Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, May 17, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Raptors | 23% | 98 | 84 |
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Monday, May 16, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 32% | 106 | 108 |
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Sunday, May 15, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 17 | Heat | 32% | 94 | 89 |
| 8 | Raptors | 68% | 100 | 116 |
Friday, May 13, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 47% | 97 | 91 |
| 17 | Heat | 53% | 98 | 103 |
Thursday, May 12, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 4 | Thunder | 53% | 103 | 113 |
Wednesday, May 11, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Heat | 33% | 95 | 91 |
| 7 | Raptors | 67% | 101 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 1 | Warriors | 80% | 115 | 125 |
Tuesday, May 10, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Thunder | 29% | 98 | 95 |
| 1 | Spurs | 71% | 106 | 91 |
Monday, May 9, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 47% | 99 | 87 |
| 17 | Heat | 53% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 60% | 110 | 132 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 40% | 107 | 125 |
Sunday, May 8, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 52% | 102 | 100 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 43% | 101 | 97 |
| 3 | Thunder | 57% | 103 | 111 |
Saturday, May 7, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 44% | 98 | 95 |
| 11 | Heat | 56% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Warriors | 51% | 107 | 108 |
| 9 | Trail Blazers | 49% | 106 | 120 |
Friday, May 6, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 51% | 102 | 121 |
| 7 | Hawks | 49% | 101 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spurs | 46% | 102 | 100 |
| 2 | Thunder | 54% | 103 | 96 |
Thursday, May 5, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Heat | 33% | 96 | 92 |
| 5 | Raptors | 67% | 102 | 96 |
Wednesday, May 4, 2016
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Hawks | 28% | 99 | 98 |
| 2 | Cavaliers | 72% | 107 | 123 |