FinalWin Prob.pScore
1526%96
88
274%105
107
ORTG#PossPace
NOP logo NOP
101.18792.5
MIA logo MIA
120.28984.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatPelicansQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventNOPMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA88
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:23.0NOPMiller 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)88
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:34.0NOPAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot86
0%
107
100%
Q4 - 0:55.0MIAAnthony REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 0:56.0NOPMISS Roberts 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:10MIAJones 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Mason Jr. 2 AST)86
0.1%
107
99.9%
Q4 - 1:26NOPMorrow Traveling Turnover (P3.T16)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:33NOPWithey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:34MIAMISS Allen 26' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47NOPAjinca Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47NOPAjinca Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)85
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:00NOPWithey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:01MIAMISS Jones 19' Jump Shot84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16NOPRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)84
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:16NOPRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)83
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:20MIAAndersen 1' Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Mason Jr. 1 AST)82
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 2:29MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:30MIAMISS Allen 25' 3PT Jump Shot82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 2:48NOPMorrow 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)82
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)80
0.1%
102
99.9%
Q4 - 3:10MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 280
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:27NOPHoliday 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)80
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46MIAWade 20' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS)78
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 3:58NOPMISS Davis 10' Driving Bank Shot78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:13MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 1 (32 PTS)78
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 4:19NOPAndersen STEAL (1 STL)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:27NOPHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:28MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:53MIAHEAT Rebound78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 4:54NOPMISS Davis 12' Turnaround Hook Shot78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:19MIAAndersen 1' Layup (12 PTS) (Bosh 3 AST)78
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 5:31NOPEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)78
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:31NOPEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0.2%
94
99.8%
Q4 - 5:34MIAAllen 10' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)76
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 5:47MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 5:48NOPMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot76
0.2%
92
99.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)76
0.5%
92
99.5%
Q4 - 6:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)76
0.8%
89
99.2%
Q4 - 6:22NOPMISS Smith 6' Hook Shot76
0.9%
89
99.1%
Q4 - 6:41MIAAndersen 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)76
1.1%
89
98.9%
Q4 - 7:04NOPEvans Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)76
1.8%
87
98.2%
Q4 - 7:04NOPEvans Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)75
1.7%
87
98.3%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)74
1.4%
87
98.6%
Q4 - 7:26MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)74
1.5%
86
98.5%
