FinalWin Prob.pScore
242%102
92
658%105
95
ORTG#PossPace
DAL logo DAL
97.99486.8
HOU logo HOU
101.194102.5

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsMavericksQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventDALHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0DAL92
0%
95
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0DALMavericks Rebound92
1.6%
95
98.4%
Q4 - 0:06.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
1.9%
95
98.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0HOUAriza Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)92
9.5%
95
90.5%
Q4 - 0:21.0HOUAriza Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)92
11.1%
94
88.9%
Q4 - 0:22.0DALHarden STEAL (2 STL)92
17.2%
93
82.8%
Q4 - 0:28.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)92
38.6%
93
61.4%
Q4 - 0:33.0HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)92
73.8%
90
26.2%
Q4 - 0:34.0DALMISS Ellis 20' Pullup Jump Shot92
79.4%
90
20.6%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)92
82.1%
90
17.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)92
83.1%
89
16.9%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)92
88.7%
88
11.3%
Q4 - 0:58.0DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 291
87.5%
88
12.5%
Q4 - 1:14HOUTerry 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS) (Harden 4 AST)91
87.1%
88
12.9%
Q4 - 1:22DALEllis 7' Jump Shot (16 PTS)91
91.0%
86
9.0%
Q4 - 1:37HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)89
84.1%
86
15.9%
Q4 - 1:37HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)89
84.9%
85
15.1%
Q4 - 1:46DALParsons Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)89
88.4%
84
11.6%
Q4 - 1:46DALMISS Parsons Free Throw 1 of 288
87.2%
84
12.8%
Q4 - 2:07DALEllis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)88
88.9%
84
11.1%
Q4 - 2:08DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot88
83.6%
84
16.4%
Q4 - 2:23DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
89.0%
84
11.0%
Q4 - 2:25DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot88
83.5%
84
16.5%
Q4 - 2:41HOUPapanikolaou Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
89.0%
84
11.0%
Q4 - 2:41HOUPapanikolaou Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
89.9%
83
10.1%
Q4 - 2:55DALEllis 18' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
89.6%
82
10.4%
Q4 - 3:14DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
86.8%
82
13.2%
Q4 - 3:14HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 2 of 286
85.8%
82
14.2%
Q4 - 3:14HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)86
82.9%
82
17.1%
Q4 - 3:21HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)86
84.9%
81
15.1%
Q4 - 3:23HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
89.5%
81
10.5%
Q4 - 3:33DALBarea 6' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS)86
81.0%
81
19.0%
Q4 - 3:42DALMavericks Rebound84
75.7%
81
24.3%
Q4 - 3:43DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot84
70.3%
81
29.7%
Q4 - 3:53DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)84
76.0%
81
24.0%
Q4 - 3:54HOUMISS Papanikolaou Reverse Layup84
73.7%
81
26.3%
Q4 - 4:22DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)84
68.3%
81
31.7%
Q4 - 4:22DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw 1 of 283
67.4%
81
32.6%
Q4 - 4:43DALWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)83
69.1%
81
30.9%
Q4 - 4:45HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
66.3%
81
33.7%
Q4 - 4:50DALAriza STEAL (1 STL)83
59.6%
81
40.4%
Q4 - 5:03HOUROCKETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#18)83
65.6%
81
34.4%
Q4 - 5:03HOUROCKETS Rebound83
57.1%
81
42.9%
Q4 - 5:03HOUMISS Beverley 1' Layup83
63.1%
81
36.9%
Q4 - 5:27DALHarris Free Throw 3 of 3 (9 PTS)83
57.3%
81
42.7%
Q4 - 5:27DALHarris Free Throw 2 of 3 (8 PTS)82
55.7%
81
44.3%
Q4 - 5:27DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 3 (7 PTS)81
53.9%
81
46.1%
Q4 - 5:32HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T17)80
41.5%
81
58.5%
Q4 - 5:33HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)80
33.1%
81
66.9%
Q4 - 5:35HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
38.9%
81
61.1%
Q4 - 5:56HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)80
33.1%
81
66.9%
Q4 - 5:57DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
35.6%
81
64.4%
Q4 - 6:11HOUHarden Foul Turnover (P4.T16)80
41.8%
81
58.2%
Q4 - 6:15HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)80
33.6%
81
66.4%
Q4 - 6:17DALMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot80
36.0%
81
64.0%
Q4 - 6:31HOUMotiejunas Foul Turnover (P5.T15)80
41.8%
81
58.2%
Q4 - 6:45DALWright Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)80
33.6%
81
66.4%
