FinalWin Prob.pScore
2037%98
100
1863%103
107
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
113.68886.9
DEN logo DEN
123.08788.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC100
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0DENMISS Lawson 29' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)100
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:25.0OKCMISS Jackson 27' 3PT Jump Shot100
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 0:32.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)100
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 0:33.0DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot100
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:53.0DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)100
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 0:54.0OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 1100
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 0:55.0OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)98
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 0:56.0OKCMISS Morrow 26' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:07OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)98
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 1:09DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot98
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:27DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)98
0.4%
107
99.6%
Q4 - 1:29OKCChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)98
0.6%
107
99.4%
Q4 - 1:42DENAfflalo 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 15 AST)98
1.1%
107
98.9%
Q4 - 2:01DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)98
3.2%
104
96.8%
Q4 - 2:02OKCMISS Ibaka 7' Running Jump Shot98
3.9%
104
96.1%
Q4 - 2:27DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lawson 14 AST)98
6.4%
104
93.6%
Q4 - 2:42DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)98
12.1%
101
87.9%
Q4 - 2:45OKCMISS Jackson 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
14.5%
101
85.5%
Q4 - 3:00OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)98
22.1%
101
77.9%
Q4 - 3:02DENMISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
19.1%
101
80.9%
Q4 - 3:19OKCIbaka 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Jackson 8 AST)98
13.5%
101
86.5%
Q4 - 3:28OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)95
7.3%
101
92.7%
Q4 - 3:29DENMISS Chandler 1' Driving Layup95
6.1%
101
93.9%
Q4 - 3:46OKCCollison Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)95
6.2%
101
93.8%
Q4 - 3:46OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 294
5.8%
101
94.2%
Q4 - 3:46OKCThunder Rebound94
6.4%
101
93.6%
Q4 - 3:46DENMISS Faried Free Throw 2 of 294
6.1%
101
93.9%
Q4 - 3:46DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)94
5.0%
101
95.0%
Q4 - 4:07OKCTelfair 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)94
6.0%
100
94.0%
Q4 - 4:27DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)91
3.0%
100
97.0%
Q4 - 4:27DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)91
3.2%
99
96.8%
Q4 - 4:44OKCMorrow Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)91
4.1%
98
95.9%
Q4 - 4:44OKCMorrow Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)90
3.9%
98
96.1%
Q4 - 4:58DENChandler Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)89
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 5:12DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)89
3.0%
98
97.0%
Q4 - 5:14OKCMISS Collison 25' 3PT Jump Shot89
3.3%
98
96.7%
Q4 - 5:36DENArthur Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)89
4.2%
98
95.8%
Q4 - 5:36DENArthur Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)89
4.4%
97
95.6%
Q4 - 5:36DENArthur REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)89
5.6%
96
94.4%
Q4 - 5:37DENMISS Lawson 15' Jump Shot89
7.0%
96
93.0%
Q4 - 5:50OKCMorrow 12' Jump Shot (8 PTS)89
5.5%
96
94.5%
Q4 - 6:09OKCTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)87
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 6:10DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
4.8%
96
95.2%
Q4 - 6:31DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
3.8%
96
96.2%
Q4 - 6:33OKCArthur BLOCK (1 BLK)87
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 6:35OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)87
