FinalWin Prob.pScore
2533%87
100
2367%93
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.49478.3
DEN logo DEN
100.09493.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADEN
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA100
100%
94
0%
OT1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Lenard Layup100
99.9%
94
0.1%
OT1 - 0:09.0MIAGill Layup (12 PTS)100
99.6%
94
0.4%
OT1 - 0:11.0MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)98
98.8%
94
1.2%
OT1 - 0:16.0DENMISS Lenard 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
97.7%
94
2.3%
OT1 - 0:27.0MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Grant 5 AST)98
91.9%
94
8.1%
OT1 - 0:48.0DENCheaney Layup (12 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)96
79.7%
94
20.3%
OT1 - 0:53.0MIACheaney STEAL (1 STL)96
86.3%
92
13.7%
OT1 - 1:08MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)96
90.8%
92
9.2%
OT1 - 1:10DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
88.6%
92
11.4%
OT1 - 1:24MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
80.0%
92
20.0%
OT1 - 1:24MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)95
78.8%
92
21.2%
OT1 - 1:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)94
71.8%
92
28.2%
OT1 - 1:25MIALaFrentz BLOCK (6 BLK)94
62.0%
92
38.0%
OT1 - 1:41DENBowen Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T16)94
68.9%
92
31.1%
OT1 - 2:03MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (37 PTS)94
53.4%
92
46.6%
OT1 - 2:03MIAJones Driving Dunk (36 PTS)93
41.7%
92
58.3%
OT1 - 2:20DENLaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)91
35.1%
92
64.9%
OT1 - 2:38MIAEllis 4' Running Hook Shot (12 PTS)91
52.3%
89
47.7%
OT1 - 3:01MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)89
45.0%
89
55.0%
OT1 - 3:04DENMISS Lenard 18' Jump Shot89
40.5%
89
59.5%
OT1 - 3:10DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)89
30.8%
89
69.2%
OT1 - 3:12MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
34.9%
89
65.1%
OT1 - 3:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)89
45.4%
89
54.6%
OT1 - 3:30DENMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot89
40.6%
89
59.4%
OT1 - 3:44MIAJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)89
32.9%
89
67.1%
OT1 - 4:05DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T15)89
42.1%
89
57.9%
OT1 - 4:12DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
32.8%
89
67.2%
OT1 - 4:14MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot89
35.6%
89
64.4%
OT1 - 4:34MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)89
42.3%
89
57.8%
OT1 - 4:36DENMISS Cheaney 19' Jump Shot89
39.3%
89
60.7%
OT1 - 5:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Grant: Tip to Van Exel89
32.8%
89
67.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAJones Layup (34 PTS)89
29.8%
89
70.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0DENVan Exel 26' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)87
15.7%
89
84.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)87
47.7%
86
52.3%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAJones Reverse Layup (31 PTS)86
30.4%
86
69.6%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
20.6%
86
79.4%
Q4 - 0:48.0DENMISS Lenard 16' Jump Shot84
17.2%
86
82.8%
Q4 - 1:06DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)84
12.3%
86
87.7%
Q4 - 1:09MIALaFrentz BLOCK (5 BLK)84
14.8%
86
85.2%
Q4 - 1:32DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)84
22.9%
86
77.1%
Q4 - 1:32DENMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 284
24.8%
85
75.2%
Q4 - 1:32DENBowen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)84
21.5%
85
78.5%
Q4 - 1:32DENMISS LaFrentz Layup84
29.3%
85
70.7%
Q4 - 1:55DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)84
22.8%
85
77.2%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot84
25.6%
85
74.4%
Q4 - 2:19DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T14)84
35.1%
85
64.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIABowen STEAL (2 STL)84
21.4%
85
78.6%
Q4 - 2:31MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
35.2%
85
64.8%
Q4 - 2:33DENMISS Van Exel 21' Jump Shot84
30.5%
85
69.5%
Q4 - 2:55MIAEllis 4' Hook Shot (10 PTS)84
22.8%
85
77.2%
Q4 - 3:11DENVan Exel Driving Layup (12 PTS)82
18.5%
85
81.5%
Q4 - 3:17DENBowen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)82
