FinalWin Prob.pScore
2730%93
91
1570%100
84
ORTG#PossPace
MIL logo MIL
96.894111.5
MIA logo MIA
91.39279.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatBucksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMILMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIL91
100%
84
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAHEAT Rebound91
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 291
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)91
99.9%
84
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
99.8%
84
0.2%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.7%
84
0.3%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILBayless Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)90
99.3%
84
0.7%
Q4 - 0:19.0MILBayless Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)89
99.2%
84
0.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)88
98.6%
84
1.4%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)88
98.8%
83
1.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIAHEAT Rebound88
99.3%
82
0.7%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot88
99.5%
82
0.5%
Q4 - 0:26.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)88
98.5%
82
1.5%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 288
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 0:27.0MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)88
99.1%
82
0.9%
Q4 - 0:34.0MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)87
98.6%
82
1.4%
Q4 - 0:47.0MILKnight 24' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)87
99.1%
79
0.9%
Q4 - 1:11MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)84
94.4%
79
5.6%
Q4 - 1:26MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)84
95.4%
77
4.6%
Q4 - 1:27MILMISS Knight 3PT Jump Shot84
96.1%
77
3.9%
Q4 - 1:48MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
96.0%
77
4.0%
Q4 - 1:49MIAMISS Cole 8' Floating Jump Shot84
95.3%
77
4.7%
Q4 - 1:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
93.5%
77
6.5%
Q4 - 1:57MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
95.5%
77
4.5%
Q4 - 2:18MILKnight 24' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS)84
92.3%
77
7.7%
Q4 - 2:40MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)81
85.3%
77
14.7%
Q4 - 3:12MILKnight 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST)81
90.4%
74
9.6%
Q4 - 3:17MILBayless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)78
82.4%
74
17.6%
Q4 - 3:18MILBosh BLOCK (5 BLK)78
75.7%
74
24.3%
Q4 - 3:41MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)78
75.9%
74
24.1%
Q4 - 3:51MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)78
86.7%
71
13.3%
Q4 - 3:53MILMISS Pachulia 11' Jump Hook Shot78
88.1%
71
11.9%
Q4 - 4:16MIANapier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T17)78
91.0%
71
9.0%
Q4 - 4:33MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
87.3%
71
12.7%
Q4 - 4:34MILMISS Parker 11' Jump Shot78
88.6%
71
11.4%
Q4 - 4:40MIACole Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T16)78
91.2%
71
8.8%
Q4 - 4:50MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)78
87.4%
71
12.6%
Q4 - 4:51MILMISS Parker 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
88.7%
71
11.3%
Q4 - 4:55MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)78
91.2%
71
8.8%
Q4 - 4:56MILMISS Bayless 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
88.7%
71
11.3%
Q4 - 5:14MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)78
87.2%
71
12.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 278
87.8%
70
12.2%
Q4 - 5:23MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)78
87.0%
70
13.0%
Q4 - 5:24MILMISS Mayo 19' Jump Shot78
88.2%
70
11.8%
Q4 - 5:38MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)78
90.6%
70
9.4%
Q4 - 5:39MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
89.6%
70
10.4%
Q4 - 5:58MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)78
87.2%
70
12.8%
Q4 - 5:59MILMISS Wolters Free Throw 2 of 278
87.7%
70
12.3%
Q4 - 5:59MILMISS Wolters Free Throw 1 of 278
89.6%
70
10.4%
Q4 - 6:06MILBucks Rebound78
87.7%
70
12.3%
Q4 - 6:07MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup78
86.5%
70
13.5%
Q4 - 6:22MILPachulia 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Mayo 3 AST)78
83.6%
70
16.4%
Q4 - 6:38MIAShaw. Williams 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)76
79.9%
70
20.1%
Q4 - 6:49MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)76
83.7%
68
16.3%
Q4 - 6:50MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot76
85.1%
68
14.9%
Q4 - 7:04MILBucks Rebound76
84.8%
68
15.2%
Q4 - 7:05MILMISS Bayless 20' Jump Shot76
81.9%
68
18.1%
Q4 - 7:13MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
84.8%
68
15.2%
Q4 - 7:14MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Floating Jump Shot76
83.6%
68
16.4%
Q4 - 7:24MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
80.6%
68
19.4%
