FinalWin Prob.pScore
463%105
104
2237%101
97
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
108.39699.2
DEN logo DEN
102.19593.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL104
100%
97
0%
Q4 - 0:15.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)104
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0DENMISS Posey 26' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
97
0.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)104
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0DALHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)103
99.7%
97
0.3%
Q4 - 0:24.0DENLaFrentz Alley Oop Dunk (24 PTS) (McCloud 3 AST)102
99.4%
97
0.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)102
99.6%
95
0.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMISS Hardaway Free Throw 2 of 2102
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)102
99.8%
95
0.2%
Q4 - 0:29.0DENVan Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Posey 3 AST)101
99.7%
95
0.3%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)101
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 2100
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:43.0DALMavericks Rebound100
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:44.0DENMISS Lenard 15' Fadeaway Jumper100
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)100
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 0:52.0DALHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)99
99.4%
92
0.6%
Q4 - 0:59.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)98
98.8%
92
1.2%
Q4 - 1:01DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 1:07DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
97.3%
92
2.7%
Q4 - 1:09DALMISS Najera 18' Jump Shot98
97.7%
92
2.3%
Q4 - 1:31DENLenard 5' Jump Shot (4 PTS)98
97.9%
92
2.1%
Q4 - 1:40DALNash Driving Layup (17 PTS)98
98.5%
90
1.5%
Q4 - 1:58DENPosey Layup (17 PTS) (Lenard 4 AST)96
97.4%
90
2.6%
Q4 - 2:02DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)96
98.1%
88
1.9%
Q4 - 2:04DALMISS Hardaway 12' Jump Shot96
98.4%
88
1.6%
Q4 - 2:12DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
99.0%
88
1.0%
Q4 - 2:16DENMISS Lenard 5' Running Jump Shot96
98.8%
88
1.2%
Q4 - 2:29DALHardaway Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
98.0%
88
2.0%
Q4 - 2:29DALHardaway Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)95
97.9%
88
2.1%
Q4 - 2:29DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)94
97.5%
88
2.5%
Q4 - 2:31DENLenard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
95.2%
88
4.8%
Q4 - 2:31DENMISS Lenard Tip Shot94
97.0%
88
3.0%
Q4 - 2:33DENMISS Posey 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
97.0%
88
3.0%
Q4 - 2:40DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
95.2%
88
4.8%
Q4 - 2:42DALMISS Nash 14' Jump Shot94
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 2:59DENPosey 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)94
96.4%
88
3.6%
Q4 - 3:16DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
97.4%
86
2.6%
Q4 - 3:20DALCheaney BLOCK (2 BLK)94
97.8%
86
2.2%
Q4 - 3:35DENPosey Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
97.3%
86
2.7%
Q4 - 3:35DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)94
97.4%
85
2.6%
Q4 - 3:44DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P4.T15)94
98.1%
84
1.9%
Q4 - 4:04DENPosey 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Van Exel 15 AST)94
98.8%
84
1.2%
Q4 - 4:13DALVan Exel STEAL (3 STL)94
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 4:30DENPosey Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)94
99.4%
82
0.6%
Q4 - 4:30DENPosey Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Van Exel 14 AST)94
99.6%
81
0.4%
Q4 - 4:53DALNash 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)94
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:05DALMavericks Rebound91
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 5:06DENMISS Van Exel 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
98.9%
79
1.1%
Q4 - 5:22DALHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)91
98.7%
79
1.3%
