FinalWin Prob.pScore
1732%94
89
868%100
116
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
100.08990.3
TOR logo TOR
131.88887.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Green 3PT Jump Shot89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:25.0TORNogueira Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Wright 1 AST)89
0%
116
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)89
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:43.0MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 288
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Wright 18' Pullup Jump Shot88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:57.0MIAWright REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:58.0TORMISS Powell 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:18TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:6 Def:10)88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:18TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot88
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 1:39MIAPatterson STEAL (1 STL)88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49TORMISS Joseph 20' Pullup Jump Shot88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:14MIAWright 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)88
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:27TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)86
0.1%
114
99.9%
Q4 - 2:38TORLowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:39MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Bank Shot86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 2:49TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#11)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:13MIAJohnson Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T13)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:24TORLowry 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (35 PTS)86
0.1%
111
99.9%
Q4 - 3:42TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:4)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 3:57TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (28 PTS)86
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:12MIALowry STEAL (4 STL)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:14MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:15TORMISS Joseph 3PT Jump Shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:29TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:10)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:30MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:38TORMISS Lowry 9' Fadeaway Jumper86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:9)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:50MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)86
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 4:57TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)86
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:08TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:7 Def:3)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:09TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 286
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:09TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 286
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:15MIAWade Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P4.T11)86
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25TORLowry 16' Pullup Jump Shot (32 PTS)86
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 5:41TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:6 Def:3)86
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 5:42TORMISS Joseph 16' Pullup Jump Shot86
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:02MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)86
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 6:02MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)85
0.4%
102
99.6%
Q4 - 6:13MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:14TORMISS Lowry 18' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:35TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:46TORRAPTORS Turnover: Backcourt (T#10)84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 6:49TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:5 Def:8)84
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 6:49TORMISS Ross 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 7:05MIAWade 3' Running Layup (16 PTS)84
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 7:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 7:10TORMISS Lowry 3' Running Layup82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 7:18MIAJoseph STEAL (1 STL)82
0.2%
102
99.8%
Q4 - 7:30TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)82
0.3%
102
99.7%
Q4 - 7:30TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)82
0.3%
101
99.7%
Q4 - 7:34MIALowry STEAL (3 STL)82
0.3%
100
99.7%
Q4 - 7:41TORPatterson 3' Layup (9 PTS)82
0.4%
100
99.6%
Q4 - 7:43TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:5 Def:3)82
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 7:44TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup82
0.7%
98
99.3%
Q4 - 7:55TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 282
0.6%
98
99.4%
Q4 - 7:55TORBiyombo Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (12 PTS)82
0.5%
98
99.5%