5.3%
96
94.7%
Q4 - 6:38OKCMISS Jackson 6' Running Jump Shot87
4.2%
96
95.8%
Q4 - 6:50DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)87
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 6:50DENChandler 2' Putback Layup (18 PTS)87
5.2%
96
94.8%
Q4 - 6:52DENMISS Chandler 3' Layup87
8.3%
94
91.7%
Q4 - 7:13OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
7.9%
94
92.1%
Q4 - 7:13OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
7.7%
94
92.3%
Q4 - 7:19OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
6.3%
94
93.7%
Q4 - 7:20DENMISS McGee 1' Reverse Layup85
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 7:31DENFoye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
4.7%
94
95.3%
Q4 - 7:33OKCMISS Morrow 24' 3PT Jump Shot85
5.1%
94
94.9%
Q4 - 7:44DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)85
6.2%
94
93.8%
Q4 - 7:56OKCPerkins Foul Turnover (P3.T10)85
4.6%
94
95.4%
Q4 - 8:11OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)85
7.3%
94
92.7%
Q4 - 8:14DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
6.8%
94
93.2%
Q4 - 8:23DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)85
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 8:26DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot85
6.7%
94
93.3%
Q4 - 8:47OKCIbaka 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Jackson 7 AST)85
5.7%
94
94.3%
Q4 - 8:55OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)83
4.4%
94
95.6%
Q4 - 8:57DENMISS Arthur 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 9:03DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)83
4.3%
94
95.7%
Q4 - 9:04OKCMISS Ibaka 15' Jump Shot83
4.6%
94
95.4%
Q4 - 9:21OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
5.3%
94
94.7%
Q4 - 9:22DENMISS Foye 24' 3PT Jump Shot83
5.0%
94
95.0%
Q4 - 9:36OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)83
4.2%
94
95.8%
Q4 - 9:36OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)82
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 9:50DENFoye 26' 3PT Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST)81
3.4%
94
96.6%
Q4 - 10:15OKCJackson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)81
6.0%
91
94.0%
Q4 - 10:15OKCJackson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)80
5.8%
91
94.2%
Q4 - 10:28DENGallinari Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
4.8%
91
95.2%
Q4 - 10:28DENMISS Gallinari Free Throw 1 of 279
5.0%
90
95.0%
Q4 - 10:45OKCTelfair 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Jackson 6 AST)79
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 10:52OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)76
3.1%
90
96.9%
Q4 - 10:55OKCMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot76
2.7%
90
97.3%
Q4 - 11:09OKCThunder Rebound76
3.6%
90
96.4%
Q4 - 11:09DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot76
3.4%
90
96.6%
Q4 - 11:30OKCJackson Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)76
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 11:44DENFoye 23' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gallinari 2 AST)74
2.4%
90
97.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC74
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0DENGallinari 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 13 AST)74
4.1%
88
95.9%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)74
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 0:06.0DENMISS Foye 26' 3PT Jump Shot74
6.8%
85
93.2%
Q3 - 0:11.0OKCArthur STEAL (2 STL)74
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q3 - 0:30.0DENMozgov 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Lawson 12 AST)74
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q3 - 0:41.0OKCJackson 5' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)74
8.7%
83
91.3%
Q3 - 0:47.0OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
7.2%
83
92.8%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENMISS Gallinari 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q3 - 0:56.0DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)72
5.9%
83
94.1%
Q3 - 0:57.0OKCMISS Jackson 19' Jump Shot72
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 1:06OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)72
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 1:07OKCMozgov BLOCK (3 BLK)72
6.8%
83
