FinalWin Prob.pScore
451%103
104
549%102
103
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
108.39689.2
HOU logo HOU
107.297104.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS104
100%
103
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)104
95.4%
103
4.6%
Q4 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup104
93.9%
103
6.1%
Q4 - 0:06.0SASGinobili Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)104
62.6%
103
37.4%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)104
80.1%
103
19.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:12)104
94.7%
100
5.3%
Q4 - 0:35.0SASMISS Duncan 2' Layup104
96.1%
100
3.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)104
95.4%
100
4.6%
Q4 - 0:57.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup104
94.1%
100
5.9%
Q4 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)104
89.7%
100
10.3%
Q4 - 1:04SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)103
88.4%
100
11.6%
Q4 - 1:20HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)102
81.8%
100
18.2%
Q4 - 1:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)102
87.4%
98
12.6%
Q4 - 1:27SASMISS Leonard 13' Jump Shot102
89.2%
98
10.8%
Q4 - 1:45HOUHoward Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T20)102
91.0%
98
9.0%
Q4 - 1:59SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P3.T15)102
85.5%
98
14.5%
Q4 - 2:13SASSpurs Rebound102
91.0%
98
9.0%
Q4 - 2:15HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot102
89.3%
98
10.7%
Q4 - 2:21HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)102
83.9%
98
16.1%
Q4 - 2:23SASJones BLOCK (1 BLK)102
86.5%
98
13.5%
Q4 - 2:45HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T19)102
91.2%
98
8.8%
Q4 - 3:03SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
82.2%
98
17.8%
Q4 - 3:03SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)101
81.1%
98
18.9%
Q4 - 3:22SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)100
78.1%
98
21.9%
Q4 - 3:24HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot100
74.8%
98
25.2%
Q4 - 3:36SASDiaw Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)100
65.0%
98
35.0%
Q4 - 3:36SASDiaw Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)99
63.2%
98
36.8%
Q4 - 3:55SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)98
57.1%
98
42.9%
Q4 - 3:56SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
50.1%
98
49.9%
Q4 - 4:12HOUBrewer 4' Layup (11 PTS) (Harden 10 AST)98
57.2%
98
42.8%
Q4 - 4:18HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)98
65.4%
96
34.6%
Q4 - 4:20SASMISS Leonard 20' Jump Shot98
68.1%
96
31.9%
Q4 - 4:35HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)98
74.1%
96
25.9%
Q4 - 4:35HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)98
76.8%
95
23.2%
Q4 - 4:35HOUROCKETS Rebound98
80.2%
94
19.8%
Q4 - 4:35SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)98
85.9%
94
14.1%
Q4 - 4:35SASMISS Diaw 1' Tip Shot98
82.1%
94
17.9%
Q4 - 4:36SASMISS Diaw 8' Jump Shot98
82.1%
94
17.9%
Q4 - 4:58SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)98
86.0%
94
14.0%
Q4 - 5:00SASMISS Leonard 21' Pullup Jump Shot98
82.2%
94
17.8%
Q4 - 5:20HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)98
82.8%
94
17.2%
Q4 - 5:20HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 298
84.6%
93
15.4%
Q4 - 5:25SASLeonard 11' Turnaround Fadeaway (16 PTS)98
82.5%
93
17.5%
Q4 - 5:42SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)96
77.7%
93
22.3%
Q4 - 5:42HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 296
76.9%
93
23.1%
Q4 - 5:42HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 296
74.1%
93
25.9%
Q4 - 5:52SASLeonard 21' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Green 4 AST)96
70.9%
93
29.1%
Q4 - 6:12SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)94
63.4%
93
36.6%
Q4 - 6:12HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 294
62.3%
93
37.7%
Q4 - 6:12HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 294
59.1%
93
40.9%
Q4 - 6:14HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
55.0%
93
45.0%
Q4 - 6:15SASMISS Diaw 6' Jump Shot94
57.7%
93
42.3%
Q4 - 6:34HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)94
63.4%
93
36.6%
Q4 - 6:34HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 294
66.1%
92
33.9%
Q4 - 6:39SASDuncan Slam Dunk (27 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)94
62.4%
92
37.6%
Q4 - 6:44SASMills REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
56.2%
92
43.8%
Q4 - 6:46HOUMISS Brewer 4' Jump Shot92
53.6%
92
46.4%