Q4 - 8:04TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)82
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 8:05TORMISS Lowry 15' Driving Floating Jump Shot82
1.3%
97
98.7%
Q4 - 8:27MIAMcRoberts 4' Driving Layup (10 PTS)82
1.1%
97
98.9%
Q4 - 8:59TORJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)80
0.8%
97
99.2%
Q4 - 8:59TORMISS Joseph Free Throw 1 of 280
0.8%
96
99.2%
Q4 - 9:13TORRAPTORS Rebound80
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 9:14MIAMISS McRoberts 4' Hook Bank Shot80
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 9:41TORRoss 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)80
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 9:56TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)80
2.1%
93
97.9%
Q4 - 9:56MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot80
2.3%
93
97.7%
Q4 - 10:16TORCarroll 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)80
3.1%
93
96.9%
Q4 - 10:25TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
4.8%
90
95.2%
Q4 - 10:25MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot80
5.1%
90
94.9%
Q4 - 10:37TORBiyombo Cutting Dunk Shot (11 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)80
6.0%
90
94.0%
Q4 - 10:43TORRAPTORS Rebound80
7.3%
88
92.7%
Q4 - 10:43TORMISS Joseph 4' Driving Layup80
8.5%
88
91.5%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)80
7.3%
88
92.7%
Q4 - 10:58MIAMcRoberts Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)79
6.9%
88
93.1%
Q4 - 11:23TORLowry 16' Turnaround Fadeaway (30 PTS)78
6.6%
88
93.4%
Q4 - 11:46TORLowry REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)78
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q4 - 11:47TORMISS Carroll Reverse Layup78
9.1%
86
90.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA78
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORDeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)78
10.4%
86
89.6%
Q3 - 0:14.0MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)78
12.4%
84
87.6%
Q3 - 0:32.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)75
8.6%
84
91.4%
Q3 - 0:32.0TORMISS Joseph 19' Pullup Jump Shot75
8.1%
84
91.9%
Q3 - 0:46.0MIADragic 1' Running Layup (14 PTS)75
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q3 - 0:48.0TORDeRozan Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T9)73
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q3 - 1:08MIAWade 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)73
5.3%
84
94.7%
Q3 - 1:24TORDeRozan 21' Pullup Jump Shot (24 PTS)70
3.6%
84
96.4%
Q3 - 1:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)70
4.3%
82
95.7%
Q3 - 1:46MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 269
4.2%
82
95.8%
Q3 - 1:58TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)69
4.4%
82
95.6%
Q3 - 1:58TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)69
4.5%
81
95.5%
Q3 - 1:58TORRAPTORS Rebound69
5.2%
80
94.8%
Q3 - 1:58TORMISS DeRozan 4' Jump Shot69
6.0%
80
94.0%
Q3 - 2:15MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T8)69
5.7%
80
94.3%
Q3 - 2:30TORLowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)69
6.8%
80
93.2%
Q3 - 2:50MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)69
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q3 - 2:50MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)68
9.1%
77
90.9%
Q3 - 2:50MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
8.1%
77
91.9%
Q3 - 2:53MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup67
7.1%
77
92.9%
Q3 - 3:01TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T8)67
8.6%
77
91.4%
Q3 - 3:11MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)67
7.2%
77
92.8%
Q3 - 3:11MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
6.9%
77
93.1%
Q3 - 3:13MIAHeat Rebound65
6.2%
77
93.8%
Q3 - 3:13TORMISS DeRozan 11' Pullup Jump Shot65
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 3:16TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)65
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 3:16TORMISS DeRozan 27' 3PT Jump Shot65
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 3:29TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)65
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q3 - 3:29TORMISS DeRozan 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot65
5.9%
77
94.1%
Q3 - 3:49MIAMcRoberts 16' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 7 AST)65
5.1%
77
94.9%
Q3 - 4:05TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T7)63
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q3 - 4:16MIAWinslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)63
3.9%
77
96.1%
Q3 - 4:36TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (22 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)60
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q3 - 4:56MIAMcRoberts 6' Driving Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Dragic 6 AST)60
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 5:08MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
3.2%
75
96.8%
Q3 - 5:08TORMISS Patterson 3' Tip Layup Shot58
3.0%
75
97.0%
Q3 - 5:09TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)58
2.7%
75
97.3%
Q3 - 5:12TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 258
3.1%
75
96.9%
Q3 - 5:12TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)58
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 5:19TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)58
