FinalWin Prob.pScore
2316%96
86
884%108
100
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
96.68980.8
ORL logo ORL
111.190100.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL86
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0ATLNewble Driving Layup (5 PTS)86
0%
100
100%
Q4 - 0:33.0ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 2 of 284
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Hunter Free Throw 1 of 284
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:49.0ATLGlover Driving Layup (13 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0ORLWilliams Layup (10 PTS) (Buechler 2 AST)82
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:24ATLMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47ORLDeClercq 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Buechler 1 AST)82
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14ATLGlover Driving Layup (11 PTS)82
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:21ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:23ORLMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:41ATLNewble 15' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Glover 4 AST)80
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:52ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54ORLMISS Sasser 17' Turnaround Jump Shot78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13ATLGlover 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:41ORLBuechler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)76
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 3:52ATLStrickland Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Vaughn 8 AST)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57ORLBuechler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)74
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMISS Glover Free Throw 1 of 273
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17ORLSasser Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)73
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17ORLSasser Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)73
0.1%
93
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21ORLSasser REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:22ATLMISS Johnson Driving Dunk73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30ORLMISS Hunter Layup73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:52ATLSmith Layup (2 PTS)73
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54ATLSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 4:56ATLMISS Strickland Finger Roll71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:04ORLDeClercq Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:06ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:07ATLMISS Glover Layup71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15ATLHawks Rebound71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16ATLHunter BLOCK (1 BLK)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31ORLHunter Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)71
0.1%
92
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31ORLHunter Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)71
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q4 - 5:39ATLJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Vaughn 7 AST)71
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 5:58ORLWilliams Reverse Layup (8 PTS)68
0.1%
90
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)68
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:16ATLJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)67
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:35ORLReid Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Hudson 4 AST)66
0.1%
88
99.9%
Q4 - 6:39ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 6:41ATLMISS Strickland 13' Turnaround Jump Shot66
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07ORLWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)66
0.1%
86
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07ORLWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)66
0.1%
85
99.9%
Q4 - 7:19ATLMottola 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)66
0.2%
84
99.8%
Q4 - 7:34ORLReid 6' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (DeClercq 2 AST)64
0.1%
84
99.9%
Q4 - 7:55ATLWilliams STEAL (2 STL)64
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:06ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:08ORLMISS Buechler 18' Jump Shot64
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:13ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 8:16ATLMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot64