Q4 - 7:25MILMISS Pachulia 19' Jump Shot76
82.0%
68
18.0%
Q4 - 7:49MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)76
85.1%
68
14.9%
Q4 - 7:50MIAHEAT Rebound76
80.7%
68
19.3%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 276
84.5%
68
15.5%
Q4 - 7:50MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 276
81.9%
68
18.1%
Q4 - 7:57MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P2.T16)76
80.7%
68
19.3%
Q4 - 8:14MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)76
82.1%
68
17.9%
Q4 - 8:40MILPachulia 14' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mayo 2 AST)76
88.5%
65
11.5%
Q4 - 8:57MILMayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
85.7%
65
14.3%
Q4 - 8:58MIAMISS Chalmers 20' Jump Shot74
84.7%
65
15.3%
Q4 - 9:35MILMayo 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Pachulia 2 AST)74
79.6%
65
20.4%
Q4 - 9:45MILIlyasova REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
75.7%
65
24.3%
Q4 - 9:46MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
74.3%
65
25.7%
Q4 - 10:04MILWolters Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)72
68.4%
65
31.6%
Q4 - 10:14MIANapier 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)69
58.2%
65
41.8%
Q4 - 10:29MILPachulia Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)69
63.5%
63
36.5%
Q4 - 10:48MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)66
52.8%
63
47.2%
Q4 - 11:04MILMayo 12' Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
61.7%
60
38.3%
Q4 - 11:26MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)64
56.8%
60
43.2%
Q4 - 11:26MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 264
58.3%
59
41.7%
Q4 - 11:49MILMayo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T15)64
56.6%
59
43.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA64
62.0%
59
38.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)64
55.2%
59
44.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 2 of 3 (9 PTS)63
54.5%
59
45.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0MILMiddleton Free Throw 1 of 3 (8 PTS)62
53.8%
59
46.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)61
45.0%
59
55.0%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Chalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot61
43.5%
59
56.5%
Q3 - 0:32.0MILAndersen STEAL (1 STL)61
40.1%
59
59.9%
Q3 - 0:34.0MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
45.1%
59
54.9%
Q3 - 0:35.0MILMISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
41.6%
59
58.4%
Q3 - 0:43.0MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)61
45.1%
59
54.9%
Q3 - 1:11MILMayo 8' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)61
39.2%
59
60.8%
Q3 - 1:22MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 1:23MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup59
33.4%
59
66.6%
Q3 - 1:32MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
30.4%
59
69.6%
Q3 - 1:33MILBosh BLOCK (4 BLK)59
31.7%
59
68.3%
Q3 - 1:45MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ennis 3 AST)59
34.8%
59
65.2%
Q3 - 2:05MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)59
42.5%
56
57.5%
Q3 - 2:06MILMISS Antetokounmpo 12' Turnaround Jump Shot59
43.9%
56
56.1%
Q3 - 2:23MIAChalmers 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)59
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q3 - 2:38MILAntetokounmpo Traveling Turnover (P4.T13)59
51.8%
54
48.2%
Q3 - 2:51MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)59
56.6%
54
43.4%
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Bosh Driving Dunk59
55.2%
54
44.8%
Q3 - 3:21MILKnight 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)59
50.5%
54
49.5%
Q3 - 3:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)57
46.4%
54
53.6%
Q3 - 3:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)57
47.2%
53
52.8%
Q3 - 3:51MILAntetokounmpo 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Knight 4 AST)57
50.6%
52
49.4%
Q3 - 3:54MIANapier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)55
46.5%
52
53.5%
Q3 - 4:06MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
40.6%
52
59.4%
Q3 - 4:07MIAMISS Bosh 14' Turnaround Jump Shot55
44.1%
52
55.9%
Q3 - 4:27MIAHEAT Rebound55
40.6%
52
59.4%
Q3 - 4:27MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot55
42.2%
52
57.8%
Q3 - 4:35MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)55
45.7%
52
54.3%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Ennis 1' Driving Layup55
44.1%
52
55.9%
Q3 - 4:50MILKnight Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)55
40.7%
52
59.3%
Q3 - 4:50MILKnight Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)54
40.0%
52
60.0%
Q3 - 4:50MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)53
37.4%
52
62.6%
Q3 - 4:56MILDeng STEAL (3 STL)53
32.8%
52
67.2%
Q3 - 5:06MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
36.6%
52
63.4%
Q3 - 5:07MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot53
35.3%
52
64.7%
