FinalWin Prob.pScore
1133%96
92
567%102
96
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
95.89684.1
TOR logo TOR
100.09689.9

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

RaptorsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIATOR
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA92
0%
96
100%
OT1 - 0:04.0MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)92
0.5%
96
99.5%
OT1 - 0:04.0TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 292
0.4%
96
99.6%
OT1 - 0:04.0TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)92
0.2%
96
99.8%
OT1 - 0:08.0MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (20 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)92
1.6%
95
98.4%
OT1 - 0:11.0TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)90
0.9%
95
99.1%
OT1 - 0:11.0TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 290
1.0%
94
99.0%
OT1 - 0:12.0MIARichardson 2' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Johnson 4 AST)90
0.7%
94
99.3%
OT1 - 0:22.0TORJoseph Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)88
0.7%
94
99.3%
OT1 - 0:22.0TORJoseph Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)88
0.8%
93
99.2%
OT1 - 0:23.0MIADeng Driving Dunk (12 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)88
1.3%
92
98.7%
OT1 - 0:35.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)86
0.9%
92
99.1%
OT1 - 0:35.0TORMISS Carroll 5' Driving Hook Shot86
0.6%
92
99.4%
OT1 - 0:59.0TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)86
1.1%
92
98.9%
OT1 - 1:00MIAMISS Johnson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup86
1.4%
92
98.6%
OT1 - 1:06TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)86
2.5%
92
97.5%
OT1 - 1:06TORCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)86
2.9%
91
97.1%
OT1 - 1:07MIAValanciunas STEAL (3 STL)86
4.2%
90
95.8%
OT1 - 1:08TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T10)86
8.1%
90
91.9%
OT1 - 1:32TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)86
5.8%
90
94.2%
OT1 - 1:32MIAMISS Johnson 6' Turnaround Hook Shot86
6.9%
90
93.1%
OT1 - 1:45MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)86
10.7%
90
89.3%
OT1 - 1:45TORMISS Carroll 27' 3PT Jump Shot86
9.3%
90
90.7%
OT1 - 2:07MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P4.T20)86
7.1%
90
92.9%
OT1 - 2:26TORValanciunas 13' Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)86
12.9%
90
87.1%
OT1 - 2:47TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)86
16.3%
88
83.7%
OT1 - 2:47MIAMISS Wade 10' Hook Bank Shot86
19.2%
88
80.8%
OT1 - 3:09MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)86
27.8%
88
72.2%
OT1 - 3:09TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot86
24.3%
88
75.7%
OT1 - 3:26TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)86
17.6%
88
82.4%
OT1 - 3:27MIAValanciunas BLOCK (1 BLK)86
20.4%
88
79.6%
OT1 - 3:49MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)86
27.4%
88
72.6%
OT1 - 3:49TORMISS Lowry 6' Hook Shot86
25.0%
88
75.0%
OT1 - 4:14TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)86
19.9%
88
80.1%
OT1 - 4:15MIAMISS Johnson 7' Turnaround Jump Shot86
22.0%
88
78.0%
OT1 - 4:41TORDeRozan 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Joseph 4 AST)86
27.2%
88
72.8%
OT1 - 5:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to Lowry86
34.5%
86
65.5%
Q4 - 0:10.0MIADragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Johnson 3 AST)86
29.1%
86
70.9%
Q4 - 0:14.0TORLowry 20' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)83
7.2%
86
92.8%
Q4 - 0:37.0MIAWade 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)83
15.8%
84
84.2%
Q4 - 0:45.0TORLowry 17' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)80
6.1%
84
93.9%
Q4 - 1:05TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
12.7%
82
87.3%
Q4 - 1:05MIAMISS Wade 13' Pullup Jump Shot80
15.2%
82
84.8%
Q4 - 1:22TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:6 Def:4)80
23.7%
82