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:37ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:40ORLMISS Hudson 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.3%
82
99.7%
Q4 - 8:53ATLNewble Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13)64
0.2%
82
99.8%
Q4 - 9:16ORLReid Layup (11 PTS) (DeClercq 1 AST)64
0.4%
82
99.6%
Q4 - 9:36ORLDeClercq REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 9:37ATLMISS Newble Free Throw 2 of 264
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 9:37ATLNewble Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)64
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 9:57ORLReid Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)63
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 10:02ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)63
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 10:04ATLMISS Glover 15' Jump Shot63
0.5%
80
99.5%
Q4 - 10:22ORLWilliams Layup (4 PTS) (Reid 1 AST)63
0.6%
80
99.4%
Q4 - 10:28ATLReid STEAL (1 STL)63
0.8%
78
99.2%
Q4 - 10:38ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
1.0%
78
99.0%
Q4 - 10:41ORLMISS DeClercq 6' Hook Shot63
0.9%
78
99.1%
Q4 - 10:59ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 10:59ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)62
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 11:10ORLReid Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)61
0.7%
78
99.3%
Q4 - 11:10ORLReid Finger Roll (8 PTS) (McGrady 8 AST)61
0.9%
77
99.1%
Q4 - 11:26ORLWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
1.1%
75
98.9%
Q4 - 11:28ATLMISS Vaughn 18' Jump Shot61
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL61
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound61
1.4%
75
98.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Bowdler 16' Jump Shot61
1.2%
75
98.8%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T15)61
1.6%
75
98.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0ATLBowdler 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
1.3%
75
98.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)59
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0ATLReid BLOCK (1 BLK)59
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 0:40.0ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 0:43.0ATLMISS Strickland 20' Jump Shot59
0.9%
75
99.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0ORLReid Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)59
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 1:17ATLVaughn 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
1.0%
75
99.0%
Q3 - 1:28ORLArmstrong 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Garrity 2 AST)57
0.8%
75
99.2%
Q3 - 1:40ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 1:42ATLMISS Bowdler 16' Jump Shot57
1.2%
72
98.8%
Q3 - 1:58ORLReid Foul Turnover (P2.T13)57
1.4%
72
98.6%
Q3 - 2:07ATLVaughn Foul Turnover (P3.T11)57
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 2:12ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
1.6%
72
98.4%
Q3 - 2:14ORLMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot57
1.5%
72
98.5%
Q3 - 2:24ATLStrickland 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)57
1.3%
72
98.7%
Q3 - 2:45ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (McGrady 7 AST)55
1.1%
72
98.9%
Q3 - 3:01ATLGlover Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 3:01ATLGlover Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)54
1.4%
70
98.6%
Q3 - 3:19ORLGrant Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)53
1.2%
70
98.8%
Q3 - 3:19ORLGrant Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)53
1.3%
69
98.7%
Q3 - 3:33ATLMottola 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Glover 3 AST)53
1.4%
68
98.6%
Q3 - 3:59ORLGrant Layup (6 PTS) (McGrady 6 AST)51
1.2%
68
98.8%
Q3 - 4:14ATLVaughn 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Glover 2 AST)51
1.5%
66
98.5%
Q3 - 4:37ORLArmstrong 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)49
1.3%
66
98.7%
Q3 - 4:58ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
1.8%
63
98.2%
Q3 - 5:02ORLMISS Garrity 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 5:07ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 5:09ORLMISS Miller Dunk49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 5:13ATLArmstrong STEAL (2 STL)49
2.0%
63
98.0%
Q3 - 5:21ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q3 - 5:23ORLMISS Armstrong 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
2.2%
63
97.8%
Q3 - 5:35ATLGrant STEAL (1 STL)49
1.9%
63
98.1%
Q3 - 5:54ORLMiller Alley Oop Layup (5 PTS) (McGrady 5 AST)49
