FinalWin Prob.pScore
1230%99
105
570%106
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
115.49186.3
DAL logo DAL
106.79095.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIADAL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA105
100%
96
0%
Q4 - 0:07.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)105
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot105
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAHeat Rebound105
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:13.0MIAParsons BLOCK (3 BLK)105
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALCrowder Free Throw 3 of 3 (15 PTS)105
99.9%
96
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALCrowder Free Throw 2 of 3 (14 PTS)105
99.9%
95
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0DALCrowder Free Throw 1 of 3 (13 PTS)105
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Wade 10 AST)105
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 0:55.0DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)103
99.8%
93
0.2%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#15)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAHeat Rebound103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)103
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 1:22DALMISS Nelson Free Throw 1 of 2103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:30MIAWade 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Deng 4 AST)103
99.9%
89
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40DALCrowder 1' Finger Roll Layup (12 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)101
99.7%
89
0.3%
Q4 - 1:44MIAParsons STEAL (2 STL)101
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 1:58DALNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T13)101
99.9%
87
0.1%
Q4 - 2:08MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)101
99.7%
87
0.3%
Q4 - 2:28DALParsons Running Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)101
99.8%
87
0.2%
Q4 - 2:34DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:35MIAMISS Wade 16' Step Back Jump Shot101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 2:51DALMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot101
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:01DALNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)101
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 2101
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:02MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 2101
99.8%
85
0.2%
Q4 - 3:20DALNelson 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)101
99.9%
85
0.1%
Q4 - 3:31MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)101
99.7%
83
0.3%
Q4 - 3:52MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)98
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 3:54DALMISS Parsons Driving Layup98
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 4:04DALParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)98
99.2%
83
0.8%
Q4 - 4:05MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.3%
83
0.7%
Q4 - 4:28DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)98
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 4:28DALCrowder 2' Putback Layup (10 PTS)98
99.5%
83
0.5%
Q4 - 4:30DALMISS Crowder 14' Running Jump Shot98
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 4:45DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)98
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 298
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 4:46MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 298
99.7%
81
0.3%
Q4 - 5:11DALWright 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)98
99.5%
81
0.5%
Q4 - 5:13DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)98
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 5:15DALMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot98
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 5:23MIAParsons STEAL (1 STL)98
99.6%
79
0.4%
Q4 - 5:46DALCrowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)98
99.7%
79
0.3%
Q4 - 6:02MIAWade 5' Driving Bank Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)98
99.7%
76
0.3%
Q4 - 6:06DALParsons Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)96
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 6:15DALParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)96
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 6:16MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot96
99.5%
76
0.5%
Q4 - 6:41DALWright 9' Turnaround Fadeaway (2 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)96
99.6%
76
0.4%
Q4 - 7:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)96
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 7:02MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)95
99.5%
74
0.5%
Q4 - 7:30DALChandler 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)94
99.4%
74
0.6%
Q4 - 7:41MIAWade Driving Layup (16 PTS)94
99.5%
72
0.5%
Q4 - 7:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)92
99.4%
72
0.6%
Q4 - 7:52DALMISS Barea 17' Fadeaway Jumper92
