FinalWin Prob.pScore
2923%101
97
877%111
110
ORTG#PossPace
LAL logo LAL
96.0101103.1
DAL logo DAL
110.010098.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksLakersQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventLALDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0LAL97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:02.0LALGasol REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0LALMISS Kelly 24' 3PT Jump Shot97
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 0:17.0DALWright 10' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)97
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0LALMarshall 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)97
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:44.0LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 0:45.0DALMISS Crowder 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:05LALCrowder STEAL (4 STL)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:14LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:17DALMISS Wright 8' Driving Hook Shot95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:32DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:9)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33LALMISS W. Johnson 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:40DALBlair Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 1:55LALMISS Gasol 6' Driving Hook Shot95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11DALMISS Blair Free Throw 2 of 295
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:11DALBlair Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)95
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 2:28LALMISS W. Johnson 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:38LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:39DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Jump Shot95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52DALMAVERICKS Rebound95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:52LALMISS Meeks 2' Driving Layup95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 2:58LALMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 2:59DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot95
0.3%
107
99.7%
Q4 - 3:13DALCrowder REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 3:14LALMISS Marshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.2%
107
99.8%
Q4 - 3:35DALBlair 8' Jump Bank Shot (14 PTS) (Ellis 9 AST)95
0.7%
107
99.3%
Q4 - 3:50LALMeeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)95
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 3:50LALMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)94
0.9%
105
99.1%
Q4 - 3:55DALWright 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Ellis 8 AST)93
0.7%
105
99.3%
Q4 - 4:16LALGasol 2' Layup (15 PTS)93
0.9%
103
99.1%
Q4 - 4:18LALGasol REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:20LALMISS Kelly 10' Jump Shot91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 4:28LALSacre REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)91
0.6%
103
99.4%
Q4 - 4:29DALMISS Wright 10' Jump Shot91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 4:50DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)91
0.4%
103
99.6%
Q4 - 4:51LALMISS Gasol 6' Jump Shot91
0.5%
103
99.5%
Q4 - 5:06DALCrowder 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS)91
1.0%
103
99.0%
Q4 - 5:15DALWright REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)91
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 5:16DALMISS Ellis 15' Jump Shot91
1.7%
101
98.3%
Q4 - 5:31LALMarshall 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Gasol 5 AST)91
1.3%
101
98.7%
Q4 - 5:44DALEllis 21' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)88
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 6:04LALMarshall 3' Driving Layup (13 PTS)88
1.3%
99
98.7%
Q4 - 6:24DALEllis 1' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Wright 3 AST)86
1.0%
99
99.0%
Q4 - 6:30LALEllis STEAL (5 STL)86
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 6:54DALEllis 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)86
1.8%
97
98.2%
Q4 - 7:02LALEllis STEAL (4 STL)86
2.9%
95
97.1%
Q4 - 7:13DALEllis 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS)86
3.8%
95
96.2%
Q4 - 7:17LALCalderon STEAL (5 STL)86
4.9%
93
95.1%
Q4 - 7:25LALMeeks Free Throw Technical (22 PTS)86
6.5%
93
93.5%
Q4 - 7:38DALEllis 8' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)85
5.0%
93
95.0%
Q4 - 7:54DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)85
