FinalWin Prob.pScore
538%99
98
462%103
110
ORTG#PossPace
HOU logo HOU
105.493105.9
SAS logo SAS
117.09483.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

SpursRocketsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventHOUSAS
Q4 - 0:00.0SAS98
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:21.0HOUMcDaniels 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)98
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0SASMISS Mills 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:03SASAyres Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)96
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 1:18HOUJohnson Dunk (6 PTS) (Dorsey 1 AST)96
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:20HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:21SASMISS Mills 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:42SASBonner REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:43HOUMISS McDaniels 11' Running Jump Shot94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01HOUMISS McDaniels 26' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:15HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
0.2%
108
99.8%
Q4 - 2:17SASMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:34HOUDorsey Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)94
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:44HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:45SASMISS Anderson 19' Jump Shot92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:58HOUCapela 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)92
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:59HOUMISS Capela 2' Layup90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10HOURockets Rebound90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10HOUBonner BLOCK (1 BLK)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:15HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:17SASMISS Anderson 18' Jump Shot90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42HOUJohnson 1' Layup (4 PTS) (McDaniels 2 AST)90
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:49HOUMcDaniels REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50SASAyres REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:50SASMISS Ayres Putback Dunk88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:51SASMISS Mills 19' Jump Shot88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:06HOUMcDaniels 3' Layup (2 PTS)88
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:17SASMISS Anderson 2' Layup86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:21HOUAnderson STEAL (1 STL)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27SASMISS Williams 2' Layup86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:31SASAnderson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:32HOUMISS Capela 5' Jump Shot86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45SASAnderson 10' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:59HOUJohnson 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (McDaniels 1 AST)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:11SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Mills 1 AST)84
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:26HOUMISS McDaniels 18' Jump Shot84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44HOUCapela REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 5:45SASMISS Ayres 8' Jump Shot84
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:04SASAyres REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:06HOUMISS Johnson 8' Running Bank Shot84
0.2%
103
99.8%
Q4 - 6:17SASGreen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Leonard 2 AST)84
0.3%
103
99.7%
Q4 - 6:26HOUDuncan STEAL (2 STL)84
0.5%
100
99.5%
Q4 - 6:37SASLeonard 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)84
0.7%
100
99.3%
Q4 - 6:52HOUSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Prigioni 5 AST)84
0.9%
98
99.1%
Q4 - 7:05SASLeonard 20' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)81
0.8%
98
99.2%
Q4 - 7:22HOUAriza 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)81
1.0%
96
99.0%
Q4 - 7:48SASLeonard 18' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)78
0.6%
96
99.4%
Q4 - 8:00HOUGinobili STEAL (1 STL)78
0.7%
94
99.3%
Q4 - 8:12SASGinobili 1' Layup (13 PTS)78
1.3%
94
98.7%
Q4 - 8:19SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 8:20HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
1.8%
92
98.2%
Q4 - 8:26HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)78
2.2%
92
97.8%
Q4 - 8:27SASMISS Duncan 6' Running Jump Shot78
2.0%
92
98.0%
Q4 - 8:49HOUPrigioni 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)78
1.7%
92
98.3%
Q4 - 8:51HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)76
1.3%
92
98.7%
Q4 - 8:53SASMISS Ginobili 6' Jump Shot76
1.2%
92
98.8%
Q4 - 9:08HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)76
1.4%
92
98.6%
Q4 - 9:14HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)73
0.9%
92
99.1%
Q4 - 9:15SASMISS Green 16' Running Bank Shot73
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 9:30HOUJoseph STEAL (2 STL)73
