FinalWin Prob.pScore
2431%85
89
1469%91
101
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
106.08476.1
UTA logo UTA
113.58999.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

JazzHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAUTA
Q4 - 0:00.0UTA89
0%
101
100%
Q4 - 0:15.0UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:18.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)89
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAMISS Malone Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0UTAJAZZ Rebound89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)89
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:37.0UTAMISS Collins Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)88
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:02UTAMISS Malone 16' Jump Shot87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:16MIAGatling 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)87
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:28UTAMalone Layup (18 PTS) (Stockton 9 AST)85
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Jones 5' Jump Shot85
0.2%
97
99.8%
Q4 - 2:02UTAMalone Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)85
0.3%
97
99.7%
Q4 - 2:02UTAMalone Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 2:20MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)85
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 2:20MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:34UTARussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Stockton 8 AST)83
0.3%
95
99.7%
Q4 - 2:53UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 2:55MIAJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
1.6%
92
98.4%
Q4 - 2:55MIAMISS Jones Layup83
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot83
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 3:15UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P5.T14)83
1.5%
92
98.5%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJackson 8' Jump Shot (9 PTS)83
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 3:45UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)81
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 3:59MIAGrant Foul Turnover (P2.T17)81
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 4:09UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
1.1%
92
98.9%
Q4 - 4:09UTARussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
1.2%
91
98.8%
Q4 - 4:22UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
1.5%
90
98.5%
Q4 - 4:26MIAMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot81
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 4:42MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)81
2.2%
90
97.8%
Q4 - 4:44MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
1.7%
90
98.3%
Q4 - 5:02UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)81
3.0%
90
97.0%
Q4 - 5:02UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)81
3.3%
89
96.7%
Q4 - 5:18MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)81
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q4 - 5:40MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 5:43UTAMISS Russell 6' Jump Shot81
5.1%
88
94.9%
Q4 - 6:02UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
4.8%
88
95.2%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
5.4%
88
94.6%
Q4 - 6:27UTAStockton 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Russell 3 AST)81
6.7%
88
93.3%
Q4 - 6:46MIAHouse 21' Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q4 - 7:04UTAMalone 12' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Stockton 7 AST)79
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)79
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 7:24MIAJackson Tip Shot (7 PTS)79
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 7:29MIAMISS Stepania 6' Hook Shot77
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 7:30MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)77
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Gill 20' Jump Shot77
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 7:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)77
7.6%
84
92.4%
Q4 - 7:54UTAMISS Malone 16' Jump Shot77
7.0%
84
93.0%
Q4 - 8:16MIAHouse 8' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)77
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 8:33UTALewis 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 6 AST)75
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q4 - 8:55MIAStevenson STEAL (1 STL)75
6.7%
82
93.3%
Q4 - 9:08MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
9.2%
82
90.8%
Q4 - 9:09UTAMISS Malone 5' Jump Shot75
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q4 - 9:29MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 9:29MIAGatling Layup (9 PTS)75
