FinalWin Prob.pScore
643%103
108
757%105
101
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
109.199103.2
DAL logo DAL
101.010096.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU108
100%
101
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)108
99.9%
101
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)107
99.8%
101
0.2%
Q4 - 0:09.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)106
99.7%
101
0.3%
Q4 - 0:10.0DALMISS Barea 1' Driving Layup106
99.6%
101
0.4%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)106
98.5%
101
1.5%
Q4 - 0:18.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)105
98.4%
101
1.6%
Q4 - 0:19.0DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (19 PTS)104
97.2%
101
2.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)104
97.8%
99
2.2%
Q4 - 0:23.0HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)103
97.4%
99
2.6%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)102
94.9%
99
5.1%
Q4 - 0:28.0DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
93.0%
99
7.0%
Q4 - 0:40.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)102
84.3%
99
15.7%
Q4 - 0:41.0HOUMISS Smith 3' Turnaround Jump Shot102
87.2%
99
12.8%
Q4 - 1:01HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)102
89.4%
99
10.6%
Q4 - 1:02HOUMISS Brewer 17' Jump Shot102
83.6%
99
16.4%
Q4 - 1:17DALNowitzki 4' Jump Bank Shot (21 PTS)102
87.1%
99
12.9%
Q4 - 1:30HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#20)102
90.5%
97
9.5%
Q4 - 1:54HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)102
93.0%
97
7.0%
Q4 - 1:55DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot102
91.9%
97
8.1%
Q4 - 2:11HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#19)102
87.4%
97
12.6%
Q4 - 2:40DALHarris Foul Turnover (P2.T13)102
93.1%
97
6.9%
Q4 - 2:44HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)102
87.1%
97
12.9%
Q4 - 2:44HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)101
86.6%
97
13.4%
Q4 - 2:45HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)100
84.1%
97
15.9%
Q4 - 2:46DALMISS Jefferson 6' Driving Jump Shot100
81.2%
97
18.8%
Q4 - 3:06DALAminu REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)100
71.1%
97
28.9%
Q4 - 3:07HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
74.7%
97
25.3%
Q4 - 3:15DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T12)100
81.6%
97
18.4%
Q4 - 3:34HOUHarden Driving Layup (20 PTS)100
68.4%
97
31.6%
Q4 - 3:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)98
61.1%
97
38.9%
Q4 - 3:48DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)98
61.9%
96
38.1%
Q4 - 4:07HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 6 AST)98
69.0%
95
31.0%
Q4 - 4:27HOURockets Rebound95
52.1%
95
47.9%
Q4 - 4:28DALMISS Ellis 19' Jump Shot95
48.9%
95
51.1%
Q4 - 4:50HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P5.T18)95
41.8%
95
58.2%
Q4 - 4:56HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)95
52.1%
95
47.9%
Q4 - 4:58DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
48.9%
95
51.1%
Q4 - 5:08HOUBrewer 14' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Ariza 5 AST)95
41.9%
95
58.1%
Q4 - 5:28HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)93
34.7%
95
65.3%
Q4 - 5:29DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 293
33.6%
95
66.4%
Q4 - 5:29DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
28.9%
95
71.1%
Q4 - 5:42HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)93
34.1%
94
65.9%
Q4 - 5:42HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)92
32.4%
94
67.6%
Q4 - 5:42HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)91
27.6%
94
72.4%
Q4 - 5:43DALMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot91
25.5%
94
74.5%
Q4 - 5:54DALAminu REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)91
21.0%
94
79.0%
Q4 - 5:55HOUMISS Jones 12' Fadeaway Jumper91
22.8%
94
77.2%
Q4 - 6:17HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
29.2%
94
70.8%
Q4 - 6:18DALMISS Chandler 2' Putback Layup91
27.1%
94
72.9%
Q4 - 6:20DALAminu REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
22.6%
94
77.4%
Q4 - 6:21DALMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot91
27.1%
94
72.9%
Q4 - 6:40HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)91
22.5%
94
77.5%
Q4 - 7:19DALAminu 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jefferson 2 AST)88
15.9%
94
84.1%
Q4 - 7:37HOUPrigioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)88
24.2%
91
75.8%
Q4 - 7:51DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)85
15.8%
91
84.2%
Q4 - 7:56HOUJefferson STEAL (1 STL)85
24.1%
88
75.9%
Q4 - 8:02DALJefferson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Barea 5 AST)85
31.1%
88
68.9%
Q4 - 8:27HOUHoward Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Jones 2 AST)85
