FinalWin Prob.pScore
168%101
95
1832%95
81
ORTG#PossPace
SAS logo SAS
106.78986.0
MIA logo MIA
91.08992.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatSpursQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventSASMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS95
100%
81
0%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAEnnis 2' Reverse Layup (7 PTS)95
99.9%
81
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)95
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0SASMISS Joseph Free Throw 1 of 294
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIABeasley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)94
99.9%
79
0.1%
Q4 - 0:57.0SASWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 2 AST)94
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:13SASSpurs Rebound91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:14SASMISS Diaw 5' Hook Shot91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:32MIADragic 13' Jump Shot (19 PTS)91
99.9%
77
0.1%
Q4 - 1:48SASLeonard 7' Jump Hook Shot (22 PTS)91
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:06MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot89
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:25SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)89
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:26SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)87
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:27SASMISS Joseph Tip Shot87
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 2:28SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)87
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:29SASMISS Splitter 2' Layup87
99.8%
75
0.2%
Q4 - 2:50MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T18)87
99.9%
75
0.1%
Q4 - 2:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)87
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup87
99.7%
75
0.3%
Q4 - 3:06SASParker 8' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)87
99.6%
75
0.4%
Q4 - 3:32MIAAndersen 2' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)85
98.8%
75
1.2%
Q4 - 3:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)85
99.1%
73
0.9%
Q4 - 3:34MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot85
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 3:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)85
99.2%
73
0.8%
Q4 - 3:42SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot85
99.3%
73
0.7%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)85
99.5%
73
0.5%
Q4 - 4:06MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)85
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 4:27SASBaynes Foul Turnover (P1.T19)85
99.6%
71
0.4%
Q4 - 4:39MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
99.8%
71
0.2%
Q4 - 4:39MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
99.8%
70
0.2%
Q4 - 4:49SASGinobili Traveling Turnover (P5.T18)85
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:01MIAAndersen Putback Dunk (2 PTS)85
99.8%
69
0.2%
Q4 - 5:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)85
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:04MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot85
99.9%
67
0.1%
Q4 - 5:13SASJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:13SASJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:41MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS)83
99.8%
67
0.2%
Q4 - 5:47MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:48SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:55SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)83
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 5:56SASMISS Joseph 21' Jump Shot83
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)83
99.9%
64
0.1%
Q4 - 6:25MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)83
99.9%
63
0.1%
Q4 - 6:31MIAHEAT Rebound83
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:32SASMISS Diaw 8' Hook Shot83
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:43SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)83
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)83
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 6:58SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)82
99.9%
62
0.1%
Q4 - 7:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T17)81
99.8%
62
0.2%
Q4 - 7:32SASJoseph 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Leonard 3 AST)81
99.7%
62
0.3%
Q4 - 7:35MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T16)79
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 7:43MIAHEAT Rebound79
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
99.6%
62
0.4%
Q4 - 7:52MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 7:53SASMISS Splitter 6' Jump Hook Shot79
99.5%
62
0.5%
Q4 - 8:13SASSpurs Rebound79
