FinalWin Prob.pScore
1558%97
99
2342%94
92
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.88778.4
ORL logo ORL
105.78797.7

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA99
100%
92
0%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:15.0ORLMISS Fournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot99
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIABrown Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)99
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:20.0MIABrown Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)98
99.8%
92
0.2%
Q4 - 0:21.0ORLFournier Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T15)97
99.5%
92
0.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)97
98.3%
92
1.7%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 297
98.5%
92
1.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)97
99.1%
92
0.9%
Q4 - 0:30.0ORLPayton 3' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)96
98.1%
92
1.9%
Q4 - 0:38.0MIAChalmers Traveling Turnover (P2.T16)96
98.6%
90
1.4%
Q4 - 0:56.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)96
98.9%
90
1.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot96
98.0%
90
2.0%
Q4 - 1:22ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:11 Def:6)96
98.0%
90
2.0%
Q4 - 1:22ORLVucevic Putback Dunk (33 PTS)96
98.0%
90
2.0%
Q4 - 1:22ORLMISS Oladipo 1' Driving Reverse Layup96
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 1:30MIAChalmers 2' Finger Roll Layup (23 PTS)96
98.6%
88
1.4%
Q4 - 1:49ORLFournier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
96.9%
88
3.1%
Q4 - 1:53ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)94
98.8%
85
1.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 2:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)94
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 2:20ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 194
99.2%
85
0.8%
Q4 - 2:34MIABrown 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)94
99.4%
83
0.6%
Q4 - 2:59ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (29 PTS)91
98.2%
83
1.8%
Q4 - 2:59ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (28 PTS)91
98.4%
82
1.6%
Q4 - 3:17MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (32 PTS)91
98.7%
81
1.3%
Q4 - 3:39ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)89
96.8%
81
3.2%
Q4 - 3:56MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)89
95.6%
81
4.4%
Q4 - 4:12ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)87
94.0%
81
6.0%
Q4 - 4:12ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)87
94.4%
80
5.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)87
95.7%
79
4.3%
Q4 - 4:35ORLFournier Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13)85
94.1%
79
5.9%
Q4 - 4:58MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)85
91.5%
79
8.5%
Q4 - 5:23ORLVucevic 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Oladipo 2 AST)82
81.3%
79
18.7%
Q4 - 5:48MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Brown 2 AST)82
85.5%
77
14.5%
Q4 - 6:09MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)79
74.8%
77
25.2%
Q4 - 6:11ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 2 of 279
73.9%
77
26.1%
Q4 - 6:11ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 279
70.6%
77
29.4%
Q4 - 6:14MIAPayton STEAL (5 STL)79
67.7%
77
32.3%
Q4 - 6:31MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
74.8%
77
25.2%
Q4 - 6:33ORLMISS Vucevic Layup79
72.8%
77
27.2%
Q4 - 6:45MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)79
67.7%
77
32.3%
Q4 - 6:45MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)78
66.7%
77
33.3%
Q4 - 7:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
62.3%
77
37.7%
Q4 - 7:08ORLMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
60.1%
77
39.9%
Q4 - 7:19ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
54.9%
77
45.1%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
57.2%
77
42.8%
Q4 - 7:34ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)77
