FinalWin Prob.pScore
1733%95
91
767%101
99
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
102.28994.2
TOR logo TOR
110.09085.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR91
0%
99
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:9)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (34 PTS)91
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 0:09.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (33 PTS)91
0.1%
98
99.9%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot91
0.1%
97
99.9%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (32 PTS)91
0.6%
97
99.4%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (31 PTS)91
0.7%
96
99.3%
Q4 - 0:21.0MIAWade 3' Layup (20 PTS)91
1.2%
95
98.8%
Q4 - 0:23.0TORLowry 12' Pullup Jump Shot (25 PTS)89
0.7%
95
99.3%
Q4 - 0:46.0MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (18 PTS)89
3.0%
93
97.0%
Q4 - 0:52.0TORLowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (23 PTS)87
1.9%
93
98.1%
Q4 - 1:15MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T15)87
8.1%
90
91.9%
Q4 - 1:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)87
16.0%
90
84.0%
Q4 - 1:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)87
17.0%
89
83.0%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)87
23.8%
88
76.2%
Q4 - 1:54MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)86
22.0%
88
78.0%
Q4 - 2:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)85
18.6%
88
81.4%
Q4 - 2:08TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot85
15.8%
88
84.2%
Q4 - 2:36MIAWade 16' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)85
10.8%
88
89.2%
Q4 - 2:47MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)83
8.7%
88
91.3%
Q4 - 2:48TORMISS Lowry 16' Jump Shot83
7.1%
88
92.9%
Q4 - 3:03MIAJohnson 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)83
5.6%
88
94.4%
Q4 - 3:17TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)81
4.3%
88
95.7%
Q4 - 3:17TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)81
4.6%
87
95.4%
Q4 - 3:40MIAJohnson 3' Jump Shot (9 PTS)81
7.8%
86
92.2%
Q4 - 3:43MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)79
5.7%
86
94.3%
Q4 - 3:43MIAMISS Johnson 7' Driving Hook Shot79
4.4%
86
95.6%
Q4 - 3:59TORJoseph 2' Driving Reverse Layup (9 PTS)79
5.5%
86
94.5%
Q4 - 4:17TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)79
7.4%
84
92.6%
Q4 - 4:17TORMISS Patterson 13' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot79
9.6%
84
90.4%
Q4 - 4:44MIAWinslow 21' Jump Shot (8 PTS)79
7.3%
84
92.7%
Q4 - 5:07MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)77
6.8%
84
93.2%
Q4 - 5:08TORMISS Lowry 22' Jump Shot77
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 5:31MIAJoseph STEAL (2 STL)77
4.8%
84
95.2%
Q4 - 5:47MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)77
6.7%
84
93.3%
Q4 - 5:48TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot77
6.0%
84
94.0%
Q4 - 6:09TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 6:09MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
6.4%
84
93.6%
Q4 - 6:24MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
7.9%
84
92.1%
Q4 - 6:25TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.2%
84
92.8%
Q4 - 6:36TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 6:36MIAMISS Johnson 5' Floating Jump Shot77
6.3%
84
93.7%
Q4 - 6:49MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
7.8%
84
92.2%
Q4 - 6:50TORMISS Patterson 15' Jump Shot77
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 6:53TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
5.7%
84
94.3%
Q4 - 6:53TORMISS Lowry 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
7.1%
84
92.9%
Q4 - 7:29MIARichardson 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)77
6.6%
84
93.4%
Q4 - 7:40TORLowry 5' Driving Hook Shot (20 PTS)74
4.0%
84
96.0%
Q4 - 7:57MIARichardson 3PT Running Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)74
5.0%
82
95.0%
Q4 - 8:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)71
3.7%
82
96.3%
Q4 - 8:05TORMISS Lowry 1' Driving Layup71
3.5%
82
96.5%
Q4 - 8:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)71
2.9%
82
97.1%
Q4 - 8:19MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
2.8%
82
97.2%
Q4 - 8:33TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)69
2.2%
82
97.8%
Q4 - 8:41TORRAPTORS Rebound69
3.7%
79
96.3%
Q4 - 8:41TORMISS Lowry 7' Hook Shot69
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 9:04TORRAPTORS Rebound69
