for complete access.
All Games Tuesday, April 7, 2015
FinalWin Prob.pScore
23
Hornets
39%95
100
17
Heat
61%99
105
ORTG#PossPace
CHA logo CHA
108.79290.0
MIA logo MIA
114.19294.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatHornetsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventCHAMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA100
0%
105
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)100
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)100
0.5%
105
99.5%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)100
0.6%
104
99.4%
Q4 - 0:15.0CHAHenderson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS) (Walker 4 AST)100
2.3%
103
97.7%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)97
0.7%
103
99.3%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)97
0.9%
102
99.1%
Q4 - 0:24.0CHAWilliams 2' Driving Layup (15 PTS)97
1.5%
101
98.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0CHAHornets Rebound95
0.9%
101
99.1%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHAHornets Rebound95
1.0%
101
99.0%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 2 of 295
0.4%
101
99.6%
Q4 - 0:30.0CHAMISS Walker Free Throw 1 of 295
0.8%
101
99.2%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)95
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 1:01CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)95
4.3%
99
95.7%
Q4 - 1:01CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)94
3.9%
99
96.1%
Q4 - 1:03MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P7.T11)93
2.6%
99
97.4%
Q4 - 1:29CHAWalker 18' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)93
2.3%
99
97.7%
Q4 - 1:37MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)91
1.7%
99
98.3%
Q4 - 1:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
3.1%
97
96.9%
Q4 - 1:59CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
3.6%
97
96.4%
Q4 - 2:05MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P6.T10)91
6.4%
97
93.6%
Q4 - 2:23MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)91
3.4%
97
96.6%
Q4 - 2:24CHAMISS Williams 1' Tip Shot91
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 2:25CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)91
6.6%
97
93.4%
Q4 - 2:26CHAMISS Williams 10' Hook Shot91
4.2%
97
95.8%
Q4 - 2:45CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:7)91
6.7%
97
93.3%
Q4 - 2:46MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot91
5.5%
97
94.5%
Q4 - 3:05CHAWalker Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)91
4.3%
97
95.7%
Q4 - 3:17MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (24 PTS)91
7.6%
97
92.4%
Q4 - 3:39CHAHenderson 16' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)91
17.5%
94
82.5%
Q4 - 3:53CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)89
12.9%
94
87.1%
Q4 - 3:54MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup89
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q4 - 3:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)89
9.0%
94
91.0%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot89
11.5%
94
88.5%
Q4 - 4:07MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
8.8%
94
91.2%
Q4 - 4:08CHAMISS Henderson 18' Jump Shot89
9.9%
94
90.1%
Q4 - 4:24MIADragic 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Haslem 3 AST)89
12.6%
94
87.4%
Q4 - 4:48CHAHenderson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
16.7%
92
83.3%
Q4 - 4:48CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)88
15.9%
92
84.1%
Q4 - 5:10MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T9)87
14.7%
92
85.3%
Q4 - 5:32CHAWilliams Driving Dunk (8 PTS)87
10.7%
92
89.3%
Q4 - 5:45CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)85
8.1%
92
91.9%
Q4 - 5:46MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
7.3%
92
92.7%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)85
5.7%
92
94.3%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot85
8.9%
92
91.1%
Q4 - 6:12MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)85
7.0%
92
93.0%
Q4 - 6:13CHAMISS Williams 18' Step Back Jump Shot85
7.8%
92
92.2%
Q4 - 6:27MIAWhiteside 3' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)85
9.6%
92
90.4%
Q4 - 6:43CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)85
12.0%
90
88.0%
Q4 - 6:43CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)84
11.7%
90
88.3%
Q4 - 6:51CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
9.6%
90
90.4%
Q4 - 6:51MIAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
8.7%
90
91.3%