Q4 - 5:37DENVan Exel 7' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)91
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 6:05DALHardaway 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Najera 1 AST)91
99.0%
77
1.0%
Q4 - 6:08DALMavericks Rebound88
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 6:09DALMISS Nash 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 6:16DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
98.2%
77
1.8%
Q4 - 6:19DENMISS Cheaney Layup88
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 6:31DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)88
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 6:34DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot88
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 6:43DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 6:43DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup88
98.1%
77
1.9%
Q4 - 6:57DALNajera 12' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)88
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q4 - 7:09DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
96.1%
77
3.9%
Q4 - 7:12DENMISS Van Exel 7' Turnaround Jump Shot86
95.7%
77
4.3%
Q4 - 7:27DALMavericks Rebound86
94.8%
77
5.2%
Q4 - 7:27DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)86
94.8%
77
5.2%
Q4 - 7:28DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot86
95.2%
77
4.8%
Q4 - 7:52DALNajera Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (1 PTS)86
96.1%
77
3.9%
Q4 - 7:52DALMISS Najera Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 285
95.8%
77
4.2%
Q4 - 8:03DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)85
93.8%
77
6.2%
Q4 - 8:05DENMISS Posey 14' Jump Shot85
93.4%
77
6.6%
Q4 - 8:26DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Howard 4 AST)85
92.2%
77
7.8%
Q4 - 8:49DENJohnson Driving Layup (7 PTS)82
87.8%
77
12.2%
Q4 - 9:03DALHardaway Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)82
89.4%
75
10.6%
Q4 - 9:19DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)82
91.6%
75
8.4%
Q4 - 9:19DENJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)82
92.0%
74
8.0%
Q4 - 9:30DALHoward REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)82
93.2%
73
6.8%
Q4 - 9:30DALHoward Tip Shot (18 PTS)82
93.2%
73
6.8%
Q4 - 9:31DALHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)80
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q4 - 9:31DALMISS Howard Layup80
90.2%
73
9.8%
Q4 - 9:34DALMISS Griffin 15' Jump Shot80
90.2%
73
9.8%
Q4 - 9:42DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
91.6%
73
8.4%
Q4 - 9:44DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot80
91.0%
73
9.0%
Q4 - 10:03DALHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T10)80
88.5%
73
11.5%
Q4 - 10:06DALHardaway REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)80
90.7%
73
9.3%
Q4 - 10:07DENBowen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
88.5%
73
11.5%
Q4 - 10:07DENMISS Bowen Tip Shot80
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q4 - 10:10DENMISS Johnson 10' Fadeaway Jumper80
90.1%
73
9.9%
Q4 - 10:39DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Griffin 4 AST)80
88.6%
73
11.4%
Q4 - 10:54DENMISS LaFrentz Free Throw 1 of 177
82.9%
73
17.1%
Q4 - 10:54DENLaFrentz Layup (22 PTS) (Posey 2 AST)77
83.3%
73
16.7%
Q4 - 11:03DENNUGGETS Rebound77
85.0%
71
15.0%
Q4 - 11:05DENMISS LaFrentz 21' Jump Shot77
86.9%
71
13.1%
Q4 - 11:22DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)77
85.0%
71
15.0%
Q4 - 11:22DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)76
84.4%
71
15.6%
Q4 - 11:40DENPosey 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Van Exel 13 AST)75
82.2%
71
17.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DEN75
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound75
87.6%
68
12.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot75
88.6%
68
11.4%
Q3 - 0:04.0DALManning 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Hardaway 6 AST)75
87.1%
68
12.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
84.6%
68
15.4%
Q3 - 0:13.0DENMISS Lenard 8' Jump Shot73
83.8%
68
