FinalWin Prob.pScore
1047%95
103
1353%96
114
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
112.09291.6
ATL logo ATL
123.99292.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HawksHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAATL
Q4 - 0:00.0ATL103
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:14.0MIAChalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Cole 8 AST)103
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:26.0ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Teague 9 AST)100
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Chalmers 11 AST)100
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 0:55.0ATLTeague 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Horford 4 AST)97
0.1%
112
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)97
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:15MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)96
0.1%
109
99.9%
Q4 - 1:38ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:39MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 1:44MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 1:46ATLMISS Millsap 2' Driving Layup95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:05MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P3.T14)95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:06ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)95
0.5%
107
99.5%
Q4 - 2:22MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:22MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)94
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:33MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 293
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:34ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:47ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)93
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:49MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 2:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)93
0.5%
106
99.5%
Q4 - 3:00ATLMISS Millsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
0.4%
106
99.6%
Q4 - 3:18MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)93
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 3:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)90
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 3:32ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 3:38ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)90
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 3:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)90
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 3:54ATLMISS Horford 4' Jump Shot90
0.3%
106
99.7%
Q4 - 4:10MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)90
0.2%
106
99.8%
Q4 - 4:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:39ATLSefolosha 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Korver 7 AST)87
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42ATLHAWKS Rebound87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:42ATLMISS Sefolosha 3' Driving Layup87
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 4:49ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)87
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 4:51MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:16MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)87
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 5:17ATLMISS Schroder 26' 3PT Jump Shot87
0.4%
104
99.6%
Q4 - 5:34MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)87
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 5:34MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)86
0.3%
104
99.7%
Q4 - 5:53ATLTeague Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Schroder 6 AST)85
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:58MIASchroder STEAL (2 STL)85
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:14ATLMillsap 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Schroder 5 AST)85
0.7%
102
99.3%
Q4 - 6:32ATLTeague Free Throw Technical (11 PTS)85
1.2%
99
98.8%
Q4 - 6:32ATLTeague Free Throw Technical (10 PTS)85
1.6%
98
98.4%
Q4 - 6:33MIASchroder STEAL (1 STL)85
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 6:40MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)85
3.0%
97
97.0%
Q4 - 6:42ATLMISS Schroder 8' Driving Jump Shot85
2.7%
97
97.3%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)85
2.1%
97
97.9%
Q4 - 6:58MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)84
1.9%
97
98.1%
Q4 - 7:10ATLSchroder 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS)83
2.3%
97
97.7%
Q4 - 7:31ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)83
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 7:33MIAMISS Deng 1' Running Layup83
3.1%
95
96.9%
Q4 - 7:38ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)83
