FinalWin Prob.pScore
367%106
103
2233%100
108
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
98.110597.2
SAC logo SAC
102.910594.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

KingsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIASAC
OT1 - 0:00.0SAC103
0%
108
100%
OT1 - 0:04.0SACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)103
0.1%
108
99.9%
OT1 - 0:06.0MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot103
0.2%
108
99.8%
OT1 - 0:12.0SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)103
1.5%
108
98.5%
OT1 - 0:12.0SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)103
1.7%
107
98.3%
OT1 - 0:13.0MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (33 PTS) (Chalmers 10 AST)103
3.5%
106
96.5%
OT1 - 0:18.0SACThornton Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)100
0.7%
106
99.3%
OT1 - 0:18.0SACThornton Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)100
0.8%
105
99.2%
OT1 - 0:24.0MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (30 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)100
2.7%
104
97.3%
OT1 - 0:26.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:6 Def:11)97
0.7%
104
99.3%
OT1 - 0:26.0SACCousins 2' Tip Shot (27 PTS)97
0.7%
104
99.3%
OT1 - 0:26.0SACMISS Thomas 2' Driving Layup97
2.6%
102
97.4%
OT1 - 0:44.0MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS)97
2.8%
102
97.2%
OT1 - 0:50.0SACGay Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)94
0.9%
102
99.1%
OT1 - 0:50.0SACGay Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)94
1.0%
101
99.0%
OT1 - 0:50.0SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)94
1.6%
100
98.4%
OT1 - 0:51.0MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot94
2.2%
100
97.8%
OT1 - 1:00MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)94
4.6%
100
95.4%
OT1 - 1:02SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot94
3.9%
100
96.1%
OT1 - 1:20MIABeasley Foul Turnover (P3.T17)94
3.9%
100
96.1%
OT1 - 1:42MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)94
9.8%
100
90.2%
OT1 - 1:45SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 294
9.4%
100
90.6%
OT1 - 1:45SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)94
7.1%
100
92.9%
OT1 - 1:58MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)94
9.7%
99
90.3%
OT1 - 1:58MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 293
8.7%
99
91.3%
OT1 - 2:15SACCousins 3' Layup (24 PTS)93
12.0%
99
88.0%
OT1 - 2:16SACCousins REBOUND (Off:5 Def:11)93
16.1%
97
83.9%
OT1 - 2:17SACMISS Cousins 4' Jump Shot93
22.7%
97
77.3%
OT1 - 2:36SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)93
16.2%
97
83.8%
OT1 - 2:37MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
18.9%
97
81.1%
OT1 - 2:45MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)93
26.5%
97
73.5%
OT1 - 2:46SACMISS Thornton 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
23.0%
97
77.0%
OT1 - 3:04MIAChalmers 7' Running Jump Shot (11 PTS)93
18.9%
97
81.1%
OT1 - 3:14SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)91
14.2%
97
85.8%
OT1 - 3:39MIAJames 2' Driving Layup (24 PTS)91
32.1%
94
67.9%
OT1 - 3:54SACThomas 14' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)89
24.7%
94
75.3%
OT1 - 4:12SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:11)89
31.1%
92
68.9%
OT1 - 4:12MIAMISS Chalmers 13' Running Jump Shot89
34.0%
92
66.0%
OT1 - 4:26SACGay 24' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Thomas 11 AST)89
40.6%
92
59.4%
OT1 - 4:43MIABosh Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T16)89
58.8%
89
41.2%
OT1 - 5:00SACJump Ball Cousins vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers89
68.6%
89
31.4%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)89
75.0%
89
25.0%
Q4 - 0:20.0SACMISS Thomas 17' Jump Shot89
66.8%
89
33.2%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIABeasley Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T15)89
50.5%
89
49.5%
