FinalWin Prob.pScore
1733%94
89
867%100
112
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
96.79296.6
IND logo IND
123.19186.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND89
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAEnnis Slam Dunk (17 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)89
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)87
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0INDMISS Sloan 13' Jump Shot87
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAHaslem 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (10 PTS)87
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:49.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:50.0MIAMISS Walker 27' 3PT Jump Shot85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:54.0MIAHeat Rebound85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAMISS Johnson 2' Layup85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:06INDRudez 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sloan 2 AST)85
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 1:24INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:25MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:35MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:36INDMISS S. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAHaslem 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)85
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)83
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 2:13INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)83
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)83
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:37INDCopeland 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST)82
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 2 of 282
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:54MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 282
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:05INDMahinmi Dunk (3 PTS)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 3:31MIAJohnson Dunk (4 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:53INDScola 1' Layup (23 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 4:07MIAEnnis Layup (15 PTS)80
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15INDMISS Miles 21' Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:35INDScola REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:36MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:44MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 4:45MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00INDScola Layup (21 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)78
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13INDScola REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 278
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:13MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 278
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:20INDScola Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:24INDScola REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25INDMISS Scola 14' Jump Shot78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:49INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 5:51MIAMISS Ennis 28' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:02MIAHeat Rebound78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:03MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot78
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 6:17INDScola Slam Dunk (19 PTS) (Stuckey 7 AST)78
0.2%
98
99.8%
Q4 - 6:20INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
0.2%
96
99.8%
Q4 - 6:22MIAMahinmi BLOCK (3 BLK)78
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:40INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)78
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 6:40INDScola Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)78
0.4%
95
99.6%
Q4 - 7:00MIAEnnis 28' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)78
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 7:10INDSloan 1' Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)75
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)75
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 7:30MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)74
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:46INDScola Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)73
0.4%
92
99.6%
Q4 - 7:46INDScola REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)73
0.6%
89
99.4%
Q4 - 7:47INDMISS George 27' 3PT Jump Shot73
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:10MIAWade 7' Running Jump Shot (25 PTS)73
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 8:28INDScola 6' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (George 2 AST)71
0.7%
89
99.3%
Q4 - 8:34MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14)71
0.9%
87
99.1%
Q4 - 8:49INDScola 1' Layup (10 PTS)71
1.1%
87
98.9%
Q4 - 8:51INDScola REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)71
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 8:52INDMISS Scola Layup71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 8:55INDScola REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)71
