FinalWin Prob.pScore
2334%96
89
1366%102
99
ORTG#PossPace
DET logo DET
96.79291.6
ATL logo ATL
106.59393.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksPistonsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDETATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL89
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:13.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:15.0DETMISS Augustin 1' Driving Layup89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)89
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 289
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:28.0ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:29.0DETMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)89
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:36.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)89
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)89
0.3%
96
99.7%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)86
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)86
0.1%
95
99.9%
Q4 - 0:51.0ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)86
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 0:53.0DETMISS Augustin 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
0.6%
94
99.4%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 286
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 0:57.0ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 286
0.4%
94
99.6%
Q4 - 1:14DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)86
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 1:14DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)85
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 1:14DETPistons Rebound84
0.3%
94
99.7%
Q4 - 1:14DETTeague BLOCK (2 BLK)84
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 1:31ATLHorford 6' Hook Shot (14 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)84
0.5%
94
99.5%
Q4 - 1:44ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 284
1.0%
92
99.0%
Q4 - 1:44ATLMillsap Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (15 PTS)84
0.7%
92
99.3%
Q4 - 1:45DETMillsap STEAL (2 STL)84
1.6%
91
98.4%
Q4 - 1:57DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)84
2.8%
91
97.2%
Q4 - 1:59ATLMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot84
2.4%
91
97.6%
Q4 - 2:19DETSmith 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)84
1.9%
91
98.1%
Q4 - 2:43ATLTeague 8' Floating Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Horford 1 AST)82
1.5%
91
98.5%
Q4 - 2:46ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 2:48ATLMISS Horford 21' Jump Shot82
3.1%
89
96.9%
Q4 - 3:12DETButler Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
2.5%
89
97.5%
Q4 - 3:12DETButler Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)81
2.3%
89
97.7%
Q4 - 3:12DETPistons Rebound80
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 3:12ATLMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
1.6%
89
98.4%
Q4 - 3:30ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 3:32ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 3:42ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 3:44ATLMISS Sefolosha 3PT Jump Shot80
2.6%
89
97.4%
Q4 - 3:58ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
1.9%
89
98.1%
Q4 - 3:59DETMISS Augustin 7' Driving Jump Shot80
2.1%
89
97.9%
Q4 - 4:07DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
2.8%
89
97.2%
Q4 - 4:09ATLMISS Antic 3PT Jump Shot80
2.4%
89
97.6%
Q4 - 4:28ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)80
1.8%
89
98.2%
Q4 - 4:29DETMISS Smith 22' Jump Shot80
2.0%
89
98.0%
Q4 - 4:51ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)80
2.7%
89
97.3%
Q4 - 5:03ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)80
6.9%
86
93.1%
Q4 - 5:05DETMISS Smith 5' Driving Hook Shot80
7.7%
86
92.3%
Q4 - 5:25ATLKorver 6' Driving Jump Shot (12 PTS)80
9.5%
86
90.5%
Q4 - 5:37DETDrummond Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
12.4%
84
87.6%
Q4 - 5:37DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)79
10.8%
84
89.2%
Q4 - 5:54ATLMillsap Putback Layup (14 PTS)78
9.5%
84
90.5%
Q4 - 5:56ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
12.4%
82
87.6%
Q4 - 5:57ATLMISS Teague 19' Jump Shot78
15.4%
82
84.6%
Q4 - 6:04ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)78
13.7%
82
86.3%
Q4 - 6:05DETMISS Augustin 19' Jump Shot78
15.0%
82
85.0%
Q4 - 6:07DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
