FinalWin Prob.pScore
747%97
91
1753%98
103
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
100.09189.3
MIA logo MIA
110.89394.8

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
Q4 - 0:00.0MIA91
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (36 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)91
0%
103
100%
Q4 - 0:16.0MIAJohnson 17' Step Back Jump Shot (13 PTS)88
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 0:39.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:40.0TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:46.0TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Dragic 4' Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:12MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:13TORMISS Lowry 8' Turnaround Jump Shot88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:29MIAWade 20' Jump Shot (22 PTS)88
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49MIAHEAT Rebound88
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 1:50TORWade BLOCK (3 BLK)88
0.4%
99
99.6%
Q4 - 1:52MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)88
0.6%
99
99.4%
Q4 - 1:54TORDeRozan Traveling Turnover (P2.T10)88
0.3%
99
99.7%
Q4 - 2:02TORRaptors Rebound88
0.8%
99
99.2%
Q4 - 2:03TORRichardson BLOCK (2 BLK)88
0.5%
99
99.5%
Q4 - 2:17MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Richardson 2 AST)88
0.9%
99
99.1%
Q4 - 2:42TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (33 PTS)88
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 2:42TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (32 PTS)87
1.6%
96
98.4%
Q4 - 2:56TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)86
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 2:57TORMISS DeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot86
1.2%
96
98.8%
Q4 - 3:24TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)86
1.8%
96
98.2%
Q4 - 3:25MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup86
1.5%
96
98.5%
Q4 - 3:48TORPatterson 2' Layup (8 PTS)86
2.0%
96
98.0%
Q4 - 3:49TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)84
1.4%
96
98.6%
Q4 - 3:50TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup84
1.1%
96
98.9%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)84
1.3%
96
98.7%
Q4 - 4:08MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)84
1.4%
95
98.6%
Q4 - 4:28MIAHEAT Rebound84
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 4:29TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 4:39TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:12)84
2.7%
94
97.3%
Q4 - 4:40MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot84
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 4:52MIAHEAT Rebound84
1.8%
94
98.2%
Q4 - 4:53MIAMISS Wade 20' Step Back Jump Shot84
2.3%
94
97.7%
Q4 - 5:02MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)84
2.9%
94
97.1%
Q4 - 5:03TORMISS Joseph 1' Running Finger Roll Layup84
3.2%
94
96.8%
Q4 - 5:08TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)84
4.0%
94
96.0%
Q4 - 5:09MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot84
3.6%
94
96.4%
Q4 - 5:30TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (31 PTS)84
2.8%
94
97.2%
Q4 - 5:30TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (30 PTS)83
2.6%
94
97.4%
Q4 - 5:37TORRaptors Rebound82
2.1%
94
97.9%
Q4 - 5:38TORDeng BLOCK (1 BLK)82
1.6%
94
98.4%
Q4 - 5:59MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (18 PTS)82
2.0%
94
98.0%
Q4 - 6:15MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)82
3.8%
92
96.2%
Q4 - 6:16TORWade BLOCK (2 BLK)82
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 6:24TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)82
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 6:25TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot82
4.2%
92
95.8%
Q4 - 6:40MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)82
5.2%
92
94.8%
Q4 - 6:56MIAHEAT Rebound82
6.6%
90
93.4%
Q4 - 6:57TORMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot82
7.3%
90
92.7%
Q4 - 7:05TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:11)82
10.7%
90
89.3%
Q4 - 7:06MIAMISS McRoberts 3' Driving Layup82
9.9%
90
90.1%
Q4 - 7:28MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)82
8.1%
90
91.9%
