FinalWin Prob.pScore
738%99
123
262%104
114
ORTG#PossPace
GSW logo GSW
123.010096.3
MIA logo MIA
111.8102106.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatWarriorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventGSWMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA123
100%
114
0%
Q4 - 0:06.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)123
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:07.0GSWMISS Douglas 26' 3PT Jump Shot123
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:29.0MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (17 PTS)123
99.9%
114
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0GSWCurry Free Throw 2 of 2 (36 PTS)123
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:34.0GSWMISS Curry Free Throw 1 of 2122
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:40.0GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)122
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Reverse Layup122
99.9%
112
0.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)122
99.8%
112
0.2%
Q4 - 0:53.0GSWMISS Iguodala 20' Step Back Jump Shot122
99.8%
112
0.2%
Q4 - 1:14MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)122
99.7%
112
0.3%
Q4 - 1:14MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)122
99.8%
111
0.2%
Q4 - 1:18GSWThompson 9' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)122
99.8%
110
0.2%
Q4 - 1:41MIAWade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)120
99.4%
110
0.6%
Q4 - 1:56GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)120
99.7%
107
0.3%
Q4 - 1:56GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)119
99.7%
107
0.3%
Q4 - 2:08GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)118
99.5%
107
0.5%
Q4 - 2:08MIAMISS Wade 8' Driving Jump Shot118
99.4%
107
0.6%
Q4 - 2:20GSWLee 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (30 PTS) (Iguodala 6 AST)118
99.1%
107
0.9%
Q4 - 2:39GSWLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:11)116
98.8%
107
1.2%
Q4 - 2:40MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup116
98.6%
107
1.4%
Q4 - 2:57GSWCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (35 PTS) (Thompson 4 AST)116
96.9%
107
3.1%
Q4 - 3:15GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)113
93.6%
107
6.4%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 2 of 2113
93.2%
107
6.8%
Q4 - 3:16MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 2113
91.2%
107
8.8%
Q4 - 3:31MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)113
85.0%
107
15.0%
Q4 - 3:32GSWMISS Curry 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
86.5%
107
13.5%
Q4 - 3:37MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P8.T15)113
89.7%
107
10.3%
Q4 - 3:41MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)113
85.4%
107
14.6%
Q4 - 3:42GSWMISS Lee 7' Driving Jump Shot113
87.0%
107
13.0%
Q4 - 3:56GSWLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)113
90.2%
107
9.8%
Q4 - 3:57MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup113
89.0%
107
11.0%
Q4 - 4:12GSWLee 8' Turnaround Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Curry 12 AST)113
86.1%
107
13.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (26 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)111
81.6%
107
18.4%
Q4 - 4:53MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)111
86.4%
105
13.6%
Q4 - 4:54GSWMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot111
87.8%
105
12.2%
Q4 - 5:18MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)111
87.0%
105
13.0%
Q4 - 5:36GSWCurry 19' Jump Shot (32 PTS)111
92.8%
102
7.2%
Q4 - 5:41GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)109
90.5%
102
9.5%
Q4 - 5:43MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup109
89.5%
102
10.5%
Q4 - 5:49MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)109
86.9%
102
13.1%
Q4 - 5:50GSWMISS Iguodala 6' Driving Hook Shot109
88.1%
102
11.9%
Q4 - 6:07MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (James 5 AST)109
87.7%
102
12.3%
Q4 - 6:21GSWCurry 1' Layup (30 PTS) (Lee 3 AST)109
92.7%
99
7.3%
Q4 - 6:35GSWLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)107
90.8%
99
9.2%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS James 1' Layup107
89.9%
99
10.1%
Q4 - 6:49GSWLee 11' Turnaround Hook Shot (26 PTS)107
87.5%
99
12.5%
