FinalWin Prob.pScore
2446%89
95
2654%90
93
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.29378.0
CLE logo CLE
98.99492.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

CavaliersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIACLE
OT1 - 0:00.0CLE95
100%
93
0%
OT1 - 0:00.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound95
95.4%
93
4.6%
OT1 - 0:00.0CLEMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
99.0%
93
1.0%
OT1 - 0:04.0CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
92.5%
93
7.5%
OT1 - 0:04.0MIAMISS Ellis 21' Jump Shot95
94.8%
93
5.2%
OT1 - 0:30.0CLEDavis 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS)95
88.4%
93
11.6%
OT1 - 0:45.0MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Strickland 7 AST)95
91.0%
91
9.0%
OT1 - 0:58.0MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
82.2%
91
17.8%
OT1 - 1:00CLEMISS Ilgauskas 18' Jump Shot93
78.5%
91
21.5%
OT1 - 1:22MIAGrant 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Strickland 6 AST)93
66.5%
91
33.5%
OT1 - 1:33MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)91
55.4%
91
44.6%
OT1 - 1:35MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot91
45.1%
91
54.9%
OT1 - 1:50MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
54.4%
91
45.6%
OT1 - 1:52CLEMISS Miller 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
50.6%
91
49.4%
OT1 - 2:18MIAJones 9' Fadeaway Jumper (27 PTS)91
40.2%
91
59.8%
OT1 - 2:39MIAHeat Rebound89
34.7%
91
65.3%
OT1 - 2:40MIAMISS Strickland Layup89
24.5%
91
75.5%
OT1 - 3:00CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)89
34.4%
91
65.6%
OT1 - 3:00CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)89
36.0%
90
64.0%
OT1 - 3:04CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
40.5%
89
59.5%
OT1 - 3:06MIAMISS Strickland 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
45.0%
89
55.0%
OT1 - 3:24MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
55.9%
89
44.1%
OT1 - 3:28CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)89
40.2%
89
59.8%
OT1 - 3:28CLEMISS Ilgauskas Tip Shot89
51.1%
89
48.9%
OT1 - 3:30CLEMISS Miller 3' Layup89
51.2%
89
48.8%
OT1 - 3:50MIAStrickland 9' Jump Shot (13 PTS)89
42.8%
89
57.2%
OT1 - 4:08MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)87
34.3%
89
65.7%
OT1 - 4:10CLEMISS Ilgauskas 10' Jump Shot87
31.6%
89
68.4%
OT1 - 4:31CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)87
25.8%
89
74.2%
OT1 - 4:32MIAMISS Grant 14' Jump Shot87
28.2%
89
71.8%
OT1 - 4:46CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 1 of 187
32.9%
89
67.1%
OT1 - 4:46CLEIlgauskas 1' Dunk (13 PTS) (Person 3 AST)87
34.1%
89
65.9%
OT1 - 5:00CLEJump Ball Ilgauskas vs. Grant: Tip to Miller87
42.5%
87
57.5%
Q4 - 0:02.0CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
35.6%
87
64.4%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Jackson 3' Layup87
41.3%
87
58.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)87
63.1%
87
36.9%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)87
68.3%
86
31.7%
Q4 - 0:08.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound87
81.4%
85
18.6%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Strickland Free Throw 2 of 287
83.7%
85
16.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)87
91.2%
85
8.8%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEIlgauskas 1' Layup (9 PTS)86
83.3%
85
16.7%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
92.6%
83
7.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0CLEMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
96.6%
83
3.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)86
90.8%
83
9.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 286
90.3%
83
9.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
93.7%
83
6.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)85
90.7%
83
9.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0CLEMISS Miller Free Throw 2 of 285