16.2%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALHoward Layup (14 PTS) (Nash 8 AST)73
81.8%
68
18.2%
Q3 - 0:45.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)71
78.5%
68
21.5%
Q3 - 0:47.0DENMISS McCloud 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
77.4%
68
22.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0DALVan Exel STEAL (2 STL)71
74.8%
68
25.2%
Q3 - 1:00DENMcCloud Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)71
78.5%
68
21.5%
Q3 - 1:02DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
74.6%
68
25.4%
Q3 - 1:04DENMISS McCloud Reverse Layup71
77.2%
68
22.8%
Q3 - 1:18DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
74.7%
68
25.3%
Q3 - 1:20DALMISS Nash 9' Turnaround Jump Shot71
75.8%
68
24.2%
Q3 - 1:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
78.3%
68
21.7%
Q3 - 1:31DENMISS Lenard 20' Jump Shot71
77.2%
68
22.8%
Q3 - 1:45DENBowen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
74.7%
68
25.3%
Q3 - 1:48DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot71
75.8%
68
24.2%
Q3 - 1:59DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)71
78.3%
68
21.7%
Q3 - 1:59DENMISS Bowen Free Throw 1 of 271
79.0%
67
21.0%
Q3 - 2:07DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
77.3%
67
22.7%
Q3 - 2:09DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Jump Shot71
78.4%
67
21.6%
Q3 - 2:27DENMcCloud Layup (4 PTS) (Lenard 3 AST)71
80.7%
67
19.3%
Q3 - 2:31DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
83.3%
65
16.7%
Q3 - 2:33DALMISS Howard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot71
84.1%
65
15.9%
Q3 - 2:57DENVan Exel 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (McCloud 2 AST)71
85.9%
65
14.1%
Q3 - 3:02DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)71
87.4%
63
12.6%
Q3 - 3:05DENMISS Van Exel 9' Jump Shot71
88.8%
63
11.2%
Q3 - 3:25DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Nash 7 AST)71
87.4%
63
12.6%
Q3 - 3:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)68
83.1%
63
16.9%
Q3 - 3:38DENMISS Bowen Layup68
82.2%
63
17.8%
Q3 - 3:57DALLenard STEAL (1 STL)68
80.2%
63
19.8%
Q3 - 4:01DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)68
82.8%
63
17.2%
Q3 - 4:03DENMISS McCloud 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
81.9%
63
18.1%
Q3 - 4:30DALManning Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 3 AST)68
79.8%
63
20.2%
Q3 - 4:46DENBowen Layup (17 PTS) (Van Exel 12 AST)66
77.3%
63
22.7%
Q3 - 5:05DALNowitzki Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Griffin 3 AST)66
79.5%
61
20.5%
Q3 - 5:11DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q3 - 5:13DALMISS Manning 19' Jump Shot64
74.6%
61
25.4%
Q3 - 5:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)64
76.9%
61
23.1%
Q3 - 5:25DENMISS Lenard 12' Jump Shot64
75.9%
61
24.1%
Q3 - 5:53DALNash 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)64
73.5%
61
26.5%
Q3 - 6:13DENBowen 6' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Van Exel 11 AST)62
70.4%
61
29.6%
Q3 - 6:32DALHoward Layup (12 PTS)62
73.4%
59
26.6%
Q3 - 6:50DALMavericks Rebound60
70.4%
59
29.6%
Q3 - 6:51DENMISS Cheaney 10' Jump Shot60
69.3%
59
30.7%
Q3 - 7:11DALHoward 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Nash 6 AST)60
66.1%
59
33.9%
Q3 - 7:32DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)58
63.1%
59
36.9%
Q3 - 7:32DENBowen Layup (12 PTS) (Van Exel 10 AST)58
66.7%
58
33.3%
Q3 - 7:49DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
69.6%
56
30.4%
Q3 - 7:52DALMISS Howard 17' Jump Shot58
70.7%
56
29.3%
Q3 - 8:07DALMavericks Rebound58
73.4%
56
26.6%
Q3 - 8:08DENMISS LaFrentz 8' Jump Shot58
72.3%
56
27.7%
Q3 - 8:26DALHoward Layup (8 PTS)58
69.8%
56
30.2%
Q3 - 8:36DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
67.0%
56
33.0%
Q3 - 8:38DENMISS Van Exel 15' Jump Shot56
65.8%
56
34.2%
Q3 - 8:58DALNash 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)56
63.1%
56
37.0%
Q3 - 9:16DENBowen Layup (10 PTS) (Van Exel 9 AST)54
60.2%
56
39.8%
Q3 - 9:32DALHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
63.6%
54
36.4%
Q3 - 9:32DALHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)53