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 9:54SASGinobili 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Joseph 5 AST)73
0.8%
92
99.2%
Q4 - 9:58SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)73
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 10:00SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)73
1.3%
89
98.7%
Q4 - 10:00SASMISS Baynes 2' Tip Shot73
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 10:01SASMISS Ginobili 14' Jump Shot73
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 10:23SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)73
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 10:24HOUMISS Harden 7' Driving Jump Shot73
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 10:32HOUPrigioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)73
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 10:33SASMISS Diaw 26' 3PT Jump Shot73
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 10:57SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)73
1.7%
89
98.3%
Q4 - 10:58HOUMISS Brewer 2' Layup73
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 11:06SASDiaw 3' Layup (15 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)73
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 11:21HOUBrewer 10' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)73
3.0%
87
97.0%
Q4 - 11:34SASJoseph 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)71
2.4%
87
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAS71
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound71
3.0%
85
97.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0SASMISS Leonard 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot71
3.9%
85
96.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
3.4%
85
96.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0HOUMISS Smith 3' Layup71
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q3 - 0:21.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)71
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
3.6%
85
96.4%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)71
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q3 - 0:39.0SASBaynes 2' Putback Layup (8 PTS)71
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q3 - 0:40.0SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 0:44.0SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)71
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 0:45.0SASMISS Diaw 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
5.7%
83
94.3%
Q3 - 1:00HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (22 PTS)71
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 1:15SASDiaw 1' Layup (13 PTS) (Ginobili 2 AST)69
4.6%
83
95.4%
Q3 - 1:26HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)69
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 1:26HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)68
5.1%
81
94.9%
Q3 - 1:28SASLeonard Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)67
4.6%
81
95.4%
Q3 - 1:28SASLeonard Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)67
4.8%
80
95.2%
Q3 - 1:43HOUHoward 3' Layup (14 PTS)67
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 1:56HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 1:57SASMISS Parker 15' Jump Shot65
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 2:16SASParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q3 - 2:18HOUMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.6%
79
95.4%
Q3 - 2:38SASParker 2' Driving Layup (27 PTS)65
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q3 - 3:03HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)65
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 3:15SASParker 1' Driving Layup (25 PTS)62
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 3:23SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
5.6%
75
94.4%
Q3 - 3:24HOUMISS Prigioni 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
5.9%
75
94.1%
Q3 - 3:49SASLeonard 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)62
6.7%
75
93.3%
Q3 - 3:55SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)62
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 3:56HOUMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot62
8.2%
73
91.8%
Q3 - 4:15SASDiaw 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)62
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 4:28HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)62
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 4:29HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 4:30SASMISS Parker 8' Floating Jump Shot62
12.6%
71
87.4%
Q3 - 4:52HOURockets Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)62
11.1%
71
88.9%
Q3 - 4:52HOURockets Rebound62
13.3%
71
86.7%
Q3 - 4:52HOUMISS Prigioni 14' Jump Shot62
11.7%
71
88.3%
Q3 - 5:17SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)62
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 5:23SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)62
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 5:24SASMISS Duncan 6' Jump Shot62
13.0%
71
87.0%
Q3 - 5:44HOUSmith 20' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)62