62.3%
77
37.7%
Q4 - 7:34ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)77
63.7%
76
36.3%
Q4 - 7:41MIAPayton STEAL (4 STL)77
67.9%
75
32.1%
Q4 - 7:46ORLPayton Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T12)77
74.2%
75
25.8%
Q4 - 7:55MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (16 PTS)77
67.9%
75
32.1%
Q4 - 8:08ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)75
61.9%
75
38.1%
Q4 - 8:08ORLGordon Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)75
62.7%
74
37.3%
Q4 - 8:28MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)75
67.7%
73
32.3%
Q4 - 8:44MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
55.7%
73
44.3%
Q4 - 8:45ORLMISS Dedmon 1' Layup72
53.8%
73
46.2%
Q4 - 8:46ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)72
49.2%
73
50.8%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMISS Payton 1' Layup72
53.8%
73
46.2%
Q4 - 8:52MIAGordon STEAL (2 STL)72
49.2%
73
50.8%
Q4 - 8:53ORLGordon Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)72
55.7%
73
44.3%
Q4 - 9:06MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (20 PTS)72
50.1%
73
49.9%
Q4 - 9:34ORLFrye Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)70
44.3%
73
55.7%
Q4 - 9:34ORLFrye Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)70
45.1%
72
54.9%
Q4 - 9:40MIAPayton STEAL (3 STL)70
50.1%
71
49.9%
Q4 - 9:47MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
56.2%
71
43.8%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Napier Free Throw 2 of 270
50.9%
71
49.1%
Q4 - 9:50MIAMISS Napier Free Throw 1 of 270
54.8%
71
45.2%
Q4 - 9:58MIAHeat Rebound70
56.2%
71
43.8%
Q4 - 10:01ORLMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot70
54.6%
71
45.4%
Q4 - 10:23ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
50.6%
71
49.4%
Q4 - 10:24MIAMISS Napier 18' Jump Shot70
52.4%
71
47.6%
Q4 - 10:51ORLDedmon 3' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 4 AST)70
56.4%
71
43.6%
Q4 - 11:16MIAAndersen 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)70
61.1%
69
38.9%
Q4 - 11:19MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)68
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q4 - 11:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q4 - 11:20MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot68
52.3%
69
47.7%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot68
52.3%
69
47.7%
Q4 - 11:23MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Chalmers 3' Jump Shot68
52.3%
69
47.7%
Q4 - 11:37ORLGordon 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS)68
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL68
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:10 Def:6)68
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 268
62.0%
67
38.0%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
64.7%
67
35.3%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:10 Def:5)67
61.3%
67
38.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (21 PTS)67
61.3%
67
38.7%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLMISS Fournier 1' Driving Layup67
69.1%
65
30.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)67
66.0%
65
34.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0MIAMISS Andersen 3PT Jump Shot67
67.4%
65
32.6%
Q3 - 0:51.0MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)67
70.4%
65
29.6%
Q3 - 0:53.0ORLMISS Fournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
69.1%
65
30.9%
Q3 - 1:04ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:9 Def:5)67
65.8%
65
34.2%
Q3 - 1:05MIAMISS Napier 27' 3PT Jump Shot67
67.1%
65
32.9%
Q3 - 1:26ORLPayton 4' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)67
70.2%
65
29.8%
Q3 - 1:34ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
74.0%
63
26.0%
Q3 - 1:36MIAMISS Brown 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
75.1%
63
24.9%
Q3 - 2:02ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
76.6%
63
23.4%
Q3 - 2:02ORLFournier 2' Layup (8 PTS)67
76.6%
63
23.4%
Q3 - 2:04ORLMISS Fournier 2' Layup67
