FinalWin Prob.pScore
749%102
95
1751%103
105
ORTG#PossPace
ATL logo ATL
105.69099.4
DET logo DET
115.49183.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PistonsHawksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventATLDET
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL95
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0ATLSefolosha 27' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bazemore 3 AST)95
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:31.0ATLDaye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:32.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETPISTONS Rebound92
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Prince 14' Jump Shot92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:15ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)92
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 1:18DETLucas III Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:30ATLDaye 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mack 5 AST)89
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40DETLucas III 18' Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)86
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 1:52ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)85
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:05DETLucas III 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)84
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 2:26DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28ATLAnthony BLOCK (4 BLK)84
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 2:42ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 2:44DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:07DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:08ATLMISS Muscala 17' Jump Shot84
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 3:30DETTolliver Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)84
0.4%
98
99.6%
Q4 - 3:30DETTolliver Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
0.4%
97
99.6%
Q4 - 3:49ATLMack 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bazemore 2 AST)84
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 3:53ATLHawks Rebound82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 3:53ATLMISS Muscala 1' Tip Shot82
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 3:54ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 3:55ATLAnthony BLOCK (3 BLK)82
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 4:09ATLHawks Rebound82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMISS Bazemore 3PT Jump Shot82
0.5%
96
99.5%
Q4 - 4:24DETLucas III 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)82
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 4:39DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
1.0%
94
99.0%
Q4 - 4:40ATLMISS Antic 3PT Jump Shot82
1.1%
94
98.9%
Q4 - 4:53ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)82
1.4%
94
98.6%
Q4 - 4:54DETMISS Tolliver 4' Jump Shot82
1.2%
94
98.8%
Q4 - 5:07DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
1.7%
94
98.3%
Q4 - 5:08ATLMISS Sefolosha 20' Jump Shot82
1.9%
94
98.1%
Q4 - 5:24DETLucas III 13' Jump Shot (6 PTS)82
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 5:46DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
3.1%
92
96.9%
Q4 - 5:48ATLAnthony BLOCK (2 BLK)82
3.4%
92
96.6%
Q4 - 6:09DETPrince 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Lucas III 3 AST)82
5.9%
92
94.1%
Q4 - 6:30DETJump Ball Prince vs. Muscala: Tip to Caldwell-Pope82
7.4%
90
92.6%
Q4 - 6:30ATLPrince BLOCK (1 BLK)82
8.2%
90
91.8%
Q4 - 6:30ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)82
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q4 - 6:32ATLAnthony BLOCK (1 BLK)82
8.2%
90
91.8%
Q4 - 6:41ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)82
10.2%
90
89.8%
Q4 - 6:42DETMISS Lucas III 20' Jump Shot82
9.2%
90
90.8%
Q4 - 6:50DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
7.4%
90
92.6%
Q4 - 6:52ATLMISS Bazemore 3PT Jump Shot82
8.1%
90
91.9%
Q4 - 7:07DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 3 AST)82
12.1%
90
87.9%
Q4 - 7:26ATLTeague 6' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)82
18.8%
87
81.2%
Q4 - 7:38ATLHawks Rebound80
