FinalWin Prob.pScore
544%98
95
1156%100
91
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
106.78990.3
MIA logo MIA
103.48887.1

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA95
100%
91
0%
Q4 - 0:02.0MIAWade 3PT Jump Bank Shot (38 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)94
99.3%
91
0.7%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)94
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)93
99.6%
88
0.4%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)92
99.1%
88
0.9%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot92
98.7%
88
1.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)92
96.1%
88
3.9%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 292
96.7%
88
3.3%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS)92
98.2%
88
1.8%
Q4 - 0:16.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)91
96.9%
88
3.1%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot91
95.6%
88
4.4%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)91
87.9%
88
12.1%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)90
86.5%
88
13.5%
Q4 - 0:24.0MIAWade 4' Driving Layup (35 PTS)89
78.5%
88
21.5%
Q4 - 0:31.0TORLowry 15' Pullup Jump Shot (33 PTS)89
85.9%
86
14.1%
Q4 - 0:52.0MIAWade 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (33 PTS)87
71.5%
86
28.5%
Q4 - 0:58.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)87
80.9%
84
19.1%
Q4 - 0:59.0TORMISS DeRozan 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot87
83.9%
84
16.1%
Q4 - 1:18MIAHaslem 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)87
86.9%
84
13.1%
Q4 - 1:34TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)87
89.7%
82
10.3%
Q4 - 1:34TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)86
88.8%
82
11.2%
Q4 - 1:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)85
82.9%
82
17.1%
Q4 - 1:51MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot85
80.7%
82
19.3%
Q4 - 2:07TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (29 PTS)85
73.3%
82
26.7%
Q4 - 2:25TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
56.1%
82
43.9%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup82
51.2%
82
48.8%
Q4 - 2:36MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
40.1%
82
59.9%
Q4 - 2:37TORDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)82
45.0%
82
55.0%
Q4 - 2:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)82
54.4%
82
45.6%
Q4 - 2:59MIAMISS Johnson 9' Jump Shot82
50.2%
82
49.8%
Q4 - 3:12MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)82
40.3%
82
59.7%
Q4 - 3:13TORMISS Lowry 16' Turnaround Jump Shot82
44.7%
82
55.3%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)82
51.6%
82
48.4%
Q4 - 3:35MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)82
53.1%
81
46.9%
Q4 - 3:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
60.1%
80
39.9%
Q4 - 3:56TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot82
63.0%
80
37.0%
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)82
69.5%
80
30.5%
Q4 - 4:16MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)82
71.1%
79
28.9%
Q4 - 4:34TORLowry 2' Cutting Layup Shot (26 PTS) (Carroll 3 AST)82
76.4%
78
23.6%
Q4 - 4:57MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T10)80
69.8%
78
30.2%
Q4 - 5:15TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)80
58.2%
78
41.8%
Q4 - 5:26TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
42.3%
78
57.7%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
39.7%
78
60.3%
Q4 - 5:46TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T13)77
34.0%
78
66.0%
Q4 - 5:46TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
42.4%
78
57.6%
Q4 - 5:47TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot77
36.4%
78
63.6%
Q4 - 6:00TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
42.4%
78
57.6%
Q4 - 6:01MIAMISS Dragic 6' Jump Shot77
40.2%
78
59.8%
Q4 - 6:23TORDeRozan 17' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)77
34.6%
78
65.4%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade Cutting Dunk Shot (29 PTS) (Haslem 2 AST)75
28.9%
78
71.1%
Q4 - 7:00TORDeRozan 10' Fadeaway Jumper (12 PTS)75
34.6%
76
65.4%
Q4 - 7:20MIAHaslem 1' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)73
30.0%
76
70.0%
Q4 - 7:42TORLowry 1' Running Layup (21 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)73
35.5%
74
64.5%
Q4 - 7:46MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P5.T9)71
30.0%
74
70.0%
Q4 - 8:06MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)71
25.6%
74
74.4%
Q4 - 8:10MIAMISS McRoberts 4' Jump Bank Shot71
29.1%
74
70.9%
Q4 - 8:11TORMcRoberts STEAL (2 STL)71
25.6%
74
74.4%
Q4 - 8:12MIAJohnson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8)71
30.6%
74
69.4%