Q4 - 6:58MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)83
7.0%
90
93.0%
Q4 - 7:00CHAMISS Maxiell 1' Layup83
7.7%
90
92.3%
Q4 - 7:07CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)83
10.9%
90
89.1%
Q4 - 7:08MIAMISS Wade 13' Fadeaway Jumper83
10.0%
90
90.0%
Q4 - 7:26CHAWilliams Free Throw 3 of 3 (11 PTS)83
8.2%
90
91.8%
Q4 - 7:26CHAWilliams Free Throw 2 of 3 (10 PTS)82
8.0%
90
92.0%
Q4 - 7:26CHAWilliams Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)81
7.8%
90
92.2%
Q4 - 7:46CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot80
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 7:56MIAHEAT Rebound80
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 7:57MIAMISS Johnson 1' Alley Oop Layup80
4.6%
90
95.4%
Q4 - 8:00MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 8:01CHAMISS Williams 17' Jump Shot80
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 8:25MIAEnnis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)80
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q4 - 8:43CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)80
9.5%
87
90.5%
Q4 - 8:52CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)77
5.9%
87
94.1%
Q4 - 8:53CHAAndersen BLOCK (3 BLK)77
5.0%
87
95.0%
Q4 - 9:06CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:6)77
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 9:07CHAMISS Maxiell 9' Jump Shot77
6.0%
87
94.0%
Q4 - 9:22MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
7.0%
87
93.0%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 277
7.4%
86
92.6%
Q4 - 9:33CHAJohnson STEAL (1 STL)77
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 9:39CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)77
8.7%
86
91.3%
Q4 - 9:40MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
8.1%
86
91.9%
Q4 - 9:56CHAWilliams 12' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)77
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 10:05CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)75
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 10:06MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot75
5.9%
86
94.1%
Q4 - 10:22MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
5.1%
86
94.9%
Q4 - 10:23CHAEnnis BLOCK (1 BLK)75
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 10:42MIADragic 1' Layup (19 PTS)75
6.3%
86
93.7%
Q4 - 10:46CHADragic STEAL (2 STL)75
7.7%
84
92.3%
Q4 - 11:11MIAJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
10.3%
84
89.7%
Q4 - 11:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)75
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q4 - 11:33CHAAndersen BLOCK (2 BLK)75
13.1%
82
86.9%
Q4 - 11:34CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)75
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q4 - 11:35CHAMISS Maxiell 1' Tip Shot75
13.1%
82
86.9%
Q4 - 11:36CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)75
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q4 - 11:37CHAMISS Stephenson 11' Jump Shot75
13.1%
82
86.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA75
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound75
12.3%
82
87.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Deng 60' 3PT Jump Shot75
14.1%
82
85.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0CHABiyombo Putback Dunk (12 PTS)75
13.2%
82
86.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)73
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q3 - 0:03.0CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q3 - 0:21.0CHAStephenson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)73
11.0%
82
89.0%
Q3 - 0:23.0MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
10.4%
82
89.6%
Q3 - 0:42.0CHAWalker Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)73
9.1%
82
90.9%
Q3 - 0:42.0CHAWalker Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)72
8.9%
82
91.1%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)71
7.5%
82
92.5%
Q3 - 0:59.0CHAWilliams 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)71
6.2%
82
93.8%
Q3 - 1:21MIADragic 19' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)69
5.7%
82
94.3%
Q3 - 1:39CHABiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)69
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 1:39CHABiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)68
6.3%
80
93.7%
Q3 - 1:53MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)67
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 2:03MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
8.8%
77
91.2%