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 8:14MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot79
99.4%
62
0.6%
Q4 - 8:26SASLeonard Dunk (20 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)79
99.3%
62
0.7%
Q4 - 8:30MIAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)77
99.1%
62
0.9%
Q4 - 8:47SASDiaw Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)77
98.8%
62
1.2%
Q4 - 9:03MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)77
98.8%
62
1.2%
Q4 - 9:27SASLeonard 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)77
99.1%
60
0.9%
Q4 - 9:38SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)75
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 9:39MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot75
98.8%
60
1.2%
Q4 - 10:01SASDiaw 4' Jump Hook Shot (11 PTS)75
98.2%
60
1.8%
Q4 - 10:16SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)73
97.8%
60
2.2%
Q4 - 10:17MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot73
97.6%
60
2.4%
Q4 - 10:30SASDiaw 9' Hook Shot (9 PTS)73
97.2%
60
2.8%
Q4 - 10:43SASMISS Green Free Throw Technical71
96.6%
60
3.4%
Q4 - 10:43MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T14)71
96.6%
60
3.4%
Q4 - 10:55MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q4 - 10:56SASMISS Diaw 9' Fadeaway Jumper71
96.0%
60
4.0%
Q4 - 11:22SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)71
96.1%
60
3.9%
Q4 - 11:23SASMISS Belinelli 3PT Jump Shot71
95.5%
60
4.5%
Q4 - 11:44MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)71
96.1%
60
3.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA71
95.2%
60
4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound71
95.2%
60
4.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Dragic 3' Reverse Layup71
95.8%
60
4.2%
Q3 - 0:05.0SASSplitter Foul Turnover (P3.T16)71
94.7%
60
5.3%
Q3 - 0:14.0SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)71
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q3 - 0:15.0MIAMISS Chalmers 10' Driving Bank Shot71
95.4%
60
4.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0SASParker Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T15)71
94.8%
60
5.2%
Q3 - 0:53.0MIAWhiteside Dunk (10 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)71
95.7%
60
4.3%
Q3 - 1:06MIAHEAT Rebound71
96.1%
58
3.9%
Q3 - 1:07MIAMISS Johnson 3' Layup71
96.6%
58
3.4%
Q3 - 1:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)71
96.1%
58
3.9%
Q3 - 1:13SASMISS Diaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
96.3%
58
3.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIADragic 4' Driving Layup (15 PTS)71
96.8%
58
3.2%
Q3 - 1:52SASParker 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS)71
97.3%
56
2.7%
Q3 - 2:02SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Beasley 11' Step Back Jump Shot69
96.1%
56
3.9%
Q3 - 2:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
95.6%
56
4.4%
Q3 - 2:15SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
95.8%
56
4.2%
Q3 - 2:42MIAWhiteside 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)69
96.3%
56
3.7%
Q3 - 2:53MIAHEAT Rebound69
96.9%
54
3.1%
Q3 - 2:54MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
97.3%
54
2.7%
Q3 - 3:17SASParker Driving Layup (12 PTS)69
96.6%
54
3.4%
Q3 - 3:22SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)67
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q3 - 3:23MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Driving Layup67
95.8%
54
4.2%
Q3 - 3:29SASWhiteside STEAL (2 STL)67
95.2%
54
4.8%
Q3 - 3:43SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
96.0%
54
4.0%
Q3 - 3:44MIAMISS Beasley 10' Turnaround Jump Shot67
95.8%
54
4.2%
Q3 - 3:58SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)67
95.2%
54
4.8%
Q3 - 3:58SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)66
95.1%
54
4.9%
Q3 - 4:10SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)65
94.1%
54
5.9%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Floating Jump Shot65
93.7%
54
6.3%
Q3 - 4:29SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)65
92.8%
54
7.2%
Q3 - 4:29SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)64
92.6%
54
7.4%
Q3 - 4:42MIABeasley 12' Jump Shot (4 PTS)63
91.9%
54
8.1%
Q3 - 4:53MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)63
92.8%
52
7.2%
Q3 - 4:54MIAMISS Wade 15' Jump Shot63
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 5:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
92.4%
52
7.6%
Q3 - 5:07SASMISS Duncan 16' Jump Bank Shot63
92.8%
52
7.2%
Q3 - 5:18SASSpurs Rebound63
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 5:19SASMISS Leonard 3PT Jump Shot63
92.8%
52
7.2%
Q3 - 5:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)63
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 5:33MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot63
93.3%
52
6.7%