15.2%
87
84.8%
Q4 - 7:39DETMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
14.1%
87
85.9%
Q4 - 8:04ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)80
13.8%
87
86.2%
Q4 - 8:17DETJackson 8' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)78
11.0%
87
89.0%
Q4 - 8:29ATLCarroll Traveling Turnover (P2.T18)78
13.6%
85
86.4%
Q4 - 8:34DETJackson Driving Layup (10 PTS)78
17.0%
85
83.0%
Q4 - 8:55ATLHorford 5' Hook Shot (16 PTS)78
20.8%
83
79.2%
Q4 - 8:59ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)76
16.9%
83
83.1%
Q4 - 9:00ATLMISS Millsap 4' Jump Shot76
14.5%
83
85.5%
Q4 - 9:07ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
18.9%
83
81.1%
Q4 - 9:09DETMISS Meeks 7' Jump Shot76
17.7%
83
82.3%
Q4 - 9:27ATLPrince STEAL (2 STL)76
15.3%
83
84.7%
Q4 - 9:41ATLHawks Rebound76
18.7%
83
81.3%
Q4 - 9:41DETMISS Jackson 15' Jump Shot76
17.6%
83
82.4%
Q4 - 9:59ATLCarroll 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)76
15.2%
83
84.8%
Q4 - 10:04ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)74
13.8%
83
86.2%
Q4 - 10:05DETMISS Tolliver 24' 3PT Jump Shot74
13.0%
83
87.0%
Q4 - 10:21ATLHorford Layup (14 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)74
11.3%
83
88.7%
Q4 - 10:38DETPrince Dunk (7 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)72
9.2%
83
90.8%
Q4 - 10:43ATLMeeks STEAL (2 STL)72
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q4 - 11:02DETJackson 26' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS)72
14.8%
81
85.2%
Q4 - 11:10DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)72
20.9%
78
79.1%
Q4 - 11:11ATLMISS Millsap 1' Layup72
22.0%
78
78.0%
Q4 - 11:24ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
24.8%
78
75.2%
Q4 - 11:25ATLMISS Millsap 3PT Jump Shot72
22.0%
78
78.0%
Q4 - 11:41DETDrummond Layup (22 PTS)72
24.7%
78
75.3%
Q4 - 11:42DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)72
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q4 - 11:43DETMISS Prince 1' Tip Shot72
32.0%
76
68.0%
Q4 - 11:44DETPrince REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)72
28.8%
76
71.2%
Q4 - 11:46DETMISS Prince Driving Layup72
32.0%
76
68.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL72
28.7%
76
71.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)72
33.5%
76
66.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Sefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
31.2%
76
68.8%
Q3 - 0:18.0DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)72
34.3%
76
65.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)72
43.9%
73
56.1%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Mack 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
45.5%
73
54.5%
Q3 - 0:48.0ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
49.0%
73
51.0%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 272
48.3%
73
51.7%
Q3 - 0:49.0DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)72
46.5%
73
53.5%
Q3 - 1:01DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
49.0%
72
51.0%
Q3 - 1:02ATLMISS Muscala Tip Shot72
50.5%
72
49.5%
Q3 - 1:05ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
54.0%
72
46.0%
Q3 - 1:07ATLMISS Antic 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
50.5%
72
49.5%
Q3 - 1:26ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
54.0%
72
46.0%
Q3 - 1:27DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 272
53.3%
72
46.7%
Q3 - 1:27DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 272
51.6%
72
48.4%
Q3 - 1:27DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)72
49.0%
72
51.0%
Q3 - 1:27DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot72
52.5%
72
47.5%
Q3 - 1:44DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)72
49.0%
72
51.0%
Q3 - 1:46ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Driving Layup72
50.6%
72
49.4%
Q3 - 2:00ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
54.0%
72
46.0%
Q3 - 2:01DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
52.1%
72
47.9%
Q3 - 2:13DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)72
48.7%
72
51.3%
Q3 - 2:15ATLMISS Mack 5' Hook Shot72
50.2%
72
49.8%
Q3 - 2:40DETTolliver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 2 AST)72
53.6%
72
46.4%