Q4 - 8:36TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)71
25.5%
74
74.5%
Q4 - 8:49TORRaptors Rebound68
16.9%
74
83.1%
Q4 - 8:50MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
15.9%
74
84.1%
Q4 - 9:08MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
15.0%
74
85.0%
Q4 - 9:09TORMISS Scola 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
16.0%
74
84.0%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
18.4%
74
81.6%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
19.3%
73
80.7%
Q4 - 9:29MIAHEAT Rebound68
22.1%
72
77.9%
Q4 - 9:30TORMISS Carroll 12' Floating Jump Shot68
23.5%
72
76.5%
Q4 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)68
26.7%
72
73.3%
Q4 - 9:48MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)68
27.7%
71
72.3%
Q4 - 9:48MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)68
31.5%
70
68.5%
Q4 - 9:49MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup68
35.3%
70
64.7%
Q4 - 10:09MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
31.9%
70
68.1%
Q4 - 10:10TORMISS Lowry 21' Fadeaway Jumper68
33.5%
70
66.5%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)68
37.4%
70
62.6%
Q4 - 10:32MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)68
38.7%
69
61.3%
Q4 - 10:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
42.5%
68
57.5%
Q4 - 10:48TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
44.3%
68
55.7%
Q4 - 10:57TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)68
48.5%
68
51.5%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMISS Deng 17' Step Back Jump Shot68
46.6%
68
53.4%
Q4 - 11:12TORMcRoberts STEAL (1 STL)68
42.4%
68
57.6%
Q4 - 11:34TORRaptors Rebound68
48.0%
68
52.0%
Q4 - 11:35MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot68
46.3%
68
53.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR68
42.4%
68
57.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound68
48.0%
68
52.0%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Scola 25' 3PT Jump Shot68
44.1%
68
55.9%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWade 17' Step Back Jump Shot (27 PTS)68
47.6%
68
52.4%
Q3 - 0:36.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)68
52.7%
66
47.3%
Q3 - 0:37.0TORMISS Joseph 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
54.3%
66
45.7%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWade 14' Step Back Jump Shot (25 PTS)68
57.1%
66
42.9%
Q3 - 1:26MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)68
61.7%
64
38.3%
Q3 - 1:27TORMISS Joseph 21' Pullup Jump Shot68
63.2%
64
36.8%
Q3 - 1:45MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)68
66.4%
64
33.6%
Q3 - 1:48TORGreen STEAL (3 STL)68
74.4%
61
25.6%
Q3 - 1:51TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
78.1%
61
21.9%
Q3 - 1:52MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot68
77.0%
61
23.0%
Q3 - 2:11TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)68
72.6%
61
27.4%
Q3 - 2:11TORMISS Ross Free Throw 1 of 267
71.8%
61
28.2%
Q3 - 2:20MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)67
72.9%
61
27.1%
Q3 - 2:20MIAMISS Green Free Throw 1 of 267
73.5%
60
26.5%
Q3 - 2:40TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (DeRozan 5 AST)67
72.7%
60
27.3%
Q3 - 2:58TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)64
65.0%
60
35.0%
Q3 - 2:59MIAMISS Haslem Alley Oop Dunk64
63.6%
60
36.4%
Q3 - 3:05TORGreen STEAL (2 STL)64
59.7%
60
40.3%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWade 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (23 PTS)64
64.3%
60
35.7%
Q3 - 3:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)64
71.7%
57
28.3%
Q3 - 3:35TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot64
72.9%
57
27.1%
Q3 - 3:53MIAWade 3PT Jump Shot (20 PTS)64
75.5%
57
24.5%
Q3 - 4:00MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)64
81.3%
54
18.7%
Q3 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Jump Shot64
82.0%
54
18.0%
Q3 - 4:18TORLowry 11' Floating Jump Shot (16 PTS)64
79.9%
54
20.1%
Q3 - 4:31MIAGreen 14' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS)62
77.5%
54
22.5%
Q3 - 4:57TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)62
80.0%
52
20.0%
Q3 - 4:57TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 261
79.1%
52
20.9%
Q3 - 4:57TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)61
80.4%
52
19.6%
Q3 - 4:58TORMISS Lowry 21' Jump Shot61
78.2%
52
21.8%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (17 PTS)61
79.0%
52
21.0%
Q3 - 5:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (16 PTS)61
79.6%
51
20.4%
Q3 - 5:29MIAHEAT Rebound61
81.4%
50
18.6%
Q3 - 5:30TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot61
82.2%
50
17.8%
Q3 - 5:35TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)61