93.2%
Q3 - 1:23DENLawson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)72
7.8%
83
92.2%
Q3 - 1:35OKCTelfair 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)72
6.4%
83
93.6%
Q3 - 1:47OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 1:49OKCMISS Jackson 19' Fadeaway Jumper69
3.9%
83
96.1%
Q3 - 2:15DENFaried Putback Slam Dunk (7 PTS)69
5.0%
83
95.0%
Q3 - 2:16DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)69
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q3 - 2:17DENMISS Lawson 2' Running Layup69
6.7%
81
93.3%
Q3 - 2:42OKCMorrow 3' Running Layup (6 PTS)69
5.9%
81
94.1%
Q3 - 2:50OKCThunder Rebound67
5.0%
81
95.0%
Q3 - 2:50OKCMISS Jackson 17' Jump Shot67
4.4%
81
95.6%
Q3 - 3:07DENAfflalo 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)67
5.5%
81
94.5%
Q3 - 3:31OKCTelfair 6' Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
6.4%
79
93.6%
Q3 - 3:45OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)65
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q3 - 3:46OKCMISS Jackson 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
4.8%
79
95.2%
Q3 - 4:15DENLawson 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)65
6.0%
79
94.0%
Q3 - 4:21OKCFaried STEAL (1 STL)65
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q3 - 4:34DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)65
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 4:34DENChandler 2' Putback Layup (16 PTS)65
8.2%
77
91.8%
Q3 - 4:36DENMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
10.5%
75
89.5%
Q3 - 4:58OKCIbaka 26' 3PT Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Telfair 2 AST)65
9.2%
75
90.8%
Q3 - 5:05OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)62
7.4%
75
92.6%
Q3 - 5:06DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
7.0%
75
93.0%
Q3 - 5:23OKCMorrow 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Collison 3 AST)62
6.2%
75
93.8%
Q3 - 5:45DENFaried Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)60
5.4%
75
94.6%
Q3 - 5:52DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)60
7.2%
72
92.8%
Q3 - 5:54OKCMISS Collison 8' Running Hook Shot60
7.6%
72
92.4%
Q3 - 6:16DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)60
9.0%
72
91.0%
Q3 - 6:18DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 6:19OKCMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
12.3%
69
87.7%
Q3 - 6:35OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
13.8%
69
86.2%
Q3 - 6:37DENMISS Chandler 9' Turnaround Jump Shot60
13.1%
69
86.9%
Q3 - 6:59OKCTelfair 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)60
11.7%
69
88.3%
Q3 - 7:05DENMozgov Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)58
10.7%
69
89.3%
Q3 - 7:16OKCThomas 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Telfair 1 AST)58
9.2%
69
90.8%
Q3 - 7:34DENFaried Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)56
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 7:49DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
6.9%
69
93.1%
Q3 - 7:50OKCMISS Thomas 5' Jump Shot56
7.3%
69
92.7%
Q3 - 7:53OKCTelfair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
8.1%
69
91.9%
Q3 - 7:56DENMISS Chandler 5' Running Jump Shot56
7.7%
69
92.3%
Q3 - 8:03DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
7.2%
69
92.8%
Q3 - 8:06OKCMozgov BLOCK (2 BLK)56
7.6%
69
92.4%
Q3 - 8:20DENMozgov 1' Layup (15 PTS)56
8.5%
69
91.5%
Q3 - 8:35OKCJackson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)56
9.5%
67
90.5%
Q3 - 8:48DENLawson 18' Jump Shot (11 PTS)56
11.1%
67
88.9%
Q3 - 9:01OKCJackson 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)56
12.8%
65
87.2%
Q3 - 9:21DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (9 PTS)54
11.3%
65
88.7%
Q3 - 9:27OKCLawson STEAL (1 STL)54
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 9:48DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)54
14.5%
63
85.5%
Q3 - 9:52DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
18.4%
60
81.6%
Q3 - 9:54OKCMISS Lamb 12' Fadeaway Jumper54
19.1%
60
80.9%
Q3 - 10:10DENAfflalo 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 9 AST)54
20.9%
60
79.1%
Q3 - 10:24OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)54
23.2%
58
76.8%
Q3 - 10:46DENFaried 8' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 8 AST)51
18.6%
58
81.4%