Q4 - 1:02SACGay 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Thomas 10 AST)89
69.1%
89
30.9%
Q4 - 1:19SACCousins Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
78.8%
87
21.2%
Q4 - 1:19SACCousins Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (21 PTS)89
81.2%
86
18.8%
Q4 - 1:19SACKINGS Rebound89
92.1%
85
7.9%
Q4 - 1:19SACMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot89
94.8%
85
5.2%
Q4 - 1:30SACCousins REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10)89
91.4%
85
8.6%
Q4 - 1:31SACMISS Cousins 3' Jump Shot89
94.1%
85
5.9%
Q4 - 1:45SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)89
90.4%
85
9.6%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 2 of 289
91.0%
85
9.0%
Q4 - 1:45MIAMISS Chalmers Free Throw 1 of 289
93.3%
85
6.7%
Q4 - 2:01MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)89
94.1%
85
5.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)89
94.1%
85
5.9%
Q4 - 2:02MIAMISS Bosh 2' Tip Shot89
91.4%
85
8.6%
Q4 - 2:04MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot89
91.4%
85
8.6%
Q4 - 2:20MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)89
94.2%
85
5.8%
Q4 - 2:21SACMISS Cousins 4' Jump Shot89
93.1%
85
6.9%
Q4 - 2:42MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)89
89.8%
85
10.2%
Q4 - 2:42MIAMISS James Free Throw 1 of 288
88.9%
85
11.1%
Q4 - 3:02SACCousins Foul Turnover (P5.T23)88
89.7%
85
10.3%
Q4 - 3:14SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)88
83.6%
85
16.4%
Q4 - 3:14MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot88
85.8%
85
14.2%
Q4 - 3:24MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)88
89.9%
85
10.1%
Q4 - 3:24SACMISS Cousins 17' Jump Shot88
88.3%
85
11.7%
Q4 - 3:48MIABosh 2' Driving Dunk (18 PTS)88
81.7%
85
18.3%
Q4 - 4:03SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T22)86
76.2%
85
23.8%
Q4 - 4:18SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)86
67.8%
85
32.2%
Q4 - 4:20MIAMISS James 1' Driving Layup86
70.5%
85
29.5%
Q4 - 4:41SACCousins REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)86
76.3%
85
23.7%
Q4 - 4:41SACCousins 1' Tip Shot (20 PTS)86
76.3%
85
23.7%
Q4 - 4:42SACMISS Gay 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
86.0%
83
14.0%
Q4 - 5:03MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (16 PTS) (James 8 AST)86
80.4%
83
19.6%
Q4 - 5:29SACCousins 4' Jump Shot (18 PTS)84
75.2%
83
24.8%
Q4 - 5:31SACCousins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)84
80.5%
81
19.5%
Q4 - 5:32SACMISS Gay 5' Driving Jump Shot84
84.2%
81
15.8%
Q4 - 5:51MIABeasley Traveling Turnover (P1.T14)84
80.5%
81
19.5%
Q4 - 6:07SACThomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)84
84.8%
81
15.2%
Q4 - 6:31MIABosh 17' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (James 7 AST)84
90.8%
78
9.2%
Q4 - 6:51MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)82
88.3%
78
11.7%
Q4 - 6:52SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
87.2%
78
12.8%
Q4 - 7:12SACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
83.8%
78
16.2%
Q4 - 7:12MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot82
85.1%
78
14.9%
Q4 - 7:22SACGay Bad Pass Turnover (P5.T21)82
87.6%
78
12.4%
Q4 - 7:38SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)82
83.9%
78
16.1%
Q4 - 7:39MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)82
87.6%
78
12.4%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Haslem 1' Tip Shot82
85.1%
78
14.9%
Q4 - 7:39MIAMISS Lewis 7' Jump Shot82
85.1%
78
14.9%
Q4 - 8:03SACCousins 10' Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
86.3%
78
13.7%
Q4 - 8:21MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)82
89.2%
76
10.8%
Q4 - 8:51SACCousins Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T20)79
83.2%
76
16.8%
Q4 - 8:59SACAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)79
79.2%
76
20.8%
Q4 - 9:00MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 179
79.8%
76
20.2%
Q4 - 9:16SACGay 7' Jump Shot (19 PTS)77
74.3%
76
25.7%