4.4%
79
95.6%
Q4 - 9:04TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot69
5.2%
79
94.8%
Q4 - 9:28TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)69
4.3%
79
95.7%
Q4 - 9:29MIAMISS Richardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot69
4.7%
79
95.3%
Q4 - 9:40TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Joseph 5 AST)69
5.5%
79
94.5%
Q4 - 9:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)69
6.8%
77
93.2%
Q4 - 9:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
6.5%
77
93.5%
Q4 - 10:07MIAHeat Rebound67
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Johnson 19' Jump Shot67
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q4 - 10:12MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)67
6.1%
77
93.9%
Q4 - 10:13MIAPatterson BLOCK (1 BLK)67
5.2%
77
94.8%
Q4 - 10:31MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)67
6.0%
77
94.0%
Q4 - 10:31TORMISS Joseph 16' Pullup Jump Shot67
5.6%
77
94.4%
Q4 - 10:56MIARichardson 24' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)67
4.8%
77
95.2%
Q4 - 11:04MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)64
3.6%
77
96.4%
Q4 - 11:06TORMISS Patterson 6' Jump Shot64
3.4%
77
96.6%
Q4 - 11:25MIAJohnson 8' Driving Hook Shot (7 PTS)64
2.9%
77
97.1%
Q4 - 11:48TORRoss 3' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot (5 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)62
2.3%
77
97.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA62
2.9%
75
97.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)62
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 0:01.0TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot62
3.8%
75
96.2%
Q3 - 0:19.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)62
3.3%
75
96.7%
Q3 - 0:20.0MIAMISS Green 21' Jump Shot62
3.5%
75
96.5%
Q3 - 0:31.0TORLowry 3' Driving Layup (18 PTS)62
4.0%
75
96.0%
Q3 - 0:46.0TORThompson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)62
4.8%
73
95.2%
Q3 - 0:47.0TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot62
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 1:02TORPowell REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)62
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 262
5.5%
73
94.5%
Q3 - 1:03MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 262
6.2%
73
93.8%
Q3 - 1:16TORCarroll Foul Turnover (P2.T9)62
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q3 - 1:20TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)62
5.3%
73
94.7%
Q3 - 1:20MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot62
5.6%
73
94.4%
Q3 - 1:41TORJoseph 17' Pullup Jump Shot (7 PTS)62
6.4%
73
93.6%
Q3 - 2:10MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)62
8.1%
71
91.9%
Q3 - 2:10MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)61
7.8%
71
92.2%
Q3 - 2:16MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 2:17TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.5%
71
93.5%
Q3 - 2:32TORThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)60
5.7%
71
94.3%
Q3 - 2:33MIAMISS Green 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
6.1%
71
93.9%
Q3 - 2:56TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)60
6.9%
71
93.1%
Q3 - 2:56TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 260
7.2%
70
92.8%
Q3 - 2:56TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)60
6.8%
70
93.2%
Q3 - 2:57TORMISS Lowry 7' Jump Shot60
7.7%
70
92.3%
Q3 - 3:11MIAGreen 2' Reverse Layup (4 PTS)60
7.3%
70
92.7%
Q3 - 3:23MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)58
6.3%
70
93.7%
Q3 - 3:25TORMISS Patterson 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot58
5.9%
70
94.1%
Q3 - 3:42MIAWinslow Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)58
5.2%
70
94.8%
Q3 - 3:42MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 1 of 257
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 3:58MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)57
5.3%
70
94.7%
Q3 - 3:59TORMISS Carroll 10' Driving Bank Hook Shot57
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 4:25TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)57
4.7%
70
95.3%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Green 18' Jump Shot57
5.0%
70
95.0%
Q3 - 4:44TORPatterson 3' Layup (8 PTS)57
5.6%
70
94.4%
Q3 - 4:47TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)57
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 4:48TORMISS DeRozan 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot57