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 7:49MIAChalmers 4' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Cole 7 AST)83
2.8%
95
97.2%
Q4 - 7:58MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)81
2.2%
95
97.8%
Q4 - 8:00ATLMISS Scott 26' 3PT Jump Shot81
2.0%
95
98.0%
Q4 - 8:12ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)81
2.3%
95
97.7%
Q4 - 8:13MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot81
2.5%
95
97.5%
Q4 - 8:37ATLScott 19' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)81
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 8:59ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)81
3.7%
93
96.3%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Haslem 1' Driving Layup81
4.0%
93
96.0%
Q4 - 9:20ATLScott 12' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS) (Korver 6 AST)81
5.9%
93
94.1%
Q4 - 9:29ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
7.7%
91
92.3%
Q4 - 9:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)81
9.0%
91
91.0%
Q4 - 9:41ATLMISS Schroder 1' Driving Layup81
8.4%
91
91.6%
Q4 - 9:57ATLScott REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
7.2%
91
92.8%
Q4 - 9:58MIAMISS Chalmers 14' Running Jump Shot81
7.7%
91
92.3%
Q4 - 10:22ATLMack 2' Running Layup (12 PTS)81
10.1%
91
89.9%
Q4 - 10:26ATLMack REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)81
12.2%
89
87.8%
Q4 - 10:28MIAMISS Napier 20' Jump Shot81
13.0%
89
87.0%
Q4 - 10:46MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
14.9%
89
85.1%
Q4 - 10:47ATLMISS Korver 21' Jump Shot81
14.1%
89
85.9%
Q4 - 11:00MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Brown 1 AST)81
12.2%
89
87.8%
Q4 - 11:16ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)79
11.0%
89
89.0%
Q4 - 11:37ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
15.7%
86
84.3%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
16.7%
86
83.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATL79
18.9%
86
81.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound79
15.7%
86
84.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
17.9%
86
82.1%
Q3 - 0:04.0ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)79
16.9%
86
83.1%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Napier 27' 3PT Jump Shot79
17.8%
86
82.2%
Q3 - 0:30.0ATLHorford 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Mack 2 AST)79
19.8%
86
80.2%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLHAWKS Rebound79
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q3 - 0:33.0ATLMISS Korver 2' Layup79
25.9%
84
74.1%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIABosh 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)79
23.3%
84
76.7%
Q3 - 1:07ATLMack 24' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Horford 3 AST)77
20.8%
84
79.2%
Q3 - 1:24MIANapier Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)77
27.8%
81
72.2%
Q3 - 1:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)77
32.0%
81
68.0%
Q3 - 1:29ATLMISS Schroder 2' Driving Layup77
30.7%
81
69.3%
Q3 - 1:47MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)77
27.8%
81
72.2%
Q3 - 1:47MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)76
27.0%
81
73.0%
Q3 - 2:06ATLMillsap 1' Putback Layup (15 PTS)75
25.0%
81
75.0%
Q3 - 2:08ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)75
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q3 - 2:12ATLMISS Schroder 24' 3PT Jump Shot75
31.2%
79
68.8%
Q3 - 2:27MIADeng 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)75
28.4%
79
71.6%
Q3 - 2:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)72
21.6%
79
78.4%
Q3 - 2:50ATLMISS Millsap 34' 3PT Jump Shot72
20.6%
79
79.4%
Q3 - 3:17MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (16 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)72
19.4%
79
80.6%
Q3 - 3:43ATLMack 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Schroder 4 AST)70
16.9%
79
83.1%
Q3 - 4:00ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
19.3%
77
80.7%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot70
20.9%
77
79.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
23.3%
77
76.7%
Q3 - 4:25ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
22.2%
77
77.8%
Q3 - 4:38MIAChalmers 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
19.8%
77
80.2%
Q3 - 4:41MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)68
17.8%
77
82.2%
Q3 - 4:43MIASefolosha BLOCK (3 BLK)68
15.8%
77
84.2%
Q3 - 5:06ATLMillsap Dunk (13 PTS) (Korver 4 AST)68
18.4%
77
81.6%
Q3 - 5:11ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
20.6%
75
79.4%
Q3 - 5:13ATLMISS Sefolosha 3' Layup68
22.8%
75
77.2%
Q3 - 5:32MIACole 1' Running Layup (6 PTS)68
20.6%
75
79.4%
Q3 - 5:37ATLMillsap Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11)66
18.4%
75
81.6%