99.3%
72
0.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIAChalmers Running Slam Dunk (18 PTS)92
98.7%
72
1.3%
Q4 - 8:08DALChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)90
98.3%
72
1.7%
Q4 - 8:21MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 8:21MIAHaslem Tip Shot (4 PTS)90
97.9%
72
2.1%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup88
96.8%
72
3.2%
Q4 - 8:42DALCrowder 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)88
97.3%
72
2.7%
Q4 - 8:45DALChandler REBOUND (Off:10 Def:5)88
97.9%
70
2.1%
Q4 - 8:46DALMISS Barea 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
98.3%
70
1.7%
Q4 - 9:02DALMAVERICKS Rebound88
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 9:02DALMISS Barea 3' Driving Jump Shot88
97.5%
70
2.5%
Q4 - 9:05DALHarris REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 9:07MIAChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)88
97.3%
70
2.7%
Q4 - 9:23DALChandler Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)88
97.7%
70
2.3%
Q4 - 9:30MIAHarris STEAL (1 STL)88
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 9:44MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw Technical88
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)88
97.8%
70
2.2%
Q4 - 9:51DALMISS Nowitzki 6' Driving Jump Shot88
97.6%
70
2.4%
Q4 - 10:06DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
96.3%
70
3.7%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Napier 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
96.5%
70
3.5%
Q4 - 10:36DALCrowder 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)88
97.1%
70
2.9%
Q4 - 11:01MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)88
97.6%
67
2.4%
Q4 - 11:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)85
96.4%
67
3.6%
Q4 - 11:19DALChandler REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)85
95.5%
67
4.5%
Q4 - 11:19DALMISS Chandler 1' Tip Shot85
96.1%
67
3.9%
Q4 - 11:20DALMISS Barea 8' Driving Jump Shot85
96.1%
67
3.9%
Q4 - 11:39MIADeng Dunk (24 PTS) (McRoberts 2 AST)85
95.5%
67
4.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL83
94.6%
67
5.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
93.4%
67
6.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Villanueva 13' Running Jump Shot83
94.3%
67
5.7%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)83
92.2%
67
7.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)82
91.8%
67
8.2%
Q3 - 0:20.0DALEllis 3' Driving Layup (23 PTS)81
90.6%
67
9.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)81
92.2%
65
7.8%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIAMcRoberts Putback Layup (4 PTS)81
92.2%
65
7.8%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAAminu BLOCK (1 BLK)79
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIAHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)79
89.4%
65
10.6%
Q3 - 0:37.0MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
90.7%
65
9.3%
Q3 - 0:39.0DALMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
90.1%
65
9.9%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAJefferson STEAL (1 STL)79
88.8%
65
11.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
89.2%
65
10.8%
Q3 - 1:08DALMISS Wright Free Throw 2 of 279
89.0%
65
11.0%
Q3 - 1:08DALMISS Wright Free Throw 1 of 279
87.8%
65
12.2%
Q3 - 1:19MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)79
87.2%
65
12.8%
Q3 - 1:19MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)78
86.8%
65
13.2%
Q3 - 1:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)77
85.0%
65
15.0%
Q3 - 1:35DALMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
84.2%
65
15.8%
Q3 - 1:52DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
82.3%
65
17.7%
Q3 - 1:53MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 277
82.7%
65
17.3%
Q3 - 1:53MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)77
84.5%
65
15.5%
Q3 - 2:02MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
79.9%
65
20.1%
Q3 - 2:04DALMISS Jefferson 1' Driving Layup76
79.0%
65
21.0%
Q3 - 2:15DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
76.7%
65
23.3%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup76
77.8%
65
22.2%
Q3 - 2:27MIAHeat Rebound76
80.1%
65
19.9%
Q3 - 2:28MIAMISS Deng 5' Jump Shot76
77.8%
65
22.2%
Q3 - 2:46MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)76
80.2%
65
19.8%
Q3 - 2:46DALMISS Jefferson 3PT Jump Shot76
79.2%
65
20.8%
Q3 - 3:00MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)76
76.9%
65
23.1%
Q3 - 3:25DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)76
78.5%
65
21.5%
Q3 - 3:25MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (14 PTS)76
78.3%
64
21.7%
Q3 - 3:34MIADeng 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Wade 9 AST)75
83.7%
61
16.3%
Q3 - 4:00DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)72
78.5%
61
21.5%
Q3 - 4:15DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)72
79.3%
59
20.7%
Q3 - 4:16DALMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
81.6%
59
18.4%