Q4 - 7:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)74
1.8%
85
98.2%
Q4 - 7:35NOPMISS Stiemsma Free Throw 1 of 174
1.9%
85
98.1%
Q4 - 7:45NOPGordon REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)72
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 7:46MIAMISS Allen 24' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.3%
85
98.7%
Q4 - 8:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)72
1.0%
85
99.0%
Q4 - 8:01MIAMISS Mason Jr. 25' 3PT Jump Shot72
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 8:20MIAWade REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)72
1.4%
85
98.6%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 272
1.7%
85
98.3%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)72
1.5%
85
98.5%
Q4 - 8:31NOPMorrow Foul Turnover (P2.T14)72
1.8%
84
98.2%
Q4 - 8:51NOPStiemsma REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)72
2.3%
84
97.7%
Q4 - 8:52MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 172
2.2%
84
97.8%
Q4 - 9:08NOPRoberts 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)72
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 9:21MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
2.7%
82
97.3%
Q4 - 9:36MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)70
3.4%
80
96.6%
Q4 - 9:37NOPMISS Evans 7' Driving Jump Shot70
3.7%
80
96.3%
Q4 - 9:49MIAAndersen 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)70
4.3%
80
95.7%
Q4 - 10:01NOPDavis Traveling Turnover (P5.T13)70
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q4 - 10:21NOPMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
7.3%
78
92.7%
Q4 - 10:22MIAMISS Beasley 25' 3PT Jump Shot70
6.8%
78
93.2%
Q4 - 10:42MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
5.9%
78
94.1%
Q4 - 10:43NOPMISS Morrow 14' Jump Shot70
6.3%
78
93.7%
Q4 - 11:13MIAAllen 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)70
7.9%
78
92.1%
Q4 - 11:33NOPBeasley STEAL (1 STL)70
11.6%
75
88.4%
Q4 - 11:41NOPStiemsma REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)70
14.0%
75
86.0%
Q4 - 11:44MIAMISS Beasley 7' Driving Jump Shot70
13.2%
75
86.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0NOPRoberts 10' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)70
11.5%
75
88.5%
Q3 - 0:04.0MIAJames 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (29 PTS)68
10.0%
75
90.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0NOPRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
12.0%
73
88.0%
Q3 - 0:20.0NOPRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)67
11.9%
73
88.1%
Q3 - 0:29.0NOPRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
9.9%
73
90.1%
Q3 - 0:30.0MIAMISS James 28' 3PT Jump Shot66
9.4%
73
90.6%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)66
8.3%
73
91.7%
Q3 - 0:37.0NOPMISS Smith 20' Jump Shot66
8.8%
73
91.2%
Q3 - 1:02MIAJames 25' 3PT Jump Shot (27 PTS) (Allen 1 AST)66
10.3%
73
89.7%
Q3 - 1:17NOPEvans 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Roberts 1 AST)66
14.5%
70
85.5%
Q3 - 1:40MIAAllen Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)63
10.2%
70
89.8%
Q3 - 1:40MIAAllen Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)63
10.4%
69
89.6%
Q3 - 1:51NOPSmith 17' Jump Shot (8 PTS)63
12.2%
68
87.8%
Q3 - 2:19MIAJames Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)61
10.6%
68
89.4%
Q3 - 2:19MIAJames Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)61
10.9%
67
89.1%
Q3 - 2:22MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)61
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 2:23NOPMISS Evans 2' Driving Layup61
13.0%
66
87.0%
Q3 - 2:34NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:7 Def:5)61
14.6%
66
85.4%
Q3 - 2:35MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot61
13.9%
66
86.1%
Q3 - 3:00NOPHoliday Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)61
12.4%
66
87.6%
Q3 - 3:19MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)61
14.9%
66
85.1%
Q3 - 3:30MIAHEAT Rebound61
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 3:31MIAMISS James 20' Jump Shot61
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 3:38MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 3:39NOPMISS Evans 3PT Jump Shot61