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 8:56INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 9:18INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)71
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 9:19MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot71
2.0%
85
98.0%
Q4 - 9:34INDGeorge 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Stuckey 6 AST)71
2.3%
85
97.7%
Q4 - 9:47MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 9:57INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P3.T10)71
4.6%
82
95.4%
Q4 - 10:00MIAGeorge STEAL (2 STL)71
3.6%
82
96.4%
Q4 - 10:17INDGeorge 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 5 AST)71
5.2%
82
94.8%
Q4 - 10:19INDPACERS Rebound71
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q4 - 10:19INDMISS Scola 2' Layup71
9.1%
79
90.9%
Q4 - 10:35MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (23 PTS)71
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q4 - 10:57INDScola 2' Layup (8 PTS)68
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q4 - 11:23MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)68
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q4 - 11:45MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q4 - 11:48INDMISS George 1' Layup66
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA66
4.6%
77
95.4%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
6.3%
77
93.7%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDMISS G. Hill Free Throw 2 of 266
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)66
5.4%
77
94.6%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAWade 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)66
6.3%
76
93.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0INDGeorge 16' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST)64
5.1%
76
94.9%
Q3 - 0:36.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
6.2%
74
93.8%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot64
6.6%
74
93.4%
Q3 - 0:55.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)64
7.5%
74
92.5%
Q3 - 0:55.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)64
7.8%
73
92.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
9.1%
72
90.9%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 1:18MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)64
11.4%
72
88.6%
Q3 - 1:18INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 264
11.2%
72
88.8%
Q3 - 1:18INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 264
10.4%
72
89.6%
Q3 - 1:42MIABeasley 11' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)64
9.6%
72
90.4%
Q3 - 1:55INDMahinmi Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
8.0%
72
92.0%
Q3 - 2:02INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 2:03MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 2:25INDWest 1' Jump Bank Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST)62
8.6%
72
91.4%
Q3 - 2:39MIAEnnis 20' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
10.1%
70
89.9%
Q3 - 2:57INDMahinmi Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)60
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 2:57INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 260
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 2:57INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 2:58MIAMahinmi BLOCK (2 BLK)60
9.0%
69
91.0%
Q3 - 3:18INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 3:18INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)60
11.0%
68
89.0%
Q3 - 3:32INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 3:35MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 3:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
14.6%
67
85.4%
Q3 - 3:45INDMISS Miles 28' 3PT Jump Shot60
13.9%
67
86.1%
Q3 - 3:51INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
12.4%
67
87.6%
Q3 - 3:52MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup60
13.0%
67
87.0%
Q3 - 4:10INDS. Hill 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)60
15.1%
67
84.9%
Q3 - 4:32MIAHaslem 3' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)60
16.9%
65
83.1%
Q3 - 4:52INDMiles 28' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Hibbert 1 AST)58
15.1%
65
84.9%
Q3 - 4:55INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:6 Def:1)58
19.4%
62
80.6%
Q3 - 4:56INDMISS West 11' Jump Shot58
21.8%
62
78.2%
Q3 - 5:13INDWest Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (8 PTS)58
19.7%
62
80.3%
Q3 - 5:13INDWest Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (7 PTS)58
20.3%
61
79.7%
Q3 - 5:13MIADragic Foul Turnover (P2.T11)58
25.4%
60
74.6%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHeat Rebound58
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q3 - 5:15MIAHibbert BLOCK (3 BLK)58
26.5%
60
73.5%
Q3 - 5:34INDS. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)58
29.2%
60
70.8%
Q3 - 5:54MIADragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
35.8%
57
64.2%
Q3 - 6:05MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)55
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 6:07INDMISS S. Hill 1' Layup55
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 6:17INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 6:18MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot55
26.4%
57
73.6%
Q3 - 6:31MIAHeat Rebound55
29.0%
57
71.0%
Q3 - 6:32INDMISS Hibbert 5' Jump Shot55