18.3%
82
81.7%
Q4 - 6:09DETTeague BLOCK (1 BLK)78
14.9%
82
85.1%
Q4 - 6:21ATLTeague 11' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)78
18.2%
82
81.8%
Q4 - 6:28ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)78
22.3%
80
77.7%
Q4 - 6:29DETMISS Drummond 1' Putback Layup78
24.2%
80
75.8%
Q4 - 6:30DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:7 Def:8)78
28.9%
80
71.1%
Q4 - 6:32DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
24.2%
80
75.8%
Q4 - 6:51ATLMillsap Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)78
28.9%
80
71.1%
Q4 - 7:12DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)78
23.1%
80
76.9%
Q4 - 7:12DETDrummond 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)78
23.1%
80
76.9%
Q4 - 7:14DETMISS Jerebko 2' Driving Layup76
16.0%
80
84.0%
Q4 - 7:31ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)76
19.0%
80
81.0%
Q4 - 7:31ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 276
19.9%
79
80.1%
Q4 - 7:40ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)76
18.5%
79
81.5%
Q4 - 7:41DETMISS Augustin 3' Driving Jump Shot76
20.0%
79
80.0%
Q4 - 8:01ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Millsap 4 AST)76
24.2%
79
75.8%
Q4 - 8:13DETAugustin Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)76
34.7%
76
65.3%
Q4 - 8:13DETAugustin Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)75
34.0%
76
66.0%
Q4 - 8:18ATLHorford 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)74
29.2%
76
70.8%
Q4 - 8:31DETAugustin 12' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)74
34.7%
74
65.3%
Q4 - 8:45ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)72
29.2%
74
70.8%
Q4 - 9:00DETAugustin 9' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS)72
24.1%
74
75.9%
Q4 - 9:09DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
20.8%
74
79.2%
Q4 - 9:12ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
19.5%
74
80.5%
Q4 - 9:24ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q4 - 9:26DETMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
18.0%
74
82.0%
Q4 - 9:42DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
20.7%
74
79.3%
Q4 - 9:44ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
19.5%
74
80.5%
Q4 - 10:05DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)70
17.6%
74
82.4%
Q4 - 10:05DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)69
17.0%
74
83.0%
Q4 - 10:09DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
14.6%
74
85.4%
Q4 - 10:10ATLMISS Horford 20' Jump Shot68
13.8%
74
86.2%
Q4 - 10:27DETSingler 1' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)68
12.0%
74
88.0%
Q4 - 10:46DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
9.8%
74
90.2%
Q4 - 10:48ATLMISS Scott 26' 3PT Jump Shot66
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q4 - 11:09DETSingler 13' Driving Jump Shot (7 PTS)66
8.6%
74
91.4%
Q4 - 11:26ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)64
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q4 - 11:40ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)64
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q4 - 11:42DETMISS Drummond 5' Hook Shot64
6.1%
74
93.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL64
7.1%
74
92.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0DETMonroe 1' Putback Layup (10 PTS)64
5.8%
74
94.2%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0DETMISS Augustin 3' Driving Layup62
4.6%
74
95.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0ATLHAWKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)62
5.2%
74
94.8%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETJerebko Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)62
4.3%
74
95.7%
Q3 - 0:30.0DETJerebko Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)61
4.1%
74
95.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)60
3.5%
74
96.5%
Q3 - 1:03DETMonroe 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 5 AST)60
4.7%
72
95.3%
Q3 - 1:10DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
3.9%
72
96.1%
Q3 - 1:11ATLMISS Antic 26' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.7%
72
96.3%
Q3 - 1:30DETMonroe 7' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Butler 2 AST)58
3.2%
72
96.8%
Q3 - 1:46DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)56
2.7%
72
97.3%
Q3 - 1:47ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Reverse Layup56
