| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
 MIA | 110.2 | 88 | 87.9 |
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Scoring Opportunities
MIA
75
+9
-13
84
DEN
74
+15
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.7%
DEN
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | MIA | DEN |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 97 100% | 94 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:02.0 | DEN | MISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 97 99.1% | 94 0.9% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7) | 97 93.5% | 94 6.5% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MIA | MISS Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 | 97 94.7% | 94 5.3% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS) | 97 97.4% | 94 2.6% |
| Q4 - 0:25.0 | DEN | Foye 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS) | 96 93.5% | 94 6.5% |
| Q4 - 0:30.0 | MIA | Beasley 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 10 AST) | 96 95.9% | 92 4.1% |
| Q4 - 0:50.0 | DEN | Chandler 2' Dunk (13 PTS) (Hickson 3 AST) | 93 80.6% | 92 19.4% |
| Q4 - 1:05 | MIA | Hickson STEAL (2 STL) | 93 86.7% | 90 13.3% |
| Q4 - 1:23 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 93 91.6% | 90 8.4% |
| Q4 - 1:24 | DEN | MISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot | 93 89.9% | 90 10.1% |
| Q4 - 1:36 | MIA | Allen 18' Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST) | 93 84.2% | 90 15.8% |
| Q4 - 1:55 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 91 76.3% | 90 23.7% |
| Q4 - 1:56 | DEN | MISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot | 91 73.2% | 90 26.8% |
| Q4 - 2:21 | MIA | James 18' Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 91 65.3% | 90 34.7% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | DEN | Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (26 PTS) | 89 57.3% | 90 42.7% |
| Q4 - 3:08 | MIA | James 6' Jump Bank Shot (24 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST) | 89 74.5% | 87 25.5% |
| Q4 - 3:26 | DEN | Arthur 16' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST) | 87 67.8% | 87 32.2% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS) | 87 73.0% | 85 27.0% |
| Q4 - 3:42 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 | 86 71.5% | 85 28.5% |
| Q4 - 3:44 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 86 73.7% | 85 26.3% |
| Q4 - 3:45 | DEN | MISS Chandler 6' Jump Shot | 86 71.2% | 85 28.8% |
| Q4 - 3:55 | MIA | Allen Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12) | 86 65.0% | 85 35.0% |
| Q4 - 4:17 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 86 73.9% | 85 26.1% |
| Q4 - 4:18 | DEN | MISS Hickson 15' Jump Shot | 86 71.4% | 85 28.6% |
| Q4 - 4:33 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6) | 86 65.0% | 85 35.0% |
| Q4 - 4:34 | MIA | MISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 86 67.9% | 85 32.1% |
| Q4 - 4:54 | DEN | Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST) | 86 74.0% | 85 26.0% |
| Q4 - 5:08 | MIA | Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (James 9 AST) | 86 83.4% | 82 16.6% |
| Q4 - 5:20 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 83 72.6% | 82 27.4% |
| Q4 - 5:21 | DEN | MISS A. Miller 9' Jump Shot | 83 70.3% | 82 29.7% |
| Q4 - 5:47 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS) (James 8 AST) | 83 64.8% | 82 35.2% |
| Q4 - 6:02 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 81 59.0% | 82 41.0% |
| Q4 - 6:04 | DEN | MISS Hickson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 81 56.4% | 82 43.6% |
| Q4 - 6:29 | MIA | Bosh 8' Fadeaway Bank Shot (15 PTS) | 81 50.3% | 82 49.7% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | DEN | Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS) | 79 43.6% | 82 56.4% |
| Q4 - 6:50 | DEN | Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 79 44.9% | 81 55.1% |
| Q4 - 7:14 | MIA | Bosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11) | 79 52.5% | 80 47.5% |
| Q4 - 7:26 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 79 60.0% | 80 40.0% |