81.7%
61
18.3%
Q3 - 2:14ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)67
79.7%
61
20.3%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 11' Jump Shot67
80.6%
61
19.4%
Q3 - 2:36ORLPayton Layup (5 PTS)67
82.7%
61
17.3%
Q3 - 2:41MIAPayton STEAL (2 STL)67
85.1%
59
14.9%
Q3 - 2:51ORLPayton Foul Turnover (P2.T10)67
87.4%
59
12.6%
Q3 - 2:53MIAPayton STEAL (1 STL)67
85.1%
59
14.9%
Q3 - 2:57MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
87.4%
59
12.6%
Q3 - 2:58ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
86.7%
59
13.3%
Q3 - 3:14MIANapier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)67
84.3%
59
15.7%
Q3 - 3:31ORLPayton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)64
79.3%
59
20.7%
Q3 - 3:44ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
76.0%
59
24.0%
Q3 - 3:45MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot64
77.0%
59
23.0%
Q3 - 3:57MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)64
79.3%
59
20.7%
Q3 - 3:58ORLMISS Vucevic 10' Turnaround Jump Shot64
78.3%
59
21.7%
Q3 - 4:16MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)64
75.2%
59
24.8%
Q3 - 4:29ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)64
78.9%
59
21.1%
Q3 - 4:55MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)64
75.3%
59
24.7%
Q3 - 5:24ORLVucevic 1' Layup (19 PTS)61
68.6%
59
31.4%
Q3 - 5:25ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:9 Def:4)61
71.6%
57
28.4%
Q3 - 5:30ORLMISS Fournier 1' Driving Dunk61
74.2%
57
25.8%
Q3 - 5:39MIAFrye STEAL (1 STL)61
71.6%
57
28.4%
Q3 - 5:56ORLFrye 22' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Green 1 AST)61
75.3%
57
24.7%
Q3 - 6:23MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS)61
77.3%
55
22.7%
Q3 - 6:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:8 Def:4)59
74.9%
55
25.1%
Q3 - 6:48ORLMISS Vucevic 3' Layup59
73.8%
55
26.2%
Q3 - 6:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)59
74.9%
55
25.1%
Q3 - 6:48ORLVucevic 1' Tip Shot (17 PTS)59
74.9%
55
25.1%
Q3 - 6:50ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)59
77.3%
53
22.7%
Q3 - 6:50ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Tip Shot59
79.5%
53
20.5%
Q3 - 6:52ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)59
77.3%
53
22.7%
Q3 - 6:52ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Putback Layup59
79.5%
53
20.5%
Q3 - 6:54ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)59
77.3%
53
22.7%
Q3 - 6:54ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Dunk59
79.5%
53
20.5%
Q3 - 6:57ORLMISS Vucevic 8' Hook Shot59
79.5%
53
20.5%
Q3 - 7:13MIABosh 23' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 3 AST)59
76.8%
53
23.2%
Q3 - 7:30MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)57
74.3%
53
25.7%
Q3 - 7:32ORLMISS Frye 25' 3PT Jump Shot57
73.3%
53
26.7%
Q3 - 7:42ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)57
70.9%
53
29.1%
Q3 - 7:43MIAMISS Deng 12' Jump Shot57
72.0%
53
28.0%
Q3 - 7:57ORLOladipo 19' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)57
74.4%
53
25.6%
Q3 - 8:09MIADeng 15' Jump Shot (6 PTS)57
76.4%
51
23.6%
Q3 - 8:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
74.1%
51
25.9%
Q3 - 8:32ORLMISS Vucevic 18' Jump Shot55
73.1%
51
26.9%
Q3 - 9:02MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS)55
70.5%
51
29.5%
Q3 - 9:19MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)53
67.5%
51
32.5%
Q3 - 9:20ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 9:20ORLMISS Vucevic Tip Shot53
66.5%
51
33.5%
Q3 - 9:23ORLMISS Green 2' Layup53
66.5%
51
33.5%
Q3 - 9:40MIAChalmers Layup (12 PTS)53
64.1%
51
35.9%
Q3 - 9:51ORLFournier Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)51
60.9%
51
39.1%
Q3 - 9:51ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
57.2%
51
42.8%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Brown 1' Driving Layup51
58.4%
51
41.6%
Q3 - 9:57ORLOladipo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)51
60.9%
51
39.1%
Q3 - 10:11ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)51