Q3 - 10:55OKCJackson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)51
20.8%
56
79.2%
Q3 - 11:12DENMozgov Dunk (13 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)49
19.0%
56
81.0%
Q3 - 11:18DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)49
21.1%
54
78.9%
Q3 - 11:19DENMISS Afflalo 18' Jump Shot49
22.7%
54
77.3%
Q3 - 11:38DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)49
21.1%
54
79.0%
Q3 - 11:40OKCMISS Ibaka 17' Jump Shot49
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKC49
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound49
23.5%
54
76.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Jackson 21' Fadeaway Jumper49
21.8%
54
78.2%
Q2 - 0:21.0OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q2 - 0:22.0DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
23.1%
54
76.9%
Q2 - 0:27.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)49
21.9%
54
78.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0OKCMISS Lamb 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
22.4%
54
77.6%
Q2 - 0:48.0DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)49
23.6%
54
76.4%
Q2 - 0:56.0DENNUGGETS Rebound49
29.3%
51
70.7%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
30.7%
51
69.3%
Q2 - 1:17OKCLamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jackson 5 AST)49
29.8%
51
70.2%
Q2 - 1:35DENChandler 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)46
23.7%
51
76.3%
Q2 - 1:49OKCJackson 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)46
29.8%
48
70.2%
Q2 - 2:02OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)44
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q2 - 2:05DENMISS Afflalo 12' Fadeaway Jumper44
26.0%
48
74.0%
Q2 - 2:19OKCIbaka 16' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Jackson 4 AST)44
24.4%
48
75.6%
Q2 - 2:37DENLawson 10' Jump Shot (7 PTS)42
22.1%
48
77.9%
Q2 - 2:58OKCIbaka 16' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)42
24.5%
46
75.5%
Q2 - 3:18OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)40
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 3:20DENMISS Gallinari 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 3:39DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)40
20.2%
46
79.8%
Q2 - 3:41DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot40
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 3:53DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
20.2%
46
79.8%
Q2 - 3:54OKCMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot40
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q2 - 4:20OKCThunder Rebound40
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 4:21DENMISS Faried 3' Jump Hook Shot40
22.0%
46
78.0%
Q2 - 4:40DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)40
20.6%
46
79.4%
Q2 - 4:42OKCMISS Adams Free Throw 2 of 240
20.9%
46
79.1%
Q2 - 4:42OKCMISS Adams Free Throw 1 of 240
21.8%
46
78.2%
Q2 - 4:54DENMcGee Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Robinson 2 AST)40
22.6%
46
77.4%
Q2 - 5:09OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)40
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 5:09OKCAdams 1' Tip Shot (5 PTS)40
24.9%
44
75.1%
Q2 - 5:10OKCMISS Jackson 17' Pullup Jump Shot38
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 5:17OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)38
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 5:19DENMISS Faried 2' Driving Layup38
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 5:24DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 5:25OKCMISS Thomas 4' Jump Shot38
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 5:41OKCThunder Rebound38
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 5:42DENMISS Faried 17' Jump Shot38
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 5:58DENRobinson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)38
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 5:59DENMISS McGee 3' Layup38
22.2%
44
77.8%
Q2 - 6:09DENGallinari REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
21.0%
44
79.0%
Q2 - 6:10OKCMISS Jackson Driving Dunk38
21.7%
44
78.3%
Q2 - 6:25DENRobinson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)38
23.3%
44
76.7%
Q2 - 6:38OKCArthur STEAL (1 STL)38
27.0%
41
73.0%
Q2 - 7:00DENRobinson 28' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)38
29.7%
41
70.3%
