FinalWin Prob.pScore
1131%97
97
169%104
102
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
109.08982.5
MIA logo MIA
115.98895.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR97
0%
102
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)97
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)97
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:04.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)97
0.6%
100
99.4%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
0.8%
100
99.2%
Q4 - 0:13.0TORRaptors Rebound97
7.1%
100
92.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0TORHaslem BLOCK (1 BLK)97
3.0%
100
97.0%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)97
6.9%
100
93.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)97
8.2%
99
91.8%
Q4 - 0:17.0TORValanciunas 1' Layup (17 PTS)97
13.0%
98
87.0%
Q4 - 0:18.0TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)95
6.8%
98
93.2%
Q4 - 0:19.0TORMISS Johnson 9' Hook Shot95
2.9%
98
97.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)95
7.6%
98
92.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)95
9.1%
97
90.9%
Q4 - 0:23.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)95
14.1%
96
85.9%
Q4 - 0:24.0TORMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot95
19.0%
96
81.0%
Q4 - 0:39.0TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)95
32.8%
96
67.2%
Q4 - 0:40.0MIAMISS James 17' Fadeaway Jumper95
27.3%
96
72.7%
Q4 - 1:04TORDeRozan Driving Dunk (26 PTS)95
19.8%
96
80.2%
Q4 - 1:22MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)93
14.2%
96
85.8%
Q4 - 1:22MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)93
15.4%
95
84.6%
Q4 - 1:36TORJohnson 1' Putback Dunk (17 PTS)93
22.3%
94
77.7%
Q4 - 1:37TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
15.5%
94
84.5%
Q4 - 1:38TORMISS Lowry 1' Driving Layup91
11.0%
94
89.0%
Q4 - 1:46MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)91
15.9%
94
84.1%
Q4 - 1:46MIAHEAT Rebound91
10.0%
94
90.0%
Q4 - 1:47MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup91
13.9%
94
86.1%
Q4 - 2:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)91
10.5%
94
89.5%
Q4 - 2:12TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot91
12.3%
94
87.7%
Q4 - 2:30MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)91
17.9%
94
82.1%
Q4 - 2:42MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
23.4%
92
76.6%
Q4 - 2:43TORMISS DeRozan 17' Jump Shot91
26.9%
92
73.1%
Q4 - 3:00TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)91
35.2%
92
64.8%
Q4 - 3:01MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot91
31.5%
92
68.5%
Q4 - 3:25TORJohnson Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T13)91
24.0%
92
76.0%
Q4 - 3:37TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)91
34.2%
92
65.8%
Q4 - 3:38MIAMISS Bosh 4' Jump Shot91
31.4%
92
68.6%
Q4 - 4:01TORValanciunas 4' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)91
25.4%
92
74.6%
Q4 - 4:18TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)89
19.3%
92
80.7%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup89
17.4%
92
82.6%
Q4 - 4:31TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)89
13.5%
92
86.5%
Q4 - 4:47MIAJames 12' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)86
6.9%
92
93.1%
Q4 - 5:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
11.3%
90
88.7%
Q4 - 5:10TORMISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot86
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q4 - 5:30TORRaptors Rebound86
15.4%
90
84.6%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS James 16' Turnaround Jump Shot86
14.0%
90
86.0%
Q4 - 5:53MIAHEAT Rebound86
11.2%
90
88.8%
Q4 - 5:54TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
12.4%
90
87.6%
Q4 - 6:24MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (24 PTS)86
16.6%
90
83.4%
Q4 - 6:48MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
20.5%
88
79.5%
Q4 - 6:49TORMISS Johnson 12' Jump Shot86
22.3%
88
77.7%
Q4 - 7:02MIAJames 18' Jump Shot (22 PTS)86
26.8%
88
73.2%
Q4 - 7:29TORDeRozan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (24 PTS)86
32.0%
86
68.0%
Q4 - 7:42TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)84
26.8%
86
73.2%
Q4 - 7:43MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
25.0%
86
75.0%
Q4 - 7:58MIAHEAT Rebound84
21.2%
86
78.8%
Q4 - 7:59MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
25.0%
86
75.0%
Q4 - 8:03MIABosh REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)84
22.3%
86
77.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIAMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot84
25.4%
86
74.6%
Q4 - 8:11MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
22.2%
86
77.8%
Q4 - 8:12TORMISS DeRozan 1' Driving Layup84
23.6%
86
76.4%
Q4 - 8:19TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot84
25.4%
86
74.6%