11.6%
71
88.4%
Q3 - 6:03SASDuncan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
10.8%
71
89.2%
Q3 - 6:03SASDuncan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)60
11.1%
70
88.9%
Q3 - 6:21SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
12.1%
69
87.9%
Q3 - 6:22HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot60
12.7%
69
87.3%
Q3 - 6:47SASParker 20' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Green 3 AST)60
14.1%
69
85.9%
Q3 - 7:04SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)60
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 7:06SASMISS Diaw 9' Turnaround Bank Shot60
17.9%
67
82.1%
Q3 - 7:30SASSPURS Rebound60
16.2%
67
83.8%
Q3 - 7:31HOUMISS Harden 20' Step Back Jump Shot60
16.9%
67
83.1%
Q3 - 7:56SASGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)60
18.7%
67
81.3%
Q3 - 7:56SASGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)60
19.0%
66
81.0%
Q3 - 8:00HOULeonard STEAL (4 STL)60
20.8%
65
79.2%
Q3 - 8:12SASGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)60
24.0%
65
76.0%
Q3 - 8:29HOUHarden 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)60
21.0%
65
79.0%
Q3 - 8:33HOURockets Rebound57
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 8:33HOUDuncan BLOCK (4 BLK)57
15.2%
65
84.8%
Q3 - 8:48SASLeonard Dunk (10 PTS) (Green 2 AST)57
16.8%
65
83.2%
Q3 - 8:53HOUBaynes STEAL (1 STL)57
18.6%
63
81.4%
Q3 - 9:04SASParker 18' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)57
21.4%
63
78.6%
Q3 - 9:14SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)57
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q3 - 9:14HOUMISS Ariza 7' Running Jump Shot57
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 9:29HOURockets Rebound57
26.6%
61
73.4%
Q3 - 9:30SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot57
25.8%
61
74.2%
Q3 - 9:43SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)57
23.8%
61
76.2%
Q3 - 9:44SASMISS Leonard 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot57
25.8%
61
74.2%
Q3 - 10:08HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)57
23.9%
61
76.1%
Q3 - 10:08HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)56
23.6%
61
76.4%
Q3 - 10:24HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
21.4%
61
78.6%
Q3 - 10:25SASMISS Parker 19' Pullup Jump Shot55
20.7%
61
79.3%
Q3 - 10:44HOUHoward 1' Layup (12 PTS)55
19.1%
61
80.9%
Q3 - 11:06SASParker 8' Jump Shot (19 PTS)53
17.5%
61
82.5%
Q3 - 11:18SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)53
19.4%
59
80.6%
Q3 - 11:19HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
20.1%
59
79.9%
Q3 - 11:32SASLeonard 7' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Parker 4 AST)53
21.7%
59
78.3%
Q3 - 11:45SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)53
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q3 - 11:46HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
24.9%
57
75.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0SAS53
26.7%
57
73.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASSPURS Rebound53
24.1%
57
75.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0SASMISS Green 26' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot53
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0HOUHarden 15' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)53
25.0%
57
75.0%
Q2 - 0:29.0SASParker 17' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)51
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
24.9%
55
75.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0HOUMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
25.4%
55
74.6%
Q2 - 0:56.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
26.7%
55
73.3%
Q2 - 0:57.0SASMISS Diaw 18' Jump Shot51
26.2%
55
73.8%
Q2 - 1:21SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)51
25.5%
55
74.5%
Q2 - 1:23HOUMISS Brewer 8' Driving Jump Shot51
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q2 - 1:29HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)51
26.8%
55
73.2%
Q2 - 1:29HOUMISS Harden 18' Jump Shot51
25.9%
55
74.1%
Q2 - 1:47SASDiaw 5' Hook Bank Shot (9 PTS)51
26.8%
55
73.2%
Q2 - 2:06SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
30.0%
53
70.0%
Q2 - 2:07HOUMISS Terry 17' Jump Shot51
30.8%
53
69.2%
Q2 - 2:26SASJoseph 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS)51
32.6%
53
67.4%
Q2 - 2:32HOUJoseph STEAL (1 STL)51
35.5%
51
64.5%
Q2 - 2:45SASBaynes 2' Layup (6 PTS)51
38.2%
51
61.8%
Q2 - 2:58HOUTerry 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)51
41.4%
49
58.6%
Q2 - 3:01SASParker Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)49
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q2 - 3:21SASJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
35.1%
49
64.9%
Q2 - 3:22HOUMISS Harden 16' Pullup Jump Shot49
36.0%
49
64.0%
Q2 - 3:39SASParker 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Leonard 1 AST)49
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q2 - 3:45HOULeonard STEAL (3 STL)49
40.7%
47
59.3%
Q2 - 4:08SASBaynes Dunk (4 PTS) (Diaw 2 AST)49
43.3%
47
56.7%
Q2 - 4:23SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