84.0%
50
16.0%
Q3 - 5:36MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot61
83.3%
50
16.7%
Q3 - 5:56TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)61
81.4%
50
18.6%
Q3 - 5:56TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)60
81.0%
50
19.0%
Q3 - 6:07TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
77.9%
50
22.1%
Q3 - 6:08MIAMISS Dragic 12' Jump Shot59
76.9%
50
23.1%
Q3 - 6:36TORCarroll 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (DeRozan 4 AST)59
74.8%
50
25.2%
Q3 - 6:50TORRaptors Rebound57
72.0%
50
28.0%
Q3 - 6:51MIAMISS Wade 14' Step Back Jump Shot57
70.9%
50
29.1%
Q3 - 6:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)57
68.4%
50
31.6%
Q3 - 6:58TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot57
69.5%
50
30.5%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)57
70.9%
50
29.1%
Q3 - 7:20MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)57
71.5%
49
28.5%
Q3 - 7:26TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)57
73.6%
48
26.4%
Q3 - 7:26TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)56
73.1%
48
26.9%
Q3 - 7:43MIADragic 10' Step Back Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
71.0%
48
29.0%
Q3 - 7:54MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)55
73.7%
46
26.3%
Q3 - 7:55TORMISS Lowry 19' Jump Shot55
74.7%
46
25.3%
Q3 - 8:09TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)55
76.2%
46
23.8%
Q3 - 8:11TORMISS Carroll 15' Jump Shot55
74.0%
46
26.0%
Q3 - 8:37MIAWade Tip Dunk Shot (13 PTS)55
76.2%
46
23.8%
Q3 - 8:38MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q3 - 8:39MIAMISS Wade 12' Pullup Jump Shot55
80.4%
44
19.6%
Q3 - 8:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
78.5%
44
21.5%
Q3 - 8:45TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot55
79.4%
44
20.6%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)55
81.2%
44
18.8%
Q3 - 8:53MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)55
81.7%
43
18.3%
Q3 - 9:01TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T8)55
82.1%
42
17.9%
Q3 - 9:16TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)55
84.2%
42
15.8%
Q3 - 9:17MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot55
83.6%
42
16.4%
Q3 - 9:46TORLowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)55
82.2%
42
17.8%
Q3 - 10:05TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)52
76.8%
42
23.2%
Q3 - 10:06MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot52
76.0%
42
24.0%
Q3 - 10:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)52
74.0%
42
26.0%
Q3 - 10:15TORMISS Carroll 22' Jump Shot52
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q3 - 10:38TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
76.8%
42
23.2%
Q3 - 10:39MIAMISS Haslem 16' Jump Shot52
76.0%
42
24.0%
Q3 - 10:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
74.1%
42
25.9%
Q3 - 10:57TORMISS Valanciunas 13' Jump Shot52
74.9%
42
25.1%
Q3 - 11:19MIAHaslem 2' Jump Shot (4 PTS)52
75.9%
42
24.1%
Q3 - 11:20MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
78.2%
40
21.8%
Q3 - 11:21MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup52
79.8%
40
20.2%
Q3 - 11:43TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (DeRozan 3 AST)52
78.2%
40
21.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
73.4%
40
26.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound49
70.5%
40
29.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Haslem Free Throw 1 of 149
73.0%
40
27.0%
Q2 - 0:05.0TORValanciunas Alley Oop Layup (16 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)49
75.1%
38
24.9%
Q2 - 0:25.0MIADragic Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T7)47
71.9%
38
28.1%
Q2 - 0:33.0TORPatterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)47
70.0%
38
30.0%
Q2 - 0:48.0MIADeng 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)44
63.4%
38
36.6%
Q2 - 1:07MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)44
66.9%
36
33.1%
Q2 - 1:08TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 244
67.1%
36
32.9%
Q2 - 1:08TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS)44
69.0%
36
31.0%
Q2 - 1:31MIAWade 17' Fadeaway Jumper (9 PTS)43
65.5%
36
34.5%
Q2 - 1:42TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)43
69.6%
34
30.4%
Q2 - 2:03TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)41
65.3%
34
34.7%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Stoudemire 1' Layup41
64.5%
34
35.5%
Q2 - 2:27MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
62.7%
34
37.4%
Q2 - 2:28TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot41
63.5%
34
36.5%
Q2 - 2:33TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)41
65.3%
34
34.7%