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 6:50INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:5 Def:1)55
25.4%
57
74.6%
Q3 - 6:52INDMISS G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot55
27.8%
57
72.2%
Q3 - 7:16MIAWade 16' Fadeaway Jumper (18 PTS)55
25.3%
57
74.7%
Q3 - 7:27MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)53
22.8%
57
77.2%
Q3 - 7:28INDMISS G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot53
21.9%
57
78.1%
Q3 - 7:40INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
19.9%
57
80.1%
Q3 - 7:42MIAMISS Dragic 11' Jump Shot53
20.8%
57
79.2%
Q3 - 8:02INDHibbert 9' Jump Hook Shot (5 PTS)53
23.0%
57
77.0%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWade 11' Fadeaway Bank Shot (16 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)53
25.2%
55
74.8%
Q3 - 8:31MIAHeat Rebound51
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q3 - 8:32MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot51
20.9%
55
79.1%
Q3 - 8:54INDS. Hill 2' Layup (12 PTS) (West 1 AST)51
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q3 - 9:04INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)51
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q3 - 9:06INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)51
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q3 - 9:06INDMISS Hibbert 1' Tip Shot51
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q3 - 9:07INDMISS S. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
27.2%
53
72.8%
Q3 - 9:21MIAWalker 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)51
25.2%
53
74.8%
Q3 - 9:44INDMiles 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (G. Hill 5 AST)49
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q3 - 10:04MIAWade Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)49
25.0%
51
75.0%
Q3 - 10:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q3 - 10:21INDMISS Hibbert 7' Jump Shot47
21.8%
51
78.2%
Q3 - 10:35INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
20.1%
51
79.9%
Q3 - 10:36MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup47
20.8%
51
79.2%
Q3 - 10:49MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q3 - 10:51INDMISS Hibbert 20' Jump Shot47
21.8%
51
78.2%
Q3 - 11:08INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q3 - 11:09MIAMISS Deng 4' Jump Shot47
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q3 - 11:21INDMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q3 - 11:36INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
20.2%
51
79.8%
Q3 - 11:37MIAMISS Wade 3PT Jump Shot47
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 16' Jump Shot47
20.9%
51
79.1%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
22.5%
51
77.5%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
23.0%
50
77.0%
Q2 - 0:26.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)47
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q2 - 0:27.0INDMISS Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 147
27.1%
49
72.9%
Q2 - 0:35.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)47
30.8%
47
69.2%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
31.4%
47
68.6%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)47
32.9%
47
67.1%
Q2 - 0:50.0INDMISS West Free Throw 1 of 247
33.5%
46
66.5%
Q2 - 0:57.0INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
33.6%
46
66.4%
Q2 - 0:58.0INDMISS Rudez 20' Jump Shot47
35.2%
46
64.8%
Q2 - 1:12INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)47
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q2 - 1:14INDMISS G. Hill 17' Jump Shot47
35.1%
46
64.9%
Q2 - 1:27MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)47
34.0%
46
66.0%
Q2 - 1:46INDS. Hill 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (G. Hill 4 AST)45
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 2:08MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)45
35.8%
43
64.2%
Q2 - 2:08MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
35.3%
43
64.7%
Q2 - 2:10MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
33.0%
43
67.0%
Q2 - 2:11INDMISS G. Hill 4' Jump Shot43
32.1%
43
67.9%
Q2 - 2:13INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 2:14INDMISS G. Hill 2' Layup43
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 2:20MIAG. Hill STEAL (2 STL)43
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 2:29MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)43
32.9%
43
67.1%
Q2 - 2:30INDMISS Hibbert 8' Jump Shot43
32.2%
43
67.8%
Q2 - 2:52MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)43
30.4%
43
69.6%
Q2 - 2:53MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)40
25.3%
43
74.7%
Q2 - 2:54MIAHibbert BLOCK (2 BLK)40
23.8%
43
76.2%
Q2 - 3:12INDMiles 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS)40
25.5%
43
74.5%
Q2 - 3:34MIAJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)40
29.9%
40
70.1%
Q2 - 3:39INDMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
27.8%
40
72.2%
Q2 - 3:56MIAWade 21' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)38
25.1%
40
74.9%
Q2 - 4:01INDAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 4:10INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)36
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 4:10MIAMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot36