2.3%
63
97.7%
Q3 - 5:58ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)49
2.7%
61
97.3%
Q3 - 6:00ATLMISS Johnson 17' Turnaround Jump Shot49
2.8%
61
97.2%
Q3 - 6:25ORLGarrity Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)49
3.4%
61
96.6%
Q3 - 6:25ORLGarrity Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
3.5%
60
96.5%
Q3 - 6:32ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
3.9%
59
96.1%
Q3 - 6:34ATLMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot49
4.1%
59
95.9%
Q3 - 6:58ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
4.6%
59
95.4%
Q3 - 7:00ORLMISS McGrady 15' Jump Shot49
4.3%
59
95.7%
Q3 - 7:17ATLMottola 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)49
4.0%
59
96.0%
Q3 - 7:36ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)47
3.5%
59
96.5%
Q3 - 7:38ORLMISS Garrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 7:41ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)47
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q3 - 7:44ORLMISS Miller 6' Jump Shot47
3.3%
59
96.7%
Q3 - 7:56ATLMottola 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Vaughn 6 AST)47
3.0%
59
97.0%
Q3 - 8:21ORLArmstrong Driving Layup (9 PTS)45
2.7%
59
97.3%
Q3 - 8:24ATLArmstrong STEAL (1 STL)45
3.1%
57
96.9%
Q3 - 8:46ORLGarrity 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Armstrong 2 AST)45
3.6%
57
96.4%
Q3 - 8:57ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
4.7%
54
95.3%
Q3 - 8:59ATLMISS Strickland 17' Turnaround Jump Shot45
5.0%
54
95.0%
Q3 - 9:18ATLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)45
5.5%
54
94.5%
Q3 - 9:20ORLMISS Grant Layup45
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 9:21ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)45
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q3 - 9:22ORLMISS McGrady Layup45
5.3%
54
94.7%
Q3 - 9:42ATLVaughn 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)45
4.8%
54
95.2%
Q3 - 10:05ORLGrant Layup (4 PTS) (McGrady 4 AST)43
4.2%
54
95.8%
Q3 - 10:16ATLMohammed 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Vaughn 5 AST)43
4.7%
52
95.3%
Q3 - 10:42ORLMcGrady 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)41
4.2%
52
95.8%
Q3 - 10:49ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)41
5.4%
49
94.6%
Q3 - 10:51ATLMISS Johnson 2' Running Jump Shot41
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q3 - 11:15ORLMcGrady 8' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)41
6.2%
49
93.8%
Q3 - 11:26ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q3 - 11:28ATLMISS Strickland 8' Hook Shot41
7.3%
47
92.7%
Q3 - 11:42ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q3 - 11:44ORLMISS Miller 27' 3PT Jump Shot41
7.7%
47
92.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORL41
7.0%
47
93.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLMcGrady STEAL (1 STL)41
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
8.0%
47
92.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0ORLMISS Grant 12' Turnaround Jump Shot41
7.8%
47
92.2%
Q2 - 0:29.0ATLMohammed 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)41
7.4%
47
92.6%
Q2 - 0:45.0ORLGrant 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS) (McGrady 3 AST)39
6.3%
47
93.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0ATLMottola Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)39
7.3%
45
92.7%
Q2 - 1:20ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)39
8.1%
45
91.9%
Q2 - 1:33ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Newble: Tip to Miller39
9.6%
43
90.4%
Q2 - 1:33ATLMcGrady BLOCK (1 BLK)39
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 1:34ATLNewble REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 1:36ATLMISS Vaughn 19' Jump Shot39
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 1:56ORLGarrity 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (McGrady 2 AST)39
10.2%
43
89.8%
Q2 - 2:12ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 2:13ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 239
14.4%
40
85.6%
Q2 - 2:13ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 239
13.4%
40
86.6%
Q2 - 2:27ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)39
13.2%
40
86.8%
Q2 - 2:29ATLMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot39
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 2:48ORLGarrity 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)39
14.6%
40
85.4%
Q2 - 2:52ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
16.4%
38
83.6%
Q2 - 2:54ORLMISS Miller 7' Jump Shot39
17.5%
38
82.5%
Q2 - 3:02ATLVaughn Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)39
15.7%
