Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Saturday, November 22, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 15 | Heat | 58% | 97 | 99 |
 | 23 | Magic | 42% | 94 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Raptors | 36% | 102 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 20 | Knicks | 78% | 105 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 2 | Mavericks | 42% | 102 | 92 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Timberwolves | 32% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 27 | Bucks | 39% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 18 | Nets | 22% | 95 | 87 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 10 | Pelicans | 55% | 105 | 106 |
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Friday, November 21, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 43% | 95 | 105 |
 | 24 | Hornets | 57% | 98 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 76% | 107 | 122 |
| 30 | 76ers | 24% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 23 | Pistons | 34% | 96 | 89 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 25% | 96 | 82 |
| 7 | Raptors | 75% | 106 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 22 | Celtics | 28% | 97 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 78% | 105 | 121 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 22% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 49% | 97 | 94 |
 | 19 | Thunder | 51% | 98 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 54% | 101 | 78 |
| 16 | Wizards | 46% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Lakers | 18% | 102 | 106 |
| 2 | Mavericks | 82% | 114 | 140 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 52% | 109 | 97 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Jazz | 22% | 97 | 88 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Bulls | 38% | 96 | 87 |
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Thursday, November 20, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 14 | Heat | 51% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Bulls | 55% | 98 | 88 |
| 16 | Kings | 45% | 96 | 103 |
Wednesday, November 19, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 45% | 101 | 92 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 55% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 94 | 86 |
| 28 | Pacers | 51% | 95 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Clippers | 64% | 106 | 114 |
| 21 | Magic | 36% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 64% | 106 | 101 |
| 30 | 76ers | 36% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Mavericks | 57% | 101 | 105 |
| 17 | Wizards | 43% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 26% | 97 | 122 |
| 15 | Nets | 74% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 57% | 104 | 88 |
| 24 | Pistons | 43% | 102 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Grizzlies | 45% | 99 | 92 |
| 10 | Raptors | 55% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Knicks | 46% | 102 | 99 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 54% | 103 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 37% | 98 | 100 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 63% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Lakers | 15% | 96 | 98 |
| 6 | Rockets | 85% | 111 | 92 |
Tuesday, November 18, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 30% | 100 | 114 |
| 16 | Hawks | 70% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 52% | 98 | 113 |
| 26 | Bucks | 48% | 97 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Thunder | 51% | 97 | 81 |
| 22 | Jazz | 49% | 96 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Pelicans | 43% | 104 | 106 |
| 14 | Kings | 57% | 106 | 100 |
Monday, November 17, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Mavericks | 62% | 105 | 107 |
| 21 | Hornets | 38% | 101 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 19% | 104 | 106 |
| 5 | Cavaliers | 81% | 115 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 57% | 109 | 118 |
| 22 | Celtics | 43% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Heat | 36% | 97 | 95 |
| 13 | Nets | 64% | 102 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Magic | 45% | 98 | 107 |
| 25 | Pistons | 55% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 42% | 94 | 93 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 58% | 97 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 9% | 87 | 75 |
| 1 | Spurs | 91% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 41% | 105 | 93 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 35% | 99 | 105 |
| 2 | Clippers | 65% | 105 | 89 |
Sunday, November 16, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 48% | 103 | 93 |
| 20 | Knicks | 52% | 104 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 30% | 93 | 91 |
| 15 | Heat | 70% | 100 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 60% | 98 | 69 |
| 18 | Thunder | 40% | 94 | 65 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Warriors | 69% | 107 | 136 |
| 26 | Lakers | 31% | 100 | 115 |
Saturday, November 15, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 31% | 93 | 93 |
| 17 | Wizards | 69% | 99 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 29% | 99 | 94 |
| 4 | Cavaliers | 71% | 106 | 127 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 24% | 97 | 93 |