Q4 - 7:06GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)105
81.6%
99
18.4%
Q4 - 7:07MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot105
80.2%
99
19.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)105
76.7%
99
23.3%
Q4 - 7:19GSWMISS Thompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot105
78.3%
99
21.7%
Q4 - 7:40MIAJames 1' Layup (21 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)105
81.8%
99
18.2%
Q4 - 7:57GSWGreen 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)105
85.3%
97
14.7%
Q4 - 8:12MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (16 PTS)103
79.1%
97
20.9%
Q4 - 8:38MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (5 PTS)103
83.2%
95
16.8%
Q4 - 8:42GSWCole STEAL (2 STL)103
86.5%
94
13.5%
Q4 - 9:00MIACole Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)103
89.3%
94
10.7%
Q4 - 9:03GSWCole STEAL (1 STL)103
91.7%
91
8.3%
Q4 - 9:22GSWWarriors Rebound103
93.4%
91
6.6%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMISS Andersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk103
92.9%
91
7.1%
Q4 - 9:41GSWIguodala 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Curry 11 AST)103
91.8%
91
8.2%
Q4 - 9:56GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)100
87.4%
91
12.6%
Q4 - 9:58GSWMISS Curry 29' 3PT Jump Shot100
85.5%
91
14.5%
Q4 - 10:16MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P4.T14)100
85.5%
91
14.5%
Q4 - 10:28GSWGreen Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T18)100
82.5%
91
17.5%
Q4 - 10:43MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)100
85.6%
91
14.4%
Q4 - 10:43MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)100
86.4%
90
13.6%
Q4 - 10:57GSWBarnes 1' Driving Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Green 3 AST)100
88.2%
89
11.8%
Q4 - 11:14MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)98
84.1%
89
15.9%
Q4 - 11:30GSWIguodala 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Curry 10 AST)98
86.7%
87
13.3%
Q4 - 11:35MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T13)96
84.1%
87
15.9%
Q4 - 11:48MIAHEAT Rebound96
81.0%
87
19.0%
Q4 - 11:49GSWMISS Speights 19' Jump Shot96
82.0%
87
18.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSW96
84.2%
87
15.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWWarriors Rebound96
84.2%
87
15.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0GSWMISS Curry 30' 3PT Jump Shot96
82.0%
87
18.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0GSWCurry Free Throw Technical (28 PTS)96
82.5%
87
17.5%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)95
79.4%
87
20.6%
Q3 - 0:02.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)95
80.2%
86
19.8%
Q3 - 0:08.0GSWSpeights 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Green 2 AST)95
82.7%
85
17.3%
Q3 - 0:29.0MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P2.T12)93
79.5%
85
20.5%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)93
76.1%
85
23.9%
Q3 - 0:47.0GSWMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
77.2%
85
22.8%
Q3 - 1:01MIABeasley 1' Slam Dunk (5 PTS)93
77.8%
85
22.2%
Q3 - 1:03MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)93
81.1%
83
18.9%
Q3 - 1:04MIAMISS Beasley 3' Driving Layup93
83.1%
83
16.9%
Q3 - 1:21GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#17)93
81.2%
83
18.8%
Q3 - 1:22GSWWarriors Rebound93
83.9%
83
16.1%
Q3 - 1:23GSWMISS Speights 6' Jump Shot93
82.1%
83
17.9%
Q3 - 1:45GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
84.0%
83
16.0%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot93
83.2%
83
16.8%
Q3 - 1:55MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)93
81.3%
83
18.7%
Q3 - 1:56GSWMISS Thompson 16' Jump Shot93
82.2%
83
17.8%
Q3 - 2:09MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)93
82.2%
83
17.8%
Q3 - 2:21GSWSpeights Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)93
87.0%
80
13.0%
Q3 - 2:21GSWSpeights Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)92
86.6%
80
13.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIAJames 9' Driving Bank Shot (19 PTS)91
84.9%
80
15.1%
Q3 - 2:53MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)91
87.1%
78
12.9%
Q3 - 2:54GSWMISS Curry 9' Driving Hook Shot91
87.7%
78
12.3%
Q3 - 3:09MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)91
87.9%
78
12.1%
Q3 - 3:09MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)91