38
84.3%
Q2 - 3:18ORLArmstrong 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (McGrady 1 AST)37
14.4%
38
85.6%
Q2 - 3:31ATLMohammed Layup (6 PTS)37
17.4%
35
82.6%
Q2 - 3:32ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)35
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 3:34ATLMISS Strickland 15' Turnaround Jump Shot35
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 3:55ATLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
16.0%
35
84.0%
Q2 - 3:57ORLMISS McGrady 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
15.5%
35
84.5%
Q2 - 4:21ATLMohammed Dunk (4 PTS) (Vaughn 4 AST)35
14.0%
35
86.0%
Q2 - 4:44ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 2 of 233
12.5%
35
87.5%
Q2 - 4:45ORLMISS McGrady Free Throw 1 of 233
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 4:49ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)33
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 4:50ATLMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 233
11.6%
35
88.4%
Q2 - 4:50ATLStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)33
12.2%
35
87.8%
Q2 - 5:11ORLGarrity 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Hudson 3 AST)32
11.4%
35
88.6%
Q2 - 5:26ATLBowdler 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Glover 1 AST)32
12.4%
33
87.6%
Q2 - 5:44ORLHudson Driving Layup (7 PTS)30
11.4%
33
88.6%
Q2 - 5:51ORLBuechler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
12.5%
31
87.5%
Q2 - 5:56ORLMISS Buechler 18' Jump Shot30
13.4%
31
86.6%
Q2 - 6:15ATLMottola 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vaughn 3 AST)30
12.3%
31
87.7%
Q2 - 6:37ORLMcGrady Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)28
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 6:43ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
10.1%
31
89.9%
Q2 - 6:46ATLMISS Glover 25' 3PT Jump Shot28
10.5%
31
89.5%
Q2 - 7:03ATLBowdler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
11.3%
31
88.7%
Q2 - 7:06ORLMISS Reid 4' Hook Shot28
11.0%
31
89.0%
Q2 - 7:18ORLWilliams Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (2 PTS)28
10.2%
31
89.8%
Q2 - 7:18ORLWilliams Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
10.5%
30
89.5%
Q2 - 7:21ATLVaughn Driving Layup (6 PTS)28
12.3%
29
87.7%
Q2 - 7:38ORLReid 8' Hook Shot (6 PTS)26
11.3%
29
88.7%
Q2 - 7:49ATLWilliams STEAL (1 STL)26
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q2 - 8:09ATLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q2 - 8:11ORLMISS Hudson 16' Running Jump Shot26
13.2%
27
86.8%
Q2 - 8:16ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)26
12.3%
27
87.7%
Q2 - 8:19ATLMISS Vaughn 20' Jump Shot26
12.7%
27
87.3%
Q2 - 8:49ORLHudson Running Dunk (5 PTS)26
13.6%
27
86.4%
Q2 - 8:53ATLHudson STEAL (1 STL)26
14.7%
25
85.3%
Q2 - 9:06ORLGarrity Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)26
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 9:09ORLGarrity REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q2 - 9:11ATLWilliams BLOCK (1 BLK)26
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q2 - 9:25ORLHudson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)26
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 9:35ATLVaughn Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)26
14.4%
25
85.6%
Q2 - 9:55ORLReid Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Hudson 2 AST)26
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q2 - 10:07ORLMAGIC Rebound26
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q2 - 10:10ATLMISS Bowdler 16' Jump Shot26
17.7%
23
82.3%
Q2 - 10:31ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)26
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q2 - 10:33ORLMISS Buechler 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
18.3%
23
81.7%
Q2 - 10:40ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
17.2%
23
82.8%
Q2 - 10:42ATLMISS Mohammed 14' Jump Shot26
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q2 - 10:43ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
18.8%
23
81.2%
Q2 - 10:45ATLMISS Bowdler 16' Jump Shot26
17.6%
23
82.4%
Q2 - 11:06ORLGarrity 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Hudson 1 AST)26
18.1%
23
81.9%
Q2 - 11:21ATLVaughn Driving Layup (4 PTS)26
19.6%
21
80.4%
Q2 - 11:46ORLReid Layup (2 PTS)24
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q2 - 11:47ORLReid REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
19.6%
19
80.4%
Q2 - 11:49ORLMISS Garrity 16' Jump Shot24
20.7%
19
79.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL24
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound24
21.3%
19