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 1:58ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
2.2%
72
97.8%
Q3 - 1:59DETMISS Augustin 24' 3PT Jump Shot56
2.3%
72
97.7%
Q3 - 2:15DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
3.1%
72
96.9%
Q3 - 2:16ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup56
2.9%
72
97.1%
Q3 - 2:25DETSmith 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Augustin 1 AST)56
2.5%
72
97.5%
Q3 - 2:45ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)54
2.1%
72
97.9%
Q3 - 2:52ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)54
2.5%
70
97.5%
Q3 - 3:00ATLMISS Millsap 3PT Jump Shot54
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 3:08ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)54
2.9%
70
97.1%
Q3 - 3:09DETMISS Butler 19' Jump Shot54
3.0%
70
97.0%
Q3 - 3:30DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)54
3.4%
70
96.6%
Q3 - 3:31ATLMISS Millsap 5' Driving Jump Shot54
3.2%
70
96.8%
Q3 - 3:50DETAugustin 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Butler 1 AST)54
2.8%
70
97.2%
Q3 - 3:58DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
2.0%
70
98.0%
Q3 - 3:59ATLMISS Teague 4' Driving Jump Shot51
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 4:05DETTeague STEAL (2 STL)51
1.9%
70
98.1%
Q3 - 4:25ATLAntic 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Millsap 3 AST)51
2.3%
70
97.7%
Q3 - 4:44DETJennings Foul Turnover (P4.T10)51
2.6%
68
97.4%
Q3 - 5:04ATLTeague 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS)51
3.5%
68
96.5%
Q3 - 5:19ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
3.9%
66
96.1%
Q3 - 5:21DETAntic BLOCK (1 BLK)51
4.2%
66
95.8%
Q3 - 5:40ATLTeague 6' Driving Jump Shot (15 PTS)51
4.7%
66
95.3%
Q3 - 5:52DETJennings 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)51
5.4%
64
94.6%
Q3 - 6:07DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)49
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 6:08ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 249
4.9%
64
95.1%
Q3 - 6:08ATLMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 249
4.5%
64
95.5%
Q3 - 6:23DETDrummond Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P2.T9)49
4.2%
64
95.8%
Q3 - 6:49ATLCarroll 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)49
5.0%
64
95.0%
Q3 - 7:08DETDrummond 1' Putback Layup (9 PTS)49
6.0%
62
94.0%
Q3 - 7:09DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)47
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 7:11DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
4.7%
62
95.3%
Q3 - 7:29ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)47
5.3%
62
94.7%
Q3 - 7:29ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)47
5.4%
61
94.6%
Q3 - 7:31ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 7:33DETHorford BLOCK (2 BLK)47
6.3%
60
93.7%
Q3 - 7:44DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)47
7.0%
60
93.0%
Q3 - 7:46ATLMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot47
6.7%
60
93.3%
Q3 - 7:57DETJennings Free Throw 3 of 3 (7 PTS)47
6.0%
60
94.0%
Q3 - 7:57DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 3 (6 PTS)46
5.8%
60
94.2%
Q3 - 7:57DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 3 (5 PTS)45
5.6%
60
94.4%
Q3 - 8:20ATLCarroll 3' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)44
4.8%
60
95.2%
Q3 - 8:38DETSmith 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Monroe 2 AST)44
5.4%
58
94.6%
Q3 - 9:03ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)42
5.0%
58
95.0%
Q3 - 9:11ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
6.5%
55
93.5%
Q3 - 9:12DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
6.8%
55
93.2%
Q3 - 9:27ATLTeague 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)42
7.5%
55
92.5%
Q3 - 9:45ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
8.5%
53
91.5%
Q3 - 9:47DETMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot42
8.9%
53
91.1%
Q3 - 10:01DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)42
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 10:03ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot42
9.5%
53
90.5%
Q3 - 10:13DETTeague STEAL (1 STL)42
8.7%
53
91.3%
Q3 - 10:30ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)42
9.9%
53
90.1%
Q3 - 10:30ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 242
10.2%
52
89.8%
Q3 - 10:40DETMonroe Putback Layup (4 PTS)42
9.9%
52
90.1%
Q3 - 10:41DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q3 - 10:42DETMISS Smith 5' Driving Jump Shot40