20.7%
63
79.3%
Q3 - 3:47MIAAllen Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T12)61
23.0%
63
77.0%
Q3 - 3:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)61
19.7%
63
80.3%
Q3 - 3:59MIAMISS Cole 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
22.0%
63
78.0%
Q3 - 4:15MIALewis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)61
19.5%
63
80.5%
Q3 - 4:16NOPMISS Gordon 1' Driving Layup61
20.6%
63
79.4%
Q3 - 4:40MIAJames 1' Layup (22 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)61
23.1%
63
76.9%
Q3 - 4:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)61
25.5%
61
74.5%
Q3 - 4:52NOPMISS Gordon 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
26.8%
61
73.2%
Q3 - 4:58MIAJames Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)61
29.7%
61
70.3%
Q3 - 5:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)61
25.6%
61
74.4%
Q3 - 5:01NOPMISS Holiday 3PT Jump Shot61
26.5%
61
73.5%
Q3 - 5:27MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)61
29.2%
61
70.8%
Q3 - 5:27MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)61
29.8%
60
70.2%
Q3 - 5:39NOPHoliday 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS)61
32.2%
59
67.8%
Q3 - 5:49MIAJames 21' Jump Shot (20 PTS)59
29.2%
59
70.8%
Q3 - 6:11NOPDavis Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)59
31.4%
57
68.6%
Q3 - 6:24MIALewis 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)59
35.4%
57
64.6%
Q3 - 6:28MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)59
38.7%
55
61.3%
Q3 - 6:29NOPMISS Smith 16' Jump Shot59
40.0%
55
60.0%
Q3 - 6:50MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)59
43.0%
55
57.0%
Q3 - 7:03NOPGordon Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)59
45.1%
53
54.9%
Q3 - 7:21NOPSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)56
38.0%
53
62.0%
Q3 - 7:22MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Reverse Layup56
36.8%
53
63.2%
Q3 - 7:30MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
34.2%
53
65.8%
Q3 - 7:31NOPMISS Gordon 19' Fadeaway Jumper56
35.3%
53
64.7%
Q3 - 7:53MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)56
38.1%
53
61.9%
Q3 - 8:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
44.2%
50
55.8%
Q3 - 8:18NOPAjinca REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)56
48.5%
50
51.5%
Q3 - 8:18NOPMISS Ajinca Tip Shot56
45.5%
50
54.5%
Q3 - 8:20NOPMISS Gordon 1' Driving Layup56
45.5%
50
54.5%
Q3 - 8:26NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)56
48.5%
50
51.5%
Q3 - 8:27MIAMISS Lewis 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
47.2%
50
52.8%
Q3 - 8:44NOPDavis Dunk (20 PTS) (Holiday 6 AST)56
44.3%
50
55.7%
Q3 - 9:01MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (15 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)54
39.7%
50
60.3%
Q3 - 9:15NOPHoliday Traveling Turnover (P2.T9)54
43.3%
48
56.7%
Q3 - 9:34MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (12 PTS) (James 4 AST)54
47.1%
48
52.9%
Q3 - 9:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)54
50.6%
46
49.4%
Q3 - 9:57NOPMISS Davis 16' Jump Shot54
51.8%
46
48.2%
Q3 - 10:15MIACole 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (James 3 AST)54
52.7%
46
47.3%
Q3 - 10:38NOPDavis 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Holiday 5 AST)54
59.7%
43
40.3%
Q3 - 11:00MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)52
56.3%
43
43.7%
Q3 - 11:18NOPGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Holiday 4 AST)52
51.0%
43
49.0%
Q3 - 11:28NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)49
44.3%
43
55.7%
Q3 - 11:29MIAMISS Lewis 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
43.2%
43
56.8%
Q3 - 11:44NOPJames STEAL (2 STL)49
40.8%
43
59.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0NOP49
44.3%
43
55.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 3 of 3 (5 PTS)49
44.3%
43
55.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 3 (4 PTS)49
44.9%
42
55.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 3 (3 PTS)49
45.6%
41
54.4%
Q2 - 0:01.0NOPEvans Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P1.T7)49
50.0%
40
50.0%
Q2 - 0:13.0NOPEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)49