| Q4 - 7:27 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 79 54.8% | 80 45.2% |
| Q4 - 7:38 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 79 60.0% | 80 40.0% |
| Q4 - 7:38 | DEN | MISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot | 79 57.7% | 80 42.3% |
| Q4 - 7:49 | MIA | Beasley 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 79 52.4% | 80 47.6% |
| Q4 - 7:53 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 77 46.1% | 80 53.9% |
| Q4 - 7:54 | MIA | MISS Beasley 5' Jump Shot | 77 40.8% | 80 59.2% |
| Q4 - 8:18 | DEN | Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Hickson 2 AST) | 77 47.3% | 80 52.7% |
| Q4 - 8:23 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5) | 77 60.1% | 77 39.9% |
| Q4 - 8:24 | DEN | MISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot | 77 64.3% | 77 35.7% |
| Q4 - 8:43 | MIA | Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 7 AST) | 77 60.1% | 77 39.9% |
| Q4 - 9:04 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 74 48.6% | 77 51.4% |
| Q4 - 9:05 | DEN | MISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot | 74 46.8% | 77 53.2% |
| Q4 - 9:18 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5) | 74 42.6% | 77 57.4% |
| Q4 - 9:19 | DEN | MISS Chandler 8' Jump Shot | 74 46.7% | 77 53.3% |
| Q4 - 9:33 | DEN | Robinson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 74 42.6% | 77 57.4% |
| Q4 - 9:34 | MIA | MISS Mason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 74 44.4% | 77 55.6% |
| Q4 - 9:42 | DEN | Robinson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T14) | 74 48.5% | 77 51.5% |
| Q4 - 9:57 | MIA | Beasley 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST) | 74 42.5% | 77 57.5% |
| Q4 - 10:14 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 72 38.5% | 77 61.5% |
| Q4 - 10:15 | DEN | MISS Hickson 7' Jump Shot | 72 36.8% | 77 63.2% |
| Q4 - 10:41 | MIA | Chalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T10) | 72 33.1% | 77 66.9% |
| Q4 - 10:55 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 72 38.4% | 77 61.6% |
| Q4 - 10:56 | DEN | MISS Hickson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot | 72 36.7% | 77 63.3% |
| Q4 - 11:07 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 72 34.4% | 77 65.6% |
| Q4 - 11:08 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 7' Jump Shot | 72 35.9% | 77 64.1% |
| Q4 - 11:26 | MIA | Mason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 72 39.4% | 77 60.6% |
| Q4 - 11:27 | DEN | MISS Chandler 3' Running Layup | 72 37.8% | 77 62.2% |
| Q4 - 11:51 | MIA | Chalmers Offensive Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 72 34.3% | 77 65.7% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DEN | 72 39.4% | 77 60.6% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 72 34.3% | 77 65.7% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS James 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 72 37.6% | 77 62.4% |
| Q3 - 0:23.0 | DEN | Mozgov 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS) | 72 40.7% | 77 59.3% |
| Q3 - 0:24.0 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 72 45.9% | 75 54.1% |
| Q3 - 0:25.0 | DEN | MISS Lawson 1' Driving Layup | 72 49.3% | 75 50.7% |
| Q3 - 0:41.0 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 72 45.9% | 75 54.1% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | DEN | Foye 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 69 37.3% | 75 62.7% |
| Q3 - 1:08 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 69 42.1% | 73 57.9% |
| Q3 - 1:10 | MIA | MISS Beasley 3' Running Layup | 69 43.5% | 73 56.5% |
| Q3 - 1:24 | DEN | Foye 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST) | 69 46.8% | 73 53.2% |
| Q3 - 1:40 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 69 51.8% | 71 48.2% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 69 52.5% | 71 47.5% |
| Q3 - 1:42 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS) | 69 55.7% | 71 44.3% |
| Q3 - 2:05 | DEN | Chandler 2' Driving Dunk (11 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST) | 68 52.4% | 71 47.6% |