46.0%
45
54.0%
Q2 - 4:24HOUMISS Terry 15' Jump Shot49
46.9%
45
53.1%
Q2 - 4:38SASLeonard 10' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS)49
49.0%
45
51.0%
Q2 - 4:49SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
51.8%
43
48.2%
Q2 - 4:50HOUMISS Harden 6' Jump Shot49
52.7%
43
47.3%
Q2 - 4:52SASBaynes Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)49
54.8%
43
45.2%
Q2 - 4:55SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
51.8%
43
48.2%
Q2 - 4:56HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
52.7%
43
47.3%
Q2 - 5:21SASLeonard 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)49
54.2%
43
45.8%
Q2 - 5:39HOUAriza 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)49
57.0%
41
43.0%
Q2 - 5:51HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)46
51.4%
41
48.6%
Q2 - 5:52SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
48.6%
41
51.4%
Q2 - 5:52SASMISS Diaw Layup46
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 5:53SASMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
50.6%
41
49.4%
Q2 - 6:18HOUPrigioni 1' Layup (4 PTS)46
48.0%
41
52.0%
Q2 - 6:22SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)44
45.8%
41
54.2%
Q2 - 6:34HOUHoward 4' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Prigioni 4 AST)44
42.6%
41
57.4%
Q2 - 6:51SASWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)42
40.5%
41
59.5%
Q2 - 7:01SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)42
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 7:02HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
45.9%
38
54.1%
Q2 - 7:10HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
47.9%
38
52.1%
Q2 - 7:11SASMISS Joseph 14' Jump Shot42
47.0%
38
53.0%
Q2 - 7:32SASLeonard REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 7:33HOUMISS Howard 8' Turnaround Jump Shot42
45.9%
38
54.1%
Q2 - 7:50SASLeonard Foul Turnover (P2.T4)42
47.9%
38
52.1%
Q2 - 7:53HOUDuncan STEAL (1 STL)42
45.0%
38
55.0%
Q2 - 8:13SASDiaw 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)42
47.2%
38
52.8%
Q2 - 8:30SASWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)42
49.7%
36
50.3%
Q2 - 8:32SASMISS Diaw 6' Running Jump Shot42
51.6%
36
48.4%
Q2 - 9:00HOULeonard STEAL (2 STL)42
49.8%
36
50.2%
Q2 - 9:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)42
51.7%
36
48.3%
Q2 - 9:03SASMISS Joseph 19' Jump Shot42
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 9:13SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)42
48.9%
36
51.1%
Q2 - 9:13HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 242
49.3%
36
50.7%
Q2 - 9:13HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 242
50.4%
36
49.6%
Q2 - 9:27HOUPrigioni REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
51.8%
36
48.2%
Q2 - 9:28SASMISS Duncan 18' Jump Bank Shot42
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 9:39HOUBrewer Foul Turnover (P1.T2)42
48.9%
36
51.1%
Q2 - 9:42HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
51.8%
36
48.2%
Q2 - 9:43SASMISS Diaw 1' Layup42
50.9%
36
49.1%
Q2 - 10:03HOUSmith 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)42
48.7%
36
51.3%
Q2 - 10:12SASDiaw 8' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)39
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 10:34SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 10:35HOUMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot39
47.1%
34
52.9%
Q2 - 10:50SASDuncan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)39
49.2%
34
50.8%
Q2 - 10:54HOUSmith 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)39
46.2%
34
53.8%
Q2 - 11:08SASDuncan 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)37
43.7%
34
56.3%
Q2 - 11:27HOUAriza Dunk (7 PTS) (Prigioni 3 AST)37
46.0%
32
54.0%
Q2 - 11:31SASGinobili Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)35
43.7%
32
56.3%
Q2 - 11:40HOUHoward 6' Jump Hook Shot (8 PTS)35
41.3%
32
58.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU33
39.0%
32
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOURockets Rebound33
39.0%
32
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Prigioni 48' 3PT Jump Shot33
37.4%
32
62.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SASDiaw 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)33
39.0%
32
61.0%
Q1 - 0:25.0SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
43.6%
29
56.4%
Q1 - 0:26.0HOUMISS Brewer 16' Jump Shot33
44.1%
29
55.9%
Q1 - 0:34.0SASGinobili 5' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)33
45.3%
29
54.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)33
48.3%
27
51.7%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 233
48.5%
27
51.5%
Q1 - 0:45.0HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 233
49.3%
27
50.7%
Q1 - 0:54.0SASGinobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Diaw 1 AST)33
50.1%
27
49.9%
Q1 - 1:19HOUHarden 3' Layup (13 PTS)33
54.9%
24
45.1%
Q1 - 1:26HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 1:27SASMISS Ginobili 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q1 - 1:36SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)31
50.3%
24
49.7%
Q1 - 1:37HOUDiaw BLOCK (1 BLK)31