3.1%
74
96.9%
Q3 - 5:19MIAPatterson BLOCK (2 BLK)58
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 5:37MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)58
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 5:38MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot58
3.3%
74
96.7%
Q3 - 5:51TORLowry 3' Running Layup (25 PTS)58
3.7%
74
96.3%
Q3 - 5:58TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)58
4.3%
72
95.7%
Q3 - 5:59MIAMISS Wade 21' Step Back Jump Shot58
4.5%
72
95.5%
Q3 - 6:13TORBiyombo 2' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)58
5.4%
72
94.6%
Q3 - 6:19TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)58
6.2%
70
93.8%
Q3 - 6:20MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup58
6.5%
70
93.5%
Q3 - 6:44TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)58
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 7:06MIADeng 3' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)58
9.9%
67
90.1%
Q3 - 7:20TORLowry Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T6)56
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 7:26TORLowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)56
7.5%
67
92.5%
Q3 - 7:26MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot56
7.8%
67
92.2%
Q3 - 7:45TORCarroll 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)56
8.7%
67
91.3%
Q3 - 7:50TORLowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)56
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 7:51MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)56
11.8%
64
88.2%
Q3 - 8:05MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)56
13.3%
64
86.7%
Q3 - 8:06TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 156
13.1%
64
86.9%
Q3 - 8:16TORRAPTORS Rebound56
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 8:16TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 256
16.9%
62
83.1%
Q3 - 8:16TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 256
15.8%
62
84.2%
Q3 - 8:32MIAJohnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 5 AST)56
14.9%
62
85.1%
Q3 - 8:46TORLowry 1' Running Layup (23 PTS) (Carroll 2 AST)53
11.7%
62
88.3%
Q3 - 8:50TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)53
13.1%
60
86.9%
Q3 - 8:51MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
13.7%
60
86.3%
Q3 - 9:19TORDeRozan 22' Jump Shot (17 PTS)53
15.2%
60
84.8%
Q3 - 9:33MIAJohnson 12' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)53
17.1%
58
82.9%
Q3 - 10:00TORLowry 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)51
15.2%
58
84.8%
Q3 - 10:21MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)51
19.2%
55
80.8%
Q3 - 10:21MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
18.7%
55
81.3%
Q3 - 10:38MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)49
17.3%
55
82.7%
Q3 - 10:39TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 3 of 349
17.0%
55
83.0%
Q3 - 10:39TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 3 (18 PTS)49
15.7%
55
84.3%
Q3 - 10:39TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 3 (17 PTS)49
16.0%
54
84.0%
Q3 - 10:50TORRAPTORS Rebound49
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS DeRozan 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot49
20.9%
53
79.1%
Q3 - 11:02TORRAPTORS Rebound49
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 11:02MIAMISS Dragic 17' Jump Shot49
19.9%
53
80.1%
Q3 - 11:09MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
21.6%
53
78.4%
Q3 - 11:10TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 11:16TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)49
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 11:16TORMISS DeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot49
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q3 - 11:36MIADeng 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)49
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA47
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)47
17.3%
53
82.7%
Q2 - 0:00.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)47
17.7%
52
82.3%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)47
20.0%
51
80.0%
Q2 - 0:06.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 246
19.6%
51
80.4%
Q2 - 0:14.0TORDeRozan 10' Turnaround Jump Shot (15 PTS)46
19.4%
51
80.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIADragic 13' Jump Shot (10 PTS)46
22.1%
49
77.9%
Q2 - 0:38.0MIAHeat Rebound44
19.4%
49
80.6%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)44
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q2 - 0:38.0TORMISS Patterson 9' Running Jump Shot44
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 0:39.0TORMISS DeRozan 8' Jump Shot44
18.9%
49
81.1%
Q2 - 1:00MIADragic 1' Layup (8 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)44
17.9%
49
82.1%
Q2 - 1:17TORLowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)42
15.8%
49
84.2%
Q2 - 1:38MIAWade 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)42
20.5%
46
79.5%
Q2 - 1:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
15.8%
46
84.2%
Q2 - 1:48TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup39
15.6%
46
84.4%
Q2 - 2:04TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)39
14.8%
46
85.2%
Q2 - 2:04MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot39
