FinalWin Prob.pScore
273%105
110
2527%97
94
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
119.69295.7
ORL logo ORL
96.99794.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MagicHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAORL
Q4 - 0:00.0ORL110
100%
94
0%
Q4 - 0:09.0ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)110
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Anthony 13' Fadeaway Jumper110
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:33.0MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)110
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0ORLMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot110
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIACole 20' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)110
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16ORLHarris Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)108
99.9%
94
0.1%
Q4 - 1:16ORLHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)108
99.9%
93
0.1%
Q4 - 1:27MIAChalmers 8' Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)108
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 1:40ORLNelson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T16)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:05MIAJames 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)106
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:14ORLNelson 2' Layup (21 PTS) (Oladipo 3 AST)104
99.9%
92
0.1%
Q4 - 2:18ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:19MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:30MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:32ORLMISS Afflalo 11' Jump Shot104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:42MIABosh 2' Alley Oop Layup (20 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)104
99.9%
90
0.1%
Q4 - 2:57MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)102
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 2:59ORLMISS Harris 6' Jump Shot102
99.8%
90
0.2%
Q4 - 3:10MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)102
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 3:10MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)101
99.7%
90
0.3%
Q4 - 3:23ORLNelson Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)100
99.6%
90
0.4%
Q4 - 3:23ORLNelson Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)100
99.6%
89
0.4%
Q4 - 3:26ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)100
99.7%
88
0.3%
Q4 - 3:27ORLMISS Oladipo 3PT Jump Shot100
99.8%
88
0.2%
Q4 - 3:35ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)100
99.3%
88
0.7%
Q4 - 3:36MIAMISS James 16' Fadeaway Jumper100
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 3:51MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)100
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 3:52ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot100
99.5%
88
0.5%
Q4 - 4:06MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (13 PTS)100
99.4%
88
0.6%
Q4 - 4:34ORLOladipo 26' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)98
99.2%
88
0.8%
Q4 - 4:52MIABosh 1' Layup (16 PTS) (James 8 AST)98
99.6%
85
0.4%
Q4 - 5:01ORLDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)96
99.0%
85
1.0%
Q4 - 5:15MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (20 PTS)96
98.6%
85
1.4%
Q4 - 5:35ORLHarris 20' Jump Shot (15 PTS)94
98.2%
85
1.8%
Q4 - 5:55MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)94
98.7%
83
1.3%
Q4 - 5:55MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)93
98.6%
83
1.4%
Q4 - 6:04MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 6:05ORLMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot92
97.4%
83
2.6%
Q4 - 6:17MIACole Foul Turnover (P4.T15)92
96.7%
83
3.3%
Q4 - 6:28MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)92
97.7%
83
2.3%
Q4 - 6:29ORLMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 292
97.6%
83
2.4%
Q4 - 6:29ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)92
97.1%
83
2.9%
Q4 - 6:45ORLJump Ball Oladipo vs. Beasley: Tip to92
97.6%
82
2.4%
Q4 - 6:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)92
98.3%
82
1.7%
Q4 - 6:46MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup92
97.8%
82
2.2%
Q4 - 7:11ORLOladipo 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)92
97.9%
82
2.1%