Q4 - 6:50HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)92
47.5%
92
52.5%
Q4 - 6:52SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot92
50.2%
92
49.8%
Q4 - 7:03HOUSmith Dunk (16 PTS) (Prigioni 1 AST)92
56.1%
92
43.9%
Q4 - 7:08SASPrigioni STEAL (2 STL)92
62.1%
90
37.9%
Q4 - 7:18HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)92
69.0%
90
31.0%
Q4 - 7:18HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 292
71.3%
89
28.7%
Q4 - 7:19HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)92
68.4%
89
31.6%
Q4 - 7:19SASMISS Mills Free Throw 2 of 292
69.2%
89
30.8%
Q4 - 7:19SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
73.4%
89
26.6%
Q4 - 7:28HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)91
69.0%
89
31.0%
Q4 - 7:28HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)91
71.3%
88
28.7%
Q4 - 7:36SASDiaw 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Mills 2 AST)91
74.1%
87
25.9%
Q4 - 7:53HOUSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)89
69.1%
87
30.9%
Q4 - 7:53HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)89
71.3%
86
28.7%
Q4 - 7:55SASMills Foul Turnover (P2.T13)89
74.1%
85
25.9%
Q4 - 7:57HOUPrigioni Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)89
79.6%
85
20.4%
Q4 - 8:05SASDuncan Foul Turnover (P2.T12)89
72.9%
85
27.1%
Q4 - 8:21HOUPrigioni 15' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)89
77.7%
85
22.3%
Q4 - 8:36SASDuncan 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)89
81.9%
83
18.1%
Q4 - 8:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)87
77.8%
83
22.2%
Q4 - 8:56HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:11)87
73.0%
83
27.0%
Q4 - 8:56HOUMISS Howard 1' Tip Shot87
76.4%
83
23.6%
Q4 - 8:58HOUMISS Smith 12' Turnaround Hook Shot87
76.4%
83
23.6%
Q4 - 9:37HOUROCKETS Rebound85
76.3%
80
23.7%
Q4 - 9:38SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
77.7%
80
22.3%
Q4 - 9:52HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
80.5%
80
19.5%
Q4 - 9:52HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
81.4%
79
18.6%
Q4 - 10:06HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)85
82.4%
78
17.6%
Q4 - 10:07SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)85
85.5%
78
14.5%
Q4 - 10:07SASMISS Baynes 1' Putback Layup85
83.4%
78
16.6%
Q4 - 10:08SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)85
85.5%
78
14.5%
Q4 - 10:08SASMISS Diaw 2' Tip Shot85
83.4%
78
16.6%
Q4 - 10:09SASMISS Diaw 2' Layup85
83.5%
78
16.5%
Q4 - 10:15SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
85.6%
78
14.4%
Q4 - 10:16HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
84.7%
78
15.3%
Q4 - 10:24HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)85
82.5%
78
17.5%
Q4 - 10:24HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 185
85.2%
78
14.8%
Q4 - 10:33SASMills Traveling Turnover (P1.T11)85
88.1%
76
11.9%
Q4 - 10:39HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P3.T17)85
90.3%
76
9.7%
Q4 - 10:55SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)85
88.1%
76
11.9%
Q4 - 11:01HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T16)82
81.3%
76
18.7%
Q4 - 11:05SASHoward STEAL (2 STL)82
77.7%
76
22.3%
Q4 - 11:26HOUHoward Foul Turnover (P2.T15)82
81.4%
76
18.6%
Q4 - 11:27HOUTerry Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)82
77.8%
76
22.2%
Q4 - 11:42HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
81.3%
75
18.7%
Q4 - 11:42SASMISS Baynes Free Throw 1 of 182
81.7%
75
18.3%
Q4 - 11:50HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)80
78.0%
75
22.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU80
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound80
73.9%
75
26.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Harden 18' Step Back Jump Shot80
76.8%
75
23.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0SASMills 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Green 3 AST)80
73.1%
75
26.9%
Q3 - 0:28.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
64.4%
75
35.6%
Q3 - 0:30.0HOUMISS Harden 2' Driving Layup77
63.0%
75
37.0%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASMills 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)77
59.6%
75
40.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)74
49.5%
75
50.5%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
44.4%
75
55.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASDuncan 1' Tip Shot (23 PTS)74
44.4%
75
55.6%
Q3 - 0:56.0SASMISS Ginobili 7' Turnaround Jump Shot72
36.1%
75
63.9%
Q3 - 1:17HOUBrewer 9' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Jones 1 AST)72