88.8%
83
11.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
81.7%
83
18.3%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)85
87.5%
82
12.5%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
94.8%
82
5.2%
Q4 - 0:36.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas 14' Jump Shot85
93.2%
82
6.8%
Q4 - 0:50.0CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
82.8%
82
17.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Mourning 7' Hook Shot85
85.1%
82
14.9%
Q4 - 1:15CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)85
87.3%
82
12.7%
Q4 - 1:15CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)85
88.6%
81
11.4%
Q4 - 1:15CLECAVALIERS Rebound85
91.7%
80
8.3%
Q4 - 1:16MIAMISS Jones 17' Jump Shot85
93.0%
80
7.0%
Q4 - 1:33CLEPerson Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)85
94.2%
80
5.8%
Q4 - 1:33CLEPerson 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Miller 12 AST)85
96.4%
79
3.6%
Q4 - 1:34MIAJones 19' Fadeaway Jumper (25 PTS)85
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q4 - 1:52CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
95.6%
77
4.4%
Q4 - 1:52CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)83
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q4 - 1:56CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)83
97.2%
75
2.8%
Q4 - 1:59MIAMISS Jackson 11' Hook Shot83
97.7%
75
2.3%
Q4 - 2:16CLEDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T16)83
98.3%
75
1.7%
Q4 - 2:33MIAStrickland 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jones 5 AST)83
96.5%
75
3.5%
Q4 - 2:56CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 181
93.6%
75
6.4%
Q4 - 2:56CLEDavis 1' Driving Dunk (10 PTS) (Miller 11 AST)81
94.1%
75
5.9%
Q4 - 3:00CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
95.5%
73
4.5%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
96.2%
73
3.8%
Q4 - 3:24CLEDavis 16' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)81
97.5%
73
2.5%
Q4 - 3:52MIAEllis 23' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 5 AST)81
96.8%
71
3.2%
Q4 - 4:04MIAHeat Rebound79
95.7%
71
4.3%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
94.4%
71
5.6%
Q4 - 4:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)79
95.8%
71
4.2%
Q4 - 4:26CLEMISS Miller 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
95.3%
71
4.7%
Q4 - 4:43MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)79
93.9%
71
6.1%
Q4 - 5:06MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
93.9%
71
6.1%
Q4 - 5:08CLEMISS Mihm 13' Jump Shot79
93.2%
71
6.8%
Q4 - 5:21CLEStith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
91.6%
71
8.4%
Q4 - 5:25MIASkinner BLOCK (3 BLK)79
92.4%
71
7.6%
Q4 - 5:46CLEStith Foul Turnover (P1.T15)79
94.0%
71
6.0%
Q4 - 6:06MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)79
89.3%
71
10.7%
Q4 - 6:25MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
82.9%
71
17.1%
Q4 - 6:27CLEMISS Miller 8' Jump Shot76
81.3%
71
18.7%
Q4 - 6:44CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)76
77.5%
71
22.5%
Q4 - 6:48MIAMISS James 17' Jump Shot76
79.3%
71
20.7%
Q4 - 7:07CLEMiller 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Stith 2 AST)76
80.7%
71
19.3%
Q4 - 7:08CLECAVALIERS Rebound76
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q4 - 7:09CLEMISS Stith 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
86.8%
69
13.2%
Q4 - 7:32MIAJackson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Grant 4 AST)76
84.3%
69
15.7%
Q4 - 7:45CLEMihm Foul Turnover (P1.T14)74
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q4 - 8:07MIAJones 4' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)74
73.8%
69
26.2%
Q4 - 8:28CLEColes Foul Turnover (P1.T13)72
68.8%
69
31.2%
Q4 - 8:44CLEColes Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)72
62.9%
69
37.1%
Q4 - 8:49CLEColes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
68.7%
68
31.3%
Q4 - 8:52CLEMISS Mihm 2' Layup72