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 4:32INDStuckey Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 4:38INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 4:39INDMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot36
22.5%
40
77.5%
Q2 - 4:48INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
21.1%
40
78.9%
Q2 - 4:49MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
21.7%
40
78.3%
Q2 - 5:02MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
23.2%
40
76.8%
Q2 - 5:03INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot36
22.6%
40
77.4%
Q2 - 5:22MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)36
21.3%
40
78.7%
Q2 - 5:39INDScola REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)33
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 5:39INDScola 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)33
17.7%
40
82.3%
Q2 - 5:41INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 5:46INDScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)33
19.4%
38
80.6%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMiles BLOCK (1 BLK)33
20.0%
38
80.0%
Q2 - 6:00MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
21.3%
38
78.7%
Q2 - 6:01INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
21.0%
38
79.0%
Q2 - 6:17INDScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)33
19.5%
38
80.5%
Q2 - 6:17MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 133
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 6:34INDMiles 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)31
18.2%
38
81.8%
Q2 - 6:53MIAWade Driving Dunk (10 PTS)31
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 7:08INDMiles 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)29
19.9%
35
80.1%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)29
23.4%
32
76.6%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)28
23.0%
32
77.0%
Q2 - 7:30INDMahinmi Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)27
21.7%
32
78.3%
Q2 - 7:42MIAWade 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)27
19.8%
32
80.2%
Q2 - 7:52MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 7:53INDMISS Sloan 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMahinmi STEAL (2 STL)25
16.6%
32
83.4%
Q2 - 8:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)25
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 8:19INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 225
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q2 - 8:19INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 225
17.4%
32
82.6%
Q2 - 8:29INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 8:32MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup25
17.2%
32
82.8%
Q2 - 8:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)25
18.3%
32
81.7%
Q2 - 8:38INDMISS S. Hill 7' Jump Shot25
17.8%
32
82.2%
Q2 - 8:53MIABeasley 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)25
16.7%
32
83.3%
Q2 - 9:06MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 9:07INDMISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.1%
32
84.9%
Q2 - 9:18MIAMahinmi STEAL (1 STL)23
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 9:32INDScola 1' Layup (4 PTS)23
15.6%
32
84.4%
Q2 - 9:33INDScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)23
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 9:35INDMISS Scola 1' Layup23
17.9%
30
82.1%
Q2 - 9:54MIADragic Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)23
16.7%
30
83.3%
Q2 - 10:04INDStuckey 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)21
15.8%
30
84.2%
Q2 - 10:16INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 10:17MIAMISS Beasley 19' Jump Shot21
17.4%
28
82.6%
Q2 - 10:32INDGeorge Foul Turnover (P2.T3)21
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 10:35INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)21
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 10:36MIAMahinmi BLOCK (1 BLK)21
17.4%
28
82.6%
Q2 - 10:54INDSloan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (George 1 AST)21
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q2 - 11:11MIADragic 23' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)21
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q2 - 11:20INDGeorge 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Mahinmi 1 AST)19
20.2%
25
79.8%
Q2 - 11:38MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)19
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0IND19
25.3%
22
74.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDPACERS Rebound19
23.4%
22
76.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0INDMISS Scola 18' Jump Shot19
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 0:09.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)19
23.8%
22
76.2%
Q1 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)16
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 0:25.0INDMISS Stuckey 1' Layup16
19.8%
22
80.2%
Q1 - 0:29.0INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
19.0%
22
81.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIAMISS Haslem 3PT Jump Shot16
19.3%
22
80.7%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 0:47.0INDScola Putback Layup (2 PTS)16
20.1%
22
79.9%
Q1 - 0:48.0INDMISS George 2' Layup16
22.9%
20