Q4 - 9:29SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
78.6%
74
21.4%
Q4 - 9:30MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
79.8%
74
20.2%
Q4 - 9:51SACAcy Foul Turnover (P1.T19)77
82.4%
74
17.6%
Q4 - 10:06MIAChalmers 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS)77
78.1%
74
21.9%
Q4 - 10:19SACFredette Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T18)75
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q4 - 10:28SACKINGS Rebound75
69.4%
74
30.6%
Q4 - 10:28MIAGay BLOCK (1 BLK)75
70.9%
74
29.1%
Q4 - 10:40SACGay Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T17)75
74.0%
74
26.0%
Q4 - 11:04MIACole 22' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)75
69.0%
74
31.0%
Q4 - 11:22SACThornton Traveling Turnover (P1.T16)73
64.3%
74
35.7%
Q4 - 11:36SACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
59.2%
74
40.8%
Q4 - 11:38MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot73
60.8%
74
39.2%
Q3 - 0:00.0SAC73
64.4%
74
35.6%
Q3 - 0:01.0SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)73
60.2%
74
39.8%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAMISS Cole 5' Jump Shot73
61.6%
74
38.4%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)73
64.8%
74
35.2%
Q3 - 0:06.0SACMISS McLemore 21' Jump Shot73
63.4%
74
36.6%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIABeasley Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)73
60.1%
74
39.9%
Q3 - 0:31.0MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)72
59.0%
74
41.0%
Q3 - 0:38.0SACCousins Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T15)71
54.9%
74
45.1%
Q3 - 0:52.0MIACole Traveling Turnover (P1.T13)71
49.9%
74
50.1%
Q3 - 0:54.0SACGay Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T14)71
54.9%
74
45.1%
Q3 - 1:12SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)71
51.1%
74
48.9%
Q3 - 1:14MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot71
52.6%
74
47.4%
Q3 - 1:31SACGay 13' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS) (Thomas 9 AST)71
55.8%
74
44.2%
Q3 - 1:44MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)71
60.7%
72
39.3%
Q3 - 1:44MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)70
59.5%
72
40.5%
Q3 - 1:56MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
55.8%
72
44.2%
Q3 - 1:57SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 269
55.2%
72
44.8%
Q3 - 1:57SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)69
52.1%
72
47.9%
Q3 - 2:09SACKINGS Rebound69
56.4%
71
43.6%
Q3 - 2:10MIAMISS James 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
57.9%
71
42.1%
Q3 - 2:22SACGay 15' Jump Bank Shot (15 PTS) (Thomas 8 AST)69
61.1%
71
38.9%
Q3 - 2:46SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)69
65.3%
69
34.7%
Q3 - 2:46MIAMISS Beasley 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
66.6%
69
33.4%
Q3 - 3:02SACThompson 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Cousins 5 AST)69
69.9%
69
30.1%
Q3 - 3:07SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)69
73.3%
67
26.7%
Q3 - 3:08MIAMISS Beasley 4' Jump Shot69
74.4%
67
25.6%
Q3 - 3:32SACCousins 3' Layup (13 PTS)69
76.8%
67
23.2%
Q3 - 3:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
79.6%
65
20.4%
Q3 - 3:50MIAChalmers Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)68
79.1%
65
20.9%
Q3 - 4:07SACThomas 1' Layup (12 PTS)67
76.9%
65
23.1%
Q3 - 4:10MIAThomas STEAL (1 STL)67
79.2%
63
20.8%
Q3 - 4:24SACThompson 3' Layup (8 PTS) (Cousins 4 AST)67
82.4%
63
17.6%
Q3 - 4:35SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)67
84.3%
61
15.7%
Q3 - 4:36MIAMISS Bosh 13' Jump Shot67
85.1%
61
14.9%
Q3 - 4:51SACGay Traveling Turnover (P2.T13)67
86.9%
61
13.1%
Q3 - 4:57MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T11)67
84.3%
61
15.7%
Q3 - 5:02SACCousins Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)67
86.2%
61
13.8%
Q3 - 5:22MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Chalmers 9 AST)67
83.9%
61
16.1%
Q3 - 5:37SACGay Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)64