72.5%
68
27.5%
Q4 - 8:54CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
68.7%
68
31.3%
Q4 - 8:56CLEMISS Coles 6' Jump Shot72
72.5%
68
27.5%
Q4 - 9:22MIAJames 4' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Mourning 1 AST)72
67.4%
68
32.6%
Q4 - 9:40CLEDavis 22' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Coles 2 AST)70
62.2%
68
37.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAIlgauskas STEAL (1 STL)70
67.5%
66
32.5%
Q4 - 10:12CLEDavis 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ilgauskas 1 AST)70
71.4%
66
28.6%
Q4 - 10:25CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
75.5%
64
24.5%
Q4 - 10:27MIAMISS Mourning 14' Jump Shot70
76.9%
64
23.1%
Q4 - 10:41MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
79.8%
64
20.2%
Q4 - 10:42CLEMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot70
78.6%
64
21.4%
Q4 - 11:05MIAJames 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)70
74.3%
64
25.7%
Q4 - 11:23CLEIlgauskas Traveling Turnover (P3.T12)68
70.2%
64
29.8%
Q4 - 11:36CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
65.2%
64
34.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)68
66.8%
64
33.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA68
70.2%
64
29.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0CLEColes 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)68
69.0%
64
31.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0CLECAVALIERS Rebound68
73.3%
62
26.7%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAJones BLOCK (1 BLK)68
74.5%
62
25.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0CLEPerson 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Coles 1 AST)68
77.2%
62
22.8%
Q3 - 0:43.0CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
80.6%
60
19.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Stepania Free Throw 2 of 268
81.0%
60
19.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAStepania Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
82.6%
60
17.4%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)67
80.6%
60
19.4%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIAMISS Jackson 12' Jump Shot67
78.3%
60
21.7%
Q3 - 1:03CLEDavis 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS)67
79.3%
60
20.7%
Q3 - 1:23MIAEllis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)67
82.3%
58
17.7%
Q3 - 1:43CLEIlgauskas 1' Layup (5 PTS)64
76.0%
58
24.0%
Q3 - 2:05MIAJackson 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)64
77.6%
56
22.4%
Q3 - 2:25CLEPerson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Miller 10 AST)62
74.6%
56
25.4%
Q3 - 3:02MIAStepania 1' Layup (2 PTS)62
80.0%
53
20.0%
Q3 - 3:03MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
77.1%
53
22.9%
Q3 - 3:06MIAMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot60
74.7%
53
25.3%
Q3 - 3:31CLESkinner Foul Turnover (P3.T11)60
77.1%
53
22.9%
Q3 - 3:41CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
73.6%
53
26.4%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Stepania 13' Fadeaway Jumper60
74.7%
53
25.3%
Q3 - 4:05MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
76.2%
53
23.8%
Q3 - 4:08CLEMISS Miller 10' Jump Shot60
75.0%
53
25.0%
Q3 - 4:23CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)60
72.4%
53
27.6%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Stepania 19' Jump Shot60
73.6%
53
26.4%
Q3 - 4:42CLEPerson 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Miller 9 AST)60
76.3%
53
23.7%
Q3 - 5:03CLECAVALIERS Rebound60
80.7%
50
19.3%
Q3 - 5:05MIAMISS Jones 12' Jump Shot60
81.5%
50
18.5%
Q3 - 5:20CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P2.T10)60
83.4%
50
16.6%
Q3 - 5:35MIAStrickland 13' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Grant 3 AST)60
80.7%
50
19.3%
Q3 - 5:37MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
78.2%
50
21.8%
Q3 - 5:39MIAMISS Gill 16' Jump Shot58
76.0%
50
24.0%