42.8%
85
57.2%
Q4 - 8:40HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)83
36.8%
85
63.2%
Q4 - 8:41DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
34.9%
85
65.1%
Q4 - 8:49HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)83
30.9%
85
69.1%
Q4 - 9:07DALJefferson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)83
37.5%
85
62.5%
Q4 - 9:07DALJefferson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)83
38.9%
84
61.1%
Q4 - 9:25HOUJones 3' Driving Bank Shot (7 PTS)83
43.0%
83
57.0%
Q4 - 9:37HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)81
37.4%
83
62.6%
Q4 - 9:38DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 281
36.6%
83
63.4%
Q4 - 9:38DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 281
33.4%
83
66.6%
Q4 - 9:49DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
31.8%
83
68.2%
Q4 - 9:50HOUAminu BLOCK (4 BLK)81
33.5%
83
66.5%
Q4 - 10:00HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
37.4%
83
62.6%
Q4 - 10:01DALMISS Aminu 15' Pullup Jump Shot81
36.0%
83
64.0%
Q4 - 10:27HOUBrewer 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)81
32.3%
83
67.7%
Q4 - 10:43HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)79
27.8%
83
72.2%
Q4 - 10:44DALMISS Barea 13' Jump Shot79
26.4%
83
73.6%
Q4 - 11:10HOUHoward Putback Dunk (6 PTS)79
24.0%
83
76.0%
Q4 - 11:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
20.5%
83
79.5%
Q4 - 11:13HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
18.1%
83
81.9%
Q4 - 11:23HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
20.5%
83
79.5%
Q4 - 11:25DALMISS Nowitzki 4' Turnaround Hook Shot77
19.4%
83
80.6%
Q4 - 11:42DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
17.1%
83
82.9%
Q4 - 11:43HOUMISS Howard 4' Turnaround Hook Shot77
18.1%
83
81.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU77
20.4%
83
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound77
20.4%
83
79.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 17' Step Back Jump Shot77
18.0%
83
82.0%
Q3 - 0:11.0DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)77
21.3%
83
78.7%
Q3 - 0:27.0HOUBrewer 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T15)77
24.9%
81
75.1%
Q3 - 0:36.0DALHarris 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)77
28.8%
81
71.2%
Q3 - 0:57.0HOUJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)77
33.2%
79
66.8%
Q3 - 1:14DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)77
38.1%
79
61.9%
Q3 - 1:14DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 277
38.5%
78
61.5%
Q3 - 1:31DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
38.0%
78
62.0%
Q3 - 1:32HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 2 of 277
38.6%
78
61.4%
Q3 - 1:32HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)77
41.5%
78
58.5%
Q3 - 1:35HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)76
38.1%
78
61.9%
Q3 - 1:36DALMISS Stoudemire 2' Reverse Layup76
36.6%
78
63.4%
Q3 - 1:55HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)76
33.5%
78
66.5%
Q3 - 1:55HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)75
31.8%
78
68.2%
Q3 - 2:00DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)74
29.4%
78
70.6%
Q3 - 2:23DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)74
33.6%
76
66.4%
Q3 - 2:24HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 274
34.2%
76
65.8%
Q3 - 2:24HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)74
37.3%
76
62.7%
Q3 - 2:34HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)73
33.8%
76
66.2%
Q3 - 2:36DALMISS Jefferson 6' Floating Jump Shot73
32.5%
76
67.5%
Q3 - 2:53HOUSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)73
29.6%
76
70.4%
Q3 - 3:06DALEllis 17' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
23.4%
76
76.6%
Q3 - 3:15HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)70
26.5%
74
73.5%
Q3 - 3:21DALStoudemire 2' Driving Jump Shot (11 PTS)67
20.4%
74
79.6%
Q3 - 3:35HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)67
23.2%
72
76.8%
Q3 - 3:35HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 266
22.8%
72
77.2%
Q3 - 3:44HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)66
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 3:45HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot66
21.1%
72
78.9%
Q3 - 3:52DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)66
23.4%
72
76.6%
Q3 - 4:07HOUBrewer 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Prigioni 2 AST)66
20.5%
72
79.5%
Q3 - 4:14HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
18.4%
72
81.6%
Q3 - 4:14DALMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Turnaround Fadeaway Shot64
17.5%
72
82.5%
Q3 - 4:25HOUHarden Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T13)64