Q4 - 8:38MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)84
22.2%
86
77.8%
Q4 - 8:39TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot84
23.5%
86
76.5%
Q4 - 8:56MIABosh 8' Running Hook Shot (6 PTS)84
26.9%
86
73.1%
Q4 - 9:10MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
32.1%
84
67.9%
Q4 - 9:11MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
35.8%
84
64.2%
Q4 - 9:23MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)84
32.1%
84
67.9%
Q4 - 9:24MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot84
35.8%
84
64.2%
Q4 - 9:45MIAHEAT Rebound84
32.1%
84
67.9%
Q4 - 9:46TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot84
33.7%
84
66.3%
Q4 - 9:56MIAAndersen Foul Turnover (P1.T10)84
37.6%
84
62.4%
Q4 - 10:11MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)84
31.6%
84
68.4%
Q4 - 10:12TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
33.1%
84
66.9%
Q4 - 10:37MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)84
36.8%
84
63.2%
Q4 - 10:55TORPatterson Traveling Turnover (P4.T12)84
42.2%
82
57.8%
Q4 - 11:14MIAMason Jr. 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Allen 3 AST)84
46.9%
82
53.1%
Q4 - 11:25MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)84
57.5%
79
42.5%
Q4 - 11:26TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)84
59.2%
79
40.8%
Q4 - 11:40TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)84
62.8%
79
37.2%
Q4 - 11:41MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
61.2%
79
38.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA84
57.6%
79
42.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORLowry 19' Turnaround Fadeaway (14 PTS)84
57.6%
79
42.4%
Q3 - 0:11.0TORSalmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)82
50.9%
79
49.1%
Q3 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Bosh 2' Driving Layup82
49.4%
79
50.6%
Q3 - 0:13.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
46.0%
79
54.0%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup82
49.4%
79
50.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORPatterson Dunk (11 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)82
46.1%
79
53.9%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)80
40.9%
79
59.1%
Q3 - 0:56.0MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)80
42.1%
78
57.9%
Q3 - 1:09TORSalmons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)80
44.9%
77
55.1%
Q3 - 1:30TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)77
35.4%
77
64.6%
Q3 - 1:31MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
34.1%
77
65.9%
Q3 - 1:50MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
31.2%
77
68.8%
Q3 - 1:51TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
32.4%
77
67.6%
Q3 - 2:04TORRaptors Rebound77
34.6%
77
65.4%
Q3 - 2:05TORMISS Patterson 8' Jump Shot77
31.7%
77
68.3%
Q3 - 2:06TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)77
34.7%
77
65.3%
Q3 - 2:07TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot77
31.7%
77
68.3%
Q3 - 2:19TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)77
34.7%
77
65.3%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Allen 3PT Jump Shot77
33.4%
77
66.6%
Q3 - 2:26MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
30.4%
77
69.6%
Q3 - 2:27TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
31.7%
77
68.3%
Q3 - 2:43MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)77
34.7%
77
65.3%
Q3 - 2:43MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)77
35.2%
76
64.8%
Q3 - 2:59MIAHEAT Rebound77
38.9%
75
61.1%
Q3 - 3:00MIAMISS Cole 1' Layup77
42.2%
75
57.8%
Q3 - 3:03TORJames STEAL (1 STL)77
38.1%
75
61.9%
Q3 - 3:25MIAAllen 2' Layup (4 PTS) (James 5 AST)77
42.8%
75
57.2%
Q3 - 3:29TORCole STEAL (1 STL)77
46.8%
73
53.2%
Q3 - 3:47TORSalmons REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)77
51.7%
73
48.3%
Q3 - 3:49TORMISS Patterson 8' Jump Shot77
48.3%
73
51.7%
Q3 - 4:10MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS)77
50.8%
73
49.2%
Q3 - 4:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
54.2%
71
45.8%
Q3 - 4:18TORMISS Patterson 17' Jump Shot77
55.8%
71
44.2%
Q3 - 4:38MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 4 AST)77
59.4%
71
40.6%
Q3 - 4:56TORValanciunas 2' Driving Layup (13 PTS)77
66.6%
68
33.4%
Q3 - 5:11TORRaptors Rebound75
61.8%
68
38.2%
Q3 - 5:12MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 275
61.2%
68
38.8%
Q3 - 5:12MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)75
58.6%
68
41.4%
Q3 - 5:13MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)75
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 5:14MIAMISS Beasley Dunk75
64.3%
67
35.7%
Q3 - 5:15MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)75
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 5:16MIAMISS Beasley 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup75
64.3%
67
35.7%