Q3 - 5:55ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)66
15.7%
75
84.3%
Q3 - 5:57MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
16.4%
75
83.6%
Q3 - 6:15ATLSefolosha 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS) (Teague 8 AST)66
19.1%
75
80.9%
Q3 - 6:26ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)66
21.2%
73
78.8%
Q3 - 6:28MIAHorford BLOCK (1 BLK)66
22.2%
73
77.8%
Q3 - 6:42ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Teague 7 AST)66
24.4%
73
75.6%
Q3 - 6:57MIAShaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)66
27.0%
71
73.0%
Q3 - 7:14MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)63
22.0%
71
78.0%
Q3 - 7:15ATLMISS Millsap 26' 3PT Jump Shot63
21.2%
71
78.8%
Q3 - 7:33MIADeng 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)63
19.2%
71
80.8%
Q3 - 7:54ATLMillsap 17' Jump Shot (11 PTS)60
15.1%
71
84.9%
Q3 - 8:17MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)60
17.4%
69
82.6%
Q3 - 8:34ATLTeague 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS)60
20.1%
69
79.9%
Q3 - 8:52MIAShaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)60
22.1%
67
77.9%
Q3 - 9:01ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10)57
18.2%
67
81.8%
Q3 - 9:23MIACole 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)57
16.0%
67
84.0%
Q3 - 9:44ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Teague 6 AST)55
14.2%
67
85.8%
Q3 - 9:57ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)55
18.0%
64
82.0%
Q3 - 9:59MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 255
18.3%
64
81.7%
Q3 - 9:59MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)55
19.8%
64
80.2%
Q3 - 10:02ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T9)54
18.6%
64
81.4%
Q3 - 10:13ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 10:15MIAMISS Chalmers 22' Jump Shot54
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 10:28MIAHeat Rebound54
18.6%
64
81.4%
Q3 - 10:29ATLMISS Korver 3PT Jump Shot54
17.9%
64
82.1%
Q3 - 10:33ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMillsap BLOCK (1 BLK)54
17.1%
64
82.9%
Q3 - 10:49ATLSefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T8)54
18.6%
64
81.4%
Q3 - 10:59MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T9)54
16.5%
64
83.5%
Q3 - 11:17ATLHorford 21' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Korver 3 AST)54
19.4%
64
80.6%
Q3 - 11:30MIABosh Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Cole 6 AST)54
21.5%
62
78.5%
Q3 - 11:45MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
19.3%
62
80.7%
Q3 - 11:47ATLMISS Millsap 4' Driving Jump Shot52
18.7%
62
81.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA52
17.2%
62
82.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound52
19.3%
62
80.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Brown 28' 3PT Jump Shot52
17.8%
62
82.2%
Q2 - 0:09.0ATLMillsap 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Teague 5 AST)52
19.9%
62
80.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
25.1%
59
74.9%
Q2 - 0:32.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)51
24.6%
59
75.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0ATLTeague 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Millsap 2 AST)50
22.1%
59
77.9%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIATeague STEAL (1 STL)50
25.0%
57
75.0%
Q2 - 1:07ATLKorver 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Millsap 1 AST)50
27.3%
57
72.7%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
33.8%
54
66.2%
Q2 - 1:16MIAHaslem 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)50
33.8%
54
66.2%
Q2 - 1:18MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup48
28.8%
54
71.2%
Q2 - 1:34ATLTeague Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)48
29.8%
54
70.2%
Q2 - 1:34ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)48
30.2%
53
69.8%
Q2 - 1:37ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)48
33.8%
52
66.2%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Cole 11' Running Jump Shot48
34.3%
52
65.7%
Q2 - 1:45MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
35.4%
52
64.6%
Q2 - 1:47ATLMISS Teague 6' Driving Jump Shot48
34.9%
52
65.1%
Q2 - 2:05MIABosh 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 5 AST)48
33.5%
52
66.5%
Q2 - 2:23ATLMillsap 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Teague 4 AST)46
30.7%
52
69.3%
Q2 - 2:43MIAShaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)46
33.5%
50
66.5%
Q2 - 2:56ATLKorver Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)44
30.6%
50
69.4%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMillsap STEAL (2 STL)44
28.6%
50
71.4%
Q2 - 3:11MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
31.5%
50
68.5%
Q2 - 3:12ATLMISS Millsap 19' Jump Shot44
30.6%
50
69.4%
Q2 - 3:28MIACole 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)44