Q4 - 6:54DALAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)78
28.1%
81
71.9%
Q4 - 6:55HOUMISS Beverley 1' Layup78
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q4 - 6:57HOUROCKETS Rebound78
21.7%
81
78.3%
Q4 - 6:57HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
26.0%
81
74.0%
Q4 - 7:21HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)78
23.3%
81
76.7%
Q4 - 7:23DALMISS Barea 26' 3PT Jump Shot78
25.0%
81
75.0%
Q4 - 7:26DALWright REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)78
29.2%
81
70.8%
Q4 - 7:27DALMISS Wright 10' Jump Shot78
25.0%
81
75.0%
Q4 - 7:51HOUMotiejunas Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)78
29.1%
81
70.9%
Q4 - 8:17DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)78
24.8%
81
75.2%
Q4 - 8:37DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
16.5%
81
83.5%
Q4 - 8:38HOUMISS Terry 19' Jump Shot75
15.4%
81
84.6%
Q4 - 8:56DALBarea 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)75
13.2%
81
86.8%
Q4 - 9:15HOUMotiejunas 6' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot (13 PTS)73
12.0%
81
88.0%
Q4 - 9:34HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:10)73
14.6%
79
85.4%
Q4 - 9:35DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot73
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q4 - 9:38DALWright REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)73
17.9%
79
82.1%
Q4 - 9:39DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot73
15.5%
79
84.5%
Q4 - 9:55HOUBeverley 1' Layup (20 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)73
17.9%
79
82.1%
Q4 - 10:00DALBeverley STEAL (2 STL)73
21.5%
77
78.5%
Q4 - 10:04DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)73
26.7%
77
73.3%
Q4 - 10:05HOUMISS Papanikolaou Driving Layup73
25.4%
77
74.6%
Q4 - 10:22DALHarris 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)73
22.4%
77
77.6%
Q4 - 10:27DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
15.6%
77
84.4%
Q4 - 10:28HOUMISS Papanikolaou 21' Jump Shot70
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q4 - 10:31HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)70
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q4 - 10:32HOUMISS Beverley Driving Layup70
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q4 - 10:51HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
12.8%
77
87.2%
Q4 - 10:52HOUMISS Papanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot70
14.7%
77
85.3%
Q4 - 11:11DALWright 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)70
13.6%
77
86.4%
Q4 - 11:22HOUAriza Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)68
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q4 - 11:36DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)68
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU68
11.3%
77
88.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound68
9.3%
77
90.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
10.7%
77
89.3%
Q3 - 0:03.0DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)68
10.2%
77
89.8%
Q3 - 0:27.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
7.0%
77
93.0%
Q3 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Harden 26' 3PT Jump Shot65
6.6%
77
93.4%
Q3 - 0:50.0DALWright 7' Hook Shot (10 PTS)65
5.7%
77
94.3%
Q3 - 1:01HOUMotiejunas Layup (11 PTS) (Terry 5 AST)63
5.3%
77
94.7%
Q3 - 1:10HOUMISS Motiejunas 27' 3PT Jump Shot63
7.2%
75
92.8%
Q3 - 1:10HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)63
6.4%
75
93.6%
Q3 - 1:31HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)63
7.6%
75
92.4%
Q3 - 1:31HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)63
8.1%
74
91.9%
Q3 - 1:31DALEllis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)63
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 1:31DALEllis 1' Tip Shot (9 PTS)63
9.1%
73
90.9%
Q3 - 1:33DALMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot61
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 1:37DALWright REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)61
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 1:38DALMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot61
6.7%
73
93.3%
Q3 - 1:51DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)61
7.6%
73
92.4%
Q3 - 1:52HOUMISS Harden 20' Step Back Jump Shot61
7.2%
73
92.8%
Q3 - 2:18DALHarris 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)61
7.0%
73
93.0%
Q3 - 2:29DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
5.0%
73
95.0%
Q3 - 2:30HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot58
4.7%
73
95.3%
Q3 - 2:49HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:9)58
4.1%
73
95.9%
Q3 - 2:50DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot58
4.4%
73
95.6%
Q3 - 3:02DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)58