Q4 - 7:18ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
98.4%
80
1.6%
Q4 - 7:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)92
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 7:20MIAMISS Andersen 1' Tip Shot92
98.5%
80
1.5%
Q4 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Shot92
98.5%
80
1.5%
Q4 - 7:34ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)92
98.8%
80
1.2%
Q4 - 7:34ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)92
98.8%
79
1.2%
Q4 - 7:54MIABeasley 10' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)92
99.1%
78
0.9%
Q4 - 8:12ORLDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)90
98.4%
78
1.6%
Q4 - 8:12ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)90
98.5%
77
1.5%
Q4 - 8:23ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 8:24MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot90
98.9%
76
1.1%
Q4 - 8:37ORLAfflalo Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T14)90
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 8:46ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)90
98.8%
76
1.2%
Q4 - 8:47ORLMISS Oladipo 26' 3PT Jump Shot90
99.0%
76
1.0%
Q4 - 9:02MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)90
98.4%
76
1.6%
Q4 - 9:02MIABeasley Tip Shot (11 PTS)90
98.4%
76
1.6%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup88
97.7%
76
2.3%
Q4 - 9:08ORLMoore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)88
98.0%
76
2.0%
Q4 - 9:30MIACole 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Beasley 1 AST)88
97.5%
76
2.5%
Q4 - 9:49ORLOladipo 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)85
96.1%
76
3.9%
Q4 - 9:53MIAHarkless STEAL (2 STL)85
96.9%
74
3.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)85
97.2%
74
2.8%
Q4 - 10:22ORLMoore 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)84
96.5%
74
3.5%
Q4 - 10:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 10:47MIAAndersen 1' Putback Dunk (6 PTS)84
97.2%
72
2.8%
Q4 - 10:49MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot82
95.9%
72
4.1%
Q4 - 10:57MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)82
96.5%
72
3.5%
Q4 - 10:58ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
96.3%
72
3.7%
Q4 - 11:11MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)82
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 11:11MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 281
94.8%
72
5.2%
Q4 - 11:27ORLAfflalo 19' Jump Shot (14 PTS)81
95.1%
72
4.9%
Q4 - 11:45MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)81
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORL81
96.8%
70
3.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound81
96.0%
70
4.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot81
96.6%
70
3.4%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)81
95.7%
70
4.3%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)80
95.5%
70
4.5%
Q3 - 0:19.0ORLHarkless 1' Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Nelson 6 AST)79
94.7%
70
5.3%
Q3 - 0:33.0ORLHarkless REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)79
95.7%
68
4.3%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
96.4%
68
3.6%
Q3 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Beasley 1' Tip Shot79
95.9%
68
4.1%
Q3 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Layup79
95.9%
68
4.1%
Q3 - 1:00ORLAfflalo 7' Jump Shot (12 PTS)79
96.4%
68
3.6%
Q3 - 1:02ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)79
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q3 - 1:03ORLMISS Nelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot79
97.2%
66
2.8%
Q3 - 1:24MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)79
96.8%
66
3.2%
Q3 - 1:24MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)78
96.6%
66
3.4%
Q3 - 1:24MIAHeat Rebound77
96.1%
66
3.9%
Q3 - 1:24ORLMISS Harris 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
95.9%
66
4.1%
Q3 - 1:35MIACole Traveling Turnover (P2.T11)77
95.4%
66
4.6%
Q3 - 1:48ORLHarkless 1' Driving Dunk (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)77
96.2%
66
3.8%
Q3 - 2:08MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)77
96.4%
64
3.6%
Q3 - 2:08MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
96.2%
64
3.8%
Q3 - 2:08MIAHeat Rebound75
95.7%
64
4.3%
Q3 - 2:08ORLMISS Afflalo 13' Fadeaway Jumper75
95.5%
64
4.5%