79.3%
61
20.7%
Q3 - 5:50SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
83.9%
58
16.1%
Q3 - 5:51MIAMISS Bosh 16' Step Back Jump Shot64
84.7%
58
15.3%
Q3 - 6:15SACGay 17' Jump Shot (10 PTS)64
86.0%
58
14.0%
Q3 - 6:30SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 6:30MIAMISS Chalmers 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 6:41MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
89.4%
56
10.6%
Q3 - 6:42SACMISS McLemore 2' Layup64
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 6:46SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)64
87.6%
56
12.4%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMISS James 3' Jump Shot64
88.2%
56
11.8%
Q3 - 6:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)64
89.4%
56
10.6%
Q3 - 6:56SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot64
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 7:02SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
87.1%
56
12.9%
Q3 - 7:02MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot64
87.7%
56
12.3%
Q3 - 7:24SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)64
88.9%
56
11.1%
Q3 - 7:24SACThomas Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)64
89.1%
55
10.9%
Q3 - 7:32MIAJames 3' Layup (21 PTS) (Chalmers 8 AST)64
90.3%
54
9.7%
Q3 - 7:44SACThomas Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)62
89.0%
54
11.0%
Q3 - 7:44SACMISS Thomas Free Throw 1 of 262
89.1%
53
10.9%
Q3 - 7:47SACThompson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
88.8%
53
11.2%
Q3 - 7:48MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
89.3%
53
10.7%
Q3 - 7:59SACGay 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)62
90.4%
53
9.6%
Q3 - 8:17MIABattier Foul Turnover (P3.T10)62
91.3%
51
8.7%
Q3 - 8:31SACMcLemore Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)62
92.6%
51
7.4%
Q3 - 8:48SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)62
91.3%
51
8.7%
Q3 - 8:49MIAMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
91.7%
51
8.3%
Q3 - 9:00MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)62
92.6%
51
7.4%
Q3 - 9:01SACMISS Cousins 7' Jump Shot62
91.9%
51
8.1%
Q3 - 9:20MIAMason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 6 AST)62
91.1%
51
8.9%
Q3 - 9:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)59
88.4%
51
11.6%
Q3 - 9:29SACMISS Thomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
88.0%
51
12.0%
Q3 - 9:48MIABattier Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)59
86.8%
51
13.2%
Q3 - 9:57SACThompson 7' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 6 AST)59
88.5%
51
11.5%
Q3 - 10:22SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)59
89.8%
49
10.2%
Q3 - 10:22MIAMISS Bosh 21' Jump Shot59
90.2%
49
9.8%
Q3 - 10:43SACCousins 2' Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (McLemore 1 AST)59
91.0%
49
9.0%
Q3 - 10:58MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Chalmers 7 AST)59
92.1%
47
7.9%
Q3 - 11:13SACCousins Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)57
90.9%
47
9.1%
Q3 - 11:13SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)57
91.1%
46
8.9%
Q3 - 11:27MIABosh 14' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)57
91.9%
45
8.1%
Q3 - 11:45SACMcLemore Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)55
90.9%
45
9.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA55
89.6%
45
10.4%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound55
90.9%
45
9.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Chalmers 28' 3PT Jump Shot55
90.0%
45
10.0%
Q2 - 0:02.0SACThomas Foul Turnover (P2.T9)55
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#8)55
89.3%
45
10.7%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAHeat Rebound55
90.2%
45
9.8%
Q2 - 0:09.0MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot55
89.6%
45
10.4%
Q2 - 0:33.0SACOutlaw REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)55
90.3%
45