22.4%
83
77.6%
Q4 - 3:21DENMISS Lenard 21' Jump Shot82
30.7%
83
69.3%
Q4 - 3:28DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
22.3%
83
77.7%
Q4 - 3:30MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot82
25.7%
83
74.3%
Q4 - 3:49DENVan Exel Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
33.3%
83
66.7%
Q4 - 3:49DENVan Exel Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
34.9%
82
65.1%
Q4 - 4:09MIAJones 6' Running Jump Shot (29 PTS)82
41.6%
81
58.4%
Q4 - 4:33DENCheaney 16' Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
33.3%
81
66.7%
Q4 - 4:59MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (House 3 AST)80
41.7%
79
58.3%
Q4 - 5:16DENLaFrentz Layup (27 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)77
25.8%
79
74.2%
Q4 - 5:37MIAVan Exel STEAL (2 STL)77
32.5%
77
67.5%
Q4 - 5:50MIAHeat Rebound77
40.6%
77
59.4%
Q4 - 5:52DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
38.0%
77
62.0%
Q4 - 6:10MIAGrant 5' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (House 2 AST)77
31.6%
77
68.4%
Q4 - 6:25MIAHeat Rebound75
26.3%
77
73.7%
Q4 - 6:25DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup75
24.3%
77
75.7%
Q4 - 6:46MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)75
20.1%
77
79.9%
Q4 - 7:04MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
17.4%
77
82.6%
Q4 - 7:06DENMISS Bowen Layup73
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 7:11DENNUGGETS Rebound73
13.4%
77
86.6%
Q4 - 7:12DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot73
16.1%
77
83.9%
Q4 - 7:26DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot73
14.4%
77
85.6%
Q4 - 7:52MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)73
17.3%
77
82.7%
Q4 - 7:54DENMISS Bowen 20' Jump Shot73
16.0%
77
84.0%
Q4 - 8:19DENNUGGETS Rebound73
14.6%
77
85.4%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot73
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 8:34DENBowen 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 5 AST)73
18.1%
77
81.9%
Q4 - 8:52MIAJackson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)73
22.1%
75
77.9%
Q4 - 9:20DENLenard 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)71
18.7%
75
81.3%
Q4 - 9:43MIAStrickland Out Of Bounds Turnover (P4.T9)71
26.9%
72
73.1%
Q4 - 10:00DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)71
32.1%
72
67.9%
Q4 - 10:00DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)71
33.2%
71
66.8%
Q4 - 10:17MIAJackson Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)71
36.8%
70
63.2%
Q4 - 10:29MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)69
32.1%
70
67.9%
Q4 - 10:33MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot69
28.5%
70
71.5%
Q4 - 10:53DENVan Exel 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS)69
32.1%
70
67.9%
Q4 - 11:12MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)69
36.8%
68
63.2%
Q4 - 11:20DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T13)67
32.2%
68
67.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAGatling 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)67
27.4%
68
72.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound65
23.5%
68
76.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Strickland 28' 3PT Jump Shot65
20.8%
68
79.2%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)65
23.7%
68
76.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 265
24.5%
67
75.5%
Q3 - 0:12.0DENNUGGETS Rebound65
23.7%
67
76.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot65
24.9%
67
75.1%
Q3 - 0:23.0DENBowen Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)65
27.6%
67
72.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)65
32.0%
65
68.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAGatling Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)64
30.7%
65
69.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAHeat Rebound63
27.6%
65
72.4%
Q3 - 0:45.0DENMISS Cheaney 18' Jump Shot63
26.4%
65
73.6%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)63
23.7%
65
76.3%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAJackson Tip Shot (2 PTS)63
23.7%
65
76.3%
Q3 - 1:01MIALaFrentz BLOCK (4 BLK)61
18.4%
65
81.6%
Q3 - 1:30DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)61
20.5%
65
79.5%