Q3 - 2:20MIALewis Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS)75
94.9%
64
5.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)74
94.7%
64
5.3%
Q3 - 2:31ORLNelson 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)73
94.0%
64
6.0%
Q3 - 2:38ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)73
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q3 - 2:39MIAMISS Allen 18' Jump Shot73
96.0%
61
4.0%
Q3 - 2:52ORLHarkless Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T12)73
96.5%
61
3.5%
Q3 - 3:00ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)73
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q3 - 3:02MIAMISS Allen 19' Jump Shot73
95.7%
61
4.3%
Q3 - 3:16ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)73
96.2%
61
3.8%
Q3 - 3:16ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)73
96.3%
60
3.7%
Q3 - 3:26MIAChalmers 2' Driving Reverse Layup (7 PTS)73
96.8%
59
3.2%
Q3 - 3:38ORLDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T11)71
96.2%
59
3.8%
Q3 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)71
95.4%
59
4.6%
Q3 - 3:52MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)70
95.3%
59
4.7%
Q3 - 3:54MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
94.7%
59
5.3%
Q3 - 3:55ORLMISS Harkless 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
94.4%
59
5.6%
Q3 - 4:11MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)69
93.2%
59
6.8%
Q3 - 4:11MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 268
92.9%
59
7.1%
Q3 - 4:18MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)68
93.4%
59
6.6%
Q3 - 4:19ORLMISS Nelson 2' Driving Layup68
93.0%
59
7.0%
Q3 - 4:34MIABosh 1' Dunk (14 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)68
92.0%
59
8.0%
Q3 - 4:48MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)66
91.0%
59
9.0%
Q3 - 4:50ORLMISS Oladipo 11' Jump Shot66
90.4%
59
9.6%
Q3 - 5:10MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)66
88.7%
59
11.3%
Q3 - 5:24MIAHeat Rebound64
87.2%
59
12.8%
Q3 - 5:24ORLMISS Afflalo 21' Jump Shot64
86.6%
59
13.4%
Q3 - 5:39MIALewis Free Throw 1 of 1 (16 PTS)64
85.0%
59
15.0%
Q3 - 5:46MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)60
77.9%
59
22.1%
Q3 - 5:47ORLMISS Harris 18' Jump Shot60
76.9%
59
23.1%
Q3 - 6:03MIALewis 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)60
75.0%
59
25.0%
Q3 - 6:23ORLDavis 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Nelson 5 AST)58
72.2%
59
27.8%
Q3 - 6:48MIAChalmers 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS)58
74.9%
57
25.1%
Q3 - 7:00MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
72.1%
57
27.9%
Q3 - 7:01ORLMISS Harris 7' Running Jump Shot56
71.2%
57
28.8%
Q3 - 7:19MIAWade 2' Layup (15 PTS) (James 6 AST)56
68.8%
57
31.2%
Q3 - 7:39ORLAfflalo 14' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Oladipo 2 AST)54
65.7%
57
34.3%
Q3 - 8:00MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (8 PTS)54
68.8%
55
31.2%
Q3 - 8:12MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
66.3%
55
33.7%
Q3 - 8:13ORLMISS Oladipo 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
65.1%
55
34.9%
Q3 - 8:23ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)52
62.3%
55
37.7%
Q3 - 8:24MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot52
63.5%
55
36.5%
Q3 - 8:49ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)52
66.2%
55
33.8%
Q3 - 8:54ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
72.2%
52
27.8%
Q3 - 8:55MIAMISS Lewis 20' Jump Shot52
73.2%
52
26.8%
Q3 - 9:14ORLOladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Nelson 4 AST)52
75.6%
52
24.4%
Q3 - 9:24MIALewis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P1.T10)52
80.5%
49
19.5%
Q3 - 9:39ORLHarris 2' Layup (13 PTS) (Davis 3 AST)52
82.8%
49
17.2%
Q3 - 9:45ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)52
84.7%
47
15.3%
Q3 - 9:47MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper52
85.3%
47
14.7%
Q3 - 9:56ORLJump Ball Oladipo vs. Lewis: Tip to Bosh52
86.6%
47
13.4%
Q3 - 9:59ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)52
84.7%
47
15.3%
Q3 - 10:00MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot52
85.3%
47
14.7%
Q3 - 10:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)52
86.8%
47
13.2%
Q3 - 10:11ORLMISS Davis 9' Fadeaway Jumper52
86.3%
47
13.7%
Q3 - 10:37ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