6.3%
91
93.7%
Q4 - 7:54LALMISS W. Johnson 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot85
6.9%
91
93.1%
Q4 - 8:04DALCalderon 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Wright 2 AST)85
9.2%
91
90.8%
Q4 - 8:23LALMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Gasol 4 AST)85
11.5%
89
88.5%
Q4 - 8:27LALGasol REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 8:29LALCrowder BLOCK (1 BLK)82
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 8:30LALSacre REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)82
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 8:31LALMISS W. Johnson 4' Jump Shot82
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 8:42LALLakers Rebound82
7.2%
89
92.8%
Q4 - 8:42DALMISS Carter 4' Jump Shot82
6.7%
89
93.3%
Q4 - 8:54DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
5.6%
89
94.4%
Q4 - 8:57LALMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
6.1%
89
93.9%
Q4 - 9:05DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (27 PTS)82
7.9%
89
92.1%
Q4 - 9:12DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 9:12DALMISS Crowder 3PT Jump Shot82
11.4%
87
88.6%
Q4 - 9:27LALLakers Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)82
9.8%
87
90.2%
Q4 - 9:27LALHill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q4 - 9:28LALMISS Sacre 15' Jump Shot82
10.4%
87
89.6%
Q4 - 9:49LALSacre REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
12.1%
87
87.9%
Q4 - 9:52DALMISS Nowitzki 9' Step Back Jump Shot82
11.3%
87
88.7%
Q4 - 10:14LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)82
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 10:14LALW. Johnson 2' Tip Shot (17 PTS)82
10.1%
87
89.9%
Q4 - 10:16LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q4 - 10:16LALMISS W. Johnson 2' Tip Shot80
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 10:18LALMISS Meeks 2' Running Layup80
7.1%
87
92.9%
Q4 - 10:23DALMekel Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)80
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q4 - 10:33LALDalembert STEAL (1 STL)80
6.7%
87
93.3%
Q4 - 10:45DALNowitzki 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (25 PTS)80
8.3%
87
91.7%
Q4 - 10:59DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)80
10.1%
85
89.9%
Q4 - 11:01LALMISS Hill 17' Fadeaway Jumper80
11.4%
85
88.6%
Q4 - 11:09LALSacre REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)80
13.0%
85
87.0%
Q4 - 11:10LALDalembert BLOCK (2 BLK)80
11.3%
85
88.7%
Q4 - 11:23LALMeeks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)80
12.9%
85
87.1%
Q4 - 11:25DALMISS Nowitzki 16' Step Back Jump Shot80
12.2%
85
87.8%
Q4 - 11:50LALMeeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)80
10.6%
85
89.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DAL77
7.2%
85
92.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
5.9%
85
94.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0LALMISS Meeks 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q3 - 0:05.0DALMekel Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T10)77
7.6%
85
92.4%
Q3 - 0:22.0LALMeeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q3 - 0:22.0LALMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)76
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (23 PTS)75
5.2%
85
94.8%
Q3 - 0:35.0DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)75
5.2%
84
94.8%
Q3 - 0:50.0LALW. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Meeks 6 AST)75
6.3%
83
93.7%
Q3 - 0:59.0LALHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)72
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 0:59.0DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 1:11DALMekel REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q3 - 1:12LALMISS Young 27' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 1:24DALMekel Foul Turnover (P1.T9)72
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 1:45DALMAVERICKS Rebound72
3.8%
83
96.2%
Q3 - 1:47LALMISS W. Johnson 18' Jump Shot72
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 1:53DALCarter Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)72
4.5%
83
95.5%
Q3 - 2:13DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 2:14LALMISS Young 20' Jump Shot72
4.2%
83
95.8%
Q3 - 2:35DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)72
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 2:40LALEllis STEAL (3 STL)72
4.0%
83
96.0%
Q3 - 2:55DALCarter 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)72
4.8%
83
95.2%
Q3 - 3:06LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)72