Q3 - 2:04CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot67
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q3 - 2:25MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)67
10.5%
77
89.5%
Q3 - 2:25MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)67
10.7%
76
89.3%
Q3 - 2:25MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)67
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMISS Haslem 6' Jump Shot67
13.8%
75
86.2%
Q3 - 2:49CHABiyombo 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Williams 4 AST)67
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q3 - 3:11MIAHaslem Layup (8 PTS)65
11.2%
75
88.8%
Q3 - 3:15MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)65
12.9%
73
87.1%
Q3 - 3:16CHAMISS Walker 11' Jump Shot65
13.5%
73
86.5%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)65
15.1%
73
84.9%
Q3 - 3:48MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)65
15.6%
72
84.4%
Q3 - 4:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)65
17.6%
71
82.4%
Q3 - 4:02CHAMISS Williams 16' Jump Shot65
18.6%
71
81.4%
Q3 - 4:12MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)65
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q3 - 4:19MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)65
17.6%
71
82.4%
Q3 - 4:20CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot65
18.6%
71
81.4%
Q3 - 4:36MIAHaslem 3' Hook Shot (6 PTS)65
20.8%
71
79.2%
Q3 - 4:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
23.1%
69
76.9%
Q3 - 4:41MIAMISS Whiteside 2' Layup65
25.8%
69
74.2%
Q3 - 5:01MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
23.6%
69
76.4%
Q3 - 5:02CHAMISS Stephenson 21' Jump Shot65
24.6%
69
75.4%
Q3 - 5:18MIAHaslem 5' Hook Shot (4 PTS)65
27.1%
69
72.9%
Q3 - 5:29CHAWade STEAL (1 STL)65
29.9%
67
70.1%
Q3 - 5:47MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)65
34.1%
67
65.9%
Q3 - 5:47MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)65
34.7%
66
65.3%
Q3 - 5:47MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
37.2%
65
62.8%
Q3 - 5:48MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot65
40.4%
65
59.6%
Q3 - 5:55MIAHEAT Rebound65
37.2%
65
62.8%
Q3 - 5:56MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot65
40.4%
65
59.6%
Q3 - 6:07MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
37.0%
65
63.0%
Q3 - 6:08CHAMISS Henderson 19' Jump Shot65
38.3%
65
61.7%
Q3 - 6:17CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 6:18CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot65
38.3%
65
61.7%
Q3 - 6:40MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (15 PTS)65
41.4%
65
58.6%
Q3 - 6:49MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
44.7%
63
55.3%
Q3 - 6:50CHAWhiteside BLOCK (1 BLK)65
46.1%
63
53.9%
Q3 - 7:02MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)65
48.4%
63
51.6%
Q3 - 7:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
51.8%
61
48.2%
Q3 - 7:26CHAMISS Henderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot65
53.1%
61
46.9%
Q3 - 7:43MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
56.1%
61
43.9%
Q3 - 8:03CHAHenderson Driving Dunk (20 PTS)65
58.5%
59
41.5%
Q3 - 8:22MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)63
55.5%
59
44.5%
Q3 - 8:44CHAWilliams 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Walker 3 AST)63
58.6%
57
41.4%
Q3 - 9:03MIADragic 14' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)61
54.3%
57
45.7%
Q3 - 9:14CHAWalker 13' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)61
57.8%
55
42.2%
Q3 - 9:35CHATaylor REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
54.4%
55
45.6%
Q3 - 9:36MIAMISS Wade 13' Running Jump Shot59
53.2%
55
46.8%
Q3 - 9:42MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
50.6%
55
49.4%
Q3 - 9:43CHAMISS Walker 3' Driving Layup59
51.8%
55
48.2%
Q3 - 10:04CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)59
53.6%
55
46.4%
Q3 - 10:05MIAMISS Haslem 4' Jump Shot59
52.5%
55
47.5%
Q3 - 10:22CHAHenderson 17' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Walker 2 AST)59
50.1%
55
49.9%
Q3 - 10:31CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)57
46.6%
55
53.4%
Q3 - 10:32MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
45.5%
55
54.5%
Q3 - 10:59CHAHenderson 2' Layup (16 PTS)57
43.1%
55
56.9%
Q3 - 11:00CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)55
39.7%
55
60.3%
Q3 - 11:01CHAMISS Biyombo 5' Turnaround Hook Shot55
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 11:12CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
39.4%
55
