FinalWin Prob.pScore
1749%99
98
2251%100
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
107.79183.1
DET logo DET
111.28998.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADET
Q4 - 0:00.0DET98
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:00.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)98
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.7%
99
99.3%
Q4 - 0:05.0DETJackson Driving Layup (29 PTS)98
10.1%
99
89.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)98
59.6%
97
40.4%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot98
69.1%
97
30.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0DETJackson Foul Turnover (P7.T16)98
79.2%
97
20.8%
Q4 - 0:51.0DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
57.9%
97
42.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Chalmers 6' Jump Shot98
63.4%
97
36.6%
Q4 - 1:09DETCaldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 11 AST)98
72.3%
97
27.7%
Q4 - 1:19MIADragic Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T14)98
87.7%
94
12.3%
Q4 - 1:34DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)98
91.7%
94
8.3%
Q4 - 1:34DETPrince Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)98
92.6%
93
7.4%
Q4 - 1:34DETPISTONS Rebound98
94.6%
92
5.4%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Dragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
95.4%
92
4.6%
Q4 - 1:57DETJackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Prince 2 AST)98
96.3%
92
3.7%
Q4 - 2:13MIAWhiteside Dunk (13 PTS)98
98.1%
89
1.9%
Q4 - 2:37DETJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (24 PTS)96
97.6%
89
2.4%
Q4 - 2:50DETPISTONS Rebound96
98.1%
87
1.9%
Q4 - 2:51MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot96
97.8%
87
2.2%
Q4 - 3:17DETJackson 14' Jump Shot (22 PTS)96
98.6%
87
1.4%
Q4 - 3:33MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)96
97.9%
85
2.1%
Q4 - 3:33MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 295
97.6%
85
2.4%
Q4 - 3:50DETCaldwell-Pope 17' Jump Shot (16 PTS)95
98.1%
85
1.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIADragic 1' Reverse Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)95
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 4:19DETJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T15)93
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 4:27DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)93
97.4%
83
2.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 4:49DETDrummond Dunk (11 PTS) (Jackson 10 AST)93
98.3%
83
1.7%
Q4 - 4:56MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)93
98.8%
81
1.2%
Q4 - 5:14DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)93
98.5%
81
1.5%
Q4 - 5:32MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (3 STL)93
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 5:44MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 5:45DETMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.4%
78
0.6%
Q4 - 6:00DETPISTONS Rebound93
99.2%
78
0.8%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 11' Jump Shot93
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 6:16MIAHeat Rebound93
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 6:17MIADrummond BLOCK (3 BLK)93
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 6:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)93
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 6:21MIAMISS Ennis 6' Jump Shot93
98.9%
78
1.1%
Q4 - 6:45MIAHeat Rebound93
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 6:46DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup93
99.0%
78
1.0%
Q4 - 6:48DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)93
98.8%
78
1.2%
Q4 - 6:49DETMISS Lucas III 27' 3PT Jump Shot93
99.0%
78
1.0%
Q4 - 7:02MIAEnnis Putback Dunk (7 PTS)93
98.3%
78
1.7%
Q4 - 7:02MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:02MIAMISS Whiteside 10' Jump Shot91
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)91
97.8%
78
2.2%
Q4 - 7:22DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 291
97.7%
78
2.3%
Q4 - 7:22DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
97.3%
78
2.7%
Q4 - 7:28MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (2 STL)91
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 7:43DETLucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)91
98.3%
77
1.7%
Q4 - 7:48MIALucas III STEAL (1 STL)91
97.8%
77
2.2%
Q4 - 8:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)91
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 8:06DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot91
97.5%
77
2.5%
Q4 - 8:23DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot91
97.3%
77
2.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
97.7%
77
2.3%
Q4 - 8:31DETMISS Jackson 20' Jump Shot91
97.6%
77
2.4%