Q3 - 5:56MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
78.3%
50
21.7%
Q3 - 6:01CLEMISS Mihm 2' Hook Shot58
76.1%
50
23.9%
Q3 - 6:03CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)58
73.9%
50
26.1%
Q3 - 6:06MIASkinner BLOCK (2 BLK)58
74.9%
50
25.1%
Q3 - 6:10MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)58
77.1%
50
22.9%
Q3 - 6:12MIAMISS Mourning 1' Dunk58
74.9%
50
25.1%
Q3 - 6:36MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
77.2%
50
22.8%
Q3 - 6:38CLEMISS Miller 17' Jump Shot58
76.3%
50
23.7%
Q3 - 7:03MIAJones 17' Fadeaway Jumper (21 PTS) (Strickland 4 AST)58
72.8%
50
27.2%
Q3 - 7:23MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
70.1%
50
29.9%
Q3 - 7:25CLEMISS Person 14' Fadeaway Jumper56
69.0%
50
31.0%
Q3 - 7:27CLECAVALIERS Rebound56
66.3%
50
33.7%
Q3 - 7:27CLEMISS Person 6' Fadeaway Jumper56
69.0%
50
31.0%
Q3 - 7:45MIAJones STEAL (1 STL)56
66.3%
50
33.7%
Q3 - 7:51MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
70.2%
50
29.8%
Q3 - 7:54CLEMISS Mihm 14' Jump Shot56
69.0%
50
31.0%
Q3 - 8:09MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Gill 3 AST)56
66.0%
50
34.0%
Q3 - 8:11MIAGill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)54
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 8:15MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot54
60.2%
50
39.8%
Q3 - 8:24MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 8:28CLEMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot54
61.8%
50
38.2%
Q3 - 8:32CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
58.9%
50
41.1%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Jones 10' Fadeaway Jumper54
60.2%
50
39.8%
Q3 - 8:53CLEMihm 7' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Person 2 AST)54
63.0%
50
37.0%
Q3 - 9:15CLECAVALIERS Rebound54
65.3%
48
34.7%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMihm BLOCK (2 BLK)54
66.4%
48
33.6%
Q3 - 9:38CLEJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Miller 8 AST)54
68.7%
48
31.3%
Q3 - 9:43CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)54
74.6%
45
25.4%
Q3 - 9:46CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)54
74.6%
45
25.4%
Q3 - 9:46CLEMISS Mihm Layup54
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q3 - 9:49CLEMISS Skinner 1' Layup54
76.5%
45
23.5%
Q3 - 10:24MIAGill 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Grant 2 AST)54
73.7%
45
26.3%
Q3 - 10:37MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
71.2%
45
28.8%
Q3 - 10:39CLEMISS Mihm 4' Jump Shot52
70.2%
45
29.8%
Q3 - 10:49CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
67.9%
45
32.1%
Q3 - 10:50MIAMISS Grant 18' Jump Shot52
68.9%
45
31.1%
Q3 - 11:07CLEMiller 5' Layup (12 PTS)52
70.5%
45
29.5%
Q3 - 11:28CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
73.2%
43
26.8%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 252
73.6%
43
26.4%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 252
75.0%
43
25.0%
Q3 - 11:47CLEPerson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS) (Jones 4 AST)52
76.0%
43
24.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
78.3%
41
21.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
80.7%
41
19.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAStith BLOCK (1 BLK)52
79.0%
41
21.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAHeat Rebound52
79.2%
41
20.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0CLEMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
78.8%
41
21.2%
Q2 - 0:23.0MIAGrant 11' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)52
77.7%
41
22.3%
Q2 - 0:40.0CLEJones 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Miller 7 AST)50
74.7%
41
25.3%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIAJackson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T8)50
77.8%
39
22.2%
Q2 - 1:12MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
78.4%
39
21.6%
Q2 - 1:15CLEMISS Ilgauskas 7' Fadeaway Jumper50