9.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0SACOutlaw 1' Putback Dunk (4 PTS)55
90.3%
45
9.7%
Q2 - 0:33.0SACMISS Thomas 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
92.1%
43
7.9%
Q2 - 0:40.0SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
91.6%
43
8.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIAMISS Mason Jr. 26' 3PT Jump Shot55
91.8%
43
8.2%
Q2 - 1:01SACCousins 4' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Thomas 5 AST)55
92.0%
43
8.0%
Q2 - 1:15MIAChalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (James 5 AST)55
93.2%
41
6.8%
Q2 - 1:22MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
91.0%
41
9.0%
Q2 - 1:23SACMISS Outlaw 22' Jump Shot52
90.8%
41
9.2%
Q2 - 1:38MIABosh Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T7)52
90.3%
41
9.7%
Q2 - 1:56SACMcLemore 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Thomas 4 AST)52
91.0%
41
9.0%
Q2 - 2:13MIAJames 24' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)52
91.8%
39
8.2%
Q2 - 2:33SACGay 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Thomas 3 AST)49
89.7%
39
10.3%
Q2 - 2:45MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)49
90.8%
37
9.2%
Q2 - 2:52SACMcLemore Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)46
88.5%
37
11.5%
Q2 - 2:58SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)46
87.2%
37
12.8%
Q2 - 2:59MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
87.7%
37
12.3%
Q2 - 3:16SACThomas 2' Layup (7 PTS) (Cousins 3 AST)46
88.5%
37
11.5%
Q2 - 3:21MIACousins STEAL (2 STL)46
89.5%
35
10.5%
Q2 - 3:29MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)46
90.8%
35
9.2%
Q2 - 3:30SACMISS Outlaw 18' Jump Shot46
90.4%
35
9.6%
Q2 - 3:39SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)46
89.5%
35
10.5%
Q2 - 3:40MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
89.9%
35
10.1%
Q2 - 3:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)46
90.8%
35
9.2%
Q2 - 3:51SACMISS McLemore 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
90.4%
35
9.6%
Q2 - 4:08MIAChalmers 4' Layup (2 PTS) (James 4 AST)46
89.2%
35
10.8%
Q2 - 4:20SACCousins Foul Turnover (P1.T7)44
88.0%
35
12.0%
Q2 - 4:40MIABosh 4' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (James 3 AST)44
86.7%
35
13.3%
Q2 - 4:54SACGay 2' Alley Oop Layup (4 PTS) (Cousins 2 AST)42
85.4%
35
14.6%
Q2 - 5:00SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)42
86.8%
33
13.2%
Q2 - 5:01MIAOutlaw BLOCK (1 BLK)42
87.0%
33
13.0%
Q2 - 5:07MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
87.9%
33
12.1%
Q2 - 5:08SACMISS Gay 26' 3PT Jump Shot42
87.5%
33
12.5%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJames 5' Jump Bank Shot (16 PTS)42
86.7%
33
13.3%
Q2 - 5:40MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
85.2%
33
14.8%
Q2 - 5:41SACMISS Williams 5' Jump Shot40
84.8%
33
15.2%
Q2 - 5:47SACAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)40
83.8%
33
16.2%
Q2 - 5:48MIAMISS Mason Jr. 3' Layup40
84.3%
33
15.7%
Q2 - 6:04SACOutlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)40
85.2%
33
14.8%
Q2 - 6:21SACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)40
83.4%
33
16.6%
Q2 - 6:21MIAMISS Lewis 16' Jump Shot40
84.0%
33
16.0%
Q2 - 6:46SACAcy 2' Slam Dunk (8 PTS) (Fredette 3 AST)40
85.2%
33
14.8%
Q2 - 7:04MIALewis 5' Jump Hook Shot (2 PTS)40
86.1%
31
13.9%
Q2 - 7:05MIALewis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)38
84.9%
31
15.1%
Q2 - 7:06MIAFredette BLOCK (1 BLK)38
83.8%
31
16.2%
Q2 - 7:30SACOutlaw 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Fredette 2 AST)38
84.9%
31
15.1%
Q2 - 7:34SACFredette REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
86.1%
29
13.9%
Q2 - 7:36MIAAcy BLOCK (1 BLK)38
86.5%
29
13.5%
Q2 - 7:43MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)38
87.4%
29
12.6%
Q2 - 7:44SACMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot38
87.0%
29
13.0%
Q2 - 8:03MIABeasley 12' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)38
85.8%
29
14.2%