76.3%
Q4 - 1:22TORValanciunas 1' Tip Layup Shot (13 PTS)80
23.7%
82
76.3%
Q4 - 1:22TORMISS Valanciunas 1' Tip Layup Shot80
43.6%
80
56.4%
Q4 - 1:23TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:5 Def:4)80
33.1%
80
66.9%
Q4 - 1:23TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 280
46.3%
80
53.7%
Q4 - 1:23TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 280
36.9%
80
63.1%
Q4 - 1:36TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)80
33.4%
80
66.6%
Q4 - 1:37MIAMISS Johnson 3' Turnaround Bank Shot80
37.5%
80
62.5%
Q4 - 2:01TORRoss 13' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)80
47.7%
80
52.3%
Q4 - 2:23TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)80
55.7%
78
44.3%
Q4 - 2:24MIAMISS Whiteside Tip Layup Shot80
60.5%
78
39.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)80
70.5%
78
29.5%
Q4 - 2:26MIAMISS Wade 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot80
60.5%
78
39.5%
Q4 - 2:39MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)80
70.6%
78
29.4%
Q4 - 2:40TORMISS DeRozan 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot80
66.3%
78
33.7%
Q4 - 2:53TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
54.2%
78
45.8%
Q4 - 2:53MIAMISS Green 9' Jump Shot80
58.4%
78
41.6%
Q4 - 3:18TORValanciunas 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)80
68.0%
78
32.0%
Q4 - 3:20TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)80
73.5%
76
26.5%
Q4 - 3:20TORMISS Lowry 10' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot80
80.7%
76
19.3%
Q4 - 3:40TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)80
69.6%
76
30.4%
Q4 - 3:40MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
72.1%
76
27.9%
Q4 - 3:56TORValanciunas 4' Driving Hook Shot (9 PTS)80
77.8%
76
22.2%
Q4 - 4:15MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)80
83.4%
74
16.6%
Q4 - 4:15MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 279
82.3%
74
17.7%
Q4 - 4:26MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)79
83.9%
74
16.1%
Q4 - 4:27TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot79
82.2%
74
17.8%
Q4 - 4:38TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to DeRozan79
77.8%
74
22.2%
Q4 - 4:54TORCarroll Free Throw 2 of 2 (19 PTS)79
84.2%
74
15.8%
Q4 - 4:54TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 1 of 279
85.4%
73
14.6%
Q4 - 4:54TORRAPTORS Rebound79
83.7%
73
16.3%
Q4 - 4:54TORMISS Carroll Tip Layup Shot79
87.2%
73
12.8%
Q4 - 4:56TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)79
83.7%
73
16.3%
Q4 - 4:56TORMISS Ross 3PT Jump Shot79
87.2%
73
12.8%
Q4 - 5:14MIAGreen 1' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)79
79.0%
73
21.0%
Q4 - 5:31MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)77
73.6%
73
26.4%
Q4 - 5:31MIAMISS Johnson 9' Driving Hook Shot77
68.6%
73
31.4%
Q4 - 5:49TORDeRozan 17' Pullup Jump Shot (17 PTS)77
73.7%
73
26.3%
Q4 - 6:04TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
75.2%
71
24.8%
Q4 - 6:05MIAMISS Deng 15' Fadeaway Jumper77
77.1%
71
22.9%
Q4 - 6:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)77
81.2%
71
18.8%
Q4 - 6:24TORMISS Carroll Free Throw 2 of 277
80.5%
71
19.5%
Q4 - 6:24TORCarroll Free Throw 1 of 2 (18 PTS)77
77.5%
71
22.5%
Q4 - 6:35MIAWhiteside 5' Hook Shot (13 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)77
80.6%
70
19.4%
Q4 - 6:51TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)75
76.3%
70
23.7%
Q4 - 7:13MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)75
66.5%
70
33.5%
Q4 - 7:24TORJoseph Foul Turnover (P2.T8)72
54.0%
70
46.0%
Q4 - 7:33MIADragic 15' Pullup Jump Shot (15 PTS)72
46.4%
70
53.6%
Q4 - 7:44MIAHeat Rebound70
40.3%
70
59.7%
Q4 - 7:44MIAMISS Johnson 19' Pullup Jump Shot70
35.3%
70
64.7%
Q4 - 8:04MIAHeat Rebound70
39.4%
70
60.6%
Q4 - 8:05TORMISS Joseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot70
37.6%
70
62.4%
Q4 - 8:20TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)70
33.6%
70
66.4%