28.5%
50
71.5%
Q2 - 3:51ATLHorford Foul Turnover (P1.T6)42
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q2 - 4:00ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
23.9%
50
76.1%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Haslem 2' Layup42
25.3%
50
74.7%
Q2 - 4:36ATLMillsap 22' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Schroder 3 AST)42
26.9%
50
73.1%
Q2 - 4:50ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
29.1%
48
70.9%
Q2 - 4:51MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
29.9%
48
70.1%
Q2 - 5:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
31.6%
48
68.4%
Q2 - 5:02ATLMISS Millsap 3' Turnaround Jump Shot42
31.2%
48
68.8%
Q2 - 5:14MIAShaw. Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)42
29.6%
48
70.4%
Q2 - 5:27MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
25.1%
48
74.9%
Q2 - 5:29ATLMISS Teague 26' 3PT Jump Shot39
24.5%
48
75.5%
Q2 - 5:46ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
23.0%
48
77.0%
Q2 - 5:47MIAMISS Deng 10' Jump Shot39
23.6%
48
76.4%
Q2 - 6:03MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot39
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 6:27ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)39
25.9%
48
74.1%
Q2 - 6:40MIADeng 2' Running Layup (2 PTS)39
27.6%
46
72.4%
Q2 - 6:46ATLTeague Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)37
25.9%
46
74.1%
Q2 - 7:08MIAHaslem Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)37
24.1%
46
75.9%
Q2 - 7:15MIAChalmers Free Throw Technical (12 PTS)35
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q2 - 7:35MIABrown REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)34
20.5%
46
79.5%
Q2 - 7:37ATLMISS Scott 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
20.0%
46
80.0%
Q2 - 7:54MIAShaw. Williams 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)34
18.7%
46
81.3%
Q2 - 8:14ATLScott Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 8:14ATLScott Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
18.0%
45
82.0%
Q2 - 8:24ATLSchroder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 8:26MIAMISS Brown 26' 3PT Jump Shot32
19.7%
44
80.3%
Q2 - 8:35MIANapier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 8:37ATLMISS Scott Running Dunk32
20.3%
44
79.7%
Q2 - 8:41MIAKorver STEAL (2 STL)32
19.1%
44
80.9%
Q2 - 8:57ATLKorver 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Horford 2 AST)32
20.9%
44
79.1%
Q2 - 9:13MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)32
24.7%
41
75.3%
Q2 - 9:23MIAHeat Rebound30
23.2%
41
76.8%
Q2 - 9:24MIAMISS Bosh 17' Fadeaway Jumper30
21.8%
41
78.2%
Q2 - 9:38ATLMack Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)30
23.1%
41
76.9%
Q2 - 9:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)30
21.2%
41
78.8%
Q2 - 9:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)29
20.9%
41
79.1%
Q2 - 10:02ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mack 1 AST)28
20.1%
41
79.9%
Q2 - 10:26MIABrown 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)28
21.4%
39
78.6%
Q2 - 10:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
18.5%
39
81.5%
Q2 - 10:38ATLMISS Horford 5' Hook Shot25
18.0%
39
82.0%
Q2 - 10:50MIANapier 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)25
16.8%
39
83.2%
Q2 - 11:12ATLMack 1' Running Layup (5 PTS) (Scott 1 AST)23
16.0%
39
84.0%
Q2 - 11:16MIAMack STEAL (1 STL)23
17.3%
37
82.7%
Q2 - 11:23MIAHeat Rebound23
18.8%
37
81.2%
Q2 - 11:23MIAMISS Brown 11' Fadeaway Jumper23
17.7%
37
82.3%
Q2 - 11:44ATLScott 10' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Schroder 2 AST)23
18.7%
37
81.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATL23
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLHAWKS Rebound23
20.2%
35
79.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ATLMISS Schroder 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
21.4%
35
78.6%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAChalmers 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)23
21.0%
35
79.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0ATLSchroder 3' Driving Layup (6 PTS)21
19.1%
35
80.9%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)21
21.0%
33
79.0%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)20
20.6%
33
79.4%
Q1 - 1:04MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
19.5%
33
80.5%
Q1 - 1:06ATLMISS Sefolosha Free Throw 2 of 219
19.4%
33
80.6%
Q1 - 1:06ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)19
18.4%
33
81.6%
Q1 - 1:15MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)19
19.9%
32
80.1%
Q1 - 1:31ATLMack 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Schroder 1 AST)17
18.1%
32
81.9%
Q1 - 1:53ATLAntic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
21.4%
29
78.6%