| Q3 - 2:35 | MIA | James 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) | 68 56.8% | 69 43.2% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | DEN | Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS) | 65 47.7% | 69 52.3% |
| Q3 - 2:47 | DEN | Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 65 48.5% | 68 51.5% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | DEN | Mozgov REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 65 52.2% | 67 47.8% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | MIA | MISS James 16' Jump Shot | 65 53.6% | 67 46.4% |
| Q3 - 3:22 | DEN | Arthur 1' Slam Dunk (11 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST) | 65 57.7% | 67 42.3% |
| Q3 - 3:31 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 65 61.7% | 65 38.3% |
| Q3 - 3:32 | DEN | MISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot | 65 64.8% | 65 35.2% |
| Q3 - 3:41 | DEN | Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 65 61.6% | 65 38.4% |
| Q3 - 3:42 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 65 63.0% | 65 37.0% |
| Q3 - 4:03 | DEN | Arthur 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Foye 7 AST) | 65 66.4% | 65 33.6% |
| Q3 - 4:23 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 65 69.3% | 63 30.7% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 | 65 69.9% | 63 30.1% |
| Q3 - 4:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 65 72.3% | 63 27.7% |
| Q3 - 4:35 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 65 73.6% | 63 26.4% |
| Q3 - 4:36 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 70.7% | 63 29.3% |
| Q3 - 4:43 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 65 73.6% | 63 26.4% |
| Q3 - 4:44 | DEN | MISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 65 72.3% | 63 27.7% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | MIA | Bosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 65 69.3% | 63 30.7% |
| Q3 - 4:59 | MIA | MISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 2 | 64 68.7% | 63 31.3% |
| Q3 - 5:16 | DEN | Arthur 3' Driving Dunk (7 PTS) | 64 69.6% | 63 30.4% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 64 72.5% | 61 27.5% |
| Q3 - 5:33 | MIA | Allen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 63 72.2% | 61 27.8% |
| Q3 - 5:56 | DEN | Hickson 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Foye 6 AST) | 62 69.7% | 61 30.3% |
| Q3 - 6:05 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 62 72.6% | 59 27.4% |
| Q3 - 6:06 | DEN | MISS Arthur 21' Jump Shot | 62 75.0% | 59 25.0% |
| Q3 - 6:14 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 62 72.6% | 59 27.4% |
| Q3 - 6:15 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Jump Shot | 62 73.7% | 59 26.3% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | DEN | Arthur Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T13) | 62 76.0% | 59 24.0% |
| Q3 - 6:31 | MIA | Arthur STEAL (1 STL) | 62 72.6% | 59 27.4% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | DEN | Foye Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12) | 62 76.0% | 59 24.0% |
| Q3 - 6:55 | MIA | Bosh 1' Dunk (12 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 62 72.6% | 59 27.4% |
| Q3 - 7:14 | DEN | Hickson 1' Dunk (10 PTS) (Arthur 2 AST) | 60 69.4% | 59 30.6% |
| Q3 - 7:34 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 60 72.3% | 57 27.7% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 | 60 72.8% | 57 27.2% |
| Q3 - 7:36 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS) | 60 74.7% | 57 25.3% |
| Q3 - 7:40 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 59 72.6% | 57 27.4% |
| Q3 - 7:41 | DEN | MISS Lawson 21' Step Back Jump Shot | 59 71.6% | 57 28.4% |
| Q3 - 7:54 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 59 69.1% | 57 30.9% |
| Q3 - 7:56 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 70.2% | 57 29.8% |
| Q3 - 8:02 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 59 72.7% | 57 27.3% |
| Q3 - 8:03 | DEN | MISS Chandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 59 71.6% | 57 28.4% |