50.8%
24
49.2%
Q1 - 1:44HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
52.0%
24
48.0%
Q1 - 1:45SASMISS Joseph 17' Jump Shot31
51.5%
24
48.5%
Q1 - 2:05SASGinobili REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
49.9%
24
50.1%
Q1 - 2:06HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 2 of 231
50.2%
24
49.8%
Q1 - 2:06HOUMISS Dorsey Free Throw 1 of 231
50.9%
24
49.1%
Q1 - 2:15SASParker 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)31
52.1%
24
47.9%
Q1 - 2:25HOUHarden 9' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)31
54.5%
22
45.5%
Q1 - 2:39SASParker 7' Jump Shot (11 PTS)29
52.1%
22
47.9%
Q1 - 3:01HOUAriza Dunk (5 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)29
53.6%
20
46.4%
Q1 - 3:05HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
51.7%
20
48.3%
Q1 - 3:06SASMISS Baynes 5' Jump Bank Shot27
50.9%
20
49.1%
Q1 - 3:23HOUSmith 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Prigioni 2 AST)27
49.2%
20
50.8%
Q1 - 3:42SASGinobili 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parker 3 AST)24
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 4:02HOUHarden 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)24
48.7%
17
51.3%
Q1 - 4:21SASLeonard 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Ginobili 1 AST)21
44.7%
17
55.3%
Q1 - 4:36HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)21
46.5%
15
53.5%
Q1 - 4:36HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)20
46.3%
15
53.7%
Q1 - 4:40HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)19
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 4:41HOUMISS Smith 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
43.0%
15
57.0%
Q1 - 4:52HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
44.7%
15
55.3%
Q1 - 4:53SASMISS Leonard 16' Jump Shot19
44.0%
15
56.0%
Q1 - 5:01SASDiaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 5:02HOUMISS Harden 3PT Jump Shot19
42.2%
15
57.8%
Q1 - 5:17HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
43.8%
15
56.2%
Q1 - 5:18SASMISS Green 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot19
43.2%
15
56.8%
Q1 - 5:27SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)19
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 5:27HOUMISS Ariza 20' Jump Shot19
42.3%
15
57.7%
Q1 - 5:35HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)19
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 5:36SASMISS Leonard 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
43.2%
15
56.8%
Q1 - 5:40SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
41.6%
15
58.4%
Q1 - 5:41SASMISS Parker 3' Driving Layup19
43.2%
15
56.8%
Q1 - 5:55HOUHoward Dunk (6 PTS) (Prigioni 1 AST)19
41.7%
15
58.3%
Q1 - 6:07SASBaynes 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Green 1 AST)17
39.3%
15
60.7%
Q1 - 6:17HOUPrigioni 5' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)17
41.0%
13
59.0%
Q1 - 6:31SASDuncan Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Parker 2 AST)15
39.3%
13
60.7%
Q1 - 6:43HOUHoward Dunk (4 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)15
41.0%
11
59.0%
Q1 - 6:55HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)13
39.3%
11
60.7%
Q1 - 6:56HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot13
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 7:00HOURockets Rebound13
39.3%
11
60.7%
Q1 - 7:00HOUDuncan BLOCK (3 BLK)13
37.9%
11
62.1%
Q1 - 7:20SASGreen 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)13
39.1%
11
60.9%
Q1 - 7:33SASGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 7:35SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 113
42.5%
9
57.5%
Q1 - 7:47HOUTerry 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Howard 1 AST)13
44.5%
7
55.5%
Q1 - 8:00SASParker 7' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Duncan 1 AST)11
42.8%
7
57.2%
Q1 - 8:13HOUHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)11
44.4%
5
55.6%
Q1 - 8:29SASParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)9
42.6%
5
57.4%
Q1 - 8:29SASMISS Parker Free Throw 1 of 29
42.9%
4
57.1%
Q1 - 8:46HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)9
42.5%
4
57.5%
Q1 - 8:46HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
42.2%
4
57.8%
Q1 - 8:50SASLeonard Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
40.8%
4
59.2%
Q1 - 9:08HOUJones 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)7
38.7%
4
61.3%
Q1 - 9:19HOURockets Rebound5
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:20SASMISS Green 18' Jump Shot5
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:30SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 9:32HOUDuncan BLOCK (2 BLK)5
35.7%
4
64.3%
Q1 - 9:38HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)5
37.0%
4
63.0%
Q1 - 9:39SASMISS Parker 19' Jump Shot5
36.4%
4
63.6%
Q1 - 9:55HOUAriza 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)5
35.2%
4
64.8%
Q1 - 10:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)2
31.9%
4
68.1%
Q1 - 10:03SASMISS Leonard 10' Fadeaway Jumper2
31.3%
4
68.7%
Q1 - 10:21HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
30.1%
4
69.9%
Q1 - 10:21HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