Q3 - 5:25MILSanders Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)53
32.4%
52
67.6%
Q3 - 5:35MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)50
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup50
25.0%
52
75.0%
Q3 - 5:42MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)50
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q3 - 5:43MILAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)50
23.7%
52
76.3%
Q3 - 5:50MIAAndersen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)50
26.1%
52
73.9%
Q3 - 6:09MILKnight Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T11)50
22.5%
52
77.5%
Q3 - 6:31MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)50
25.9%
52
74.1%
Q3 - 6:50MILMiddleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Knight 3 AST)50
31.9%
49
68.1%
Q3 - 7:08MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)47
25.5%
49
74.5%
Q3 - 7:20MILKnight 1' Layup (7 PTS)47
22.4%
49
77.6%
Q3 - 7:21MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Deng 1' Layup45
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q3 - 7:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)45
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q3 - 7:27MIAMISS Cole 2' Reverse Layup45
19.3%
49
80.7%
Q3 - 7:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
17.5%
49
82.5%
Q3 - 7:49MILBosh BLOCK (3 BLK)45
18.3%
49
81.7%
Q3 - 7:53MILBucks Rebound45
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 7:53MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 2 of 245
17.8%
49
82.2%
Q3 - 7:53MILMISS Sanders Free Throw 1 of 245
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q3 - 8:04MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 8:05MIAMISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot45
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q3 - 8:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q3 - 8:30MILMISS Middleton 3PT Jump Shot45
18.3%
49
81.7%
Q3 - 8:38MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
20.2%
49
79.8%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q3 - 8:52MILDeng STEAL (2 STL)45
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q3 - 9:05MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
19.9%
49
80.1%
Q3 - 9:06MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot45
19.2%
49
80.8%
Q3 - 9:27MILSanders 4' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)45
17.6%
49
82.4%
Q3 - 9:42MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
15.7%
49
84.3%
Q3 - 9:43MIAMISS Cole 20' Jump Shot43
15.1%
49
84.9%
Q3 - 10:01MILMiddleton 15' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)43
13.8%
49
86.2%
Q3 - 10:20MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)41
12.2%
49
87.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q3 - 10:32MILBosh BLOCK (2 BLK)41
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q3 - 10:37MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)41
17.6%
46
82.4%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup41
16.9%
46
83.1%
Q3 - 10:57MILSanders 2' Dunk (6 PTS) (Parker 1 AST)41
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q3 - 11:00MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)39
13.8%
46
86.2%
Q3 - 11:05MILChalmers STEAL (1 STL)39
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q3 - 11:11MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)39
14.0%
46
86.0%
Q3 - 11:29MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q3 - 11:30MILMISS Parker Free Throw 2 of 239
12.5%
46
87.5%
Q3 - 11:30MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)39
13.4%
46
86.6%
Q3 - 11:46MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)38
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q3 - 11:47MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot38
11.9%
46
88.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIL38
10.9%
46
89.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILBucks Rebound38
12.4%
46
87.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MILMISS Wolters 19' Jump Shot38
11.4%
46
88.6%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)38
12.6%
46
87.4%
Q2 - 0:02.0MILAntetokounmpo 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)38
11.6%
46
88.4%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)36
10.0%
46
90.0%
Q2 - 0:25.0MILPachulia Dunk (4 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 2 AST)36
13.0%
43
87.0%
Q2 - 0:35.0MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
11.2%
43
88.8%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS Chalmers 5' Driving Jump Shot34
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 0:53.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
10.3%
43
89.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0MILMISS Knight 22' Jump Shot34
10.6%
43
89.4%
Q2 - 1:03MILWolters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
11.5%
43
88.5%