| Q3 - 8:14 | MIA | James Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7) | 59 69.1% | 57 30.9% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | DEN | Hickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS) | 59 72.6% | 57 27.4% |
| Q3 - 8:26 | DEN | Hickson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS) | 59 73.5% | 56 26.5% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 59 75.1% | 55 24.9% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | MIA | Anthony Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 58 74.3% | 55 25.7% |
| Q3 - 8:49 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 57 72.6% | 55 27.4% |
| Q3 - 8:51 | DEN | MISS Lawson 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot | 57 71.6% | 55 28.4% |
| Q3 - 9:17 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST) | 57 69.2% | 55 30.8% |
| Q3 - 9:22 | MIA | Chalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 54 62.8% | 55 37.2% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | MIA | MISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 | 54 59.7% | 55 40.3% |
| Q3 - 9:25 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 54 62.0% | 55 38.0% |
| Q3 - 9:35 | DEN | Jump Ball Faried vs. Bosh: Tip to James | 53 59.3% | 55 40.7% |
| Q3 - 9:46 | DEN | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 53 55.6% | 55 44.4% |
| Q3 - 9:47 | MIA | MISS James 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot | 53 56.7% | 55 43.3% |
| Q3 - 9:57 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 53 59.3% | 55 40.7% |
| Q3 - 9:58 | DEN | MISS Hickson 18' Jump Shot | 53 58.2% | 55 41.8% |
| Q3 - 10:23 | MIA | Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 6 AST) | 53 56.5% | 55 43.5% |
| Q3 - 10:29 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 50 49.4% | 55 50.6% |
| Q3 - 10:31 | DEN | MISS Faried 4' Jump Hook Shot | 50 48.3% | 55 51.7% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2) | 50 45.8% | 55 54.2% |
| Q3 - 10:38 | DEN | MISS Hamilton 19' Jump Shot | 50 48.3% | 55 51.7% |
| Q3 - 10:55 | MIA | Bosh 3' Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 50 45.8% | 55 54.2% |
| Q3 - 11:05 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 48 43.8% | 55 56.2% |
| Q3 - 11:06 | DEN | MISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 48 42.7% | 55 57.3% |
| Q3 - 11:24 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 5 AST) | 48 40.2% | 55 59.8% |
| Q3 - 11:47 | DEN | Hickson Foul Turnover (P2.T10) | 46 37.0% | 55 63.0% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 46 33.7% | 55 66.3% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 46 37.0% | 55 63.0% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS James 33' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot | 46 36.5% | 55 63.5% |
| Q2 - 0:04.0 | DEN | Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hickson 1 AST) | 46 38.0% | 55 62.0% |
| Q2 - 0:26.0 | MIA | Wade 15' Fadeaway Bank Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST) | 46 45.2% | 52 54.8% |
| Q2 - 0:38.0 | DEN | Foye 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS) | 44 41.1% | 52 58.9% |
| Q2 - 0:53.0 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 44 45.1% | 50 54.9% |
| Q2 - 0:55.0 | MIA | MISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 44 45.9% | 50 54.1% |
| Q2 - 1:16 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 44 48.2% | 50 51.8% |
| Q2 - 1:17 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 2 of 2 | 44 46.4% | 50 53.6% |
| Q2 - 1:17 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS) | 44 48.6% | 50 51.4% |
| Q2 - 1:29 | DEN | Chandler 1' Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Foye 5 AST) | 43 45.0% | 50 55.0% |
| Q2 - 1:34 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 43 49.3% | 48 50.7% |
| Q2 - 1:36 | MIA | Faried BLOCK (1 BLK) | 43 49.9% | 48 50.1% |
| Q2 - 1:57 | DEN | Faried 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Foye 4 AST) | 43 51.3% | 48 48.7% |
| Q2 - 2:17 | MIA | Beasley 1' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST) | 43 55.5% | 46 44.5% |