52.5%
40
47.5%
Q2 - 0:14.0MIAMISS Bosh 3PT Jump Shot49
51.8%
40
48.2%
Q2 - 0:34.0NOPGordon 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Morrow 1 AST)49
50.1%
40
49.9%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAAllen Traveling Turnover (P1.T9)47
46.0%
40
54.0%
Q2 - 1:10NOPGordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)47
43.0%
40
57.0%
Q2 - 1:25NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)44
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 1:26NOPMISS Holiday 2' Layup44
34.5%
40
65.5%
Q2 - 1:43NOPSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
35.8%
40
64.2%
Q2 - 1:44MIAMISS James Tip Shot44
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 1:45MIAJames REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
33.9%
40
66.1%
Q2 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup44
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 1:48MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)44
33.9%
40
66.1%
Q2 - 1:50MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
33.9%
40
66.1%
Q2 - 1:52MIAMISS James Driving Layup44
35.2%
40
64.8%
Q2 - 2:02MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)44
32.7%
40
67.3%
Q2 - 2:03NOPMISS Gordon 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup44
33.5%
40
66.5%
Q2 - 2:33MIAJames 4' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)44
35.6%
40
64.4%
Q2 - 2:59NOPSmith 18' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Holiday 3 AST)44
38.5%
38
61.5%
Q2 - 3:10NOPHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
34.9%
38
65.1%
Q2 - 3:11MIAMISS Haslem 17' Jump Shot42
33.9%
38
66.1%
Q2 - 3:23MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
31.7%
38
68.3%
Q2 - 3:24NOPMISS Smith 19' Jump Shot42
32.7%
38
67.3%
Q2 - 3:38NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)42
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 3:39MIAMISS Bosh 1' Driving Layup42
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 3:50NOPSmith Foul Turnover (P1.T6)42
31.8%
38
68.2%
Q2 - 3:59NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)42
35.0%
38
65.0%
Q2 - 4:00MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot42
34.0%
38
66.0%
Q2 - 4:22NOPGordon 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Holiday 2 AST)42
31.2%
38
68.8%
Q2 - 4:27NOPHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
28.8%
38
71.2%
Q2 - 4:28MIAMISS Cole Driving Layup40
28.1%
38
71.9%
Q2 - 4:39NOPDavis Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)40
26.4%
38
73.6%
Q2 - 4:39NOPDavis Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)39
26.0%
38
74.0%
Q2 - 4:51MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (10 PTS)38
24.3%
38
75.7%
Q2 - 4:58MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)38
26.4%
36
73.6%
Q2 - 4:59NOPMISS Davis Tip Shot38
27.2%
36
72.8%
Q2 - 5:00NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)38
28.9%
36
71.1%
Q2 - 5:01NOPMISS Holiday 8' Jump Shot38
26.9%
36
73.1%
Q2 - 5:20MIAAndersen 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)38
28.4%
36
71.6%
Q2 - 5:38NOPDavis 1' Putback Layup (14 PTS)38
30.9%
34
69.1%
Q2 - 5:39NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)36
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q2 - 5:41NOPMISS Gordon 18' Jump Shot36
26.9%
34
73.1%
Q2 - 5:47MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)36
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q2 - 5:50MIAHEAT Rebound36
26.3%
34
73.7%
Q2 - 5:50MIAMISS James 2' Driving Layup36
27.8%
34
72.2%
Q2 - 6:13NOPHoliday Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)36
25.8%
34
74.2%
Q2 - 6:31MIAJames Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)36
28.4%
34
71.6%
Q2 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
30.3%
32
69.7%
Q2 - 6:35NOPMISS Davis 15' Jump Shot36
31.1%
32
68.9%
Q2 - 6:59MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)36
33.1%
32
66.9%
Q2 - 6:59MIAMISS Cole Free Throw 1 of 236
33.7%
31
66.3%
Q2 - 7:02MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)36
32.1%
31
67.9%
Q2 - 7:03NOPMISS Morrow 21' Jump Shot36
32.9%
31
67.1%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS)36
34.8%
31
65.2%