7.1%
80
92.9%
Q3 - 3:06LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 1 of 271
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 3:24DALCalderon 2' Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Ellis 7 AST)71
7.2%
80
92.8%
Q3 - 3:28LALEllis STEAL (2 STL)71
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 3:44LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)71
9.9%
78
90.1%
Q3 - 3:46DALMISS Ellis 14' Floating Jump Shot71
9.4%
78
90.6%
Q3 - 3:59LALCalderon STEAL (4 STL)71
8.3%
78
91.7%
Q3 - 4:06LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)71
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 4:08DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot71
9.7%
78
90.3%
Q3 - 4:22LALYoung Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)71
8.5%
78
91.5%
Q3 - 4:45DALCarter Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)71
10.3%
78
89.7%
Q3 - 4:45DALCarter Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)71
10.5%
77
89.5%
Q3 - 4:58LALMarshall 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)71
11.6%
76
88.4%
Q3 - 5:10DALNowitzki 2' Driving Layup (21 PTS)69
10.4%
76
89.6%
Q3 - 5:25LALMarshall Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Gasol 3 AST)69
11.8%
74
88.2%
Q3 - 5:30DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)67
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 5:42DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)67
8.7%
74
91.3%
Q3 - 5:43LALMISS Sacre 11' Jump Shot67
9.2%
74
90.8%
Q3 - 5:58DALEllis 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS)67
10.4%
74
89.6%
Q3 - 6:14LALW. Johnson 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Marshall 6 AST)67
11.9%
72
88.1%
Q3 - 6:32DALNowitzki 15' Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Calderon 8 AST)65
10.5%
72
89.5%
Q3 - 6:48LALW. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Marshall 5 AST)65
11.9%
70
88.1%
Q3 - 6:58LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)62
9.1%
70
90.9%
Q3 - 6:59DALMISS Ellis 16' Jump Shot62
8.6%
70
91.4%
Q3 - 7:14LALSacre 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Gasol 2 AST)62
7.9%
70
92.1%
Q3 - 7:35LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
6.9%
70
93.1%
Q3 - 7:36DALMISS Ellington 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.6%
70
93.4%
Q3 - 7:46DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)60
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 7:48LALMISS Gasol 11' Turnaround Jump Shot60
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 8:07DALNowitzki 16' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Calderon 7 AST)60
7.1%
70
92.9%
Q3 - 8:24DALMAVERICKS Rebound60
7.9%
68
92.1%
Q3 - 8:26LALMISS Gasol 17' Jump Shot60
8.3%
68
91.7%
Q3 - 8:34DALBlair 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Ellis 6 AST)60
9.3%
68
90.7%
Q3 - 8:46LALMarshall Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)60
10.4%
66
89.6%
Q3 - 8:46LALMISS Marshall Free Throw 1 of 259
10.1%
66
89.9%
Q3 - 8:57DALBlair 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Nowitzki 4 AST)59
10.6%
66
89.4%
Q3 - 9:21LALMarshall 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Meeks 5 AST)59
12.0%
64
88.0%
Q3 - 9:41DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)56
9.3%
64
90.7%
Q3 - 9:56DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
10.5%
62
89.5%
Q3 - 9:57LALMISS Meeks 3PT Jump Shot56
11.0%
62
89.0%
Q3 - 10:17DALCalderon 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Nowitzki 3 AST)56
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 10:27LALW. Johnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)56
13.4%
60
86.6%
Q3 - 10:36LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)56
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 10:37DALMISS Ellington 18' Jump Shot56
14.6%
60
85.4%
Q3 - 11:04LALSacre 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Gasol 1 AST)56
13.3%
60
86.7%
Q3 - 11:13LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)54
11.9%
60
88.1%
Q3 - 11:14DALMISS Calderon 20' Jump Shot54
11.4%
60
88.6%
Q3 - 11:32LALSacre Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)54
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 11:32LALMISS Sacre Free Throw 1 of 253
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q3 - 11:47LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)53
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q3 - 11:48DALMISS Ellington 14' Jump Shot53
10.1%
60
89.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0LAL53