7.4%
68
92.6%
Q3 - 5:09MIAGreen Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)57
6.9%
68
93.1%
Q3 - 5:09MIAGreen Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)56
6.7%
68
93.3%
Q3 - 5:31TORDeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot (21 PTS)55
6.0%
68
94.0%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#13)55
6.9%
66
93.1%
Q3 - 5:40MIAHeat Rebound55
8.2%
66
91.8%
Q3 - 5:40MIALowry BLOCK (1 BLK)55
7.3%
66
92.7%
Q3 - 6:07TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (19 PTS)55
8.6%
66
91.4%
Q3 - 6:19TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 6:19MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot55
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 6:35TORBiyombo Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T8)55
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 6:39TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 6:41MIAMISS Dragic 3' Running Layup55
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 6:47MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)55
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 6:49TORMISS Lowry 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot55
10.8%
64
89.2%
Q3 - 7:00MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)55
9.7%
64
90.3%
Q3 - 7:00MIAHeat Rebound55
11.3%
64
88.7%
Q3 - 7:00MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot55
10.2%
64
89.8%
Q3 - 7:27TORDeRozan 17' Step Back Jump Shot (17 PTS)55
11.6%
64
88.4%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)55
13.1%
62
86.9%
Q3 - 7:46MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)54
12.7%
62
87.3%
Q3 - 8:04TORPatterson 14' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (DeRozan 2 AST)53
11.8%
62
88.2%
Q3 - 8:29MIAMcRoberts 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)53
13.2%
60
86.8%
Q3 - 8:34MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)51
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 8:35MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot51
10.6%
60
89.4%
Q3 - 8:56TORDeRozan 24' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)51
11.8%
60
88.2%
Q3 - 9:19MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)51
15.3%
57
84.7%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)48
11.9%
57
88.1%
Q3 - 9:27MIAMISS Deng 3PT Jump Shot48
10.9%
57
89.1%
Q3 - 9:46TORDeRozan 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (12 PTS)48
11.9%
57
88.1%
Q3 - 9:54TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
13.5%
55
86.5%
Q3 - 9:54MIAMISS Wade 2' Putback Layup48
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 9:57MIAWade REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)48
15.3%
55
84.7%
Q3 - 9:58MIAMISS Dragic 1' Driving Layup48
14.0%
55
86.0%
Q3 - 10:04MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)48
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 10:05TORMISS Lowry 3' Layup48
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q3 - 10:18TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)48
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q3 - 10:19MIAMISS Wade 9' Hook Shot48
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 10:30MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)48
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 10:31TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot48
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q3 - 10:41TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)48
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q3 - 10:41MIAMISS Dragic 20' Pullup Jump Shot48
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 10:50MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)48
15.5%
55
84.5%
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS DeRozan 3' Running Jump Shot48
14.9%
55
85.1%
Q3 - 10:58TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)48
13.6%
55
86.4%
Q3 - 10:58MIAMISS McRoberts 25' 3PT Jump Shot48
14.2%
55
85.8%
Q3 - 11:11MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
15.6%
55
84.4%
Q3 - 11:12TORMISS Lowry 18' Pullup Jump Shot48
15.0%
55
85.0%
Q3 - 11:39MIAWade 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)48
13.8%
55
86.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0TOR45
10.9%
55
89.1%
Q2 - 0:13.0MIAMcRoberts 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS)45
10.4%
55
89.6%