Q4 - 8:21MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 270
34.4%
70
65.6%
Q4 - 8:21MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)70
37.5%
70
62.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)69
33.5%
70
66.5%
Q4 - 8:22MIAMISS Dragic 7' Driving Floating Bank Jump Shot69
29.7%
70
70.3%
Q4 - 8:43TORValanciunas 1' Layup (7 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)69
33.5%
70
66.5%
Q4 - 8:50MIAValanciunas STEAL (1 STL)69
39.5%
68
60.5%
Q4 - 9:00TORJoseph 10' Floating Jump Shot (6 PTS)69
45.8%
68
54.2%
Q4 - 9:13MIALowry STEAL (3 STL)69
50.8%
66
49.2%
Q4 - 9:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)69
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q4 - 9:16MIAMISS Haslem 20' Jump Shot69
52.7%
66
47.3%
Q4 - 9:36TORPatterson Putback Dunk (2 PTS)69
57.0%
66
43.0%
Q4 - 9:39TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
62.6%
64
37.4%
Q4 - 9:39TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
66.6%
64
33.4%
Q4 - 9:53TORRAPTORS Rebound69
62.7%
64
37.3%
Q4 - 9:53MIAMISS Dragic 6' Turnaround Hook Shot69
64.4%
64
35.6%
Q4 - 10:08TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)69
66.3%
64
33.7%
Q4 - 10:08TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 1 of 269
67.3%
63
32.7%
Q4 - 10:28MIAGreen 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)69
66.1%
63
33.9%
Q4 - 10:45TORValanciunas Foul Turnover (P2.T7)67
61.2%
63
38.8%
Q4 - 11:02MIADragic 10' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)67
54.1%
63
45.9%
Q4 - 11:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)65
48.9%
63
51.1%
Q4 - 11:19TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 2 of 265
48.2%
63
51.8%
Q4 - 11:19TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 265
44.5%
63
55.5%
Q4 - 11:38TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)65
43.4%
63
56.6%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Johnson 29' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot65
45.1%
63
54.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA65
49.0%
63
51.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
49.0%
63
51.0%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot65
47.3%
63
52.7%
Q3 - 0:06.0MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)65
42.7%
63
57.3%
Q3 - 0:27.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)63
37.8%
63
62.2%
Q3 - 0:27.0TORMISS DeRozan 18' Pullup Jump Shot63
36.3%
63
63.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAHaslem 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS)63
33.1%
63
66.9%
Q3 - 1:15TORDeRozan 3' Driving Bank Hook Shot (15 PTS)61
28.7%
63
71.3%
Q3 - 1:36MIAWade 21' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)61
32.7%
61
67.3%
Q3 - 1:49MIAGreen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)59
28.7%
61
71.3%
Q3 - 1:49TORMISS DeRozan 14' Pullup Jump Shot59
27.5%
61
72.5%
Q3 - 2:01MIAHaslem Foul Turnover (P1.T16)59
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 2:13MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)59
28.4%
61
71.6%
Q3 - 2:13MIAMISS Wade 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot59
25.7%
61
74.3%
Q3 - 2:34MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)59
28.5%
61
71.5%
Q3 - 2:34TORMISS Ross 19' Pullup Jump Shot59
27.2%
61
72.8%
Q3 - 2:55MIAWade 16' Jump Bank Shot (9 PTS)59
24.6%
61
75.4%
Q3 - 3:14MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)57
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 3:14TORMISS Joseph 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot57
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 3:31MIAWhiteside Traveling Turnover (P2.T15)57
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 3:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)57
21.9%
61
78.1%
Q3 - 3:45TORMISS Lowry 19' Pullup Jump Shot57
20.9%
61
79.1%
Q3 - 4:09MIALowry STEAL (2 STL)57
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 4:23MIAHeat Rebound57