9.2%
60
90.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0LALMeeks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
10.5%
60
89.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0DALMISS Nowitzki 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.4%
60
89.6%
Q2 - 0:10.0DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
9.7%
60
90.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0LALMISS Marshall 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
10.0%
60
90.0%
Q2 - 0:30.0DALCarter 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS)53
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q2 - 0:38.0LALHill Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)53
12.3%
58
87.7%
Q2 - 0:38.0LALMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 252
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q2 - 0:47.0LALMeeks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
11.9%
58
88.1%
Q2 - 0:48.0DALMISS Carter 3PT Jump Shot52
11.6%
58
88.4%
Q2 - 0:57.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)52
10.9%
58
89.1%
Q2 - 0:59.0LALMISS Gasol 10' Hook Shot52
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q2 - 1:09LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
12.1%
58
87.9%
Q2 - 1:12DALMISS Nowitzki 14' Step Back Jump Shot52
11.8%
58
88.2%
Q2 - 1:35LALHill 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST)52
11.2%
58
88.8%
Q2 - 1:49DALNowitzki Traveling Turnover (P2.T5)50
9.6%
58
90.4%
Q2 - 1:54DALMAVERICKS Rebound50
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q2 - 1:54DALMISS Ellis 1' Layup50
9.4%
58
90.6%
Q2 - 1:57LALCalderon STEAL (3 STL)50
8.9%
58
91.1%
Q2 - 2:09DALCalderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)50
10.0%
58
90.0%
Q2 - 2:26DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)50
12.4%
55
87.6%
Q2 - 2:27LALGasol REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 2:27LALMISS Gasol 2' Tip Shot50
12.8%
55
87.2%
Q2 - 2:31LALMISS Hill Free Throw 2 of 250
12.6%
55
87.4%
Q2 - 2:31LALMISS Hill Free Throw 1 of 250
13.4%
55
86.6%
Q2 - 2:47DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)50
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 2:47DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)50
14.1%
54
85.9%
Q2 - 3:03LALMarshall 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Meeks 4 AST)50
15.0%
53
85.0%
Q2 - 3:16LALLakers Rebound47
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 2 of 247
12.3%
53
87.7%
Q2 - 3:16DALMISS Dalembert Free Throw 1 of 247
11.5%
53
88.5%
Q2 - 3:22LALCalderon STEAL (2 STL)47
11.0%
53
89.0%
Q2 - 3:34DALEllis 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 6 AST)47
12.5%
53
87.5%
Q2 - 3:38LALEllis STEAL (1 STL)47
13.6%
51
86.4%
Q2 - 3:51LALYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)47
15.4%
51
84.6%
Q2 - 3:52DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot47
14.8%
51
85.2%
Q2 - 4:07DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
13.7%
51
86.3%
Q2 - 4:08LALMISS Young 3PT Jump Shot47
14.1%
51
85.9%
Q2 - 4:17LALYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
15.1%
51
84.9%
Q2 - 4:18DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
14.7%
51
85.3%
Q2 - 4:38LALSacre 1' Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Meeks 3 AST)47
13.7%
51
86.3%
Q2 - 4:55DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)45
12.4%
51
87.6%
Q2 - 5:04DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)45
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 5:05LALMISS Gasol 8' Jump Shot45
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 5:26LALMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
16.6%
48
83.4%
Q2 - 5:27DALMISS Marion 17' Jump Shot45
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 5:42DALCarter REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)45
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 5:44DALMISS Carter 5' Jump Shot45
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 5:45DALCarter REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)45
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 5:48DALMISS Marion 14' Floating Jump Shot45
16.1%
48
83.9%
Q2 - 5:57DALCarter REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)45
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 5:58LALMISS Gasol 16' Jump Shot45
15.6%
48
84.4%
Q2 - 6:12LALLakers Rebound45
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 6:13DALMISS Calderon 24' 3PT Jump Shot45
16.3%
48
83.7%
Q2 - 6:21LALCarter STEAL (1 STL)45
15.0%
48
85.0%
Q2 - 6:34DALCarter 7' Jump Shot (9 PTS)45