Q3 - 4:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
79.3%
59
20.7%
Q3 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 21' Fadeaway Jumper72
80.4%
59
19.6%
Q3 - 4:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
82.6%
59
17.4%
Q3 - 4:50DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot72
81.7%
59
18.3%
Q3 - 5:07MIADeng 7' Driving Jump Shot (19 PTS)72
77.8%
59
22.2%
Q3 - 5:22MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
75.3%
59
24.7%
Q3 - 5:23DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Jump Shot70
74.3%
59
25.7%
Q3 - 5:32MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)70
71.7%
59
28.3%
Q3 - 5:50MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
68.8%
59
31.2%
Q3 - 5:51DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
67.6%
59
32.4%
Q3 - 6:05MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 8 AST)68
62.8%
59
37.2%
Q3 - 6:34DALNelson Foul Turnover (P3.T9)65
55.9%
59
44.1%
Q3 - 6:43DALChandler REBOUND (Off:8 Def:5)65
51.4%
59
48.6%
Q3 - 6:44MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot65
52.8%
59
47.2%
Q3 - 7:09DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P1.T8)65
54.4%
59
45.6%
Q3 - 7:24MIADeng 21' Floating Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Bosh 5 AST)65
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 7:42DALChandler Slam Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)63
46.8%
59
53.2%
Q3 - 7:49MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)63
50.2%
57
49.8%
Q3 - 8:01DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)63
53.5%
57
46.5%
Q3 - 8:01DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 263
53.9%
56
46.1%
Q3 - 8:12DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)63
52.9%
56
47.1%
Q3 - 8:13MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot63
54.3%
56
45.7%
Q3 - 8:31DALChandler REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)63
57.3%
56
42.7%
Q3 - 8:31DALChandler 1' Tip Shot (11 PTS)63
57.3%
56
42.7%
Q3 - 8:32DALChandler REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)63
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 8:32DALMISS Chandler Tip Shot63
63.2%
54
36.8%
Q3 - 8:33DALMISS Ellis 8' Fadeaway Jumper63
63.2%
54
36.8%
Q3 - 8:51MIACole Foul Turnover (P2.T7)63
60.3%
54
39.7%
Q3 - 8:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
64.4%
54
35.6%
Q3 - 8:55DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot63
63.2%
54
36.8%
Q3 - 9:08MIAShaw. Williams 1' Reverse Layup (7 PTS) (Bosh 4 AST)63
58.9%
54
41.1%
Q3 - 9:34DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)61
55.6%
54
44.4%
Q3 - 9:41DALNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
62.5%
51
37.5%
Q3 - 9:43MIAParsons BLOCK (2 BLK)61
63.6%
51
36.4%
Q3 - 10:04DALEllis 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)61
64.5%
51
35.5%
Q3 - 10:15MIAWade 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)61
70.6%
48
29.4%
Q3 - 10:43DALEllis 18' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)58
64.5%
48
35.5%
Q3 - 11:06MIAShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)58
65.8%
46
34.2%
Q3 - 11:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)55
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q3 - 11:24MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
57.3%
46
42.7%
Q3 - 11:45DALEllis 22' Jump Shot (11 PTS)55
59.7%
46
40.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL55
62.9%
44
37.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound55
62.9%
44
37.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALMISS Ellis 43' 3PT Jump Shot55
65.2%
44
34.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)55
61.7%
44
38.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)55
63.9%
44
36.1%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
62.4%
44
37.6%
Q2 - 0:31.0DALEllis 6' Driving Bank Shot (9 PTS)55
64.0%
44
36.0%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIADeng 20' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)55
67.8%
42
32.2%
Q2 - 1:04DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)53
62.8%
42
37.2%
Q2 - 1:04DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)53
63.4%
41
36.6%
Q2 - 1:17MIABosh 22' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)53
67.0%
40
33.0%
Q2 - 1:41DALNowitzki 13' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)51
62.9%
40
37.1%
Q2 - 1:54DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
67.1%
38
32.9%
Q2 - 1:55MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
67.5%
38
32.5%
Q2 - 2:07MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)51
67.7%
38
32.3%
Q2 - 2:09DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot51
66.9%
38
33.1%
Q2 - 2:29DALChandler REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)51
65.2%
38
34.8%
Q2 - 2:30DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 2 of 251
67.4%
38
32.6%
Q2 - 2:30DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)51
65.5%
38
34.5%
Q2 - 2:48MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)51
68.0%
37
32.0%
Q2 - 3:02DALNelson Backcourt Turnover (P2.T7)49