Q2 - 0:30.0TORBiyombo Foul Turnover (P3.T7)43
8.9%
55
91.1%
Q2 - 0:43.0MIADragic 8' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
8.2%
55
91.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORDeRozan Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)41
7.0%
55
93.0%
Q2 - 1:06MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)41
6.9%
55
93.1%
Q2 - 1:16MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
5.7%
55
94.3%
Q2 - 1:17TORMISS DeRozan 15' Pullup Jump Shot39
5.6%
55
94.4%
Q2 - 1:31MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)39
5.4%
55
94.6%
Q2 - 1:40MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 1:40MIAMISS Deng 2' Driving Layup37
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 1:46TORBiyombo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)37
4.5%
55
95.5%
Q2 - 1:58TORRAPTORS Rebound37
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 1:58MIAMISS Winslow 5' Jump Shot37
4.3%
55
95.7%
Q2 - 2:11MIAHeat Rebound37
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 2:11TORMISS Carroll 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot37
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 2:34MIADeng Foul Turnover (P2.T11)37
4.4%
55
95.6%
Q2 - 2:40MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)37
4.9%
55
95.1%
Q2 - 2:40TORMISS Carroll 18' Turnaround Jump Shot37
4.7%
55
95.3%
Q2 - 3:08MIADragic 17' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)37
4.6%
55
95.4%
Q2 - 3:16MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 3:17TORMISS Lowry 16' Pullup Jump Shot35
4.0%
55
96.0%
Q2 - 3:27MIALowry STEAL (3 STL)35
3.7%
55
96.3%
Q2 - 3:39TORLowry 2' Driving Reverse Layup (16 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)35
4.2%
55
95.8%
Q2 - 4:01TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)35
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 4:01MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 235
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 4:01MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)35
5.4%
53
94.6%
Q2 - 4:05MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)34
5.0%
53
95.0%
Q2 - 4:06TORMISS Carroll 1' Putback Layup34
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 4:09TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)34
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 4:10TORMISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot34
4.8%
53
95.2%
Q2 - 4:17MIADeRozan STEAL (2 STL)34
4.4%
53
95.6%
Q2 - 4:37TORBiyombo Running Dunk (10 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)34
4.9%
53
95.1%
Q2 - 4:44TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)34
5.5%
51
94.5%
Q2 - 4:44MIABiyombo BLOCK (4 BLK)34
5.7%
51
94.3%
Q2 - 4:54TORBiyombo Tip Dunk Shot (8 PTS)34
6.1%
51
93.9%
Q2 - 4:57TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)34
6.8%
49
93.2%
Q2 - 4:58TORMISS DeRozan 19' Jump Shot34
7.3%
49
92.7%
Q2 - 5:18MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)34
7.0%
49
93.0%
Q2 - 5:29TORJoseph Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)31
5.7%
49
94.3%
Q2 - 5:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)31
7.0%
46
93.0%
Q2 - 5:37MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Jump Shot31
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 5:43MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)31
7.8%
46
92.2%
Q2 - 5:45MIAMISS Winslow 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
7.2%
46
92.8%
Q2 - 6:15TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)31
8.2%
46
91.8%
Q2 - 6:31MIARichardson 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)31
9.8%
43
90.2%
Q2 - 6:47TORJoseph 5' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)29
9.1%
43
90.9%
Q2 - 6:56MIAJoseph STEAL (1 STL)29
9.8%
41
90.2%
Q2 - 7:18TORBiyombo 3' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)29
11.3%
41
88.7%
Q2 - 7:36TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
12.3%
39
87.7%
Q2 - 7:37MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
12.6%
39
87.4%
Q2 - 8:06TORBiyombo Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)29
13.7%
39
86.3%
Q2 - 8:18MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)29
14.9%
37
85.1%
Q2 - 8:18MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)28
14.7%
37
85.3%
Q2 - 8:27TORLowry 3' Running Layup (14 PTS)27
13.7%
37
86.3%
Q2 - 8:34MIAHaslem 2' Cutting Layup Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)27