Q4 - 7:29TORMISS Lowry 20' Jump Shot82
8.8%
90
91.2%
Q4 - 7:47MIADragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot (30 PTS)82
10.6%
90
89.4%
Q4 - 8:04TORJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9)82
15.1%
88
84.9%
Q4 - 8:19TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:10)82
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q4 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 15' Turnaround Jump Shot82
17.4%
88
82.6%
Q4 - 8:46TORLowry 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (29 PTS)82
15.0%
88
85.0%
Q4 - 9:02TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)80
13.6%
88
86.4%
Q4 - 9:04MIAMISS McRoberts 3' Driving Finger Roll Layup80
12.7%
88
87.3%
Q4 - 9:17TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)80
10.9%
88
89.1%
Q4 - 9:17TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)79
10.4%
88
89.6%
Q4 - 9:22MIAMcRoberts 1' Tip Layup Shot (10 PTS)78
8.8%
88
91.2%
Q4 - 9:23MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)78
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 9:26MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot78
12.6%
86
87.4%
Q4 - 9:35MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)78
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 9:37TORMISS Joseph 11' Jump Bank Shot78
11.6%
86
88.4%
Q4 - 9:44TORRaptors Rebound78
13.4%
86
86.6%
Q4 - 9:45MIAMISS Wade 21' Jump Shot78
12.6%
86
87.4%
Q4 - 9:56TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)78
10.8%
86
89.2%
Q4 - 9:56TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)77
10.4%
86
89.6%
Q4 - 10:01TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)76
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q4 - 10:02MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot76
9.2%
86
90.8%
Q4 - 10:07MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
7.9%
86
92.1%
Q4 - 10:08TORRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)76
8.4%
86
91.6%
Q4 - 10:15MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)76
9.8%
86
90.2%
Q4 - 10:46TORLowry 19' Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)76
7.8%
86
92.2%
Q4 - 11:08MIARichardson 1' Running Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)74
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 11:13TORWade STEAL (2 STL)74
8.7%
84
91.3%
Q4 - 11:21MIAMcRoberts Tip Layup Shot (8 PTS)74
10.6%
84
89.4%
Q4 - 11:23MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)74
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q4 - 11:24MIAMISS Wade 8' Floating Jump Shot74
14.6%
82
85.4%
Q4 - 11:44TORNogueira Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)74
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA72
10.5%
82
89.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound72
8.6%
82
91.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Wade 47' 3PT Jump Shot72
9.9%
82
90.1%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORDeRozan 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (23 PTS)72
9.7%
82
90.3%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS)70
8.0%
82
92.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0TORJoseph 5' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)70
11.5%
79
88.5%
Q3 - 0:41.0MIAJohnson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)68
9.6%
79
90.4%
Q3 - 0:47.0MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)68
7.9%
79
92.1%
Q3 - 0:48.0TORMISS Patterson 7' Jump Shot68
8.4%
79
91.6%
Q3 - 1:05TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)68
10.5%
79
89.5%
Q3 - 1:06MIAMISS Richardson 19' Jump Shot68
10.0%
79
90.0%
Q3 - 1:21MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)68
8.7%
79
91.3%
Q3 - 1:23TORMISS Joseph 11' Fadeaway Jumper68
9.2%
79
90.8%
Q3 - 1:46MIARichardson 10' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)68
10.5%
79
89.5%
Q3 - 2:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)68
13.3%
77
86.7%
Q3 - 2:03TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)67
13.0%
77
87.0%
Q3 - 2:14TORNogueira REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)66
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 2:15MIAMISS Dragic 8' Jump Bank Shot66
10.8%
77
89.2%
Q3 - 2:26MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)66