16.8%
48
83.2%
Q2 - 6:51LALGasol Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)45
18.1%
46
81.9%
Q2 - 6:51LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)44
17.7%
46
82.3%
Q2 - 7:05LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
16.6%
46
83.4%
Q2 - 7:07DALMISS Blair 13' Floating Jump Shot43
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 7:16DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)43
15.1%
46
84.9%
Q2 - 7:17LALMISS Kelly 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 7:34DALCalderon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marion 1 AST)43
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 7:44LALBlair STEAL (1 STL)43
19.6%
43
80.4%
Q2 - 7:55LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 7:56DALMISS Carter 17' Jump Shot43
21.0%
43
79.0%
Q2 - 8:07LALMeeks Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)43
19.5%
43
80.5%
Q2 - 8:07LALMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)42
19.3%
43
80.7%
Q2 - 8:10DALNowitzki Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)41
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 8:24DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
16.4%
43
83.6%
Q2 - 8:25LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
16.9%
43
83.1%
Q2 - 8:36LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
18.0%
43
82.0%
Q2 - 8:37DALMISS Ellis 1' Driving Layup41
17.5%
43
82.5%
Q2 - 9:02LALYoung 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Kelly 3 AST)41
16.2%
43
83.8%
Q2 - 9:25DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Mekel 4 AST)39
15.0%
43
85.0%
Q2 - 9:39LALMeeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Kelly 2 AST)39
16.2%
41
83.8%
Q2 - 9:59DALNowitzki 11' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Mekel 3 AST)36
13.7%
41
86.3%
Q2 - 10:04LALCrowder STEAL (3 STL)36
14.9%
39
85.1%
Q2 - 10:24DALNowitzki 1' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Mekel 2 AST)36
16.5%
39
83.5%
Q2 - 10:44LALKelly 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (W. Johnson 1 AST)36
17.6%
37
82.4%
Q2 - 10:56DALCarter 17' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
15.1%
37
84.9%
Q2 - 11:10LALW. Johnson 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Meeks 2 AST)33
16.4%
35
83.6%
Q2 - 11:23DALWright 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Mekel 1 AST)31
15.2%
35
84.8%
Q2 - 11:32DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q2 - 11:33LALMISS Young 20' Jump Shot31
16.8%
33
83.2%
Q2 - 11:45LALHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
17.9%
33
82.1%
Q2 - 11:48DALMISS Wright 3' Alley Oop Layup31
17.4%
33
82.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0LAL31
16.4%
33
83.6%
Q1 - 0:04.0DALCarter 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)31
17.6%
33
82.4%
Q1 - 0:21.0DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
20.9%
30
79.1%
Q1 - 0:23.0LALMISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.3%
30
78.7%
Q1 - 0:28.0LALKelly REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
22.1%
30
77.9%
Q1 - 0:29.0DALMISS Nowitzki 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
21.7%
30
78.3%
Q1 - 0:39.0LALHill 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Meeks 1 AST)31
20.9%
30
79.1%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALWright REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALWright 1' Running Tip Shot (2 PTS)29
19.0%
30
81.0%
Q1 - 0:51.0DALMISS Ellis 18' Jump Shot29
21.7%
28
78.3%
Q1 - 1:12LALHill 4' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS)29
20.7%
28
79.3%
Q1 - 1:26LALHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
18.9%
28
81.1%
Q1 - 1:27DALMISS Crowder 17' Jump Shot27
18.6%
28
81.4%
Q1 - 1:47LALHill 2' Layup (2 PTS)27
17.9%
28
82.1%
Q1 - 2:08DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)25
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q1 - 2:26LALW. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Kelly 1 AST)25
19.1%
25
80.9%
Q1 - 2:35DALDalembert Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)22
16.4%
25
83.6%
Q1 - 2:58LALKelly Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)22
15.3%
25
84.7%
Q1 - 2:58LALKelly Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)21
14.9%
25
85.1%
Q1 - 3:12DALMarion 2' Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Carter 1 AST)20
14.0%
25
86.0%
Q1 - 3:27LALGasol 11' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
15.0%
23
85.0%
Q1 - 3:43DALMarion 1' Running Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Crowder 1 AST)18