14.9%
35
85.1%
Q2 - 8:57TORPatterson 2' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)25
13.7%
35
86.3%
Q2 - 9:18MIAJohnson 7' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS)25
14.9%
33
85.1%
Q2 - 9:42TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)23
13.9%
33
86.1%
Q2 - 9:42TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)23
14.1%
32
85.9%
Q2 - 9:58MIADragic 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
14.9%
31
85.1%
Q2 - 10:31TORLowry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)21
14.1%
31
85.9%
Q2 - 10:39TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)21
16.4%
28
83.6%
Q2 - 10:39MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot21
16.9%
28
83.1%
Q2 - 10:51MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)21
18.1%
28
81.9%
Q2 - 10:53TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot21
17.5%
28
82.5%
Q2 - 11:03MIAJohnson Traveling Turnover (P1.T7)21
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q2 - 11:17MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
18.0%
28
82.0%
Q2 - 11:17TORMISS Ross 16' Pullup Jump Shot21
17.6%
28
82.4%
Q2 - 11:37MIAJohnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)21
16.6%
28
83.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TOR18
14.1%
28
85.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)18
13.3%
28
86.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIAHaslem Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)17
13.0%
28
87.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0TORThompson 1' Tip Dunk Shot (2 PTS)16
12.0%
28
88.0%
Q1 - 0:11.0TORThompson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q1 - 0:11.0TORMISS DeRozan 3' Driving Floating Jump Shot16
13.9%
26
86.1%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
13.3%
26
86.7%
Q1 - 0:27.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
13.1%
26
86.9%
Q1 - 0:31.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
12.0%
26
88.0%
Q1 - 0:32.0TORMISS Joseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot14
11.8%
26
88.2%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)14
11.3%
26
88.7%
Q1 - 0:53.0MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)13
11.1%
26
88.9%
Q1 - 1:04MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
10.3%
26
89.7%
Q1 - 1:05TORMISS DeRozan 6' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot12
10.1%
26
89.9%
Q1 - 1:18MIAWinslow 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)12
9.7%
26
90.3%
Q1 - 1:23MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 1:24MIARoss BLOCK (1 BLK)10
8.3%
26
91.7%
Q1 - 1:30TORRoss Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)10
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 1:33MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)10
8.2%
26
91.8%
Q1 - 1:40MIAMISS Dragic Free Throw Technical10
8.7%
26
91.3%
Q1 - 2:02TORCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)10
8.9%
26
91.1%
Q1 - 2:08TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 2:10MIABiyombo BLOCK (3 BLK)10
10.8%
23
89.2%
Q1 - 2:28MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)10
11.4%
23
88.6%
Q1 - 2:29TORMISS DeRozan 8' Floating Jump Shot10
11.1%
23
88.9%
Q1 - 2:38MIAHaslem 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)10
10.6%
23
89.4%
Q1 - 2:41MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
9.7%
23
90.3%
Q1 - 2:42MIABiyombo BLOCK (2 BLK)8
9.2%
23
90.8%
Q1 - 3:06TORLowry 24' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (9 PTS)8
10.0%
23
90.0%
Q1 - 3:17TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 3:18TORMISS Biyombo 2' Cutting Finger Roll Layup Shot8
12.3%
20
87.7%
Q1 - 3:29MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)8
11.6%
20
88.4%
Q1 - 3:45TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
12.6%
20
87.4%
Q1 - 3:45TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)8
13.0%
19
87.0%
Q1 - 3:46TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 3:47TORMISS Lowry 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot8
14.4%
18
85.6%
Q1 - 3:55TORRAPTORS Rebound8
13.6%
18
86.4%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Deng 2' Tip Layup Shot8
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 3:55MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)8
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 3:55MIAMISS Deng 1' Tip Layup Shot8