57.8%
51
42.2%
Q3 - 10:12MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot51
58.8%
51
41.2%
Q3 - 10:38ORLOladipo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Frye 3 AST)51
61.2%
51
38.8%
Q3 - 10:53ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)51
67.6%
48
32.4%
Q3 - 10:55MIAMISS Brown 20' Jump Shot51
68.6%
48
31.4%
Q3 - 11:18ORLFournier 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Frye 2 AST)51
70.8%
48
29.2%
Q3 - 11:35MIAChalmers 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)51
73.5%
46
26.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
70.8%
46
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound49
70.8%
46
29.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
68.7%
46
31.3%
Q2 - 0:04.0MIAHeat Rebound49
70.0%
46
30.0%
Q2 - 0:07.0MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot49
68.6%
46
31.4%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)49
70.1%
46
29.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 1 of 249
70.6%
45
29.4%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIAChalmers 10' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)49
70.8%
45
29.2%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
67.3%
45
32.7%
Q2 - 0:51.0ORLMISS Fournier 1' Layup47
66.6%
45
33.4%
Q2 - 1:06MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
65.3%
45
34.7%
Q2 - 1:06MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 246
64.7%
45
35.3%
Q2 - 1:17ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)46
64.0%
45
36.0%
Q2 - 1:17ORLVucevic Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)46
64.7%
44
35.3%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMAGIC Rebound46
68.1%
43
31.9%
Q2 - 1:17ORLMISS Fournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot46
69.2%
43
30.8%
Q2 - 1:42MIABosh 9' Jump Hook Shot (14 PTS)46
68.1%
43
31.9%
Q2 - 2:02ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)44
64.5%
43
35.5%
Q2 - 2:02ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)44
65.1%
42
34.9%
Q2 - 2:22MIANapier 1' Layup (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)44
67.4%
41
32.6%
Q2 - 2:39ORLVucevic Dunk (13 PTS) (Fournier 5 AST)42
64.5%
41
35.5%
Q2 - 2:57MIABrown Driving Dunk (2 PTS)42
67.5%
39
32.5%
Q2 - 3:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
64.9%
39
35.1%
Q2 - 3:06ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot40
64.0%
39
36.0%
Q2 - 3:18ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)40
61.7%
39
38.3%
Q2 - 3:20MIAVucevic BLOCK (1 BLK)40
62.7%
39
37.3%
Q2 - 3:38ORLOladipo Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)40
64.9%
39
35.1%
Q2 - 3:53MIANapier 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS)40
61.7%
39
38.3%
Q2 - 4:08ORLVucevic 5' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Fournier 4 AST)38
59.1%
39
40.9%
Q2 - 4:33MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
61.7%
37
38.3%
Q2 - 4:33MIADeng 1' Layup (4 PTS)38
61.7%
37
38.3%
Q2 - 4:35MIAMISS Bosh 11' Jump Shot36
57.1%
37
42.9%
Q2 - 4:48MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
59.1%
37
40.9%
Q2 - 4:50ORLMISS Vucevic 1' Hook Shot36
58.2%
37
41.8%
Q2 - 4:57ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
56.2%
37
43.8%
Q2 - 4:58MIAMISS Bosh Layup36
57.1%
37
42.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
59.3%
37
40.7%
Q2 - 5:23ORLMISS Harkless 2' Driving Layup36
58.5%
37
41.5%
Q2 - 5:25ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)36
56.6%
37
43.4%
Q2 - 5:26ORLMISS Green 27' 3PT Jump Shot36
58.5%
37
41.5%
Q2 - 5:45MIAShaw. Williams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)36
56.5%
37
43.5%
Q2 - 6:02ORLFournier 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)36
59.8%
37
40.2%
Q2 - 6:08ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)36
61.8%
35
38.2%
Q2 - 6:09MIAMISS Brown 17' Jump Shot36
62.8%
35
37.2%
Q2 - 6:25ORLGordon 3' Floating Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fournier 3 AST)36
64.9%
35
35.1%