Q2 - 2:34MIAMISS Wade 14' Jump Shot41
64.5%
34
35.5%
Q2 - 2:50TORDeRozan 2' Driving Layup (10 PTS)41
62.7%
34
37.3%
Q2 - 3:02TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)39
59.2%
34
40.8%
Q2 - 3:03MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
58.2%
34
41.8%
Q2 - 3:23TORValanciunas 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)39
55.9%
34
44.1%
Q2 - 3:24TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)37
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 3:25TORMISS Carroll 12' Floating Jump Shot37
51.0%
34
49.0%
Q2 - 3:50MIAJohnson 9' Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
53.4%
34
46.6%
Q2 - 4:21TORCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)37
55.3%
32
44.7%
Q2 - 4:35TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)34
49.8%
32
50.2%
Q2 - 4:36MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup34
48.9%
32
51.1%
Q2 - 4:52TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (11 PTS)34
46.8%
32
53.2%
Q2 - 5:10MIAJohnson 8' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)31
41.4%
32
58.6%
Q2 - 5:21MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
44.0%
30
56.0%
Q2 - 5:22TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
44.9%
30
55.1%
Q2 - 5:34MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
46.9%
30
53.1%
Q2 - 5:59TORLowry 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS)31
49.5%
28
50.5%
Q2 - 6:10TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 6:11MIAMISS Wade 8' Jump Bank Shot29
46.0%
28
54.0%
Q2 - 6:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 6:20TORMISS DeRozan 11' Step Back Jump Shot29
44.7%
28
55.3%
Q2 - 6:31MIAMcRoberts Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
47.1%
28
52.9%
Q2 - 6:33MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)29
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 6:34MIAMISS Johnson 8' Jump Shot29
46.0%
28
54.0%
Q2 - 6:55TORRoss Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P2.T7)29
43.7%
28
56.3%
Q2 - 7:14MIADeng 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)29
46.7%
28
53.3%
Q2 - 7:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)29
49.1%
26
50.9%
Q2 - 7:19TORMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)29
50.0%
26
50.0%
Q2 - 7:34MIAJohnson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS)29
52.0%
26
48.0%
Q2 - 7:53TORValanciunas Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)29
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q2 - 8:06TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q2 - 8:07MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
55.7%
24
44.3%
Q2 - 8:21MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
53.9%
24
46.1%
Q2 - 8:22TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 229
54.3%
24
45.7%
Q2 - 8:22TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 229
55.9%
24
44.1%
Q2 - 8:37TORRaptors Rebound29
56.6%
24
43.4%
Q2 - 8:38MIAMISS McRoberts 3PT Jump Shot29
55.8%
24
44.2%
Q2 - 9:02MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)29
53.3%
24
46.7%
Q2 - 9:03MIAMISS Green 24' 3PT Jump Shot29
55.3%
24
44.7%
Q2 - 9:22TORRoss 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)29
53.4%
24
46.6%
Q2 - 9:37TORRaptors Rebound27
51.3%
24
48.7%
Q2 - 9:38MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup27
50.4%
24
49.6%
Q2 - 9:42TORDeng STEAL (2 STL)27
48.4%
24
51.6%
Q2 - 10:02MIADragic 17' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
51.2%
24
48.8%
Q2 - 10:21TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS)27
53.1%
22
46.9%
Q2 - 10:34TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
51.2%
22
48.8%
Q2 - 10:35MIAMISS Richardson Free Throw 2 of 225
50.8%
22
49.2%
Q2 - 10:35MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)25
49.4%
22
50.6%
Q2 - 10:37TORRichardson STEAL (1 STL)25
50.7%
21
49.3%
Q2 - 10:47MIADragic 9' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)25
53.6%
21
46.4%
Q2 - 10:54MIAHEAT Rebound25
55.6%
19
44.4%
Q2 - 10:55MIAMISS Green 18' Turnaround Jump Shot25
57.6%
19
42.4%
Q2 - 11:17TORGreen STEAL (1 STL)25
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q2 - 11:29MIARichardson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T5)25
57.7%
19
42.3%
Q2 - 11:43TORRoss 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)25
55.3%
19
44.7%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR23
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound23
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
51.0%
19
49.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)23
52.2%
19
47.8%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)23
53.0%
18
47.0%
Q1 - 0:35.0TORJoseph 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