60.6%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
38.4%
55
61.6%
Q3 - 11:23MIAHEAT Rebound55
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q3 - 11:24CHAMISS Henderson 14' Jump Shot55
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q3 - 11:40CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)55
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q3 - 11:41MIAMISS Deng 13' Jump Shot55
38.4%
55
61.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHA55
36.1%
55
63.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAHornets Rebound55
39.5%
55
60.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0CHAMISS Walker 40' 3PT Jump Shot55
37.1%
55
62.9%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAEnnis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)55
38.9%
55
61.1%
Q2 - 0:03.0MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 1 of 255
39.4%
54
60.6%
Q2 - 0:12.0CHABiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)55
39.7%
54
60.3%
Q2 - 0:12.0CHAMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 254
38.5%
54
61.5%
Q2 - 0:12.0CHAHornets Rebound54
38.9%
54
61.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0CHAMISS Walker 16' Step Back Jump Shot54
37.3%
54
62.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
38.9%
54
61.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot54
38.2%
54
61.8%
Q2 - 0:43.0CHAWalker 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS)54
36.6%
54
63.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0MIAWhiteside Dunk (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)52
32.9%
54
67.1%
Q2 - 1:12CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)52
37.0%
52
63.0%
Q2 - 1:24CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
32.8%
52
67.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 150
32.6%
52
67.4%
Q2 - 1:33MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
37.0%
50
63.0%
Q2 - 1:34CHAMISS Walker 15' Jump Shot50
37.5%
50
62.5%
Q2 - 1:58MIAWhiteside Dunk (4 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)50
38.7%
50
61.3%
Q2 - 2:27CHAHenderson Driving Dunk (14 PTS)50
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q2 - 2:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)48
39.0%
48
61.0%
Q2 - 2:44MIAHEAT Rebound48
36.3%
48
63.7%
Q2 - 2:45MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
38.2%
48
61.8%
Q2 - 3:01CHAWalker 13' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)48
35.8%
48
64.2%
Q2 - 3:17MIADragic 1' Layup (13 PTS)46
33.6%
48
66.4%
Q2 - 3:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q2 - 3:19MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup46
38.1%
46
61.9%
Q2 - 3:38MIAHEAT Rebound46
35.8%
46
64.2%
Q2 - 3:39CHAMISS Stephenson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
36.8%
46
63.2%
Q2 - 3:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)46
39.1%
46
60.9%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
39.7%
45
60.3%
Q2 - 4:06CHAWilliams 14' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)46
38.4%
45
61.6%
Q2 - 4:16MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)44
35.9%
45
64.1%
Q2 - 4:31CHAHenderson 15' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS) (Biyombo 2 AST)44
33.2%
45
66.8%
Q2 - 4:43MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)42
30.8%
45
69.2%
Q2 - 4:58CHAStephenson 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)42
28.3%
45
71.7%
Q2 - 5:16MIADeng 15' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)40
26.2%
45
73.8%
Q2 - 5:27MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 5:28CHAMISS Stephenson 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
29.2%
43
70.8%
Q2 - 5:40CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
30.8%
43
69.2%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Whiteside 8' Turnaround Hook Shot40
30.1%
43
69.9%
Q2 - 5:59CHAStephenson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
28.5%
43
71.5%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)37
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 6:24MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)37
25.1%
42
74.9%
Q2 - 6:38CHABiyombo Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Williams 3 AST)37
26.3%
41
73.7%
Q2 - 6:48CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)35
24.6%
41
75.4%
Q2 - 6:52MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot35
23.9%
41
76.1%
Q2 - 6:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)35
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 6:54MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup35