14.0%
23
86.0%
Q1 - 3:48LALCrowder STEAL (2 STL)18
15.0%
21
85.0%
Q1 - 3:56LALLakers Rebound18
16.3%
21
83.7%
Q1 - 3:57LALMISS Young 25' 3PT Jump Shot18
15.4%
21
84.6%
Q1 - 4:14DALCrowder Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)18
16.1%
21
83.9%
Q1 - 4:14DALMISS Crowder Free Throw 1 of 218
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 4:17DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)18
15.9%
20
84.1%
Q1 - 4:19LALDalembert BLOCK (1 BLK)18
16.3%
20
83.7%
Q1 - 4:32LALHill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 4:33DALMISS Marion 3PT Jump Shot18
16.9%
20
83.1%
Q1 - 4:43DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)18
16.0%
20
84.0%
Q1 - 4:44LALMISS Marshall 22' Jump Shot18
16.4%
20
83.6%
Q1 - 4:59DALCrowder 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)18
17.3%
20
82.7%
Q1 - 5:03LALCrowder STEAL (1 STL)18
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 5:13LALYoung REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
19.7%
18
80.3%
Q1 - 5:14DALMISS Carter 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 5:37DALDalembert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
18.4%
18
81.6%
Q1 - 5:38LALMISS Gasol Free Throw 2 of 218
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 5:38LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)18
19.4%
18
80.6%
Q1 - 5:50DALCarter 1' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dalembert 1 AST)17
18.5%
18
81.5%
Q1 - 6:00LALGasol Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)17
19.6%
16
80.4%
Q1 - 6:07DALMarion 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Calderon 5 AST)14
17.0%
16
83.0%
Q1 - 6:17DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)14
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 6:17LALMISS Meeks 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
18.5%
14
81.5%
Q1 - 6:26LALGasol REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
19.4%
14
80.6%
Q1 - 6:27DALMISS Ellis 20' Jump Shot14
19.0%
14
81.0%
Q1 - 6:42DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
18.1%
14
81.9%
Q1 - 6:43LALMISS Meeks Free Throw 2 of 214
18.3%
14
81.7%
Q1 - 6:43LALMeeks Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)14
19.1%
14
80.9%
Q1 - 6:55DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)13
18.2%
14
81.8%
Q1 - 7:11LALW. Johnson 1' Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS)13
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 7:26DALBlair 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (8 PTS) (Calderon 4 AST)11
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 7:34DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
18.9%
10
81.1%
Q1 - 7:35LALMISS Meeks 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 7:45LALW. Johnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 7:46LALMISS Gasol 19' Jump Shot11
19.4%
10
80.6%
Q1 - 8:00LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
20.3%
10
79.7%
Q1 - 8:01DALMISS Blair Free Throw 1 of 111
19.8%
10
80.2%
Q1 - 8:12LALMeeks 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)11
21.1%
8
78.9%
Q1 - 8:15LALMeeks REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)9
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 8:16LALMISS Meeks 3PT Jump Shot9
19.1%
8
80.9%
Q1 - 8:28LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
20.0%
8
80.0%
Q1 - 8:29DALMISS Ellis 17' Jump Shot9
19.6%
8
80.4%
Q1 - 8:31DALMISS Nowitzki Free Throw Technical9
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 8:45LALGasol 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
18.7%
8
81.3%
Q1 - 8:59DALMarion 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)7
17.7%
8
82.3%
Q1 - 9:06LALCalderon STEAL (1 STL)7
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 9:14LALMarshall REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.8%
6
80.2%
Q1 - 9:16DALMISS Nowitzki 13' Step Back Jump Shot7
19.4%
6
80.6%
Q1 - 9:38LALMeeks 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)7
18.6%
6
81.4%
Q1 - 9:42DALCalderon Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:52DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)5
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 9:54LALMISS Meeks 18' Jump Shot5
16.8%
6
83.2%
Q1 - 9:57LALSacre REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
17.6%
6
82.4%
Q1 - 9:59DALMISS Blair 3' Layup5
17.3%
6
82.7%
Q1 - 10:09LALMeeks 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST)5
16.5%
6
83.5%
Q1 - 10:21DALBlair 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)2