55.2%
17
44.8%
Q1 - 0:39.0MIAGreen 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)21
52.2%
17
47.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)21
55.2%
15
44.8%
Q1 - 0:56.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)20
54.8%
15
45.2%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)19
52.3%
15
47.7%
Q1 - 1:06MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)19
50.4%
15
49.6%
Q1 - 1:07TORMISS DeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot19
50.9%
15
49.1%
Q1 - 1:27MIADragic 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS)19
52.1%
15
47.9%
Q1 - 1:42TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)19
55.0%
13
45.0%
Q1 - 1:42TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)18
54.2%
13
45.8%
Q1 - 2:03TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
52.2%
13
47.8%
Q1 - 2:04MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot17
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 2:13MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)17
50.2%
13
49.8%
Q1 - 2:14MIAMISS Green 13' Jump Shot17
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 2:41TORValanciunas Reverse Dunk (8 PTS)17
50.2%
13
49.8%
Q1 - 2:43TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 2:44TORMISS DeRozan 18' Turnaround Jump Shot15
46.2%
13
53.8%
Q1 - 3:08MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)15
47.6%
13
52.4%
Q1 - 3:08MIAHEAT Rebound15
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 3:09MIAMISS Wade 10' Jump Shot15
46.9%
13
53.1%
Q1 - 3:36TORDeRozan 16' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
45.2%
13
54.8%
Q1 - 4:03MIAWade 12' Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)13
43.1%
13
56.9%
Q1 - 4:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)13
44.9%
11
55.1%
Q1 - 4:12TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot13
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 4:17TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)13
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 4:18TORMISS Valanciunas 2' Layup13
45.7%
11
54.3%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWade 2' Cutting Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)13
47.4%
11
52.6%
Q1 - 4:58TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (4 PTS)13
49.3%
9
50.7%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade 24' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (3 PTS)11
46.8%
9
53.2%
Q1 - 5:32MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
50.9%
6
49.1%
Q1 - 5:33TORMISS Lowry 17' Turnaround Jump Shot11
51.5%
6
48.5%
Q1 - 5:44TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
53.1%
6
46.9%
Q1 - 5:45MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot11
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 6:04TORValanciunas Foul Turnover (P1.T2)11
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 6:22MIAJump Ball Dragic vs. Valanciunas: Tip to11
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 6:29TORDeng STEAL (1 STL)11
50.2%
6
49.8%
Q1 - 6:44MIADragic 15' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot (2 PTS)11
52.4%
6
47.6%
Q1 - 6:50MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
54.2%
4
45.8%
Q1 - 6:51TORMISS Valanciunas 17' Jump Shot11
54.9%
4
45.1%
Q1 - 7:01TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)11
55.9%
4
44.1%
Q1 - 7:02MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Shot11
55.2%
4
44.8%
Q1 - 7:15TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)11
53.6%
4
46.4%
Q1 - 7:35TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)9
52.1%
4
47.9%
Q1 - 7:36MIAMISS Wade 1' Driving Layup9
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 7:44MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
49.8%
4
50.2%
Q1 - 7:45TORMISS Valanciunas 19' Jump Shot9
50.5%
4
49.5%
Q1 - 7:55TORRaptors Rebound9
52.1%
4
47.9%
Q1 - 7:56MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot9
51.4%
4
48.6%
Q1 - 8:18TORPatterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)9
49.9%
4
50.1%
Q1 - 8:41MIAWhiteside 9' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)6
46.3%
4
53.7%
Q1 - 9:05TORValanciunas 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)6
47.7%
2
52.3%
Q1 - 9:20MIADragic Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)4
46.2%
2
53.8%
Q1 - 9:27TORValanciunas 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)4
44.0%
2
56.0%
Q1 - 9:45TORRaptors Rebound2
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 9:46TORMISS DeRozan 15' Floating Jump Shot2
41.0%
2
59.0%
Q1 - 10:00TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)2
42.5%
2
57.5%
Q1 - 10:01MIAMISS Johnson 17' Jump Shot2
41.7%
2
58.3%