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 10:49DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)40
8.7%
52
91.3%
Q3 - 10:51ATLMISS Carroll 4' Driving Jump Shot40
8.4%
52
91.6%
Q3 - 11:10DETDrummond Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T7)40
8.0%
52
92.0%
Q3 - 11:17ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)40
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q3 - 11:24ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)40
7.9%
52
92.1%
Q3 - 11:26DETMISS Jennings 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
8.3%
52
91.7%
Q3 - 11:43ATLHorford 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)40
9.0%
52
91.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DET40
10.2%
50
89.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ATLHorford 24' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)40
11.5%
50
88.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0ATLHAWKS Rebound40
13.8%
48
86.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0DETMISS Smith 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
14.1%
48
85.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
14.9%
48
85.1%
Q2 - 0:27.0ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)40
15.1%
47
84.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0DETMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
17.5%
46
82.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
18.5%
46
81.5%
Q2 - 0:47.0ATLMISS Horford 18' Jump Shot40
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 1:00DETSmith 21' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Jennings 2 AST)40
17.1%
46
82.9%
Q2 - 1:28ATLHorford 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
15.2%
46
84.8%
Q2 - 1:43ATLHAWKS Rebound38
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 1:46ATLMISS Teague 4' Jump Shot38
18.4%
44
81.6%
Q2 - 1:59DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)38
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 1:59DETDrummond 1' Putback Layup (7 PTS)38
17.7%
44
82.3%
Q2 - 2:01DETMISS Drummond 1' Layup36
14.6%
44
85.4%
Q2 - 2:05DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
15.7%
44
84.3%
Q2 - 2:09ATLMISS Millsap 1' Layup36
15.2%
44
84.8%
Q2 - 2:32DETJennings 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Smith 4 AST)36
14.2%
44
85.8%
Q2 - 3:03DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)34
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 3:05ATLMISS Teague 3' Driving Layup34
12.7%
44
87.3%
Q2 - 3:24ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 3:25DETMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 3:30ATLTeague Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)34
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 3:36ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)34
11.6%
44
88.4%
Q2 - 3:38DETMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot34
12.1%
44
87.9%
Q2 - 3:57ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)34
13.1%
44
86.9%
Q2 - 3:57ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)34
13.4%
43
86.6%
Q2 - 4:18ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 4:21DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 16' Jump Shot34
15.2%
42
84.8%
Q2 - 4:34DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
16.3%
42
83.7%
Q2 - 4:35ATLMISS Korver 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 4:38ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)34
14.7%
42
85.3%
Q2 - 4:40ATLMISS Millsap 18' Jump Shot34
15.8%
42
84.2%
Q2 - 5:05DETSingler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Smith 3 AST)34
14.9%
42
85.1%
Q2 - 5:28ATLKorver 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Antic 1 AST)31
12.3%
42
87.7%
Q2 - 5:34ATLHAWKS Rebound31
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 5:34ATLMISS Teague 12' Turnaround Jump Shot31
14.5%
40
85.5%
Q2 - 5:51ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
13.6%
40
86.4%
Q2 - 5:52DETMISS Drummond Tip Shot31
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 5:52DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)31
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 5:52DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 2' Driving Reverse Layup31
14.0%
40
86.0%
Q2 - 6:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)31
15.5%
40
84.5%
Q2 - 6:05ATLMISS Antic 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