Q3 - 1:52MIAStrickland 6' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)61
27.6%
62
72.4%
Q3 - 1:54MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 1:57DENMISS LaFrentz Layup59
22.8%
62
77.2%
Q3 - 2:01DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
20.4%
62
79.6%
Q3 - 2:05MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
21.4%
62
78.6%
Q3 - 2:18DENBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)59
23.9%
62
76.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIABowen STEAL (1 STL)59
27.2%
60
72.8%
Q3 - 2:45DENJohnson Layup (6 PTS)59
31.4%
60
68.6%
Q3 - 2:49DENJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
35.2%
58
64.8%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot59
36.6%
58
63.4%
Q3 - 3:11DENHamilton 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)59
39.6%
58
60.4%
Q3 - 3:14DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)59
43.7%
56
56.3%
Q3 - 3:18DENMISS LaFrentz 20' Jump Shot59
47.0%
56
53.0%
Q3 - 3:32DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)59
43.7%
56
56.3%
Q3 - 3:36MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
48.5%
56
51.5%
Q3 - 3:36MIAMISS Gatling 4' Jump Shot59
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q3 - 3:39MIAMISS House 20' Jump Shot59
45.2%
56
54.8%
Q3 - 3:58DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)59
48.5%
56
51.5%
Q3 - 3:58DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)59
49.4%
55
50.6%
Q3 - 4:10DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)59
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 4:12DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 259
55.4%
54
44.6%
Q3 - 4:12DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 259
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 4:13DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
51.1%
54
48.9%
Q3 - 4:16MIAMISS Ellis 9' Fadeaway Jumper59
52.6%
54
47.4%
Q3 - 4:40MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)59
56.2%
54
43.8%
Q3 - 4:42DENMISS Cheaney 8' Jump Shot59
54.7%
54
45.3%
Q3 - 4:52DENNUGGETS Rebound59
51.3%
54
48.7%
Q3 - 4:52MIAMISS House 19' Jump Shot59
52.8%
54
47.2%
Q3 - 5:18DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)59
55.0%
54
45.0%
Q3 - 5:18DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)59
55.8%
53
44.2%
Q3 - 5:28MIAJackson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)59
58.8%
52
41.2%
Q3 - 5:39DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
63.1%
52
36.9%
Q3 - 5:39DENHamilton Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)59
64.2%
51
35.8%
Q3 - 5:39DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)59
66.6%
50
33.4%
Q3 - 5:39DENMISS Van Exel 11' Running Jump Shot59
69.3%
50
30.7%
Q3 - 5:42DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)59
66.6%
50
33.4%
Q3 - 5:46MIAMISS Gill 24' 3PT Jump Shot59
67.8%
50
32.2%
Q3 - 6:04DENLaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Posey 4 AST)59
68.7%
50
31.3%
Q3 - 6:27MIAHouse 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS)59
75.0%
47
25.0%
Q3 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound57
72.1%
47
27.9%
Q3 - 6:31MIALaFrentz BLOCK (3 BLK)57
69.7%
47
30.3%
Q3 - 6:48MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)57
72.2%
47
27.8%
Q3 - 6:50DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 2 of 257
71.7%
47
28.3%
Q3 - 6:50DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 257
69.8%
47
30.2%
Q3 - 6:58DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)57
68.6%
47
31.4%
Q3 - 7:01MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)57
70.7%
47
29.3%
Q3 - 7:01MIAMISS Ellis Tip Shot57
68.1%
47
31.9%
Q3 - 7:04MIAMISS House 21' Jump Shot57
68.1%
47
31.9%
Q3 - 7:07MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
70.8%
47
29.2%
Q3 - 7:10DENMISS Van Exel 7' Hook Shot57
69.6%
47
30.4%
Q3 - 7:41MIAGrant 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)57
67.0%
47
33.0%
Q3 - 8:03DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)55
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q3 - 8:23MIAGill 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)55
69.5%
44
30.5%
Q3 - 8:43DENVan Exel Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)53
66.7%
44
33.3%
Q3 - 8:50DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
62.7%
44
37.3%
Q3 - 8:52MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot53