Q1 - 10:25TORValanciunas 3' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)2
40.3%
2
59.7%
Q1 - 10:42TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
38.8%
2
61.2%
Q1 - 10:43MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup0
38.2%
2
61.8%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
36.8%
2
63.2%
Q1 - 10:54TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot0
37.4%
2
62.6%
Q1 - 11:03TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
38.5%
2
61.5%
Q1 - 11:04MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
38.1%
2
61.9%
Q1 - 11:20MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
37.0%
2
63.0%
Q1 - 11:21TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
37.5%
2
62.5%
Q1 - 11:46MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)0
38.6%
2
61.4%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Whiteside vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Dragic0
40.4%
0
59.6%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 55.9%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
14
16
88%
MIA
13
23
57%
Midrange
TOR
11
36
31%
MIA
16
36
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
8
12.0
18
44%
67%
MIA
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
Free Throws
TOR
21
28
75%
MIA
21
24
88%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry3375%16.5 / 22
D. DeRozan1945%9.5 / 21
J. Valančiūnas1657%8.0 / 14
P. Patterson9113%4.5 / 4
D. Carroll630%3.0 / 10
T. Ross563%2.5 / 4
C. Joseph450%2.0 / 4
B. Biyombo3150%1.5 / 1
L. Scola0-0.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3866%19.0 / 29
G. Dragic1240%6.0 / 15
J. Johnson1042%5.0 / 12
U. Haslem857%4.0 / 7
G. Green850%4.0 / 8
H. Whiteside6100%3.0 / 3
L. Deng433%2.0 / 6
J. McRoberts450%2.0 / 4
J. Richardson117%0.5 / 3
A. Stoudemire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
76
+9
-13
85
MIA
79
+11
-9
90
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.12 55.9%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.2
105.0
TOR 106.7 +3.3
MIA 103.4
Pace
90.1
90.2
TOR 90.3 +3.2
MIA 87.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.3
TOR 15.9 +0.6
MIA 16.5
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.0%
TOR 52.9% +7.4%
MIA 45.5%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
TOR 13.6%
MIA 10.3% +3.3%
ORB %
25.1%
23.0%
TOR 16.7%
MIA 21.6% +4.9%
FTrt
30.1
26.4
TOR 40.0 +8.8
MIA 31.2
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
45.8%
44.4%
TOR 48.5% +15.2%
MIA 33.3%
STL %
8.2%
5.9%
TOR 5.6%
MIA 9.1% +3.5%
BLK %
6.7%
9.4%
TOR 0.0%
MIA 3.8% +3.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
51.9%
TOR 55.9% +5.9%
MIA 50.0%
Rim FG%
57.3%
60.8%
TOR 87.5% +31.0%
MIA 56.5%
Mid FG%
38.1%
40.2%
TOR 30.6%
MIA 44.4% +13.8%
3P %
29.8%
35.8%
TOR 44.4% +22.2%
MIA 22.2%
FT %
73.7%
76.5%
TOR 75.0%
MIA 87.5% +12.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
32.1%
TOR 22.9%
MIA 29.9% +7.0%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
44.1%
TOR 51.4%
MIA 46.8% +4.7%
3P Att. %
28.2%
23.8%
TOR 25.7% +2.3%
MIA 23.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes23.624.3
Points9591
Rebounds3538
Assists1611
Steals58
Blocks02
Turnovers (Team)13 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)6 (3)8 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)29 (6)30 (2)
Field Goals33-7033-77
At-the-Rim FG14-1613-23
Midrange FG11-3616-36
2-Point FG25-5229-59
3-Point FG8-184-18
Free Throws21-2821-24
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 196 · 30
41.2
33
75%
2
2
1
0
4
4
0
2
6-6
100%
6-11
55%
5-8
63%
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
39.9
19
45%
6
5
0
0
2
1
1
5
7-8
88%
6-17
35%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
37.8
6
30%
5
3
0
0
0
3
0
5
1-2
50%
1-6
17%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
35.6
9
113%
3
1
1
0
0
1
0
3
1-1
100%
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
C · 6'11" 265 · 24
22.1
16
57%
12
1
1
0
2
2
3
9
2-5
40%
7-12
58%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
23.0
4
50%
0
3
0
0
1
5
0
0
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25
18.9
5
63%
2
1
1
0
4
2
0
2
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-1
0%
C · 6'9" 255 · 24
12.2
3
150%
5
0
0
0
0
1
2
3
3-4
75%
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 36
5.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-2
0%
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
4.1
0
0%
0
0
1
0
0
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
G · 6'5" 190 · 24
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
#92 · C · 7'0" 220 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
56%
35
16
5
0
13
0
6
29
21-28
75%
25-52
48%
8-18
44%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.