62.8%
54
37.2%
Q3 - 9:48DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)52
60.2%
54
39.8%
Q3 - 9:48DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)52
61.0%
53
39.0%
Q3 - 10:02DALManning 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)52
64.1%
52
35.9%
Q3 - 10:13DALHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)50
61.1%
52
38.9%
Q3 - 10:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
61.1%
52
38.9%
Q3 - 10:15DALMISS Howard Tip Shot50
58.5%
52
41.5%
Q3 - 10:17DALMISS Nowitzki 8' Running Jump Shot50
58.5%
52
41.5%
Q3 - 10:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)50
61.1%
52
38.9%
Q3 - 10:27DENMISS Van Exel 11' Running Jump Shot50
59.9%
52
40.1%
Q3 - 10:39DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P2.T7)50
57.2%
52
42.8%
Q3 - 10:56DENBowen Layup (6 PTS) (Van Exel 8 AST)50
61.0%
52
39.0%
Q3 - 11:07DALPosey STEAL (1 STL)50
64.9%
50
35.1%
Q3 - 11:08DALManning REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
68.0%
50
32.0%
Q3 - 11:10DENMISS LaFrentz 12' Turnaround Jump Shot50
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 11:33DENNUGGETS Rebound50
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q3 - 11:35DALMISS Griffin 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
65.8%
50
34.2%
Q3 - 11:44DALHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
68.0%
50
32.0%
Q3 - 11:46DALLaFrentz BLOCK (2 BLK)50
65.8%
50
34.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN50
68.0%
50
32.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
64.8%
50
35.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nash Driving Layup50
66.3%
50
33.7%
Q2 - 0:25.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
67.7%
50
32.3%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENMISS Lenard 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q2 - 0:33.0DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
65.6%
50
34.4%
Q2 - 0:35.0DALMISS Howard 7' Hook Shot50
66.2%
50
33.8%
Q2 - 0:46.0DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
67.7%
50
32.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot50
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q2 - 1:09DALGriffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nash 5 AST)50
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q2 - 1:15DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
58.4%
50
41.6%
Q2 - 1:18DENMISS Posey 6' Hook Shot47
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q2 - 1:31DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q2 - 1:33DALMISS Najera 8' Turnaround Jump Shot47
57.3%
50
42.7%
Q2 - 1:44DALHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
58.4%
50
41.6%
Q2 - 1:46DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
56.8%
50
43.2%
Q2 - 1:46DENMISS LaFrentz Layup47
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q2 - 1:49DENMISS LaFrentz 7' Running Jump Shot47
57.9%
50
42.1%
Q2 - 2:16DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
56.5%
50
43.5%
Q2 - 2:18DALMISS Hardaway 16' Jump Shot47
57.4%
50
42.6%
Q2 - 2:25DALZhi-zhi REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
59.3%
50
40.7%
Q2 - 2:27DENMISS Posey 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
58.5%
50
41.5%
Q2 - 2:31DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)47
56.5%
50
43.5%
Q2 - 2:35DALLaFrentz BLOCK (1 BLK)47
57.4%
50
42.6%
Q2 - 2:50DENPosey 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (LaFrentz 2 AST)47
59.3%
50
40.7%
Q2 - 2:53DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
65.5%
47
34.5%
Q2 - 2:54DENMISS Lenard 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
67.2%
47
32.8%
Q2 - 3:21DALNowitzki Layup (15 PTS) (Hardaway 5 AST)47
65.5%
47
34.5%
Q2 - 3:40DENLenard 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 7 AST)45
63.1%
47
36.9%
Q2 - 3:48DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
65.5%
45
34.5%
Q2 - 3:50DALMISS Nowitzki 7' Jump Shot45
66.4%
45
33.6%
Q2 - 3:55DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
68.4%
45
31.6%
Q2 - 3:58DENMISS Lenard 3PT Jump Shot45
67.6%
45
32.4%
Q2 - 4:19DALGriffin Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)45