63.9%
44
36.1%
Q3 - 9:05MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q3 - 9:07DENMISS LaFrentz Dunk53
63.7%
44
36.3%
Q3 - 9:21MIAEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)53
61.3%
44
38.7%
Q3 - 9:40DENLaFrentz Dunk (16 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)53
64.9%
44
35.1%
Q3 - 9:55MIAGrant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)53
68.1%
42
31.9%
Q3 - 10:12DENHamilton Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T11)53
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q3 - 10:13DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)53
66.4%
42
33.6%
Q3 - 10:15DENMISS Van Exel Layup53
68.9%
42
31.1%
Q3 - 10:19DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)53
66.5%
42
33.5%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot53
67.5%
42
32.5%
Q3 - 10:34DENHamilton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
69.9%
42
30.1%
Q3 - 10:34DENMISS Hamilton Free Throw 1 of 253
70.8%
41
29.2%
Q3 - 10:39MIALaFrentz STEAL (1 STL)53
69.6%
41
30.4%
Q3 - 10:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)53
72.8%
41
27.2%
Q3 - 10:47DENMISS Cheaney 4' Jump Shot53
71.9%
41
28.1%
Q3 - 11:04MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)53
68.3%
41
31.7%
Q3 - 11:04MIAGrant Layup (4 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)52
65.2%
41
34.8%
Q3 - 11:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
62.2%
41
37.8%
Q3 - 11:16DENMISS LaFrentz 13' Turnaround Jump Shot50
61.2%
41
38.8%
Q3 - 11:25DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
58.8%
41
41.2%
Q3 - 11:28MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
59.9%
41
40.1%
Q3 - 11:45DENVan Exel Driving Layup (6 PTS)50
62.3%
41
37.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN50
65.3%
39
34.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound50
65.3%
39
34.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Van Exel 44' 3PT Jump Shot50
67.6%
39
32.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
64.5%
39
35.5%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.1%
39
34.9%
Q2 - 0:23.0DENLaFrentz Driving Layup (14 PTS)50
66.6%
39
33.4%
Q2 - 0:40.0MIAEllis 3' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)50
70.4%
37
29.6%
Q2 - 1:02DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)48
65.4%
37
34.6%
Q2 - 1:06MIAVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)48
63.8%
37
36.2%
Q2 - 1:17MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)48
65.4%
37
34.6%
Q2 - 1:21DENMISS Posey 19' Jump Shot48
64.9%
37
35.1%
Q2 - 1:25DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
63.9%
37
36.1%
Q2 - 1:28MIAMISS Strickland 7' Jump Shot48
64.3%
37
35.7%
Q2 - 1:36MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
65.4%
37
34.6%
Q2 - 1:38DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
65.0%
37
35.0%
Q2 - 1:58MIAJones 19' Fadeaway Jumper (24 PTS)48
63.9%
37
36.1%
Q2 - 2:18MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
58.9%
37
41.1%
Q2 - 2:21DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)46
56.1%
37
43.9%
Q2 - 2:21DENMISS McCloud Tip Shot46
58.1%
37
41.9%
Q2 - 2:23DENMISS Cheaney Free Throw 2 of 246
58.6%
37
41.4%
Q2 - 2:23DENMISS Cheaney Free Throw 1 of 246
57.0%
37
43.0%
Q2 - 2:46MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)46
56.2%
37
43.8%
Q2 - 2:46MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)45
55.8%
37
44.2%
Q2 - 2:56MIAHeat Rebound44
52.8%
37
47.2%
Q2 - 2:56MIACheaney BLOCK (1 BLK)44
50.8%
37
49.2%
Q2 - 3:11MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)44
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 3:14MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot44
49.3%
37
50.7%
Q2 - 3:21MIAStrickland Free Throw Clear Path (1 PTS)44
51.7%
37
48.3%
Q2 - 3:22DENJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)43
48.7%
37
51.3%
Q2 - 3:26DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
45.4%
37
54.6%
Q2 - 3:29MIALenard BLOCK (1 BLK)43
46.4%
37
53.6%
Q2 - 3:44DENMcCloud Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)43
48.8%
37
51.2%
Q2 - 3:44DENMcCloud Reverse Layup (2 PTS)43
51.8%
36
48.2%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJones 19' Jump Shot (22 PTS)43
53.2%
34
46.8%
Q2 - 4:15MIAJones Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (20 PTS)41