77.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0MIAGeorge STEAL (1 STL)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:12MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 1:12INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 2 of 216
23.2%
20
76.8%
Q1 - 1:12INDMISS Mahinmi Free Throw 1 of 216
22.4%
20
77.6%
Q1 - 1:13INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:15INDMISS George 3' Jump Shot16
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 1:24INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:25MIAMISS Ennis Layup16
22.5%
20
77.5%
Q1 - 1:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)16
23.4%
20
76.6%
Q1 - 1:34INDMISS George 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
23.0%
20
77.0%
Q1 - 1:44MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:46INDGeorge Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)16
23.3%
20
76.7%
Q1 - 1:58MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 1:58MIAChalmers 3' Tip Shot (2 PTS)16
22.1%
20
77.9%
Q1 - 2:00MIAMISS Chalmers 9' Jump Shot14
19.4%
20
80.6%
Q1 - 2:24MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)14
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 2:25INDMISS Mahinmi 3' Layup14
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 2:27INDMahinmi REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 2:28INDMISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
20.0%
20
80.0%
Q1 - 2:51INDPACERS Rebound14
19.1%
20
80.9%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot14
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 3:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)14
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 3:05INDMISS George 19' Jump Shot14
20.1%
20
79.9%
Q1 - 3:23INDGeorge REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.0%
20
81.0%
Q1 - 3:25MIAMISS Ennis 28' 3PT Jump Shot14
19.5%
20
80.5%
Q1 - 3:45INDGeorge 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
20.6%
20
79.4%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 4:01MIAHaslem 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)14
21.9%
18
78.1%
Q1 - 4:02MIAMISS Deng 10' Jump Shot12
19.5%
18
80.5%
Q1 - 4:15INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)12
20.6%
18
79.4%
Q1 - 4:15INDMISS Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 212
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 4:27INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
20.4%
17
79.6%
Q1 - 4:29MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot12
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 5:00INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)12
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 5:20MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (4 PTS)12
23.5%
15
76.5%
Q1 - 5:34INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)10
22.2%
15
77.8%
Q1 - 5:34INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)10
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 5:56MIAWade 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)10
23.5%
13
76.5%
Q1 - 6:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
22.3%
13
77.7%
Q1 - 6:15INDMISS West Free Throw 2 of 28
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 6:15INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)8
21.2%
13
78.8%
Q1 - 6:33MIAHaslem Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)8
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 6:43INDHibbert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)8
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 6:55INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Deng 27' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 7:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 7:07INDMISS West 12' Jump Shot8
23.2%
12
76.8%
Q1 - 7:23INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
22.1%
12
77.9%
Q1 - 7:24MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot8
22.6%
12
77.4%
Q1 - 7:38INDS. Hill 27' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (G. Hill 3 AST)8
23.7%
12
76.3%
Q1 - 7:53MIAWalker Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
26.3%
9
73.7%
Q1 - 7:55MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
28.1%
9
71.9%
Q1 - 7:57INDMISS West 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
27.6%
9
72.4%
Q1 - 8:20MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
26.3%
9
73.7%
Q1 - 8:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
23.5%
9
76.5%
Q1 - 8:33INDMISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot5
23.1%
9
76.9%
Q1 - 8:43MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
22.1%
9
77.9%
Q1 - 8:58MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
19.7%
9
80.3%
Q1 - 8:59INDMISS West 18' Jump Shot2
19.3%
9
80.7%
Q1 - 9:09MIADeng 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T2)2
18.4%
9
81.6%
Q1 - 9:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
19.6%
9
80.4%
Q1 - 9:21INDMISS Hibbert Layup2
19.3%
9
80.7%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHaslem Layup (2 PTS)2
18.4%
9
81.6%
Q1 - 9:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
17.4%
9
82.6%
Q1 - 9:47MIAHibbert BLOCK (1 BLK)0
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 9:57INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)0
17.4%
9
82.6%