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 4:33HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
18.4%
72
81.6%
Q3 - 4:34DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
17.5%
72
82.5%
Q3 - 4:45HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)64
15.5%
72
84.5%
Q3 - 5:01DALParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Aminu 2 AST)61
12.5%
72
87.5%
Q3 - 5:05DALAminu REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)61
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 5:06DALMISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot61
18.0%
69
82.0%
Q3 - 5:13DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)61
16.2%
69
83.8%
Q3 - 5:14HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot61
17.0%
69
83.0%
Q3 - 5:39HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)61
18.9%
69
81.1%
Q3 - 5:40DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 261
18.5%
69
81.5%
Q3 - 5:40DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 261
16.9%
69
83.1%
Q3 - 5:50DALAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
16.1%
69
83.9%
Q3 - 5:51HOUMISS Prigioni 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
16.9%
69
83.1%
Q3 - 6:05DALEllis 3' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)61
19.5%
69
80.5%
Q3 - 6:14HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)61
21.7%
67
78.3%
Q3 - 6:32DALNowitzki 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (11 PTS)58
17.1%
67
82.9%
Q3 - 6:52HOUDorsey 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)58
19.1%
65
80.9%
Q3 - 7:14DALHarris 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parsons 4 AST)56
17.5%
65
82.5%
Q3 - 7:39HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)56
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 7:39HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)55
19.1%
63
80.9%
Q3 - 7:42HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
17.5%
63
82.5%
Q3 - 7:43HOUMISS Ariza 15' Jump Shot54
15.8%
63
84.2%
Q3 - 8:07DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)54
18.0%
63
82.0%
Q3 - 8:13HOUHarris STEAL (1 STL)54
22.4%
60
77.6%
Q3 - 8:21HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 8:22DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
24.5%
60
75.5%
Q3 - 8:30DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
22.3%
60
77.7%
Q3 - 8:31HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot54
23.3%
60
76.7%
Q3 - 8:49DALParsons 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)54
25.5%
60
74.5%
Q3 - 9:01HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)54
31.4%
57
68.6%
Q3 - 9:13DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)54
34.6%
57
65.4%
Q3 - 9:26HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)54
37.9%
55
62.1%
Q3 - 9:43DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)51
31.5%
55
68.5%
Q3 - 10:08HOUSmith 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)51
28.6%
55
71.4%
Q3 - 10:14HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)49
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q3 - 10:15HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot49
23.9%
55
76.1%
Q3 - 10:27HOURockets Rebound49
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q3 - 10:29DALMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot49
25.0%
55
75.0%
Q3 - 10:52HOUJones Foul Turnover (P3.T10)49
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q3 - 10:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
25.8%
55
74.2%
Q3 - 10:58DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot49
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q3 - 11:15HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)49
23.7%
55
76.3%
Q3 - 11:20HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
26.3%
55
73.7%
Q3 - 11:21DALMISS Ellis 18' Floating Jump Shot49
25.5%
55
74.5%
Q3 - 11:45HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)49
23.6%
55
76.4%
Q3 - 11:45HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)48
23.3%
55
76.7%
Q3 - 11:48DALParsons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)47
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL47
19.0%
55
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound47
19.0%
55
81.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Ellis 4' Running Jump Shot47
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
20.2%
55
79.8%
Q2 - 0:03.0HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
20.7%
55
79.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)47
21.8%
55
78.2%
Q2 - 0:12.0DALMISS Ellis 16' Floating Jump Shot47
21.3%
55
78.7%
Q2 - 0:29.0DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
20.1%
55
79.9%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
21.7%
55
78.3%
Q2 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Smith Tip Shot47