63.6%
37
36.4%
Q2 - 3:24MIABosh 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)49
60.5%
37
39.5%
Q2 - 3:32DALWright Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)47
58.1%
37
41.9%
Q2 - 3:50MIADeng 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)47
54.7%
37
45.3%
Q2 - 3:57MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)45
52.2%
37
47.8%
Q2 - 3:58DALMISS Nelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot45
51.1%
37
48.9%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWade 2' Layup (9 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)45
47.6%
37
52.4%
Q2 - 4:25MIAHeat Rebound43
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 4:25MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot43
42.8%
37
57.2%
Q2 - 4:40DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)43
44.9%
37
55.1%
Q2 - 4:40DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)43
45.2%
36
54.8%
Q2 - 4:52MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)43
47.6%
35
52.4%
Q2 - 5:05DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)40
41.5%
35
58.5%
Q2 - 5:05DALMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 240
42.2%
34
57.8%
Q2 - 5:06DALChandler REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)40
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 5:07DALParsons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)40
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 5:07DALMISS Parsons 1' Layup40
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 5:10DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 5:10DALMISS Parsons 1' Layup40
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 5:11DALChandler REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)40
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 5:11DALMISS Chandler 2' Tip Shot40
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 5:12DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Jump Shot40
43.4%
34
56.6%
Q2 - 5:37MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)40
41.5%
34
58.5%
Q2 - 5:58DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)38
38.8%
34
61.2%
Q2 - 5:58DALChandler 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)38
38.8%
34
61.2%
Q2 - 5:59DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup38
43.4%
32
56.6%
Q2 - 6:18MIANowitzki STEAL (1 STL)38
40.7%
32
59.3%
Q2 - 6:38DALChandler Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)38
44.0%
32
56.0%
Q2 - 6:51MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)38
46.1%
30
53.9%
Q2 - 6:56DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)36
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 7:17MIAMcRoberts 4' Driving Bank Hook Shot (2 PTS)36
40.3%
30
59.7%
Q2 - 7:46DALChandler Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)34
38.0%
30
62.0%
Q2 - 7:59MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)34
40.3%
28
59.7%
Q2 - 7:59MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 233
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q2 - 8:08DALMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q2 - 8:16MIABarea STEAL (2 STL)33
37.1%
28
62.9%
Q2 - 8:21MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)33
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot33
38.9%
28
61.1%
Q2 - 8:40DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
37.2%
28
62.8%
Q2 - 8:41MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot33
37.9%
28
62.1%
Q2 - 9:00DALParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)33
39.7%
28
60.3%
Q2 - 9:00DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)33
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q2 - 9:04MIABarea STEAL (1 STL)33
41.0%
26
59.0%
Q2 - 9:16MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 9:17DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot33
43.0%
26
57.0%
Q2 - 9:40DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)33
41.1%
26
58.9%
Q2 - 9:41MIAMISS Ennis 18' Pullup Jump Shot33
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q2 - 9:46MIAHeat Rebound33
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 9:46MIANowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)33
42.0%
26
58.0%
Q2 - 9:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)33
43.9%
26
56.1%
Q2 - 10:01DALMISS Barea 2' Driving Layup33
43.0%
26
57.0%
Q2 - 10:20MIAChalmers Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)33
40.9%
26
59.1%
Q2 - 10:38DALAminu Running Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)31
39.0%
26
61.0%
Q2 - 10:47MIAChalmers 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)31
40.9%
24
59.1%
Q2 - 11:05DALNowitzki Dunk (12 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)29
38.3%
24
61.7%
Q2 - 11:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
40.6%
22
59.4%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMISS Haslem 3' Jump Shot29
41.4%
22
58.6%
Q2 - 11:41DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)29
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
45.4%
20