40.1%
75
59.9%
Q3 - 1:35HOUROCKETS Rebound72
44.7%
73
55.3%
Q3 - 1:38HOUMISS Harden 14' Step Back Jump Shot72
48.1%
73
51.9%
Q3 - 1:47HOUROCKETS Rebound72
44.7%
73
55.3%
Q3 - 1:48HOUMISS Harden 28' 3PT Jump Shot72
48.1%
73
51.9%
Q3 - 1:54HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)72
44.7%
73
55.3%
Q3 - 1:54HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 272
49.0%
73
51.0%
Q3 - 1:54HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)72
46.7%
73
53.3%
Q3 - 1:58SASDuncan 8' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (21 PTS) (Green 2 AST)72
49.5%
72
50.5%
Q3 - 2:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
44.9%
72
55.1%
Q3 - 2:19HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 270
44.3%
72
55.7%
Q3 - 2:19HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
42.2%
72
57.8%
Q3 - 2:23HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
44.7%
71
55.3%
Q3 - 2:24SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot70
46.1%
71
53.9%
Q3 - 2:41SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)70
49.5%
71
50.5%
Q3 - 2:43HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 270
48.9%
71
51.1%
Q3 - 2:43HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 270
46.7%
71
53.3%
Q3 - 2:49SASDuncan Dunk (19 PTS) (Ginobili 3 AST)70
44.7%
71
55.3%
Q3 - 2:59HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Harden 9 AST)68
40.4%
71
59.6%
Q3 - 3:09SASMills 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)68
49.3%
68
50.7%
Q3 - 3:22SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
40.9%
68
59.1%
Q3 - 3:22HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 265
40.3%
68
59.7%
Q3 - 3:22HOUSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)65
38.3%
68
61.7%
Q3 - 3:24SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
40.6%
67
59.4%
Q3 - 3:24SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 264
39.6%
67
60.4%
Q3 - 3:29HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)64
40.9%
67
59.1%
Q3 - 3:36HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)64
36.4%
67
63.6%
Q3 - 3:37SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
37.7%
67
62.3%
Q3 - 3:59HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Harden 8 AST)64
40.9%
67
59.1%
Q3 - 4:06SASPrigioni STEAL (1 STL)64
49.0%
64
51.0%
Q3 - 4:22SASSpurs Rebound64
54.2%
64
45.8%
Q3 - 4:24HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 264
53.5%
64
46.5%
Q3 - 4:24HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 264
51.5%
64
48.5%
Q3 - 4:25SASMills Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)64
49.0%
64
51.0%
Q3 - 4:25SASMills Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
48.5%
64
51.5%
Q3 - 4:25SASSpurs Rebound62
45.7%
64
54.3%
Q3 - 4:25HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot62
44.1%
64
55.9%
Q3 - 4:50SASLeonard 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (12 PTS)62
40.6%
64
59.4%
Q3 - 5:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
37.6%
64
62.4%
Q3 - 5:19HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
36.3%
64
63.7%
Q3 - 5:39HOUROCKETS Rebound60
33.3%
64
66.7%
Q3 - 5:39SASMISS Ginobili 32' 3PT Jump Shot60
34.6%
64
65.4%
Q3 - 6:02HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)60
38.2%
64
61.8%
Q3 - 6:02HOUMISS Jones Free Throw 1 of 260
39.4%
63
60.6%
Q3 - 6:14SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)60
37.6%
63
62.4%
Q3 - 6:14SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 259
36.7%
63
63.3%
Q3 - 6:33HOUJones Dunk (13 PTS) (Harden 7 AST)59
38.1%
63
61.9%
Q3 - 6:47SASLeonard 14' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)59
41.3%
61
58.7%
Q3 - 7:01HOUAriza 2' Layup (10 PTS)57
38.3%
61
61.7%
Q3 - 7:06HOUROCKETS Rebound57
41.5%
59
58.5%
Q3 - 7:06HOUMISS Harden 4' Driving Layup57
44.4%
59
55.6%
Q3 - 7:15HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)57
41.5%
59
58.5%
Q3 - 7:17SASMISS Parker 17' Pullup Jump Shot57
42.8%
59
57.2%
Q3 - 7:31HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)57
45.7%
59
54.3%
Q3 - 7:31HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
47.2%
58
52.8%
Q3 - 7:49SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
49.1%
57
50.9%
Q3 - 7:49SASMISS Duncan Free Throw 1 of 256
48.2%
57
51.8%
Q3 - 7:49SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q3 - 7:50SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot56
46.6%
57
53.4%
Q3 - 7:56SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
49.6%
57
50.4%
Q3 - 7:57HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
48.3%
57