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q2 - 0:32.0HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot47
20.6%
55
79.4%
Q2 - 0:50.0HOURockets Rebound47
21.7%
55
78.3%
Q2 - 0:50.0DALMISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot47
21.2%
55
78.8%
Q2 - 1:02DALEllis Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)47
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q2 - 1:04DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)47
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q2 - 1:04HOUMISS Smith 4' Turnaround Hook Shot47
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q2 - 1:21DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)47
24.4%
54
75.6%
Q2 - 1:21DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
24.8%
53
75.2%
Q2 - 1:28DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
27.9%
52
72.1%
Q2 - 1:29HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot47
28.3%
52
71.7%
Q2 - 1:34HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q2 - 1:36HOUAminu BLOCK (3 BLK)47
28.3%
52
71.7%
Q2 - 1:42HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
29.3%
52
70.7%
Q2 - 1:43DALMISS Aminu 3PT Jump Shot47
28.9%
52
71.1%
Q2 - 1:54HOUJones Foul Turnover (P2.T8)47
27.9%
52
72.1%
Q2 - 2:06DALEllis 10' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)47
30.1%
52
69.9%
Q2 - 2:13DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
32.8%
50
67.2%
Q2 - 2:14HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
33.7%
50
66.3%
Q2 - 2:47DALRondo 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)47
35.5%
50
64.5%
Q2 - 3:02HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)47
38.3%
48
61.7%
Q2 - 3:07HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
36.0%
48
64.0%
Q2 - 3:10HOUChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)45
33.8%
48
66.2%
Q2 - 3:18DALRondo Driving Layup (6 PTS)45
36.0%
48
64.0%
Q2 - 3:27HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)45
38.3%
46
61.7%
Q2 - 3:40DALRondo 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)43
36.0%
46
64.0%
Q2 - 3:52HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)43
38.3%
44
61.7%
Q2 - 4:07DALParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)40
33.2%
44
66.8%
Q2 - 4:07DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)40
33.8%
43
66.2%
Q2 - 4:07DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 4:07HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q2 - 4:07HOUMISS Johnson 2' Tip Shot40
36.6%
42
63.4%
Q2 - 4:09HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
36.6%
42
63.4%
Q2 - 4:15DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)40
38.5%
42
61.5%
Q2 - 4:29HOUTerry 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)40
35.7%
42
64.3%
Q2 - 4:34HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
33.2%
42
66.8%
Q2 - 4:35DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot38
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 4:46DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 4:47DALMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
32.4%
42
67.6%
Q2 - 4:54DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
30.6%
42
69.4%
Q2 - 4:55HOUMISS Johnson 7' Turnaround Hook Shot38
31.4%
42
68.6%
Q2 - 5:19DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
33.4%
42
66.6%
Q2 - 5:19DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
34.1%
41
65.9%
Q2 - 5:19DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)38
36.0%
40
64.0%
Q2 - 5:20HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
36.7%
40
63.3%
Q2 - 5:30HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 5:30HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 2 of 238
36.3%
40
63.7%
Q2 - 5:30HOUMISS Capela Free Throw 1 of 238
37.8%
40
62.2%
Q2 - 5:32DALRondo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)38
38.6%
40
61.4%
Q2 - 5:49DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)38
35.9%
40
64.1%
Q2 - 5:50HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 2 of 238
36.3%
40
63.7%
Q2 - 5:50HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)38
37.7%
40
62.3%
Q2 - 6:11DALVillanueva 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)37
36.5%
40
63.5%
Q2 - 6:31HOUAriza 7' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)37
41.1%
37
58.9%
Q2 - 6:43HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
39.0%
37
61.0%
Q2 - 6:43DALMISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot35
38.1%
37
61.9%
Q2 - 6:59HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)35
35.9%
37
64.1%
Q2 - 7:06HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 7:06HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot35
37.0%
37
63.0%
Q2 - 7:10HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 7:11DALMISS Barea 3' Driving Layup35