78.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Vaughn 9' Running Jump Shot24
20.1%
19
79.9%
Q1 - 0:17.0ORLHudson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)24
20.6%
19
79.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLHudson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
22.2%
18
77.8%
Q1 - 0:21.0ORLHudson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)24
22.5%
17
77.5%
Q1 - 0:40.0ATLGlover 3' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)24
24.3%
16
75.7%
Q1 - 0:55.0ORLHudson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)22
22.3%
16
77.7%
Q1 - 1:01ORLHudson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
20.9%
16
79.1%
Q1 - 1:03ATLMISS Mohammed 13' Jump Shot22
21.3%
16
78.7%
Q1 - 1:15ATLGlover REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
22.2%
16
77.8%
Q1 - 1:18ORLMISS Hudson 19' Jump Shot22
21.8%
16
78.2%
Q1 - 1:39ATLMohammed REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)20
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 1:40ATLMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 120
18.1%
16
81.9%
Q1 - 1:40ATLJohnson Finger Roll (6 PTS)20
18.0%
16
82.0%
Q1 - 1:43ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)18
16.3%
16
83.7%
Q1 - 1:55ATLMohammed Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)18
15.4%
16
84.6%
Q1 - 2:12ORLReid Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T7)16
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 2:12ORLReid REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 2:13ATLMISS Vaughn 16' Jump Shot16
13.2%
16
86.8%
Q1 - 2:36ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)16
13.9%
16
86.1%
Q1 - 2:52ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 2:52ATLJohnson Layup (4 PTS)16
12.9%
16
87.1%
Q1 - 2:53ATLMISS Vaughn Driving Layup14
11.2%
16
88.8%
Q1 - 2:57ATLJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
11.8%
16
88.2%
Q1 - 3:00ORLMISS Miller Layup14
11.6%
16
88.4%
Q1 - 3:18ATLMottola Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Vaughn 2 AST)14
10.8%
16
89.2%
Q1 - 3:27ATLMottola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 3:29ORLMISS Grant 20' Jump Shot12
9.8%
16
90.2%
Q1 - 3:36ORLMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 3:38ATLMISS Strickland 16' Jump Shot12
9.4%
16
90.6%
Q1 - 3:59ORLArmstrong Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
10.0%
16
90.0%
Q1 - 4:02ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 4:04ATLMISS Strickland 16' Turnaround Jump Shot12
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 4:21ORLMcGrady Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 4:31ORLMAGIC Rebound12
9.0%
16
91.0%
Q1 - 4:33ATLMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot12
9.2%
16
90.8%
Q1 - 4:55ORLMiller Out Of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)12
9.9%
16
90.1%
Q1 - 5:09ATLStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)12
8.9%
16
91.1%
Q1 - 5:09ATLStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
8.7%
16
91.3%
Q1 - 5:13ATLVaughn REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 5:15ORLMISS Garrity 17' Jump Shot10
8.1%
16
91.9%
Q1 - 5:30ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 5:33ATLMISS Vaughn 22' Jump Shot10
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 5:41ORLMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 5:53ORLGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
7.6%
16
92.4%
Q1 - 5:56ATLMISS Strickland 16' Turnaround Jump Shot10
7.8%
16
92.2%
Q1 - 6:14ORLArmstrong 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
8.3%
16
91.7%
Q1 - 6:32ATLStrickland Reverse Layup (4 PTS)10
8.9%
14
91.1%
Q1 - 7:03ORLGarrity 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Armstrong 1 AST)8
8.3%
14
91.7%
Q1 - 7:18ORLArmstrong REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
9.5%
11
90.5%
Q1 - 7:21ATLMISS Mottola 16' Jump Shot8
9.7%
11
90.3%
Q1 - 7:31ATLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 7:33ORLMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
10.0%
11
90.0%
Q1 - 7:38ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
9.5%
11
90.5%
Q1 - 7:40ATLMISS Mohammed 10' Hook Shot8
9.7%
11
90.3%
Q1 - 7:59ORLGarrity Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
10.3%
11
89.7%
Q1 - 8:12ATLJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T2)8
9.3%
11
90.7%
Q1 - 8:28ATLStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
10.1%
11
89.9%
Q1 - 8:31ORLMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot8
9.8%
11
90.2%
Q1 - 8:45ATLVaughn Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T1)8
9.3%
11
90.7%
Q1 - 9:01ORLGarrity 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)8