51.7%
Q3 - 8:15SASLeonard 22' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
45.4%
57
54.6%
Q3 - 8:24HOUHoward 2' Layup (8 PTS)54
42.3%
57
57.7%
Q3 - 8:25HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
45.4%
55
54.6%
Q3 - 8:26HOUMISS Jones 1' Reverse Layup54
48.4%
55
51.6%
Q3 - 8:50SASBaynes Slam Dunk (8 PTS)54
45.3%
55
54.7%
Q3 - 8:51SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
42.3%
55
57.7%
Q3 - 8:52SASMISS Parker 8' Jump Shot52
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q3 - 9:04HOUJones 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (11 PTS)52
42.1%
55
57.9%
Q3 - 9:25SASParker 8' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)52
45.6%
53
54.4%
Q3 - 9:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)50
42.2%
53
57.8%
Q3 - 9:44HOUMISS Harden 18' Jump Shot50
41.1%
53
58.9%
Q3 - 9:55SASDuncan 2' Layup (14 PTS) (Baynes 1 AST)50
38.5%
53
61.5%
Q3 - 10:15HOUJones 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Harden 6 AST)48
35.8%
53
64.2%
Q3 - 10:41SASDuncan 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Green 1 AST)48
42.4%
50
57.6%
Q3 - 11:03HOUJones 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)46
39.8%
50
60.2%
Q3 - 11:23SASAriza STEAL (1 STL)46
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q3 - 11:30SASGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
46.4%
48
53.6%
Q3 - 11:32HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup46
45.3%
48
54.7%
Q3 - 11:37SASHoward STEAL (1 STL)46
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0HOU46
46.4%
48
53.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASBaynes 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)46
42.9%
48
57.1%
Q2 - 0:19.0HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 5 AST)44
39.8%
48
60.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0SASLeonard 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)44
47.0%
45
53.0%
Q2 - 0:53.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q2 - 0:54.0SASMISS Green 12' Jump Shot42
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 1:04SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
43.0%
45
57.0%
Q2 - 1:05HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot42
42.5%
45
57.5%
Q2 - 1:18SASBaynes Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)42
41.3%
45
58.7%
Q2 - 1:18SASBaynes Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)41
40.9%
45
59.1%
Q2 - 1:31HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)40
36.9%
45
63.1%
Q2 - 1:35SASHarden STEAL (3 STL)40
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 1:37HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)40
36.9%
45
63.1%
Q2 - 1:57HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)40
35.3%
45
64.7%
Q2 - 1:58SASMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot40
35.7%
45
64.3%
Q2 - 2:23HOUHarden 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)40
37.8%
45
62.2%
Q2 - 2:29HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)40
43.9%
42
56.1%
Q2 - 2:30SASMISS Parker 20' Step Back Jump Shot40
44.8%
42
55.2%
Q2 - 2:52HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)40
46.8%
42
53.2%
Q2 - 3:13SASDuncan 6' Turnaround Bank Shot (10 PTS)40
44.0%
42
56.0%
Q2 - 3:27SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
41.5%
42
58.5%
Q2 - 3:29HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup38
40.5%
42
59.5%
Q2 - 3:46SASDuncan 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)38
38.2%
42
61.8%
Q2 - 4:07HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)36
36.1%
42
63.9%
Q2 - 4:11HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
41.5%
39
58.5%
Q2 - 4:13SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup36
42.3%
39
57.7%
Q2 - 4:18SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
44.4%
39
55.6%
Q2 - 4:19HOUMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 4:31HOUROCKETS Rebound36
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 4:33HOUMISS Smith 9' Running Hook Shot36
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 4:39HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 4:40HOUMISS Terry 22' Jump Shot36
43.5%
39
56.5%
Q2 - 4:58SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
41.4%
39
58.6%
Q2 - 4:58SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
40.9%
39
59.1%
Q2 - 4:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
38.8%
39
61.2%
Q2 - 5:01HOUMISS Harden 13' Step Back Jump Shot34
38.4%
39
61.6%
Q2 - 5:18SASDuncan 5' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS)34
36.5%
39