23.9%
41
76.1%
Q2 - 6:59MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
22.3%
41
77.7%
Q2 - 7:00CHAMISS Williams 2' Layup35
23.0%
41
77.0%
Q2 - 7:02CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 7:03CHAMISS Stephenson 3PT Jump Shot35
23.3%
41
76.7%
Q2 - 7:22MIAWade 13' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)35
24.8%
41
75.2%
Q2 - 7:31CHABiyombo Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T5)35
26.6%
39
73.4%
Q2 - 7:33MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)35
28.9%
39
71.1%
Q2 - 7:33MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)35
29.4%
38
70.6%
Q2 - 7:51CHAWilliams Dunk (4 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)35
31.0%
37
69.0%
Q2 - 8:01CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)33
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 8:02MIAMISS Walker 1' Driving Layup33
28.2%
37
71.8%
Q2 - 8:23CHAStephenson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)33
26.7%
37
73.3%
Q2 - 8:37MIAJump Ball Johnson vs. Biyombo: Tip to Williams30
22.9%
37
77.1%
Q2 - 8:52CHAHairston 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)30
21.0%
37
79.0%
Q2 - 9:15MIAHaslem Dunk (2 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)27
18.2%
37
81.8%
Q2 - 9:20CHADragic STEAL (1 STL)27
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 9:25MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)27
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q2 - 9:37MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
19.5%
35
80.5%
Q2 - 9:38CHAMISS Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
20.0%
35
80.0%
Q2 - 9:52MIADragic 1' Layup (9 PTS)27
21.3%
35
78.7%
Q2 - 9:57MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
22.8%
33
77.2%
Q2 - 9:58CHAMISS Williams 8' Floating Jump Shot27
23.5%
33
76.5%
Q2 - 10:17CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
25.2%
33
74.8%
Q2 - 10:18MIAMISS Ennis 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
24.5%
33
75.5%
Q2 - 10:24MIAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
23.0%
33
77.0%
Q2 - 10:25CHAJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)27
23.6%
33
76.4%
Q2 - 10:47MIAEnnis 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)27
25.1%
33
74.9%
Q2 - 11:02CHAWilliams 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)27
28.9%
30
71.1%
Q2 - 11:11CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 11:12CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot25
25.7%
30
74.3%
Q2 - 11:36MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)25
27.0%
30
73.0%
Q2 - 11:36MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)25
27.4%
29
72.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0CHA25
28.9%
28
71.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAAndersen Dunk (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)25
31.0%
28
69.0%
Q1 - 0:17.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 0:18.0CHAMISS Williams 23' Jump Shot25
33.8%
26
66.2%
Q1 - 0:28.0CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
34.9%
26
65.1%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Dragic 14' Jump Shot25
34.4%
26
65.6%
Q1 - 0:44.0CHAMaxiell Dunk (4 PTS) (Hairston 1 AST)25
33.3%
26
66.7%
Q1 - 1:04CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)23
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q1 - 1:05MIAMISS Ennis 1' Layup23
30.4%
26
69.6%
Q1 - 1:16CHAMaxiell Foul Turnover (P1.T3)23
29.4%
26
70.6%
Q1 - 1:25MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)23
30.8%
26
69.2%
Q1 - 1:33CHAMaxiell 2' Layup (2 PTS)23
35.4%
23
64.6%
Q1 - 1:35CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)21
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 1:36CHAAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)21
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 1:50CHAWalker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
32.8%
23
67.2%
Q1 - 1:51MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.4%
23
67.6%
Q1 - 2:01CHAWilliams Traveling Turnover (P1.T2)21
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 2:02CHAMaxiell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
33.1%
23
66.9%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
32.5%
23
67.5%
Q1 - 2:17MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
31.2%
23
68.8%
Q1 - 2:18CHAMISS Williams 18' Jump Shot21
31.8%
23
68.2%
Q1 - 2:39MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)21
33.1%
23
66.9%