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q2 - 2:14MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 2:16TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 239
16.2%
46
83.8%
Q2 - 2:16TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 239
15.0%
46
85.0%
Q2 - 2:29TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 2:29MIAMISS Deng 10' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot39
15.3%
46
84.7%
Q2 - 2:49MIAHeat Rebound39
16.4%
46
83.6%
Q2 - 2:50TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot39
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q2 - 2:56TORLowry REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)39
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 2:56TORMISS DeRozan 9' Fadeaway Jumper39
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q2 - 3:03TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)39
14.9%
46
85.1%
Q2 - 3:04MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)39
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 3:16TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)39
16.7%
46
83.3%
Q2 - 3:16TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 3:17TORMISS Biyombo 5' Fadeaway Jumper39
21.6%
43
78.4%
Q2 - 3:35MIARichardson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)39
20.0%
43
80.0%
Q2 - 3:54TORLowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)39
22.3%
43
77.7%
Q2 - 4:03MIAJohnson 5' Driving Hook Shot (8 PTS)39
26.2%
40
73.8%
Q2 - 4:23TORCarroll 2' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)37
24.2%
40
75.8%
Q2 - 4:39MIADeng Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T6)37
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 4:59TORPatterson Foul Turnover (P1.T5)37
28.6%
38
71.4%
Q2 - 5:04TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)37
26.2%
38
73.8%
Q2 - 5:05MIAMISS Winslow Driving Dunk37
26.9%
38
73.1%
Q2 - 5:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)37
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 5:23TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)37
28.8%
37
71.2%
Q2 - 5:41MIAJohnson 3' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)37
30.7%
36
69.3%
Q2 - 5:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 5:52TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
27.8%
36
72.2%
Q2 - 6:15MIAJohnson 8' Hook Shot (4 PTS)35
26.0%
36
74.0%
Q2 - 6:33MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)33
24.5%
36
75.5%
Q2 - 6:33TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot33
23.7%
36
76.3%
Q2 - 6:48MIAJohnson 12' Jump Shot (2 PTS)33
22.1%
36
77.9%
Q2 - 7:16TORBiyombo 3' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)31
20.7%
36
79.3%
Q2 - 7:25TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
22.4%
34
77.6%
Q2 - 7:26MIAMISS Wade 20' Pullup Jump Shot31
23.0%
34
77.0%
Q2 - 7:46TORLowry 1' Running Layup (8 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)31
24.4%
34
75.6%
Q2 - 7:51TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)31
26.2%
32
73.8%
Q2 - 7:52MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot31
26.9%
32
73.1%
Q2 - 8:13MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)31
28.3%
32
71.7%
Q2 - 8:14TORMISS Lowry 17' Pullup Jump Shot31
27.6%
32
72.4%
Q2 - 8:26MIAWade 5' Driving Hook Shot (6 PTS)31
26.1%
32
73.9%
Q2 - 8:42TORRoss 3' Driving Layup (5 PTS)29
24.3%
32
75.7%
Q2 - 9:02MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)29
25.8%
30
74.2%
Q2 - 9:16MIAHeat Rebound26
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 9:17TORMISS Joseph 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot26
21.8%
30
78.2%
Q2 - 9:33MIARoss STEAL (2 STL)26
20.5%
30
79.5%
Q2 - 9:43TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)26
22.4%
30
77.6%
Q2 - 9:43TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 226
22.7%
29
77.3%
Q2 - 9:47MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)26
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q2 - 9:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)26
24.2%
29
75.8%
Q2 - 9:50TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)26
22.2%
29
77.8%
Q2 - 9:50TORMISS Biyombo 1' Tip Layup Shot26
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 9:51TORMISS Joseph 12' Fadeaway Jumper26
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q2 - 10:12MIAWade 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)26
22.3%
29
77.7%
Q2 - 10:27TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)24
21.0%
29
79.0%
Q2 - 10:27TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 224
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q2 - 10:32TORRAPTORS Rebound24
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q2 - 10:34TORMISS Joseph 17' Step Back Jump Shot24
22.0%
28
78.0%
Q2 - 10:56MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#3)24
20.6%
28
79.4%
Q2 - 10:56MIAHeat Rebound24
22.6%
28
77.4%
Q2 - 10:56MIAMISS McRoberts 13' Pullup Jump Shot24
21.2%
28
78.8%
Q2 - 11:22TORRoss 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)24
22.4%
28
77.6%
Q2 - 11:44TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)24
25.9%
25
74.1%
Q2 - 11:44MIAMISS Johnson 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot24
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
27.9%
25
72.1%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS McRoberts 28' 3PT Jump Shot24
26.5%
25
73.5%
Q1 - 0:05.0TORDeRozan 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)24
27.4%
25
72.6%