14.9%
40
85.1%
Q2 - 6:13ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
13.8%
40
86.2%
Q2 - 6:15DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot31
14.3%
40
85.7%
Q2 - 6:30ATLTeague 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)31
15.4%
40
84.6%
Q2 - 6:43ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
18.1%
37
81.9%
Q2 - 6:46DETMISS Drummond 9' Turnaround Hook Shot31
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q2 - 7:09ATLSefolosha 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS)31
20.2%
37
79.8%
Q2 - 7:28DETButler Putback Layup (8 PTS)31
21.9%
35
78.1%
Q2 - 7:30DETButler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q2 - 7:32DETMISS Augustin 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
19.0%
35
81.0%
Q2 - 7:48ATLCarroll 1' Running Layup (5 PTS)29
20.3%
35
79.7%
Q2 - 7:51ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 7:54DETHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)29
22.5%
33
77.5%
Q2 - 8:04DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 8:10ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup29
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 8:20ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 8:22DETMISS Singler 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
22.4%
33
77.6%
Q2 - 8:35DETAugustin REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
23.8%
33
76.2%
Q2 - 8:36ATLMISS Mack 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
23.2%
33
76.8%
Q2 - 8:45DETSingler 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS)29
21.9%
33
78.1%
Q2 - 9:01ATLScott 4' Running Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)27
20.3%
33
79.7%
Q2 - 9:13DETButler Foul Turnover (P1.T6)27
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 9:25DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
23.7%
31
76.3%
Q2 - 9:27ATLMISS Schroder 19' Jump Shot27
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q2 - 9:41ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q2 - 9:43DETMISS Butler 19' Fadeaway Jumper27
22.3%
31
77.7%
Q2 - 9:52DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
23.7%
31
76.3%
Q2 - 9:54ATLMISS Schroder 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
23.1%
31
76.9%
Q2 - 10:04DETScott STEAL (1 STL)27
21.9%
31
78.1%
Q2 - 10:25ATLScott 16' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)27
23.9%
31
76.1%
Q2 - 10:32ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 10:35DETMISS Augustin 26' 3PT Jump Shot27
26.1%
29
73.9%
Q2 - 10:47DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
27.7%
29
72.3%
Q2 - 10:48ATLMISS Scott 6' Driving Jump Shot27
27.0%
29
73.0%
Q2 - 11:00DETMonroe Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 11:00DETMonroe Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
24.9%
29
75.1%
Q2 - 11:10DETSingler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
23.8%
29
76.2%
Q2 - 11:11ATLMISS Mack 3' Driving Jump Shot25
23.3%
29
76.7%
Q2 - 11:25ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q2 - 11:26DETMISS Augustin 3' Driving Layup25
22.6%
29
77.4%
Q2 - 11:48ATLSchroder Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)25
23.9%
29
76.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL25
22.1%
29
77.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0DETMack STEAL (1 STL)25
22.5%
29
77.5%
Q1 - 0:02.0ATLSchroder 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)25
23.7%
29
76.3%
Q1 - 0:11.0DETButler 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)25
25.9%
27
74.1%
Q1 - 0:30.0DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)22
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0DETMISS Butler 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q1 - 0:50.0ATLHorford 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)22
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 1:09DETJennings Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
24.1%
25
75.9%
Q1 - 1:09DETJennings Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
23.8%
25
76.2%
Q1 - 1:11DETJennings REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q1 - 1:12ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q1 - 1:26ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 1:28DETMISS Jennings 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
21.3%
25
78.7%
Q1 - 1:43DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)20
22.1%
25