Q4 - 8:43MIAHaslem 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)91
97.1%
77
2.9%
Q4 - 9:03DETJump Ball Jackson vs. Haslem: Tip to Ennis89
95.4%
77
4.6%
Q4 - 9:20MIAEnnis Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)89
94.2%
77
5.8%
Q4 - 9:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
92.8%
77
7.2%
Q4 - 9:28MIAMISS Haslem 2' Tip Shot87
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q4 - 9:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
92.9%
77
7.1%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Deng Layup87
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q4 - 9:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
92.9%
77
7.1%
Q4 - 9:32MIAMISS Ennis 3PT Jump Shot87
91.6%
77
8.4%
Q4 - 9:50DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)87
92.9%
77
7.1%
Q4 - 10:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)87
93.2%
75
6.8%
Q4 - 10:02MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)86
92.9%
75
7.1%
Q4 - 10:23DETPrince 14' Jump Shot (5 PTS)85
91.8%
75
8.2%
Q4 - 10:39MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)85
93.3%
73
6.7%
Q4 - 10:39MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)84
93.0%
73
7.0%
Q4 - 10:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
91.8%
73
8.2%
Q4 - 10:45DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot83
91.3%
73
8.7%
Q4 - 10:51MIAJackson STEAL (1 STL)83
89.9%
73
10.1%
Q4 - 11:07DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)83
90.7%
73
9.3%
Q4 - 11:07DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 283
90.9%
72
9.1%
Q4 - 11:27MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
90.7%
72
9.3%
Q4 - 11:27MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)82
90.3%
72
9.7%
Q4 - 11:38MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
88.8%
72
11.2%
Q4 - 11:39DETMISS Meeks 14' Running Jump Shot81
88.2%
72
11.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DET81
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound81
86.5%
72
13.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Lucas III 11' Jump Shot81
87.1%
72
12.9%
Q3 - 0:11.0MIAHaslem Dunk (4 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)81
85.4%
72
14.6%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
82.7%
72
17.3%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot79
81.8%
72
18.2%
Q3 - 0:48.0MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)79
79.7%
72
20.3%
Q3 - 1:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
71.4%
72
28.6%
Q3 - 1:05DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 276
70.8%
72
29.2%
Q3 - 1:05DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)76
68.2%
72
31.8%
Q3 - 1:15MIADeng 1' Layup (13 PTS)76
71.3%
71
28.7%
Q3 - 1:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
67.3%
71
32.7%
Q3 - 1:19MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Jump Shot74
64.1%
71
35.9%
Q3 - 1:35MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
67.3%
71
32.7%
Q3 - 1:37DETMISS Prince 18' Jump Shot74
65.9%
71
34.1%
Q3 - 1:49DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
62.8%
71
37.2%
Q3 - 1:50MIAMISS Deng 20' Jump Shot74
64.2%
71
35.8%
Q3 - 2:09MIAHeat Rebound74
66.2%
71
33.8%
Q3 - 2:09DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Driving Dunk74
64.8%
71
35.2%
Q3 - 2:19DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
61.7%
71
38.3%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot74
63.1%
71
36.9%
Q3 - 2:35MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)74
66.2%
71
33.8%
Q3 - 2:36DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot74
64.9%
71
35.1%
Q3 - 2:59DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)74
61.8%
71
38.2%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
63.2%
71
36.8%
Q3 - 3:08DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T12)74
65.6%
71
34.4%
Q3 - 3:22MIAWade Driving Dunk (24 PTS)74
61.2%
71
38.8%
Q3 - 3:44DETJackson 7' Floating Jump Shot (14 PTS)72
57.3%
71
42.7%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWalker Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)72
61.2%
69
38.8%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWalker Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)71
60.5%
69
39.5%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWalker Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)70
59.6%
69
40.4%
Q3 - 4:15DETTolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 9 AST)69
53.0%
69
47.0%
Q3 - 4:29MIAWade 18' Turnaround Jump Shot (22 PTS)69
60.5%
66
39.5%
Q3 - 4:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)67
57.2%
66
42.8%
Q3 - 4:45MIAMISS Walker 18' Jump Shot67
53.7%
66
46.3%
Q3 - 5:09DETJackson Foul Turnover (P3.T11)67
56.6%
66
43.4%
Q3 - 5:27MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)67
52.0%
66
48.0%