Q2 - 6:47MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)36
66.9%
33
33.1%
Q2 - 6:47MIAShaw. Williams Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)35
66.4%
33
33.6%
Q2 - 6:52ORLGordon Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4)34
64.9%
33
35.1%
Q2 - 7:05MIAShaw. Williams 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS)34
62.1%
33
37.9%
Q2 - 7:24ORLVucevic 15' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)32
59.7%
33
40.3%
Q2 - 7:48ORLJump Ball Dedmon vs. Andersen: Tip to Vucevic32
62.0%
31
38.0%
Q2 - 8:06ORLDedmon Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)32
64.5%
31
35.5%
Q2 - 8:21MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)32
62.0%
31
38.0%
Q2 - 8:38ORLVucevic 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Payton 3 AST)29
57.1%
31
42.9%
Q2 - 8:52MIABosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)29
59.5%
29
40.5%
Q2 - 9:14ORLPayton Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)27
57.4%
29
42.6%
Q2 - 9:14ORLMISS Payton Free Throw 1 of 227
58.2%
28
41.8%
Q2 - 9:21ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)27
57.1%
28
42.9%
Q2 - 9:22MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot27
57.9%
28
42.1%
Q2 - 9:39ORLDedmon 4' Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)27
59.9%
28
40.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
61.9%
26
38.1%
Q2 - 9:53MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)26
61.2%
26
38.8%
Q2 - 10:08ORLPayton 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Frye 1 AST)25
59.8%
26
40.2%
Q2 - 10:24ORLPayton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
61.8%
24
38.2%
Q2 - 10:26MIAMISS Chalmers 7' Running Jump Shot25
62.6%
24
37.4%
Q2 - 10:42ORLDedmon Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)25
64.5%
24
35.5%
Q2 - 10:42ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)25
66.8%
23
33.2%
Q2 - 10:42ORLDedmon Layup (2 PTS)25
66.8%
23
33.2%
Q2 - 10:42ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)25
68.5%
21
31.5%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Dedmon 2' Tip Shot25
70.3%
21
29.7%
Q2 - 10:43ORLMISS Payton 1' Layup25
70.3%
21
29.7%
Q2 - 10:54MIANapier 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)25
68.5%
21
31.5%
Q2 - 11:07ORLGordon Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)22
64.0%
21
36.0%
Q2 - 11:07ORLMISS Gordon Free Throw 1 of 222
64.3%
20
35.7%
Q2 - 11:22MIAEnnis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)22
64.0%
20
36.0%
Q2 - 11:37ORLFrye 22' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Payton 2 AST)22
66.3%
20
33.7%
Q2 - 11:42ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
68.3%
18
31.7%
Q2 - 11:45MIADedmon BLOCK (1 BLK)22
69.0%
18
31.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL22
70.5%
18
29.5%
Q1 - 0:13.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
69.8%
18
30.2%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLDedmon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 0:16.0ORLMISS Dedmon Putback Dunk22
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q1 - 0:18.0ORLMISS Gordon 6' Running Jump Shot22
69.4%
18
30.6%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)22
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAHeat Rebound22
69.9%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Napier 3PT Jump Shot22
68.8%
18
31.2%
Q1 - 1:06MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
69.9%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 1:09MIAMISS McRoberts 28' 3PT Jump Shot22
68.9%
18
31.1%
Q1 - 1:29ORLGordon Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)22
69.9%
18
30.1%
Q1 - 1:39MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)22
68.4%
18
31.6%
Q1 - 2:04ORLHarkless Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Payton 1 AST)20
66.1%
18
33.9%
Q1 - 2:23MIANapier Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)20
68.2%
16
31.8%
Q1 - 2:23MIANapier Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)19
67.8%