Q3 - 2:59ATLMack 8' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Sefolosha 2 AST)72
62.4%
69
37.6%
Q3 - 3:09ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q3 - 3:10DETMISS Lucas III 21' Jump Shot70
56.5%
69
43.5%
Q3 - 3:23ATLMuscala 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T15)70
53.2%
69
46.8%
Q3 - 3:36DETCaldwell-Pope Driving Dunk (18 PTS) (Lucas III 2 AST)70
57.9%
69
42.1%
Q3 - 3:49ATLSefolosha 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Muscala 1 AST)70
61.9%
67
38.1%
Q3 - 4:14DETLucas III 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)68
57.8%
67
42.2%
Q3 - 4:29ATLSefolosha 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mack 4 AST)68
61.1%
65
38.9%
Q3 - 4:49DETTolliver Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T10)65
53.6%
65
46.4%
Q3 - 5:12ATLCarroll 1' Layup (8 PTS)65
48.6%
65
51.4%
Q3 - 5:14ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)63
45.1%
65
54.9%
Q3 - 5:15ATLMISS Horford 14' Jump Shot63
41.9%
65
58.1%
Q3 - 5:31DETDrummond 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)63
45.1%
65
54.9%
Q3 - 5:46DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)63
48.5%
63
51.5%
Q3 - 5:46ATLMISS Millsap 16' Jump Shot63
50.0%
63
50.0%
Q3 - 6:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
53.2%
63
46.8%
Q3 - 6:19DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot63
51.8%
63
48.2%
Q3 - 6:33ATLCarroll 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)63
48.6%
63
51.4%
Q3 - 6:53ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
45.2%
63
54.8%
Q3 - 6:54DETMISS Butler 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
43.9%
63
56.1%
Q3 - 7:06ATLCarroll Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T14)61
41.0%
63
59.0%
Q3 - 7:18ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
45.2%
63
54.8%
Q3 - 7:19DETMISS Lucas III 27' 3PT Jump Shot61
43.9%
63
56.1%
Q3 - 7:31ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)61
40.9%
63
59.1%
Q3 - 7:51DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)58
34.2%
63
65.8%
Q3 - 8:08DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)58
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 8:09DETMISS Drummond Tip Shot58
40.5%
61
59.5%
Q3 - 8:10DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)58
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 8:13DETMISS Butler 15' Jump Shot58
40.5%
61
59.5%
Q3 - 8:17DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)58
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 8:18DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
40.5%
61
59.5%
Q3 - 8:25ATLLucas III STEAL (2 STL)58
37.6%
61
62.4%
Q3 - 8:46DETCaldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lucas III 1 AST)58
41.7%
61
58.3%
Q3 - 9:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
48.6%
58
51.4%
Q3 - 9:05ATLMISS Teague 27' 3PT Jump Shot58
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q3 - 9:16DETCaldwell-Pope 15' Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
52.4%
58
47.6%
Q3 - 9:34ATLKorver 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)58
55.8%
56
44.2%
Q3 - 9:39ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
48.8%
56
51.2%
Q3 - 9:40ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
46.1%
56
53.9%
Q3 - 9:53DETCaldwell-Pope 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 11 AST)55
48.8%
56
51.2%
Q3 - 10:08ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)55
55.9%
53
44.1%
Q3 - 10:15ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
48.9%
53
51.1%
Q3 - 10:16DETMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot52
47.8%
53
52.2%
Q3 - 10:28ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)52
45.3%
53
54.7%
Q3 - 10:28ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)51
44.6%
53
55.4%
Q3 - 10:38DETButler Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)50
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 10:45DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)50
38.4%
53
61.6%
Q3 - 10:46ATLMISS Korver 19' Jump Shot50
39.5%
53
60.5%
Q3 - 10:52ATLMISS Korver Free Throw Technical50
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 10:52ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)50
41.9%
53
58.1%