Q3 - 5:42DETButler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 8 AST)65
48.5%
66
51.5%
Q3 - 6:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)65
56.1%
63
43.9%
Q3 - 6:01MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
57.2%
63
42.8%
Q3 - 6:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)65
60.2%
63
39.8%
Q3 - 6:20DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
58.9%
63
41.1%
Q3 - 6:43MIAWade 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)65
55.8%
63
44.2%
Q3 - 6:58DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)63
52.5%
63
47.5%
Q3 - 6:58DETMISS Jackson Free Throw 1 of 263
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q3 - 7:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)63
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot63
52.9%
62
47.1%
Q3 - 7:08MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)63
55.9%
62
44.1%
Q3 - 7:10DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup63
54.6%
62
45.4%
Q3 - 7:11DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)63
51.6%
62
48.4%
Q3 - 7:12DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 4' Jump Shot63
54.6%
62
45.4%
Q3 - 7:36MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)63
51.7%
62
48.3%
Q3 - 7:57DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)61
48.3%
62
51.7%
Q3 - 8:15DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
51.5%
60
48.5%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 161
52.1%
60
47.9%
Q3 - 8:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)59
48.4%
60
51.6%
Q3 - 8:16MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup59
45.4%
60
54.6%
Q3 - 8:34DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Butler 3 AST)59
48.4%
60
51.6%
Q3 - 8:42DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)59
55.2%
57
44.8%
Q3 - 8:43MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot59
56.5%
57
43.5%
Q3 - 9:05DETCaldwell-Pope 10' Jump Shot (10 PTS)59
58.7%
57
41.3%
Q3 - 9:24DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)59
62.1%
55
37.9%
Q3 - 9:25MIAMISS Whiteside 5' Jump Shot59
63.2%
55
36.8%
Q3 - 9:46DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)59
65.6%
55
34.4%
Q3 - 10:01MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)59
71.4%
52
28.6%
Q3 - 10:01MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 258
70.8%
52
29.2%
Q3 - 10:25DETDrummond 7' Hook Shot (9 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
71.4%
52
28.6%
Q3 - 10:54MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)58
74.2%
50
25.8%
Q3 - 11:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)55
68.0%
50
32.0%
Q3 - 11:07DETMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot55
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 11:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)55
64.9%
50
35.1%
Q3 - 11:28DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
67.1%
50
32.9%
Q3 - 11:44DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
64.9%
50
35.1%
Q3 - 11:46MIADrummond BLOCK (2 BLK)55
65.9%
50
34.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
68.1%
50
31.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0DETWilliams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)55
66.9%
50
33.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)55
73.2%
47
26.8%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 254
72.6%
47
27.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIAHeat Rebound54
72.5%
47
27.5%
Q2 - 0:25.0DETMISS Jackson 28' 3PT Jump Shot54
71.9%
47
28.1%
Q2 - 0:35.0MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)54
70.5%
47
29.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0DETCaldwell-Pope Dunk (8 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)52
67.0%
47
33.0%
Q2 - 1:00DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)52
70.5%
45
29.5%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot52
70.8%
45
29.2%
Q2 - 1:18DETJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)52
71.8%
45
28.2%
Q2 - 1:18DETJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)52
72.1%
44
27.9%
Q2 - 1:28MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
75.4%
43
24.6%
Q2 - 1:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)50
71.8%
43
28.2%
Q2 - 1:42DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup50
71.4%
43
28.6%
Q2 - 1:56MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)50
70.4%
43
29.6%
Q2 - 2:17DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
66.4%
43
33.6%
Q2 - 2:17DETMISS Caldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 248
67.1%
42
32.9%
Q2 - 2:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
66.6%
42
33.4%
Q2 - 2:36MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
67.4%
42
32.6%
Q2 - 2:50DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