Q1 - 2:53CHAHenderson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)21
37.4%
20
62.6%
Q1 - 2:58CHAHenderson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
33.1%
20
66.9%
Q1 - 2:59CHAMISS Walker 16' Jump Shot18
31.8%
20
68.2%
Q1 - 3:14MIADeng 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)18
33.2%
20
66.8%
Q1 - 3:32MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
35.0%
18
65.0%
Q1 - 3:33CHAMISS Williams 2' Driving Layup18
35.7%
18
64.3%
Q1 - 4:01MIADeng 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)18
37.1%
18
62.9%
Q1 - 4:11MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
38.9%
16
61.1%
Q1 - 4:12CHAMISS Henderson 17' Jump Shot18
39.6%
16
60.4%
Q1 - 4:24MIAWade 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)18
41.3%
16
58.7%
Q1 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)18
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 4:26MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot18
44.8%
14
55.2%
Q1 - 4:32MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
43.1%
14
56.9%
Q1 - 4:33CHAMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
43.9%
14
56.1%
Q1 - 4:54MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)18
45.6%
14
54.4%
Q1 - 5:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
47.5%
12
52.5%
Q1 - 5:01CHAMISS Walker 19' Jump Shot18
47.2%
12
52.8%
Q1 - 5:16MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)18
48.9%
12
51.1%
Q1 - 5:21MIAHEAT Rebound18
50.8%
10
49.2%
Q1 - 5:22MIAMISS Ennis 3' Driving Layup18
52.4%
10
47.6%
Q1 - 5:38CHABiyombo Tip Shot (3 PTS)18
50.8%
10
49.2%
Q1 - 5:39CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)16
48.9%
10
51.1%
Q1 - 5:40CHAMISS Henderson 20' Jump Shot16
47.4%
10
52.6%
Q1 - 5:45CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
49.0%
10
51.0%
Q1 - 5:46MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot16
48.3%
10
51.7%
Q1 - 6:04CHAWalker Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
45.8%
10
54.2%
Q1 - 6:08CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)16
47.9%
10
52.1%
Q1 - 6:09CHAMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot16
46.4%
10
53.6%
Q1 - 6:26CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
48.0%
10
52.0%
Q1 - 6:27MIAMISS Andersen 2' Layup16
47.3%
10
52.7%
Q1 - 6:46CHATaylor 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Henderson 1 AST)16
45.8%
10
54.2%
Q1 - 6:55CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
44.0%
10
56.0%
Q1 - 6:56MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot14
43.4%
10
56.6%
Q1 - 7:06MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 7:08CHAMISS Henderson 2' Driving Layup14
42.2%
10
57.8%
Q1 - 7:14MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)14
43.7%
10
56.3%
Q1 - 7:24CHAWilliams 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS)14
41.6%
10
58.4%
Q1 - 7:43MIAWade 8' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)12
40.0%
10
60.0%
Q1 - 7:59CHAHenderson Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)12
41.6%
8
58.4%
Q1 - 8:09CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
38.0%
8
62.0%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 29
37.8%
8
62.2%
Q1 - 8:10MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 29
36.6%
8
63.4%
Q1 - 8:16MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 8:17CHAMISS Walker 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
36.7%
8
63.3%
Q1 - 8:25CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
38.0%
8
62.0%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
37.4%
8
62.6%
Q1 - 8:42CHAHenderson 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Walker 1 AST)9
36.1%
8
63.9%
Q1 - 8:53MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)7
34.5%
8
65.5%
Q1 - 9:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 9:06CHAMISS Williams 3' Hook Shot7
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 9:10CHAWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 9:11CHAMISS Walker 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
36.6%
6
63.4%
Q1 - 9:33CHABiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
37.9%
6
62.1%
Q1 - 9:34MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot7
37.3%
6
62.7%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
36.0%
6
64.0%
Q1 - 9:47CHAMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 27
36.3%
6
63.7%
Q1 - 9:47CHABiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
37.1%
6
62.9%
Q1 - 10:06MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)6
36.1%
6
63.9%