9.5%
77
90.5%
Q3 - 2:27TORMISS DeRozan 17' Fadeaway Jumper66
10.1%
77
89.9%
Q3 - 2:41MIAMcRoberts 4' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)66
11.4%
77
88.6%
Q3 - 3:04TORJoseph 8' Floating Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)66
14.2%
75
85.8%
Q3 - 3:26MIAJohnson 16' Jump Shot (8 PTS)64
12.2%
75
87.8%
Q3 - 3:45TORLowry 1' Driving Layup (21 PTS)64
14.1%
73
85.9%
Q3 - 4:01TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)62
13.1%
73
86.9%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
12.4%
73
87.6%
Q3 - 4:16TORPatterson 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)62
10.9%
73
89.1%
Q3 - 4:20TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 4:21TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
8.5%
73
91.5%
Q3 - 4:40MIADragic 19' Step Back Jump Shot (28 PTS)60
9.6%
73
90.4%
Q3 - 4:51MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)60
10.9%
71
89.1%
Q3 - 4:52TORMISS Lowry 6' Turnaround Jump Shot60
11.5%
71
88.5%
Q3 - 5:08MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)60
13.7%
71
86.3%
Q3 - 5:19TORLowry 10' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)60
17.8%
68
82.2%
Q3 - 5:33MIAWade 17' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)58
15.8%
68
84.2%
Q3 - 5:42MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
17.8%
66
82.2%
Q3 - 5:43TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot58
18.6%
66
81.4%
Q3 - 6:08TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)58
21.4%
66
78.6%
Q3 - 6:09MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup58
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 6:27TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T7)58
18.6%
66
81.4%
Q3 - 6:29TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
21.4%
66
78.6%
Q3 - 6:30TORMISS Lowry 8' Jump Shot58
19.4%
66
80.6%
Q3 - 6:39TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
21.4%
66
78.6%
Q3 - 6:40MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot58
20.5%
66
79.5%
Q3 - 6:55TORBiyombo Foul Turnover (P2.T6)58
18.5%
66
81.5%
Q3 - 7:02MIADragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup (23 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)58
21.9%
66
78.1%
Q3 - 7:14TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#5)58
24.3%
64
75.7%
Q3 - 7:47MIAWinslow 2' Layup (12 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)58
27.5%
64
72.5%
Q3 - 8:06TORBiyombo 1' Layup (4 PTS)58
30.7%
62
69.3%
Q3 - 8:18TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)56
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 8:19TORMISS DeRozan 16' Turnaround Jump Shot56
25.7%
62
74.3%
Q3 - 8:29MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)56
28.0%
62
72.0%
Q3 - 8:29MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)56
28.8%
61
71.2%
Q3 - 8:46TORDeRozan 18' Jump Shot (19 PTS)56
30.6%
60
69.3%
Q3 - 9:10MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)54
28.2%
60
71.8%
Q3 - 9:10MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)54
28.7%
59
71.3%
Q3 - 9:21TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)54
31.1%
58
68.9%
Q3 - 9:33MIADragic 6' Step Back Jump Shot (21 PTS)52
28.2%
58
71.8%
Q3 - 9:47TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)52
31.1%
56
68.9%
Q3 - 9:53TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)49
25.3%
56
74.7%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup49
24.5%
56
75.5%
Q3 - 10:03MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 10:04TORMISS Biyombo 2' Alley Oop Layup49
23.9%
56
76.1%
Q3 - 10:18MIAJohnson Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T4)49
25.9%
56
74.1%
Q3 - 10:21MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
23.1%
56
76.9%
Q3 - 10:22TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot49
23.9%
56
76.1%
Q3 - 10:38MIAWinslow Cutting Dunk Shot (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)49
25.9%
56
74.1%
Q3 - 10:50TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (12 PTS)49
28.4%
54
71.6%
Q3 - 10:57TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)46
23.2%
54
76.8%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
22.4%
54
77.6%
Q3 - 11:20TORDeRozan 19' Jump Shot (17 PTS)46
21.4%
54
78.6%