77.9%
Q1 - 1:45ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup20
21.7%
25
78.3%
Q1 - 1:58DETSmith Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Jennings 1 AST)20
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 2:18ATLMillsap 18' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)18
19.3%
25
80.7%
Q1 - 2:31DETButler 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)18
20.9%
23
79.1%
Q1 - 2:53ATLMillsap 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)15
17.9%
23
82.1%
Q1 - 3:11DETSmith 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)15
19.3%
21
80.7%
Q1 - 3:18DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)13
18.2%
21
81.8%
Q1 - 3:19ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
17.7%
21
82.3%
Q1 - 3:32ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
16.7%
21
83.3%
Q1 - 3:33DETMISS Smith 2' Driving Layup13
17.1%
21
82.9%
Q1 - 3:58ATLMillsap Driving Dunk (6 PTS)13
18.1%
21
81.9%
Q1 - 4:09ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
19.3%
19
80.7%
Q1 - 4:10DETMISS Smith 7' Jump Shot13
19.8%
19
80.2%
Q1 - 4:29ATLAntic 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)13
21.0%
19
79.0%
Q1 - 4:30ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 4:31ATLMISS Sefolosha 2' Layup13
23.5%
17
76.5%
Q1 - 4:36DETSmith 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)13
22.2%
17
77.8%
Q1 - 4:36DETSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q1 - 4:40DETMISS Smith 3' Layup11
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 4:41DETSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q1 - 4:45DETMISS Butler 3PT Jump Shot11
19.8%
17
80.2%
Q1 - 4:59ATLAntic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)11
21.0%
17
79.0%
Q1 - 4:59ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
21.3%
16
78.7%
Q1 - 5:11DETAntic STEAL (1 STL)11
22.4%
15
77.6%
Q1 - 5:26ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 5:26ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
24.4%
14
75.6%
Q1 - 5:33ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
25.4%
13
74.6%
Q1 - 5:35DETMISS Drummond 7' Turnaround Jump Shot11
26.0%
13
74.0%
Q1 - 5:54ATLTeague 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)11
27.2%
13
72.8%
Q1 - 6:20DETSmith 10' Hook Shot (2 PTS)11
28.5%
11
71.5%
Q1 - 6:40ATLTeague 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
27.1%
11
72.9%
Q1 - 6:47ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
28.5%
9
71.5%
Q1 - 6:48DETMISS Caldwell-Pope 18' Jump Shot9
29.1%
9
70.9%
Q1 - 7:06ATLKorver 13' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)9
30.1%
9
69.9%
Q1 - 7:13DETMillsap STEAL (1 STL)9
31.5%
7
68.5%
Q1 - 7:37ATLHorford 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS)9
33.5%
7
66.5%
Q1 - 7:51DETDrummond Dunk (5 PTS) (Monroe 1 AST)9
35.0%
5
65.0%
Q1 - 8:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
33.2%
5
66.8%
Q1 - 8:08ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 8:20ATLHAWKS Rebound7
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 8:20ATLMISS Horford 1' Putback Layup7
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 8:22ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)7
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 8:24ATLMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
32.7%
5
67.3%
Q1 - 8:44ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
31.4%
5
68.6%
Q1 - 8:45DETMISS Smith 10' Hook Shot7
32.0%
5
68.0%
Q1 - 9:09ATLCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)7
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 9:27DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
36.4%
2
63.6%
Q1 - 9:27DETCaldwell-Pope Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)6
35.9%
2
64.1%
Q1 - 9:30ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)5
34.8%
2
65.2%
Q1 - 9:46DETCaldwell-Pope 1' Running Layup (2 PTS)5
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 9:52ATLKorver Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)3
31.4%
2
68.6%
Q1 - 10:04ATLCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
29.6%
2
70.4%
Q1 - 10:05DETMISS Drummond Free Throw 2 of 23
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:05DETDrummond Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)3
30.4%
2
69.6%
Q1 - 10:05DETDrummond REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:06DETMISS Monroe 6' Driving Jump Shot2
28.6%
2
71.4%