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 3:57MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
14.7%
18
85.3%
Q1 - 3:57MIAMISS Deng 6' Jump Shot8
13.9%
18
86.1%
Q1 - 4:15TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)8
14.9%
18
85.1%
Q1 - 4:15TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 28
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 4:18TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)8
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 4:19MIAMISS Winslow 7' Turnaround Hook Shot8
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 4:36TORCarroll Foul Turnover (P1.T3)8
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 4:40MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)8
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 4:49MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
16.0%
17
84.0%
Q1 - 4:49TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 2 of 28
15.8%
17
84.2%
Q1 - 4:49TORMISS Biyombo Free Throw 1 of 28
15.2%
17
84.8%
Q1 - 4:49TORRAPTORS Rebound8
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 4:49TORMISS Patterson 13' Jump Shot8
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 4:52TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)8
14.7%
17
85.3%
Q1 - 4:52TORMISS Lowry 3' Jump Shot8
15.6%
17
84.4%
Q1 - 5:07MIAWade 18' Step Back Jump Shot (4 PTS)8
15.1%
17
84.9%
Q1 - 5:17MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
14.1%
17
85.9%
Q1 - 5:17TORMISS Carroll 11' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot6
13.8%
17
86.2%
Q1 - 5:38MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)6
13.1%
17
86.9%
Q1 - 5:50TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)4
12.2%
17
87.8%
Q1 - 6:00TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
11.3%
17
88.7%
Q1 - 6:00MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot4
11.5%
17
88.5%
Q1 - 6:23TORDeRozan 10' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)4
12.6%
17
87.4%
Q1 - 6:33TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
13.4%
15
86.6%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Wade 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot4
13.7%
15
86.3%
Q1 - 6:52TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)4
14.4%
15
85.6%
Q1 - 6:52TORDeRozan Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)4
14.6%
14
85.4%
Q1 - 7:09MIAWade 12' Driving Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)4
15.5%
13
84.5%
Q1 - 7:20TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
14.7%
13
85.3%
Q1 - 7:20TORCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)2
14.9%
12
85.1%
Q1 - 7:24MIABiyombo STEAL (2 STL)2
15.5%
11
84.5%
Q1 - 7:38TORDeRozan 8' Jump Bank Shot (6 PTS)2
16.7%
11
83.3%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMcRoberts 20' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)2
17.5%
9
82.5%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 8:09MIAMISS Johnson 27' 3PT Jump Shot0
15.8%
9
84.2%
Q1 - 8:34MIAHeat Rebound0
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 8:34MIAMISS Wade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot0
15.8%
9
84.2%
Q1 - 8:50TORDeRozan 2' Running Layup (4 PTS)0
16.6%
9
83.4%
Q1 - 8:54MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)0
17.5%
7
82.5%
Q1 - 9:10TORLowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)0
18.9%
7
81.1%
Q1 - 9:18TORRAPTORS Rebound0
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 9:18TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot0
22.1%
4
77.9%
Q1 - 9:35TORRAPTORS Rebound0
21.0%
4
79.0%
Q1 - 9:36MIAMISS Deng 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 9:43MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 9:44MIAMISS Deng 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
21.5%
4
78.5%
Q1 - 10:04TORDeRozan 3' Cutting Layup Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)0
22.6%
4
77.4%
Q1 - 10:13TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:14MIAMISS Johnson 20' Pullup Jump Shot0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 10:39MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 10:40TORMISS DeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot0
24.8%
2
75.2%
Q1 - 10:49MIABiyombo STEAL (1 STL)0
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:50TORBiyombo Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)0
25.3%
2
74.7%
Q1 - 10:51TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
23.7%
2
76.3%