50.3%
34
49.7%
Q2 - 4:15MIAJones Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (19 PTS)40
49.8%
34
50.2%
Q2 - 4:25DENLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
44.6%
34
55.4%
Q2 - 4:35DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
41.8%
34
58.2%
Q2 - 4:39MIAMISS Strickland 13' Jump Shot39
42.6%
34
57.4%
Q2 - 4:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
44.6%
34
55.4%
Q2 - 4:54DENMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot39
43.8%
34
56.2%
Q2 - 5:17MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)39
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 5:36DENHamilton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T7)36
36.1%
34
63.9%
Q2 - 5:58MIAGill 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)36
33.3%
34
66.7%
Q2 - 6:20DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)34
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 6:20DENHamilton Layup (6 PTS)34
31.0%
34
69.0%
Q2 - 6:22DENMISS McCloud 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 6:35DENNUGGETS Rebound34
33.0%
32
67.0%
Q2 - 6:35MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot34
33.9%
32
66.1%
Q2 - 6:56MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)34
36.0%
32
64.0%
Q2 - 6:58DENMISS Lenard 17' Jump Shot34
35.0%
32
65.0%
Q2 - 7:12DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)34
32.9%
32
67.1%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot34
33.7%
32
66.3%
Q2 - 7:41DENHamilton 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)34
35.5%
32
64.5%
Q2 - 8:00MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
37.8%
30
62.2%
Q2 - 8:16DENLenard Driving Layup (4 PTS)32
35.3%
30
64.7%
Q2 - 8:36MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)32
37.4%
28
62.6%
Q2 - 8:36MIAStepania Layup (2 PTS)31
35.0%
28
65.0%
Q2 - 8:36MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
33.0%
28
67.0%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS Gatling Layup29
31.2%
28
68.8%
Q2 - 8:40MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
33.0%
28
67.0%
Q2 - 8:42MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot29
31.2%
28
68.8%
Q2 - 9:01MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
32.6%
28
67.4%
Q2 - 9:02DENMISS Bowen Layup29
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 9:04DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
30.2%
28
69.8%
Q2 - 9:06DENMISS Lenard Layup29
31.8%
28
68.2%
Q2 - 9:09DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
30.2%
28
69.8%
Q2 - 9:13MIAMISS House Running Layup29
30.9%
28
69.1%
Q2 - 9:19MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
32.6%
28
67.4%
Q2 - 9:28DENMISS Lenard 16' Turnaround Jump Shot29
31.9%
28
68.1%
Q2 - 9:51MIAJones 10' Running Jump Shot (15 PTS)29
30.2%
28
69.8%
Q2 - 10:07DENCheaney 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
28.4%
28
71.6%
Q2 - 10:19DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
30.2%
26
69.8%
Q2 - 10:21MIAMISS House 14' Jump Shot27
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q2 - 10:23MIAHeat Rebound27
32.6%
26
67.4%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Jackson 16' Turnaround Jump Shot27
30.9%
26
69.1%
Q2 - 10:42MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
32.6%
26
67.4%
Q2 - 10:45DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot27
31.8%
26
68.2%
Q2 - 11:03MIAGatling 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (House 1 AST)27
29.9%
26
70.1%
Q2 - 11:27DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)25
27.9%
26
72.1%
Q2 - 11:32DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q2 - 11:34MIAMISS House 22' Jump Shot25
32.6%
23
67.4%
Q2 - 11:47DENLenard Foul Turnover (P1.T6)25
34.2%
23
65.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN25
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIALenard STEAL (1 STL)25
32.0%
23
68.0%
Q1 - 0:14.0DENLaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)25
33.6%
23
66.4%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAEllis 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
38.5%
20
61.5%
Q1 - 0:37.0DENLenard 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
35.7%
20
64.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)23
38.5%
18
61.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0DENMISS Van Exel 11' Hook Shot23