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 3:03HOUMISS Papanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot58
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 3:15HOUROCKETS Rebound58
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 3:16HOUMISS Garcia 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 3:28HOUGarcia REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 3:30DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup58
4.9%
73
95.1%
Q3 - 3:37DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)58
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 3:39HOUMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot58
5.2%
73
94.8%
Q3 - 3:55DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)58
4.6%
73
95.4%
Q3 - 4:08DALWright REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)55
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 4:08DALMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot55
3.3%
73
96.7%
Q3 - 4:24HOUHarden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS)55
3.7%
73
96.3%
Q3 - 4:43DALHarris Foul Turnover (P1.T12)55
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 4:45DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)55
6.0%
70
94.0%
Q3 - 4:46HOUMISS Garcia 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 4:53HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)55
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 4:54HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 5:18HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
5.4%
70
94.6%
Q3 - 5:20DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot55
5.7%
70
94.3%
Q3 - 5:27HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)55
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 5:27HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)55
6.6%
69
93.4%
Q3 - 5:31HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 5:32DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup55
7.8%
68
92.2%
Q3 - 5:45DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)55
8.8%
68
91.2%
Q3 - 5:45HOUMISS Black 1' Layup55
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 5:50HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 5:53HOUMISS Black Layup55
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 6:01DALBeverley STEAL (1 STL)55
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q3 - 6:02DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)55
9.4%
68
90.6%
Q3 - 6:04HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
8.9%
68
91.1%
Q3 - 6:21HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q3 - 6:22DALMISS Nowitzki 20' Jump Shot55
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 6:43HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 6:43HOUBlack Putback Layup (3 PTS)55
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 6:43HOUMISS Harden 1' Layup55
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 6:46HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)55
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 6:47HOUMISS Papanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot55
11.8%
66
88.2%
Q3 - 6:59HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)55
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 7:00DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot55
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 7:13DALMavericks Rebound55
12.8%
66
87.2%
Q3 - 7:15HOUMISS Harden 19' Step Back Jump Shot55
12.2%
66
87.8%
Q3 - 7:27DALChandler Alley Oop Dunk (13 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)55
11.0%
66
89.0%
Q3 - 7:37HOUBlack 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)53
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 7:56HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
8.3%
66
91.7%
Q3 - 7:57DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot53
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 8:00DALMavericks Rebound53
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 8:01DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
9.1%
66
90.9%
Q3 - 8:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)53
10.2%
66
89.8%
Q3 - 8:16HOUMISS Papanikolaou 1' Layup53
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 8:35DALEllis Palming Turnover (P3.T10)53
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 8:43DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 8:45HOUMISS Beverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
9.7%
66
90.3%
Q3 - 8:52DALParsons Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)53
8.7%
66
91.3%
Q3 - 9:07HOUMotiejunas Foul Turnover (P3.T11)53
10.5%
66
89.5%
Q3 - 9:14DALNowitzki 16' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)53