7.3%
82
92.7%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot73
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 9:34MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)73
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 9:36MIAStevenson BLOCK (1 BLK)73
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 9:47MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
5.9%
82
94.1%
Q4 - 9:50UTAMISS Malone 4' Hook Shot73
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 10:07UTAMalone REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 10:10MIAMISS Jackson 3' Jump Shot73
5.5%
82
94.5%
Q4 - 10:20MIAMISS Jackson Free Throw Technical73
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 10:38UTAMalone Layup (12 PTS) (Stevenson 3 AST)73
6.5%
82
93.5%
Q4 - 10:58MIAGatling 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)73
7.8%
80
92.2%
Q4 - 11:13UTAStevenson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)71
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q4 - 11:13UTAMISS Stevenson Free Throw 1 of 271
7.4%
79
92.6%
Q4 - 11:23UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q4 - 11:24UTAMISS Kirilenko 17' Jump Shot71
8.1%
79
91.9%
Q4 - 11:46MIAGatling 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)71
7.0%
79
93.0%
Q4 - 12:00UTAPadgett Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)69
5.7%
79
94.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA69
7.0%
78
93.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0UTACollins Layup (15 PTS) (Stevenson 2 AST)69
7.0%
78
93.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAGill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)69
9.2%
76
90.8%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAGill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)68
8.7%
76
91.3%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
7.6%
76
92.4%
Q3 - 0:16.0UTAMISS Stevenson 9' Jump Shot67
7.1%
76
92.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
6.2%
76
93.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
6.6%
76
93.4%
Q3 - 0:54.0UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)67
7.5%
76
92.5%
Q3 - 0:54.0UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 267
7.9%
75
92.1%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHouse 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)67
8.0%
75
92.0%
Q3 - 1:20UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)65
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 1:20UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)65
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 1:20UTAJAZZ Rebound65
8.0%
73
92.0%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 1:31MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)65
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 1:32MIAMISS Jones Layup65
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 1:48UTALewis Foul Turnover (P2.T12)65
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 2:06MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Gatling 1 AST)65
8.4%
73
91.6%
Q3 - 2:20UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)62
6.0%
73
94.0%
Q3 - 2:20UTACollins Layup (10 PTS) (Padgett 1 AST)62
7.1%
72
92.9%
Q3 - 2:47MIAGatling Layup (3 PTS)62
8.3%
70
91.7%
Q3 - 2:50UTALewis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)60
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 3:02UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 3:05MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot60
6.7%
70
93.3%
Q3 - 3:11UTAStevenson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)60
7.6%
70
92.4%
Q3 - 3:26MIAGatling Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)60
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Gatling Free Throw 1 of 259
6.1%
70
93.9%
Q3 - 3:26MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 3:26MIAMISS Stepania 5' Jump Shot59
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 3:27MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)59
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS Jackson 9' Tip Shot59
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 3:40UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)59
6.4%
70
93.6%
Q3 - 3:40UTAMISS Kirilenko Free Throw 1 of 259
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 3:42MIAKirilenko STEAL (3 STL)59
6.3%
69
93.7%
Q3 - 3:52MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)59
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 3:54UTAMISS Russell 26' 3PT Jump Shot59
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 4:16MIAKirilenko STEAL (2 STL)59
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 4:17MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 4:21UTAMISS Stockton Layup59