Q2 - 1:04MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot34
11.3%
43
88.7%
Q2 - 1:29MILParker 2' Driving Layup (12 PTS)34
10.8%
43
89.2%
Q2 - 1:40MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 232
9.3%
42
90.7%
Q2 - 1:56MILParker Dunk (10 PTS) (Antetokounmpo 1 AST)32
9.6%
42
90.4%
Q2 - 2:13MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)30
8.5%
42
91.5%
Q2 - 2:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
9.6%
40
90.4%
Q2 - 2:35MILMISS Parker 18' Jump Shot30
9.9%
40
90.1%
Q2 - 2:57MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)30
10.6%
40
89.4%
Q2 - 2:57MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
10.8%
39
89.2%
Q2 - 3:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)30
12.0%
38
88.0%
Q2 - 3:21MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 230
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 3:21MILAntetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
13.0%
38
87.0%
Q2 - 3:24MIAHaslem Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)29
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 3:42MILMISS Parker 10' Jump Shot29
11.2%
38
88.8%
Q2 - 3:56MIANapier Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
12.2%
38
87.8%
Q2 - 3:59MILAntetokounmpo Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 2 AST)29
10.8%
38
89.2%
Q2 - 4:02MILWolters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 4:03MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot27
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 4:16MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
9.1%
38
90.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
9.8%
38
90.2%
Q2 - 4:23MILDeng STEAL (1 STL)27
9.1%
38
91.0%
Q2 - 4:25MILBucks Rebound27
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 4:26MILMISS Sanders 9' Jump Hook Shot27
9.4%
38
90.6%
Q2 - 4:51MIAChalmers 16' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)27
10.1%
38
89.9%
Q2 - 5:03MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)27
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Deng 3' Driving Jump Shot27
12.1%
36
87.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
11.3%
36
88.7%
Q2 - 5:22MILMISS Sanders 10' Jump Hook Shot27
11.7%
36
88.3%
Q2 - 5:42MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
12.5%
36
87.5%
Q2 - 5:43MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 127
12.3%
36
87.7%
Q2 - 5:47MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)27
13.8%
34
86.2%
Q2 - 5:48MILMISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
14.2%
34
85.8%
Q2 - 6:09MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)27
15.6%
34
84.4%
Q2 - 6:15MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 6:16MILMISS Pachulia 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 6:22MILWolters REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 6:23MIAMISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot27
19.7%
31
80.3%
Q2 - 6:36MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
18.3%
31
81.7%
Q2 - 6:37MILMISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot27
18.9%
31
81.1%
Q2 - 6:48MIAHaslem Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)27
20.4%
31
79.6%
Q2 - 7:02MILPachulia 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
18.5%
31
81.5%
Q2 - 7:14MILBucks Rebound25
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAMISS Ennis 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
16.6%
31
83.4%
Q2 - 7:41MILPachulia Foul Turnover (P1.T7)25
15.5%
31
84.5%
Q2 - 7:49MIAHaslem 4' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)25
17.1%
31
82.9%
Q2 - 8:08MILEnnis STEAL (2 STL)25
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 8:23MILBucks Rebound25
20.2%
29
79.8%
Q2 - 8:24MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot25
19.6%
29
80.4%
Q2 - 8:48MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
18.5%
29
81.5%
Q2 - 8:49MILMISS Mayo Free Throw 1 of 125
18.7%
29
81.3%
Q2 - 9:00MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)23
17.0%
29
83.0%
Q2 - 9:09MIAHEAT Rebound23
15.5%
29
84.5%
Q2 - 9:10MILMISS Ilyasova 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
15.9%
29
84.1%
Q2 - 9:26MIAEnnis 18' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)23
17.1%
29
82.9%
Q2 - 9:50MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
18.3%
27
81.7%
Q2 - 9:51MILMISS Middleton 19' Jump Shot23
18.8%
27
81.2%
Q2 - 10:09MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)23
20.3%
27
79.7%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot23
19.7%
27
80.3%
Q2 - 10:23MILMiddleton 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
18.4%
27
81.6%
Q2 - 10:51MIANapier 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)21
17.2%
27
82.8%
Q2 - 11:05MILIlyasova 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST)21
18.7%
25
81.3%
Q2 - 11:24MIAEnnis 2' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)19
17.3%
25
82.7%