63.5%
Q2 - 5:36HOUAriza Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)32
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 5:41HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
31.4%
39
68.6%
Q2 - 5:43SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup32
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 5:44SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
33.9%
39
66.1%
Q2 - 5:46SASMISS Leonard 2' Alley Oop Layup32
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 6:01HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)32
34.8%
39
65.2%
Q2 - 6:01HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)32
35.4%
38
64.6%
Q2 - 6:05HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
36.7%
37
63.3%
Q2 - 6:06SASMISS Belinelli 30' 3PT Jump Shot32
37.7%
37
62.3%
Q2 - 6:31HOUSmith Slam Dunk (6 PTS)32
39.8%
37
60.2%
Q2 - 6:34SASSmith STEAL (1 STL)32
41.9%
35
58.1%
Q2 - 6:42HOUSmith 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)32
45.2%
35
54.8%
Q2 - 6:53HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
47.4%
33
52.6%
Q2 - 6:55SASMISS Parker 12' Pullup Jump Shot32
48.4%
33
51.6%
Q2 - 7:10SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
50.5%
33
49.5%
Q2 - 7:12HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
49.6%
33
50.4%
Q2 - 7:17HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
47.7%
33
52.3%
Q2 - 7:19SASMISS Leonard 2' Layup32
48.5%
33
51.5%
Q2 - 7:24HOUBrewer Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)32
50.5%
33
49.5%
Q2 - 7:40SASBelinelli 21' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)32
47.6%
33
52.4%
Q2 - 7:53SASSpurs Rebound30
45.2%
33
54.8%
Q2 - 7:53HOUMISS Jones 6' Jump Shot30
44.3%
33
55.7%
Q2 - 8:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)30
42.5%
33
57.5%
Q2 - 8:13SASMISS Bonner 3PT Jump Shot30
43.3%
33
56.7%
Q2 - 8:24HOUHoward Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)30
45.2%
33
54.8%
Q2 - 8:43HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)30
42.5%
33
57.5%
Q2 - 8:43SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 2 of 230
42.9%
33
57.1%
Q2 - 8:43SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
44.5%
33
55.5%
Q2 - 9:01HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)29
43.0%
33
57.0%
Q2 - 9:01HOUMISS Brewer Free Throw 1 of 229
43.5%
32
56.5%
Q2 - 9:01HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
42.6%
32
57.4%
Q2 - 9:02HOUMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot29
44.6%
32
55.4%
Q2 - 9:23HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)29
42.6%
32
57.4%
Q2 - 9:24SASMISS Ayres 13' Jump Shot29
43.4%
32
56.6%
Q2 - 9:49HOUJones 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Howard 2 AST)29
45.4%
32
54.6%
Q2 - 10:07SASAyres 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)29
47.5%
30
52.5%
Q2 - 10:16SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 10:17HOUMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot27
44.6%
30
55.4%
Q2 - 10:28HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
42.6%
30
57.4%
Q2 - 10:30SASMISS Diaw 7' Hook Shot27
43.5%
30
56.5%
Q2 - 10:46HOUBrewer Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
45.5%
30
54.5%
Q2 - 10:58SASGinobili 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
42.6%
30
57.4%
Q2 - 11:16HOUJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
40.5%
30
59.5%
Q2 - 11:32SASDiaw 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)25
38.1%
30
61.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU23
35.9%
30
64.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0HOUJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
34.4%
30
65.6%
Q1 - 0:02.0SASMISS Ginobili 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot23
34.9%
30
65.1%
Q1 - 0:10.0HOUHarden 17' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)23
36.0%
30
64.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0SASDiaw 9' Fadeaway Bank Shot (4 PTS)23
38.7%
28
61.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)21
36.0%
28
64.0%
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 221
35.7%
28
64.3%
Q1 - 0:49.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)21
34.1%
28
65.9%
Q1 - 0:58.0SASGinobili 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)21
36.5%
27
63.5%
Q1 - 1:01SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q1 - 1:03SASSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)19
33.2%
27
66.8%
Q1 - 1:15SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
34.3%
27
65.7%
Q1 - 1:16HOUMISS Brewer 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