Q3 - 5:30TORValanciunas Dunk (11 PTS) (DeRozan 7 AST)75
61.2%
67
38.8%
Q3 - 5:39MIABeasley 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup (16 PTS)73
57.9%
67
42.1%
Q3 - 6:04TORValanciunas 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)73
59.6%
65
40.4%
Q3 - 6:18MIABeasley 20' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 3 AST)71
56.2%
65
43.8%
Q3 - 6:40TORValanciunas 4' Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)71
59.7%
63
40.3%
Q3 - 7:09MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)69
54.7%
63
45.3%
Q3 - 7:22TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (DeRozan 6 AST)69
58.2%
61
41.8%
Q3 - 7:37MIAWade 5' Driving Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
51.0%
61
49.0%
Q3 - 7:55TORJohnson 9' Hook Shot (12 PTS) (DeRozan 5 AST)66
54.5%
59
45.5%
Q3 - 8:09TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
50.2%
59
49.8%
Q3 - 8:10MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 264
49.7%
59
50.3%
Q3 - 8:10MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)64
47.2%
59
52.8%
Q3 - 8:21TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)64
49.7%
58
50.3%
Q3 - 8:21TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 263
49.1%
58
50.9%
Q3 - 8:41MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)63
50.3%
58
49.7%
Q3 - 8:41MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)63
50.9%
57
49.1%
Q3 - 8:56TORLowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)63
53.5%
56
46.5%
Q3 - 9:18MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)60
45.3%
56
54.7%
Q3 - 9:39TORJohnson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)60
41.6%
56
58.4%
Q3 - 9:59MIACole 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)58
38.2%
56
61.8%
Q3 - 10:16TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)58
40.7%
54
59.3%
Q3 - 10:26MIABosh Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)55
34.1%
54
65.9%
Q3 - 10:39TORJohnson Driving Dunk (8 PTS)55
30.9%
54
69.1%
Q3 - 10:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)53
28.0%
54
72.0%
Q3 - 10:51MIAMISS Wade 19' Step Back Jump Shot53
27.1%
54
72.9%
Q3 - 11:11TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)53
24.9%
54
75.1%
Q3 - 11:11TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)52
24.5%
54
75.5%
Q3 - 11:22MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)51
22.5%
54
77.5%
Q3 - 11:34MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)51
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q3 - 11:35TORMISS Ross 10' Jump Shot51
25.8%
52
74.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA51
27.7%
52
72.3%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)51
24.9%
52
75.1%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORMISS Lowry 3' Driving Layup51
26.0%
52
74.0%
Q2 - 0:12.0MIAJames 6' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
27.3%
52
72.7%
Q2 - 0:36.0TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS)51
30.7%
50
69.3%
Q2 - 0:51.0MIAJames 5' Driving Jump Shot (14 PTS)49
27.3%
50
72.7%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)49
30.6%
48
69.4%
Q2 - 0:55.0TORMISS Patterson Driving Layup49
31.3%
48
68.7%
Q2 - 1:01TORSalmons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)49
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q2 - 1:02TORMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 249
31.0%
48
69.0%
Q2 - 1:02TORMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 249
32.8%
48
67.2%
Q2 - 1:08TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
32.5%
48
67.5%
Q2 - 1:09MIAMISS Bosh 1' Layup49
32.0%
48
68.0%
Q2 - 1:26TORRoss 1' Dunk (8 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)49
30.8%
48
69.2%
Q2 - 1:29TORRaptors Rebound47
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q2 - 1:30TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot47
26.1%
48
73.9%
Q2 - 1:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)47
27.2%
48
72.8%
Q2 - 1:38MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup47
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q2 - 1:40MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)47
25.6%
48
74.4%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup47
26.7%
48
73.3%
Q2 - 1:48MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)47
25.6%
48
74.4%
Q2 - 1:49TORMISS Salmons Free Throw 2 of 247
25.8%
48
74.2%
Q2 - 1:49TORSalmons Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)47
27.6%
48
72.4%
Q2 - 2:09MIAJames 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Beasley 2 AST)46
25.1%
48
74.9%
Q2 - 2:15TORChalmers STEAL (2 STL)46
27.4%
46
72.6%
Q2 - 2:23TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)46
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 2:24MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup46
29.2%
46
70.8%
Q2 - 2:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
27.5%
46
72.5%