| 9 | Raptors | 76% | 107 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 17% | 87 | 99 |
| 8 | Bulls | 83% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 23% | 92 | 88 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 77% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Timberwolves | 14% | 98 | 117 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 86% | 112 | 131 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 41% | 102 | 87 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 105 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 59% | 101 | 91 |
| 16 | Kings | 41% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 21% | 95 | 87 |
| 3 | Warriors | 79% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 24% | 102 | 107 |
| 1 | Clippers | 76% | 111 | 120 |
Friday, November 14, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Nuggets | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| 29 | Pacers | 51% | 102 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bucks | 41% | 97 | 85 |
| 25 | Magic | 59% | 100 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Heat | 47% | 95 | 103 |
| 13 | Hawks | 53% | 96 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Cavaliers | 63% | 107 | 122 |
| 22 | Celtics | 37% | 103 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Jazz | 41% | 98 | 102 |
| 19 | Knicks | 59% | 101 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 8% | 90 | 87 |
| 5 | Rockets | 92% | 109 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Timberwolves | 31% | 101 | 91 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 69% | 107 | 139 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 40% | 95 | 96 |
| 18 | Thunder | 60% | 98 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 34% | 98 | 103 |
| 11 | Suns | 66% | 104 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 76% | 106 | 93 |
| 27 | Lakers | 24% | 96 | 80 |
Thursday, November 13, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Kings | 29% | 93 | 110 |
| 7 | Grizzlies | 71% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 45% | 99 | 100 |
| 9 | Raptors | 55% | 101 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 14% | 96 | 70 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 86% | 111 | 123 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 25% | 99 | 99 |
| 3 | Warriors | 75% | 108 | 107 |
Wednesday, November 12, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 37% | 94 | 103 |
| 16 | Wizards | 63% | 98 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 30% | 95 | 97 |
| 15 | Hawks | 70% | 102 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 41% | 97 | 109 |
| 22 | Celtics | 59% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pacers | 24% | 90 | 81 |
| 8 | Heat | 76% | 100 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 35% | 96 | 97 |
| 18 | Knicks | 65% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 21% | 101 | 102 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 79% | 112 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 47% | 107 | 130 |
| 17 | Nuggets | 53% | 108 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Nets | 42% | 103 | 104 |
| 11 | Suns | 58% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Rockets | 65% | 103 | 113 |
| 24 | Timberwolves | 35% | 98 | 101 |
Tuesday, November 11, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 25% | 96 | 100 |
| 10 | Raptors | 75% | 105 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 21% | 93 | 102 |
| 6 | Grizzlies | 79% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Thunder | 54% | 97 | 78 |
| 27 | Bucks | 46% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 29% | 100 | 98 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 71% | 107 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Hornets | 33% | 97 | 100 |
| 11 | Trail Blazers | 67% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Spurs | 39% | 97 | 113 |
| 3 | Warriors | 61% | 101 | 100 |
Monday, November 10, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 27% | 100 | 111 |
| 1 | Cavaliers | 73% | 109 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 42% | 96 | 86 |
| 29 | Pacers | 58% | 99 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 55% | 99 | 91 |
| 20 | Knicks | 45% | 97 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Pistons | 23% | 93 | 91 |
| 9 | Bulls | 77% | 103 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 40% | 101 | 89 |
| 2 | Clippers | 60% | 105 | 85 |
Sunday, November 9, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 29% | 99 | 96 |
| 14 | Nets | 71% | 106 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 42% | 98 | 97 |
| 23 | Pistons | 58% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Kings | 45% | 96 | 93 |
| 19 | Thunder | 55% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 18% | 94 | 88 |
| 10 | Raptors | 82% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Heat | 30% | 99 | 105 |
| 5 | Mavericks | 70% | 106 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Warriors | 55% | 104 | 95 |
| 13 | Suns | 45% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 35% | 103 | 100 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 109 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Hornets | 59% | 103 | 92 |
| 28 | Lakers | 41% | 100 | 107 |