33.8%
27
66.2%
Q1 - 1:29SASJoseph 5' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Diaw 3 AST)19
32.7%
27
67.3%
Q1 - 1:42HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)17
30.2%
27
69.8%
Q1 - 1:55SASBelinelli 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)17
28.8%
27
71.2%
Q1 - 2:15SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 2:17SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
24.0%
27
76.0%
Q1 - 2:43HOUBrewer 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)14
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 2:54SASJoseph Foul Turnover (P1.T4)14
27.0%
25
73.0%
Q1 - 2:58SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
28.7%
25
71.3%
Q1 - 3:00HOUMISS Brewer 5' Hook Shot14
28.2%
25
71.8%
Q1 - 3:27SASAyres 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)14
27.3%
25
72.7%
Q1 - 3:42HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)12
25.8%
25
74.2%
Q1 - 3:42HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)12
26.0%
24
74.0%
Q1 - 3:44SASHarden STEAL (2 STL)12
27.3%
23
72.7%
Q1 - 4:01HOUSmith 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)12
29.7%
23
70.3%
Q1 - 4:15SASLeonard 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)12
31.3%
21
68.7%
Q1 - 4:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)10
29.7%
21
70.3%
Q1 - 4:31HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 1 of 210
29.9%
20
70.1%
Q1 - 4:41SASDiaw 3' Layup (2 PTS)10
29.4%
20
70.6%
Q1 - 5:04HOUJones Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
28.8%
20
71.2%
Q1 - 5:04HOUJones Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
29.3%
19
70.7%
Q1 - 5:19SASGinobili 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 2 AST)8
30.3%
18
69.7%
Q1 - 5:41HOUJones Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)6
28.7%
18
71.3%
Q1 - 5:42HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)6
26.9%
18
73.1%
Q1 - 5:44SASMISS Ginobili 15' Running Jump Shot6
27.4%
18
72.6%
Q1 - 6:05HOUFree Throw 2 of 26
29.6%
18
70.4%
Q1 - 6:05HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)6
28.6%
18
71.4%
Q1 - 6:18SASDuncan 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot (4 PTS)6
29.4%
17
70.6%
Q1 - 6:37HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)4
27.9%
17
72.1%
Q1 - 6:37HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)4
28.6%
16
71.4%
Q1 - 6:38HOUJones REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)4
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 6:41HOUMISS Jones 2' Layup4
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 6:42HOUJones REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)4
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 6:44HOUJones REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 6:44HOUMISS Jones 2' Tip Shot4
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 6:45HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup4
30.7%
15
69.3%
Q1 - 6:56HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
29.4%
15
70.6%
Q1 - 6:58SASHoward BLOCK (2 BLK)4
29.9%
15
70.1%
Q1 - 7:10HOUHarden 16' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
31.8%
15
68.2%
Q1 - 7:31SASDuncan Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)4
33.2%
13
66.8%
Q1 - 7:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.8%
13
68.2%
Q1 - 7:43HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 22
31.5%
13
68.5%
Q1 - 7:43HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)2
30.7%
13
69.3%
Q1 - 7:48SASHarden STEAL (1 STL)2
31.5%
12
68.5%
Q1 - 7:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.5%
12
66.5%
Q1 - 7:56HOUMISS Terry 8' Jump Bank Shot2
32.8%
12
67.2%
Q1 - 8:20SASBaynes 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)2
32.0%
12
68.0%
Q1 - 8:38HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)0
30.5%
12
69.5%
Q1 - 8:57HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
33.7%
9
66.3%
Q1 - 8:58SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
34.3%
9
65.7%
Q1 - 9:03SASSpurs Rebound0
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 9:03SASTerry BLOCK (1 BLK)0
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 9:08HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 9:24SASSpurs Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
33.9%
9
66.1%
Q1 - 9:52HOUAriza Slam Dunk (5 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)0
35.7%
9
64.3%
Q1 - 9:55HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
37.4%
7
62.6%
Q1 - 9:56SASMISS Parker 9' Running Hook Shot0
37.9%
7
