
Q1 - 6:07MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)11
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 6:19MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 6:21CHIGrant BLOCK (1 BLK)11
18.6%
12
81.4%
Q1 - 6:39MIAMourning Dunk (4 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)11
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 6:59CHIMiller 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (World Peace 1 AST)11
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 7:12CHIOakley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
19.3%
10
80.7%
Q1 - 7:14MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 7:30MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
18.0%
10
82.0%
Q1 - 7:32CHIMISS Miller 14' Jump Shot9
18.4%
10
81.6%
Q1 - 8:02MIAStrickland Reverse Layup (2 PTS)9
19.1%
10
80.9%
Q1 - 8:06MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.2%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 8:08CHIMISS Mercer 19' Jump Shot9
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:25CHIWorld Peace REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 8:27MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 8:31MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
20.2%
8
79.8%
Q1 - 8:33CHIMISS Mercer Reverse Layup9
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:37CHIMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 8:40CHIMISS World Peace 15' Jump Shot9
20.6%
8
79.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)9
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 9:12CHIMiller 2' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
22.5%
6
77.5%
Q1 - 9:25MIAJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)7
21.5%
6
78.5%
Q1 - 9:47CHIWorld Peace 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Oakley 1 AST)7
20.0%
6
80.0%
Q1 - 10:04MIAMourning Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 10:11MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.6%
6
83.4%
Q1 - 10:13CHIMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot4
17.0%
6
83.0%
Q1 - 10:37MIAJones 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
17.8%
6
82.2%
Q1 - 10:51CHIOakley 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
18.8%
4
81.2%
Q1 - 11:05MIAGrant Layup (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)2
17.7%
4
82.3%
Q1 - 11:26CHIWorld Peace Layup (2 PTS)2
18.8%
2
81.2%
Q1 - 11:30MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:42CHIWorld Peace Foul Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.7%
2
83.3%
Q1 - 11:50MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
17.7%
2
82.3%
Q1 - 11:50MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
18.0%
1
82.0%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Mourning vs. Miller: Tip to Strickland0
18.8%
0
81.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.92 45.9%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHI
13
25
52%
MIA
12
17
71%
Midrange
CHI
13
38
34%
MIA
18
36
50%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHI
6
9.0
12
50%
75%
MIA
4
6.0
14
29%
43%
Free Throws
CHI
9
17
53%
MIA
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHI logo Bulls
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. World Peace2455%12.0 / 22
B. Miller1963%9.5 / 15
E. Robinson945%4.5 / 10
K. Ollie758%3.5 / 6
M. Fizer643%3.0 / 7
T. Hassell550%2.5 / 5
C. Oakley440%2.0 / 5
F. Hoiberg330%1.5 / 5
E. Curry233%1.0 / 3
R. Mercer0-0.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2053%10.0 / 19
R. Strickland2083%10.0 / 12
A. Mourning1794%8.5 / 9
J. Jackson1267%6.0 / 9
L. Ellis956%4.5 / 8
K. Gill643%3.0 / 7
B. Grant660%3.0 / 5
V. Stepania220%1.0 / 5
M. James0-0.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHI
77
+9
-18
86
MIA
71
+7
-20
78
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHI
0.92 45.9%
MIA
1.12 56.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.0
96.1
CHI 83.2 +17.9
MIA 101.1
Pace
92.7
89.7
CHI 90.2
MIA 96.1 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.5
16.7
CHI 16.0
MIA 15.0 +1.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
46.3%
CHI 46.7%
MIA 53.7% +7.0%
TO %
15.3%
15.5%
CHI 18.7% +2.7%
MIA 21.4%
ORB %
26.6%
26.7%
CHI 14.6%
MIA 16.7% +2.1%
FTrt
30.2
26.8
CHI 22.7
MIA 34.3 +11.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
64.6%
59.4%
CHI 50.0%
MIA 55.9% +5.9%
STL %
8.3%
7.4%
CHI 14.7% +1.5%
MIA 13.2%
BLK %
6.8%
8.7%
CHI 5.7% +0.9%
MIA 4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.3%
47.7%
CHI 45.9%
MIA 56.1% +10.2%
Rim FG%
54.3%
60.6%
CHI 52.0%
MIA 70.6% +18.6%
Mid FG%
39.0%
38.0%
CHI 34.2%
MIA 50.0% +15.8%
3P %
34.6%
34.7%
CHI 50.0% +21.4%
MIA 28.6%
FT %
72.2%
72.4%
CHI 52.9%
MIA 87.0% +34.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.0%
28.1%
CHI 33.3% +8.0%
MIA 25.4%
Mid Att. %
54.6%
57.8%
CHI 50.7% +3.1%
MIA 53.7%
3P Att. %
13.4%
14.1%
CHI 16.0%
MIA 20.9% +4.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHIMIA
Possessions9591
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points7992
Rebounds3140
Assists1619
Steals1412
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)18 (1)20 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)5 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (3)35 (5)
Field Goals32-7534-67
At-the-Rim FG13-2512-17
Midrange FG13-3818-36
2-Point FG26-6330-53
3-Point FG6-124-14
Free Throws9-1720-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 261 · 26
39.6
19
63%
7
3
2
0
0
4
2
5
2-2
100%
7-13
54%
1-1
100%
F · 6'7" 260 · 22
36.2
24
55%
3
4
6
1
4
4
1
2
5-12
42%
5-11
45%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 195 · 29
31.2
7
58%
2
2
0
0
2
3
0
2
1-1
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 245 · 38
23.0
4
40%
4
1
2
1
1
2
0
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 215 · 26
15.4
0
0%
4
1
0
0
2
0
0
4
0-0
-
0-6
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 210 · 26
29.1
9
45%
0
2
2
1
3
3
0
0
1-2
50%
4-9
44%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 262 · 23
25.0
6
43%
4
2
1
0
2
2
1
3
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
17.1
3
30%
3
1
1
0
0
2
0
3
0-0
-
0-2
0%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'5" 227 · 23
15.0
5
50%
1
0
0
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 295 · 19
8.4
2
33%
3
0
0
0
3
4
2
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 240 · 19
G · 6'1" 180 · 34
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
46%
31
16
14
3
18
0
6
25
9-17
53%
26-63
41%
6-12
50%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.