Q2 - 7:14OKCTelfair 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)38
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 7:35DENArthur 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS)36
31.9%
38
68.1%
Q2 - 7:38DENArthur REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 7:40DENMISS McGee 1' Tip Shot36
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 7:40DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)36
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 7:41DENMISS Arthur 14' Turnaround Jump Shot36
35.8%
36
64.2%
Q2 - 7:48OKCRobinson STEAL (1 STL)36
34.0%
36
66.0%
Q2 - 8:12DENMcGee Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)36
36.3%
36
63.7%
Q2 - 8:12DENMcGee Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)36
37.1%
35
62.9%
Q2 - 8:28OKCMorrow Foul Turnover (P1.T3)36
38.6%
34
61.4%
Q2 - 8:38DENArthur 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS)36
41.2%
34
58.8%
Q2 - 8:57OKCCollison 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Morrow 1 AST)36
43.6%
32
56.4%
Q2 - 9:17DENFoye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)33
38.4%
32
61.6%
Q2 - 9:30DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)33
35.7%
32
64.3%
Q2 - 9:31OKCMISS Perkins Free Throw 2 of 233
36.1%
32
63.9%
Q2 - 9:31OKCPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)33
37.3%
32
62.7%
Q2 - 9:52DENFoye 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST)32
36.1%
32
63.9%
Q2 - 10:07OKCLamb 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)32
40.4%
29
59.6%
Q2 - 10:22OKCThunder Rebound29
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 10:22DENMISS Robinson 6' Jump Bank Shot29
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 10:29DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
33.4%
29
66.6%
Q2 - 10:31OKCMISS Perkins 6' Jump Shot29
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q2 - 10:42OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
36.1%
29
63.9%
Q2 - 10:43DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
35.3%
29
64.7%
Q2 - 11:04OKCTelfair 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Roberson 1 AST)29
33.5%
29
66.5%
Q2 - 11:20DENMcGee 3' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)26
29.4%
29
70.6%
Q2 - 11:36DENMcGee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q2 - 11:37OKCMISS Collison 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup26
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC26
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCThunder Rebound26
33.6%
27
66.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Roberson 45' 3PT Jump Shot26
32.1%
27
67.9%
Q1 - 0:01.0OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
33.2%
27
66.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot26
32.7%
27
67.3%
Q1 - 0:25.0OKCMorrow 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
31.7%
27
68.3%
Q1 - 0:28.0OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q1 - 0:29.0OKCMISS Roberson 3PT Jump Shot24
28.2%
27
71.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0DENMozgov Dunk (8 PTS) (Gallinari 1 AST)24
29.2%
27
70.8%
Q1 - 0:51.0OKCGallinari STEAL (1 STL)24
31.7%
25
68.3%
Q1 - 1:04OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
33.2%
25
66.8%
Q1 - 1:05DENMISS Lawson 4' Running Jump Shot24
32.7%
25
67.3%
Q1 - 1:18OKCPerkins Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)24
31.7%
25
68.3%
Q1 - 1:18OKCPerkins Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
30.9%
25
69.1%
Q1 - 1:38DENArthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)22
29.2%
25
70.8%
Q1 - 1:57OKCRoberson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)22
33.7%
22
66.3%
Q1 - 2:13OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 2:15DENMISS Afflalo 3PT Jump Shot19
28.9%
22
71.1%
Q1 - 2:30OKCIbaka Foul Turnover (P1.T1)19
27.7%
22
72.3%
Q1 - 2:42OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)19
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 2:43OKCMISS Perkins 10' Turnaround Jump Shot19
28.2%
22
71.8%
Q1 - 2:58OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
29.5%
22
70.5%
Q1 - 2:59DENMISS Faried 13' Jump Shot19
28.9%
22
71.1%
Q1 - 3:09OKCIbaka Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)19
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 3:09OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 2 of 318