14.8%
6
85.2%
Q1 - 10:24DALCalderon REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 10:27DALMISS Blair 12' Floating Jump Shot2
16.3%
4
83.7%
Q1 - 10:38LALGasol 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST)2
15.6%
4
84.4%
Q1 - 10:49DALBlair 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Calderon 2 AST)0
14.8%
4
85.2%
Q1 - 10:58DALMarion REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.6%
2
84.4%
Q1 - 11:00LALMISS Sacre 7' Turnaround Jump Shot0
15.9%
2
84.1%
Q1 - 11:13DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 11:15DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
15.5%
2
84.5%
Q1 - 11:16LALMISS W. Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.7%
2
84.3%
Q1 - 11:31DALNowitzki 13' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Calderon 1 AST)0
16.3%
2
83.7%
Q1 - 11:42DALBlair REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
17.3%
0
82.7%
Q1 - 11:43LALMISS Sacre 2' Reverse Layup0
17.6%
0
82.4%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Blair vs. Gasol: Tip to W. Johnson0
18.2%
0
81.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
LAL
13
20
65%
DAL
23
29
79%
Midrange
LAL
10
30
33%
DAL
20
44
45%
3PT | Effective 3PT
LAL
11
16.5
31
35%
53%
DAL
5
7.5
17
29%
44%
Free Throws
LAL
18
26
69%
DAL
9
15
60%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
LAL logo Lakers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Meeks2460%12.0 / 20
K. Marshall1882%9.0 / 11
W. Johnson1761%8.5 / 14
P. Gasol1544%7.5 / 17
J. Hill956%4.5 / 8
R. Sacre735%3.5 / 10
R. Kelly542%2.5 / 6
N. Young214%1.0 / 7
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki2764%13.5 / 21
V. Carter1973%9.5 / 13
M. Ellis1642%8.0 / 19
D. Blair1568%7.5 / 11
J. Calderon1275%6.0 / 8
S. Marion857%4.0 / 7
B. Wright857%4.0 / 7
J. Crowder542%2.5 / 6
S. Dalembert0-0.0 / 0
W. Ellington0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

LAL
82
+14
-19
96
DAL
88
+7
-12
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

LAL
1.00 50.0%
DAL
1.13 56.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
104.2
110.7
LAL 96.0 +14.0
DAL 110.0
Pace
98.8
94.1
LAL 103.1 +4.2
DAL 98.9
Avg. Poss. Time
14.2
15.7
LAL 14.0 +0.6
DAL 14.6
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.5%
52.6%
LAL 48.8%
DAL 56.1% +7.3%
TO %
15.0%
13.9%
LAL 17.8%
DAL 11.0% +6.8%
ORB %
20.3%
24.7%
LAL 26.1% +11.1%
DAL 15.0%
FTrt
26.3
25.3
LAL 32.1 +15.4
DAL 16.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
63.9%
59.6%
LAL 61.8%
DAL 66.7% +4.9%
STL %
7.6%
9.1%
LAL 5.9%
DAL 17.0% +11.1%
BLK %
8.1%
7.4%
LAL 4.1%
DAL 6.0% +1.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.2%
55.0%
LAL 50.0%
DAL 56.7% +6.7%
Rim FG%
58.2%
60.9%
LAL 65.0%
DAL 79.3% +14.3%
Mid FG%
38.5%
42.4%
LAL 33.3%
DAL 45.5% +12.2%
3P %
38.1%
38.4%
LAL 35.5% +6.1%
DAL 29.4%
FT %
75.7%
79.5%
LAL 69.2% +9.2%
DAL 60.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
32.8%
LAL 24.7%
DAL 32.2% +7.5%
Mid Att. %
37.4%
39.9%
LAL 37.0% +11.9%
DAL 48.9%
3P Att. %
29.1%
27.4%
LAL 38.3% +19.4%
DAL 18.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsLALDAL
Possessions101100
Possession Minutes23.524.3
Points97110
Rebounds4640
Assists2132
Steals617
Blocks33
Turnovers (Team)19 (1)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (2)6 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (3)34 (3)
Field Goals34-8148-90
At-the-Rim FG13-2023-29
Midrange FG10-3020-44
2-Point FG23-5043-73
3-Point FG11-315-17
Free Throws18-269-15
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 210 · 26
41.3
24
60%
4
6
4
0
2
2
1
3
8-9
89%
2-5
40%
4-11
36%
F · 7'0" 250 · 34
36.2
15
44%
13
5
0
2
3
2
4
9
5-7
71%
5-14
36%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 215 · 26
35.8
17
61%
4
1
0
0
2
3
3
1
0-0
-
4-7
57%
3-7
43%
G · 6'4" 200 · 22
33.4
18
82%
3
6
0
0
6
0
0
3
1-2
50%
4-5
80%
3-5
60%
C · 7'0" 270 · 25
27.6
7
35%
10
0
1
0
2
1
2
8
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
F · 6'11" 230 · 23
26.6
5
42%
4
3
1
1
1
3
0
4
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
F-C · 6'10" 240 · 26
20.2
9
56%
5
0
0
0
1
4
1
4
1-4
25%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 210 · 29
18.8
2
14%
3
0
0
0
2
1
0
3
0-0
-
1-3
33%
0-4
0%
G · 6'2" 180 · 27
G · 6'3" 172 · 34
F-G · 6'6" 220 · 23
C · 7'0" 265 · 32
#10 · G · 6'3" 178 · 40
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#24 · F-G · 6'6" 212 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
50%
46
21
6
3
19
0
12
34
18-26
69%
23-50
46%
11-31
35%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.