85.0%
47
15.0%
Q3 - 10:38MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 152
85.3%
47
14.7%
Q3 - 10:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)50
83.1%
47
16.9%
Q3 - 10:54ORLMISS Davis 11' Jump Shot50
82.5%
47
17.5%
Q3 - 11:15MIAWade 12' Fadeaway Jumper (13 PTS)50
81.4%
47
18.6%
Q3 - 11:39MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)48
79.3%
47
20.7%
Q3 - 11:40ORLMISS Davis Free Throw 2 of 248
78.9%
47
21.1%
Q3 - 11:40ORLDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)48
77.5%
47
22.5%
Q3 - 11:40ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)48
79.2%
46
20.8%
Q3 - 11:43ORLMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot48
80.8%
46
19.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA48
79.2%
46
20.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0ORLMoore Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)48
81.4%
46
18.6%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMoore STEAL (2 STL)48
79.5%
46
20.5%
Q2 - 0:16.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
81.1%
46
18.9%
Q2 - 0:17.0ORLMISS Nelson 27' 3PT Jump Shot48
80.6%
46
19.4%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)48
79.5%
46
20.5%
Q2 - 0:36.0MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 247
79.0%
46
21.0%
Q2 - 0:59.0ORLNelson 7' Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS)47
79.0%
46
21.0%
Q2 - 1:12MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 5 AST)47
81.6%
44
18.4%
Q2 - 1:21MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)44
76.7%
44
23.3%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMISS Maxiell Free Throw 2 of 244
76.5%
44
23.5%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMISS Maxiell Free Throw 1 of 244
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMaxiell REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)44
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 1:22ORLMISS Harris 2' Driving Layup44
76.2%
44
23.8%
Q2 - 1:27MIAMoore STEAL (1 STL)44
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 1:41ORLNelson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)44
76.7%
44
23.3%
Q2 - 1:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)44
75.2%
44
24.8%
Q2 - 1:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 243
74.6%
44
25.4%
Q2 - 2:07MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)43
75.0%
44
25.0%
Q2 - 2:09ORLMISS Afflalo 12' Step Back Jump Shot43
74.2%
44
25.8%
Q2 - 2:17ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
72.5%
44
27.5%
Q2 - 2:18MIAMISS Lewis 4' Running Jump Shot43
73.3%
44
26.7%
Q2 - 2:39ORLMAGIC Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7)43
74.9%
44
25.1%
Q2 - 3:06MIAJames 2' Layup (4 PTS)43
73.0%
44
27.0%
Q2 - 3:20MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)41
71.1%
44
28.9%
Q2 - 3:22ORLMISS Harris 24' 3PT Jump Shot41
70.2%
44
29.8%
Q2 - 3:41MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)41
68.0%
44
32.0%
Q2 - 3:52ORLDavis 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Nelson 3 AST)41
71.0%
44
29.0%
Q2 - 3:55ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)41
73.0%
42
27.0%
Q2 - 3:58MIADavis BLOCK (2 BLK)41
73.8%
42
26.2%
Q2 - 4:13ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)41
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q2 - 4:13ORLHarris 2' Tip Shot (11 PTS)41
75.8%
42
24.2%
Q2 - 4:15ORLMISS Oladipo 3' Layup41
79.2%
40
20.8%
Q2 - 4:35MIAChalmers Foul Turnover (P2.T6)41
77.8%
40
22.2%
Q2 - 5:01ORLOladipo 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)41
79.9%
40
20.1%
Q2 - 5:17MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)41
81.7%
38
18.3%
Q2 - 5:17MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 240
81.4%
38
18.6%
Q2 - 5:42ORLHarris 1' Dunk (9 PTS) (Nelson 2 AST)40
81.6%
38
18.4%
Q2 - 5:48ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
83.3%
36
16.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS Cole 26' 3PT Jump Shot40
83.8%
36
16.2%
Q2 - 6:16ORLHarris 2' Dunk (7 PTS) (Davis 2 AST)40
84.9%
36
15.1%
Q2 - 6:36MIABosh 1' Layup (8 PTS) (James 4 AST)40
86.0%
34
14.0%
Q2 - 6:54MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
84.9%
34
15.1%
Q2 - 6:56ORLMISS Moore 26' 3PT Jump Shot38
84.4%
34
15.6%
Q2 - 7:03ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)38
83.2%
34
16.8%