88.2%
77
11.8%
Q3 - 3:27GSWCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Thompson 3 AST)91
89.5%
76
10.5%
Q3 - 3:33MIAJames Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P7.T11)88
85.9%
76
14.1%
Q3 - 3:43MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)88
83.4%
76
16.6%
Q3 - 3:44GSWMISS Thompson 11' Fadeaway Jumper88
84.2%
76
15.8%
Q3 - 3:58GSWBarnes REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
85.9%
76
14.1%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
85.2%
76
14.8%
Q3 - 4:13GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)88
81.9%
76
18.1%
Q3 - 4:13GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)87
81.4%
76
18.6%
Q3 - 4:18MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T10)86
79.9%
76
20.1%
Q3 - 4:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
76.3%
76
23.7%
Q3 - 4:24GSWMISS Barnes 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
77.5%
76
22.5%
Q3 - 4:47MIABattier 8' Driving Bank Shot (11 PTS)86
80.0%
76
20.0%
Q3 - 5:13GSWWarriors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#16)86
80.8%
74
19.2%
Q3 - 5:13GSWWarriors Rebound86
83.5%
74
16.5%
Q3 - 5:15GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
81.7%
74
18.3%
Q3 - 5:39MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)86
83.6%
74
16.4%
Q3 - 5:55GSWThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Iguodala 5 AST)86
87.4%
71
12.6%
Q3 - 6:10MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)83
82.2%
71
17.8%
Q3 - 6:18MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)83
84.2%
69
15.8%
Q3 - 6:19GSWMISS Green Tip Shot83
84.9%
69
15.1%
Q3 - 6:20GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)83
86.4%
69
13.6%
Q3 - 6:21GSWMISS Green 2' Layup83
84.9%
69
15.1%
Q3 - 6:39GSWThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)83
86.5%
69
13.5%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot83
85.8%
69
14.2%
Q3 - 6:55GSWLee 15' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Thompson 2 AST)83
84.3%
69
15.7%
Q3 - 7:22MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (13 PTS)81
80.9%
69
19.1%
Q3 - 7:39GSWLee 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Curry 9 AST)81
83.1%
67
16.9%
Q3 - 7:47GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
81.0%
67
19.0%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot79
80.2%
67
19.8%
Q3 - 8:02GSWLee 1' Tip Shot (20 PTS)79
77.3%
67
22.7%
Q3 - 8:03GSWLee REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
75.0%
67
25.0%
Q3 - 8:04GSWMISS Lee 1' Tip Shot77
72.6%
67
27.4%
Q3 - 8:05GSWLee REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)77
75.0%
67
25.0%
Q3 - 8:06GSWMISS Curry 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
72.6%
67
27.4%
Q3 - 8:14MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)77
75.0%
67
25.0%
Q3 - 8:14MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)77
75.5%
66
24.5%
Q3 - 8:20GSWCurry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Iguodala 4 AST)77
77.3%
65
22.7%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade 8' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 4 AST)74
72.1%
65
27.9%
Q3 - 8:57GSWLee Foul Turnover (P2.T15)74
74.6%
63
25.4%
Q3 - 9:01GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)74
76.3%
63
23.7%
Q3 - 9:02MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup74
75.5%
63
24.5%
Q3 - 9:06GSWWade STEAL (3 STL)74
73.6%
63
26.4%
Q3 - 9:23MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)74
76.4%
63
23.6%
Q3 - 9:31GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)74
78.9%
61
21.1%
Q3 - 9:39GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)71
73.8%
61
26.2%
Q3 - 9:41MIAMISS Bosh 5' Hook Shot71
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 9:48MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)71
70.7%
61
29.3%
Q3 - 9:49MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot71
72.9%
61
27.1%
Q3 - 10:05GSWCurry 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS)71
69.6%
61
30.4%
Q3 - 10:12GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)69
66.6%
61
33.4%
Q3 - 10:13MIAMISS Wade 9' Turnaround Jump Shot69
65.6%
61
34.4%
Q3 - 10:35GSWCurry 20' Jump Shot (16 PTS)69
63.4%
61
36.6%
Q3 - 10:40MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)67
60.0%
61
40.0%