7.5%
69
92.5%
Q3 - 4:27MIAPadgett STEAL (1 STL)59
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 4:53UTARussell Layup (15 PTS) (Stockton 5 AST)59
7.9%
69
92.1%
Q3 - 5:10MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)59
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 5:18UTACollins Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)59
11.2%
67
88.8%
Q3 - 5:30UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)59
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot59
10.0%
67
90.0%
Q3 - 5:45MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
11.1%
67
88.9%
Q3 - 5:49UTAMISS Padgett 11' Jump Shot59
10.6%
67
89.4%
Q3 - 6:02MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)59
9.8%
67
90.2%
Q3 - 6:02MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)58
9.6%
67
90.4%
Q3 - 6:16UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)57
8.6%
67
91.4%
Q3 - 6:16UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)57
8.9%
66
91.1%
Q3 - 6:21UTAPadgett REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)57
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 6:24MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot57
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 6:33UTACollins Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)57
11.4%
65
88.6%
Q3 - 6:46UTAJAZZ Rebound57
9.8%
65
90.2%
Q3 - 6:46MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot57
10.3%
65
89.7%
Q3 - 7:08MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)57
11.8%
65
88.2%
Q3 - 7:09UTAMISS Padgett Free Throw 2 of 257
11.5%
65
88.5%
Q3 - 7:09UTAPadgett Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
10.6%
65
89.4%
Q3 - 7:21MIAStepania 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T10)57
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 7:28MIAKirilenko BLOCK (3 BLK)57
12.1%
64
87.9%
Q3 - 7:33UTAPadgett Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)57
13.5%
64
86.5%
Q3 - 7:53MIAGrant Dunk (12 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)57
11.5%
64
88.5%
Q3 - 8:11UTAStockton Driving Layup (12 PTS)55
10.5%
64
89.5%
Q3 - 8:23MIAStepania Foul Turnover (P2.T9)55
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
13.7%
62
86.3%
Q3 - 8:35UTAMISS Padgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 8:58MIAGill 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stepania 1 AST)55
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)53
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMISS Jones 22' Jump Shot53
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 9:23UTAPadgett Layup (8 PTS)53
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 9:51MIAJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q3 - 9:51MIAJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)52
11.7%
60
88.3%
Q3 - 9:51MIAJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)51
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 9:52MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot51
9.5%
60
90.5%
Q3 - 10:08MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 10:10MIAMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot51
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q3 - 10:21UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)51
10.7%
60
89.3%
Q3 - 10:21UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)51
11.0%
59
89.0%
Q3 - 10:37MIAGill Driving Layup (4 PTS)51
12.0%
58
88.0%
Q3 - 10:54MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
10.7%
58
89.3%
Q3 - 10:58UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot49
10.3%
58
89.7%
Q3 - 11:21MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)49
9.5%
58
90.5%
Q3 - 11:38MIAHeat Rebound46
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q3 - 11:39UTAMISS Collins 9' Jump Shot46
7.1%
58
92.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA46
6.5%
58
93.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound46
7.4%
58
92.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS House 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
6.7%
58
93.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTAStockton Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
7.7%
58
92.3%
Q2 - 0:07.0UTAStockton Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
7.8%
57
92.2%
Q2 - 0:25.0UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
9.0%
56
91.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Ellis Layup46
9.2%
56
90.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0UTAMalone Foul Turnover (P3.T6)46
9.8%
56
90.2%
Q2 - 1:00MIAGrant 9' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
8.9%
56
91.1%
Q2 - 1:14UTAStockton Driving Layup (8 PTS)44
7.9%
56
92.1%
Q2 - 1:24MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS)44