54.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
48.0%
20
52.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0DALMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
46.1%
20
53.9%
Q1 - 0:08.0MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)29
45.0%
20
55.0%
Q1 - 0:30.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)26
39.8%
20
60.2%
Q1 - 0:31.0DALMISS Barea 11' Running Jump Shot26
39.3%
20
60.7%
Q1 - 0:44.0MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (9 PTS)26
38.1%
20
61.9%
Q1 - 1:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
35.1%
20
64.9%
Q1 - 1:04DALMISS Barea 7' Driving Jump Shot24
34.6%
20
65.4%
Q1 - 1:22MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)24
33.5%
20
66.5%
Q1 - 1:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
31.0%
20
69.0%
Q1 - 1:36DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot22
30.5%
20
69.5%
Q1 - 1:54MIABosh 1' Running Layup (7 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)22
29.5%
20
70.5%
Q1 - 2:06MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)20
27.3%
20
72.7%
Q1 - 2:07DALMISS Harris 22' Jump Shot20
26.8%
20
73.2%
Q1 - 2:22MIADeng 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS)20
25.6%
20
74.4%
Q1 - 2:42DALNowitzki 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)18
23.8%
20
76.2%
Q1 - 2:55MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)18
27.4%
17
72.6%
Q1 - 2:55MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 217
27.1%
17
72.9%
Q1 - 3:10DALNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)17
27.2%
17
72.8%
Q1 - 3:18DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
25.3%
17
74.7%
Q1 - 3:19MIAMISS Napier 23' Jump Shot17
25.9%
17
74.1%
Q1 - 3:34DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)17
27.3%
17
72.7%
Q1 - 3:34DALMISS Harris Free Throw 1 of 217
27.6%
16
72.4%
Q1 - 3:49MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)17
27.1%
16
72.9%
Q1 - 4:13DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)14
23.7%
16
76.3%
Q1 - 4:13DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)14
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 4:18DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 4:25DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)14
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 4:32DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)14
25.1%
14
74.9%
Q1 - 4:34MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot14
25.7%
14
74.3%
Q1 - 4:51MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
27.1%
14
72.9%
Q1 - 4:52DALMISS Parsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot14
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 5:14MIAWade 9' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)14
24.9%
14
75.1%
Q1 - 5:21DALChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)12
23.6%
14
76.4%
Q1 - 5:45MIADeng 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)12
22.0%
14
78.0%
Q1 - 6:01DALNowitzki 2' Layup (5 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)10
20.7%
14
79.3%
Q1 - 6:09DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)10
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
22.3%
12
77.7%
Q1 - 6:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 6:22DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Floating Jump Shot10
22.9%
12
77.1%
Q1 - 6:36MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)10
21.9%
12
78.1%
Q1 - 6:51DALNelson 1' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)10
23.4%
12
76.6%
Q1 - 6:56MIANelson STEAL (1 STL)10
24.7%
10
75.3%
Q1 - 7:07MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:09DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup10
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 7:14DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 7:16MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup10
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 7:21DALParsons Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:30DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 7:39MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
26.2%
10
73.8%
Q1 - 7:41DALMISS Nowitzki 2' Running Layup10
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 7:47DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)10
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 7:47DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot10
25.6%
10
74.4%
Q1 - 7:53DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
24.5%
10
75.5%
Q1 - 7:55MIAParsons BLOCK (1 BLK)10
25.0%
10
75.0%
Q1 - 8:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
25.9%
10
74.1%
Q1 - 8:04DALMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
25.4%
10
74.6%
Q1 - 8:14MIADeng 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)10
24.4%
10
75.6%
Q1 - 8:27DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 8:27DALChandler Putback Dunk (2 PTS)8
23.1%
10
76.9%
Q1 - 8:28DALMISS Parsons 14' Fadeaway Jumper8
25.4%
8
74.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)8
24.4%
8
75.6%