Q2 - 7:43NOPEvans 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)36
37.0%
29
63.0%
Q2 - 7:49NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)34
34.8%
29
65.2%
Q2 - 7:50MIAMISS Wade 10' Driving Jump Shot34
34.0%
29
66.0%
Q2 - 8:11NOPDavis 4' Jump Shot (12 PTS)34
31.6%
29
68.4%
Q2 - 8:13NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)32
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q2 - 8:14NOPMISS Evans 2' Layup32
28.0%
29
72.0%
Q2 - 8:18MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)32
29.5%
29
70.5%
Q2 - 8:35NOPEvans 1' Layup (4 PTS)32
27.3%
29
72.7%
Q2 - 8:36NOPEvans REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)30
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 8:37NOPMISS Evans 1' Reverse Layup30
24.0%
29
76.0%
Q2 - 8:48MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T6)30
25.4%
29
74.6%
Q2 - 9:04NOPMorrow 15' Jump Shot (2 PTS)30
22.9%
29
77.1%
Q2 - 9:24NOPMISS Roberts Free Throw Technical28
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 9:26MIAWade 14' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)28
21.3%
29
78.7%
Q2 - 9:48NOPEvans 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)28
23.0%
27
77.0%
Q2 - 10:02MIAAndersen 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)26
21.5%
27
78.5%
Q2 - 10:03MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)26
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q2 - 10:04MIAMISS Beasley 8' Jump Shot26
24.4%
25
75.6%
Q2 - 10:21NOPRoberts 17' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)26
22.9%
25
77.1%
Q2 - 10:38MIAWade Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q2 - 10:54MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
19.6%
25
80.4%
Q2 - 10:55NOPMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q2 - 10:57NOPStiemsma REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)24
21.5%
25
78.5%
Q2 - 10:58NOPBeasley BLOCK (1 BLK)24
20.1%
25
79.9%
Q2 - 11:19NOPStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q2 - 11:20MIAMISS Mason Jr. 3PT Jump Shot24
20.9%
25
79.1%
Q2 - 11:40MIAJump Ball Allen vs. Morrow: Tip to Andersen24
19.7%
25
80.3%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
21.4%
25
78.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0MIAAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
20.0%
25
80.0%
Q1 - 0:02.0NOPMISS Evans 2' Driving Layup24
20.3%
25
79.7%
Q1 - 0:12.0MIAAllen 24' 3PT Jump Shot (4 PTS) (James 2 AST)24
21.1%
25
78.9%
Q1 - 0:33.0NOPSmith 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Evans 1 AST)24
24.9%
22
75.1%
Q1 - 0:40.0NOPStiemsma REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0NOPMISS Aminu Free Throw 2 of 222
21.7%
22
78.3%
Q1 - 0:41.0NOPMISS Aminu Free Throw 1 of 222
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 0:42.0MIABeasley Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 0:43.0MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
21.5%
22
78.5%
Q1 - 0:44.0NOPMISS Roberts 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup22
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 0:56.0NOPEvans REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)22
22.7%
22
77.3%
Q1 - 0:57.0NOPMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot22
21.9%
22
78.1%
Q1 - 1:02MIAJames Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 1:09MIABeasley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 1:10NOPAndersen BLOCK (1 BLK)22
21.7%
22
78.3%
Q1 - 1:32NOPSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)22
22.5%
22
77.5%
Q1 - 1:33MIAMISS Beasley Free Throw 2 of 222
22.4%
22
77.6%
Q1 - 1:33MIABeasley Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
21.3%
22
78.7%
Q1 - 1:57NOPSmith 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stiemsma 1 AST)22
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 2:03NOPHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
21.1%
21
78.9%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS James 18' Turnaround Jump Shot20
20.7%
21
79.3%
Q1 - 2:20MIAAllen Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)20
19.7%
21
80.3%
Q1 - 2:33NOPDavis 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS)20
21.2%
20
78.8%