| Q2 - 2:30 | DEN | Lawson Traveling Turnover (P2.T9) | 41 52.5% | 46 47.5% |
| Q2 - 2:31 | MIA | Lawson STEAL (1 STL) | 41 49.4% | 46 50.6% |
| Q2 - 2:43 | DEN | Chandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 41 52.4% | 46 47.6% |
| Q2 - 2:56 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 41 49.4% | 46 50.6% |
| Q2 - 2:57 | DEN | MISS Hickson 14' Jump Shot | 41 51.5% | 46 48.5% |
| Q2 - 3:10 | MIA | Bosh 2' Layup (6 PTS) (James 4 AST) | 41 50.1% | 46 49.9% |
| Q2 - 3:17 | MIA | Beasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 39 47.7% | 46 52.3% |
| Q2 - 3:18 | DEN | MISS Faried 13' Jump Shot | 39 46.6% | 46 53.4% |
| Q2 - 3:22 | DEN | Hickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 39 44.1% | 46 55.9% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | DEN | MISS Foye 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 39 46.6% | 46 53.4% |
| Q2 - 3:35 | DEN | Jump Ball Hickson vs. James: Tip to Faried | 39 44.1% | 46 55.9% |
| Q2 - 3:41 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 39 47.6% | 46 52.4% |
| Q2 - 3:42 | DEN | MISS Chandler 3PT Jump Shot | 39 46.5% | 46 53.5% |
| Q2 - 3:57 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 39 44.0% | 46 56.0% |
| Q2 - 3:57 | MIA | James Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 38 43.4% | 46 56.6% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | DEN | Lawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 37 42.5% | 46 57.5% |
| Q2 - 4:06 | DEN | MISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 37 43.0% | 45 57.0% |
| Q2 - 4:11 | DEN | Faried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 37 42.5% | 45 57.5% |
| Q2 - 4:12 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 8' Jump Bank Shot | 37 43.4% | 45 56.6% |
| Q2 - 4:31 | DEN | Faried 9' Jump Hook Shot (6 PTS) | 37 45.4% | 45 54.6% |
| Q2 - 4:48 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 37 48.1% | 43 51.9% |
| Q2 - 4:49 | MIA | MISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 37 49.1% | 43 50.9% |
| Q2 - 5:07 | DEN | Faried 7' Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 37 51.7% | 43 48.3% |
| Q2 - 5:11 | DEN | Faried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 37 54.6% | 41 45.4% |
| Q2 - 5:12 | DEN | MISS Foye 3' Running Layup | 37 56.5% | 41 43.5% |
| Q2 - 5:40 | MIA | Wade 2' Layup (10 PTS) (James 3 AST) | 37 54.6% | 41 45.4% |
| Q2 - 5:52 | DEN | Hickson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 35 51.6% | 41 48.4% |
| Q2 - 6:07 | DEN | Faried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 54.7% | 39 45.3% |
| Q2 - 6:08 | MIA | MISS Cole 21' Jump Shot | 35 55.7% | 39 44.3% |
| Q2 - 6:19 | DEN | Hickson 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T7) | 35 57.9% | 39 42.1% |
| Q2 - 6:32 | DEN | A. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 54.7% | 39 45.3% |
| Q2 - 6:33 | MIA | MISS Allen 14' Jump Shot | 35 55.7% | 39 44.3% |
| Q2 - 6:44 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 57.9% | 39 42.1% |
| Q2 - 6:46 | DEN | MISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 56.9% | 39 43.1% |
| Q2 - 6:54 | MIA | Robinson STEAL (1 STL) | 35 54.7% | 39 45.3% |
| Q2 - 7:18 | DEN | Faried 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Foye 3 AST) | 35 58.2% | 39 41.8% |
| Q2 - 7:24 | DEN | Foye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 35 60.5% | 37 39.5% |
| Q2 - 7:25 | MIA | MISS Bosh 2' Layup | 35 61.4% | 37 38.6% |
| Q2 - 7:47 | DEN | NUGGETS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#6) | 35 63.3% | 37 36.7% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | DEN | Foye Free Throw Technical (3 PTS) | 35 60.7% | 37 39.3% |
| Q2 - 8:20 | MIA | Cole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3) | 35 63.2% | 36 36.8% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 35 65.6% | 36 34.4% |
| Q2 - 8:23 | MIA | Mozgov BLOCK (1 BLK) | 35 63.9% | 36 36.1% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | DEN | A. Miller 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Arthur 1 AST) | 35 65.6% | 36 34.4% |