22.1%
61
77.9%
Q3 - 4:24TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot57
21.1%
61
78.9%
Q3 - 4:42MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)57
18.8%
61
81.2%
Q3 - 4:50TORBiyombo Foul Turnover (P1.T6)54
14.5%
61
85.5%
Q3 - 5:05MIADeng 4' Cutting Layup Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)54
12.7%
61
87.3%
Q3 - 5:28TORDeRozan 5' Driving Hook Shot (13 PTS)52
11.1%
61
88.9%
Q3 - 5:40TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
12.6%
59
87.4%
Q3 - 5:40MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
13.2%
59
86.8%
Q3 - 6:04TORLowry 15' Pullup Jump Shot (13 PTS)52
15.1%
59
84.9%
Q3 - 6:24MIAWade 5' Driving Layup (7 PTS)52
17.0%
57
83.0%
Q3 - 6:47TORCarroll 4' Driving Layup (17 PTS)50
15.1%
57
84.9%
Q3 - 7:09TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q3 - 7:10MIAMISS Deng 25' 3PT Jump Shot50
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 7:18MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)50
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 7:19TORMISS DeRozan 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot50
18.8%
55
81.2%
Q3 - 7:31TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)50
17.1%
55
82.9%
Q3 - 7:32MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
17.8%
55
82.2%
Q3 - 8:00TORCarroll 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS)50
19.7%
55
80.3%
Q3 - 8:11TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)50
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q3 - 8:12MIAMISS Wade 16' Fadeaway Jumper50
25.5%
52
74.5%
Q3 - 8:21MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)50
27.8%
52
72.2%
Q3 - 8:22TORMISS Lowry 6' Turnaround Hook Shot50
26.8%
52
73.2%
Q3 - 8:29TORRAPTORS Rebound50
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q3 - 8:30TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 2 of 250
27.4%
52
72.6%
Q3 - 8:30TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 250
25.3%
52
74.7%
Q3 - 8:53MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (17 PTS)50
24.5%
52
75.5%
Q3 - 9:06MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)47
19.6%
52
80.4%
Q3 - 9:07TORMISS Lowry 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot47
18.9%
52
81.1%
Q3 - 9:27MIAJohnson 16' Step Back Jump Shot (14 PTS)47
17.4%
52
82.6%
Q3 - 9:41TORValanciunas Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)45
15.5%
52
84.5%
Q3 - 9:45TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)45
13.6%
52
86.4%
Q3 - 9:45TORMISS Powell 6' Turnaround Hook Shot45
14.9%
52
85.1%
Q3 - 10:06MIAJohnson 5' Driving Bank Hook Shot (12 PTS)45
13.8%
52
86.2%
Q3 - 10:28TORPowell Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)43
12.3%
52
87.7%
Q3 - 10:28TORPowell Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)43
12.5%
51
87.5%
Q3 - 10:32MIACarroll STEAL (4 STL)43
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q3 - 10:49TORRAPTORS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)43
15.6%
50
84.4%
Q3 - 10:49TORRAPTORS Rebound43
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q3 - 10:49TORMISS Powell 11' Hook Shot43
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q3 - 10:50TORRAPTORS Rebound43
13.8%
50
86.2%
Q3 - 10:50TORMISS Powell 19' Pullup Jump Shot43
15.0%
50
85.0%
Q3 - 11:17MIAJohnson 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot (10 PTS)43
13.9%
50
86.1%
Q3 - 11:37TORDeRozan 16' Step Back Jump Shot (11 PTS)41
12.5%
50
87.5%
Q3 - 11:43TORRAPTORS Rebound41
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q3 - 11:43TORMISS DeRozan 7' Driving Floating Jump Shot41
15.2%
48
84.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA41
13.9%
48
86.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound41
15.8%
48
84.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Johnson 63' 3PT Running Jump Shot41
14.5%
48
85.5%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORCarroll 2' Cutting Layup Shot (12 PTS) (Valanciunas 2 AST)41