Q1 - 2:38NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)18
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 2:39NOPMISS Smith 17' Jump Shot18
18.7%
20
81.3%
Q1 - 2:57MIACole 16' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)18
19.6%
20
80.4%
Q1 - 3:15NOPDavis 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T3)18
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 3:27NOPHoliday REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 3:28MIAMISS James 19' Jump Shot18
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 3:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)18
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 3:38NOPMISS Holiday 22' Jump Shot18
21.4%
18
78.6%
Q1 - 3:45NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)18
22.5%
18
77.5%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot18
22.0%
18
78.0%
Q1 - 4:00NOPAminu Driving Layup (6 PTS) (Gordon 2 AST)18
20.9%
18
79.1%
Q1 - 4:05NOPSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
19.3%
18
80.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Lewis 6' Jump Shot16
18.8%
18
81.2%
Q1 - 4:30NOPDavis Putback Dunk (8 PTS)16
17.8%
18
82.2%
Q1 - 4:31NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 4:32NOPMISS Smith 18' Jump Shot14
15.8%
18
84.2%
Q1 - 4:43MIAJames 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)14
16.8%
18
83.2%
Q1 - 5:05NOPDavis 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Aminu 2 AST)14
17.9%
16
82.1%
Q1 - 5:28MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)12
16.8%
16
83.2%
Q1 - 5:52NOPGordon 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)12
17.9%
14
82.1%
Q1 - 5:57NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)10
16.8%
14
83.2%
Q1 - 5:58MIAMISS James 24' 3PT Jump Shot10
16.4%
14
83.6%
Q1 - 6:15NOPLewis STEAL (1 STL)10
15.6%
14
84.4%
Q1 - 6:28MIAWade 7' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)10
16.7%
14
83.3%
Q1 - 6:34MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
17.8%
12
82.2%
Q1 - 6:35NOPMISS Aminu 5' Jump Shot10
18.2%
12
81.8%
Q1 - 6:50NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
19.1%
12
80.9%
Q1 - 6:51MIAMISS Cole 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
18.7%
12
81.3%
Q1 - 7:11NOPJames STEAL (1 STL)10
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 7:15NOPDavis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)10
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 7:16NOPMISS Aminu 1' Layup10
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 7:21MIACole Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)10
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 7:32MIAHEAT Rebound10
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 7:33MIAMISS Wade 3' Layup10
18.5%
12
81.5%
Q1 - 7:42MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
17.6%
12
82.4%
Q1 - 7:43NOPMISS Davis 17' Jump Shot10
18.0%
12
82.0%
Q1 - 7:54MIAWade Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
18.9%
12
81.1%
Q1 - 8:18NOPAminu 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Davis 1 AST)10
17.5%
12
82.5%
Q1 - 8:32MIACole 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (James 1 AST)8
16.6%
12
83.4%
Q1 - 8:50NOPDavis 5' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Holiday 1 AST)8
18.6%
9
81.4%
Q1 - 8:59NOPAminu REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
17.6%
9
82.4%
Q1 - 9:00MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot6
17.3%
9
82.7%
Q1 - 9:25NOPDavis 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
16.5%
9
83.5%
Q1 - 9:46MIAJames 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS)4
15.6%
9
84.4%
Q1 - 9:54MIAJames REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
16.5%
7
83.5%
Q1 - 9:55NOPMISS Gordon 25' 3PT Jump Shot4
16.8%
7
83.2%
Q1 - 10:10MIAJames 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)4
17.6%
7
82.4%
Q1 - 10:15MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 10:16MIAMISS Lewis 3PT Jump Shot4
20.4%
4
79.6%
Q1 - 10:43NOPAjinca Dunk (2 PTS) (Aminu 1 AST)4
19.6%
4
80.4%
Q1 - 10:56MIAWade 2' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)2
18.6%
4
81.4%
Q1 - 11:21NOPAminu 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Gordon 1 AST)2