Q2 - 8:21SACAcy 1' Slam Dunk (6 PTS) (Outlaw 1 AST)36
84.5%
29
15.5%
Q2 - 8:26SACOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)36
85.8%
27
14.2%
Q2 - 8:28MIAMISS Beasley 22' Jump Shot36
86.2%
27
13.8%
Q2 - 8:35SACOutlaw Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)36
87.1%
27
12.9%
Q2 - 8:56MIACole 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)36
85.8%
27
14.2%
Q2 - 9:05MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)34
84.4%
27
15.6%
Q2 - 9:06SACMISS Outlaw 3PT Jump Shot34
84.0%
27
16.0%
Q2 - 9:17SACThornton Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (5 PTS)34
83.0%
27
17.0%
Q2 - 9:17SACThornton Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (4 PTS)34
83.2%
26
16.8%
Q2 - 9:18MIAThornton STEAL (1 STL)34
85.6%
25
14.4%
Q2 - 9:30MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)34
86.9%
25
13.1%
Q2 - 9:31SACMISS Fredette 25' 3PT Jump Shot34
86.5%
25
13.5%
Q2 - 9:49MIABeasley 7' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS)34
85.6%
25
14.4%
Q2 - 10:07SACAcy Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)32
84.2%
25
15.8%
Q2 - 10:07SACAcy Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)32
84.5%
24
15.5%
Q2 - 10:11SACAcy REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
85.3%
23
14.7%
Q2 - 10:12SACMISS Thornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot32
86.2%
23
13.8%
Q2 - 10:21SACOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
85.3%
23
14.7%
Q2 - 10:23MIAMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot32
85.7%
23
14.3%
Q2 - 10:51SACWilliams 2' Driving Dunk (2 PTS)32
86.7%
23
13.3%
Q2 - 10:54SACWilliams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)32
87.6%
21
12.4%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS Lewis 9' Jump Shot32
88.0%
21
12.0%
Q2 - 11:15SACWilliams Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)32
88.4%
21
11.6%
Q2 - 11:28MIALewis Traveling Turnover (P1.T4)32
87.3%
21
12.7%
Q2 - 11:40SACAcy 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Fredette 1 AST)32
88.4%
21
11.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0SAC32
89.3%
19
10.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (14 PTS)32
89.1%
19
10.9%
Q1 - 0:23.0SACThomas 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
86.9%
19
13.1%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIAJames 3' Driving Layup (11 PTS)29
88.2%
17
11.8%
Q1 - 1:02SACThomas 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)27
86.8%
17
13.2%
Q1 - 1:11SACAcy REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
89.0%
14
11.0%
Q1 - 1:11MIAMISS Lewis 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
89.2%
14
10.8%
Q1 - 1:35SACThornton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Thomas 2 AST)27
89.6%
14
10.4%
Q1 - 1:42SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)27
91.4%
11
8.6%
Q1 - 1:43MIAMISS James 18' Jump Shot27
91.6%
11
8.4%
Q1 - 2:05MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
91.8%
11
8.2%
Q1 - 2:06SACMISS Cousins 13' Step Back Jump Shot27
91.6%
11
8.4%
Q1 - 2:26MIAHaslem 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)27
91.2%
11
8.8%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
90.4%
11
9.6%
Q1 - 2:42SACMISS Cousins Free Throw 2 of 225
90.3%
11
9.7%
Q1 - 2:42SACCousins Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)25
89.8%
11
10.2%
Q1 - 3:02SACOutlaw REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
90.2%
10
9.8%
Q1 - 3:03MIAMISS Battier 11' Running Jump Shot25
90.5%
10
9.5%
Q1 - 3:30SACCousins 2' Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Thornton 1 AST)25
91.1%
10
8.9%
Q1 - 3:46MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)25
91.7%
8
8.3%
Q1 - 3:46MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)24
91.6%
8
8.4%
Q1 - 3:56SACCousins 1' Dunk (2 PTS) (Thomas 1 AST)23
91.1%
8
8.9%
Q1 - 4:16SACThornton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
91.5%
6
8.5%
Q1 - 4:17MIAMISS James 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