| Q2 - 8:50 | DEN | Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 35 67.9% | 34 32.1% |
| Q2 - 8:51 | MIA | MISS Wade 18' Jump Shot | 35 68.6% | 34 31.4% |
| Q2 - 9:08 | DEN | Mozgov 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) | 35 70.3% | 34 29.7% |
| Q2 - 9:31 | DEN | Foye REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 35 72.2% | 32 27.8% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIA | MISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 35 72.9% | 32 27.1% |
| Q2 - 9:47 | DEN | Robinson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 35 74.3% | 32 25.7% |
| Q2 - 10:06 | MIA | Lewis 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 2 AST) | 35 71.8% | 32 28.2% |
| Q2 - 10:16 | DEN | A. Miller Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T4) | 33 70.2% | 32 29.8% |
| Q2 - 10:36 | MIA | Wade 6' Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) | 33 67.7% | 32 32.3% |
| Q2 - 10:48 | DEN | A. Miller Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3) | 31 65.9% | 32 34.1% |
| Q2 - 10:56 | DEN | A. Miller REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 63.3% | 32 36.7% |
| Q2 - 10:57 | MIA | MISS Cole 20' Jump Shot | 31 64.1% | 32 35.9% |
| Q2 - 11:07 | MIA | Cole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 65.6% | 32 34.4% |
| Q2 - 11:08 | DEN | MISS Arthur 17' Jump Shot | 31 64.9% | 32 35.1% |
| Q2 - 11:28 | MIA | Wade 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 31 63.3% | 32 36.7% |
| Q2 - 11:44 | DEN | Mozgov 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Foye 2 AST) | 29 61.2% | 32 38.8% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | 29 63.3% | 30 36.7% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 29 65.6% | 30 34.4% |
| Q1 - 0:01.0 | MIA | MISS Allen 47' 3PT Jump Shot | 29 64.1% | 30 35.9% |
| Q1 - 0:03.0 | DEN | Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) | 29 65.2% | 30 34.8% |
| Q1 - 0:14.0 | DEN | Chandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 29 69.9% | 27 30.1% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | DEN | MISS Arthur 18' Jump Shot | 29 70.9% | 27 29.1% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 29 69.9% | 27 30.1% |
| Q1 - 0:20.0 | DEN | MISS Mozgov 2' Layup | 29 70.9% | 27 29.1% |
| Q1 - 0:34.0 | DEN | Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 29 69.9% | 27 30.1% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | MIA | MISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot | 29 70.3% | 27 29.7% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | DEN | Arthur 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST) | 29 71.4% | 27 28.6% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 29 73.7% | 25 26.3% |
| Q1 - 1:23 | DEN | Lawson 2' Driving Layup (9 PTS) | 26 69.5% | 25 30.5% |
| Q1 - 1:34 | MIA | James 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 26 71.9% | 23 28.1% |
| Q1 - 1:42 | MIA | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 67.5% | 23 32.5% |
| Q1 - 1:43 | DEN | MISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot | 23 67.1% | 23 32.9% |
| Q1 - 1:53 | MIA | Allen 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST) | 23 66.0% | 23 34.0% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | DEN | Chandler 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Mozgov 1 AST) | 21 63.7% | 23 36.3% |
| Q1 - 2:23 | DEN | Lawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 68.0% | 20 32.0% |
| Q1 - 2:24 | MIA | MISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot | 21 68.5% | 20 31.5% |
| Q1 - 2:35 | DEN | Chandler 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) | 21 69.8% | 20 30.2% |
| Q1 - 2:41 | DEN | Arthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 71.8% | 18 28.2% |
| Q1 - 2:42 | MIA | MISS Haslem 18' Jump Shot | 21 72.3% | 18 27.7% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | DEN | Foye Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 21 73.4% | 18 26.6% |
| Q1 - 2:56 | DEN | Foye Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 21 73.7% | 17 26.3% |