Q1 - 10:22CHATaylor 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
37.7%
4
62.3%
Q1 - 10:39MIADragic 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
36.1%
4
63.9%
Q1 - 10:52CHAHenderson 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
37.7%
2
62.3%
Q1 - 11:15MIADeng 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
35.7%
2
64.3%
Q1 - 11:44CHAWalker 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)2
37.6%
0
62.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Biyombo: Tip to Williams0
35.8%
0
64.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
CHA
17
30
57%
MIA
18
30
60%
Midrange
CHA
17
43
40%
MIA
19
36
53%
3PT | Effective 3PT
CHA
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
MIA
3
4.5
15
20%
30%
Free Throws
CHA
17
21
81%
MIA
22
28
79%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
CHA logo Hornets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Henderson2973%14.5 / 20
K. Walker1739%8.5 / 22
M. Williams1539%7.5 / 19
B. Biyombo1267%6.0 / 9
M. Williams836%4.0 / 11
L. Stephenson844%4.0 / 9
J. Taylor4100%2.0 / 2
J. Maxiell429%2.0 / 7
P. Hairston3150%1.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2874%14.0 / 19
L. Deng2158%10.5 / 18
D. Wade1943%9.5 / 22
H. Whiteside1275%6.0 / 8
J. Ennis III956%4.5 / 8
U. Haslem844%4.0 / 9
C. Andersen675%3.0 / 4
T. Johnson233%1.0 / 3
H. Walker0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

CHA
83
+19
-9
102
MIA
81
+13
-11
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

CHA
0.98 49.0%
MIA
1.11 55.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
100.5
103.9
CHA 108.7
MIA 114.1 +5.4
Pace
92.7
91.0
CHA 90.0
MIA 94.1 +4.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.9
16.3
CHA 16.0
MIA 15.3 +0.7
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
45.6%
50.0%
CHA 45.6%
MIA 51.2% +5.6%
TO %
11.9%
15.2%
CHA 8.2% +2.3%
MIA 10.5%
ORB %
22.2%
23.3%
CHA 30.6% +9.5%
MIA 21.1%
FTrt
26.9
30.6
CHA 23.1
MIA 34.6 +11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.8%
56.4%
CHA 30.8%
MIA 50.0% +19.2%
STL %
6.5%
8.6%
CHA 8.7% +4.4%
MIA 4.3%
BLK %
8.9%
8.0%
CHA 7.6%
MIA 8.2% +0.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.05 and 2.05.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
48.3%
52.2%
CHA 49.0%
MIA 55.3% +6.3%
Rim FG%
53.5%
59.7%
CHA 56.7%
MIA 60.0% +3.3%
Mid FG%
39.2%
40.9%
CHA 39.5%
MIA 52.8% +13.3%
3P %
31.8%
33.5%
CHA 27.8% +7.8%
MIA 20.0%
FT %
74.8%
74.1%
CHA 81.0% +2.4%
MIA 78.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
31.3%
35.1%
CHA 33.0%
MIA 37.0% +4.1%
Mid Att. %
46.1%
38.7%
CHA 47.3%
MIA 44.4% +2.8%
3P Att. %
22.6%
26.2%
CHA 19.8% +1.3%
MIA 18.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsCHAMIA
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.523.5
Points100105
Rebounds4542
Assists1220
Steals84
Blocks56
Turnovers (Team)9 (0)11 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)15 (4)8 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)30 (0)34 (2)
Field Goals39-9140-81
At-the-Rim FG17-3018-30
Midrange FG17-4319-36
2-Point FG34-7337-66
3-Point FG5-183-15
Free Throws17-2122-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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23 Charlotte Hornets
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 23
41.1
12
67%
12
2
2
4
1
4
5
7
4-6
67%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Marvin Williams
F · 6'9" 237 · 29
40.3
8
36%
13
0
1
1
0
0
3
10
0-0
-
4-10
40%
0-1
0%
Kemba Walker
G · 6'1" 184 · 25
38.9
17
39%
4
4
3
0
3
2
1
3
3-5
60%
7-16
44%
0-4
0%
Gerald Henderson
G · 6'5" 215 · 27
31.0
29
73%
3
1
0
0
0
6
2
1
5-5
100%
9-15
60%
2-3
67%
Jeffery Taylor
F · 6'7" 225 · 26
19.9
4
100%
1
0
1
0
1
3
0
1
0-0
-
2-2
100%
0-0
-
Mo Williams
G · 6'1" 198 · 32
27.9
15
39%
5
4
0
0
2
3
2
3
5-5
100%
5-13
38%
0-4
0%
Lance Stephenson
G · 6'6" 230 · 25
20.3
8
44%
2
0
0
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-5
40%
Jason Maxiell
F · 6'7" 260 · 32
10.9
4
29%
5
0
0
0
1
3
2
3
0-0
-
2-7
29%
0-0
-
PJ Hairston
F-G · 6'6" 230 · 22
7.3
3
150%
0
1
1
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-1
100%
Noah Vonleh
F · 6'9" 245 · 20
2.2
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
Al Jefferson
C · 6'10" 280 · 30
Brian Roberts
G · 6'1" 173 · 29
Troy Daniels
G · 6'4" 205 · 24
Cody Zeller
#40 · C-F · 7'0" 240 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Michael Kidd-Gilchrist
#14 · F · 6'7" 232 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
49%
45
12
8
5
9
0
15
30
17-21
81%
34-73
47%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.