Q3 - 10:55GSWLee 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS) (Iguodala 3 AST)67
56.5%
61
43.5%
Q3 - 11:12GSWBogut REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)65
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q3 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot65
51.2%
61
48.8%
Q3 - 11:25MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
48.7%
61
51.3%
Q3 - 11:26GSWMISS Thompson 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
49.8%
61
50.2%
Q3 - 11:41MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)65
52.3%
61
47.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA65
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)65
48.8%
61
51.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0GSWMISS Curry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup65
49.4%
61
50.6%
Q2 - 0:20.0GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)65
51.1%
61
48.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup65
50.4%
61
49.6%
Q2 - 0:34.0GSWIguodala Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T13)65
48.6%
61
51.4%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)65
51.2%
61
48.8%
Q2 - 0:53.0GSWBarnes 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Iguodala 2 AST)65
58.5%
58
41.5%
Q2 - 1:08MIAChalmers 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)62
50.5%
58
49.5%
Q2 - 1:13MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
54.8%
56
45.2%
Q2 - 1:14GSWMISS Lee 12' Turnaround Hook Shot62
55.5%
56
44.5%
Q2 - 1:31GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
56.9%
56
43.1%
Q2 - 1:32MIAMISS James 16' Jump Shot62
56.3%
56
43.7%
Q2 - 1:58GSWCurry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)62
54.9%
56
45.1%
Q2 - 2:11GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
47.3%
56
52.7%
Q2 - 2:12MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 259
46.9%
56
53.1%
Q2 - 2:12MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)59
44.9%
56
55.1%
Q2 - 2:18GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T12)59
47.3%
55
52.7%
Q2 - 2:38MIABosh 1' Layup (14 PTS) (James 2 AST)59
50.4%
55
49.6%
Q2 - 2:54GSWThompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Curry 8 AST)59
53.6%
53
46.4%
Q2 - 3:03GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
47.1%
53
52.9%
Q2 - 3:04MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup56
46.0%
53
54.0%
Q2 - 3:22GSWCurry 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (11 PTS)56
43.5%
53
56.5%
Q2 - 3:39MIABosh 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)54
41.2%
53
58.8%
Q2 - 3:50GSWLee 16' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Curry 7 AST)54
43.5%
51
56.5%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJames 4' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)52
40.4%
51
59.6%
Q2 - 4:22GSWThompson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)52
43.2%
49
56.8%
Q2 - 4:43MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T7)52
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q2 - 4:46GSWChalmers STEAL (3 STL)52
43.2%
49
56.8%
Q2 - 4:53GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
46.2%
49
53.8%
Q2 - 4:54MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
45.3%
49
54.7%
Q2 - 5:07GSWIguodala 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 2 AST)52
43.1%
49
56.9%
Q2 - 5:21MIAJames 5 Second Violation Turnover (P4.T6)49
37.5%
49
62.5%
Q2 - 5:31MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)49
35.0%
49
65.0%
Q2 - 5:32GSWMISS Lee 1' Layup49
35.8%
49
64.2%
Q2 - 5:33GSWLee REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)49
37.5%
49
62.5%
Q2 - 5:34GSWMISS Bogut 3' Alley Oop Dunk49
35.8%
49
64.2%
Q2 - 5:56MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)49
37.5%
49
62.5%
Q2 - 6:01MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
39.8%
47
60.2%
Q2 - 6:02GSWMISS Bogut 1' Driving Layup49
40.8%
47
59.2%
Q2 - 6:16MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)49
43.1%
47
56.9%
Q2 - 6:16MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)49
43.5%
46
56.5%
Q2 - 6:30GSWThompson 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Iguodala 1 AST)49
45.2%
45
54.8%
Q2 - 6:37GSWIguodala REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot47
42.1%
45
57.9%
Q2 - 6:49MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)47
39.9%
45
60.1%
Q2 - 6:50GSWMISS Thompson 21' Jump Shot47