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 3:09OKCIbaka Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)18
28.6%
22
71.4%
Q1 - 3:15OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 3:16OKCMISS Jackson 8' Running Jump Shot17
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 3:32OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 217
25.8%
22
74.2%
Q1 - 3:36DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 217
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 3:41DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)17
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 3:43OKCMISS Morrow 3PT Jump Shot17
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 4:04DENMozgov Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
26.0%
22
74.0%
Q1 - 4:15DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
24.1%
22
75.9%
Q1 - 4:17OKCMISS Roberson 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 4:35DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)17
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 4:35DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)17
26.4%
21
73.6%
Q1 - 4:35DENNUGGETS Rebound17
27.5%
20
72.5%
Q1 - 4:35OKCMISS Jackson 21' Jump Shot17
28.1%
20
71.9%
Q1 - 4:51DENAfflalo 4' Running Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Mozgov 2 AST)17
29.6%
20
70.4%
Q1 - 5:09OKCIbaka 7' Running Jump Shot (8 PTS)17
31.1%
18
68.9%
Q1 - 5:21OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 5:23OKCMISS Ibaka 21' Jump Shot15
28.2%
18
71.8%
Q1 - 5:34DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
29.5%
18
70.5%
Q1 - 5:34DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
29.9%
17
70.1%
Q1 - 5:40DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)15
31.1%
16
68.9%
Q1 - 5:41OKCMISS Ibaka 14' Jump Shot15
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 5:44OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
33.1%
16
66.9%
Q1 - 5:46OKCMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot15
31.7%
16
68.3%
Q1 - 6:09DENLawson Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)15
32.8%
16
67.2%
Q1 - 6:30OKCLamb Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)15
31.0%
16
69.0%
Q1 - 6:30OKCLamb Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)14
30.7%
16
69.3%
Q1 - 6:41DENMozgov 7' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)13
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 6:54OKCIbaka 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)13
31.0%
14
69.0%
Q1 - 7:08OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
29.5%
14
70.5%
Q1 - 7:11DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 211
29.2%
14
70.8%
Q1 - 7:11DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
28.2%
14
71.8%
Q1 - 7:16DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)11
29.2%
13
70.8%
Q1 - 7:16OKCMISS Adams Free Throw 2 of 211
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 7:16OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)11
30.2%
13
69.8%
Q1 - 7:28DENChandler Reverse Dunk (5 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST)10
29.5%
13
70.5%
Q1 - 7:36DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
30.8%
11
69.2%
Q1 - 7:38OKCMozgov BLOCK (1 BLK)10
31.4%
11
68.6%
Q1 - 7:58OKCLamb REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
32.8%
11
67.2%
Q1 - 8:01DENMISS Lawson 10' Running Jump Shot10
32.1%
11
67.9%
Q1 - 8:13OKCThomas 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
30.9%
11
69.1%
Q1 - 8:16OKCThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 8:18OKCMISS Lamb 25' 3PT Jump Shot8
28.2%
11
71.8%
Q1 - 8:42DENAfflalo 16' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS)8
29.4%
11
70.6%
Q1 - 9:02OKCThomas 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
30.8%
9
69.2%
Q1 - 9:18DENLawson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)6
29.3%
9
70.7%
Q1 - 9:33OKCIbaka 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lamb 2 AST)6
30.8%
7
69.2%
Q1 - 9:49DENAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)4
29.3%
7
70.7%
Q1 - 10:04OKCIbaka 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lamb 1 AST)4
30.8%
5
69.2%
Q1 - 10:17OKCThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.4%
5
70.6%
Q1 - 10:19DENMISS Mozgov 17' Jump Shot2
28.8%
5
71.2%