9.4%
54
90.6%
Q2 - 1:30MIAHeat Rebound42
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q2 - 1:31MIALewis BLOCK (1 BLK)42
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q2 - 1:48MIAHeat Rebound42
7.9%
54
92.1%
Q2 - 1:49UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup42
7.8%
54
92.2%
Q2 - 2:07MIAEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)42
7.6%
54
92.4%
Q2 - 2:24MIAHeat Rebound39
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 2:25MIAMISS Ellis Driving Layup39
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 2:29UTAMISS Stockton 11' Jump Shot39
5.7%
54
94.3%
Q2 - 2:35UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q2 - 2:37MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot39
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 2:42MIAHeat Rebound39
5.9%
54
94.1%
Q2 - 2:43MIAKirilenko BLOCK (2 BLK)39
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q2 - 3:01UTAKirilenko Driving Layup (9 PTS)39
6.4%
54
93.6%
Q2 - 3:09UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)39
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 3:12MIAMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot39
7.3%
52
92.7%
Q2 - 3:30MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q2 - 3:34UTAMISS Russell 21' Jump Shot39
7.6%
52
92.4%
Q2 - 3:46MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS)39
7.0%
52
93.0%
Q2 - 4:09UTARussell Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)37
6.6%
52
93.4%
Q2 - 4:20MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)37
5.9%
52
94.1%
Q2 - 4:23MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 4:26MIAMISS Grant 12' Jump Shot35
4.9%
52
95.1%
Q2 - 4:38UTAStockton Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Russell 2 AST)35
5.3%
52
94.7%
Q2 - 5:10MIAGill 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)35
6.0%
50
94.0%
Q2 - 5:31UTAMalone Layup (10 PTS) (Stockton 4 AST)33
5.5%
50
94.5%
Q2 - 5:52MIAStrickland Driving Layup (8 PTS)33
6.0%
48
94.0%
Q2 - 5:57MIAHeat Rebound31
5.5%
48
94.5%
Q2 - 5:58MIAMISS Jackson 10' Jump Shot31
5.0%
48
95.0%
Q2 - 6:16UTARussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stockton 3 AST)31
5.7%
48
94.3%
Q2 - 6:39MIARussell STEAL (3 STL)31
6.9%
45
93.1%
Q2 - 7:04UTAMalone Layup (8 PTS) (Russell 1 AST)31
8.2%
45
91.8%
Q2 - 7:14MIARussell STEAL (2 STL)31
9.0%
43
91.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
9.9%
43
90.1%
Q2 - 7:36UTAMISS Malone 18' Jump Shot31
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 7:50MIARussell STEAL (1 STL)31
8.9%
43
91.1%
Q2 - 8:08UTARussell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)31
10.1%
43
89.9%
Q2 - 8:13UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
12.0%
40
88.0%
Q2 - 8:16MIAMISS House 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
12.3%
40
87.7%
Q2 - 8:40UTAPadgett 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stockton 2 AST)31
13.3%
40
86.7%
Q2 - 8:54MIAHouse Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)31
15.7%
37
84.3%
Q2 - 8:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMISS Gill 21' Jump Shot31
16.2%
37
83.8%
Q2 - 9:15UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)31
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 9:15UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)31
17.7%
36
82.3%
Q2 - 9:15UTACollins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q2 - 9:18UTAMISS Lewis 19' Jump Shot31
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 9:34MIAStepania Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)31
18.6%
35
81.4%
Q2 - 9:51MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
20.4%
35
79.6%
Q2 - 9:53UTAMISS Collins 17' Jump Shot31
19.8%
35
80.2%
Q2 - 10:14MIAHouse 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
18.7%
35
81.3%
Q2 - 10:25UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)28
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 10:25UTARussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
16.3%
34
83.7%
Q2 - 10:25UTAJAZZ Rebound28
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q2 - 10:27UTAMISS Russell 20' Jump Shot28
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q2 - 10:46MIAJackson 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)28
17.3%
33
82.7%
Q2 - 10:54MIAHeat Rebound25
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 10:56MIAKirilenko BLOCK (1 BLK)25
13.8%
33
86.2%
Q2 - 10:58MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)25
14.8%
33
85.2%
Q2 - 11:00MIAMISS Gill Layup25
13.8%
33
86.2%
Q2 - 11:05MIAGatling REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
14.6%
33
85.4%
Q2 - 11:07UTAMISS Lewis 15' Jump Shot25
14.3%
33
85.7%
Q2 - 11:23MIAStepania Layup (5 PTS) (House 1 AST)25
13.5%
33
86.5%