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 1:32CLECAVALIERS Rebound50
77.3%
39
22.7%
Q2 - 1:32CLEMISS Ilgauskas 3' Jump Shot50
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 1:33CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
77.3%
39
22.7%
Q2 - 1:36CLEMISS Stith 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
78.1%
39
21.9%
Q2 - 1:42CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
77.3%
39
22.7%
Q2 - 1:47MIAMISS Jones 11' Running Jump Shot50
77.6%
39
22.4%
Q2 - 2:05CLEStith Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)50
78.0%
39
22.0%
Q2 - 2:05CLEStith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)50
78.3%
38
21.7%
Q2 - 2:16CLEStith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)50
80.2%
37
19.8%
Q2 - 2:18CLEMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
81.5%
37
18.5%
Q2 - 2:21CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)50
80.2%
37
19.8%
Q2 - 2:24CLEPerson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
80.3%
37
19.7%
Q2 - 2:24CLEMISS Person 1' Tip Shot50
81.5%
37
18.5%
Q2 - 2:27CLEMISS Person 3' Jump Shot50
81.5%
37
18.5%
Q2 - 2:40CLEStith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
80.3%
37
19.7%
Q2 - 2:43MIAMISS Strickland 18' Jump Shot50
80.9%
37
19.1%
Q2 - 3:04CLEPerson 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Miller 6 AST)50
81.0%
37
19.0%
Q2 - 3:16MIAStrickland Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)50
82.6%
35
17.4%
Q2 - 3:21MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
84.5%
35
15.5%
Q2 - 3:25CLEMISS Jones 5' Running Jump Shot50
83.9%
35
16.1%
Q2 - 3:43MIAGrant 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)50
82.7%
35
17.3%
Q2 - 3:58MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
81.1%
35
18.9%
Q2 - 4:00CLEMISS Skinner 1' Hook Shot48
80.5%
35
19.5%
Q2 - 4:01CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
78.0%
35
22.0%
Q2 - 4:04CLEMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
79.4%
35
20.6%
Q2 - 4:07CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
78.1%
35
21.9%
Q2 - 4:13MIAMISS Grant 6' Jump Hook Shot48
78.7%
35
21.3%
Q2 - 4:33CLEJones 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Miller 5 AST)48
80.0%
35
20.0%
Q2 - 4:41CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)48
81.8%
33
18.2%
Q2 - 4:43CLEMISS Stith 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
83.0%
33
17.0%
Q2 - 5:05MIAJones 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Strickland 3 AST)48
81.2%
33
18.8%
Q2 - 5:16CLEMiller Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)45
77.7%
33
22.3%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
75.5%
33
24.5%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
74.8%
33
25.2%
Q2 - 5:38MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
73.5%
33
26.5%
Q2 - 5:38MIASkinner BLOCK (1 BLK)43
71.8%
33
28.2%
Q2 - 5:51MIAMourning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)43
73.5%
33
26.5%
Q2 - 5:55CLEMISS Skinner 2' Layup43
72.8%
33
27.2%
Q2 - 6:15CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
70.3%
33
29.7%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 2 of 243
70.7%
33
29.3%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)43
71.9%
33
28.1%
Q2 - 6:24MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
70.8%
33
29.2%
Q2 - 6:27CLEMISS Stith 7' Jump Shot42
70.0%
33
30.0%
Q2 - 6:44MIAMourning Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)42
68.0%
33
32.0%
Q2 - 6:58MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
70.9%
33
29.1%
Q2 - 7:00CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 242
70.5%
33
29.5%
Q2 - 7:00CLEMISS Davis Free Throw 1 of 242
69.1%
33
30.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAJones 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS) (James 1 AST)42
67.4%
33
32.6%
Q2 - 7:38CLEJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
65.2%
33
34.8%