66.0%
45
34.0%
Q2 - 4:19DALGriffin Layup (8 PTS) (Hardaway 4 AST)44
63.3%
45
36.7%
Q2 - 4:34DENLenard Foul Turnover (P2.T7)42
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 4:39DALVan Exel STEAL (1 STL)42
57.8%
45
42.2%
Q2 - 4:50DALMavericks Rebound42
60.6%
45
39.4%
Q2 - 4:52DENMISS LaFrentz 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
59.8%
45
40.2%
Q2 - 5:07DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
58.1%
45
41.9%
Q2 - 5:07DALGriffin Tip Shot (6 PTS)42
58.1%
45
41.9%
Q2 - 5:09DALMISS Zhi-zhi 4' Jump Shot40
53.5%
45
46.5%
Q2 - 5:26DENLaFrentz Layup (20 PTS) (Cheaney 2 AST)40
55.6%
45
44.4%
Q2 - 5:57DALNowitzki Layup (13 PTS) (Hardaway 3 AST)40
58.1%
43
41.9%
Q2 - 6:20DENJohnson 16' Jump Shot (3 PTS)38
56.4%
43
43.6%
Q2 - 6:37DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
58.5%
41
41.5%
Q2 - 6:39DALMISS Hardaway 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
59.5%
41
40.5%
Q2 - 6:46DENMcCloud Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T6)38
61.7%
41
38.3%
Q2 - 7:02DALHardaway 30' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
59.4%
41
40.6%
Q2 - 7:24DENLenard Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)35
54.3%
41
45.7%
Q2 - 7:46DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)35
51.5%
41
48.5%
Q2 - 8:00DENJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)35
54.3%
41
45.7%
Q2 - 8:00DENMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 235
54.8%
40
45.2%
Q2 - 8:26DALGriffin 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Hardaway 2 AST)35
54.1%
40
45.9%
Q2 - 8:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
51.9%
40
48.1%
Q2 - 8:47DENMISS Johnson Driving Layup33
51.0%
40
49.0%
Q2 - 9:07DALHardaway 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Zhi-zhi 1 AST)33
49.7%
40
50.3%
Q2 - 9:29DENMcCloud Driving Layup (2 PTS)30
44.9%
40
55.1%
Q2 - 9:48DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 9:48DALNowitzki Tip Shot (11 PTS)30
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 9:52DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Finger Roll28
42.9%
38
57.1%
Q2 - 10:16DENCheaney Layup (12 PTS) (McCloud 1 AST)28
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 10:20DENMcCloud REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
47.2%
36
52.8%
Q2 - 10:23DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot28
48.0%
36
52.0%
Q2 - 10:36DENCheaney 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)28
50.0%
36
50.0%
Q2 - 10:41DENHamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
52.1%
34
47.9%
Q2 - 10:43DALMISS Nash Driving Layup28
53.0%
34
47.0%
Q2 - 10:50DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
54.9%
34
45.1%
Q2 - 10:52DENMISS Lenard 17' Jump Shot28
54.1%
34
45.9%
Q2 - 11:13DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 128
53.1%
34
46.9%
Q2 - 11:13DALNowitzki Running Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nash 4 AST)28
52.8%
34
47.2%
Q2 - 11:28DENHamilton Dunk (2 PTS) (Lenard 2 AST)26
50.3%
34
49.7%
Q2 - 11:49DALNash 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Hardaway 1 AST)26
52.7%
32
47.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN24
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
47.9%
32
52.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALVan Exel BLOCK (1 BLK)24
49.0%
32
51.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0DALNash REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q1 - 0:13.0DENMISS Van Exel 22' Jump Shot24
49.8%
32
50.2%
Q1 - 0:30.0DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
48.5%
32
51.5%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALCheaney BLOCK (1 BLK)24
49.0%
32
51.0%
Q1 - 0:38.0DENCheaney 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Van Exel 6 AST)24
50.3%
32
49.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0DALNowitzki Dunk (7 PTS) (Newman 1 AST)24
53.2%
30
46.8%
Q1 - 1:02DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
50.5%
30
49.5%
Q1 - 1:04DENMISS Lenard Layup22
50.0%
30
50.0%
Q1 - 1:20DALNewman Layup (5 PTS) (Nash 3 AST)22
48.7%
30
51.3%