Q1 - 10:27DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
27.7%
5
72.3%
Q1 - 10:29OKCMISS Thomas 7' Jump Shot2
28.2%
5
71.8%
Q1 - 10:50DENChandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)2
29.4%
5
70.6%
Q1 - 11:02OKCAdams 1' Layup (2 PTS)2
32.3%
2
67.7%
Q1 - 11:27DENLawson 10' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)0
30.6%
2
69.4%
Q1 - 11:35DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
32.3%
0
67.7%
Q1 - 11:37DENMISS Afflalo 17' Fadeaway Jumper0
33.4%
0
66.6%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Adams: Tip to0
32.3%
0
67.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.06 53.2%
DEN
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
11
18
61%
DEN
16
26
62%
Midrange
OKC
15
38
39%
DEN
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
DEN
10
15.0
29
34%
52%
Free Throws
OKC
18
25
72%
DEN
17
22
77%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Ibaka2269%11.0 / 16
S. Telfair18129%9.0 / 7
R. Jackson1635%8.0 / 23
A. Morrow1050%5.0 / 10
J. Lamb867%4.0 / 6
S. Adams880%4.0 / 5
L. Thomas638%3.0 / 8
N. Collison650%3.0 / 6
K. Perkins330%1.5 / 5
A. Roberson338%1.5 / 4
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
W. Chandler2166%10.5 / 16
T. Mozgov1794%8.5 / 9
T. Lawson1550%7.5 / 15
A. Afflalo1343%6.5 / 15
D. Arthur964%4.5 / 7
K. Faried844%4.0 / 9
R. Foye867%4.0 / 6
N. Robinson6100%3.0 / 3
J. McGee650%3.0 / 6
D. Gallinari433%2.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
78
+16
-10
94
DEN
79
+14
-8
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.06 53.2%
DEN
1.15 57.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
104.8
OKC 113.6
DEN 123.0 +9.4
Pace
95.5
95.9
OKC 86.9
DEN 88.1 +1.2
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
14.4
OKC 16.6
DEN 16.3 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
47.9%
OKC 51.9%
DEN 54.9% +3.0%
TO %
14.6%
14.3%
OKC 10.0%
DEN 8.9% +1.1%
ORB %
29.0%
26.5%
OKC 30.2%
DEN 31.6% +1.4%
FTrt
28.4
27.8
OKC 31.6 +4.8
DEN 26.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.8%
57.7%
OKC 58.3%
DEN 62.5% +4.2%
STL %
7.6%
8.0%
OKC 5.7%
DEN 6.9% +1.2%
BLK %
9.0%
7.2%
OKC 0.0%
DEN 8.9% +8.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
50.8%
OKC 53.2%
DEN 57.5% +4.3%
Rim FG%
55.9%
56.1%
OKC 61.1%
DEN 61.5% +0.4%
Mid FG%
40.6%
37.9%
OKC 39.5%
DEN 51.9% +12.4%
3P %
33.9%
32.5%
OKC 43.5% +9.0%
DEN 34.5%
FT %
75.4%
73.5%
OKC 72.0%
DEN 77.3% +5.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
38.2%
OKC 22.8%
DEN 31.7% +8.9%
Mid Att. %
35.6%
33.4%
OKC 48.1%
DEN 32.9% +15.2%
3P Att. %
26.2%
28.4%
OKC 29.1%
DEN 35.4% +6.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCDEN
Possessions8887
Possession Minutes24.323.7
Points100107
Rebounds3942
Assists2125
Steals56
Blocks05
Turnovers (Team)10 (0)8 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (5)30 (1)
Field Goals36-7940-82
At-the-Rim FG11-1816-26
Midrange FG15-3814-27
2-Point FG26-5630-53
3-Point FG10-2310-29
Free Throws18-2517-22
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 208 · 25
37.1
16
35%
7
9
2
0
1
2
5
2
6-6
100%
5-17
29%
0-3
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
36.8
22
69%
13
0
0
0
2
4
3
10
2-3
67%
7-13
54%
2-2
100%
G · 6'5" 185 · 22
20.7
8
67%
2
2
0
0
2
0
0
2
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
19.6
6
38%
2
2
0
0
0
3
1
1
0-0
-
3-8
38%
0-0
-
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
17.4
8
80%
1
0
0
0
0
2
1
0
2-5
40%
3-3
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 170 · 29
29.6
18
129%
2
2
0
0
1
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
4-4
100%
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
28.2
10
50%
1
1
1
0
1
3
0
1
2-2
100%
4-5
80%
0-4
0%
C · 6'10" 270 · 30
24.2
3
30%
7
1
1
0
3
3
2
5
3-4
75%
0-3
0%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 255 · 34
19.6
6
50%
2
3
1
0
0
3
1
1
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
1-2
50%
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 23
6.7
3
38%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-4
25%
F · 6'11" 235 · 23
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
#35 · F · 6'11" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · F · 6'10" 232 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
100
53%
39
21
5
0
10
0
13
26
18-25
72%
26-56
46%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.