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 1:11MIAHouse 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
38.4%
18
61.6%
Q1 - 1:35DENVan Exel 13' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)21
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 1:52DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
38.4%
16
61.6%
Q1 - 1:55MIAMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot21
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 1:59MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)21
40.2%
16
59.8%
Q1 - 2:03DENMISS Van Exel 10' Hook Shot21
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 2:18MIAEllis 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)21
38.2%
16
61.8%
Q1 - 2:28DENCheaney Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)19
35.8%
16
64.2%
Q1 - 2:47MIAGill 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)19
33.9%
16
66.1%
Q1 - 3:08DENHamilton 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)17
31.5%
16
68.5%
Q1 - 3:28MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)17
33.2%
14
66.8%
Q1 - 3:46DENVan Exel Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST)15
31.5%
14
68.5%
Q1 - 4:03DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
32.7%
12
67.3%
Q1 - 4:05MIAMISS Grant 17' Jump Shot15
33.4%
12
66.6%
Q1 - 4:24DENLaFrentz Layup (6 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)15
35.1%
12
64.9%
Q1 - 4:39MIAJones Reverse Layup (13 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)15
36.7%
10
63.3%
Q1 - 4:57DENCheaney 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)13
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 5:07DENNUGGETS Rebound13
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 5:09DENMISS LaFrentz 18' Turnaround Jump Shot13
37.5%
8
62.5%
Q1 - 5:34MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)13
36.0%
8
64.0%
Q1 - 5:34MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)12
35.8%
8
64.2%
Q1 - 5:47MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.3%
8
65.7%
Q1 - 5:50DENMISS LaFrentz 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
33.7%
8
66.3%
Q1 - 6:16DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
31.9%
8
68.1%
Q1 - 6:18MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot11
32.4%
8
67.6%
Q1 - 6:41DENHamilton Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T4)11
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 6:55DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
31.9%
8
68.1%
Q1 - 6:57MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot11
32.5%
8
67.5%
Q1 - 7:15DENJump Ball Hamilton vs. Jones: Tip to Ellis11
33.2%
8
66.8%
Q1 - 7:31MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)11
31.3%
8
68.7%
Q1 - 7:46DENLaFrentz Layup (4 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)8
28.3%
8
71.7%
Q1 - 7:50DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)8
31.5%
6
68.5%
Q1 - 7:53MIALaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)8
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot8
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 8:05MIAGill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
31.4%
6
68.6%
Q1 - 8:09DENMISS Cheaney 17' Jump Shot8
30.8%
6
69.2%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
29.6%
6
70.4%
Q1 - 8:23MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)7
29.4%
6
70.6%
Q1 - 8:28MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
28.2%
6
71.8%
Q1 - 8:30DENMISS Posey 18' Jump Shot6
27.7%
6
72.3%
Q1 - 8:50MIAJones 7' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)6
26.6%
6
73.4%
Q1 - 9:06DENCheaney 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)4
25.2%
6
74.8%
Q1 - 9:14DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:17MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot4
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 9:32DENCheaney 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)4
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 9:49MIAEllis 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS)4
29.3%
2
70.7%
Q1 - 9:51MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.2%
2
71.8%