19.5%
2
80.5%
Q1 - 11:41MIABosh 1' Dunk (2 PTS)0
18.4%
2
81.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Bosh vs. Davis: Tip to James0
19.5%
0
80.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
NOP
18
33
55%
MIA
23
31
74%
Midrange
NOP
15
35
43%
MIA
8
20
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
NOP
3
4.5
9
33%
50%
MIA
9
13.5
27
33%
50%
Free Throws
NOP
13
17
76%
MIA
18
23
78%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
NOP logo Pelicans
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
A. Davis2261%11.0 / 18
E. Gordon1558%7.5 / 13
T. Evans1350%6.5 / 13
B. Roberts1083%5.0 / 6
J. Smith836%4.0 / 11
A. Aminu650%3.0 / 6
J. Holiday433%2.0 / 6
A. Ajinca467%2.0 / 3
A. Morrow440%2.0 / 5
D. Miller2100%1.0 / 1
G. Stiemsma0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. James3270%16.0 / 23
D. Wade2265%11.0 / 17
C. Andersen1594%7.5 / 8
C. Bosh1267%6.0 / 9
R. Allen1169%5.5 / 8
N. Cole956%4.5 / 8
J. Jones375%1.5 / 2
R. Lewis220%1.0 / 5
M. Beasley113%0.5 / 4
R. Mason Jr.0-0.0 / 2
U. Haslem0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

NOP
71
+12
-16
83
MIA
77
+12
-12
89
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

NOP
1.04 51.8%
MIA
1.19 59.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
107.5
110.7
NOP 101.1
MIA 120.2 +19.1
Pace
92.0
91.5
NOP 92.5 +8.4
MIA 84.0
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
15.8
NOP 15.6 +1.6
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.5%
55.4%
NOP 48.7%
MIA 57.1% +8.4%
TO %
14.0%
15.4%
NOP 15.9%
MIA 12.0% +3.9%
ORB %
27.0%
20.6%
NOP 28.6% +4.9%
MIA 23.7%
FTrt
28.6
30.0
NOP 22.1
MIA 29.5 +7.4
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.3%
58.8%
NOP 50.0%
MIA 60.0% +10.0%
STL %
8.5%
9.7%
NOP 10.3% +3.6%
MIA 6.7%
BLK %
11.0%
8.1%
NOP 7.8% +4.9%
MIA 2.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.99 and 2.99.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
57.5%
NOP 51.8%
MIA 59.4% +7.6%
Rim FG%
54.4%
66.7%
NOP 54.5%
MIA 74.2% +19.7%
Mid FG%
40.7%
42.8%
NOP 42.9% +2.9%
MIA 40.0%
3P %
37.3%
36.4%
NOP 33.3%
MIA 33.3%
FT %
77.0%
76.0%
NOP 76.5%
MIA 78.3% +1.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
42.4%
38.3%
NOP 42.9% +3.1%
MIA 39.7%
Mid Att. %
38.3%
32.5%
NOP 45.5%
MIA 25.6% +19.8%
3P Att. %
19.3%
29.2%
NOP 11.7%
MIA 34.6% +22.9%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsNOPMIA
Possessions8789
Possession Minutes22.625.4
Points88107
Rebounds4139
Assists1824
Steals96
Blocks42
Turnovers (Team)16 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)12 (0)9 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (0)30 (1)
Field Goals36-7740-78
At-the-Rim FG18-3323-31
Midrange FG15-358-20
2-Point FG33-6831-51
3-Point FG3-99-27
Free Throws13-1718-23
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 253 · 21
41.0
22
61%
12
1
3
2
5
3
7
5
2-2
100%
10-18
56%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 23
31.2
6
50%
5
2
3
2
1
2
0
5
0-2
0%
3-5
60%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 205 · 24
30.9
4
33%
5
7
1
0
4
2
0
5
0-0
-
2-5
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'3" 215 · 25
29.6
15
58%
1
3
1
0
0
0
0
1
1-1
100%
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
C · 7'2" 248 · 26
14.2
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
1
1
2-2
100%
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 7'0" 240 · 28
21.9
8
36%
4
1
0
0
1
3
0
4
0-0
-
4-11
36%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'6" 220 · 24
20.4
13
50%
3
1
0
0
2
4
2
1
4-4
100%
3-9
33%
1-2
50%
G · 6'1" 173 · 28
17.1
10
83%
1
1
1
0
0
2
0
1
4-5
80%
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
C · 6'11" 260 · 28
14.6
0
0%
5
1
0
0
0
2
2
3
0-1
0%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 210 · 28
12.5
4
40%
1
1
0
0
3
2
0
1
0-0
-
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 225 · 24
3.5
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
· 7'0" 231 · 24
3.2
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 200 · 21
#33 · F · 6'10" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
88
52%
41
18
9
4
16
0
12
29
13-17
76%
33-68
49%
3-9
33%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.