Q1 - 1:54MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot17
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q1 - 2:14ATLSchroder Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)17
23.0%
29
77.0%
Q1 - 2:14ATLSchroder Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
23.3%
28
76.7%
Q1 - 2:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
24.7%
27
75.3%
Q1 - 2:26MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)16
24.3%
27
75.7%
Q1 - 2:40ATLSchroder 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Antic 1 AST)15
22.9%
27
77.1%
Q1 - 2:54MIABosh 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Napier 1 AST)15
24.7%
25
75.3%
Q1 - 3:19ATLSefolosha Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
23.5%
25
76.5%
Q1 - 3:19ATLSefolosha Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)13
23.8%
24
76.2%
Q1 - 3:37MIANapier 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (2 PTS)13
24.9%
23
75.1%
Q1 - 4:00MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
23.5%
23
76.5%
Q1 - 4:01ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 2 of 211
23.6%
23
76.4%
Q1 - 4:01ATLMillsap Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)11
22.6%
23
77.4%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMillsap STEAL (1 STL)11
23.6%
22
76.4%
Q1 - 4:26ATLMillsap Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)11
25.4%
22
74.6%
Q1 - 4:26ATLMISS Millsap Free Throw 1 of 211
25.8%
21
74.2%
Q1 - 4:42MIAShaw. Williams 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)11
25.2%
21
74.8%
Q1 - 5:05MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
23.1%
21
76.9%
Q1 - 5:07ATLMISS Antic 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
22.6%
21
77.4%
Q1 - 5:24ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)8
21.4%
21
78.6%
Q1 - 5:26MIAMISS Cole 17' Jump Shot8
21.9%
21
78.1%
Q1 - 5:41ATLSefolosha 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Korver 2 AST)8
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 5:55MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)8
25.9%
18
74.1%
Q1 - 6:02ATLSefolosha Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T3)5
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 6:06ATLKorver REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 6:07MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup5
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 6:13ATLMillsap Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 6:14ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)5
22.3%
18
77.7%
Q1 - 6:16MIASefolosha BLOCK (2 BLK)5
22.7%
18
77.3%
Q1 - 6:27ATLAntic Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
23.8%
18
76.2%
Q1 - 6:44MIAShaw. Williams Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)5
26.6%
15
73.4%
Q1 - 6:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.2%
15
74.8%
Q1 - 6:51ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot3
24.7%
15
75.3%
Q1 - 6:55ATLTeague REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
23.6%
15
76.4%
Q1 - 6:57MIASefolosha BLOCK (1 BLK)3
24.1%
15
75.9%
Q1 - 7:11ATLSefolosha Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)3
25.7%
15
74.3%
Q1 - 7:17MIASefolosha STEAL (1 STL)3
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 7:27MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
25.7%
15
74.3%
Q1 - 7:29ATLMISS Millsap 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot3
25.2%
15
74.8%
Q1 - 7:40ATLHorford REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
24.0%
15
76.0%
Q1 - 7:41MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 16' Jump Shot3
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 7:48MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)3
25.7%
15
74.3%
Q1 - 7:51MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot3
24.5%
15
75.5%
Q1 - 8:14ATLTeague Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)3
26.0%
15
74.0%
Q1 - 8:31MIABosh Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)3
28.9%
12
71.1%
Q1 - 8:47ATLSefolosha Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Teague 3 AST)1
27.5%
12
72.5%
Q1 - 8:52MIAKorver STEAL (1 STL)1
28.9%
10
71.1%
Q1 - 9:15ATLKorver 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Teague 2 AST)1
30.7%
10
69.3%
Q1 - 9:24ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)1
33.9%
7
66.1%
Q1 - 9:26ATLMISS Teague 25' 3PT Jump Shot1
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 9:41ATLSefolosha REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)1
33.9%
7
66.1%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 2 of 21
34.2%
7
65.8%
Q1 - 9:42MIAEnnis Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
35.2%
7
64.8%
Q1 - 9:51ATLHorford Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)0
34.0%
7
66.0%
Q1 - 9:51ATLHorford Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)0
34.5%
6