Q1 - 8:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
24.1%
8
75.9%
Q1 - 9:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
23.1%
8
76.9%
Q1 - 9:01DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot6
22.5%
8
77.5%
Q1 - 9:22DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
21.6%
8
78.4%
Q1 - 9:22MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot6
22.0%
8
78.0%
Q1 - 9:28DALNowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)6
23.0%
8
77.0%
Q1 - 9:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
25.7%
5
74.3%
Q1 - 9:35MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot6
26.2%
5
73.8%
Q1 - 9:53DALNelson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)6
27.3%
5
72.7%
Q1 - 10:13MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)6
30.1%
2
69.9%
Q1 - 10:35DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)4
28.7%
2
71.3%
Q1 - 10:52MIAShaw. Williams 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)4
30.1%
0
69.9%
Q1 - 11:17MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
28.2%
0
71.8%
Q1 - 11:18DALMISS Ellis 27' 3PT Jump Shot2
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:44MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Chandler vs. Bosh: Tip to Cole0
25.4%
0
74.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.0%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
19
29
66%
DAL
18
30
60%
Midrange
MIA
14
24
58%
DAL
8
24
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
9
13.5
23
39%
59%
DAL
9
13.5
29
31%
47%
Free Throws
MIA
12
20
60%
DAL
17
24
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Deng3075%15.0 / 20
C. Bosh2071%10.0 / 14
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
M. Chalmers1890%9.0 / 10
S. Williams770%3.5 / 5
U. Haslem675%3.0 / 4
J. McRoberts467%2.0 / 3
N. Cole0-0.0 / 3
S. Napier0-0.0 / 4
J. Ennis III0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis2368%11.5 / 17
D. Nowitzki1750%8.5 / 17
T. Chandler1667%8.0 / 12
J. Crowder15107%7.5 / 7
J. Nelson1161%5.5 / 9
C. Parsons420%2.0 / 10
B. Wright467%2.0 / 3
J. Barea317%1.5 / 9
A. Aminu233%1.0 / 3
D. Harris113%0.5 / 4
R. Jefferson0-0.0 / 2
C. Villanueva0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+11
-13
89
DAL
77
+18
-13
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.18 59.0%
DAL
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
109.3
MIA 115.4 +8.7
DAL 106.7
Pace
91.0
95.4
MIA 86.3
DAL 95.2 +8.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 16.7
DAL 15.1 +1.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.5%
MIA 61.2% +13.6%
DAL 47.6%
TO %
15.2%
13.0%
MIA 15.0%
DAL 12.2% +2.8%
ORB %
23.3%
23.7%
MIA 18.8%
DAL 31.9% +13.1%
FTrt
30.6
26.2
MIA 26.3
DAL 28.9 +2.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
56.7%
MIA 73.8% +10.9%
DAL 62.9%
STL %
8.6%
8.4%
MIA 7.7%
DAL 8.9% +1.2%
BLK %
8.0%
7.6%
MIA 5.6%
DAL 13.2% +7.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
53.7%
MIA 59.0% +9.0%
DAL 50.0%
Rim FG%
59.7%
60.3%
MIA 65.5% +5.5%
DAL 60.0%
Mid FG%
40.9%
41.5%
MIA 58.3% +25.0%
DAL 33.3%
3P %
33.5%
35.2%
MIA 39.1% +8.1%
DAL 31.0%
FT %
74.1%
75.2%
MIA 60.0%
DAL 70.8% +10.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
35.3%
MIA 38.2% +2.0%
DAL 36.1%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
35.1%
MIA 31.6%
DAL 28.9% +2.7%
3P Att. %
26.2%
29.6%
MIA 30.3%
DAL 34.9% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIADAL
Possessions9190
Possession Minutes25.322.7
Points10596
Rebounds3841
Assists3122
Steals78
Blocks37
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (5)15 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (0)26 (0)
Field Goals42-7635-83
At-the-Rim FG19-2918-30
Midrange FG14-248-24
2-Point FG33-5326-54
3-Point FG9-239-29
Free Throws12-2017-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
36.8
20
71%
10
5
1
0
3
0
2
8
6-11
55%
7-8
88%
0-2
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
36.7
30
75%
5
4
1
0
0
1
0
5
0-2
0%
9-10
90%
4-9
44%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
35.6
20
53%
2
10
1
0
3
2
1
1
1-2
50%
8-17
47%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
19.1
7
70%
2
1
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
1-2
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
13.6
0
0%
2
3
1
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-2
0%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
34.4
18
90%
1
4
2
0
1
4
0
1
3-3
100%
3-4
75%
3-5
60%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
26.0
0
0%
3
1
1
1
1
2
1
2
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
18.5
6
75%
5
1
0
1
0
3
1
4
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 28
16.8
4
67%
8
2
0
1
1
5
1
7
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
2.5
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-2
0%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
G · 6'3" 215 · 29
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#11 · F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
105
59%
38
31
7
3
13
0
6
32
12-20
60%
33-53
62%
9-23
39%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.