15.9%
48
84.1%
Q2 - 0:20.0MIAJohnson 5' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS)41
18.3%
46
81.7%
Q2 - 0:31.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
15.9%
46
84.1%
Q2 - 0:32.0TORMISS Joseph 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot39
15.5%
46
84.5%
Q2 - 0:50.0MIAWade 13' Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)39
14.7%
46
85.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)37
12.7%
46
87.3%
Q2 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot37
12.0%
46
88.0%
Q2 - 1:06MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)37
13.0%
46
87.0%
Q2 - 1:06TORMISS DeRozan 16' Pullup Jump Shot37
12.8%
46
87.2%
Q2 - 1:25MIAJohnson 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS)37
12.3%
46
87.7%
Q2 - 1:45TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)35
10.4%
46
89.6%
Q2 - 1:45TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 235
10.6%
45
89.4%
Q2 - 1:49TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
11.0%
45
89.0%
Q2 - 1:49MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot35
11.2%
45
88.8%
Q2 - 2:00TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (11 PTS)35
11.6%
45
88.4%
Q2 - 2:10MIADeng 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)35
13.6%
43
86.4%
Q2 - 2:34TORDeRozan 9' Driving Floating Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)32
10.9%
43
89.1%
Q2 - 2:49TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)32
12.3%
41
87.7%
Q2 - 2:49MIAMISS Wade 8' Driving Hook Shot32
12.6%
41
87.4%
Q2 - 2:58MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)32
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 2:59TORMISS DeRozan 20' Pullup Jump Shot32
13.1%
41
86.9%
Q2 - 3:04TORRAPTORS Rebound32
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 3:04TORMISS Lowry 2' Driving Layup32
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 3:19TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)32
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 3:19TORMISS Lowry 28' 3PT Jump Shot32
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 3:45TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)32
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 3:45MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot32
12.9%
41
87.1%
Q2 - 3:56MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)32
14.0%
41
86.0%
Q2 - 3:57TORMISS Valanciunas 11' Turnaround Jump Shot32
13.5%
41
86.5%
Q2 - 4:20MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)32
12.7%
41
87.3%
Q2 - 4:20MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 231
12.3%
41
87.7%
Q2 - 4:20MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 4:21MIAMISS Dragic 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot31
11.9%
41
88.1%
Q2 - 4:40MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)31
12.8%
41
87.2%
Q2 - 4:40TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot31
12.4%
41
87.6%
Q2 - 4:47TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)31
11.5%
41
88.5%
Q2 - 4:47MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot31
11.9%
41
88.1%
Q2 - 5:09TORValanciunas 4' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS)31
13.0%
41
87.0%
Q2 - 5:32MIAWade 15' Pullup Jump Shot (3 PTS)31
14.3%
39
85.7%
Q2 - 5:46TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3)29
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 6:05TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Johnson 20' Step Back Jump Shot29
12.4%
39
87.6%
Q2 - 6:31MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)29
13.5%
39
86.5%
Q2 - 6:32TORMISS Ross 15' Pullup Jump Shot29
13.0%
39
87.0%
Q2 - 6:54MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)29
12.0%
39
88.0%
Q2 - 7:10TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)27
11.4%
39
88.6%
Q2 - 7:10TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)27
11.6%
38
88.4%
Q2 - 7:31TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)27