Q1 - 0:25.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)24
29.9%
23
70.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw 1 of 124
30.1%
23
69.9%
Q1 - 0:30.0TORRoss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)22
27.5%
23
72.5%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)22
26.1%
23
73.9%
Q1 - 0:46.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)21
25.7%
23
74.3%
Q1 - 1:02TORDeRozan 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (9 PTS)20
23.9%
23
76.1%
Q1 - 1:16MIAMcRoberts 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)20
26.1%
21
73.9%
Q1 - 1:33TORDeRozan Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)18
23.9%
21
76.1%
Q1 - 1:34TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 1:35TORMISS DeRozan 12' Jump Shot18
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q1 - 1:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 1:39TORMISS DeRozan 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot18
23.5%
21
76.5%
Q1 - 1:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
22.7%
21
77.3%
Q1 - 1:59MIAMISS Dragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot18
23.0%
21
77.0%
Q1 - 2:17TORBiyombo Putback Dunk (2 PTS)18
24.1%
21
75.9%
Q1 - 2:19TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)18
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 2:20TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Layup18
27.1%
19
72.9%
Q1 - 2:29TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)18
25.9%
19
74.1%
Q1 - 2:30MIAMISS Richardson 26' 3PT Jump Shot18
26.4%
19
73.6%
Q1 - 2:50TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)18
27.6%
19
72.4%
Q1 - 3:04MIAWinslow 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)18
25.6%
19
74.4%
Q1 - 3:16MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 3:16MIAMISS Winslow 4' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot15
21.4%
19
78.6%
Q1 - 3:34MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
22.5%
19
77.5%
Q1 - 3:35TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 215
22.3%
19
77.7%
Q1 - 3:35TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)15
21.2%
19
78.8%
Q1 - 3:45TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
22.4%
18
77.6%
Q1 - 3:45MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot15
22.9%
18
77.1%
Q1 - 4:12TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)15
24.1%
18
75.9%
Q1 - 4:32MIADeng 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)15
25.4%
16
74.6%
Q1 - 4:52MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)13
24.1%
16
75.9%
Q1 - 4:53TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot13
23.5%
16
76.5%
Q1 - 5:05MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)13
22.4%
16
77.6%
Q1 - 5:05MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)12
22.1%
16
77.9%
Q1 - 5:22TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)11
21.0%
16
79.0%
Q1 - 5:22TORCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)11
21.4%
15
78.6%
Q1 - 5:42MIADeng 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)11
22.4%
14
77.6%
Q1 - 5:59TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (4 PTS)9
21.0%
14
79.0%
Q1 - 6:14MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)9
22.4%
12
77.6%
Q1 - 6:31TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
21.1%
12
78.9%
Q1 - 6:31TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
21.3%
11
78.7%
Q1 - 6:31TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)7
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 6:32TORMISS DeRozan 15' Floating Jump Shot7
23.4%
10
76.6%
Q1 - 6:49TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
22.4%
10
77.6%
Q1 - 6:49MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
22.8%
10
77.2%
Q1 - 7:04TORJump Ball Lowry vs. Winslow: Tip to Dragic7
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 7:05MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)7
22.2%
10
77.8%
Q1 - 7:27TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)7
23.9%
10
76.1%
Q1 - 7:27TORCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)7
24.2%
9
75.8%
Q1 - 7:40TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAMISS Dragic 22' Step Back Jump Shot7
25.5%
8
74.5%
Q1 - 7:50MIAHeat Rebound7
26.8%
8
73.2%
Q1 - 7:50TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot7
26.2%
8
73.8%
Q1 - 7:58MIADragic 4' Hook Shot (4 PTS)7
25.0%
8
75.0%
Q1 - 8:00MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)5
23.9%
8
76.1%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Dragic 4' Hook Shot5
22.6%
8
77.4%
Q1 - 8:10MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
23.7%
8
76.3%
Q1 - 8:10TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot5
23.2%
8
76.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)5
22.2%
8
77.8%
Q1 - 8:32MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 24
21.8%
8
78.2%
Q1 - 8:35MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)4
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 8:35MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot4
21.3%
8
78.7%
Q1 - 8:52TORDeRozan 3' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)4
22.3%
8
77.7%
Q1 - 8:57MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)4
23.5%
6
76.5%
Q1 - 9:14TORCarroll 3' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)4
25.0%
6
75.0%
Q1 - 9:31MIAWinslow Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)4