Q1 - 9:53MIAMISS Gill Driving Layup2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:13DENVan Exel Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 10:17DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 10:18MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 10:18MIALaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:20MIAMISS Grant Tip Shot2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:21MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Grant 6' Hook Shot2
26.8%
2
73.2%
Q1 - 10:39DENVan Exel Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
28.0%
2
72.0%
Q1 - 10:46MIAStrickland Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
26.3%
2
73.7%
Q1 - 11:06DENLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS)2
27.7%
2
72.3%
Q1 - 11:18DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 11:22DENMISS LaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.3%
0
69.7%
Q1 - 11:38MIAJones Layup (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
29.3%
0
70.7%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Grant: Tip to Gill0
27.7%
0
72.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
16
30
53%
DEN
16
28
57%
Midrange
MIA
21
50
42%
DEN
12
36
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
3
4.5
10
30%
45%
DEN
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
MIA
17
17
100%
DEN
14
23
61%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones3766%18.5 / 28
L. Ellis1250%6.0 / 12
K. Gill1260%6.0 / 10
B. Grant1142%5.5 / 13
E. House833%4.0 / 12
C. Gatling857%4.0 / 7
J. Jackson633%3.0 / 9
R. Strickland325%1.5 / 6
V. Stepania375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. LaFrentz3063%15.0 / 24
N. Van Exel1550%7.5 / 15
C. Cheaney1250%6.0 / 12
Z. Hamilton1179%5.5 / 7
A. Johnson956%4.5 / 8
R. Bowen744%3.5 / 8
V. Lenard727%3.5 / 13
G. McCloud338%1.5 / 4
J. Posey0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
81
+16
-13
97
DEN
78
+16
-16
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.5%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
99.6
MIA 106.4 +6.4
DEN 100.0
Pace
89.7
92.1
MIA 78.3
DEN 93.2 +14.9
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
16.0
MIA 18.4
DEN 15.4 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
45.5%
MIA 46.1%
DEN 49.4% +3.3%
TO %
15.5%
14.9%
MIA 11.8% +3.1%
DEN 14.9%
ORB %
26.7%
30.7%
MIA 28.6%
DEN 29.3% +0.7%
FTrt
26.8
25.6
MIA 18.9
DEN 28.4 +9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
62.3%
MIA 50.0%
DEN 55.6% +5.6%
STL %
7.4%
8.0%
MIA 9.6% +2.2%
DEN 7.4%
BLK %
8.7%
8.6%
MIA 12.5% +2.5%
DEN 10.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
47.2%
MIA 49.5% +0.5%
DEN 49.0%
Rim FG%
60.6%
55.5%
MIA 53.3%
DEN 57.1% +3.8%
Mid FG%
38.0%
36.9%
MIA 42.0% +8.7%
DEN 33.3%
3P %
34.7%
32.9%
MIA 30.0%
DEN 47.1% +17.1%
FT %
72.4%
74.4%
MIA 100.0% +39.1%
DEN 60.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
33.7%
MIA 33.3%
DEN 34.6% +1.2%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
47.6%
MIA 55.6%
DEN 44.4% +11.1%
3P Att. %
14.1%
18.7%
MIA 11.1%
DEN 21.0% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADEN
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes28.824.2
Points10094
Rebounds4142
Assists2020
Steals97
Blocks88
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)12 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (3)30 (4)
Field Goals40-9036-81
At-the-Rim FG16-3016-28
Midrange FG21-5012-36
2-Point FG37-8028-64
3-Point FG3-108-17
Free Throws17-1714-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
48.1
37
66%
5
2
4
4
1
3
0
5
8-8
100%
10-17
59%
3-7
43%
C · 6'9" 254 · 30
44.8
11
42%
14
5
2
1
3
3
4
10
5-5
100%
3-10
30%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
38.0
12
50%
4
2
0
1
2
4
3
1
0-0
-
6-11
55%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
29.9
3
25%
1
7
2
0
4
2
1
0
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
22.9
12
60%
4
0
0
0
0
2
0
4
0-0
-
6-9
67%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
36.8
6
33%
5
1
1
1
2
5
1
4
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
21.3
8
33%
2
3
0
0
1
3
0
2
0-0
-
4-12
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
15.0
8
57%
4
0
0
1
0
0
2
2
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
8.2
3
75%
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
1
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
100
50%
41
20
9
8
13
0
12
29
17-17
100%
37-80
46%
3-10
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.