29.9%
4
70.1%
Q1 - 10:25HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)0
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 10:26SASMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
28.2%
4
71.8%
Q1 - 10:34HOULeonard STEAL (1 STL)0
27.0%
4
73.0%
Q1 - 10:36HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 10:38HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 10:38HOUDuncan BLOCK (1 BLK)0
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:41HOUMISS Ariza 19' Jump Shot0
27.5%
4
72.5%
Q1 - 10:54SASParker 7' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)0
28.7%
4
71.3%
Q1 - 11:02SASBaynes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 11:03HOUGreen BLOCK (1 BLK)0
30.5%
2
69.5%
Q1 - 11:26SASParker 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
31.6%
2
68.4%
Q1 - 11:40SASDuncan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
33.3%
0
66.7%
Q1 - 11:41SASMISS Green 16' Jump Shot0
34.4%
0
65.6%
Q1 - 12:00SASJump Ball Duncan vs. Howard: Tip to Parker0
33.3%
0
66.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.03 51.6%
SAS
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
HOU
22
30
73%
SAS
21
29
72%
Midrange
HOU
7
29
24%
SAS
20
45
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
HOU
10
15.0
25
40%
60%
SAS
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
HOU
10
16
63%
SAS
7
9
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2258%11.0 / 19
T. Ariza1979%9.5 / 12
D. Howard1667%8.0 / 12
J. Smith1350%6.5 / 13
P. Prigioni650%3.0 / 6
N. Johnson660%3.0 / 5
J. Terry440%2.0 / 5
K. McDaniels440%2.0 / 5
T. Jones233%1.0 / 3
C. Brewer217%1.0 / 6
J. Dorsey233%1.0 / 3
C. Capela233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAS logo Spurs
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Parker2771%13.5 / 19
K. Leonard2063%10.0 / 16
B. Diaw1554%7.5 / 14
M. Ginobili1381%6.5 / 8
D. Green1045%5.0 / 11
A. Baynes867%4.0 / 6
T. Duncan650%3.0 / 6
C. Joseph440%2.0 / 5
R. Williams338%1.5 / 4
J. Ayres233%1.0 / 3
K. Anderson225%1.0 / 4
P. Mills0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

HOU
80
+13
-13
93
SAS
85
+15
-9
100
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

HOU
1.03 51.6%
SAS
1.08 53.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.0
108.5
HOU 105.4
SAS 117.0 +11.6
Pace
96.6
93.9
HOU 105.9 +22.2
SAS 83.8
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.7
HOU 13.6 +3.6
SAS 17.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.2%
51.7%
HOU 52.4%
SAS 54.2% +1.8%
TO %
16.4%
14.2%
HOU 14.1%
SAS 8.3% +5.8%
ORB %
26.8%
23.4%
HOU 19.0%
SAS 29.5% +10.5%
FTrt
31.2
25.6
HOU 19.0 +9.5
SAS 9.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
60.0%
62.3%
HOU 64.1% +20.3%
SAS 43.8%
STL %
9.8%
8.5%
HOU 7.5%
SAS 11.7% +4.2%
BLK %
8.0%
8.4%
HOU 4.1%
SAS 11.9% +7.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.3%
54.0%
HOU 51.6%
SAS 53.9% +2.3%
Rim FG%
58.0%
59.6%
HOU 73.3% +0.9%
SAS 72.4%
Mid FG%
37.1%
42.1%
HOU 24.1%
SAS 44.4% +20.3%
3P %
34.8%
36.7%
HOU 40.0% +6.7%
SAS 33.3%
FT %
71.5%
78.0%
HOU 62.5%
SAS 77.8% +15.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.2%
35.3%
HOU 35.7% +5.2%
SAS 30.5%
Mid Att. %
21.6%
37.8%
HOU 34.5% +12.8%
SAS 47.4%
3P Att. %
39.2%
26.9%
HOU 29.8% +7.7%
SAS 22.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsHOUSAS
Possessions9394
Possession Minutes21.126.9
Points98110
Rebounds3947
Assists2521
Steals711
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (5)13 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (1)
Field Goals39-8448-95
At-the-Rim FG22-3021-29
Midrange FG7-2920-45
2-Point FG29-5941-74
3-Point FG10-257-21
Free Throws10-167-9
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'5" 220 · 26
35.4
22
58%
4
4
1
0
1
1
2
2
8-8
100%
4-9
44%
2-6
33%
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
34.4
19
79%
2
2
2
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
5-6
83%
C · 6'11" 265 · 29
21.7
16
67%
11
1
1
0
3
2
4
7
2-4
50%
7-10
70%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 252 · 23
16.8
2
33%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 185 · 38
16.0
4
40%
0
1
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
· 6'9" 225 · 29
27.2
13
50%
3
5
1
0
4
3
0
3
0-0
-
2-5
40%
3-8
38%
G · 6'3" 185 · 38
25.7
6
50%
2
5
1
0
1
2
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 186 · 29
23.1
2
17%
4
2
1
1
2
1
0
4
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-1
0%
· 6'8" 268 · 31
15.3
2
33%
6
1
0
0
0
0
0
6
0-4
0%
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 202 · 22
6.3
6
60%
0
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
C · 6'10" 256 · 21
6.3
2
33%
4
0
0
0
0
0
1
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 205 · 22
6.3
4
40%
1
2
0
2
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 25
5.7
0
0%
2
0
0
0
1
0
1
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#20 · F-C · 7'0" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#2 · G · 6'1" 185 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
98
52%
39
25
7
3
13
0
8
31
10-16
63%
29-59
49%
10-25
40%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.