Q2 - 11:31MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q2 - 11:32MILMISS Bayless 24' 3PT Jump Shot19
19.1%
23
80.9%
Q2 - 11:42MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)19
20.2%
23
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIL19
18.6%
23
81.4%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)19
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Napier Free Throw 1 of 219
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 0:31.0MILMISS Mayo 25' 3PT Jump Shot19
20.8%
22
79.2%
Q1 - 0:39.0MILMiddleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
21.6%
22
78.4%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 219
21.4%
22
78.6%
Q1 - 0:40.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 219
20.5%
22
79.5%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAHEAT Rebound19
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot19
21.2%
22
78.8%
Q1 - 1:09MILKnight 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
20.4%
22
79.6%
Q1 - 1:21MILPachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 1:22MILMISS Knight 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
17.9%
22
82.1%
Q1 - 1:38MIANapier 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)17
18.6%
22
81.4%
Q1 - 1:54MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.4%
20
79.6%
Q1 - 1:55MILMISS Parker 20' Fadeaway Jumper17
20.8%
20
79.2%
Q1 - 2:10MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
21.8%
20
78.2%
Q1 - 2:27MILParker Dunk (8 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST)17
20.3%
20
79.7%
Q1 - 2:39MIANapier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)15
18.8%
20
81.2%
Q1 - 3:02MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
21.6%
17
78.4%
Q1 - 3:03MILMISS Antetokounmpo 20' Jump Shot15
22.1%
17
77.9%
Q1 - 3:34MIAEnnis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)15
23.4%
17
76.6%
Q1 - 3:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 3:55MILMISS Henson 5' Hook Shot15
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 4:05MILParker REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Cole 3' Driving Reverse Layup15
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 4:22MILCole STEAL (2 STL)15
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 4:33MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
28.3%
14
71.7%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
27.6%
14
72.4%
Q1 - 4:44MILCole STEAL (1 STL)15
26.3%
14
73.7%
Q1 - 5:03MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
27.8%
14
72.2%
Q1 - 5:03MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
28.1%
13
71.9%
Q1 - 5:05MILBosh STEAL (1 STL)15
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 5:10MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)15
31.2%
12
68.8%
Q1 - 5:11MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot15
30.6%
12
69.4%
Q1 - 5:21MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
29.3%
12
70.7%
Q1 - 5:22MILMISS Knight 2' Driving Layup15
29.9%
12
70.1%
Q1 - 5:49MIAEnnis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)15
31.3%
12
68.7%
Q1 - 6:08MILSanders 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Dudley 2 AST)15
32.1%
10
67.9%
Q1 - 6:27MIACole 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)13
30.6%
10
69.4%
Q1 - 6:33MILEnnis STEAL (1 STL)13
32.2%
8
67.8%
Q1 - 6:49MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
34.1%
8
65.9%
Q1 - 7:16MILSanders Tip Shot (2 PTS)13
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 7:17MILSanders REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
33.7%
6
66.3%
Q1 - 7:18MILMISS Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 111
31.9%
6
68.1%
Q1 - 7:25MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
30.3%
6
69.7%
Q1 - 7:26MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot9
29.7%
6
70.3%
Q1 - 7:46MILParker 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS)9
28.5%
6
71.5%
Q1 - 8:08MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)7
26.8%
6
73.2%
Q1 - 8:31MILParker Dunk (4 PTS) (Knight 1 AST)7
28.3%
4
71.7%
Q1 - 8:40MIADeng 10' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)5
26.8%
4
73.2%
Q1 - 8:52MILAntetokounmpo Foul Turnover (P1.T1)5
28.3%
2
71.7%
Q1 - 8:55MILKnight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
30.0%
2
70.0%
Q1 - 8:56MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot5
29.4%
2
70.6%
Q1 - 9:18MILKnight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST)5
28.1%
2
71.9%
Q1 - 9:31MILSanders REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 9:32MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot2
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 9:43MIAHEAT Rebound2
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 9:44MILMISS Antetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot2
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:05MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:18MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