Q3 - 11:29TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)44
19.4%
54
80.6%
Q3 - 11:30MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 244
19.0%
54
81.0%
Q3 - 11:30MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)44
17.9%
54
82.1%
Q3 - 11:39MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)44
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q3 - 11:40MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA44
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound44
19.2%
53
80.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Richardson 55' 3PT Jump Shot44
20.8%
53
79.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
20.6%
53
79.4%
Q2 - 0:03.0TORWade BLOCK (1 BLK)44
21.1%
53
78.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)44
22.1%
53
77.9%
Q2 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 244
22.6%
52
77.4%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)44
22.8%
52
77.2%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 243
22.0%
52
78.0%
Q2 - 0:20.0TORRaptors Rebound43
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q2 - 0:21.0TORMISS Joseph 1' Driving Layup43
21.0%
52
79.0%
Q2 - 0:28.0TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)43
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q2 - 0:29.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot43
21.6%
52
78.4%
Q2 - 0:41.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)43
20.5%
52
79.5%
Q2 - 0:42.0TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot43
21.0%
52
79.0%
Q2 - 1:00MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (19 PTS)43
22.1%
52
77.9%
Q2 - 1:14MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)43
25.9%
50
74.1%
Q2 - 1:15TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 243
26.1%
50
73.9%
Q2 - 1:15TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 243
27.7%
50
72.3%
Q2 - 1:34MIADeng Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T3)43
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q2 - 1:51TORDeRozan Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T4)43
25.9%
50
74.1%
Q2 - 2:00TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
27.2%
50
72.8%
Q2 - 2:01MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot43
27.5%
50
72.5%
Q2 - 2:09MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)43
25.8%
50
74.2%
Q2 - 2:10TORMISS Joseph 11' Floating Jump Shot43
26.5%
50
73.5%
Q2 - 2:35MIADragic 1' Layup (17 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)43
28.1%
50
71.9%
Q2 - 2:59TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (9 PTS) (Biyombo 2 AST)43
30.8%
48
69.2%
Q2 - 3:04TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)41
29.0%
48
71.0%
Q2 - 3:05TORMISS Lowry 22' Jump Shot41
27.0%
48
73.0%
Q2 - 3:32MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)41
28.9%
48
71.1%
Q2 - 3:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)41
33.6%
45
66.4%
Q2 - 3:47MIAMISS Winslow 2' Layup41
35.8%
45
64.2%
Q2 - 4:01TORPatterson 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)41
34.1%
45
65.9%
Q2 - 4:11TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)39
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q2 - 4:12MIAMISS Wade 1' Running Layup39
30.9%
45
69.1%
Q2 - 4:17MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
29.1%
45
70.9%
Q2 - 4:18TORMISS Lowry 1' Driving Layup39
29.9%
45
70.1%
Q2 - 4:33MIARichardson Driving Dunk (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)39
31.7%
45
68.3%
Q2 - 4:48MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)39
34.0%
43
66.0%
Q2 - 4:49TORMISS DeRozan 8' Jump Shot39
34.9%
43
65.1%
Q2 - 5:03TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)39
37.1%
43
62.9%
Q2 - 5:04MIAMISS Winslow 16' Jump Shot39
36.3%
43
63.7%
Q2 - 5:22TORDeRozan 5' Jump Shot (15 PTS)39
34.4%
43
65.6%
Q2 - 5:31TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)37
32.0%
43
68.0%
Q2 - 5:32MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
31.3%
43
68.7%
Q2 - 5:49TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (13 PTS)37
29.5%
43
70.5%
Q2 - 6:06MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)34
26.1%
43
73.9%
Q2 - 6:22TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)34
29.8%
40
70.2%
Q2 - 6:22TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)33