Q2 - 2:37TORMISS Patterson 18' Jump Shot46
28.2%
46
71.8%
Q2 - 2:49MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)46
30.0%
46
70.0%
Q2 - 3:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)46
26.9%
46
73.1%
Q2 - 3:04TORMISS Johnson 5' Hook Shot46
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 3:16TORRaptors Rebound46
29.8%
46
70.2%
Q2 - 3:17TORMISS Patterson 13' Turnaround Jump Shot46
27.8%
46
72.2%
Q2 - 3:44MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)46
29.9%
46
70.1%
Q2 - 3:58TORDeRozan 20' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)46
26.9%
46
73.1%
Q2 - 4:15MIABeasley Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (James 1 AST)44
24.7%
46
75.3%
Q2 - 4:21TORJohnson 2' Running Dunk (6 PTS)44
26.8%
44
73.2%
Q2 - 4:26MIAChalmers Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)42
24.7%
44
75.3%
Q2 - 4:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 4:30TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot42
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 4:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)42
24.7%
44
75.3%
Q2 - 4:37MIAMISS Beasley 17' Jump Shot42
24.0%
44
76.0%
Q2 - 5:03TORDeRozan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T8)42
22.6%
44
77.4%
Q2 - 5:15MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)42
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q2 - 5:17MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)42
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 5:18MIAMISS Beasley 2' Layup42
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 5:25TORBeasley STEAL (1 STL)42
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 5:40TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)42
31.4%
41
68.6%
Q2 - 5:41MIAMISS Bosh 14' Jump Shot42
30.7%
41
69.3%
Q2 - 6:02TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)42
28.7%
41
71.3%
Q2 - 6:31MIABeasley 8' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)40
26.9%
41
73.1%
Q2 - 6:58TORDeRozan 1' Layup (14 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)40
28.7%
39
71.3%
Q2 - 7:01TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
26.6%
39
73.4%
Q2 - 7:02MIAMISS Wade 14' Turnaround Jump Shot38
26.0%
39
74.0%
Q2 - 7:14TORWade STEAL (2 STL)38
24.4%
39
75.6%
Q2 - 7:27MIAWade 15' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)38
26.7%
39
73.3%
Q2 - 7:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
28.5%
37
71.5%
Q2 - 7:44TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
29.3%
37
70.7%
Q2 - 8:02MIABeasley 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)38
30.6%
37
69.4%
Q2 - 8:23TORRoss 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)38
32.8%
35
67.2%
Q2 - 8:40MIAWade 6' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 2 AST)35
28.5%
35
71.5%
Q2 - 8:55TORWade STEAL (1 STL)35
30.5%
33
69.5%
Q2 - 8:59TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)35
32.9%
33
67.1%
Q2 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot35
32.1%
33
67.9%
Q2 - 9:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)35
30.0%
33
70.0%
Q2 - 9:09TORMISS Patterson 6' Driving Hook Shot35
30.7%
33
69.3%
Q2 - 9:29MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)35
32.3%
33
67.7%
Q2 - 9:29MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)35
32.6%
32
67.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)35
34.4%
31
65.6%
Q2 - 9:33MIAMISS Allen 2' Layup35
36.1%
31
63.9%
Q2 - 9:53TORJohnson 2' Layup (4 PTS)35
34.4%
31
65.6%
Q2 - 9:54TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)33
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 9:55TORMISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot33
30.7%
31
69.3%
Q2 - 10:07MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P1.T4)33
32.4%
31
67.6%
Q2 - 10:23TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (12 PTS)33
29.9%
31
70.1%
Q2 - 10:43TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
28.2%
31
71.8%
Q2 - 10:44MIAMISS Haslem 1' Layup31
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 10:45MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)31
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 10:46MIAMISS Cole 1' Driving Layup31
27.5%
31
72.5%
Q2 - 10:58TORPatterson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T4)31
25.9%
31
74.1%
Q2 - 11:17MIAHaslem 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)31
28.0%
31
72.0%
Q2 - 11:18MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 11:19MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot31
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q2 - 11:21MIAMISS Beasley 8' Floating Jump Shot31
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 11:42TORPatterson 10' Driving Jump Shot (9 PTS)31
29.9%
29
70.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA29
28.1%
29