12.4%
37
87.6%
Q2 - 7:32MIAMISS Richardson 4' Driving Hook Shot27
12.8%
37
87.2%
Q2 - 7:47TORRoss 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)27
13.7%
37
86.3%
Q2 - 8:01MIACarroll STEAL (3 STL)27
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 8:05MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
16.5%
35
83.5%
Q2 - 8:05TORMISS Ross 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot27
16.1%
35
83.9%
Q2 - 8:25MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)27
15.1%
35
84.9%
Q2 - 8:25MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)26
14.8%
35
85.2%
Q2 - 8:34MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
13.9%
35
86.1%
Q2 - 8:34TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot25
13.5%
35
86.5%
Q2 - 8:42TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)25
12.6%
35
87.4%
Q2 - 8:43MIAMISS Winslow 17' Jump Shot25
13.0%
35
87.0%
Q2 - 8:53MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
13.8%
35
86.2%
Q2 - 8:54TORMISS Ross 19' Jump Shot25
13.5%
35
86.5%
Q2 - 9:07TORLowry REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 9:08TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot25
13.6%
35
86.4%
Q2 - 9:32MIAJohnson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)25
12.7%
35
87.3%
Q2 - 9:48TORCarroll 1' Driving Layup (10 PTS)23
11.8%
35
88.2%
Q2 - 10:11MIADragic 3' Running Layup (9 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)23
12.9%
33
87.1%
Q2 - 10:15MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
12.0%
33
88.0%
Q2 - 10:16TORMISS Lowry 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot21
11.6%
33
88.4%
Q2 - 10:29MIAWinslow 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)21
10.8%
33
89.2%
Q2 - 10:50TORRoss 11' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)19
10.1%
33
89.9%
Q2 - 11:05TORRAPTORS Rebound19
11.1%
31
88.9%
Q2 - 11:05MIAMISS Johnson 8' Hook Shot19
11.4%
31
88.6%
Q2 - 11:38TORRoss 2' Driving Reverse Layup (4 PTS)19
12.1%
31
87.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA19
13.1%
29
86.9%
Q1 - 0:02.0MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
14.3%
29
85.7%
Q1 - 0:02.0TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot19
14.0%
29
86.0%
Q1 - 0:16.0MIAJohnson 18' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)19
13.4%
29
86.6%
Q1 - 0:32.0TORJoseph 19' Pullup Jump Shot (4 PTS)17
12.1%
29
87.9%
Q1 - 0:49.0MIARoss STEAL (1 STL)17
13.4%
27
86.6%
Q1 - 1:11TORRoss 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Joseph 3 AST)17
14.4%
27
85.6%
Q1 - 1:30TORRAPTORS Rebound17
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 1:31MIAMISS Dragic 23' Running Pull-Up Jump Shot17
16.2%
25
83.8%
Q1 - 1:37TORJoseph Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)17
16.8%
25
83.2%
Q1 - 1:57MIADeRozan STEAL (3 STL)17
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 2:06MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
17.1%
25
82.9%
Q1 - 2:07TORMISS Patterson 3PT Jump Shot17
16.7%
25
83.3%
Q1 - 2:21MIADragic Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T9)17
15.9%
25
84.1%
Q1 - 2:32TORValanciunas 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (DeRozan 1 AST)17
17.0%
25
83.0%
Q1 - 2:45TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)17
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 2:45MIAMISS Stoudemire 17' Jump Shot17
18.9%
23
81.1%
Q1 - 3:01MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
20.0%
23
80.0%
Q1 - 3:02TORMISS Lowry 4' Layup17
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 3:09TORRAPTORS Rebound17
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 3:09TORMISS DeRozan 14' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot17
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 3:19TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)17
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 3:19TORMISS Joseph 6' Turnaround Hook Shot17
19.5%
23