29.5%
40
70.5%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWade 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)32
28.2%
40
71.8%
Q2 - 6:58TORDeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)32
29.8%
38
70.2%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)30
28.5%
38
71.5%
Q2 - 7:21MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)30
28.9%
37
71.1%
Q2 - 7:30TORJoseph 2' Driving Layup (3 PTS)30
30.5%
36
69.5%
Q2 - 7:41MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)28
28.5%
36
71.5%
Q2 - 7:49TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)28
30.4%
34
69.6%
Q2 - 7:49TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 227
29.7%
34
70.3%
Q2 - 8:00TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)27
30.7%
34
69.3%
Q2 - 8:01MIAMISS Johnson 8' Floating Jump Shot27
30.2%
34
69.8%
Q2 - 8:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
28.6%
34
71.4%
Q2 - 8:08TORMISS DeRozan 7' Turnaround Jump Shot27
29.3%
34
70.7%
Q2 - 8:25TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
30.9%
34
69.1%
Q2 - 8:26TORMISS Joseph Free Throw 2 of 227
28.9%
34
71.1%
Q2 - 8:26TORJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
30.3%
34
69.7%
Q2 - 8:42MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)26
28.7%
34
71.3%
Q2 - 9:06TORRoss 9' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)26
30.9%
32
69.1%
Q2 - 9:25MIAMcRoberts Tip Dunk Shot (4 PTS)24
29.1%
32
70.9%
Q2 - 9:26MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)24
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 9:27MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Bank Shot24
32.6%
30
67.4%
Q2 - 9:31MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)24
30.9%
30
69.1%
Q2 - 9:32TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
31.6%
30
68.4%
Q2 - 9:49MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (8 PTS)24
33.4%
30
66.6%
Q2 - 9:56TORRoss Driving Dunk (4 PTS)24
37.6%
27
62.4%
Q2 - 10:15MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T2)22
35.8%
27
64.2%
Q2 - 10:22TORPatterson 7' Hook Bank Shot (2 PTS)22
33.1%
27
66.9%
Q2 - 10:35MIAJohnson 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)20
31.4%
27
68.6%
Q2 - 10:53MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
33.1%
25
66.9%
Q2 - 10:54TORMISS Lowry 17' Step Back Jump Shot20
33.9%
25
66.1%
Q2 - 11:11MIAJohnson 3' Driving Bank Shot (2 PTS)20
35.6%
25
64.4%
Q2 - 11:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
37.8%
23
62.2%
Q2 - 11:22TORMISS Ross 5' Jump Bank Shot20
38.5%
23
61.5%
Q2 - 11:40MIAMcRoberts 1' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)20
40.2%
23
59.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA20
42.4%
21
57.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)20
42.4%
21
57.6%
Q1 - 0:01.0TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot20
43.3%
21
56.7%
Q1 - 0:23.0MIAJohnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)20
44.4%
21
55.6%
Q1 - 0:33.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)20
49.8%
18
50.2%
Q1 - 0:33.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)19
49.4%
18
50.6%
Q1 - 0:47.0TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
46.8%
18
53.2%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 218
46.6%
18
53.4%
Q1 - 0:48.0MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (2 PTS)18
44.9%
18
55.1%
Q1 - 1:00TORRoss Running Dunk (2 PTS) (Powell 1 AST)18
47.4%
17
52.6%
Q1 - 1:04MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)16
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q1 - 1:16MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)16
42.8%
17
57.2%
Q1 - 1:17TORMISS Joseph 17' Jump Shot16
43.3%
17
56.7%
Q1 - 1:44MIADeng 1' Tip Layup Shot (2 PTS)16
44.5%
17
55.5%
Q1 - 1:45MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)16
47.4%
15
52.6%
Q1 - 1:46MIAMISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot16
48.6%
15
51.4%
Q1 - 2:08TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
47.3%
15
52.7%
Q1 - 2:27MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)14
44.8%
15
55.2%
Q1 - 2:27MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)14
45.3%
14
54.7%
Q1 - 2:39MIAHEAT Rebound14