Q3 - 5:42MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)63
92.5%
52
7.5%
Q3 - 5:43SASMISS Parker 16' Pullup Jump Shot63
92.8%
52
7.2%
Q3 - 5:51SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)63
93.7%
52
6.3%
Q3 - 5:52MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot63
93.3%
52
6.7%
Q3 - 6:14SASDuncan 12' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Parker 5 AST)63
92.1%
52
7.9%
Q3 - 6:28MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T12)61
91.1%
52
8.9%
Q3 - 6:44SASGreen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Bonner 1 AST)61
89.5%
52
10.5%
Q3 - 6:52SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)58
86.4%
52
13.6%
Q3 - 6:53MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot58
85.8%
52
14.2%
Q3 - 7:11SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)58
83.8%
52
16.2%
Q3 - 7:11SASParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)57
83.5%
52
16.5%
Q3 - 7:14MIAAndersen Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)56
81.9%
52
18.1%
Q3 - 7:21MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
79.3%
52
20.7%
Q3 - 7:22SASAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)56
80.1%
52
19.9%
Q3 - 7:35MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)56
82.0%
52
18.0%
Q3 - 7:46SASParker 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)56
83.9%
50
16.1%
Q3 - 7:58SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
82.0%
50
18.0%
Q3 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade 14' Fadeaway Jumper54
81.2%
50
18.8%
Q3 - 8:18SASParker Foul Turnover (P3.T13)54
79.2%
50
20.8%
Q3 - 8:35MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)54
81.9%
50
18.1%
Q3 - 8:50SASBonner 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)54
79.2%
50
20.8%
Q3 - 9:11MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)51
74.1%
50
25.9%
Q3 - 9:11MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)51
74.6%
49
25.4%
Q3 - 9:12MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
76.7%
48
23.3%
Q3 - 9:13MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot51
78.5%
48
21.5%
Q3 - 9:14MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
76.7%
48
23.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
78.5%
48
21.5%
Q3 - 9:36SASDiaw 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T12)51
76.7%
48
23.3%
Q3 - 9:56MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)51
79.3%
48
20.7%
Q3 - 10:17SASDuncan Tip Shot (8 PTS)51
83.8%
45
16.2%
Q3 - 10:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)49
81.8%
45
18.2%
Q3 - 10:19SASMISS Splitter 6' Jump Hook Shot49
80.3%
45
19.7%
Q3 - 10:37MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)49
81.8%
45
18.2%
Q3 - 10:55SASParker 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS)49
85.6%
42
14.4%
Q3 - 11:11SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)47
84.0%
42
16.0%
Q3 - 11:12MIAMISS Andersen Driving Dunk47
83.4%
42
16.6%
Q3 - 11:17SASAndersen STEAL (2 STL)47
82.0%
42
18.0%
Q3 - 11:29MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T9)47
84.0%
42
16.0%
Q3 - 11:43SASAndersen STEAL (1 STL)47
82.0%
42
18.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS47
84.0%
42
16.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers 53' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS)47
84.0%
42
16.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0SASDuncan 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)47
87.1%
39
12.9%
Q2 - 0:06.0SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)45
85.0%
39
15.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0SASMISS Belinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
84.2%
39
15.8%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)45
85.1%
39
14.9%
Q2 - 0:48.0SASDiaw 9' Jump Hook Shot (7 PTS)45
87.1%
37
12.9%
Q2 - 1:02SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)43
84.7%
37
15.3%
Q2 - 1:03MIAMISS Andersen 15' Jump Shot43
84.4%
37
15.6%
Q2 - 1:30SASDiaw Layup (5 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)43
83.8%
37
16.2%
Q2 - 1:35SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
81.1%
37
18.9%
Q2 - 1:36MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot41
80.8%
37
19.2%
Q2 - 1:52SASJoseph 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)41
80.0%
37
20.0%
Q2 - 1:56MIAEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)39
76.9%
37
23.1%
Q2 - 2:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
75.1%
37
24.9%
Q2 - 2:05MIAMISS Wade 13' Pullup Jump Shot39
76.7%
37
23.3%
Q2 - 2:13MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
75.1%
37
24.9%
Q2 - 2:14SASMISS Duncan 8' Turnaround Jump Shot39
75.8%
37
24.2%
Q2 - 2:35MIAAndersen 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7)39
77.3%
37
22.7%
Q2 - 2:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
75.2%
37
24.8%