71.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORDeRozan 19' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)29
26.0%
29
74.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIABeasley Dunk (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)27
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
26.2%
27
73.8%
Q1 - 0:30.0TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 227
26.4%
27
73.6%
Q1 - 0:30.0TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)27
27.7%
27
72.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)26
25.8%
27
74.2%
Q1 - 1:01TORPatterson 15' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Fields 1 AST)26
24.4%
27
75.6%
Q1 - 1:06TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)24
22.3%
27
77.7%
Q1 - 1:07MIAMISS Haslem 2' Driving Layup24
22.0%
27
78.0%
Q1 - 1:28TORPatterson 12' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Salmons 1 AST)24
21.2%
27
78.8%
Q1 - 1:47TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
19.3%
27
80.7%
Q1 - 1:48MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 122
19.1%
27
80.9%
Q1 - 1:59TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)22
21.2%
25
78.8%
Q1 - 1:59TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 221
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q1 - 2:20MIAHaslem 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
21.0%
25
79.0%
Q1 - 2:37TORLowry 5' Driving Jump Shot (3 PTS)21
22.7%
23
77.3%
Q1 - 2:56MIAJames 6' Jump Shot (10 PTS)19
21.0%
23
79.0%
Q1 - 3:17TORAllen STEAL (1 STL)19
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 3:36MIAAllen Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)19
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 3:51TORPatterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)19
22.4%
21
77.6%
Q1 - 4:06TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)16
19.5%
21
80.5%
Q1 - 4:07MIAMISS Haslem 6' Hook Shot16
19.0%
21
81.0%
Q1 - 4:22TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)16
18.0%
21
82.0%
Q1 - 4:22TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
17.8%
21
82.2%
Q1 - 4:38MIAJames 3' Driving Jump Shot (8 PTS)14
16.9%
21
83.1%
Q1 - 4:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
18.0%
19
82.0%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup14
19.0%
19
81.0%
Q1 - 5:02MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
18.3%
19
81.7%
Q1 - 5:03TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot14
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 5:05TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
19.7%
19
80.3%
Q1 - 5:06TORMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot14
18.7%
19
81.3%
Q1 - 5:31MIALewis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)14
19.6%
19
80.4%
Q1 - 5:36TORChalmers STEAL (1 STL)14
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 5:39TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)14
22.4%
17
77.6%
Q1 - 5:40MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Layup14
21.9%
17
78.1%
Q1 - 5:58TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)14
20.9%
17
79.1%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)12
19.7%
17
80.3%
Q1 - 6:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
19.9%
16
80.1%
Q1 - 6:25TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)12
20.8%
15
79.2%
Q1 - 6:25TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 211
20.5%
15
79.5%
Q1 - 6:38MIAAndersen Putback Dunk (2 PTS)11
20.9%
15
79.1%
Q1 - 6:39MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 6:40MIAMISS James 11' Jump Shot11
23.2%
13
76.8%
Q1 - 6:59TORDeRozan 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)11
22.1%
13
77.9%
Q1 - 7:06MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)9
20.9%
13
79.1%
Q1 - 7:15TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)9
19.5%
13
80.5%
Q1 - 7:15TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 28
19.2%
13
80.8%
Q1 - 7:28MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
19.7%
13
80.3%
Q1 - 7:28MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 28
19.9%
12
80.1%
Q1 - 7:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
19.5%
12
80.5%
Q1 - 7:35TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 28
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 7:35TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
20.5%
12
79.5%
Q1 - 7:42TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.7%
12
80.3%
Q1 - 7:43MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Driving Layup7
19.3%
12
80.7%
Q1 - 7:48TORJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)7
18.3%
12
81.7%
Q1 - 8:05TORRaptors Rebound7
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 8:06TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 8:13TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 8:14MIAMISS Bosh 3' Driving Layup7
19.2%
12
80.8%
Q1 - 8:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