10.0%
11
90.0%
Q1 - 9:18ATLVaughn Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
10.5%
9
89.5%
Q1 - 9:30ORLMcGrady Slam Dunk (4 PTS)6
10.0%
9
90.0%
Q1 - 9:39ATLJohnson 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
10.5%
7
89.5%
Q1 - 9:56ORLMcGrady 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)4
10.0%
7
90.0%
Q1 - 10:10ATLStrickland 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Vaughn 1 AST)4
10.5%
5
89.5%
Q1 - 10:37ORLArmstrong Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
9.9%
5
90.1%
Q1 - 11:02ATLMottola Layup (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)2
10.6%
3
89.4%
Q1 - 11:15ORLMiller 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Garrity 1 AST)0
9.8%
3
90.2%
Q1 - 11:35ORLMcGrady REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
11.3%
0
88.7%
Q1 - 11:37ATLMISS Mottola 15' Jump Shot0
11.5%
0
88.5%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball McGrady vs. Mohammed: Tip to Mottola0
12.0%
0
88.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.4%
ORL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
20
29
69%
ORL
16
22
73%
Midrange
ATL
16
45
36%
ORL
14
29
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
1
1.5
3
33%
50%
ORL
8
12.0
17
47%
71%
Free Throws
ATL
11
15
73%
ORL
16
22
73%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Vaughn1447%7.0 / 15
H. Mottola1478%7.0 / 9
D. Johnson1350%6.5 / 13
D. Glover1359%6.5 / 11
M. Strickland1134%5.5 / 16
N. Mohammed1063%5.0 / 8
I. Newble563%2.5 / 4
C. Bowdler429%2.0 / 7
L. Smith250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Garrity2382%11.5 / 14
D. Armstrong1594%7.5 / 8
D. Reid1583%7.5 / 9
M. Williams10100%5.0 / 5
T. McGrady950%4.5 / 9
H. Grant850%4.0 / 8
T. Hudson758%3.5 / 6
M. Miller531%2.5 / 8
J. Buechler225%1.0 / 4
A. DeClercq250%1.0 / 2
S. Hunter233%1.0 / 3
J. Sasser250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
75
+11
-14
86
ORL
72
+8
-18
80
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
0.99 49.4%
ORL
1.25 62.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.1
104.4
ATL 96.6 +14.5
ORL 111.1
Pace
93.6
95.6
ATL 80.8
ORL 100.5 +19.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.2
14.6
ATL 17.8
ORL 14.3 +3.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
47.1%
49.3%
ATL 48.7%
ORL 61.8% +13.1%
TO %
15.6%
13.7%
ATL 14.3% +4.5%
ORL 18.8%
ORB %
27.5%
26.4%
ATL 21.6%
ORL 24.2% +2.6%
FTrt
29.4
27.8
ATL 19.5
ORL 32.4 +12.9
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
57.0%
58.4%
ATL 51.4%
ORL 71.1% +19.7%
STL %
8.5%
8.4%
ATL 12.4% +3.5%
ORL 8.9%
BLK %
6.5%
6.8%
ATL 5.9% +0.5%
ORL 5.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.2%
50.9%
ATL 49.4%
ORL 62.5% +13.1%
Rim FG%
55.2%
57.9%
ATL 69.0%
ORL 72.7% +3.7%
Mid FG%
37.6%
38.6%
ATL 35.6%
ORL 48.3% +12.7%
3P %
35.4%
37.3%
ATL 33.3%
ORL 47.1% +13.8%
FT %
76.5%
75.4%
ATL 73.3% +0.6%
ORL 72.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
37.9%
33.5%
ATL 37.7% +5.3%
ORL 32.4%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
42.4%
ATL 58.4%
ORL 42.6% +15.8%
3P Att. %
18.1%
24.1%
ATL 3.9%
ORL 25.0% +21.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLORL
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes26.421.5
Points86100
Rebounds3337
Assists1927
Steals118
Blocks34
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)8 (0)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (0)29 (3)
Field Goals37-7738-68
At-the-Rim FG20-2916-22
Midrange FG16-4514-29
2-Point FG36-7430-51
3-Point FG1-38-17
Free Throws11-1516-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'1" 190 · 27
44.3
14
47%
4
8
0
0
3
3
0
4
0-0
-
7-15
47%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 220 · 32
36.9
11
34%
5
2
1
0
3
3
0
5
3-4
75%
4-14
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 247 · 25
35.5
14
78%
3
0
2
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
7-9
78%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 250 · 24
32.8
10
63%
6
1
1
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'9" 210 · 22
32.2
13
50%
4
4
4
1
2
2
1
3
2-3
67%
4-9
44%
1-2
50%
F-G · 6'5" 225 · 23
23.4
13
59%
4
4
1
1
2
0
0
4
5-6
83%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 253 · 25
14.9
4
29%
4
0
1
0
0
3
2
2
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 21
10.9
2
50%
2
0
1
0
0
1
1
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 220 · 27
9.1
5
63%
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 24
F · 6'9" 245 · 25
C · 6'10" 235 · 29
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
86
49%
33
19
11
3
14
0
8
25
11-15
73%
36-74
49%
1-3
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.