Q2 - 2:52SASAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)39
75.8%
37
24.2%
Q2 - 3:16MIAWalker 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)39
77.7%
37
22.3%
Q2 - 3:35SASLeonard 11' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)39
79.4%
35
20.6%
Q2 - 3:54SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)37
77.7%
35
22.3%
Q2 - 3:55MIAMISS Ennis 20' Jump Shot37
77.0%
35
23.0%
Q2 - 4:17SASDuncan 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)37
75.3%
35
24.7%
Q2 - 4:32MIAWade 16' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
73.2%
35
26.8%
Q2 - 4:41MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
75.3%
33
24.7%
Q2 - 4:42MIAMISS Dragic 13' Step Back Jump Shot35
76.8%
33
23.2%
Q2 - 5:11SASLeonard 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS)35
75.6%
33
24.4%
Q2 - 5:17SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
73.4%
33
26.6%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Whiteside 6' Hook Shot33
72.7%
33
27.3%
Q2 - 5:29MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
71.2%
33
28.8%
Q2 - 5:30SASMISS Parker 11' Floating Jump Shot33
71.9%
33
28.1%
Q2 - 5:55MIAWade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)33
73.4%
33
26.6%
Q2 - 6:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
75.4%
31
24.6%
Q2 - 6:04SASMISS Duncan 17' Jump Shot33
76.2%
31
23.8%
Q2 - 6:22MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)33
77.8%
31
22.2%
Q2 - 6:34SASLeonard 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
79.3%
29
20.7%
Q2 - 7:06MIAWade 12' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
77.7%
29
22.3%
Q2 - 7:23MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
79.3%
27
20.7%
Q2 - 7:24SASMISS Leonard Free Throw 2 of 231
79.6%
27
20.4%
Q2 - 7:24SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)31
80.7%
27
19.3%
Q2 - 7:33MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)30
79.5%
27
20.5%
Q2 - 7:39MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)30
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q2 - 7:40SASMISS Belinelli 11' Jump Shot30
81.5%
25
18.5%
Q2 - 7:51SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
82.7%
25
17.3%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Hook Shot30
82.2%
25
17.8%
Q2 - 8:00MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)30
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q2 - 8:02SASMISS Parker 12' Driving Jump Shot30
81.4%
25
18.6%
Q2 - 8:12SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
82.5%
25
17.5%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot30
82.0%
25
18.0%
Q2 - 8:29SASSplitter Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)30
80.9%
25
19.1%
Q2 - 8:29SASMISS Splitter Free Throw 1 of 229
80.5%
25
19.5%
Q2 - 8:42MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)29
81.0%
25
19.0%
Q2 - 8:59SASBelinelli 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)29
83.9%
22
16.1%
Q2 - 9:19MIAJohnson 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)26
81.0%
22
19.0%
Q2 - 9:40SASBonner 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)26
82.3%
20
17.7%
Q2 - 9:51MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)23
79.4%
20
20.6%
Q2 - 10:10SASParker 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)23
77.2%
20
22.8%
Q2 - 10:23SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
75.8%
20
24.2%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
75.1%
20
24.9%
Q2 - 10:42SASJohnson STEAL (3 STL)21
73.6%
20
26.4%
Q2 - 10:54SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
75.8%
20
24.2%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot21
75.2%
20
24.8%
Q2 - 11:14SASSplitter Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Belinelli 2 AST)21
73.5%
20
26.5%
Q2 - 11:30MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)19
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q2 - 11:38MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
69.5%
20
30.5%
Q2 - 11:39MIAMISS Dragic 9' Jump Shot19
71.0%
20
29.0%
Q2 - 11:53SASSplitter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)19
69.5%
20
30.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAS19
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASSpurs Rebound19
71.6%
20
28.4%
Q1 - 0:01.0SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
70.4%
20
29.6%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIADragic 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Whiteside 1 AST)19
71.4%
20
28.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0SASWhiteside STEAL (1 STL)19
73.8%
18
26.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIAWhiteside 13' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)19
75.1%
18
24.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0SASDiaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Belinelli 1 AST)19
77.2%
16
22.8%