9.2%
66
90.8%
Q3 - 9:31HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)51
8.0%
66
92.0%
Q3 - 9:31HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)51
8.2%
65
91.8%
Q3 - 9:36HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)51
9.1%
64
90.9%
Q3 - 9:38DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
9.5%
64
90.5%
Q3 - 9:53HOUBlack Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)51
10.5%
64
89.5%
Q3 - 9:53HOUMISS Black Free Throw 1 of 251
10.9%
63
89.1%
Q3 - 10:04HOUBlack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 10:05DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q3 - 10:13HOUBlack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)51
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:26HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
10.8%
63
89.2%
Q3 - 10:27DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q3 - 10:36DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:38DALMISS Parsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.2%
63
88.8%
Q3 - 10:50DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)51
12.2%
63
87.8%
Q3 - 10:51HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 11:00HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)51
10.7%
63
89.3%
Q3 - 11:01DALMISS Nowitzki 1' Driving Layup51
11.8%
63
88.2%
Q3 - 11:14DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q3 - 11:15HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot51
12.3%
63
87.7%
Q3 - 11:22HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)51
11.3%
63
88.7%
Q3 - 11:23DALMISS Nelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot51
11.7%
63
88.3%
Q3 - 11:42HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Harden 3 AST)51
12.8%
63
87.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL51
16.1%
60
83.9%
Q2 - 0:01.0HOUHarden 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)51
18.5%
60
81.5%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALChandler Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)51
23.4%
57
76.6%
Q2 - 0:37.0HOUAriza Dunk (5 PTS) (Terry 4 AST)49
20.6%
57
79.4%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)49
23.4%
55
76.6%
Q2 - 0:54.0DALMISS Ellis Free Throw 1 of 248
22.9%
55
77.1%
Q2 - 1:04HOUMotiejunas Foul Turnover (P2.T9)48
23.1%
55
76.9%
Q2 - 1:14DALChandler REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)48
21.9%
55
78.1%
Q2 - 1:14DALChandler Putback Dunk (9 PTS)48
21.9%
55
78.1%
Q2 - 1:17DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup46
18.2%
55
81.8%
Q2 - 1:33HOUHarden 15' Step Back Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
18.9%
55
81.1%
Q2 - 1:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
21.9%
53
78.1%
Q2 - 1:47DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
22.2%
53
77.8%
Q2 - 1:56DALNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
23.1%
53
76.9%
Q2 - 1:58HOUMISS Papanikolaou 24' 3PT Jump Shot46
22.7%
53
77.3%
Q2 - 2:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)46
21.7%
53
78.3%
Q2 - 2:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)45
21.5%
53
78.5%
Q2 - 2:22DALNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q2 - 2:24HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q2 - 2:34DALPapanikolaou STEAL (2 STL)44
17.8%
53
82.2%
Q2 - 2:49DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
19.6%
53
80.4%
Q2 - 2:50HOUMISS Motiejunas 5' Hook Shot44
19.1%
53
80.9%
Q2 - 3:16DALNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)44
18.2%
53
81.8%
Q2 - 3:33DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)41
15.1%
53
84.9%
Q2 - 3:34HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
14.6%
53
85.4%
Q2 - 3:58DALPapanikolaou STEAL (1 STL)41
13.4%
53
86.6%
Q2 - 4:06HOUCanaan Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)41
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q2 - 4:09DALHarden STEAL (1 STL)41
14.1%
53
85.9%
Q2 - 4:22HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)41
15.6%
53
84.4%
Q2 - 4:22HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)41
15.7%
52
84.3%
Q2 - 4:26DALCanaan STEAL (1 STL)41
17.1%
51
82.9%
Q2 - 4:37HOUHarden Traveling Turnover (P3.T7)41
18.8%
51
81.2%
Q2 - 4:52DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)41
17.0%
51
83.0%
Q2 - 5:04HOUCanaan Traveling Turnover (P1.T6)39
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q2 - 5:21DALNelson Foul Turnover (P1.T4)39
14.5%
51
85.5%
Q2 - 5:43HOUAriza 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Papanikolaou 2 AST)39
15.9%
51
84.1%
Q2 - 5:55HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
19.2%
48
80.8%
Q2 - 5:56DALMISS Nelson 3PT Jump Shot39
19.7%
48
80.3%
Q2 - 6:15DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