65.5%
Q1 - 10:01MIAHorford STEAL (1 STL)0
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:17MIAHeat Rebound0
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 10:18ATLMISS Sefolosha 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.0%
5
63.0%
Q1 - 10:34ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)0
35.7%
5
64.3%
Q1 - 10:35MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot0
36.2%
5
63.8%
Q1 - 10:55ATLHorford 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Teague 1 AST)0
37.6%
5
62.4%
Q1 - 11:09ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
41.1%
2
58.9%
Q1 - 11:10MIAMISS Ennis 12' Fadeaway Jumper0
41.6%
2
58.4%
Q1 - 11:25ATLHorford 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Korver 1 AST)0
42.7%
2
57.3%
Q1 - 11:41ATLMillsap REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.7%
0
55.3%
Q1 - 11:43MIAMISS Deng 10' Running Jump Shot0
45.2%
0
54.8%
Q1 - 12:00ATLJump Ball Horford vs. Bosh: Tip to Cole0
46.4%
0
53.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
ATL
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
23
65%
ATL
18
29
62%
Midrange
MIA
10
30
33%
ATL
13
18
72%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
10
15.0
21
48%
71%
ATL
11
16.5
28
39%
59%
Free Throws
MIA
23
25
92%
ATL
19
23
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
M. Chalmers2382%11.5 / 14
S. Williams2195%10.5 / 11
C. Bosh2045%10.0 / 22
L. Deng1963%9.5 / 15
N. Cole643%3.0 / 7
U. Haslem650%3.0 / 6
S. Napier450%2.0 / 4
S. Brown338%1.5 / 4
J. Ennis III125%0.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ATL logo Hawks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
P. Millsap1953%9.5 / 18
A. Horford1995%9.5 / 10
J. Teague1667%8.0 / 12
K. Korver1286%6.0 / 7
T. Sefolosha1267%6.0 / 9
S. Mack12120%6.0 / 5
M. Scott1161%5.5 / 9
D. Schröder1045%5.0 / 11
P. Antic375%1.5 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
78
+8
-14
86
ATL
79
+7
-13
86
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.20 59.9%
ATL
1.33 66.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
108.9
MIA 112.0
ATL 123.9 +12.0
Pace
91.0
94.0
MIA 91.6
ATL 92.4 +0.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
15.1
MIA 15.7
ATL 15.6 +0.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
52.7%
MIA 54.1%
ATL 63.3% +9.2%
TO %
15.2%
14.3%
MIA 14.1%
ATL 13.2% +0.9%
ORB %
23.3%
21.4%
MIA 13.2% +3.2%
ATL 10.0%
FTrt
30.6
25.9
MIA 33.8 +3.1
ATL 30.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
67.6%
MIA 77.1%
ATL 78.6% +1.5%
STL %
8.6%
9.6%
MIA 10.9%
ATL 10.9%
BLK %
8.0%
8.1%
MIA 6.4%
ATL 9.4% +3.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.46 and 2.46.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
54.7%
MIA 59.9%
ATL 66.3% +6.4%
Rim FG%
59.7%
58.1%
MIA 65.2% +3.1%
ATL 62.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.2%
MIA 33.3%
ATL 72.2% +38.9%
3P %
33.5%
38.0%
MIA 47.6% +8.3%
ATL 39.3%
FT %
74.1%
77.8%
MIA 92.0% +9.4%
ATL 82.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
36.1%
MIA 31.1%
ATL 38.7% +7.6%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
31.8%
MIA 40.5%
ATL 24.0% +16.5%
3P Att. %
26.2%
32.1%
MIA 28.4%
ATL 37.3% +9.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAATL
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes24.123.9
Points103114
Rebounds3236
Assists2733
Steals1010
Blocks35
Turnovers (Team)14 (0)13 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)5 (3)3 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)33 (0)
Field Goals35-7442-75
At-the-Rim FG15-2318-29
Midrange FG10-3013-18
2-Point FG25-5331-47
3-Point FG10-2111-28
Free Throws23-2519-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
37.7
20
45%
8
2
2
1
4
1
0
8
6-6
100%
7-16
44%
0-3
0%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
35.4
19
63%
4
1
1
0
1
0
1
3
6-7
86%
2-7
29%
3-5
60%
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
32.5
21
95%
6
1
1
1
1
5
2
4
0-0
-
3-5
60%
5-6
83%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
28.4
6
43%
2
8
4
1
2
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 24
6.2
1
25%
1
0
1
0
0
1
1
0
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
39.9
23
82%
1
11
0
0
3
4
0
1
8-8
100%
6-8
75%
1-3
33%
G · 6'1" 175 · 23
21.1
4
50%
2
1
0
0
3
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
18.6
6
50%
6
1
1
0
0
2
1
5
2-2
100%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 215 · 29
13.1
3
38%
1
1
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-3
33%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 36
7.2
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 28
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 33
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
103
60%
32
27
10
3
14
0
5
27
23-25
92%
25-53
47%
10-21
48%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.