Q1 - 1:00MIABeasley 9' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)16
73.3%
16
26.7%
Q1 - 1:23SASBelinelli 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)16
75.7%
14
24.3%
Q1 - 1:30SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
71.7%
14
28.3%
Q1 - 1:32SASMISS Belinelli 16' Jump Shot13
70.7%
14
29.3%
Q1 - 1:35SASSpurs Rebound13
71.7%
14
28.3%
Q1 - 1:36SASWhiteside BLOCK (2 BLK)13
70.7%
14
29.3%
Q1 - 1:48MIADragic 1' Layup (6 PTS)13
71.7%
14
28.3%
Q1 - 1:52SASJohnson STEAL (2 STL)13
74.0%
12
26.0%
Q1 - 1:55SASSpurs Rebound13
75.3%
12
24.7%
Q1 - 1:56SASWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)13
74.4%
12
25.6%
Q1 - 2:13MIAWhiteside 4' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)13
75.5%
12
24.5%
Q1 - 2:33SASJohnson STEAL (1 STL)13
77.2%
10
22.8%
Q1 - 2:38SASBelinelli REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
78.7%
10
21.3%
Q1 - 2:39MIAMISS Dragic 11' Jump Shot13
78.3%
10
21.7%
Q1 - 2:57SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)13
77.2%
10
22.8%
Q1 - 3:24MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T4)13
78.9%
10
21.1%
Q1 - 3:42SASLeonard 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)13
77.2%
10
22.8%
Q1 - 3:57SASSpurs Rebound10
74.1%
10
25.9%
Q1 - 3:58SASMISS Diaw 9' Hook Shot10
72.7%
10
27.3%
Q1 - 4:16MIAChalmers 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)10
74.3%
10
25.7%
Q1 - 4:35SASGinobili Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)10
75.6%
8
24.4%
Q1 - 4:44MIAChalmers 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
77.5%
8
22.5%
Q1 - 5:05MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
78.4%
6
21.6%
Q1 - 5:06SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
78.9%
6
21.1%
Q1 - 5:26MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS)10
79.9%
6
20.1%
Q1 - 5:32MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
81.1%
4
18.9%
Q1 - 5:33SASMISS Parker 20' Jump Shot10
81.5%
4
18.5%
Q1 - 5:55SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
82.5%
4
17.5%
Q1 - 5:56MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot10
82.1%
4
17.9%
Q1 - 6:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)10
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 6:04MIAMISS Andersen Dunk10
81.7%
4
18.3%
Q1 - 6:07MIAHEAT Rebound10
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 6:08MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup10
81.7%
4
18.3%
Q1 - 6:24SASGinobili 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)10
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 6:32SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)8
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 6:33MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
79.2%
4
20.8%
Q1 - 6:44SASChalmers STEAL (1 STL)8
78.2%
4
21.8%
Q1 - 6:50MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)8
79.7%
4
20.3%
Q1 - 7:00MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
78.2%
4
21.8%
Q1 - 7:01SASMISS Leonard 17' Jump Shot8
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 7:19SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
79.8%
4
20.2%
Q1 - 7:20MIAMISS Ennis 2' Layup8
79.4%
4
20.6%
Q1 - 7:43SASParker 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)8
78.3%
4
21.7%
Q1 - 8:04SASSpurs Rebound6
77.7%
4
22.3%
Q1 - 8:05MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot6
77.2%
4
22.8%
Q1 - 8:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
76.2%
4
23.8%
Q1 - 8:16SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Shot6
76.6%
4
23.4%
Q1 - 8:36MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)6
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 8:36MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
77.9%
3
22.1%
Q1 - 8:40SASEnnis STEAL (1 STL)6
78.8%
2
21.2%
Q1 - 8:52MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
80.2%
2
19.8%
Q1 - 8:52MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
80.4%
1
19.6%
Q1 - 8:56MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
81.2%
0
18.8%
Q1 - 8:57SASMISS Parker 10' Floating Jump Shot6
81.6%
0
18.4%
Q1 - 9:17SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)6
82.5%
0
17.5%
Q1 - 9:18MIAMISS Andersen 20' Jump Shot6
82.2%
0
17.8%
Q1 - 9:33SASLeonard 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)6
81.3%
0
18.7%
Q1 - 9:49SASSplitter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
80.2%
0
19.8%
Q1 - 9:50MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Shot4
79.9%
0
20.1%
Q1 - 10:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
78.9%
0
21.1%
Q1 - 10:07SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
79.3%
0
20.7%
Q1 - 10:10SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)4
80.2%
0
19.8%
Q1 - 10:11SASMISS Leonard 7' Jump Shot4
79.3%
0
20.7%
Q1 - 10:21MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)4
80.2%
0
19.8%