Q1 - 10:22ATLMillsap 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)2
29.8%
2
70.2%
Q1 - 10:28DETDrummond 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
31.2%
0
68.8%
Q1 - 10:51DETMonroe REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
29.8%
0
70.2%
Q1 - 10:52ATLMISS Horford 19' Jump Shot0
29.2%
0
70.8%
Q1 - 11:08DETSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:22ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
29.4%
0
70.6%
Q1 - 11:42ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
28.0%
0
72.0%
Q1 - 11:43DETMISS Monroe 5' Hook Shot0
28.4%
0
71.6%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Drummond: Tip to Jennings0
29.4%
0
70.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.94 46.8%
ATL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DET
16
33
48%
ATL
14
27
52%
Midrange
DET
11
29
38%
ATL
19
29
66%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DET
4
6.0
21
19%
29%
ATL
5
7.5
24
21%
31%
Free Throws
DET
23
24
96%
ATL
18
26
69%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DET logo Pistons
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Smith1642%8.0 / 19
D. Augustin1437%7.0 / 19
A. Drummond1346%6.5 / 14
G. Monroe1063%5.0 / 8
C. Butler1056%5.0 / 9
B. Jennings956%4.5 / 8
K. Singler975%4.5 / 6
K. Caldwell-Pope425%2.0 / 8
J. Jerebko467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Teague2874%14.0 / 19
P. Millsap1547%7.5 / 16
A. Horford1458%7.0 / 12
K. Korver12100%6.0 / 6
D. Carroll1042%5.0 / 12
P. Antic650%3.0 / 6
D. Schröder633%3.0 / 9
T. Sefolosha440%2.0 / 5
M. Scott450%2.0 / 4
S. Mack0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DET
80
+14
-12
94
ATL
84
+11
-9
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DET
0.94 46.8%
ATL
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.1
108.9
DET 96.7 +9.7
ATL 106.5
Pace
93.1
94.0
DET 91.6
ATL 93.5 +1.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.6
15.1
DET 15.7
ATL 15.4 +0.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
48.2%
52.7%
DET 39.8%
ATL 50.6% +10.8%
TO %
13.5%
14.3%
DET 11.4%
ATL 9.9% +1.5%
ORB %
27.7%
21.4%
DET 25.5% +5.5%
ATL 20.0%
FTrt
26.1
25.9
DET 28.9
ATL 32.5 +3.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.2%
67.6%
DET 38.7%
ATL 52.6% +13.9%
STL %
8.1%
9.6%
DET 6.5%
ATL 7.5% +1.0%
BLK %
7.6%
8.1%
DET 5.4%
ATL 8.1% +2.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
50.0%
54.7%
DET 46.8%
ATL 51.6% +4.8%
Rim FG%
53.4%
58.1%
DET 48.5%
ATL 51.9% +3.4%
Mid FG%
37.8%
42.2%
DET 37.9%
ATL 65.5% +27.6%
3P %
34.4%
38.0%
DET 19.0%
ATL 20.8% +1.8%
FT %
70.3%
77.8%
DET 95.8% +26.6%
ATL 69.2%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
40.8%
36.1%
DET 39.8% +6.0%
ATL 33.8%
Mid Att. %
30.1%
31.8%
DET 34.9% +1.3%
ATL 36.3%
3P Att. %
29.0%
32.1%
DET 25.3%
ATL 30.0% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsDETATL
Possessions9293
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points8999
Rebounds4546
Assists1220
Steals67
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)12 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (1)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (1)38 (1)
Field Goals31-8338-80
At-the-Rim FG16-3314-27
Midrange FG11-2919-29
2-Point FG27-6233-56
3-Point FG4-215-24
Free Throws23-2418-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 279 · 21
38.3
13
46%
16
0
1
1
2
1
7
9
3-4
75%
5-12
42%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 225 · 29
35.1
16
42%
8
5
0
1
1
4
2
6
0-0
-
8-18
44%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 204 · 22
31.6
4
25%
0
0
3
0
0
2
0
0
2-2
100%
1-5
20%
0-2
0%
G · 6'1" 170 · 25
23.2
9
56%
2
2
1
0
4
2
0
2
5-5
100%
2-2
100%
0-4
0%
F · 6'11" 265 · 24
20.9
10
63%
8
2
0
0
2
3
2
6
2-2
100%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 228 · 35
30.5
10
56%
4
2
0
0
1
3
1
3
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
2-5
40%
G · 6'0" 183 · 27
24.8
14
37%
5
1
0
0
1
2
1
4
5-5
100%
3-11
27%
1-6
17%
F · 6'8" 228 · 27
22.7
9
75%
2
0
1
0
0
3
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
F · 6'10" 231 · 28
12.9
4
67%
0
0
0
1
1
0
0
0
4-4
100%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 215 · 22
F · 6'7" 220 · 30
C · 6'9" 245 · 32
· 6'8" 216 · 23
#20 · G · 6'4" 210 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · F · 6'8" 215 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
47%
45
12
6
3
12
0
13
32
23-24
96%
27-62
44%
4-21
19%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.