Q2 - 7:38CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
65.9%
32
34.1%
Q2 - 7:59MIAEllis Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)40
67.4%
31
32.6%
Q2 - 8:18CLEJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)40
69.4%
31
30.6%
Q2 - 8:19CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
66.8%
31
33.2%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMihm BLOCK (1 BLK)40
67.6%
31
32.4%
Q2 - 8:46CLEMihm 8' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Stith 1 AST)40
69.4%
31
30.6%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
70.6%
29
29.4%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Mourning Free Throw 1 of 239
69.9%
29
30.1%
Q2 - 9:20CLEStith 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Miller 4 AST)39
70.9%
29
29.1%
Q2 - 9:22CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
72.7%
27
27.3%
Q2 - 9:28MIAMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot39
73.4%
27
26.6%
Q2 - 9:46CLEJones 2' Layup (3 PTS)39
74.9%
27
25.1%
Q2 - 9:48CLEJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
76.5%
25
23.5%
Q2 - 9:51CLEMISS Davis 19' Jump Shot39
77.9%
25
22.1%
Q2 - 10:06MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)39
76.0%
25
24.0%
Q2 - 10:17MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
72.5%
25
27.5%
Q2 - 10:19CLEMISS Stith 19' Jump Shot36
71.8%
25
28.2%
Q2 - 10:29MIAEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
70.2%
25
29.8%
Q2 - 10:29MIAEllis 1' Layup (2 PTS)36
70.2%
25
29.8%
Q2 - 10:33MIAIlgauskas BLOCK (1 BLK)34
66.6%
25
33.4%
Q2 - 10:45CLEStith 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Miller 3 AST)34
68.4%
25
31.6%
Q2 - 11:01MIAMourning 4' Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)34
69.6%
23
30.4%
Q2 - 11:06MIAJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
67.5%
23
32.5%
Q2 - 11:11CLEMISS Ilgauskas 1' Layup32
66.9%
23
33.1%
Q2 - 11:28MIAJames 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 2 AST)32
65.4%
23
34.6%
Q2 - 11:41CLEStith Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
63.2%
23
36.8%
Q2 - 11:41CLEStith Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)30
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA30
65.4%
21
34.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEMiller Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)30
66.7%
21
33.3%
Q1 - 0:02.0CLEMiller Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)30
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0CLEDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
69.3%
19
30.7%
Q1 - 0:10.0CLEMISS Person 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
70.3%
19
29.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0CLEPerson Free Throw Technical (4 PTS)30
69.3%
19
30.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJones Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)30
71.3%
18
28.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIAStepania REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
72.8%
18
27.2%
Q1 - 0:49.0CLEMISS Ilgauskas 6' Fadeaway Jumper30
72.3%
18
27.7%
Q1 - 1:02CLEIlgauskas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
71.2%
18
28.8%
Q1 - 1:06MIAMISS Jones 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
71.6%
18
28.4%
Q1 - 1:18CLESkinner Foul Turnover (P2.T7)30
72.6%
18
27.4%
Q1 - 1:31MIAJones 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)30
71.2%
18
28.8%
Q1 - 1:51MIAJones Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)27
66.7%
18
33.3%
Q1 - 1:51CLEIlgauskas Foul Turnover (P1.T6)26
64.5%
18
35.5%
Q1 - 2:09MIAStrickland 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)26
62.6%
18
37.4%
Q1 - 2:13CLEMiller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)24
60.3%
18
39.7%
Q1 - 2:41MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)24
58.2%
18
41.8%
Q1 - 2:56CLEMiller 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jones 3 AST)21
53.4%
18
46.6%