Q3 - 10:53ATLMISS Horford 7' Jump Shot50
39.5%
53
60.5%
Q3 - 11:03ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
42.4%
53
57.6%
Q3 - 11:03DETMISS Drummond 3' Jump Shot50
41.4%
53
58.6%
Q3 - 11:12DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)50
39.0%
53
61.0%
Q3 - 11:14ATLDrummond BLOCK (1 BLK)50
40.1%
53
59.9%
Q3 - 11:30DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)50
42.4%
53
57.6%
Q3 - 11:30DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 1 of 250
44.1%
52
55.9%
Q3 - 11:45DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q3 - 11:46ATLMISS Korver 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
43.3%
52
56.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET50
45.8%
52
54.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETPISTONS Rebound50
42.3%
52
57.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 52' 3PT Jump Shot50
44.7%
52
55.3%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETTolliver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
43.2%
52
56.8%
Q2 - 0:04.0ATLMISS Muscala 18' Jump Shot50
43.9%
52
56.1%
Q2 - 0:21.0DETDrummond 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Jackson 10 AST)50
45.5%
52
54.5%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLHawks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)50
49.7%
50
50.3%
Q2 - 0:32.0ATLHawks Rebound50
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0ATLMISS Bazemore 28' 3PT Jump Shot50
50.4%
50
49.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)50
52.1%
50
47.9%
Q2 - 0:58.0ATLDrummond STEAL (2 STL)50
59.4%
47
40.6%
Q2 - 1:13DETPrince Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T8)50
61.2%
47
38.8%
Q2 - 1:25DETLucas III REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q2 - 1:26ATLMISS Mack 27' 3PT Jump Shot50
60.0%
47
40.0%
Q2 - 1:33DETDrummond Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)50
61.2%
47
38.8%
Q2 - 1:36ATLDrummond STEAL (1 STL)50
59.5%
47
40.5%
Q2 - 1:41ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)50
61.2%
47
38.8%
Q2 - 1:42DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 3' Jump Shot50
60.7%
47
39.3%
Q2 - 2:01ATLBazemore 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mack 3 AST)50
58.5%
47
41.5%
Q2 - 2:07DETLucas III Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 2:17ATLDaye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)47
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q2 - 2:27DETPrince Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)47
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 2:29ATLPrince STEAL (1 STL)47
49.4%
47
50.6%
Q2 - 2:33ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
52.4%
47
47.6%
Q2 - 2:34DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 4' Jump Shot47
51.5%
47
48.5%
Q2 - 2:51ATLSefolosha 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Daye 1 AST)47
49.5%
47
50.5%
Q2 - 3:01ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q2 - 3:02ATLMISS Antic 27' 3PT Jump Shot45
44.4%
47
55.6%
Q2 - 3:10ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
46.8%
47
53.2%
Q2 - 3:11DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 26' 3PT Jump Shot45
45.7%
47
54.3%
Q2 - 3:26ATLMuscala 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sefolosha 1 AST)45
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q2 - 3:37ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)43
40.9%
47
59.1%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Lucas III 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
39.9%
47
60.1%
Q2 - 4:04ATLMack 7' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)43
38.1%
47
61.9%
Q2 - 4:11ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
35.5%
47
64.5%
Q2 - 4:13DETMISS Prince 5' Hook Shot41
34.7%
47
65.3%
Q2 - 4:30DETCaldwell-Pope REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
32.8%
47
67.2%
Q2 - 4:31ATLMISS Antic 3PT Jump Shot41
33.6%
47
66.4%
Q2 - 4:56DETLucas III 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Caldwell-Pope 1 AST)41
35.5%
47
64.5%
Q2 - 5:06ATLLucas III STEAL (1 STL)41
38.5%
45
61.5%
Q2 - 5:13ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q2 - 5:15DETMISS Prince 17' Fadeaway Jumper41