80.5%
Q1 - 3:42MIAWhiteside Tip Dunk Shot (7 PTS)17
18.5%
23
81.5%
Q1 - 3:43MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
17.3%
23
82.7%
Q1 - 3:46MIAMISS Wade 5' Driving Floating Jump Shot15
16.3%
23
83.7%
Q1 - 4:09TORCarroll 27' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Joseph 2 AST)15
17.4%
23
82.6%
Q1 - 4:20MIADeRozan STEAL (2 STL)15
19.8%
20
80.2%
Q1 - 4:39TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)15
21.5%
20
78.5%
Q1 - 4:48MIALowry STEAL (1 STL)15
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 4:49MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)15
26.2%
17
73.8%
Q1 - 4:51MIAMISS Wade 21' Pullup Jump Shot15
24.9%
17
75.1%
Q1 - 5:12MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 5:12TORMISS DeRozan 2' Driving Layup15
25.4%
17
74.6%
Q1 - 5:20MIACarroll STEAL (2 STL)15
24.3%
17
75.7%
Q1 - 5:36TORCarroll 8' Driving Hook Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)15
26.0%
17
74.0%
Q1 - 5:43MIADeRozan STEAL (1 STL)15
27.5%
15
72.5%
Q1 - 5:58TORJoseph 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Valanciunas 1 AST)15
29.3%
15
70.7%
Q1 - 6:13MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)15
30.5%
13
69.5%
Q1 - 6:24TORLowry 2' Running Layup (4 PTS) (Carroll 1 AST)12
27.4%
13
72.6%
Q1 - 6:28MIACarroll STEAL (1 STL)12
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 6:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)12
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 6:36TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot12
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 6:47MIADragic Foul Turnover (P1.T3)12
28.9%
11
71.1%
Q1 - 6:55TORDeRozan 19' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)12
30.7%
11
69.3%
Q1 - 7:04TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)12
31.8%
9
68.2%
Q1 - 7:05MIAMISS Johnson 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
32.4%
9
67.6%
Q1 - 7:27TORCarroll 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)12
33.8%
9
66.2%
Q1 - 7:42TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 7:43TORMISS Lowry 7' Driving Bank Hook Shot12
38.5%
6
61.5%
Q1 - 7:57MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)12
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 7:57MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 1 of 211
36.7%
6
63.3%
Q1 - 8:08MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)11
37.0%
6
63.0%
Q1 - 8:09TORMISS DeRozan 2' Putback Layup11
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 8:12TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)11
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 8:12TORMISS DeRozan 10' Driving Floating Jump Shot11
36.4%
6
63.6%
Q1 - 8:23MIADragic 11' Driving Floating Jump Shot (7 PTS)11
35.1%
6
64.9%
Q1 - 8:35TORDeRozan 8' Driving Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
33.5%
6
66.5%
Q1 - 8:52MIADragic 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (5 PTS)9
35.1%
4
64.9%
Q1 - 9:04TORLowry 12' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)6
31.7%
4
68.3%
Q1 - 9:20MIAWhiteside Dunk (2 PTS)6
33.0%
2
67.0%
Q1 - 9:35TORDeRozan 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)4
31.7%
2
68.3%
Q1 - 9:40MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T2)4
33.0%
0
67.0%
Q1 - 10:09MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 10:10TORMISS Carroll 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot4
34.2%
0
65.8%
Q1 - 10:17TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 10:18TORMISS Carroll 6' Driving Hook Shot4
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 10:27TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 10:27TORMISS DeRozan 11' Jump Shot4
34.3%
0
65.7%
Q1 - 10:42MIAPowell STEAL (1 STL)4
32.9%
0
67.1%
Q1 - 10:47TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)4
34.8%
0
65.2%
Q1 - 11:06MIADragic 12' Fadeaway Jumper (2 PTS)4
32.6%
0
67.4%
Q1 - 11:17MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.0%