| Q1 - 3:10 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 21 75.2% | 16 24.8% |
| Q1 - 3:11 | DEN | MISS Arthur 20' Jump Shot | 21 76.4% | 16 23.6% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 21 75.2% | 16 24.8% |
| Q1 - 3:33 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 20 74.8% | 16 25.2% |
| Q1 - 3:55 | DEN | Hickson 18' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Foye 1 AST) | 19 73.6% | 16 26.4% |
| Q1 - 4:15 | MIA | James Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS) | 19 75.1% | 14 24.9% |
| Q1 - 4:15 | MIA | MISS James Free Throw 1 of 2 | 18 74.8% | 14 25.2% |
| Q1 - 4:26 | MIA | James REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 18 75.3% | 14 24.7% |
| Q1 - 4:28 | DEN | MISS Lawson 16' Jump Shot | 18 74.7% | 14 25.3% |
| Q1 - 4:44 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 18 73.4% | 14 26.6% |
| Q1 - 4:45 | DEN | MISS Faried 5' Jump Shot | 18 74.7% | 14 25.3% |
| Q1 - 4:59 | MIA | Wade 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST) | 18 73.4% | 14 26.6% |
| Q1 - 5:04 | MIA | Bosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 16 71.4% | 14 28.6% |
| Q1 - 5:05 | MIA | MISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 16 70.2% | 14 29.8% |
| Q1 - 5:21 | DEN | Lawson 4' Running Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 16 71.5% | 14 28.5% |
| Q1 - 5:33 | MIA | Bosh 11' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST) | 16 73.0% | 12 27.0% |
| Q1 - 5:52 | DEN | Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST) | 14 71.5% | 12 28.5% |
| Q1 - 6:07 | MIA | Bosh 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 14 74.4% | 9 25.6% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | DEN | Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Hamilton 1 AST) | 12 73.0% | 9 27.0% |
| Q1 - 6:52 | DEN | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 75.9% | 6 24.1% |
| Q1 - 6:53 | MIA | MISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 76.3% | 6 23.7% |
| Q1 - 7:09 | MIA | Heat Rebound | 12 77.2% | 6 22.8% |
| Q1 - 7:10 | DEN | MISS Hamilton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 76.7% | 6 23.3% |
| Q1 - 7:16 | MIA | Chandler STEAL (1 STL) | 12 75.6% | 6 24.4% |
| Q1 - 7:27 | DEN | Chandler 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST) | 12 77.2% | 6 22.8% |
| Q1 - 7:42 | DEN | Faried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 78.3% | 4 21.7% |
| Q1 - 7:43 | MIA | MISS Bosh 15' Fadeaway Jumper | 12 78.8% | 4 21.2% |
| Q1 - 7:56 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 12 79.8% | 4 20.2% |
| Q1 - 7:57 | DEN | MISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 12 79.3% | 4 20.7% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 12 78.4% | 4 21.6% |
| Q1 - 8:09 | MIA | Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 11 78.2% | 4 21.8% |
| Q1 - 8:11 | DEN | Lawson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2) | 10 77.2% | 4 22.8% |
| Q1 - 8:15 | DEN | Hamilton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 10 75.8% | 4 24.2% |
| Q1 - 8:16 | MIA | MISS James 21' Jump Shot | 10 76.2% | 4 23.8% |
| Q1 - 8:42 | DEN | Lawson 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) | 10 77.2% | 4 22.8% |
| Q1 - 9:03 | DEN | NUGGETS Rebound | 10 78.3% | 2 21.7% |
| Q1 - 9:04 | DEN | MISS Chandler 2' Driving Layup | 10 79.3% | 2 20.7% |
| Q1 - 9:18 | MIA | Wade 1' Layup (2 PTS) (James 2 AST) | 10 78.3% | 2 21.7% |
| Q1 - 9:37 | DEN | Hickson 6' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST) | 8 77.3% | 2 22.7% |
| Q1 - 10:01 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Wade 1 AST) | 8 78.0% | 0 22.0% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | DEN | Faried Foul Turnover (P1.T1) | 5 75.7% | 0 24.3% |
| Q1 - 10:39 | MIA | James Traveling Turnover (P1.T1) | 5 74.3% | 0 25.7% |
| Q1 - 10:47 | MIA | Battier REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 5 75.8% | 0 24.2% |
| Q1 - 10:48 | DEN | MISS Faried 5' Jump Hook Shot | 5 75.3% | 0 24.7% |
| Q1 - 11:01 | MIA | Battier 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST) | 5 74.3% | 0 25.7% |