Q1 - 1:25DALNajera REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
45.8%
30
54.2%
Q1 - 1:28DENMISS LaFrentz 11' Jump Shot20
45.2%
30
54.8%
Q1 - 1:37DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q1 - 1:39DALMISS Newman 20' Jump Shot20
44.5%
30
55.5%
Q1 - 1:58DENLaFrentz 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lenard 1 AST)20
45.8%
30
54.2%
Q1 - 2:14DENLenard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
49.0%
28
51.0%
Q1 - 2:17DALMISS Najera 14' Jump Shot20
49.7%
28
50.3%
Q1 - 2:39DENLaFrentz 14' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Van Exel 5 AST)20
51.2%
28
48.8%
Q1 - 2:46DENLaFrentz REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
53.7%
26
46.3%
Q1 - 2:49DALMISS Griffin 9' Jump Shot20
54.3%
26
45.7%
Q1 - 3:14DENCheaney 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (LaFrentz 1 AST)20
56.6%
26
43.4%
Q1 - 3:22DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
58.5%
24
41.5%
Q1 - 3:25DALMISS Howard 9' Turnaround Jump Shot20
59.3%
24
40.7%
Q1 - 3:47DENLaFrentz Layup (14 PTS) (Cheaney 1 AST)20
60.9%
24
39.1%
Q1 - 3:58DENPosey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
62.8%
22
37.2%
Q1 - 4:00DALMISS Nash 15' Jump Shot20
63.5%
22
36.5%
Q1 - 4:12DENVan Exel 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)20
65.6%
22
34.4%
Q1 - 4:24DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
67.1%
20
32.9%
Q1 - 4:26DALMISS Newman 3PT Jump Shot20
67.8%
20
32.2%
Q1 - 4:37DALGriffin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
69.4%
20
30.6%
Q1 - 4:39DENMISS LaFrentz 6' Jump Shot20
68.7%
20
31.3%
Q1 - 5:03DALNowitzki 15' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)20
67.5%
20
32.5%
Q1 - 5:09DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
65.8%
20
34.2%
Q1 - 5:11DENMISS Bowen Layup18
65.2%
20
34.8%
Q1 - 5:33DALNash 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Griffin 2 AST)18
63.7%
20
36.3%
Q1 - 5:50DENBowen Foul Turnover (P1.T4)16
61.9%
20
38.1%
Q1 - 5:56DALNash Driving Layup (4 PTS)16
59.6%
20
40.4%
Q1 - 6:06DENLaFrentz 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Van Exel 4 AST)14
58.2%
20
41.8%
Q1 - 6:23DALNash 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
62.0%
17
38.0%
Q1 - 6:29DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
60.1%
17
39.9%
Q1 - 6:31DENMISS Bowen 17' Jump Shot12
59.5%
17
40.5%
Q1 - 6:46DALNash Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)12
58.1%
17
41.9%
Q1 - 6:54DALMavericks Rebound12
60.1%
17
39.9%
Q1 - 6:55DALMISS Griffin 24' 3PT Jump Shot12
58.7%
17
41.3%
Q1 - 7:09DENLaFrentz Slam Dunk (9 PTS) (Van Exel 3 AST)12
61.0%
17
39.0%
Q1 - 7:13DALBowen STEAL (1 STL)12
62.6%
15
37.4%
Q1 - 7:27DENLaFrentz 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Posey 1 AST)12
64.5%
15
35.5%
Q1 - 7:47DALHoward Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nash 2 AST)12
67.7%
12
32.3%
Q1 - 7:59DENBowen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)10
66.2%
12
33.8%
Q1 - 7:59DENBowen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
66.6%
11
33.4%
Q1 - 8:17DALNewman 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Griffin 1 AST)10
68.3%
10
31.7%
Q1 - 8:29DENBowen Layup (2 PTS) (Van Exel 2 AST)7
65.1%
10
34.9%
Q1 - 8:40DALCheaney STEAL (1 STL)7
66.6%
8
33.4%
Q1 - 8:46DENPosey Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)7
68.5%
8
31.5%
Q1 - 9:00DENNUGGETS Rebound7
66.6%
8
33.4%
Q1 - 9:02DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 2 of 27
66.6%
8
33.4%
Q1 - 9:02DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
67.8%
8
32.2%
Q1 - 9:22DENLaFrentz Dunk (4 PTS) (Bowen 2 AST)6
66.8%
8
33.2%
Q1 - 9:27DENCheaney REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
68.0%
6
32.0%
Q1 - 9:30DALMISS Howard 7' Jump Hook Shot6
68.7%
6
31.3%
Q1 - 9:45DENCheaney 18' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)6
70.1%
6
29.9%
Q1 - 10:07DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)6
71.3%
4
28.7%
Q1 - 10:15DENPosey Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
69.9%
4
30.1%
Q1 - 10:30DALGriffin Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