Q1 - 3:11MIASkinner STEAL (1 STL)21
55.1%
16
44.9%
Q1 - 3:26MIAGrant REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
57.6%
16
42.4%
Q1 - 3:28CLEMISS Ilgauskas Free Throw 2 of 221
57.3%
16
42.7%
Q1 - 3:28CLEIlgauskas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)21
55.9%
16
44.1%
Q1 - 3:42CLEMiller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
57.4%
15
42.6%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS Jackson 16' Jump Shot21
58.1%
15
41.9%
Q1 - 4:01CLEMiller 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)21
59.5%
15
40.5%
Q1 - 4:11MIAPerson STEAL (1 STL)21
61.2%
13
38.8%
Q1 - 4:32CLEIlgauskas 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Miller 2 AST)21
63.7%
13
36.3%
Q1 - 4:44MIAJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Strickland 2 AST)21
65.3%
11
34.7%
Q1 - 5:08CLEMiller 3' Driving Finger Roll (4 PTS) (Person 1 AST)18
60.6%
11
39.4%
Q1 - 5:17CLEPerson Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)18
62.4%
9
37.6%
Q1 - 5:38MIAJackson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)18
64.4%
8
35.6%
Q1 - 5:53MIAJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
62.7%
8
37.3%
Q1 - 5:55CLEMISS Ilgauskas 7' Jump Shot16
62.1%
8
37.9%
Q1 - 6:07CLEJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
59.7%
8
40.3%
Q1 - 6:09MIAMISS Grant 13' Jump Shot16
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 6:27CLEPerson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
61.8%
8
38.2%
Q1 - 6:43MIAMourning 7' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)16
63.6%
6
36.4%
Q1 - 6:57MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
61.8%
6
38.2%
Q1 - 7:00CLEMISS Jones 20' Jump Shot14
61.2%
6
38.8%
Q1 - 7:11MIAGill Foul Turnover (P1.T1)14
58.7%
6
41.3%
Q1 - 7:22MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
60.8%
6
39.2%
Q1 - 7:26CLEMISS Skinner 1' Slam Dunk14
60.2%
6
39.8%
Q1 - 7:44MIAGrant 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Strickland 1 AST)14
58.8%
6
41.2%
Q1 - 7:54MIAStrickland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
57.2%
6
42.8%
Q1 - 7:58CLEMISS Skinner 8' Hook Shot12
56.5%
6
43.5%
Q1 - 8:21MIAJones 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)12
55.2%
6
44.8%
Q1 - 8:39CLEPerson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)10
53.5%
6
46.5%
Q1 - 8:43CLEMihm REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
51.4%
6
48.6%
Q1 - 8:46MIAMISS Strickland 21' Jump Shot10
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 8:59CLESkinner Backcourt Turnover (P1.T3)10
53.5%
6
46.5%
Q1 - 9:03CLECAVALIERS Rebound10
51.1%
6
48.9%
Q1 - 9:04CLEMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 210
53.2%
6
46.8%
Q1 - 9:04CLEJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
52.1%
6
47.9%
Q1 - 9:25MIAStrickland Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
53.0%
5
47.0%
Q1 - 9:25MIAStrickland Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)9
52.7%
5
47.3%
Q1 - 9:34CLEMihm 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miller 1 AST)8
51.6%
5
48.4%
Q1 - 9:46CLESkinner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
53.0%
3
47.0%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Gill 7' Fadeaway Jumper8
53.8%
3
46.2%
Q1 - 10:06CLESkinner Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)8
55.0%
3
45.0%
Q1 - 10:06CLEMISS Skinner Free Throw 1 of 28
55.5%
2
44.5%
Q1 - 10:19MIAStrickland 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gill 1 AST)8
54.8%
2
45.2%
Q1 - 10:33CLEMiller 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)6
53.2%
2
46.8%
Q1 - 11:01MIAJones 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
54.7%
0
45.3%
Q1 - 11:10CLEJones Out Of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)4
52.8%
0
47.2%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMourning Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)4
51.1%
0