| Q1 - 11:10 | MIA | Wade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 2 71.5% | 0 28.5% |
| Q1 - 11:12 | DEN | MISS Chandler 17' Fadeaway Jumper | 2 71.1% | 0 28.9% |
| Q1 - 11:35 | MIA | James 3' Layup (2 PTS) | 2 70.3% | 0 29.7% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | DEN | Jump Ball Hickson vs. Bosh: Tip to Wade | 0 68.7% | 0 31.3% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.7%
DEN
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
9
14
64%
DEN
21
29
72%
Midrange
MIA
14
30
47%
DEN
9
32
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
23
48%
72%
DEN
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
Free Throws
MIA
18
28
64%
DEN
10
11
91%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Heat| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| L. James | 26 | 68% | 13.0 / 19 | |
| C. Bosh | 17 | 61% | 8.5 / 14 | |
| R. Allen | 13 | 72% | 6.5 / 9 | |
| D. Wade | 12 | 67% | 6.0 / 9 | |
| M. Chalmers | 10 | 50% | 5.0 / 10 | |
| M. Beasley | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| S. Battier | 6 | 100% | 3.0 / 3 | |
| R. Lewis | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| J. Anthony | 2 | - | 0.0 / 0 | |
| N. Cole | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 | |
| U. Haslem | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 | |
| R. Mason Jr. | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Nuggets| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Lawson | 26 | 72% | 13.0 / 18 | |
| W. Chandler | 13 | 38% | 6.5 / 17 | |
| D. Arthur | 13 | 46% | 6.5 / 14 | |
| J. Hickson | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| R. Foye | 11 | 79% | 5.5 / 7 | |
| K. Faried | 8 | 50% | 4.0 / 8 | |
| T. Mozgov | 6 | 75% | 3.0 / 4 | |
| J. Hamilton | 3 | 50% | 1.5 / 3 | |
| A. Miller | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| N. Robinson | 0 | - | 0.0 / 1 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
MIA
75
+9
-13
84
DEN
74
+15
-13
89
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
MIA
1.15 57.7%
DEN
1.06 52.8%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 110.7 106.3 | MIA 110.2 +2.2 DEN 108.0 |
| Pace | 91.5 97.8 | MIA 87.9 +0.8 DEN 87.1 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 15.8 14.2 | MIA 16.4 +0.1 DEN 16.5 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 55.4% 49.7% | MIA 59.0% +7.1% DEN 51.9% |
| TO % | 15.4% 15.7% | MIA 14.1% +0.8% DEN 14.9% |
| ORB % | 20.6% 27.5% | MIA 14.7% DEN 23.5% +8.8% |
| FTrt | 30.0 30.6 | MIA 41.8 +28.2 DEN 13.6 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.8% 58.4% | MIA 67.6% +7.1% DEN 60.5% |
| STL % | 9.7% 7.6% | MIA 8.0% +1.1% DEN 6.9% |
| BLK % | 8.1% 8.6% | MIA 6.6% +2.1% DEN 4.5% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 57.5% 52.2% | MIA 57.7% +4.9% DEN 52.8% |
| Rim FG% | 66.7% 57.6% | MIA 64.3% DEN 72.4% +8.1% |
| Mid FG% | 42.8% 36.2% | MIA 46.7% +18.6% DEN 28.1% |
| 3P % | 36.4% 35.8% | MIA 47.8% +7.8% DEN 40.0% |
| FT % | 76.0% 72.6% | MIA 64.3% DEN 90.9% +26.6% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 38.3% 40.2% | MIA 20.9% DEN 35.8% +14.9% |
| Mid Att. % | 32.5% 32.0% | MIA 44.8% DEN 39.5% +5.3% |
| 3P Att. % | 29.2% 27.8% | MIA 34.3% +9.6% DEN 24.7% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
| Game Totals | MIA | DEN |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 88 | 87 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.0 | 24.0 |
| Points | 97 | 94 |
| Rebounds | 31 | 37 |
| Assists | 23 | 23 |
| Steals | 7 | 6 |
| Blocks | 4 | 2 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 13 (0) | 13 (2) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 5 (4) | 8 (7) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 26 (2) | 29 (1) |
| Field Goals | 34-67 | 38-81 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 9-14 | 21-29 |
| Midrange FG | 14-30 | 9-32 |
| 2-Point FG | 23-44 | 30-61 |
| 3-Point FG | 11-23 | 8-20 |
| Free Throws | 18-28 | 10-11 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
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Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.