23.6%
2
76.4%
Q1 - 10:19MILBosh BLOCK (1 BLK)2
24.1%
2
75.9%
Q1 - 10:38MIAShaw. Williams 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
25.2%
2
74.8%
Q1 - 10:55MILParker Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 10:55MILParker Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
26.0%
0
74.0%
Q1 - 11:20MILAntetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.8%
0
75.2%
Q1 - 11:21MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 4' Jump Shot0
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:22MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot0
24.4%
0
75.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
0
76.5%
Q1 - 11:46MILMISS Sanders 15' Jump Shot0
23.9%
0
76.1%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Sanders: Tip to Antetokounmpo0
24.8%
0
75.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIL
21
29
72%
MIA
12
24
50%
Midrange
MIL
9
27
33%
MIA
7
24
29%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIL
5
7.5
18
28%
42%
MIA
11
16.5
25
44%
66%
Free Throws
MIL
16
26
62%
MIA
13
22
59%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIL logo Bucks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
B. Knight2071%10.0 / 14
J. Parker1350%6.5 / 13
G. Antetokounmpo1150%5.5 / 11
L. Sanders1150%5.5 / 11
Z. Pachulia1161%5.5 / 9
K. Middleton1063%5.0 / 8
O. Mayo850%4.0 / 8
N. Wolters350%1.5 / 3
J. Bayless225%1.0 / 4
E. Ilyasova250%1.0 / 2
J. Dudley0-0.0 / 0
J. Henson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Chalmers1864%9.0 / 14
S. Williams1372%6.5 / 9
N. Cole1155%5.5 / 10
C. Bosh1025%5.0 / 20
L. Deng1038%5.0 / 13
S. Napier1083%5.0 / 6
J. Ennis III975%4.5 / 6
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
C. Andersen125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIL
78
+9
-16
87
MIA
75
+9
-17
84
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIL
1.05 52.3%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.1
103.9
MIL 96.8 +5.5
MIA 91.3
Pace
93.7
91.0
MIL 111.5 +32.0
MIA 79.5
Avg. Poss. Time
14.8
16.3
MIL 12.9 +5.2
MIA 18.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.9%
50.0%
MIL 50.7% +2.1%
MIA 48.6%
TO %
16.8%
15.2%
MIL 15.8% +1.3%
MIA 17.1%
ORB %
25.5%
23.3%
MIL 12.8%
MIA 14.6% +1.8%
FTrt
25.8
30.6
MIL 35.1 +5.0
MIA 30.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
62.7%
56.4%
MIL 45.7%
MIA 63.3% +17.6%
STL %
10.1%
8.6%
MIL 11.7% +0.8%
MIA 10.9%
BLK %
8.6%
8.0%
MIL 2.1%
MIA 10.7% +8.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.1%
52.2%
MIL 52.3% +2.3%
MIA 50.0%
Rim FG%
56.4%
59.7%
MIL 72.4% +22.4%
MIA 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.4%
40.9%
MIL 33.3% +4.1%
MIA 29.2%
3P %
36.3%
33.5%
MIL 27.8%
MIA 44.0% +16.2%
FT %
75.7%
74.1%
MIL 61.5% +2.4%
MIA 59.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
39.8%
35.1%
MIL 39.2% +6.3%
MIA 32.9%
Mid Att. %
37.8%
38.7%
MIL 36.5%
MIA 32.9% +3.6%
3P Att. %
22.3%
26.2%
MIL 24.3%
MIA 34.2% +9.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMILMIA
Possessions9492
Possession Minutes20.227.8
Points9184
Rebounds4040
Assists1619
Steals1110
Blocks16
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)17 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (4)6 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (3)34 (4)
Field Goals35-7430-73
At-the-Rim FG21-2912-24
Midrange FG9-277-24
2-Point FG30-5619-48
3-Point FG5-1811-25
Free Throws16-2613-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 182 · 23
34.3
20
71%
5
4
1
0
3
4
0
5
2-2
100%
3-6
50%
4-7
57%
F · 6'8" 250 · 20
33.1
13
50%
6
1
2
0
0
0
0
6
3-4
75%
5-10
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 243 · 20
32.4
11
50%
7
3
2
0
5
3
1
6
3-7
43%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 230 · 26
20.2
11
50%
6
0
0
0
0
3
1
5
1-3
33%
5-10
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 240 · 29
10.1
0
0%
0
2
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 270 · 31
25.3
11
61%
5
2
1
0
2
3
2
3
1-1
100%
5-8
63%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 222 · 23
20.2
10
63%
2
0
3
1
1
3
0
2
3-3
100%
2-4
50%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 27
18.2
8
50%
2
3
1
0
1
1
0
2
0-1
0%
4-5
80%
0-3
0%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
16.7
2
25%
2
1
0
0
1
2
1
1
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
· 6'4" 190 · 24
14.8
3
50%
3
0
1
0
0
2
0
3
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 235 · 28
12.3
2
50%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 229 · 24
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
2
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 23
#3 · F-C · 6'9" 257 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#17 · F · 6'8" 246 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
52%
40
16
11
1
16
0
5
35
16-26
62%
30-56
54%
5-18
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.