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 2:40MIAMISS Wade 3' Reverse Layup14
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 2:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)14
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 2:46MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot14
48.7%
13
51.3%
Q1 - 3:00TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)14
47.3%
13
52.7%
Q1 - 3:30TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)11
42.8%
13
57.2%
Q1 - 3:31MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 211
42.5%
13
57.5%
Q1 - 3:31MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)11
41.1%
13
58.9%
Q1 - 3:37MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
42.6%
12
57.4%
Q1 - 3:38TORMISS DeRozan 2' Reverse Layup11
43.4%
12
56.6%
Q1 - 3:46TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)11
45.0%
12
55.0%
Q1 - 3:47MIAMISS Richardson 2' Dunk11
44.3%
12
55.7%
Q1 - 4:04TORLowry 4' Jump Bank Shot (4 PTS)11
42.5%
12
57.5%
Q1 - 4:09TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 4:10MIAMISS Winslow 20' Jump Shot9
40.0%
12
60.0%
Q1 - 4:33TORBiyombo Offensive Goaltending Turnover (P1.T3)9
38.3%
12
61.7%
Q1 - 5:01MIADragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)9
40.7%
12
59.3%
Q1 - 5:29TORCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)9
44.6%
9
55.4%
Q1 - 5:35TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)6
40.7%
9
59.3%
Q1 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 6' Jump Shot6
40.0%
9
60.0%
Q1 - 5:55MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
38.6%
9
61.4%
Q1 - 5:56TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot6
39.2%
9
60.8%
Q1 - 6:09TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)6
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 6:10MIAMISS Johnson 3' Jump Shot6
40.2%
9
59.8%
Q1 - 6:20MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 6:21TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup6
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 6:28TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 6:29MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
40.2%
9
59.8%
Q1 - 6:42MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 6:43TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot6
39.4%
9
60.6%
Q1 - 6:49TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
40.8%
9
59.2%
Q1 - 6:50MIAMISS Winslow 2' Driving Layup6
40.2%
9
59.8%
Q1 - 6:54TORWade STEAL (1 STL)6
38.8%
9
61.2%
Q1 - 7:21MIAWinslow 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
41.0%
9
59.0%
Q1 - 7:40MIAHEAT Rebound6
42.5%
7
57.5%
Q1 - 7:41TORMISS Biyombo 16' Jump Shot6
43.2%
7
56.8%
Q1 - 8:01TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
44.9%
7
55.1%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Winslow 1' Layup6
44.2%
7
55.8%
Q1 - 8:14TORCarroll 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)6
42.8%
7
57.2%
Q1 - 8:24TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 8:25MIAMISS Wade 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
40.5%
7
59.5%
Q1 - 8:32MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
39.1%
7
60.9%
Q1 - 8:33TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot4
39.7%
7
60.3%
Q1 - 8:49MIAWade 14' Turnaround Fadeaway (4 PTS)4
41.1%
7
58.9%
Q1 - 9:03TORDeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)4
42.7%
5
57.3%
Q1 - 9:19TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 9:20MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Layup2
40.5%
5
59.5%
Q1 - 9:29TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)2
39.0%
5
61.0%
Q1 - 9:29TORRaptors Rebound2
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 9:30TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup2
39.7%
5
60.3%
Q1 - 9:55MIAWinslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)2
41.2%
5
58.8%
Q1 - 10:07MIAHEAT Rebound2
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 10:08TORMISS Lowry 20' Pullup Jump Shot2
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 10:27TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 10:28MIAMISS Dragic 3PT Jump Shot2
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 10:40MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.5%
2
55.5%