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 5:39ATLMeeks STEAL (1 STL)41
38.5%
45
61.5%
Q2 - 5:47ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
41.2%
45
58.8%
Q2 - 5:48DETMISS Williams 3PT Jump Shot41
40.4%
45
59.6%
Q2 - 6:03DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 6:04ATLMISS Antic 19' Jump Shot41
39.6%
45
60.4%
Q2 - 6:13ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)41
41.9%
45
58.1%
Q2 - 6:14DETMISS Meeks 22' Jump Shot41
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 6:29ATLMuscala Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)41
38.7%
45
61.3%
Q2 - 6:29ATLMuscala Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)40
38.3%
45
61.7%
Q2 - 6:38DETJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)39
36.6%
45
63.4%
Q2 - 6:47DETWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q2 - 6:49ATLMISS Antic 18' Fadeaway Jumper39
34.5%
45
65.5%
Q2 - 7:01DETWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
36.9%
45
63.1%
Q2 - 7:01DETWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)39
37.3%
44
62.7%
Q2 - 7:10DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
39.2%
43
60.8%
Q2 - 7:11ATLMISS Carroll 27' 3PT Jump Shot39
40.0%
43
60.0%
Q2 - 7:24DETAnthony Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
41.9%
43
58.1%
Q2 - 7:41ATLHorford 17' Jump Shot (12 PTS)39
47.0%
40
53.0%
Q2 - 7:55ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
44.6%
40
55.4%
Q2 - 7:56DETMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot37
43.7%
40
56.3%
Q2 - 8:24ATLCarroll 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
41.8%
40
58.2%
Q2 - 8:31ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
39.5%
40
60.5%
Q2 - 8:32DETMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot35
38.7%
40
61.3%
Q2 - 8:58ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)35
36.9%
40
63.1%
Q2 - 9:15DETAnthony Layup (2 PTS) (Jackson 8 AST)32
32.9%
40
67.1%
Q2 - 9:43DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
34.8%
38
65.2%
Q2 - 9:44ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 132
35.1%
38
64.9%
Q2 - 10:04DETPrince 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)30
33.1%
38
66.9%
Q2 - 10:15ATLAnthony STEAL (1 STL)30
37.2%
35
62.8%
Q2 - 10:28DETPrince 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Anthony 1 AST)30
40.0%
35
60.0%
Q2 - 10:53DETPrince REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
41.9%
33
58.1%
Q2 - 10:54ATLMISS Korver 21' Jump Shot30
42.8%
33
57.2%
Q2 - 11:08ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
44.6%
33
55.4%
Q2 - 11:08DETMISS Williams 1' Layup30
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 11:09DETWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 11:11DETMISS Meeks 14' Floating Jump Shot30
43.8%
33
56.2%
Q2 - 11:37DETAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
42.1%
33
57.9%
Q2 - 11:38ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 130
42.5%
33
57.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL28
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHawks Rebound28
39.9%
33
60.1%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLMISS Antic 26' 3PT Jump Shot28
38.6%
33
61.4%
Q1 - 0:17.0DETDrummond Dunk (11 PTS) (Dinwiddie 2 AST)28
39.8%
33
60.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0ATLMack 7' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)28
42.6%
31
57.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0DETMeeks 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dinwiddie 1 AST)26
39.8%
31
60.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0ATLSefolosha 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)26
42.6%
29
57.4%
Q1 - 1:09ATLHawks Rebound24
40.1%
29
59.9%
Q1 - 1:09DETMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot24
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q1 - 1:15DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)24
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 1:15DETMISS Drummond 6' Jump Shot24
39.6%
29
60.4%
Q1 - 1:31ATLMuscala Layup (2 PTS)24
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q1 - 1:33ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)22
35.7%
29
64.3%
Q1 - 1:34ATLMISS Sefolosha 1' Layup22
