Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Thursday, January 9, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 64% | 103 | 92 |
 | 19 | Knicks | 36% | 98 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 60% | 106 | 88 |
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Wednesday, January 8, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 8 | Mavericks | 29% | 100 | 90 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pistons | 33% | 98 | 91 |
 | 11 | Raptors | 67% | 104 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 17 | Nets | 44% | 99 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 7 | Timberwolves | 74% | 111 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Pelicans | 60% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Lakers | 18% | 101 | 99 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 27 | Magic | 26% | 101 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 24 | Celtics | 28% | 97 | 105 |
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Tuesday, January 7, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Wizards | 53% | 97 | 97 |
 | 26 | Bobcats | 47% | 96 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 29% | 92 | 79 |
| 3 | Pacers | 71% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pelicans | 26% | 96 | 88 |
| 2 | Heat | 74% | 105 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 41% | 100 | 85 |
| 19 | Knicks | 59% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 42% | 96 | 87 |
 | 12 | Bulls | 58% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 62% | 100 | 110 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 73% | 104 | 101 |
 | 27 | Bucks | 27% | 95 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Lakers | 23% | 101 | 97 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 77% | 111 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 38% | 100 | 98 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 62% | 105 | 129 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 73% | 104 | 101 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 59% | 109 | 119 |
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Monday, January 6, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Timberwolves | 71% | 114 | 126 |
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 106 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 48% | 101 | 86 |
| 14 | Nets | 52% | 102 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 34% | 98 | 81 |
| 17 | Clippers | 66% | 104 | 101 |
Sunday, January 5, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Grizzlies | 51% | 100 | 112 |
| 21 | Pistons | 49% | 99 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Pacers | 77% | 99 | 82 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 23% | 89 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Raptors | 31% | 97 | 97 |
| 1 | Heat | 69% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 63% | 102 | 112 |
| 19 | Wizards | 37% | 97 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Celtics | 25% | 93 | 96 |
| 4 | Thunder | 75% | 102 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 29% | 99 | 92 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 71% | 107 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nuggets | 54% | 106 | 137 |
| 25 | Lakers | 46% | 105 | 115 |
Saturday, January 4, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pelicans | 22% | 90 | 82 |
| 3 | Pacers | 78% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Heat | 73% | 105 | 110 |
| 25 | Magic | 27% | 97 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Cavaliers | 33% | 97 | 82 |
| 19 | Nets | 67% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 41% | 96 | 84 |
| 14 | Bulls | 59% | 99 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 46% | 104 | 115 |
| 8 | Timberwolves | 54% | 105 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 33% | 100 | 92 |
| 1 | Spurs | 67% | 106 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 29% | 96 | 100 |
| 11 | Suns | 71% | 103 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 21% | 105 | 101 |
| 10 | Trail Blazers | 79% | 116 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 40% | 99 | 113 |
| 23 | Kings | 60% | 103 | 103 |
Friday, January 3, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 46% | 98 | 101 |
| 17 | Wizards | 54% | 99 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 51% | 105 | 101 |
| 11 | Hawks | 49% | 104 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 55% | 102 | 95 |
| 22 | Celtics | 45% | 101 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 22% | 98 | 100 |
| 7 | Rockets | 78% | 108 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Clippers | 47% | 105 | 119 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 53% | 106 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Grizzlies | 41% | 98 | 108 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 59% | 101 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Jazz | 39% | 101 | 99 |
| 27 | Lakers | 61% | 105 | 110 |
Thursday, January 2, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Magic | 53% | 100 | 81 |
| 30 | Cavaliers | 47% | 99 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 38% | 99 | 123 |
| 2 | Heat | 62% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 37% | 91 | 82 |
| 16 | Bulls | 63% | 96 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nets | 23% | 95 | 95 |