40.8%
45
59.2%
Q2 - 6:52GSWWarriors Rebound47
43.1%
45
56.9%
Q2 - 6:53GSWJames BLOCK (1 BLK)47
40.8%
45
59.2%
Q2 - 7:04MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)47
42.5%
45
57.5%
Q2 - 7:08GSWWade STEAL (2 STL)47
44.9%
43
55.1%
Q2 - 7:20GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)47
47.8%
43
52.2%
Q2 - 7:21MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 247
47.4%
43
52.6%
Q2 - 7:21MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)47
45.7%
43
54.3%
Q2 - 7:33MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)47
47.5%
42
52.5%
Q2 - 7:36GSWMISS Lee Free Throw 2 of 247
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 7:36GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)47
49.7%
42
50.3%
Q2 - 7:45GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)46
47.9%
42
52.1%
Q2 - 7:46MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Jump Shot46
47.0%
42
53.0%
Q2 - 7:54MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)46
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q2 - 7:55GSWMISS Thompson 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
45.8%
42
54.2%
Q2 - 8:13GSWCurry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
47.2%
42
52.8%
Q2 - 8:14MIAMISS Beasley 20' Jump Shot46
46.3%
42
53.7%
Q2 - 8:32GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)46
44.5%
42
55.5%
Q2 - 8:38MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)43
39.5%
42
60.5%
Q2 - 8:56MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)43
37.0%
42
63.0%
Q2 - 8:57GSWMISS Curry 26' 3PT Jump Shot43
37.8%
42
62.2%
Q2 - 9:00GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)43
39.6%
42
60.4%
Q2 - 9:01MIAMISS Allen 1' Driving Layup43
38.4%
42
61.6%
Q2 - 9:21GSWBarnes 7' Driving Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
36.7%
42
63.3%
Q2 - 9:36GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
34.5%
42
65.5%
Q2 - 9:37MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup41
33.8%
42
66.2%
Q2 - 9:50GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)41
32.1%
42
67.9%
Q2 - 9:50GSWBarnes Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)40
31.7%
42
68.3%
Q2 - 10:06MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 1 (4 PTS)39
30.3%
42
69.7%
Q2 - 10:10GSWWade STEAL (1 STL)39
34.2%
39
65.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)39
36.9%
39
63.1%
Q2 - 10:28MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
38.8%
37
61.2%
Q2 - 10:29GSWBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)39
39.7%
37
60.3%
Q2 - 10:59GSWWarriors Rebound39
41.6%
37
58.4%
Q2 - 10:59GSWBarnes Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)39
38.8%
37
61.2%
Q2 - 10:59GSWMISS Barnes Free Throw 1 of 238
38.3%
37
61.7%
Q2 - 11:09MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)38
38.9%
37
61.1%
Q2 - 11:09MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)38
39.4%
36
60.6%
Q2 - 11:17MIAHEAT Rebound38
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 11:18MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot38
42.9%
35
57.1%
Q2 - 11:34GSWBeasley STEAL (1 STL)38
41.1%
35
58.9%
Q2 - 11:43MIAWade 6' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)38
43.6%
35
56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA38
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q1 - 0:01.0GSWBazemore 9' Running Hook Shot (2 PTS)38
45.9%
33
54.1%
Q1 - 0:17.0GSWSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)36
43.0%
33
57.0%
Q1 - 0:18.0MIAMISS Allen 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup36
42.4%
33
57.6%
Q1 - 0:35.0GSWCurry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)36
41.2%
33
58.8%
Q1 - 0:46.0GSWBazemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)36
43.0%
33
57.0%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot36
42.5%
33
57.5%
Q1 - 1:02GSWCurry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS)36
41.0%
33
59.0%
Q1 - 1:11MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS)33
36.1%
33
63.9%
Q1 - 1:19MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
38.8%
31
61.2%
Q1 - 1:20GSWMISS Speights 7' Fadeaway Jumper33
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q1 - 1:23GSWSpeights REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)33
40.5%
31
59.5%
Q1 - 1:24GSWMISS Green 10' Jump Shot33
39.3%
31