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q1 - 1:45ATLMuscala REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
35.7%
29
64.3%
Q1 - 1:47ATLMISS Muscala 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
34.6%
29
65.4%
Q1 - 2:08ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q1 - 2:09DETMISS Meeks 1' Driving Layup22
35.5%
29
64.5%
Q1 - 2:24ATLMack 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q1 - 2:33DETMeeks Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)20
32.0%
29
68.0%
Q1 - 2:53ATLSefolosha 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Bazemore 1 AST)20
30.1%
29
69.9%
Q1 - 2:59ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q1 - 3:00DETMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot18
27.6%
29
72.4%
Q1 - 3:15ATLMuscala Foul Turnover (P1.T4)18
26.8%
29
73.2%
Q1 - 3:34DETDrummond Tip Shot (9 PTS)18
28.8%
29
71.2%
Q1 - 3:35DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q1 - 3:36DETMISS Jackson 1' Layup18
31.9%
27
68.1%
Q1 - 3:53ATLBazemore 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)18
30.4%
27
69.6%
Q1 - 4:14ATLBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q1 - 4:15DETMISS Tolliver 3PT Jump Shot16
28.5%
27
71.5%
Q1 - 4:25DETJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 4:26ATLMISS Muscala 18' Jump Shot16
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 4:38DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
29.1%
27
70.9%
Q1 - 4:38DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
30.0%
26
70.0%
Q1 - 4:50ATLMack 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
30.7%
25
69.3%
Q1 - 5:11DETCaldwell-Pope 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)14
29.9%
25
70.1%
Q1 - 5:20DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
33.3%
22
66.7%
Q1 - 5:21ATLMISS Teague 18' Jump Shot14
33.9%
22
66.1%
Q1 - 5:36DETButler 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS)14
35.3%
22
64.7%
Q1 - 5:53ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)14
37.0%
20
63.0%
Q1 - 6:08DETJackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Drummond 1 AST)12
35.9%
20
64.1%
Q1 - 6:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
39.5%
17
60.5%
Q1 - 6:27ATLMISS Millsap 17' Jump Shot12
40.1%
17
59.9%
Q1 - 6:48DETButler 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)12
41.5%
17
58.5%
Q1 - 7:12ATLTeague Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)12
45.4%
14
54.6%
Q1 - 7:19DETJackson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 7:32ATLTeague Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
49.2%
12
50.8%
Q1 - 7:47DETButler 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)10
47.6%
12
52.4%
Q1 - 8:01ATLHorford 2' Layup (8 PTS)10
49.6%
10
50.4%
Q1 - 8:22ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
47.8%
10
52.2%
Q1 - 8:22DETMISS Tolliver 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
47.2%
10
52.8%
Q1 - 8:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
45.8%
10
54.2%
Q1 - 8:33ATLMISS Teague 7' Floating Jump Shot8
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 8:45ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
47.8%
10
52.2%
Q1 - 8:46DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 28
47.5%
10
52.5%
Q1 - 8:46DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)8
46.8%
10
53.2%
Q1 - 8:58ATLHorford 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS)8
47.6%
9
52.4%
Q1 - 9:15DETDrummond Layup (4 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)6
46.0%
9
54.0%
Q1 - 9:32ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)6
47.7%
7
52.3%
Q1 - 9:47DETJackson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)4
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 9:54ATLButler STEAL (1 STL)4
44.0%
7
56.0%
Q1 - 10:16DETTolliver 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)4
46.0%
7
54.0%
Q1 - 10:24ATLCaldwell-Pope STEAL (1 STL)4
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 10:34DETButler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
51.6%
4
48.4%
Q1 - 10:55ATLHorford Dunk (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)4
49.5%
4
50.5%
Q1 - 11:16DETTolliver 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)2
47.7%
4
52.3%