Q2 - 7:04ORLMISS Harkless 1' Layup38
84.3%
34
15.7%
Q2 - 7:09MIAHarkless STEAL (1 STL)38
83.2%
34
16.8%
Q2 - 7:26ORLDavis 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Oladipo 1 AST)38
84.8%
34
15.2%
Q2 - 7:32ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)38
85.9%
32
14.1%
Q2 - 7:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
87.3%
32
12.7%
Q2 - 7:35MIADavis BLOCK (1 BLK)38
86.4%
32
13.6%
Q2 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 3' Finger Roll Layup38
86.4%
32
13.6%
Q2 - 7:59ORLMoore Driving Dunk (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)38
87.3%
32
12.7%
Q2 - 8:03ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)38
88.1%
30
11.9%
Q2 - 8:04MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot38
88.5%
30
11.5%
Q2 - 8:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)38
89.2%
30
10.8%
Q2 - 8:14ORLMISS Oladipo 20' Jump Shot38
88.9%
30
11.1%
Q2 - 8:33MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P2.T4)38
88.2%
30
11.8%
Q2 - 8:41ORLMoore Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)38
89.2%
30
10.8%
Q2 - 8:41ORLMoore Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
89.4%
29
10.6%
Q2 - 9:03ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)38
90.0%
28
10.0%
Q2 - 9:04MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 1 of 138
90.2%
28
9.8%
Q2 - 9:12ORLOladipo Inbound Turnover (P3.T6)36
89.2%
28
10.8%
Q2 - 9:14MIAWade 2' Alley Oop Layup (11 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)36
88.1%
28
11.9%
Q2 - 9:21MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
87.1%
28
12.9%
Q2 - 9:22ORLMISS Moore 15' Step Back Jump Shot34
86.7%
28
13.3%
Q2 - 9:43MIAWade 9' Jump Shot (9 PTS)34
85.8%
28
14.2%
Q2 - 9:54ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
84.6%
28
15.4%
Q2 - 9:54ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
84.9%
27
15.1%
Q2 - 9:58ORLMoore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
85.8%
26
14.2%
Q2 - 9:59MIAMISS Andersen 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
86.2%
26
13.8%
Q2 - 10:13ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)32
86.9%
26
13.1%
Q2 - 10:13ORLDavis 2' Tip Shot (4 PTS)32
86.9%
26
13.1%
Q2 - 10:14ORLMISS Moore 10' Floating Jump Shot32
88.6%
24
11.4%
Q2 - 10:22ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)32
87.8%
24
12.2%
Q2 - 10:24MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Bank Shot32
88.2%
24
11.8%
Q2 - 10:41MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
89.0%
24
11.0%
Q2 - 10:42ORLMISS Price 20' Jump Shot32
88.6%
24
11.4%
Q2 - 11:09MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
87.5%
24
12.5%
Q2 - 11:09MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)31
87.3%
24
12.7%
Q2 - 11:12MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
86.5%
24
13.5%
Q2 - 11:14ORLMISS Maxiell 13' Jump Shot30
86.2%
24
13.8%
Q2 - 11:28MIAAndersen Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)30
85.3%
24
14.7%
Q2 - 11:37MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)30
86.5%
24
13.5%
Q2 - 11:38ORLMISS Oladipo 13' Pullup Jump Shot30
86.2%
24
13.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORL30
85.3%
24
14.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMAGIC Rebound30
85.3%
24
14.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0ORLMISS Afflalo 26' 3PT Jump Shot30
86.2%
24
13.8%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIABeasley 10' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (James 3 AST)30
85.3%
24
14.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0ORLOladipo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)28
83.7%
24
16.3%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIACole 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 2 AST)28
82.8%
24
17.2%
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)25
79.5%
24
20.5%
Q1 - 0:52.0ORLOladipo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
79.9%
23
20.1%
Q1 - 0:54.0MIAAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)25
81.4%
22
18.6%
Q1 - 1:18ORLAfflalo 10' Jump Shot (6 PTS)25
82.5%
22
17.5%
Q1 - 1:21ORLAfflalo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
84.1%
20
15.9%
Q1 - 1:22ORLMISS Afflalo 9' Jump Bank Shot25
84.8%
20
15.2%
Q1 - 1:37ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)25
84.1%
20
15.9%