| 4 | Thunder | 77% | 105 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Knicks | 17% | 93 | 105 |
| 1 | Spurs | 83% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 39% | 96 | 99 |
| 12 | Suns | 61% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 45% | 98 | 87 |
| 26 | Jazz | 55% | 99 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bobcats | 18% | 98 | 104 |
| 6 | Trail Blazers | 82% | 110 | 134 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 29% | 104 | 113 |
| 21 | Kings | 71% | 111 | 104 |
Wednesday, January 1, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 54% | 102 | 87 |
| 17 | Wizards | 46% | 101 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Pacers | 60% | 98 | 82 |
| 16 | Raptors | 40% | 94 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 34% | 105 | 112 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 66% | 111 | 124 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 30% | 104 | 114 |
| 18 | Nuggets | 70% | 111 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 85 |
| 5 | Clippers | 78% | 106 | 112 |
Tuesday, December 31, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 55% | 102 | 92 |
| 22 | Celtics | 45% | 101 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 17% | 91 | 76 |
| 3 | Pacers | 83% | 104 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Warriors | 68% | 104 | 94 |
| 23 | Magic | 32% | 98 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Raptors | 49% | 96 | 85 |
| 16 | Bulls | 51% | 97 | 79 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Kings | 27% | 102 | 110 |
| 10 | Rockets | 73% | 110 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 22% | 96 | 92 |
| 1 | Spurs | 78% | 106 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 32% | 102 | 98 |
| 4 | Thunder | 68% | 109 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Bucks | 43% | 100 | 94 |
| 28 | Lakers | 57% | 103 | 79 |
Monday, December 30, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Wizards | 46% | 99 | 106 |
| 20 | Pistons | 54% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Bulls | 43% | 91 | 95 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 57% | 93 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 39% | 106 | 100 |
| 7 | Timberwolves | 61% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 107 | 108 |
| 12 | Pelicans | 51% | 108 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Heat | 63% | 105 | 97 |
| 19 | Nuggets | 37% | 101 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Bobcats | 49% | 99 | 80 |
| 28 | Jazz | 51% | 100 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Suns | 27% | 100 | 107 |
| 2 | Clippers | 73% | 109 | 88 |
Sunday, December 29, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Warriors | 74% | 106 | 108 |
| 29 | Cavaliers | 26% | 98 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Hawks | 55% | 103 | 102 |
| 24 | Magic | 45% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 35% | 101 | 86 |
| 4 | Thunder | 65% | 106 | 117 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Kings | 18% | 96 | 104 |
| 1 | Spurs | 82% | 109 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 31% | 104 | 111 |
| 26 | Lakers | 69% | 111 | 104 |
Saturday, December 28, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Cavaliers | 40% | 98 | 100 |
| 23 | Celtics | 60% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 21% | 92 | 91 |
| 3 | Pacers | 79% | 102 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 36% | 97 | 100 |
| 13 | Raptors | 64% | 102 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 40% | 98 | 82 |
| 18 | Wizards | 60% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Bobcats | 22% | 95 | 116 |
| 8 | Hawks | 78% | 106 | 118 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Mavericks | 51% | 99 | 105 |
| 16 | Bulls | 49% | 98 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Pelicans | 27% | 101 | 98 |
| 5 | Rockets | 73% | 110 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 38% | 96 | 99 |
| 15 | Grizzlies | 62% | 100 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Timberwolves | 65% | 106 | 117 |
| 25 | Bucks | 35% | 101 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 29% | 102 | 101 |
| 14 | Suns | 71% | 109 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 35% | 102 | 108 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 65% | 108 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Jazz | 14% | 97 | 90 |
| 2 | Clippers | 86% | 112 | 98 |
Friday, December 27, 2013
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Thunder | 71% | 102 | 89 |
| 28 | Bobcats | 29% | 94 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Pistons | 51% | 104 | 92 |
| 24 | Magic | 49% | 103 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bucks | 34% | 97 | 93 |
| 18 | Nets | 66% | 102 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Raptors | 49% | 100 | 95 |
| 21 | Knicks | 51% | 101 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Wizards | 31% | 100 | 98 |
| 9 | Timberwolves | 69% | 107 | 120 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Nuggets | 40% | 102 | 89 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 60% | 105 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 46% | 102 | 103 |
| 25 | Jazz | 54% | 104 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 67% | 106 | 103 |
| 22 | Kings | 33% | 100 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Suns | 31% | 99 | 86 |
| 5 | Warriors | 69% | 106 | 115 |