21.7%
48
78.3%
Q2 - 6:16HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
21.0%
48
79.0%
Q2 - 6:33DALChandler Foul Turnover (P1.T3)39
19.5%
48
80.5%
Q2 - 6:51HOUTerry 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Garcia 1 AST)39
21.6%
48
78.4%
Q2 - 6:59DALNowitzki 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)39
25.1%
45
74.9%
Q2 - 7:20HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)37
23.8%
45
76.2%
Q2 - 7:36DALWright Dunk (8 PTS)37
27.7%
42
72.3%
Q2 - 8:04HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Motiejunas 2 AST)35
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 8:09HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)35
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 8:10DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot35
30.6%
39
69.4%
Q2 - 8:35HOUMotiejunas 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T5)35
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 8:48DALAminu Foul Turnover (P1.T2)35
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 8:53HOUTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)35
32.2%
39
67.8%
Q2 - 9:07DALWright Driving Dunk (6 PTS)35
29.9%
39
70.1%
Q2 - 9:22HOUGarcia Layup (2 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)33
28.1%
39
71.9%
Q2 - 9:28DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 9:28DALNowitzki 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)33
29.9%
37
70.1%
Q2 - 9:30DALMISS Barea 2' Layup31
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 9:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 9:35HOUMISS Garcia 3' Jump Shot31
27.4%
37
72.6%
Q2 - 9:46HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)31
25.9%
37
74.1%
Q2 - 9:47DALMISS Aminu 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 9:57DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
28.1%
37
71.9%
Q2 - 9:59DALMISS Nowitzki 17' Jump Shot31
26.5%
37
73.5%
Q2 - 10:17HOUPapanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)31
28.3%
37
71.7%
Q2 - 10:32DALWright Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)31
32.1%
34
67.9%
Q2 - 10:32DALWright Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)30
31.6%
34
68.4%
Q2 - 10:43HOUMotiejunas 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Papanikolaou 1 AST)29
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 11:00HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
32.1%
32
67.9%
Q2 - 11:01DALMISS Harris 8' Pullup Jump Shot29
33.0%
32
67.0%
Q2 - 11:28HOUPapanikolaou 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)29
34.6%
32
65.4%
Q2 - 11:34HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q2 - 11:35DALMISS Aminu Driving Layup29
39.7%
29
60.3%
Q2 - 11:41HOUTerry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)29
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU29
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)29
39.0%
29
61.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Parsons Free Throw 2 of 229
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Parsons Free Throw 1 of 229
40.8%
29
59.2%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMavericks Rebound29
41.4%
29
58.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Terry Driving Layup29
40.7%
29
59.3%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALWright Putback Dunk (2 PTS)29
39.3%
29
60.7%
Q1 - 0:08.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)27
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 0:09.0DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
35.4%
29
64.6%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 0:28.0HOUDorsey Putback Dunk (2 PTS)27
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 0:29.0HOUMISS Harden Driving Layup27
40.4%
27
59.6%
Q1 - 0:51.0HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
39.3%
27
60.7%
Q1 - 0:52.0DALMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot27
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q1 - 0:56.0DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
41.0%
27
59.0%
Q1 - 0:57.0DALMISS Aminu 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
39.8%
27
60.2%
Q1 - 1:13HOUTerry 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
40.9%
27
59.1%
Q1 - 1:16HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
43.8%
25
56.2%
Q1 - 1:18HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot27
45.0%
25
55.0%
Q1 - 1:36DALAminu 13' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
43.8%
25
56.2%
Q1 - 1:55DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
40.9%
25
59.1%
Q1 - 1:56HOUMISS Terry 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
40.4%
25
59.6%
Q1 - 1:59HOUTerry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