Q1 - 9:57INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)0
17.5%
8
82.5%
Q1 - 10:01INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
18.4%
7
81.6%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Walker 28' 3PT Jump Shot0
18.8%
7
81.2%
Q1 - 10:14INDWest Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
19.7%
7
80.3%
Q1 - 10:14INDWest Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
19.9%
6
80.1%
Q1 - 10:18MIAG. Hill STEAL (1 STL)0
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:29MIAHeat Rebound0
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 10:30INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)0
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:30INDMISS Hibbert 2' Tip Shot0
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 10:31INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup0
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 10:33INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:35INDMISS Hibbert 10' Jump Shot0
21.7%
5
78.3%
Q1 - 10:48INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
20.8%
5
79.2%
Q1 - 10:49MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot0
21.2%
5
78.8%
Q1 - 11:05INDS. Hill Layup (2 PTS) (G. Hill 2 AST)0
21.9%
5
78.1%
Q1 - 11:20INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.3%
3
76.7%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Haslem 15' Jump Shot0
23.7%
3
76.3%
Q1 - 11:44INDMiles 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)0
24.6%
3
75.4%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Haslem: Tip to West0
27.5%
0
72.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
IND
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
18
32
56%
IND
17
33
52%
Midrange
MIA
17
30
57%
IND
6
22
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
2
3.0
20
10%
15%
IND
14
21.0
30
47%
70%
Free Throws
MIA
13
19
68%
IND
24
36
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2756%13.5 / 24
J. Ennis III1771%8.5 / 12
G. Dragic1568%7.5 / 11
U. Haslem1050%5.0 / 10
M. Beasley880%4.0 / 5
T. Johnson542%2.5 / 6
L. Deng319%1.5 / 8
H. Walker233%1.0 / 3
M. Chalmers213%1.0 / 8
Z. Dragic0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Scola2372%11.5 / 16
S. Hill1979%9.5 / 12
C. Miles1765%8.5 / 13
P. George1354%6.5 / 12
D. West1260%6.0 / 10
R. Hibbert727%3.5 / 13
D. Sloan563%2.5 / 4
R. Stuckey440%2.0 / 5
G. Hill321%1.5 / 7
I. Mahinmi325%1.5 / 6
D. Rudez375%1.5 / 2
C. Copeland3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+12
-14
90
IND
80
+22
-11
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.99 49.4%
IND
1.09 54.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.9
MIA 96.7 +26.3
IND 123.1
Pace
91.0
92.9
MIA 96.6 +9.8
IND 86.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.0
MIA 14.9 +1.7
IND 16.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.4%
MIA 46.3%
IND 51.8% +5.5%
TO %
15.2%
14.2%
MIA 13.4%
IND 9.8% +3.6%
ORB %
23.3%
24.0%
MIA 16.7%
IND 40.0% +23.3%
FTrt
30.6
26.6
MIA 23.2
IND 42.4 +19.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.6%
MIA 40.5%
IND 62.2% +21.7%
STL %
8.6%
6.6%
MIA 7.6% +1.0%
IND 6.6%
BLK %
8.0%
7.4%
MIA 12.7% +1.4%
IND 11.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.9%
MIA 49.4%
IND 54.4% +5.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
55.7%
MIA 56.3% +4.8%
IND 51.5%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.6%
MIA 56.7% +29.4%
IND 27.3%
3P %
33.5%
35.2%
MIA 10.0%
IND 46.7% +36.7%
FT %
74.1%
75.6%
MIA 68.4% +1.7%
IND 66.7%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
31.2%
MIA 39.0% +0.2%
IND 38.8%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
43.3%
MIA 36.6%
IND 25.9% +10.7%
3P Att. %
26.2%
25.5%
MIA 24.4%
IND 35.3% +10.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions9291
Possession Minutes22.925.1
Points89112
Rebounds3755
Assists1523
Steals76
Blocks77
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)20 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (2)35 (1)
Field Goals37-8237-85
At-the-Rim FG18-3217-33
Midrange FG17-306-22
2-Point FG35-6223-55
3-Point FG2-2014-30
Free Throws13-1924-36
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'8" 235 · 35
35.8
10
50%
10
0
1
2
3
5
3
7
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 190 · 29
34.5
15
68%
3
5
0
0
2
3
1
2
2-4
50%
5-8
63%
1-2
50%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
33.5
27
56%
1
3
2
1
4
0
0
1
5-7
71%
11-19
58%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
29.4
3
19%
9
0
1
1
1
1
0
9
1-1
100%
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 235 · 27
18.8
2
33%
0
1
1
2
1
3
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
28.0
17
71%
5
1
0
0
0
4
1
4
4-4
100%
5-7
71%
1-4
25%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
26.9
2
13%
1
2
1
0
2
5
1
0
0-0
-
1-5
20%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 235 · 26
15.6
8
80%
4
0
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 186 · 23
13.2
5
42%
3
1
1
1
0
1
1
2
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
0-2
0%
G-F · 6'5" 200 · 26
4.3
0
0%
1
2
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 37
#13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 31
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
49%
37
15
7
7
14
0
7
30
13-19
68%
35-62
56%
2-20
10%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.