91.7%
6
8.3%
Q1 - 4:24MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
92.2%
6
7.8%
Q1 - 4:25SACMISS Thomas 9' Jump Shot23
92.0%
6
8.0%
Q1 - 4:45MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)23
91.5%
6
8.5%
Q1 - 4:45MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)22
91.4%
6
8.6%
Q1 - 4:56MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
90.9%
6
9.1%
Q1 - 4:57SACMISS Williams 9' Jump Shot21
90.6%
6
9.4%
Q1 - 5:20MIAJames 1' Dunk (7 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)21
89.4%
6
10.6%
Q1 - 5:25SACGay Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)19
88.6%
6
11.4%
Q1 - 5:29MIAGay STEAL (1 STL)19
87.7%
6
12.3%
Q1 - 5:38SACKINGS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#2)19
88.7%
6
11.3%
Q1 - 5:38SACKINGS Rebound19
87.7%
6
12.3%
Q1 - 5:38SACMISS Thomas 7' Running Jump Shot19
88.4%
6
11.6%
Q1 - 6:07MIAJames 18' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)19
87.3%
6
12.7%
Q1 - 6:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
86.5%
6
13.5%
Q1 - 6:18SACMISS Cousins 18' Jump Shot17
86.2%
6
13.8%
Q1 - 6:25MIAMason Jr. Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)17
85.5%
6
14.5%
Q1 - 6:32MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)16
84.5%
6
15.5%
Q1 - 6:41MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
82.4%
6
17.6%
Q1 - 6:43SACMISS Cousins 3' Finger Roll Layup13
82.0%
6
18.0%
Q1 - 6:46SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)13
81.1%
6
18.9%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Battier 25' 3PT Jump Shot13
81.5%
6
18.5%
Q1 - 7:04SACGay 2' Dunk (2 PTS)13
82.2%
6
17.8%
Q1 - 7:21MIABattier Double Dribble Turnover (P1.T2)13
83.2%
4
16.8%
Q1 - 7:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
84.4%
4
15.6%
Q1 - 7:36SACMISS Thompson 12' Fadeaway Jumper13
84.0%
4
16.0%
Q1 - 7:52MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (James 2 AST)13
83.2%
4
16.8%
Q1 - 8:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
81.1%
4
18.9%
Q1 - 8:00SACMISS Gay 5' Jump Shot10
80.7%
4
19.3%
Q1 - 8:01SACGay REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
80.0%
4
20.0%
Q1 - 8:02SACMISS Gay 4' Jump Shot10
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 8:17SACKINGS Rebound10
80.0%
4
20.0%
Q1 - 8:18SACMISS Gay 20' Jump Shot10
80.8%
4
19.2%
Q1 - 8:35MIABosh 4' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (James 1 AST)10
79.9%
4
20.1%
Q1 - 8:52SACThomas Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)8
78.8%
4
21.2%
Q1 - 9:10MIABattier 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)8
77.6%
4
22.4%
Q1 - 9:26MIAMason Jr. REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
75.2%
4
24.8%
Q1 - 9:27SACCousins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)5
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 9:27SACMISS Cousins 3' Tip Shot5
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 9:28SACMISS Cousins 8' Jump Shot5
74.7%
4
25.3%
Q1 - 9:44MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)5
73.7%
4
26.3%
Q1 - 9:54SACThompson 2' Dunk (4 PTS) (Cousins 1 AST)2
70.9%
4
29.1%
Q1 - 10:00SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
72.2%
2
27.8%
Q1 - 10:00MIAMISS Chalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
72.7%
2
27.3%
Q1 - 10:18MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
73.9%
2
26.1%
Q1 - 10:19SACMISS Thomas 18' Jump Shot2
73.4%
2
26.6%
Q1 - 10:38SACMcLemore REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
72.4%
2
27.6%
Q1 - 10:38MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
72.9%
2
27.1%
Q1 - 10:53SACThompson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Gay 1 AST)2
73.9%
2
26.1%
Q1 - 11:10MIABosh 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
75.2%
0
24.8%
Q1 - 11:23MIAHeat Rebound0
73.8%
0
26.2%
Q1 - 11:23SACMISS Gay 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 11:28SACThomas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 11:29SACMISS Cousins 15' Jump Shot0