39.3%
25
60.7%
Q1 - 2:01HOUMISS Terry 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
40.5%
25
59.5%
Q1 - 2:20DALMavericks Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)25
39.1%
25
60.9%
Q1 - 2:20DALMavericks Rebound25
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q1 - 2:20DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup25
39.7%
25
60.3%
Q1 - 2:48HOUHarden 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)25
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q1 - 3:09HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
45.3%
22
54.7%
Q1 - 3:10DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
46.1%
22
53.9%
Q1 - 3:17DALWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
47.8%
22
52.2%
Q1 - 3:18HOUMISS Ariza 1' Driving Layup25
47.1%
22
52.9%
Q1 - 3:32DALEllis 17' Running Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
45.4%
22
54.6%
Q1 - 3:41DALMavericks Rebound23
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 3:41DALMISS Nelson Layup23
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 3:46DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
43.4%
22
56.6%
Q1 - 3:47HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
42.7%
22
57.3%
Q1 - 3:54HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
41.0%
22
59.0%
Q1 - 3:55DALMISS Ellis 5' Running Jump Shot23
41.7%
22
58.3%
Q1 - 4:10HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)23
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q1 - 4:10HOUHarden 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)23
43.3%
22
56.7%
Q1 - 4:11HOUMISS Beverley Layup23
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 4:16HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 4:17DALMISS Chandler 2' Alley Oop Layup23
45.9%
20
54.1%
Q1 - 4:30DALParsons REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
47.6%
20
52.4%
Q1 - 4:31HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
46.8%
20
53.2%
Q1 - 4:55DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)23
45.1%
20
54.9%
Q1 - 5:02DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
40.7%
20
59.3%
Q1 - 5:03HOUMISS Papanikolaou 1' Driving Layup20
40.0%
20
60.0%
Q1 - 5:19HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
38.6%
20
61.4%
Q1 - 5:20DALMISS Parsons 8' Jump Shot20
39.2%
20
60.8%
Q1 - 5:42DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)20
40.8%
20
59.2%
Q1 - 5:42HOUMISS Harden Free Throw 2 of 220
40.5%
20
59.5%
Q1 - 5:42HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
39.0%
20
61.0%
Q1 - 6:00DALNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)20
40.6%
19
59.4%
Q1 - 6:09DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
36.7%
19
63.3%
Q1 - 6:10HOUMISS Beverley 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot17
36.1%
19
63.9%
Q1 - 6:40DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)17
34.7%
19
65.3%
Q1 - 6:52HOUMotiejunas 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)15
33.1%
19
66.9%
Q1 - 7:03DALParsons Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)15
36.5%
16
63.5%
Q1 - 7:20DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
35.0%
16
65.0%
Q1 - 7:21HOUMISS Harden 17' Jump Shot13
34.3%
16
65.7%
Q1 - 7:38DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)13
33.0%
16
67.0%
Q1 - 7:47HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)11
31.5%
16
68.5%
Q1 - 8:01DALChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)11
29.9%
16
70.1%
Q1 - 8:01DALChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)10
29.4%
16
70.6%
Q1 - 8:14HOUMotiejunas Putback Layup (2 PTS)9
28.4%
16
71.6%
Q1 - 8:15HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 8:16HOUMISS Ariza 3PT Jump Shot9
31.1%
14
68.9%
Q1 - 8:23HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
29.9%
14
70.1%
Q1 - 8:24DALMISS Nowitzki 12' Turnaround Jump Shot9
30.4%
14
69.6%
Q1 - 8:37HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)9
31.6%
14
68.4%
Q1 - 8:43HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
33.1%
12
66.9%
Q1 - 8:44DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 8:49DALChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)9
35.0%
12
65.0%
Q1 - 8:51DALMISS Nelson 10' Jump Shot9
33.7%
12
66.3%
Q1 - 9:17HOUBeverley 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)9
35.0%
12
65.0%
Q1 - 9:23HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 9:24DALMISS Chandler 1' Tip Shot9
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 9:24DALChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)9
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 9:25DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Reverse Layup9
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 9:33DALChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 9:34HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot9