69.1%
42
30.9%
Q2 - 2:50DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
69.7%
41
30.3%
Q2 - 2:54DETWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
71.9%
40
28.1%
Q2 - 2:55MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot48
72.6%
40
27.4%
Q2 - 3:16DETTolliver Foul Turnover (P2.T10)48
73.7%
40
26.3%
Q2 - 3:19DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)48
71.0%
40
29.0%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Whiteside Tip Shot48
71.8%
40
28.2%
Q2 - 3:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)48
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 3:22MIAMISS Deng 18' Jump Shot48
71.8%
40
28.2%
Q2 - 3:33DETDrummond Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)48
73.8%
40
26.2%
Q2 - 3:48MIACaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)48
71.0%
40
29.0%
Q2 - 4:10DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)48
72.7%
40
27.3%
Q2 - 4:29MIADeng 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS)48
70.3%
40
29.7%
Q2 - 4:51DETPrince 1' Layup (3 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)46
68.0%
40
32.0%
Q2 - 5:04MIAJohnson Foul Turnover (P1.T7)46
70.0%
38
30.0%
Q2 - 5:21DETTolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)46
72.4%
38
27.6%
Q2 - 5:26DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)46
76.6%
35
23.4%
Q2 - 5:27DETMISS Jackson 5' Jump Shot46
78.0%
35
22.0%
Q2 - 5:44MIADragic Layup (11 PTS)46
76.6%
35
23.4%
Q2 - 5:45MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
74.5%
35
25.5%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot44
73.0%
35
27.0%
Q2 - 5:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
74.5%
35
25.5%
Q2 - 5:51DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 5' Jump Shot44
73.9%
35
26.1%
Q2 - 6:00MIAWhiteside Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T6)44
72.4%
35
27.6%
Q2 - 6:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
74.2%
35
25.8%
Q2 - 6:02DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup44
73.4%
35
26.6%
Q2 - 6:15MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)44
71.6%
35
28.4%
Q2 - 6:27DETJackson Palming Turnover (P2.T7)42
69.9%
35
30.1%
Q2 - 6:39MIADragic 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)42
67.0%
35
33.0%
Q2 - 7:03DETJackson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)39
62.0%
35
38.0%
Q2 - 7:26MIAWade 1' Layup (12 PTS)39
64.3%
33
35.7%
Q2 - 7:30MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)37
62.0%
33
38.0%
Q2 - 7:31MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot37
60.1%
33
39.9%
Q2 - 7:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
62.1%
33
37.9%
Q2 - 7:47DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot37
61.2%
33
38.8%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)37
58.9%
33
41.1%
Q2 - 8:06DETJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)34
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 8:10DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 8:11MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper34
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 8:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 8:27DETMISS Tolliver 4' Jump Shot34
53.2%
33
46.8%
Q2 - 8:41DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
51.3%
33
48.7%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup34
52.1%
33
47.9%
Q2 - 8:59DETAnthony Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)34
54.0%
33
46.0%
Q2 - 9:16MIADragic 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)34
56.1%
31
43.9%
Q2 - 9:31DETMeeks Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)32
53.9%
31
46.1%
Q2 - 9:41MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)32
51.1%
31
48.9%
Q2 - 10:05MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
48.9%
31
51.1%
Q2 - 10:06DETMISS Prince 17' Jump Shot30
48.0%
31
52.0%
Q2 - 10:28MIAChalmers 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)30
46.0%
31
54.0%
Q2 - 10:33DETLucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)28
44.0%
31
56.0%
Q2 - 10:47MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (5 PTS)28
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 10:54MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 10:56DETMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot26
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 11:03DETPISTONS Rebound26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 11:03DETMISS Prince 1' Layup26
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 11:04DETPrince REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 11:05DETMISS Prince 6' Jump Shot26
38.3%
31
61.7%
Q2 - 11:16MIADragic 7' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)26
36.7%
31
63.3%
Q2 - 11:28DETMeeks 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Prince 1 AST)24