Q1 - 10:52MIABiyombo BLOCK (1 BLK)0
24.2%
2
75.8%
Q1 - 11:15TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)0
25.0%
2
75.0%
Q1 - 11:15TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
25.2%
1
74.8%
Q1 - 11:23TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
26.5%
0
73.5%
Q1 - 11:24MIAMISS Dragic 24' 3PT Jump Shot0
26.9%
0
73.1%
Q1 - 11:40MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
27.8%
0
72.2%
Q1 - 11:41TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot0
27.4%
0
72.6%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Biyombo vs. Stoudemire: Tip to Patterson0
26.5%
0
73.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
27
48%
TOR
17
25
68%
Midrange
MIA
12
29
41%
TOR
11
39
28%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
6
9.0
21
29%
43%
TOR
7
10.5
17
41%
62%
Free Throws
MIA
23
28
82%
TOR
22
26
85%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2053%10.0 / 19
G. Dragic1346%6.5 / 14
J. Richardson1381%6.5 / 8
J. Johnson1142%5.5 / 13
J. Winslow844%4.0 / 9
J. McRoberts660%3.0 / 5
T. Johnson675%3.0 / 4
U. Haslem6100%3.0 / 3
L. Deng420%2.0 / 10
G. Green440%2.0 / 5
A. Stoudemire0-0.0 / 0
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. DeRozan3463%17.0 / 27
K. Lowry2546%12.5 / 27
B. Biyombo1071%5.0 / 7
C. Joseph975%4.5 / 6
P. Patterson831%4.0 / 13
D. Carroll633%3.0 / 9
T. Ross583%2.5 / 3
J. Thompson2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
76
+17
-13
93
TOR
81
+15
-9
96
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.9%
TOR
1.03 51.6%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
102.2
MIA 102.2
TOR 110.0 +7.8
Pace
90.2
90.1
MIA 94.2 +9.0
TOR 85.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.1
MIA 15.3 +1.6
TOR 16.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
46.3%
MIA 44.2%
TOR 47.5% +3.3%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
MIA 14.4%
TOR 8.9% +5.5%
ORB %
23.0%
25.1%
MIA 31.7% +5.5%
TOR 26.2%
FTrt
26.4
30.1
MIA 36.4 +4.3
TOR 32.1
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
45.8%
MIA 38.7%
TOR 45.7% +7.0%
STL %
5.9%
8.2%
MIA 4.5%
TOR 11.1% +6.6%
BLK %
9.4%
6.7%
MIA 3.1%
TOR 12.5% +9.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
49.0%
MIA 48.9%
TOR 51.6% +2.7%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.3%
MIA 48.1%
TOR 68.0% +19.9%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.1%
MIA 41.4% +13.2%
TOR 28.2%
3P %
35.8%
29.8%
MIA 28.6%
TOR 41.2% +12.6%
FT %
76.5%
73.7%
MIA 82.1%
TOR 84.6% +2.5%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
32.9%
MIA 35.1% +4.2%
TOR 30.9%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
38.9%
MIA 37.7% +10.5%
TOR 48.1%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.2%
MIA 27.3% +6.3%
TOR 21.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions8990
Possession Minutes22.725.3
Points9199
Rebounds4439
Assists1216
Steals410
Blocks27
Turnovers (Team)13 (2)9 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (4)11 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (1)28 (3)
Field Goals31-7735-81
At-the-Rim FG13-2717-25
Midrange FG12-2911-39
2-Point FG25-5628-64
3-Point FG6-217-17
Free Throws23-2822-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
38.9
13
46%
5
2
0
0
1
3
2
3
0-1
0%
5-10
50%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
34.3
20
53%
7
4
0
1
3
2
2
5
7-10
70%
5-12
42%
1-2
50%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
33.1
11
42%
8
1
0
0
0
1
1
7
0-0
-
4-9
44%
1-4
25%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
24.3
4
20%
6
0
1
0
2
2
2
4
4-4
100%
0-7
0%
0-1
0%
C · 6'10" 245 · 33
3.2
0
0%
1
0
1
0
1
1
1
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
33.0
8
44%
7
0
0
0
2
5
2
5
2-3
67%
3-7
43%
0-1
0%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
21.5
13
81%
3
1
1
1
2
2
0
3
0-0
-
2-3
67%
3-5
60%
· 6'10" 240 · 29
18.2
6
60%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-3
100%
0-2
0%
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
13.3
6
75%
0
4
0
0
1
2
0
0
6-6
100%
0-0
-
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
10.1
4
40%
1
0
0
0
0
2
0
1
2-2
100%
1-3
33%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
10.1
6
100%
3
0
0
0
1
0
2
1
2-2
100%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
G · 6'2" 165 · 23
#21 · C · 7'0" 265 · 27
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
91
49%
44
12
4
2
13
0
13
31
23-28
82%
25-56
45%
6-21
29%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.