38.1%
37
61.9%
Q2 - 7:25HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)35
36.2%
37
63.8%
Q2 - 7:34HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 7:35HOUMISS Smith 3PT Jump Shot32
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 7:54HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 7:55HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 8:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)32
31.6%
37
68.4%
Q2 - 8:18DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)32
31.9%
36
68.1%
Q2 - 8:23DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 8:25HOUAminu BLOCK (2 BLK)32
34.6%
35
65.4%
Q2 - 8:35HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
36.3%
35
63.7%
Q2 - 8:36DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 8:40DALAminu REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 8:42DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot32
35.5%
35
64.5%
Q2 - 8:53DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
33.8%
35
66.2%
Q2 - 8:54HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
34.6%
35
65.4%
Q2 - 9:10DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Barea 4 AST)32
36.4%
35
63.6%
Q2 - 9:15HOUStoudemire STEAL (2 STL)32
38.4%
33
61.6%
Q2 - 9:29DALBarea 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)32
41.1%
33
58.9%
Q2 - 9:42HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
43.3%
31
56.7%
Q2 - 9:42HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
42.3%
31
57.7%
Q2 - 9:59HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
41.1%
31
58.9%
Q2 - 10:00DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 230
40.8%
31
59.2%
Q2 - 10:00DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
39.2%
31
60.8%
Q2 - 10:04DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)30
40.8%
30
59.2%
Q2 - 10:05HOUMISS Brewer 2' Driving Layup30
41.7%
30
58.3%
Q2 - 10:22DALAminu Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)30
43.7%
30
56.3%
Q2 - 10:26HOUStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)30
48.1%
27
51.9%
Q2 - 10:36HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 10:37HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot30
49.0%
27
51.0%
Q2 - 10:49DALStoudemire 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)30
51.1%
27
48.9%
Q2 - 11:10DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)30
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q2 - 11:11DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot30
54.6%
25
45.4%
Q2 - 11:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)30
52.9%
25
47.1%
Q2 - 11:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)29
52.3%
25
47.7%
Q2 - 11:32DALNowitzki Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)28
50.5%
25
49.5%
Q2 - 11:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)28
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q2 - 11:37DALMISS Aminu 20' Fadeaway Jumper28
49.8%
25
50.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU28
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
49.8%
25
50.2%
Q1 - 0:02.0DALMISS Aminu 5' Fadeaway Jumper28
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)28
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q1 - 0:10.0HOUAminu BLOCK (1 BLK)28
48.6%
25
51.4%
Q1 - 0:33.0HOUPrigioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
49.8%
25
50.2%
Q1 - 0:35.0DALMISS Barea 1' Driving Layup28
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q1 - 0:50.0HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P1.T4)28
48.1%
25
51.9%
Q1 - 0:54.0HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)28
49.8%
25
50.2%
Q1 - 0:55.0DALMISS Harris 5' Running Jump Shot28
49.3%
25
50.7%
Q1 - 1:21HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prigioni 1 AST)28
48.0%
25
52.0%
Q1 - 1:27HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 1:28HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 225
41.3%
25
58.7%
Q1 - 1:28HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 225
42.1%
25
57.9%
Q1 - 1:30DALAminu Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)25
42.8%
25
57.2%
Q1 - 1:30DALMISS Aminu Free Throw 1 of 225
43.4%
24
56.6%
Q1 - 1:37HOUNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)25
43.4%
24
56.6%
Q1 - 1:48DALChandler Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)25
45.1%
24
54.9%
Q1 - 1:55HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
48.0%
22
52.0%
Q1 - 1:55HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)24
47.7%
22
52.3%
Q1 - 2:04DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 2:04DALStoudemire Tip Shot (7 PTS)23
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 2:06DALMISS Aminu 6' Floating Jump Shot23