34.5%
31
65.5%
Q2 - 11:44MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T5)24
36.7%
29
63.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
39.1%
29
60.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 2 of 224
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 224
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIAPrince STEAL (1 STL)24
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0DETLucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)24
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q1 - 0:35.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
37.3%
29
62.7%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot24
37.8%
29
62.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETPrince Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)24
38.9%
29
61.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0DETMISS Prince Free Throw 1 of 224
39.5%
28
60.5%
Q1 - 1:19MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)24
39.8%
28
60.2%
Q1 - 1:37DETLucas III 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
34.9%
28
65.1%
Q1 - 2:04MIAAndersen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)21
37.5%
26
62.5%
Q1 - 2:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
35.3%
26
64.7%
Q1 - 2:20DETMISS Prince 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q1 - 2:24DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q1 - 2:26DETMISS Lucas III 17' Running Jump Shot19
34.7%
26
65.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)19
33.4%
26
66.6%
Q1 - 2:39MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)18
33.0%
26
67.0%
Q1 - 2:49DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)17
31.2%
26
68.8%
Q1 - 3:04MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)17
29.7%
26
70.3%
Q1 - 3:20DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)15
28.1%
26
71.9%
Q1 - 3:45MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)15
31.6%
23
68.4%
Q1 - 3:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
33.8%
23
66.2%
Q1 - 3:49DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 6' Running Jump Shot15
33.1%
23
66.9%
Q1 - 4:07DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)15
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 4:08DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot15
33.4%
23
66.6%
Q1 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)15
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 4:28MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 214
31.4%
23
68.6%
Q1 - 4:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
32.1%
23
67.9%
Q1 - 4:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot14
31.5%
23
68.5%
Q1 - 4:48DETPISTONS Rebound14
29.9%
23
70.1%
Q1 - 4:48MIADrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)14
30.6%
23
69.4%
Q1 - 5:13DETTolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)14
32.7%
23
67.3%
Q1 - 5:29MIAWhiteside Foul Turnover (P1.T2)14
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 5:40MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
38.4%
20
61.6%
Q1 - 5:41DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
37.7%
20
62.3%
Q1 - 5:56DETButler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
36.2%
20
63.8%
Q1 - 5:57MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 214
36.5%
20
63.5%
Q1 - 5:57MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
37.5%
20
62.5%
Q1 - 6:09MIAHeat Rebound13
36.9%
20
63.1%
Q1 - 6:09DETMISS Tolliver 26' 3PT Jump Shot13
36.3%
20
63.7%
Q1 - 6:27MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)13
34.9%
20
65.1%
Q1 - 6:41DETDrummond Putback Dunk (4 PTS)11
33.3%
20
66.7%
Q1 - 6:42DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)11
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 6:44DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup11
36.3%
18
63.7%
Q1 - 6:54DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
34.9%
18
65.1%
Q1 - 6:55MIAMISS Haslem 5' Running Jump Shot11
35.5%
18
64.5%
Q1 - 7:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 7:21DETMISS Tolliver Layup11
36.7%
18
63.3%
Q1 - 7:28DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
35.2%
18
64.8%
Q1 - 7:29MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot11
35.8%
18
64.2%
Q1 - 7:56DETButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)11
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 8:09MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)11
41.1%
15
58.9%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 210
40.5%
15
59.5%
Q1 - 8:24DETDrummond Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)10
41.2%
15
58.8%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWhiteside Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)10
43.0%
13
57.0%
Q1 - 8:46DETJackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)8