Q1 - 10:41TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.2%
2
54.8%
Q1 - 10:55TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
46.7%
2
53.3%
Q1 - 10:56MIAMISS Wade 3' Jump Shot2
46.0%
2
54.0%
Q1 - 11:11MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
44.6%
2
55.4%
Q1 - 11:12TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 12
44.8%
2
55.2%
Q1 - 11:37MIAWade 9' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
42.8%
2
57.2%
Q1 - 11:42MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
44.6%
0
55.4%
Q1 - 11:43TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot0
45.1%
0
54.9%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Deng vs. Biyombo: Tip to Patterson0
46.3%
0
53.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
17
31
55%
MIA
19
36
53%
Midrange
TOR
13
35
37%
MIA
14
27
52%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
4
6.0
16
25%
38%
MIA
7
10.5
21
33%
50%
Free Throws
TOR
19
25
76%
MIA
16
20
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
K. Lowry3658%18.0 / 31
D. DeRozan2348%11.5 / 24
P. Patterson857%4.0 / 7
C. Joseph735%3.5 / 10
T. Ross638%3.0 / 8
D. Carroll550%2.5 / 5
B. Biyombo433%2.0 / 6
L. Nogueira2100%1.0 / 1
J. Johnson0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic3071%15.0 / 21
D. Wade2246%11.0 / 24
J. Johnson1359%6.5 / 11
J. Winslow1255%6.0 / 11
J. McRoberts1063%5.0 / 8
J. Richardson950%4.5 / 9
T. Johnson583%2.5 / 3
L. Deng220%1.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
83
+12
-8
95
MIA
86
+11
-7
97
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.96 47.9%
MIA
1.06 53.1%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.2
105.0
TOR 100.0
MIA 110.8 +10.8
Pace
90.1
90.2
TOR 89.3
MIA 94.8 +5.5
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.3
TOR 16.1
MIA 15.2 +0.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.0%
TOR 43.9%
MIA 51.8% +7.9%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
TOR 9.7%
MIA 7.0% +2.7%
ORB %
25.1%
23.0%
TOR 19.0% +2.3%
MIA 16.7%
FTrt
30.1
26.4
TOR 30.5 +6.7
MIA 23.8
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
45.8%
44.4%
TOR 29.4%
MIA 37.5% +8.1%
STL %
8.2%
5.9%
TOR 4.4% +2.2%
MIA 2.2%
BLK %
6.7%
9.4%
TOR 6.3%
MIA 9.1% +2.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
51.9%
TOR 47.9%
MIA 53.1% +5.2%
Rim FG%
57.3%
60.8%
TOR 54.8% +2.0%
MIA 52.8%
Mid FG%
38.1%
40.2%
TOR 37.1%
MIA 51.9% +14.8%
3P %
29.8%
35.8%
TOR 25.0%
MIA 33.3% +8.3%
FT %
73.7%
76.5%
TOR 76.0%
MIA 80.0% +4.0%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
32.1%
TOR 37.8%
MIA 42.9% +5.1%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
44.1%
TOR 42.7%
MIA 32.1% +10.5%
3P Att. %
28.2%
23.8%
TOR 19.5%
MIA 25.0% +5.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9193
Possession Minutes24.423.6
Points91103
Rebounds4341
Assists1015
Steals42
Blocks46
Turnovers (Team)8 (2)7 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (4)7 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)35 (1)34 (5)
Field Goals34-8240-84
At-the-Rim FG17-3119-36
Midrange FG13-3514-27
2-Point FG30-6633-63
3-Point FG4-167-21
Free Throws19-2516-20
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
42.6
23
48%
4
2
1
0
2
3
0
4
7-7
100%
8-20
40%
0-1
0%
G · 6'0" 196 · 30
36.9
36
58%
4
3
0
0
2
5
1
3
9-10
90%
9-22
41%
3-5
60%
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
33.3
8
57%
8
0
0
1
0
1
4
4
0-0
-
4-5
80%
0-2
0%
C · 6'9" 255 · 24
33.0
4
33%
13
2
0
2
2
2
1
12
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
25.0
5
50%
6
0
0
1
1
2
0
6
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
1-3
33%
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
25.6
7
35%
3
1
1
0
0
3
1
2
1-2
50%
3-9
33%
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25
23.8
6
38%
2
1
0
0
0
0
0
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-4
0%
C · 7'0" 220 · 24
6.5
2
100%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
6.4
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
4.4
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
2.6
0
0%
1
1
1
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 241 · 36
G · 6'5" 190 · 24
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
48%
43
10
4
4
8
0
8
35
19-25
76%
30-66
45%
4-16
25%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.