73.4%
0
26.6%
Q1 - 11:45MIACousins STEAL (1 STL)0
72.6%
0
27.4%
Q1 - 12:00SACJump Ball Thompson vs. Bosh: Tip to Mason Jr.0
73.8%
0
26.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.1%
SAC
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
15
26
58%
SAC
24
35
69%
Midrange
MIA
12
28
43%
SAC
12
28
43%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
11
16.5
32
34%
52%
SAC
5
7.5
20
25%
38%
Free Throws
MIA
16
21
76%
SAC
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3366%16.5 / 25
C. Bosh1856%9.0 / 16
N. Cole1381%6.5 / 8
M. Chalmers1142%5.5 / 13
S. Battier990%4.5 / 5
M. Beasley945%4.5 / 10
R. Mason Jr.440%2.0 / 5
U. Haslem429%2.0 / 7
R. Lewis220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
SAC logo Kings
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Cousins2754%13.5 / 25
R. Gay2665%13.0 / 20
I. Thomas2258%11.0 / 19
J. Thompson1083%5.0 / 6
Q. Acy8100%4.0 / 4
M. Thornton770%3.5 / 5
T. Outlaw440%2.0 / 5
B. McLemore225%1.0 / 4
D. Williams225%1.0 / 4
J. Fredette0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
89
+7
-16
96
SAC
83
+13
-22
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.06 53.1%
SAC
1.11 55.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
110.7
106.2
MIA 98.1 +4.8
SAC 102.9
Pace
91.5
94.0
MIA 97.2 +3.1
SAC 94.1
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.5
MIA 14.8 +0.5
SAC 15.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
55.4%
48.4%
MIA 50.6%
SAC 52.4% +1.8%
TO %
15.4%
15.5%
MIA 15.1% +4.6%
SAC 19.7%
ORB %
20.6%
27.9%
MIA 8.9%
SAC 24.4% +15.5%
FTrt
30.0
33.1
MIA 24.4
SAC 30.1 +5.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
58.8%
51.1%
MIA 60.5% +4.4%
SAC 56.1%
STL %
9.7%
7.6%
MIA 8.6% +3.8%
SAC 4.8%
BLK %
8.1%
6.5%
MIA 7.9% +0.5%
SAC 7.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.51 and 2.51.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
57.5%
52.0%
MIA 53.1%
SAC 55.7% +2.6%
Rim FG%
66.7%
57.6%
MIA 57.7%
SAC 68.6% +10.9%
Mid FG%
42.8%
39.3%
MIA 42.9%
SAC 42.9%
3P %
36.4%
33.3%
MIA 34.4% +9.4%
SAC 25.0%
FT %
76.0%
76.1%
MIA 76.2%
SAC 84.0% +7.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.3%
36.7%
MIA 30.2%
SAC 42.2% +11.9%
Mid Att. %
32.5%
41.5%
MIA 32.6% +1.2%
SAC 33.7%
3P Att. %
29.2%
21.8%
MIA 37.2% +13.1%
SAC 24.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIASAC
Possessions105105
Possession Minutes25.926.8
Points103108
Rebounds3551
Assists2323
Steals95
Blocks54
Turnovers (Team)16 (1)22 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)4 (3)10 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)41 (2)
Field Goals38-8641-83
At-the-Rim FG15-2624-35
Midrange FG12-2812-28
2-Point FG27-5436-63
3-Point FG11-325-20
Free Throws16-2121-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 250 · 29
43.7
33
66%
8
8
0
0
2
3
0
8
5-6
83%
8-14
57%
4-9
44%
G · 6'2" 190 · 28
43.5
11
42%
4
10
3
0
1
4
1
3
2-4
50%
3-4
75%
1-7
14%
C · 6'11" 235 · 30
35.3
18
56%
7
1
0
3
4
1
1
6
2-2
100%
8-13
62%
0-2
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 33
22.8
4
40%
3
2
1
0
0
5
0
3
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
1-4
25%
F · 6'8" 220 · 35
19.1
9
90%
0
0
1
2
3
2
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
3-4
75%
G · 6'2" 175 · 25
35.9
13
81%
0
1
1
0
1
2
0
0
3-4
75%
2-3
67%
2-3
67%
F · 6'9" 235 · 25
33.1
9
45%
6
1
1
0
3
5
0
6
3-3
100%
3-7
43%
0-2
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 34
17.7
4
29%
5
0
1
0
0
1
1
4
0-1
0%
2-7
29%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 235 · 34
13.9
2
20%
2
0
1
0
2
0
1
1
0-0
-
1-4
25%
0-1
0%
G · 6'5" 205 · 38
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 35
G-F · 6'8" 218 · 33
C · 6'9" 245 · 31
#3 · G · 6'4" 220 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · C · 7'0" 273 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
103
53%
35
23
9
5
16
0
4
31
16-21
76%
27-54
50%
11-32
34%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.