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 2:18DALAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
47.7%
20
52.3%
Q1 - 2:19HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 223
48.0%
20
52.0%
Q1 - 2:19HOUDorsey Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)23
48.7%
20
51.3%
Q1 - 2:19HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)22
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 2:19HOUMISS Dorsey 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup22
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 2:24DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 2:40HOUDorsey 2' Putback Layup (2 PTS)22
45.4%
20
54.6%
Q1 - 2:42HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)20
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 2:43HOUMISS Harden 11' Fadeaway Jumper20
41.6%
20
58.4%
Q1 - 2:52HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
43.0%
20
57.0%
Q1 - 2:53DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
42.4%
20
57.6%
Q1 - 3:13HOUHarden 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)20
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 3:20DALParsons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)17
36.7%
20
63.3%
Q1 - 3:31DALAminu REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q1 - 3:32DALMISS Rondo 21' Jump Shot17
36.0%
20
64.0%
Q1 - 3:44HOUAriza Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)17
34.4%
20
65.6%
Q1 - 3:49HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
32.7%
20
67.3%
Q1 - 3:51DALMISS Stoudemire 3' Turnaround Hook Shot15
32.0%
20
68.0%
Q1 - 4:08HOUPrigioni 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)15
30.6%
20
69.4%
Q1 - 4:29DALStoudemire 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)12
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 4:41DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)12
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 4:43HOUMISS Dorsey Alley Oop Layup12
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 4:49DALStoudemire Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)12
30.9%
18
69.1%
Q1 - 5:08DALStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
29.2%
18
70.8%
Q1 - 5:09HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 212
29.4%
18
70.6%
Q1 - 5:09HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 212
30.0%
18
70.0%
Q1 - 5:29DALStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)12
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 5:45DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
34.6%
15
65.4%
Q1 - 5:46HOUMISS Ariza 5' Driving Jump Shot12
35.2%
15
64.8%
Q1 - 5:58HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
36.7%
15
63.3%
Q1 - 5:59DALMISS Ellis 8' Running Jump Shot12
36.0%
15
64.0%
Q1 - 6:13HOUAriza Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)12
34.7%
15
65.3%
Q1 - 6:22DALRondo 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
33.1%
15
66.9%
Q1 - 6:40HOUJones 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)10
34.7%
13
65.3%
Q1 - 6:58DALParsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)8
33.1%
13
66.9%
Q1 - 7:14DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
36.5%
10
63.5%
Q1 - 7:15DALMISS Chandler 5' Jump Hook Shot8
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 7:22HOUHoward Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)8
36.5%
10
63.5%
Q1 - 7:27HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 7:28DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
38.0%
10
62.0%
Q1 - 7:35DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)8
36.5%
10
63.5%
Q1 - 7:36HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
37.2%
10
62.8%
Q1 - 7:43DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)8
38.6%
10
61.4%
Q1 - 7:57HOUTerry Running Layup (2 PTS)8
36.5%
10
63.5%
Q1 - 8:00DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)6
35.0%
10
65.0%
Q1 - 8:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 8:12HOUMISS Howard 6' Hook Shot6
33.8%
10
66.2%
Q1 - 8:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
35.1%
10
64.9%
Q1 - 8:27DALMISS Parsons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup6
34.6%
10
65.4%
Q1 - 8:34HOUJones 3' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)6
33.3%
10
66.7%
Q1 - 8:49DALChandler 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Rondo 4 AST)4
31.7%
10
68.3%
Q1 - 8:58DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)4
33.3%
8
66.7%
Q1 - 8:59HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot4
33.8%
8
66.2%
Q1 - 9:20DALEllis Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)4
35.1%
8
64.9%
Q1 - 9:25DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
36.8%
6
63.2%
Q1 - 9:26HOUMISS Jones 6' Turnaround Jump Shot4