18.4%
12
81.6%
Q1 - 8:38TORMISS Valanciunas 8' Driving Bank Shot7
18.8%
12
81.2%
Q1 - 8:53MIAChalmers 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)7
19.6%
12
80.4%
Q1 - 9:07TORDeRozan 18' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)7
20.8%
10
79.2%
Q1 - 9:50MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)5
19.7%
10
80.3%
Q1 - 9:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
20.8%
8
79.2%
Q1 - 9:55TORMISS DeRozan 3PT Jump Shot5
21.2%
8
78.8%
Q1 - 10:14MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)5
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 10:29TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)5
24.5%
5
75.5%
Q1 - 10:37TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
22.2%
5
77.8%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot2
21.8%
5
78.2%
Q1 - 11:02TORValanciunas 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)2
20.9%
5
79.1%
Q1 - 11:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)0
19.7%
5
80.3%
Q1 - 11:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
22.0%
2
78.0%
Q1 - 11:30TORMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot0
22.3%
2
77.7%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWade 9' Turnaround Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Lewis 1 AST)0
23.1%
2
76.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Valanciunas: Tip to James0
24.4%
0
75.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
24
71%
MIA
19
41
46%
Midrange
TOR
15
31
48%
MIA
16
29
55%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
7
10.5
22
32%
48%
MIA
3
4.5
11
27%
41%
Free Throws
TOR
12
21
57%
MIA
23
27
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan2662%13.0 / 21
A. Johnson1757%8.5 / 15
J. Valančiūnas1785%8.5 / 10
K. Lowry1444%7.0 / 16
P. Patterson1139%5.5 / 14
T. Ross850%4.0 / 8
J. Salmons467%2.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3071%15.0 / 21
M. Beasley1761%8.5 / 14
D. Wade1447%7.0 / 15
C. Bosh836%4.0 / 11
N. Cole758%3.5 / 6
R. Allen633%3.0 / 9
U. Haslem643%3.0 / 7
M. Chalmers563%2.5 / 4
C. Andersen4100%2.0 / 2
R. Mason Jr.375%1.5 / 2
R. Lewis250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
76
+12
-13
88
MIA
78
+17
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.10 55.1%
MIA
1.05 52.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.7
110.7
TOR 109.0
MIA 115.9 +6.9
Pace
92.0
91.5
TOR 82.5
MIA 95.9 +13.4
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
15.8
TOR 17.5
MIA 15.0 +2.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.8%
55.4%
TOR 55.2% +6.4%
MIA 48.8%
TO %
14.4%
15.4%
TOR 13.1%
MIA 10.6% +2.5%
ORB %
27.2%
20.6%
TOR 20.0%
MIA 34.1% +14.1%
FTrt
30.6
30.0
TOR 27.3
MIA 33.3 +6.0
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.1%
58.8%
TOR 61.5% +16.8%
MIA 44.7%
STL %
7.6%
9.7%
TOR 5.6%
MIA 9.1% +3.5%
BLK %
6.9%
8.1%
TOR 10.0% +6.4%
MIA 3.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.0%
57.5%
TOR 55.1% +2.5%
MIA 52.6%
Rim FG%
57.5%
66.7%
TOR 70.8% +24.5%
MIA 46.3%
Mid FG%
38.7%
42.8%
TOR 48.4%
MIA 55.2% +6.8%
3P %
37.2%
36.4%
TOR 31.8% +4.5%
MIA 27.3%
FT %
78.3%
76.0%
TOR 57.1%
MIA 85.2% +28.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
33.3%
38.3%
TOR 31.2%
MIA 50.6% +19.4%
Mid Att. %
38.2%
32.5%
TOR 40.3%
MIA 35.8% +4.5%
3P Att. %
28.5%
29.2%
TOR 28.6% +15.0%
MIA 13.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes25.922.0
Points97102
Rebounds3442
Assists2417
Steals58
Blocks72
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)10 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (5)14 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)27 (2)28 (2)
Field Goals39-7738-81
At-the-Rim FG17-2419-41
Midrange FG15-3116-29
2-Point FG32-5535-70
3-Point FG7-223-11
Free Throws12-2123-27
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 24
38.0
26
62%
4
7
2
0
1
3
1
3
3-4
75%
10-15
67%
1-4
25%
G · 6'0" 196 · 28
37.2
14
44%
4
9
3
0
1
4
0
4
2-4
50%
3-6
50%
2-8
25%
F · 6'9" 240 · 27
37.0
17
57%
8
2
0
3
3
2
2
6
3-5
60%
7-12
58%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 22
34.9
17
85%
5
0
0
1
2
2
1
4
3-4
75%
7-8
88%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 206 · 23
33.6
8
50%
1
1
0
1
0
6
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
2-6
33%
F · 6'9" 230 · 25
23.9
11
39%
7
1
0
2
4
4
1
6
0-2
0%
4-12
33%
1-1
100%
F · 6'6" 210 · 34
21.1
4
67%
3
1
0
0
1
2
2
1
1-2
50%
0-0
-
1-2
50%
G · 6'6" 217 · 27
10.8
0
0%
2
2
0
0
1
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 26
3.6
0
0%
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 31
G · 6'6" 200 · 25
F · 6'10" 225 · 31
F · 6'11" 220 · 26
#50 · · 6'9" 250 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'3" 190 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
97
55%
34
24
5
7
13
0
7
27
12-21
57%
32-55
58%
7-22
32%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.