Q2 - 11:44UTACollins 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)23
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA23
13.5%
31
86.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0UTAPadgett 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Stevenson 1 AST)23
14.7%
31
85.3%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)23
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 1 of 222
17.0%
28
83.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAHouse REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 0:32.0UTAMISS Stevenson 8' Jump Shot22
16.8%
28
83.2%
Q1 - 0:50.0MIAHouse Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
16.1%
28
83.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0UTAKirilenko Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
17.1%
28
82.9%
Q1 - 1:13MIAKirilenko STEAL (1 STL)22
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q1 - 1:24UTAStevenson Foul Turnover (P1.T3)22
17.2%
28
82.8%
Q1 - 1:38MIAGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)22
16.2%
28
83.8%
Q1 - 1:38MIAGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)21
16.0%
28
84.0%
Q1 - 1:41MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
14.7%
28
85.3%
Q1 - 1:42UTAMISS Malone 9' Jump Shot20
14.4%
28
85.6%
Q1 - 1:55UTAKirilenko REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
13.8%
28
86.2%
Q1 - 1:57MIAMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot20
14.0%
28
86.0%
Q1 - 2:12UTACollins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
14.9%
28
85.1%
Q1 - 2:12UTACollins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
15.2%
27
84.8%
Q1 - 2:26MIAStepania Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
16.2%
26
83.8%
Q1 - 2:26MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
15.7%
26
84.3%
Q1 - 2:45UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)18
14.8%
26
85.2%
Q1 - 3:03MIAStrickland 23' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)18
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 3:27UTAMalone 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)16
13.0%
26
87.0%
Q1 - 3:49MIAGrant 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)16
13.9%
24
86.1%
Q1 - 4:07UTAStevenson 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)14
13.0%
24
87.0%
Q1 - 4:23MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)14
13.8%
22
86.2%
Q1 - 4:41UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)14
15.2%
22
84.8%
Q1 - 4:41UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)14
15.4%
21
84.6%
Q1 - 4:55MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
16.1%
20
83.9%
Q1 - 4:55MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)13
15.9%
20
84.1%
Q1 - 5:05UTAMalone 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Kirilenko 1 AST)12
15.2%
20
84.8%
Q1 - 5:16UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
16.2%
18
83.8%
Q1 - 5:20MIAMISS Grant 21' Jump Shot12
16.6%
18
83.4%
Q1 - 5:33UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
17.5%
18
82.5%
Q1 - 5:33UTAMISS Russell Free Throw 1 of 212
17.7%
17
82.3%
Q1 - 5:44MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 5:44MIAEllis Dunk (4 PTS)12
17.4%
17
82.6%
Q1 - 5:50MIAMISS Strickland Driving Layup10
15.5%
17
84.5%
Q1 - 6:07UTAStevenson 13' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
16.5%
17
83.5%
Q1 - 6:30UTAStevenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.6%
15
82.4%
Q1 - 6:32MIAMISS Jones 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
17.9%
15
82.1%
Q1 - 6:49UTARussell Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
18.8%
15
81.2%
Q1 - 6:49UTARussell Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 6:49UTAJAZZ Rebound10
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Ellis 9' Hook Shot10
20.4%
13
79.6%
Q1 - 7:05MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
21.4%
13
78.6%
Q1 - 7:07UTAMISS Kirilenko Layup10
21.0%
13
79.0%
Q1 - 7:22MIAJackson Layup (2 PTS)10
20.0%
13
80.0%
Q1 - 7:37MIAHeat Rebound8
19.0%
13
81.0%
Q1 - 7:38UTAMISS Collins 5' Jump Shot8
18.6%
13
81.4%
Q1 - 7:56MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
17.7%
13
82.3%
Q1 - 8:03UTAMalone Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
16.7%
13
83.3%
Q1 - 8:22MIAEllis 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)6
15.6%
13
84.4%
Q1 - 8:38UTAMalone Finger Roll (2 PTS)4
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 8:49UTARussell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
15.6%
11
84.4%
Q1 - 8:52MIAMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
15.9%
11
84.1%
Q1 - 9:12UTAKirilenko Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
16.6%
11
83.4%
Q1 - 9:12UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
16.9%
10
83.1%