Q1 - 1:39MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot25
84.4%
20
15.6%
Q1 - 1:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
85.0%
20
15.0%
Q1 - 1:50ORLMISS Harris 26' 3PT Jump Shot25
84.7%
20
15.3%
Q1 - 2:05MIAJames 2' Layup (2 PTS)25
84.0%
20
16.0%
Q1 - 2:23ORLHarris Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
82.7%
20
17.3%
Q1 - 2:35ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
81.4%
20
18.6%
Q1 - 2:36MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 2:48ORLAfflalo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T3)23
82.7%
20
17.3%
Q1 - 2:51ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)23
81.4%
20
18.6%
Q1 - 2:52MIAMISS James 2' Driving Reverse Layup23
81.8%
20
18.2%
Q1 - 3:00MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
82.7%
20
17.3%
Q1 - 3:01ORLMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot23
82.5%
20
17.5%
Q1 - 3:17MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lewis 2 AST)23
81.5%
20
18.5%
Q1 - 3:36ORLOladipo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)21
80.2%
20
19.8%
Q1 - 3:38ORLOladipo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)21
78.6%
20
21.4%
Q1 - 3:40ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)21
78.6%
20
21.4%
Q1 - 3:40ORLMISS Harris 1' Layup21
79.7%
20
20.3%
Q1 - 3:41ORLMISS Oladipo 25' 3PT Jump Shot21
79.7%
20
20.3%
Q1 - 4:09MIALewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)21
78.9%
20
21.1%
Q1 - 4:15MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
76.0%
20
24.0%
Q1 - 4:17ORLMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot18
75.5%
20
24.5%
Q1 - 4:28MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)18
74.2%
20
25.8%
Q1 - 4:39ORLAfflalo 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Nelson 1 AST)18
76.0%
20
24.0%
Q1 - 4:57MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)18
77.4%
18
22.6%
Q1 - 5:22ORLNelson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)15
74.4%
18
25.6%
Q1 - 5:43ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
77.3%
15
22.7%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot15
77.8%
15
22.2%
Q1 - 5:58ORLDavis 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)15
78.8%
15
21.2%
Q1 - 6:17MIALewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (James 1 AST)15
80.2%
13
19.8%
Q1 - 6:40ORLHarris 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)12
77.6%
13
22.4%
Q1 - 6:56MIAWade 3' Layup (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)12
80.1%
10
19.9%
Q1 - 7:13ORLNelson 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)10
79.2%
10
20.8%
Q1 - 7:18ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
81.4%
7
18.6%
Q1 - 7:19MIAMISS James 2' Layup10
81.8%
7
18.2%
Q1 - 7:38ORLNelson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)10
82.7%
7
17.3%
Q1 - 8:01MIALewis 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)10
84.9%
4
15.1%
Q1 - 8:12ORLAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
84.0%
4
16.0%
Q1 - 8:25ORLNelson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
82.8%
4
17.2%
Q1 - 8:26MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot8
83.2%
4
16.8%
Q1 - 8:32ORLAfflalo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
83.9%
4
16.1%
Q1 - 8:32ORLAfflalo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
84.1%
3
15.9%
Q1 - 8:49MIALewis 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
84.8%
2
15.2%
Q1 - 9:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
84.1%
2
15.9%
Q1 - 9:11ORLMISS Nicholson 20' Jump Shot6
83.8%
2
16.2%
Q1 - 9:23MIABosh 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)6
83.0%
2
17.0%
Q1 - 9:35MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 9:36ORLMISS Nicholson 8' Hook Shot4
81.7%
2
18.3%
Q1 - 9:40ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
80.9%
2
19.1%
Q1 - 9:43MIAMISS James 7' Jump Bank Shot4
81.3%
2
18.7%
Q1 - 9:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 9:46MIAHarris BLOCK (1 BLK)4
81.3%
2
18.7%
Q1 - 9:59ORLHarris 6' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
82.1%
2
17.9%
Q1 - 10:04ORLHarris REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
83.0%
0
17.0%
Q1 - 10:06ORLMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot4
83.7%
0
16.3%
Q1 - 10:34MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)4
83.0%
0
17.0%