16
32.2%
Q1 - 2:45MIAHeat Rebound18
66.0%
16
34.0%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Napier 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
64.7%
16
35.3%
Q1 - 2:55MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
66.0%
16
34.0%
Q1 - 2:59ORLMISS Oladipo Driving Dunk18
65.5%
16
34.5%
Q1 - 3:12MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)18
64.0%
16
36.0%
Q1 - 3:24MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 3:25ORLMISS Vucevic 16' Jump Shot18
65.5%
16
34.5%
Q1 - 3:36ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
64.0%
16
36.0%
Q1 - 3:38MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup18
64.7%
16
35.3%
Q1 - 3:52MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 3:54ORLMISS Fournier 27' 3PT Jump Shot18
65.5%
16
34.5%
Q1 - 4:14ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
63.9%
16
36.1%
Q1 - 4:16MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
64.6%
16
35.4%
Q1 - 4:39ORLOladipo 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)18
66.2%
16
33.8%
Q1 - 4:43MIAOladipo STEAL (2 STL)18
67.9%
14
32.1%
Q1 - 4:56ORLVucevic Dunk (5 PTS) (Fournier 2 AST)18
70.0%
14
30.0%
Q1 - 5:12MIABosh 13' Jump Shot (7 PTS)18
70.9%
12
29.1%
Q1 - 5:31ORLFournier 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Vucevic 1 AST)16
69.4%
12
30.6%
Q1 - 5:43ORLGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
71.0%
10
29.0%
Q1 - 5:46ORLMISS Frye 3PT Jump Shot16
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 5:48ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
71.0%
10
29.0%
Q1 - 5:50ORLMISS Fournier 19' Jump Shot16
72.3%
10
27.7%
Q1 - 6:19MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)16
70.5%
10
29.5%
Q1 - 6:27ORLFrye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)13
67.2%
10
32.8%
Q1 - 6:37MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 2 AST)13
65.3%
10
34.7%
Q1 - 6:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)11
63.6%
10
36.4%
Q1 - 6:51ORLMISS Vucevic 13' Turnaround Jump Shot11
63.0%
10
37.0%
Q1 - 7:17MIAShaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)11
61.7%
10
38.3%
Q1 - 7:28ORLOladipo Driving Dunk (4 PTS)8
58.3%
10
41.7%
Q1 - 7:31MIAOladipo STEAL (1 STL)8
59.9%
8
40.1%
Q1 - 7:43ORLVucevic Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)8
62.0%
8
38.0%
Q1 - 7:43ORLMISS Vucevic Free Throw 1 of 28
62.4%
7
37.6%
Q1 - 7:53ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
61.7%
7
38.3%
Q1 - 7:55MIAMISS Bosh 9' Jump Shot8
62.3%
7
37.7%
Q1 - 8:14ORLFrye 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Fournier 1 AST)8
64.1%
7
35.9%
Q1 - 8:34MIADeng 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)8
67.4%
4
32.6%
Q1 - 8:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
65.9%
4
34.1%
Q1 - 8:42ORLMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
65.3%
4
34.7%
Q1 - 9:00MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
64.0%
4
36.0%
Q1 - 9:21ORLVucevic 5' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)3
60.6%
4
39.4%
Q1 - 9:40ORLFrye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
62.3%
2
37.7%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot3
62.9%
2
37.1%
Q1 - 9:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)3
64.2%
2
35.8%
Q1 - 9:55ORLMISS Green 2' Layup3
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:05ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Layup3
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)3
64.2%
2
35.8%
Q1 - 10:27ORLMISS Fournier 1' Layup3
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 10:32ORLFournier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
62.2%
2
37.8%
Q1 - 10:33MIAMISS Deng 2' Layup3
62.8%
2
37.2%
Q1 - 10:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
64.2%
2
35.8%
Q1 - 10:45ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
63.6%
2
36.4%
Q1 - 11:07MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Shaw. Williams 1 AST)3
62.4%
2
37.6%
Q1 - 11:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