68.1%
4
31.9%
Q1 - 10:40DENCheaney 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Van Exel 1 AST)2
66.7%
4
33.3%
Q1 - 11:02DALHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Nash 1 AST)2
68.4%
2
31.6%
Q1 - 11:06DENLaFrentz Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 11:28DENVan Exel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
65.1%
2
34.9%
Q1 - 11:31DALMISS Newman 17' Jump Shot0
65.6%
2
34.4%
Q1 - 11:35DENLaFrentz Layup (2 PTS) (Bowen 1 AST)0
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball LaFrentz vs. Nowitzki: Tip to Van Exel0
68.4%
0
31.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.12 55.9%
DEN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
19
27
70%
DEN
17
28
61%
Midrange
DAL
12
40
30%
DEN
18
39
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
9
13.5
14
64%
96%
DEN
5
7.5
19
26%
39%
Free Throws
DAL
15
20
75%
DEN
12
15
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2659%13.0 / 22
J. Howard1953%9.5 / 18
S. Nash1757%8.5 / 15
T. Hardaway1680%8.0 / 10
A. Griffin1260%6.0 / 10
D. Manning660%3.0 / 5
J. Newman550%2.5 / 5
E. Najera338%1.5 / 4
W. Zhi-zhi0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. LaFrentz2460%12.0 / 20
R. Bowen1864%9.0 / 14
J. Posey1757%8.5 / 15
C. Cheaney1275%6.0 / 8
N. Van Exel945%4.5 / 10
A. Johnson750%3.5 / 7
V. Lenard415%2.0 / 13
G. McCloud429%2.0 / 7
Z. Hamilton2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
82
+11
-14
93
DEN
87
+8
-8
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
1.12 55.9%
DEN
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.4
99.6
DAL 108.3 +6.2
DEN 102.1
Pace
95.4
92.1
DAL 99.2 +6.0
DEN 93.3
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
16.0
DAL 14.5 +0.9
DEN 15.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.7%
45.5%
DAL 54.9% +5.5%
DEN 49.4%
TO %
12.1%
14.9%
DAL 14.3%
DEN 8.0% +6.3%
ORB %
26.2%
30.7%
DAL 20.5% +5.5%
DEN 15.0%
FTrt
28.8
25.6
DAL 24.7 +7.3
DEN 17.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.6%
62.3%
DAL 70.0%
DEN 80.0% +10.0%
STL %
7.4%
8.0%
DAL 4.2%
DEN 7.4% +3.2%
BLK %
7.1%
8.6%
DAL 9.0% +1.5%
DEN 7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.41 and 2.41.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
47.2%
DAL 55.9% +6.4%
DEN 49.5%
Rim FG%
58.9%
55.5%
DAL 70.4% +9.7%
DEN 60.7%
Mid FG%
42.0%
36.9%
DAL 30.0%
DEN 46.2% +16.2%
3P %
37.8%
32.9%
DAL 64.3% +38.0%
DEN 26.3%
FT %
80.6%
74.4%
DAL 75.0%
DEN 80.0% +5.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
30.7%
33.7%
DAL 33.3% +0.8%
DEN 32.6%
Mid Att. %
45.6%
47.6%
DAL 49.4%
DEN 45.3% +4.0%
3P Att. %
23.7%
18.7%
DAL 17.3%
DEN 22.1% +4.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.18 and 2.18.
Game TotalsDALDEN
Possessions9695
Possession Minutes23.224.4
Points10497
Rebounds4237
Assists2832
Steals47
Blocks65
Turnovers (Team)14 (1)8 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)6 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (5)31 (2)
Field Goals40-8140-86
At-the-Rim FG19-2717-28
Midrange FG12-4018-39
2-Point FG31-6735-67
3-Point FG9-145-19
Free Throws15-2012-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 7'0" 245 · 24
41.4
26
59%
10
3
0
1
4
6
1
9
1-3
33%
8-17
47%
3-3
100%
G · 6'5" 230 · 28
40.3
12
60%
4
4
1
0
0
2
2
2
1-1
100%
4-6
67%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
35.5
19
53%
13
4
0
2
2
2
5
8
5-6
83%
7-15
47%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 178 · 28
35.3
17
57%
2
8
0
0
4
0
0
2
0-0
-
7-13
54%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 210 · 38
14.9
5
50%
0
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 26
25.9
3
38%
7
1
0
2
0
2
0
7
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 195 · 35
24.1
16
80%
4
6
0
0
3
0
0
4
7-8
88%
0-2
0%
3-4
75%
F-C · 6'10" 234 · 36
12.6
6
60%
1
0
1
1
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 7'1" 284 · 25
10.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 7'6" 275 · 30
F · 6'8" 220 · 21
# 3 · G · 6'3" 200 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
56%
42
28
4
6
14
0
8
34
15-20
75%
31-67
46%
9-14
64%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.