Q1 - 10:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.1%
0
17.9%
Q1 - 10:51ORLMISS Nicholson 18' Jump Shot2
81.7%
0
18.3%
Q1 - 11:00ORLDavis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
80.9%
0
19.1%
Q1 - 11:01MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot2
81.3%
0
18.7%
Q1 - 11:27MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
82.0%
0
18.0%
Q1 - 11:28ORLMISS Nicholson 10' Hook Shot2
81.7%
0
18.3%
Q1 - 11:48MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
81.0%
0
19.0%
Q1 - 12:00ORLJump Ball Davis vs. Bosh: Tip to James0
79.9%
0
20.1%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.5%
ORL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
20
31
65%
ORL
16
21
76%
Midrange
MIA
14
27
52%
ORL
9
33
27%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
16
38%
56%
ORL
8
12.0
26
31%
46%
Free Throws
MIA
24
31
77%
ORL
20
24
83%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2059%10.0 / 17
C. Bosh20100%10.0 / 10
R. Lewis1875%9.0 / 12
L. James1544%7.5 / 17
M. Beasley1365%6.5 / 10
M. Chalmers975%4.5 / 6
N. Cole880%4.0 / 5
C. Andersen660%3.0 / 5
R. Allen113%0.5 / 4
J. Anthony0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
ORL logo Magic
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Nelson2188%10.5 / 12
T. Harris1750%8.5 / 17
A. Afflalo1642%8.0 / 19
V. Oladipo1653%8.0 / 15
G. Davis1458%7.0 / 12
E. Moore650%3.0 / 6
M. Harkless450%2.0 / 4
A. Nicholson0-0.0 / 4
J. Maxiell0-0.0 / 2
R. Price0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
77
+7
-15
84
ORL
82
+14
-15
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.25 62.5%
ORL
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
101.9
MIA 119.6
ORL 96.9 +22.7
Pace
91.5
93.4
MIA 95.7 +0.8
ORL 94.9
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.3
MIA 15.0 +0.1
ORL 15.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
48.7%
MIA 58.1% +11.8%
ORL 46.3%
TO %
15.4%
15.0%
MIA 14.6% +0.4%
ORL 15.0%
ORB %
20.6%
22.5%
MIA 19.4%
ORL 26.7% +7.3%
FTrt
30.0
25.3
MIA 41.9 +11.9
ORL 30.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
57.1%
MIA 57.5% +9.0%
ORL 48.5%
STL %
9.7%
8.1%
MIA 9.8% +3.6%
ORL 6.2%
BLK %
8.1%
6.9%
MIA 3.7%
ORL 5.2% +1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
51.0%
MIA 62.5% +13.5%
ORL 49.0%
Rim FG%
66.7%
55.8%
MIA 64.5%
ORL 76.2% +11.7%
Mid FG%
42.8%
40.7%
MIA 51.9% +24.6%
ORL 27.3%
3P %
36.4%
35.3%
MIA 37.5% +6.7%
ORL 30.8%
FT %
76.0%
76.3%
MIA 77.4%
ORL 83.3% +5.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
33.8%
MIA 41.9% +15.6%
ORL 26.3%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
42.7%
MIA 36.5% +4.8%
ORL 41.3%
3P Att. %
29.2%
23.5%
MIA 21.6%
ORL 32.5% +10.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAORL
Possessions9297
Possession Minutes23.124.5
Points11094
Rebounds4041
Assists2316
Steals96
Blocks23
Turnovers (Team)15 (0)15 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (0)12 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)33 (4)29 (0)
Field Goals40-7433-80
At-the-Rim FG20-3116-21
Midrange FG14-279-33
2-Point FG34-5825-54
3-Point FG6-168-26
Free Throws24-3120-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 32
36.0
20
59%
6
4
1
0
2
2
1
5
4-5
80%
8-15
53%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
35.9
15
44%
8
8
1
0
3
1
1
7
5-8
63%
5-12
42%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
31.4
18
75%
4
2
3
1
1
1
0
4
3-3
100%
3-5
60%
3-6
50%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
31.1
20
100%
6
0
1
1
0
1
0
6
2-3
67%
9-9
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
28.8
9
75%
0
6
2
0
2
2
0
0
0-0
-
3-3
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
22.2
8
80%
6
1
0
0
4
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
18.3
13
65%
5
2
1
0
1
0
3
2
5-7
71%
4-7
57%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
18.2
1
13%
1
0
0
0
0
3
0
1
1-1
100%
0-2
0%
0-2
0%
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
15.2
6
60%
3
0
0
0
2
4
2
1
4-4
100%
1-2
50%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
1.7
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
1.3
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · F · 6'8" 220 · 35
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
110
63%
40
23
9
2
15
0
7
33
24-31
77%
34-58
59%
6-16
38%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.