Q1 - 9:32MIAJones 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
17.4%
9
82.6%
Q1 - 9:52UTAStockton 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)2
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 10:16MIAGrant 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 10:35UTAKirilenko Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
16.6%
7
83.4%
Q1 - 10:35UTAKirilenko Layup (2 PTS) (Malone 1 AST)0
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 10:44UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)0
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 10:46MIAMISS Gill 19' Jump Shot0
19.0%
4
81.0%
Q1 - 11:28UTAStockton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:30UTAMISS Russell Free Throw 1 of 10
22.1%
2
77.9%
Q1 - 11:30UTARussell 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stockton 1 AST)0
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:43UTAJAZZ Rebound0
23.6%
0
76.4%
Q1 - 11:44MIAMISS Jones 21' Jump Shot0
24.0%
0
76.0%
Q1 - 12:00UTAJump Ball Collins vs. Grant: Tip to Gill0
24.9%
0
75.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.3%
UTA
1.28 63.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
19
47%
UTA
14
20
70%
Midrange
MIA
19
45
42%
UTA
11
28
39%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
UTA
5
7.5
7
71%
107%
Free Throws
MIA
18
21
86%
UTA
36
44
82%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Strickland1673%8.0 / 11
B. Grant1267%6.0 / 9
E. Jones1233%6.0 / 18
C. Gatling1192%5.5 / 6
J. Jackson941%4.5 / 11
E. House950%4.5 / 9
K. Gill844%4.0 / 9
L. Ellis739%3.5 / 9
V. Stepania542%2.5 / 6
M. James0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
UTA logo Jazz
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Russell2071%10.0 / 14
K. Malone1956%9.5 / 17
J. Collins1869%9.0 / 13
J. Stockton1478%7.0 / 9
A. Kirilenko1359%6.5 / 11
S. Padgett1083%5.0 / 6
D. Stevenson550%2.5 / 5
Q. Lewis233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
68
+23
-16
91
UTA
75
+4
-14
79
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.95 47.3%
UTA
1.28 63.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
103.4
MIA 106.0
UTA 113.5 +7.5
Pace
89.7
92.3
MIA 76.1
UTA 99.3 +23.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.8
MIA 18.9
UTA 14.5 +4.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.2%
MIA 44.4%
UTA 59.1% +14.7%
TO %
15.5%
16.9%
MIA 16.0%
UTA 15.8% +0.2%
ORB %
26.7%
33.5%
MIA 47.2% +34.2%
UTA 13.0%
FTrt
26.8
38.1
MIA 26.3
UTA 80.0 +53.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
69.7%
MIA 48.5%
UTA 63.3% +14.8%
STL %
7.4%
9.8%
MIA 9.5% +0.5%
UTA 9.0%
BLK %
8.7%
10.5%
MIA 8.3% +0.5%
UTA 7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
50.2%
MIA 47.3%
UTA 63.9% +16.6%
Rim FG%
60.6%
54.8%
MIA 47.4%
UTA 70.0% +22.6%
Mid FG%
38.0%
39.6%
MIA 42.2% +2.9%
UTA 39.3%
3P %
34.7%
33.3%
MIA 31.3%
UTA 71.4% +40.1%
FT %
72.4%
76.3%
MIA 85.7% +3.9%
UTA 81.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
41.1%
MIA 23.8%
UTA 36.4% +12.6%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
45.7%
MIA 56.3%
UTA 50.9% +5.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
13.2%
MIA 20.0% +7.3%
UTA 12.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.23 and 2.23.
Game TotalsMIAUTA
Possessions8489
Possession Minutes26.521.5
Points89101
Rebounds3722
Assists1619
Steals88
Blocks45
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)14 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (6)3 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)20 (3)19 (5)
Field Goals33-8030-55
At-the-Rim FG9-1914-20
Midrange FG19-4511-28
2-Point FG28-6425-48
3-Point FG5-165-7
Free Throws18-2136-44
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
31.6
16
73%
4
5
0
1
2
1
2
2
6-6
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
C · 6'8" 240 · 32
27.6
7
39%
4
1
0
1
1
6
1
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
1-2
50%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
27.6
12
67%
5
0
1
1
2
6
3
2
2-2
100%
5-8
63%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
27.0
8
44%
0
2
0
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
24.7
12
33%
5
2
1
0
1
4
2
3
4-4
100%
1-10
10%
2-6
33%
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
40.8
9
41%
4
3
2
0
3
5
2
2
0-1
0%
3-10
30%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" · 34
22.0
11
92%
4
1
1
0
2
1
2
2
1-2
50%
5-5
100%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
20.6
5
42%
9
1
3
1
3
6
5
4
3-4
75%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 190 · 24
16.9
9
50%
2
1
0
0
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
0.6
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
47%
37
16
8
4
16
0
17
20
18-21
86%
28-64
44%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.