39.7%
9
60.3%
Q1 - 9:42HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
38.4%
9
61.6%
Q1 - 9:43DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot9
39.0%
9
61.0%
Q1 - 9:54HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)9
40.3%
9
59.7%
Q1 - 10:07DALChandler Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)9
43.7%
6
56.3%
Q1 - 10:17HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)7
42.1%
6
57.9%
Q1 - 10:35DALParsons 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)7
45.6%
3
54.4%
Q1 - 10:41HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)5
43.9%
3
56.1%
Q1 - 10:58DALNelson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)5
41.9%
3
58.1%
Q1 - 11:17HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)2
38.2%
3
61.8%
Q1 - 11:34DALNelson 22' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)2
41.8%
0
58.2%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Black vs. Chandler: Tip to Ellis0
40.0%
0
60.0%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.91 45.5%
HOU
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
DAL
19
31
61%
HOU
11
27
41%
Midrange
DAL
10
22
45%
HOU
4
9
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
DAL
6
9.0
35
17%
26%
HOU
15
22.5
46
33%
49%
Free Throws
DAL
16
22
73%
HOU
20
23
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Ellis1737%8.5 / 23
B. Wright1488%7.0 / 8
T. Chandler1381%6.5 / 8
D. Nowitzki1128%5.5 / 20
J. Nelson1161%5.5 / 9
D. Harris956%4.5 / 8
C. Parsons836%4.0 / 11
J. Barea770%3.5 / 5
A. Aminu220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden3267%16.0 / 24
P. Beverley2063%10.0 / 16
D. Motiejunas1478%7.0 / 9
K. Papanikolaou833%4.0 / 12
T. Ariza732%3.5 / 11
J. Terry735%3.5 / 10
T. Black338%1.5 / 4
F. Garcia217%1.0 / 6
J. Dorsey2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

DAL
80
+21
-14
101
HOU
77
+17
-17
94
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

DAL
0.91 45.5%
HOU
0.99 49.5%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
109.3
107.0
DAL 97.9 +3.2
HOU 101.1
Pace
95.4
96.6
DAL 86.8
HOU 102.5 +15.8
Avg. Poss. Time
15.1
14.6
DAL 16.6
HOU 14.0 +2.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.5%
51.2%
DAL 43.2%
HOU 45.7% +2.5%
TO %
13.0%
16.4%
DAL 14.1% +2.2%
HOU 16.3%
ORB %
23.7%
26.8%
DAL 32.0% +4.3%
HOU 27.7%
FTrt
26.2
31.2
DAL 25.0
HOU 28.0 +3.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.7%
60.0%
DAL 48.6%
HOU 56.7% +8.1%
STL %
8.4%
9.8%
DAL 6.4%
HOU 8.5% +2.1%
BLK %
7.6%
8.0%
DAL 13.9% +13.9%
HOU 0.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.7%
53.3%
DAL 45.5%
HOU 49.5% +4.0%
Rim FG%
60.3%
58.0%
DAL 61.3% +20.6%
HOU 40.7%
Mid FG%
41.5%
37.1%
DAL 45.5% +1.1%
HOU 44.4%
3P %
35.2%
34.8%
DAL 17.1%
HOU 32.6% +15.5%
FT %
75.2%
71.5%
DAL 72.7%
HOU 87.0% +14.3%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.3%
39.2%
DAL 35.2% +2.3%
HOU 32.9%
Mid Att. %
35.1%
21.6%
DAL 25.0%
HOU 11.0% +14.0%
3P Att. %
29.6%
39.2%
DAL 39.8%
HOU 56.1% +16.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsDALHOU
Possessions9494
Possession Minutes26.022.0
Points9295
Rebounds5047
Assists1717
Steals68
Blocks50
Turnovers (Team)14 (2)17 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)16 (5)13 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)34 (0)
Field Goals35-8830-82
At-the-Rim FG19-3111-27
Midrange FG10-224-9
2-Point FG29-5315-36
3-Point FG6-3515-46
Free Throws16-2220-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 185 · 29
35.1
17
37%
6
4
1
0
4
3
3
3
2-4
50%
6-15
40%
1-6
17%
F · 6'10" 230 · 26
33.5
8
36%
8
1
1
0
1
5
2
6
2-5
40%
3-4
75%
0-5
0%
F · 7'0" 245 · 36
31.0
11
28%
7
2
0
2
0
2
2
5
3-4
75%
4-10
40%
0-8
0%
G · 6'0" 190 · 33
28.1
11
61%
2
6
0
0
2
3
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
3-6
50%
C · 7'1" 240 · 32
26.1
13
81%
13
1
0
0
2
2
3
10
3-3
100%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 185 · 32
23.9
9
56%
0
1
1
0
2
1
0
0
3-3
100%
0-1
0%
2-6
33%
F-C · 6'10" 235 · 27
21.9
14
88%
11
0
0
3
0
0
6
5
2-2
100%
6-7
86%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 24
18.9
2
20%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-3
0%
G · 6'0" 185 · 30
17.3
7
70%
1
2
1
0
1
2
0
1
1-1
100%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 233 · 34
4.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
2
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 235 · 24
G · 6'1" 205 · 30
C · 6'10" 250 · 24
#1 · G · 6'7" 195 · 22
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · F · 6'11" 232 · 30
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
92
46%
50
17
6
5
14
0
16
34
16-22
73%
29-53
55%
6-35
17%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.