62.1%
Q1 - 10:11SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 10:13SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot0
38.0%
7
62.0%
Q1 - 10:35HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
39.4%
7
60.6%
Q1 - 10:41HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
42.8%
4
57.2%
Q1 - 10:42SASMISS Duncan 19' Jump Shot0
43.5%
4
56.5%
Q1 - 11:07HOUTerry 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)0
44.7%
4
55.3%
Q1 - 11:15HOUJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 11:16SASHoward BLOCK (1 BLK)0
47.2%
2
52.8%
Q1 - 11:40HOUHoward 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)0
48.4%
2
51.6%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Duncan: Tip to Terry0
50.4%
0
49.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
HOU
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
17
28
61%
HOU
14
27
52%
Midrange
SAS
20
40
50%
HOU
8
18
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
HOU
9
13.5
21
43%
64%
Free Throws
SAS
18
24
75%
HOU
33
53
62%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Duncan2976%14.5 / 19
K. Leonard1847%9.0 / 19
P. Mills14140%7.0 / 5
A. Baynes1393%6.5 / 7
B. Diaw1036%5.0 / 14
M. Ginobili643%3.0 / 7
M. Belinelli563%2.5 / 4
J. Ayres467%2.0 / 3
C. Joseph375%1.5 / 2
T. Parker214%1.0 / 7
D. Green0-0.0 / 7
M. Bonner0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith2045%10.0 / 22
T. Ariza19136%9.5 / 7
J. Harden1636%8.0 / 22
T. Jones1464%7.0 / 11
D. Howard1267%6.0 / 9
C. Brewer1161%5.5 / 9
J. Terry956%4.5 / 8
P. Prigioni2100%1.0 / 1
N. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
81
+14
-15
95
HOU
77
+14
-20
91
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.07 53.6%
HOU
1.12 55.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
107.0
SAS 108.3 +1.1
HOU 107.2
Pace
93.9
96.6
SAS 89.2
HOU 104.9 +15.7
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
14.6
SAS 16.1
HOU 13.7 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
51.2%
SAS 50.6%
HOU 53.8% +3.2%
TO %
14.2%
16.4%
SAS 14.3% +4.0%
HOU 18.3%
ORB %
23.4%
26.8%
SAS 30.2% +5.2%
HOU 25.0%
FTrt
25.6
31.2
SAS 28.2
HOU 80.3 +52.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
60.0%
SAS 56.1%
HOU 61.3% +5.2%
STL %
8.5%
9.8%
SAS 12.5% +3.2%
HOU 9.3%
BLK %
8.4%
8.0%
SAS 6.7%
HOU 7.4% +0.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
53.3%
SAS 53.6%
HOU 55.9% +2.3%
Rim FG%
59.6%
58.0%
SAS 60.7% +8.8%
HOU 51.9%
Mid FG%
42.1%
37.1%
SAS 50.0% +5.6%
HOU 44.4%
3P %
36.7%
34.8%
SAS 23.5%
HOU 42.9% +19.4%
FT %
78.0%
71.5%
SAS 75.0% +12.7%
HOU 62.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
39.2%
SAS 32.9%
HOU 40.9% +8.0%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
21.6%
SAS 47.1%
HOU 27.3% +19.8%
3P Att. %
26.9%
39.2%
SAS 20.0%
HOU 31.8% +11.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsSASHOU
Possessions9697
Possession Minutes25.822.2
Points104104
Rebounds4039
Assists2319
Steals129
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)15 (1)20 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)9 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (4)30 (3)
Field Goals41-8531-66
At-the-Rim FG17-2814-27
Midrange FG20-408-18
2-Point FG37-6822-45
3-Point FG4-179-21
Free Throws18-2433-53
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
39.2
18
47%
9
2
4
0
1
2
1
8
4-4
100%
7-15
47%
0-2
0%
F · 6'11" 250 · 39
34.2
29
76%
10
2
1
3
3
4
4
6
5-8
63%
12-15
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
27.9
2
14%
2
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-7
14%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
24.0
0
0%
2
4
1
0
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-5
0%
C · 6'10" 260 · 28
18.2
13
93%
4
1
1
0
1
6
3
1
3-4
75%
5-6
83%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33
25.8
10
36%
5
4
0
0
0
5
3
2
2-2
100%
4-12
33%
0-1
0%
G · 6'6" 205 · 38
21.2
6
43%
2
4
2
0
4
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29
14.4
5
63%
1
1
2
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
11.5
14
140%
1
2
1
0
3
5
0
1
3-4
75%
1-1
100%
3-3
100%
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
8.6
3
75%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28
8.3
4
67%
3
0
0
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35
6.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 205 · 29
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#22 · C-F · 6'11" 245 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
104
54%
40
23
12
3
15
0
13
27
18-24
75%
37-68
54%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.