0
69.0%
Q1 - 11:17TORMISS Powell 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.6%
0
69.4%
Q1 - 11:40MIADeng 12' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)2
29.6%
0
70.4%
Q1 - 12:00TORJump Ball Valanciunas vs. Whiteside: Tip to Deng0
28.1%
0
71.9%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.3%
TOR
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
25
68%
TOR
14
23
61%
Midrange
MIA
17
40
43%
TOR
21
52
40%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
TOR
4
6.0
18
22%
33%
Free Throws
MIA
9
13
69%
TOR
14
26
54%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
G. Dragic2077%10.0 / 13
J. Johnson1739%8.5 / 22
D. Wade1745%8.5 / 19
H. Whiteside1372%6.5 / 9
L. Deng1267%6.0 / 9
J. Richardson563%2.5 / 4
G. Green467%2.0 / 3
J. Winslow250%1.0 / 2
U. Haslem250%1.0 / 2
A. Stoudemire0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Carroll2166%10.5 / 16
D. DeRozan2036%10.0 / 28
K. Lowry1836%9.0 / 25
J. Valančiūnas1575%7.5 / 10
T. Ross1045%5.0 / 11
C. Joseph850%4.0 / 8
N. Powell220%1.0 / 5
P. Patterson233%1.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
75
+12
-21
87
TOR
87
+21
-9
108
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.05 52.3%
TOR
0.89 44.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
105.0
102.2
MIA 95.8 +4.2
TOR 100.0
Pace
90.2
90.1
MIA 84.1
TOR 89.9 +5.8
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.1
MIA 17.1
TOR 16.0 +1.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
46.3%
MIA 52.5% +8.4%
TOR 44.1%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
MIA 19.9%
TOR 8.7% +11.2%
ORB %
23.0%
25.1%
MIA 25.7%
TOR 26.5% +0.8%
FTrt
26.4
30.1
MIA 16.5
TOR 28.0 +11.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
44.4%
45.8%
MIA 35.9%
TOR 35.9%
STL %
5.9%
8.2%
MIA 6.3%
TOR 15.6% +9.3%
BLK %
9.4%
6.7%
MIA 9.3% +7.8%
TOR 1.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
49.0%
MIA 52.3% +7.9%
TOR 44.4%
Rim FG%
60.8%
57.3%
MIA 68.0% +7.1%
TOR 60.9%
Mid FG%
40.2%
38.1%
MIA 42.5% +2.1%
TOR 40.4%
3P %
35.8%
29.8%
MIA 35.7% +13.5%
TOR 22.2%
FT %
76.5%
73.7%
MIA 69.2% +15.4%
TOR 53.8%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.1%
32.9%
MIA 31.6% +6.9%
TOR 24.7%
Mid Att. %
44.1%
38.9%
MIA 50.6% +5.3%
TOR 55.9%
3P Att. %
23.8%
28.2%
MIA 17.7%
TOR 19.4% +1.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIATOR
Possessions9696
Possession Minutes27.425.6
Points9296
Rebounds4539
Assists1414
Steals615
Blocks71
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)9 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)9 (3)13 (8)
Def. Rebounds (Team)36 (2)26 (3)
Field Goals39-7939-93
At-the-Rim FG17-2514-23
Midrange FG17-4021-52
2-Point FG34-6535-75
3-Point FG5-144-18
Free Throws9-1314-26
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'9" 220 · 31
41.9
12
67%
6
0
2
1
1
1
3
3
0-0
-
3-5
60%
2-4
50%
F · 6'7" 240 · 35
41.2
17
39%
6
4
0
0
0
4
0
6
1-1
100%
8-16
50%
0-6
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 27
39.1
13
72%
12
1
3
3
4
4
4
8
3-5
60%
5-7
71%
0-0
-
G · 6'4" 220 · 34
37.6
17
45%
6
3
0
0
5
0
0
6
2-4
50%
6-16
38%
1-1
100%
G · 6'3" 190 · 30
35.0
20
77%
4
4
0
1
4
5
1
3
2-2
100%
6-10
60%
2-2
100%
F · 6'6" 200 · 23
27.2
5
63%
4
1
0
1
2
3
0
4
1-1
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
G-F · 6'7" 205 · 30
15.9
4
67%
2
0
0
0
0
2
0
2
0-0
-
2-3
67%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 225 · 20
14.4
2
50%
3
1
0
0
2
0
1
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 36
8.7
2
50%
2
0
0
1
2
1
0
2
0-0
-
1-2
50%
0-0
-
F-C · 6'10" 245 · 33
4.0
0
0%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
0-1
0%
0-0
-
· 6'10" 240 · 29
G · 6'3" 186 · 24
F-G · 6'9" 205 · 30
#12 · G · 6'2" 165 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#1 · F · 6'11" 235 · 32
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
92
52%
45
14
6
7
21
0
9
36
9-13
69%
34-65
52%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.