Q1 - 10:33SASDuncan 18' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)4
78.9%
0
21.1%
Q1 - 10:48SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
77.7%
0
22.3%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
77.3%
0
22.7%
Q1 - 11:05MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
76.5%
0
23.5%
Q1 - 11:06SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
76.8%
0
23.2%
Q1 - 11:14MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
77.7%
0
22.3%
Q1 - 11:27SASSplitter 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)2
76.5%
0
23.5%
Q1 - 11:38SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
75.0%
0
25.0%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
74.6%
0
25.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Andersen vs. Duncan: Tip to Dragic0
73.7%
0
26.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.9%
MIA
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
SAS
16
23
70%
MIA
16
25
64%
Midrange
SAS
13
33
39%
MIA
11
39
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
SAS
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MIA
5
7.5
15
33%
50%
Free Throws
SAS
13
17
76%
MIA
12
12
100%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Leonard2269%11.0 / 16
T. Parker1662%8.0 / 13
T. Duncan1255%6.0 / 11
B. Diaw1146%5.5 / 12
T. Splitter750%3.5 / 7
C. Joseph750%3.5 / 7
M. Belinelli650%3.0 / 6
M. Bonner6150%3.0 / 2
D. Green350%1.5 / 3
R. Williams3150%1.5 / 1
M. Ginobili225%1.0 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic1956%9.5 / 17
D. Wade1536%7.5 / 21
M. Chalmers1071%5.0 / 7
H. Whiteside1071%5.0 / 7
T. Johnson850%4.0 / 8
J. Ennis III744%3.5 / 8
M. Beasley650%3.0 / 6
C. Andersen425%2.0 / 8
H. Walker233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

SAS
70
+14
-19
84
MIA
71
+15
-18
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

SAS
1.12 55.9%
MIA
0.94 47.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.5
103.9
SAS 106.7
MIA 91.0 +15.7
Pace
93.9
91.0
SAS 86.0
MIA 92.3 +6.3
Avg. Poss. Time
15.7
16.3
SAS 16.8
MIA 15.6 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
50.0%
SAS 55.4% +11.7%
MIA 43.7%
TO %
14.2%
15.2%
SAS 18.9%
MIA 17.6% +1.3%
ORB %
23.4%
23.3%
SAS 25.8% +0.8%
MIA 25.0%
FTrt
25.6
30.6
SAS 23.0 +7.8
MIA 15.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.3%
56.4%
SAS 56.8% +22.4%
MIA 34.4%
STL %
8.5%
8.6%
SAS 12.4% +2.3%
MIA 10.1%
BLK %
8.4%
8.0%
SAS 9.4% +2.3%
MIA 7.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
54.0%
52.2%
SAS 55.9% +8.8%
MIA 47.1%
Rim FG%
59.6%
59.7%
SAS 69.6% +5.6%
MIA 64.0%
Mid FG%
42.1%
40.9%
SAS 39.4% +11.2%
MIA 28.2%
3P %
36.7%
33.5%
SAS 44.4% +11.1%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
78.0%
74.1%
SAS 76.5%
MIA 100.0% +23.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
35.1%
SAS 31.1%
MIA 31.6% +0.6%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
38.7%
SAS 44.6% +4.8%
MIA 49.4%
3P Att. %
26.9%
26.2%
SAS 24.3% +5.3%
MIA 19.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsSASMIA
Possessions8989
Possession Minutes24.923.1
Points9581
Rebounds3833
Assists2111
Steals119
Blocks64
Turnovers (Team)19 (0)18 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (6)10 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)23 (1)
Field Goals37-7432-79
At-the-Rim FG16-2316-25
Midrange FG13-3311-39
2-Point FG29-5627-64
3-Point FG8-185-15
Free Throws13-1712-12
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'7" 225 · 24
37.9
22
69%
9
3
4
2
1
2
1
8
5-6
83%
7-10
70%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 185 · 33
26.1
16
62%
2
5
1
0
4
2
0
2
2-2
100%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 250 · 39
23.6
12
55%
11
1
1
3
0
2
2
9
2-2
100%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 245 · 30
22.6
7
50%
6
0
1
1
3
2
0
6
1-2
50%
3-6
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 215 · 28
14.8
3
50%
0
1
0
0
1
2
0
0
0-1
0%
0-0
-
1-3
33%
C-F · 6'8" 250 · 33
25.3
11
46%
2
2
0
0
3
2
1
1
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-3
33%
G-F · 6'5" 210 · 29
23.1
6
50%
2
2
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 200 · 24
22.5
7
50%
3
4
4
0
1
3
2
1
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 205 · 38
17.9
2
25%
1
1
0
0
5
2
1
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-2
0%
C-F · 6'10" 235 · 35
13.3
6
150%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
2-2
100%
C · 6'10" 260 · 28
9.5
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 185 · 27
2.1
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 205 · 29
1.2
3
150%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
#11 · F-C · 6'9" 250 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F-G · 6'9" 230 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
56%
38
21
11
6
19
0
8
30
13-17
76%
29-56
52%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.