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:48DALChandler 6' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)4
38.7%
6
61.3%
Q1 - 10:02HOUChandler STEAL (1 STL)4
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 10:15HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 10:16DALMISS Parsons 2' Running Finger Roll Layup4
41.7%
4
58.3%
Q1 - 10:20DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
40.3%
4
59.7%
Q1 - 10:22HOUMISS Jones 9' Hook Shot4
40.9%
4
59.1%
Q1 - 10:37DALNowitzki 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)4
42.3%
4
57.7%
Q1 - 10:59HOUHarden 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS)4
43.9%
2
56.1%
Q1 - 11:24DALNowitzki 8' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)2
42.0%
2
58.0%
Q1 - 11:40HOUHoward Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)2
43.9%
0
56.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Howard: Tip to Ariza0
42.0%
0
58.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.07 53.5%
DAL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
19
32
59%
DAL
17
30
57%
Midrange
HOU
4
14
29%
DAL
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
DAL
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
Free Throws
HOU
29
40
73%
DAL
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2457%12.0 / 21
T. Ariza1968%9.5 / 14
J. Smith1558%7.5 / 13
C. Brewer1464%7.0 / 11
J. Terry1056%5.0 / 9
D. Howard850%4.0 / 8
T. Jones750%3.5 / 7
P. Prigioni6100%3.0 / 3
J. Dorsey536%2.5 / 7
N. Johnson0-0.0 / 2
C. Capela0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2175%10.5 / 14
M. Ellis1938%9.5 / 25
C. Parsons1155%5.5 / 10
A. Stoudemire1179%5.5 / 7
T. Chandler857%4.0 / 7
R. Rondo867%4.0 / 6
A. Aminu744%3.5 / 8
R. Jefferson563%2.5 / 4
D. Harris440%2.0 / 5
J. Barea425%2.0 / 8
C. Villanueva375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
81
+18
-18
99
DAL
87
+10
-13
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.07 53.5%
DAL
1.04 52.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.0
109.3
HOU 109.1 +8.1
DAL 101.0
Pace
96.6
95.4
HOU 103.2 +7.0
DAL 96.1
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.1
HOU 14.0 +1.0
DAL 15.0
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.5%
HOU 51.3% +2.5%
DAL 48.8%
TO %
16.4%
13.0%
HOU 17.5%
DAL 11.9% +5.6%
ORB %
26.8%
23.7%
HOU 34.7% +15.6%
DAL 19.1%
FTrt
31.2
26.2
HOU 51.9 +19.8
DAL 32.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
56.7%
HOU 70.6% +8.4%
DAL 62.2%
STL %
9.8%
8.4%
HOU 9.1% +3.1%
DAL 6.0%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
HOU 3.4%
DAL 10.9% +7.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
53.7%
HOU 53.5% +1.4%
DAL 52.1%
Rim FG%
58.0%
60.3%
HOU 59.4% +2.7%
DAL 56.7%
Mid FG%
37.1%
41.5%
HOU 28.6%
DAL 42.9% +14.3%
3P %
34.8%
35.2%
HOU 35.5% +4.7%
DAL 30.8%
FT %
71.5%
75.2%
HOU 72.5% +2.1%
DAL 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
35.3%
HOU 41.6% +5.8%
DAL 35.7%
Mid Att. %
21.6%
35.1%
HOU 18.2% +15.2%
DAL 33.3%
3P Att. %
39.2%
29.6%
HOU 40.3% +9.3%
DAL 31.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsHOUDAL
Possessions99100
Possession Minutes23.025.0
Points108101
Rebounds5541
Assists2423
Steals96
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)17 (1)9 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)38 (3)32 (0)
Field Goals34-7737-84
At-the-Rim FG19-3217-30
Midrange FG4-1412-28
2-Point FG23-4629-58
3-Point FG11-318-26
Free Throws29-4019-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
39.0
24
57%
4
6
1
0
5
2
0
4
10-12
83%
4-7
57%
2-8
25%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
38.3
19
68%
6
6
2
0
0
2
2
4
4-4
100%
3-5
60%
3-7
43%
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
29.0
10
56%
4
2
1
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
2-2
100%
2-7
29%
F · 6'9" 252 · 23
22.2
7
50%
5
2
1
0
3
4
1
4
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 29
18.0
8
50%
7
0
0
0
1
2
2
5
2-2
100%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
· 6'9" 225 · 29
31.5
15
58%
12
3
2
2
2
3
5
7
5-5
100%
2-6
33%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 186 · 29
24.4
14
64%
3
1
0
0
2
2
1
2
6-7
86%
4-7
57%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 185 · 38
19.0
6
100%
1
2
1
0
2
3
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-3
67%
· 6'8" 268 · 31
10.6
5
36%
7
0
1
0
1
2
2
5
1-6
17%
2-4
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 22
7.7
0
0%
5
2
0
0
1
0
3
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 256 · 21
0.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
1
1
0
0-2
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22
#16 · F · 6'8" 235 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
108
54%
55
24
9
2
18
0
17
38
29-40
73%
23-46
50%
11-31
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.