Q1 - 11:30ATLKorver 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)2
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 11:43DETDrummond 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Tolliver 1 AST)0
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 12:00DETJump Ball Drummond vs. Horford: Tip to Jackson0
49.6%
0
50.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.04 52.2%
DET
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
ATL
15
28
54%
DET
16
27
59%
Midrange
ATL
17
31
55%
DET
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
ATL
8
12.0
25
32%
48%
DET
11
16.5
29
38%
57%
Free Throws
ATL
7
10
70%
DET
12
17
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Sefolosha1963%9.5 / 15
A. Horford1680%8.0 / 10
S. Mack1267%6.0 / 9
K. Korver1179%5.5 / 7
D. Carroll1071%5.0 / 7
J. Teague964%4.5 / 7
M. Muscala630%3.0 / 10
K. Bazemore542%2.5 / 6
P. Millsap425%2.0 / 8
A. Daye3150%1.5 / 1
P. Antic0-0.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Drummond2269%11.0 / 16
K. Caldwell-Pope1856%9.0 / 16
J. Lucas III1568%7.5 / 11
A. Tolliver1365%6.5 / 10
R. Jackson1267%6.0 / 9
T. Prince950%4.5 / 9
C. Butler758%3.5 / 6
J. Anthony5125%2.5 / 2
J. Meeks217%1.0 / 6
S. Williams220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

ATL
73
+16
-17
89
DET
80
+11
-11
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

ATL
1.04 52.2%
DET
1.15 57.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.9
105.1
ATL 105.6
DET 115.4 +9.8
Pace
94.0
93.1
ATL 99.4 +16.2
DET 83.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
15.6
ATL 14.5 +2.8
DET 17.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
52.7%
48.2%
ATL 52.4%
DET 56.0% +3.6%
TO %
14.3%
13.5%
ATL 16.9%
DET 10.8% +6.1%
ORB %
21.4%
27.7%
ATL 29.3% +6.8%
DET 22.5%
FTrt
25.9
26.1
ATL 11.9
DET 20.5 +8.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
67.6%
58.2%
ATL 62.5%
DET 63.4% +0.9%
STL %
9.6%
8.1%
ATL 8.9%
DET 12.1% +3.2%
BLK %
8.1%
7.6%
ATL 0.0%
DET 10.2% +10.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.7%
50.0%
ATL 52.2%
DET 57.7% +5.5%
Rim FG%
58.1%
53.4%
ATL 53.6%
DET 59.3% +5.7%
Mid FG%
42.2%
37.8%
ATL 54.8% +2.9%
DET 51.9%
3P %
38.0%
34.4%
ATL 32.0%
DET 37.9% +5.9%
FT %
77.8%
70.3%
ATL 70.0%
DET 70.6% +0.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
36.1%
40.8%
ATL 33.3% +0.8%
DET 32.5%
Mid Att. %
31.8%
30.1%
ATL 36.9%
DET 32.5% +4.4%
3P Att. %
32.1%
29.0%
ATL 29.8%
DET 34.9% +5.2%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsATLDET
Possessions9091
Possession Minutes21.726.3
Points95105
Rebounds4338
Assists2526
Steals811
Blocks06
Turnovers (Team)17 (1)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (4)9 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (3)29 (1)
Field Goals40-8441-83
At-the-Rim FG15-2816-27
Midrange FG17-3114-27
2-Point FG32-5930-54
3-Point FG8-2511-29
Free Throws7-1012-17
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 189 · 27
23.7
9
64%
1
4
1
0
2
1
1
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
1-2
50%
F · 6'8" 246 · 30
23.7
4
25%
4
4
2
0
0
2
0
4
2-3
67%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 215 · 29
23.7
10
71%
4
0
0
0
2
1
2
2
0-1
0%
5-6
83%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 29
23.7
16
80%
5
2
0
0
2
2
2
3
0-0
-
8-10
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 212 · 34
23.7
11
79%
3
2
0
0
3
0
0
3
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
3-4
75%
G · 6'5" 201 · 26
24.3
5
42%
3
3
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'3" 203 · 25
24.3
12
67%
3
5
1
0
2
0
0
3
0-0
-
6-7
86%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'11" 240 · 24
24.3
6
30%
13
1
0
0
3
3
6
7
2-2
100%
2-8
25%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 220 · 31
24.3
19
63%
5
2
1
0
1
1
1
4
3-3
100%
5-11
45%
2-3
67%
F-C · 6'11" 260 · 33
16.9
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-5
0%
F · 6'11" 220 · 27
7.3
3
150%
1
2
2
0
1
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
G · 6'4" 215 · 24
F · 6'9" 254 · 36
#32 · F · 6'8" 237 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · G · 6'1" 175 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
52%
43
25
8
0
17
0
12
31
7-10
70%
32-59
54%
8-25
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.