41.2%
13
58.8%
Q1 - 9:13MIADeng 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)8
44.9%
10
55.1%
Q1 - 9:29DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)5
41.3%
10
58.7%
Q1 - 9:39DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 9:40MIAMISS Haslem 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
45.5%
7
54.5%
Q1 - 10:01DETJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)5
46.9%
7
53.1%
Q1 - 10:16MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)5
48.6%
5
51.4%
Q1 - 10:39DETJackson 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
45.1%
5
54.9%
Q1 - 11:02MIADeng Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)2
46.9%
3
53.1%
Q1 - 11:18DETButler Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)2
48.6%
3
51.4%
Q1 - 11:34MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
52.4%
0
47.6%
Q1 - 11:46DETTolliver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
50.4%
0
49.6%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Whiteside: Tip to Jackson0
48.7%
0
51.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
DET
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
30
63%
DET
11
23
48%
Midrange
MIA
13
27
48%
DET
13
24
54%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
DET
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
Free Throws
MIA
19
26
73%
DET
15
23
65%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2463%12.0 / 19
G. Dragic2175%10.5 / 14
L. Deng1350%6.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1354%6.5 / 12
M. Chalmers956%4.5 / 8
J. Ennis III770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
H. Walker325%1.5 / 6
C. Andersen2100%1.0 / 1
T. Johnson0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
R. Jackson2969%14.5 / 21
K. Caldwell-Pope1948%9.5 / 20
A. Tolliver1568%7.5 / 11
A. Drummond1169%5.5 / 8
C. Butler9150%4.5 / 3
T. Prince735%3.5 / 10
S. Williams3150%1.5 / 1
J. Lucas III225%1.0 / 4
J. Anthony2100%1.0 / 1
J. Meeks225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+13
-14
90
DET
73
+10
-16
83
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.09 54.4%
DET
1.16 58.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
105.1
MIA 107.7
DET 111.2 +3.5
Pace
91.0
93.1
MIA 83.1
DET 98.6 +15.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.6
MIA 17.3
DET 14.6 +2.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.2%
MIA 51.3%
DET 57.5% +6.2%
TO %
15.2%
13.5%
MIA 13.7% +2.4%
DET 16.1%
ORB %
23.3%
27.7%
MIA 30.6% +7.1%
DET 23.5%
FTrt
30.6
26.1
MIA 33.8 +2.3
DET 31.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.2%
MIA 51.4%
DET 55.6% +4.2%
STL %
8.6%
8.1%
MIA 6.6%
DET 6.7% +0.1%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
MIA 14.9% +9.6%
DET 5.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.0%
MIA 54.4%
DET 58.2% +3.8%
Rim FG%
59.7%
53.4%
MIA 63.3% +15.5%
DET 47.8%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.8%
MIA 48.1%
DET 54.2% +6.1%
3P %
33.5%
34.4%
MIA 25.0%
DET 46.2% +21.2%
FT %
74.1%
70.3%
MIA 73.1% +7.9%
DET 65.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
40.8%
MIA 39.0% +7.5%
DET 31.5%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
30.1%
MIA 35.1%
DET 32.9% +2.2%
3P Att. %
26.2%
29.0%
MIA 26.0%
DET 35.6% +9.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADET
Possessions9189
Possession Minutes26.321.7
Points9899
Rebounds3733
Assists1920
Steals66
Blocks73
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)11 (2)8 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (4)25 (4)
Field Goals37-7736-73
At-the-Rim FG19-3011-23
Midrange FG13-2713-24
2-Point FG32-5724-47
3-Point FG5-2012-26
Free Throws19-2615-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
38.4
13
50%
8
2
1
0
3
1
2
6
3-4
75%
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
35.6
21
75%
2
7
1
1
2
2
1
1
5-6
83%
5-8
63%
2-4
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
34.9
24
63%
2
3
1
0
2
3
1
1
2-3
67%
11-16
69%
0-2
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
31.0
13
54%
12
0
1
6
3
2
4
8
3-7
43%
5-9
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
13.8
6
50%
4
2
0
0
0
0
2
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-1
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
24.6
9
56%
2
1
1
0
1
5
0
2
2-2
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
21.5
3
25%
2
2
1
0
0
2
0
2
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
0-3
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
18.0
7
70%
4
1
0
0
0
2
1
3
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
12.0
0
0%
1
1
0
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
10.2
2
100%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
54%
37
19
6
7
14
0
11
26
19-26
73%
32-57
56%
5-20
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.