48.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAMourning Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
50.5%
0
49.5%
Q1 - 11:22CLEMiller Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)2
49.1%
0
50.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMourning 3' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Grant 1 AST)2
47.4%
0
52.6%
Q1 - 12:00CLEJump Ball Mihm vs. Mourning: Tip to Strickland0
45.5%
0
54.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
CLE
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
19
47%
CLE
11
26
42%
Midrange
MIA
22
49
45%
CLE
19
40
48%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
12
58%
88%
CLE
3
4.5
14
21%
32%
Free Throws
MIA
12
19
63%
CLE
24
32
75%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
E. Jones2768%13.5 / 20
A. Mourning1547%7.5 / 16
R. Strickland1346%6.5 / 14
M. James12100%6.0 / 6
B. Grant1050%5.0 / 10
L. Ellis758%3.5 / 6
J. Jackson633%3.0 / 9
V. Stepania330%1.5 / 5
K. Gill233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
CLE logo Cavaliers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Person1963%9.5 / 15
A. Miller1753%8.5 / 16
J. Jones1458%7.0 / 12
Z. Ilgauskas1338%6.5 / 17
R. Davis1260%6.0 / 10
B. Stith844%4.0 / 9
C. Mihm633%3.0 / 9
B. Coles375%1.5 / 2
B. Skinner18%0.5 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
82
+12
-11
94
CLE
77
+19
-17
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.01 50.5%
CLE
0.96 47.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
96.1
102.3
MIA 102.2
CLE 98.9 +3.2
Pace
89.7
92.4
MIA 78.0
CLE 92.6 +14.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.7
15.7
MIA 18.5
CLE 15.6 +2.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
47.7%
MIA 51.9% +8.8%
CLE 43.1%
TO %
15.5%
14.8%
MIA 12.0% +3.3%
CLE 15.3%
ORB %
26.7%
29.0%
MIA 21.1%
CLE 29.8% +8.7%
FTrt
26.8
30.1
MIA 23.8
CLE 40.0 +16.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.4%
64.1%
MIA 73.7% +1.0%
CLE 72.7%
STL %
7.4%
7.5%
MIA 4.3%
CLE 4.3%
BLK %
8.7%
8.6%
MIA 13.6% +0.4%
CLE 13.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.08 and 2.08.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
47.7%
49.9%
MIA 50.5% +2.6%
CLE 47.9%
Rim FG%
60.6%
53.9%
MIA 47.4% +5.1%
CLE 42.3%
Mid FG%
38.0%
41.9%
MIA 44.9%
CLE 47.5% +2.6%
3P %
34.7%
37.7%
MIA 58.3% +36.9%
CLE 21.4%
FT %
72.4%
77.2%
MIA 63.2%
CLE 75.0% +11.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
28.1%
29.5%
MIA 23.8%
CLE 32.5% +8.8%
Mid Att. %
57.8%
54.9%
MIA 61.3%
CLE 50.0% +11.3%
3P Att. %
14.1%
15.6%
MIA 15.0%
CLE 17.5% +2.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIACLE
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes28.624.4
Points9593
Rebounds4144
Assists2824
Steals44
Blocks99
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)14 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (1)30 (5)
Field Goals38-8033-80
At-the-Rim FG9-1911-26
Midrange FG22-4919-40
2-Point FG31-6830-66
3-Point FG7-123-14
Free Throws12-1924-32
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 200 · 30
49.5
27
68%
4
5
2
2
2
4
0
4
1-1
100%
7-13
54%
4-7
57%
G · 6'3" 185 · 36
39.2
13
46%
6
7
1
1
3
4
0
6
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 254 · 30
33.4
10
50%
8
4
0
0
1
1
2
6
0-0
-
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 261 · 32
32.1
15
47%
6
1
1
4
1
6
1
5
7-12
58%
4-10
40%
0-0
-
F · 6'5" 216 · 34
16.8
2
33%
2
3
0
0
2
4
1
1
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 31
39.7
6
33%
5
5
0
0
1
0
0
5
0-0
-
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 32
27.3
7
58%
6
2
0
1
1
4
2
4
0-0
-
2-5
40%
1-1
100%
G · 6'2" 188 · 27
13.8
12
100%
1
1
0
0
0
3
0
1
0-0
-
3-4
75%
2-2
100%
C · 7'1" 255 · 26
13.2
3
30%
3
0
0
1
0
1
2
1
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" · 34
F · 6'10" 255 · 24
# 5 · G · 6'1" 190 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
95
51%
41
28
4
9
11
0
8
33
12-19
63%
31-68
46%
7-12
58%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.