58.7%
2
41.3%
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS Oladipo Free Throw 1 of 10
58.5%
2
41.5%
Q1 - 11:32ORLVucevic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
60.6%
0
39.4%
Q1 - 11:34ORLMISS Oladipo 2' Driving Layup0
61.8%
0
38.2%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Vucevic vs. Bosh: Tip to Fournier0
60.6%
0
39.4%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.21 60.4%
ORL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
10
20
50%
ORL
26
49
53%
Midrange
MIA
15
25
60%
ORL
6
13
46%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
12
18.0
26
46%
69%
ORL
3
4.5
16
19%
28%
Free Throws
MIA
13
18
72%
ORL
19
27
70%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh3276%16.0 / 21
M. Chalmers2467%12.0 / 18
S. Napier1260%6.0 / 10
S. Williams1083%5.0 / 6
L. Deng950%4.5 / 9
S. Brown750%3.5 / 7
C. Andersen542%2.5 / 6
J. McRoberts0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
N. Vučević3357%16.5 / 29
V. Oladipo1454%7.0 / 13
E. Fournier1137%5.5 / 15
C. Frye964%4.5 / 7
E. Payton956%4.5 / 8
B. Gordon770%3.5 / 5
D. Dedmon750%3.5 / 7
M. Harkless250%1.0 / 2
W. Green0-0.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+11
-16
82
ORL
73
+19
-14
92
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.21 60.4%
ORL
0.98 48.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
102.1
MIA 113.8 +8.0
ORL 105.7
Pace
91.0
93.4
MIA 78.4
ORL 97.7 +19.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.9
MIA 18.4
ORL 14.7 +3.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
49.4%
MIA 60.6% +13.8%
ORL 46.8%
TO %
15.2%
15.3%
MIA 16.9%
ORL 14.3% +2.6%
ORB %
23.3%
23.1%
MIA 21.2%
ORL 40.9% +19.7%
FTrt
30.6
23.0
MIA 25.4
ORL 34.6 +9.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
55.0%
MIA 45.9%
ORL 51.4% +5.5%
STL %
8.6%
8.4%
MIA 8.0%
ORL 11.5% +3.5%
BLK %
8.0%
6.5%
MIA 8.1% +3.7%
ORL 4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
51.1%
MIA 60.4% +11.5%
ORL 48.9%
Rim FG%
59.7%
56.7%
MIA 50.0%
ORL 53.1% +3.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.1%
MIA 60.0% +13.8%
ORL 46.2%
3P %
33.5%
34.7%
MIA 46.2% +27.4%
ORL 18.8%
FT %
74.1%
72.9%
MIA 72.2% +1.8%
ORL 70.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
38.9%
MIA 28.2%
ORL 62.8% +34.7%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
37.6%
MIA 35.2%
ORL 16.7% +18.5%
3P Att. %
26.2%
23.5%
MIA 36.6% +16.1%
ORL 20.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions8787
Possession Minutes26.621.4
Points9992
Rebounds3344
Assists1718
Steals710
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)14 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (4)18 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)26 (1)26 (0)
Field Goals37-7135-78
At-the-Rim FG10-2026-49
Midrange FG15-256-13
2-Point FG25-4532-62
3-Point FG12-263-16
Free Throws13-1819-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
37.8
32
76%
10
1
0
1
3
3
1
9
2-2
100%
9-14
64%
4-6
67%
G · 6'3" 215 · 29
36.5
7
50%
0
2
1
0
0
3
0
0
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
1-2
50%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
35.8
10
83%
5
3
1
2
1
1
0
5
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
33.5
24
67%
5
8
1
0
2
2
2
3
2-4
50%
8-11
73%
2-5
40%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
32.9
9
50%
7
0
1
0
2
3
1
6
0-0
-
3-7
43%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
27.8
12
60%
2
1
2
0
4
3
0
2
2-4
50%
2-3
67%
2-5
40%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
17.1
5
42%
3
1
1
2
2
2
2
1
3-4
75%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'7" 210 · 24
13.2
0
0%
1
0
0
0
1
2
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 28
5.2
0
0%
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
C · 7'0" 255 · 25
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#30 · G · 6'2" 175 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
99
60%
33
17
7
5
16
0
7
26
13-18
72%
25-45
56%
12-26
46%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.