60.7%
Q1 - 1:37MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)33
40.5%
31
59.5%
Q1 - 1:37MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)33
40.9%
30
59.1%
Q1 - 1:57GSWCurry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Green 1 AST)33
43.3%
29
56.7%
Q1 - 2:02GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)30
38.5%
29
61.5%
Q1 - 2:03MIAMISS Battier 3PT Jump Shot30
37.9%
29
62.1%
Q1 - 2:24GSWGreen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Curry 5 AST)30
36.5%
29
63.5%
Q1 - 2:38MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)28
34.3%
29
65.7%
Q1 - 2:59GSWThompson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P3.T5)28
38.6%
26
61.4%
Q1 - 3:04GSWGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
40.5%
26
59.5%
Q1 - 3:05MIAMISS Chalmers 3PT Jump Shot28
39.8%
26
60.2%
Q1 - 3:24GSWLee Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)28
38.2%
26
61.8%
Q1 - 3:24GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)27
37.8%
26
62.2%
Q1 - 3:36MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)26
36.3%
26
63.7%
Q1 - 3:41GSWBosh STEAL (1 STL)26
40.3%
23
59.7%
Q1 - 3:57MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)26
42.7%
23
57.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 226
43.1%
22
56.9%
Q1 - 4:05GSWThompson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)26
41.9%
22
58.1%
Q1 - 4:26MIAChalmers 1' Running Slam Dunk (5 PTS)23
38.1%
22
61.9%
Q1 - 4:28GSWChalmers STEAL (2 STL)23
39.9%
20
60.1%
Q1 - 4:42MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS)23
42.3%
20
57.7%
Q1 - 4:47MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)23
46.3%
17
53.7%
Q1 - 5:04GSWThompson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lee 1 AST)23
47.5%
16
52.5%
Q1 - 5:26MIABattier 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)20
43.6%
16
56.4%
Q1 - 5:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 5:35GSWMISS Thompson 12' Jump Shot20
48.2%
13
51.8%
Q1 - 5:43GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)20
49.8%
13
50.2%
Q1 - 5:44MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper20
49.1%
13
50.9%
Q1 - 6:14GSWBogut 1' Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Curry 4 AST)20
46.7%
13
53.3%
Q1 - 6:17MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T3)18
44.9%
13
55.1%
Q1 - 6:29GSWLee 1' Driving Layup (11 PTS)18
42.8%
13
57.2%
Q1 - 6:48MIAChalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Battier 1 AST)16
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 6:50MIABattier REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)16
44.8%
10
55.2%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot16
46.2%
10
53.8%
Q1 - 7:13GSWThompson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)16
44.1%
10
55.9%
Q1 - 7:32MIAWade 4' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
46.3%
10
53.7%
Q1 - 7:43MIABattier REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 7:44MIAMISS Bosh 20' Jump Shot16
49.4%
8
50.6%
Q1 - 7:57GSWCurry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)16
47.9%
8
52.1%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade 2' Layup (2 PTS)13
43.9%
8
56.1%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)13
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:12MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Dunk13
47.0%
6
53.0%
Q1 - 8:28GSWLee 1' Reverse Layup (9 PTS) (Bogut 1 AST)13
45.6%
6
54.4%
Q1 - 8:39GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
44.0%
6
56.0%
Q1 - 8:40MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot11
43.4%
6
56.6%
Q1 - 9:00GSWLee Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)11
42.0%
6
58.0%
Q1 - 9:14MIABosh 12' Fadeaway Jumper (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 9:30GSWBogut 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 2 AST)8
40.0%
4
60.0%
Q1 - 9:40GSWLee REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.5%
4
61.5%
Q1 - 9:41MIAMISS Wade 4' Jump Shot6
37.9%
4
62.1%
Q1 - 10:01GSWLee 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Curry 1 AST)6
36.5%
4
63.5%
Q1 - 10:19MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)4
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 10:23GSWBogut 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)4
36.5%
2
63.5%
Q1 - 10:51MIAJames Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T2)2