26.2%
4
73.8%
Q1 - 9:42MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 9:43TORMISS DeRozan 21' Jump Shot2
24.5%
4
75.5%
Q1 - 10:01TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
23.5%
4
76.5%
Q1 - 10:02MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot2
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:10MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:10MIAPatterson BLOCK (1 BLK)2
23.9%
4
76.1%
Q1 - 10:22TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
25.0%
4
75.0%
Q1 - 10:22TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
25.3%
3
74.7%
Q1 - 10:22TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:23TORMISS Lowry 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot2
27.4%
2
72.6%
Q1 - 10:45MIADragic 3' Layup (2 PTS)2
26.2%
2
73.8%
Q1 - 10:53MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 10:53TORMISS DeRozan 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
24.5%
2
75.5%
Q1 - 11:04TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:05MIAMISS Dragic 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 11:13MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 11:13TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot0
24.3%
2
75.7%
Q1 - 11:23TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.5%
2
76.5%
Q1 - 11:23MIAMISS Winslow 19' Jump Shot0
23.9%
2
76.1%
Q1 - 11:43TORDeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)0
24.7%
2
75.3%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Biyombo vs. Deng: Tip to Patterson0
26.2%
0
73.8%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
TOR
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
14
23
61%
TOR
19
32
59%
Midrange
MIA
11
24
46%
TOR
11
33
33%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
7
10.5
25
28%
42%
TOR
9
13.5
20
45%
68%
Free Throws
MIA
18
23
78%
TOR
29
43
67%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic1642%8.0 / 19
D. Wade1657%8.0 / 14
J. Winslow1458%7.0 / 12
J. Johnson1372%6.5 / 9
L. Deng1255%6.0 / 11
J. McRoberts1063%5.0 / 8
J. Richardson350%1.5 / 3
T. Johnson350%1.5 / 3
D. Wright250%1.0 / 2
G. Green0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry3570%17.5 / 25
D. DeRozan2844%14.0 / 32
B. Biyombo1771%8.5 / 12
D. Carroll14100%7.0 / 7
P. Patterson1150%5.5 / 11
T. Ross880%4.0 / 5
L. Nogueira2100%1.0 / 1
C. Joseph16%0.5 / 9
N. Powell0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+9
-13
85
TOR
79
+25
-9
104
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.02 51.1%
TOR
1.09 54.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
102.2
MIA 100.0
TOR 131.8 +31.8
Pace
90.2
90.1
MIA 90.3 +2.7
TOR 87.6
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.1
MIA 15.9 +0.5
TOR 16.4
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
46.3%
MIA 49.3%
TOR 51.2% +1.9%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
MIA 14.6%
TOR 9.6% +5.0%
ORB %
23.0%
25.1%
MIA 18.9%
TOR 46.5% +27.6%
FTrt
26.4
30.1
MIA 31.9
TOR 50.6 +18.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
45.8%
MIA 50.0% +6.4%
TOR 43.6%
STL %
5.9%
8.2%
MIA 6.7%
TOR 9.1% +2.4%
BLK %
9.4%
6.7%
MIA 10.8% +2.3%
TOR 8.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
49.0%
MIA 51.1%
TOR 54.7% +3.6%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.3%
MIA 60.9% +1.5%
TOR 59.4%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.1%
MIA 45.8% +12.5%
TOR 33.3%
3P %
35.8%
29.8%
MIA 28.0%
TOR 45.0% +17.0%
FT %
76.5%
73.7%
MIA 78.3% +10.9%
TOR 67.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
32.9%
MIA 31.9%
TOR 37.6% +5.7%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
38.9%
MIA 33.3% +5.5%
TOR 38.8%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.2%
MIA 34.7% +11.2%
TOR 23.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8988
Possession Minutes23.624.1
Points89116
Rebounds3050
Assists1617
Steals68
Blocks74
Turnovers (Team)13 (1)9 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (2)20 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)23 (5)30 (2)
Field Goals32-7239-85
At-the-Rim FG14-2319-32
Midrange FG11-2411-33
2-Point FG25-4730-65
3-Point FG7-259-20
Free Throws18-2329-43
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
38.0
16
42%
6
7
2
0
2
5
1
5
4-5
80%
6-12
50%
0-5
0%
C · 6'7" 225 · 20
36.4
14
58%
8
0
2
2
2
5
3
5
6-8
75%
1-5
20%
2-3
67%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
34.3
16
57%
4
3
0
0
4
3
1
3
2-4
50%
4-9
44%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
31.1
13
72%
3
2
0
0
1
2
0
3
0-0
-
5-6
83%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
29.7
12
55%
2
0
0
3
1
1
1
1
4-4
100%
4-6
67%
0-3
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
27.7
3
50%
2
1
1
2
1
5
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
1-3
33%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
21.1
3
50%
3
2
1
0
1
3
1
2
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-2
50%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
15.3
10
63%
1
1
0
0
0
4
0
1
2-2
100%
4-6
67%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
3.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
2.6
2
50%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
0.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
G · 6'2" 165 · 23
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
89
51%
30
16
6
7
13
0
7
23
18-23
78%
25-47
53%
7-25
28%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.