Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Sunday, April 12, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Nets | 42% | 100 | 73 |
 | 18 | Bucks | 58% | 102 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Celtics | 46% | 105 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Hornets | 37% | 98 | 77 |
 | 20 | Pistons | 63% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 16 | Thunder | 40% | 102 | 104 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 11 | Pelicans | 35% | 100 | 114 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 12 | Mavericks | 64% | 107 | 120 |
 | 26 | Lakers | 36% | 102 | 106 |
Saturday, April 11, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Knicks | 26% | 94 | 80 |
 | 24 | Magic | 74% | 103 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Raptors | 46% | 101 | 107 |
 | 17 | Heat | 54% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 6 | Bulls | 80% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Timberwolves | 5% | 94 | 101 |
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Friday, April 10, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Raptors | 61% | 106 | 101 |
| 25 | Magic | 39% | 102 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 29% | 96 | 80 |
| 11 | Hawks | 71% | 104 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Wizards | 43% | 101 | 80 |
| 20 | Nets | 57% | 103 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Celtics | 21% | 103 | 99 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 79% | 114 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pacers | 52% | 101 | 107 |
| 19 | Pistons | 48% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 74% | 101 | 99 |
| 30 | Knicks | 26% | 92 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 103 | 104 |
| 5 | Rockets | 49% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 34% | 100 | 75 |
| 10 | Pelicans | 66% | 106 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 28% | 104 | 103 |
| 17 | Thunder | 72% | 112 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Mavericks | 57% | 107 | 144 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 43% | 105 | 143 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 45% | 92 | 89 |
| 13 | Jazz | 55% | 93 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 39% | 103 | 98 |
| 26 | Lakers | 61% | 106 | 106 |
Thursday, April 9, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Bulls | 46% | 98 | 89 |
| 16 | Heat | 54% | 100 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 19% | 99 | 105 |
| 2 | Warriors | 81% | 111 | 116 |
Wednesday, April 8, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Raptors | 58% | 104 | 92 |
| 23 | Hornets | 42% | 101 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 66% | 104 | 103 |
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Wizards | 57% | 99 | 119 |
| 27 | 76ers | 43% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 103 | 114 |
| 20 | Nets | 51% | 104 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 48% | 104 | 113 |
| 18 | Pistons | 52% | 105 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Pacers | 78% | 103 | 102 |
| 30 | Knicks | 22% | 92 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Pelicans | 36% | 97 | 74 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 64% | 102 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Cavaliers | 68% | 105 | 104 |
| 19 | Bucks | 32% | 98 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 38% | 99 | 98 |
| 4 | Spurs | 62% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 35% | 101 | 101 |
| 24 | Nuggets | 65% | 106 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Kings | 23% | 94 | 91 |
| 13 | Jazz | 77% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 28% | 99 | 104 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 72% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 17% | 98 | 91 |
| 14 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 111 | 116 |
Tuesday, April 7, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Suns | 35% | 99 | 69 |
| 11 | Hawks | 65% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Hornets | 39% | 95 | 100 |
| 17 | Heat | 61% | 99 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 61% | 107 | 100 |
| 8 | Pelicans | 39% | 103 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 59% | 108 | 113 |
| 16 | Thunder | 41% | 105 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 40% | 104 | 111 |
| 28 | Kings | 60% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 15% | 99 | 100 |
| 3 | Clippers | 85% | 113 | 105 |
Monday, April 6, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 56% | 105 | 96 |
| 21 | Nets | 44% | 103 | 106 |
Sunday, April 5, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 53% | 107 | 115 |
| 16 | Thunder | 47% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 31% | 100 | 94 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 69% | 107 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 33% | 94 | 89 |
| 8 | Pacers | 67% | 100 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 44% | 103 | 92 |
| 4 | Spurs | 56% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 55% | 97 | 91 |
| 30 | Knicks | 45% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Jazz | 56% | 99 | 101 |
| 26 | Kings | 44% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 72% | 110 | 106 |
| 27 | Lakers | 28% | 102 | 78 |
Saturday, April 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 41% | 96 | 91 |
| 24 | Hornets | 59% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 29% | 98 | 99 |
| 8 | Hawks | 71% | 106 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 49% | 99 | 98 |
| 22 | Pistons | 51% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Celtics | 39% | 104 | 117 |
| 13 | Raptors | 61% | 108 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Wizards | 31% | 94 | 92 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 69% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 61% | 108 | 123 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 39% | 104 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 31% | 95 | 97 |
| 19 | Bucks | 69% | 102 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Clippers | 75% | 112 | 107 |
| 23 | Nuggets | 25% | 103 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 49% | 98 | 85 |
| 20 | Suns | 51% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 41% | 101 | 90 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 105 | 99 |
Friday, April 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 38% | 97 | 74 |
| 16 | Pacers | 62% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Knicks | 19% | 90 | 87 |
| 19 | Wizards | 81% | 102 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 40% | 101 | 110 |
| 13 | Celtics | 60% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 49% | 104 | 109 |
| 18 | Nets | 51% | 105 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Pistons | 27% | 98 | 82 |
| 5 | Bulls | 73% | 106 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Thunder | 38% | 101 | 92 |
| 9 | Grizzlies | 62% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 54% | 104 | 97 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 46% | 102 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 21% | 98 | 93 |
| 4 | Spurs | 79% | 109 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 64% | 105 | 101 |
| 26 | Kings | 36% | 100 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 64% | 107 | 107 |
| 25 | Lakers | 36% | 102 | 77 |
Thursday, April 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 22% | 96 | 88 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 78% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 43% | 103 | 108 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 57% | 105 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Suns | 19% | 98 | 106 |
| 3 | Warriors | 81% | 110 | 107 |
Wednesday, April 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 42% | 100 | 78 |
| 23 | Hornets | 58% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Spurs | 73% | 105 | 103 |
| 27 | Magic | 27% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | 76ers | 31% | 94 | 93 |
| 18 | Wizards | 69% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 38% | 100 | 87 |
| 14 | Celtics | 62% | 105 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 68% | 102 | 100 |
| 30 | Knicks | 32% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 23% | 98 | 111 |
| 5 | Rockets | 77% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 56% | 100 | 91 |
| 20 | Bucks | 44% | 98 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 71% | 109 | 113 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 29% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 49% | 107 | 135 |
| 15 | Thunder | 51% | 108 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nuggets | 37% | 97 | 84 |
| 13 | Jazz | 63% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 54% | 106 | 126 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 46% | 105 | 122 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Pelicans | 60% | 104 | 113 |
| 25 | Lakers | 40% | 100 | 92 |
Tuesday, March 31, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pacers | 51% | 102 | 106 |
| 21 | Nets | 49% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Hawks | 49% | 102 | 95 |
| 17 | Pistons | 51% | 103 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 68% | 101 | 95 |
| 18 | Heat | 32% | 95 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 43% | 106 | 110 |
| 3 | Clippers | 57% | 108 | 106 |
Monday, March 30, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Celtics | 44% | 101 | 116 |
| 23 | Hornets | 56% | 103 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 45% | 98 | 113 |
| 27 | 76ers | 55% | 100 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Bucks | 36% | 96 | 88 |
| 9 | Hawks | 64% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Rockets | 47% | 103 | 96 |
| 12 | Raptors | 53% | 104 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Kings | 31% | 98 | 83 |
| 8 | Grizzlies | 69% | 104 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Jazz | 72% | 102 | 104 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 28% | 94 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Suns | 31% | 99 | 86 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 106 | 109 |