35.1%
2
64.9%
Q1 - 10:57MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
33.4%
2
66.6%
Q1 - 10:58GSWMISS Thompson 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
33.9%
2
66.1%
Q1 - 11:04MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
34.6%
2
65.4%
Q1 - 11:08GSWChalmers STEAL (1 STL)2
33.3%
2
66.7%
Q1 - 11:22MIABosh 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
34.7%
2
65.3%
Q1 - 11:44GSWLee 9' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Thompson 1 AST)2
36.3%
0
63.7%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Bogut: Tip to Curry0
34.7%
0
65.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.32 66.1%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
GSW
17
26
65%
MIA
23
39
59%
Midrange
GSW
14
27
52%
MIA
9
21
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
GSW
15
22.5
29
52%
78%
MIA
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
Free Throws
GSW
16
19
84%
MIA
26
31
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
GSW logo Warriors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Curry3678%18.0 / 23
D. Lee3280%16.0 / 20
K. Thompson1653%8.0 / 15
H. Barnes1594%7.5 / 8
A. Iguodala867%4.0 / 6
A. Bogut660%3.0 / 5
D. Green440%2.0 / 5
M. Speights440%2.0 / 5
K. Bazemore2100%1.0 / 1
T. Douglas0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James2665%13.0 / 20
D. Wade2258%11.0 / 19
C. Bosh1950%9.5 / 19
M. Chalmers1771%8.5 / 12
S. Battier11110%5.5 / 5
N. Cole770%3.5 / 5
R. Allen563%2.5 / 4
M. Beasley563%2.5 / 4
C. Andersen250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

GSW
82
+10
-18
92
MIA
87
+6
-15
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

GSW
1.32 66.1%
MIA
1.23 61.3%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.8
110.7
GSW 123.0 +11.2
MIA 111.8
Pace
96.1
91.5
GSW 96.3
MIA 106.4 +10.0
Avg. Poss. Time
14.6
15.8
GSW 15.0
MIA 13.5 +1.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
51.7%
55.4%
GSW 65.2% +8.8%
MIA 56.4%
TO %
15.4%
15.4%
GSW 18.1%
MIA 14.1% +4.0%
ORB %
25.2%
20.6%
GSW 18.8% +6.0%
MIA 12.8%
FTrt
24.7
30.0
GSW 23.2
MIA 39.7 +16.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
59.1%
58.8%
GSW 63.0% +13.0%
MIA 50.0%
STL %
8.1%
9.7%
GSW 9.0%
MIA 9.8% +0.8%
BLK %
7.7%
8.1%
GSW 1.7%
MIA 3.8% +2.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
57.5%
GSW 66.1% +4.8%
MIA 61.3%
Rim FG%
59.2%
66.7%
GSW 65.4% +6.4%
MIA 59.0%
Mid FG%
40.9%
42.8%
GSW 51.9% +9.0%
MIA 42.9%
3P %
38.0%
36.4%
GSW 51.7% +7.3%
MIA 44.4%
FT %
75.4%
76.0%
GSW 84.2% +0.3%
MIA 83.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.5%
38.3%
GSW 31.7%
MIA 50.0% +18.3%
Mid Att. %
37.4%
32.5%
GSW 32.9%
MIA 26.9% +6.0%
3P Att. %
29.1%
29.2%
GSW 35.4% +12.3%
MIA 23.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsGSWMIA
Possessions100102
Possession Minutes24.923.0
Points123114
Rebounds4031
Assists2920
Steals910
Blocks12
Turnovers (Team)18 (2)15 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (4)5 (1)
Def. Rebounds (Team)34 (2)26 (2)
Field Goals46-8240-78
At-the-Rim FG17-2623-39
Midrange FG14-279-21
2-Point FG31-5332-60
3-Point FG15-298-18
Free Throws16-1926-31
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'2" 185 · 26
43.7
36
78%
2
12
2
0
4
4
0
2
2-3
67%
5-7
71%
8-15
53%
G · 6'5" 220 · 24
37.7
16
53%
2
4
1
0
4
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-6
33%
4-9
44%
F · 6'9" 245 · 31
35.8
32
80%
14
3
0
0
3
4
3
11
6-7
86%
13-17
76%
0-0
-
F · 6'6" 215 · 30
33.9
8
67%
6
6
2
0
3
2
0
6
0-0
-
1-4
25%
2-2
100%
C · 7'0" 260 · 29
17.8
6
60%
3
1
0
0
0
1
0
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 225 · 22
27.4
15
94%
3
0
0
0
0
3
0
3
6-7
86%
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
F · 6'6" 230 · 24
25.5
4
40%
7
3
4
1
2
4
2
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 255 · 26
10.6
4
40%
2
0
0
0
0
3
1
1
2-2
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 201 · 25
4.4
2
100%
1
0
0
0
2
1
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 195 · 28
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
C-F · 6'11" 255 · 35
C · 7'0" 260 · 24
#8 · G · 6'3" 192 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#31 · C · 6'11" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
123
66%
40
29
9
1
18
0
6
34
16-19
84%
31-53
58%
15-29
52%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.