for complete access.
All Games Monday, May 9, 2016
FinalWin Prob.pScore
7
Raptors
47%99
87
17
Heat
53%100
94
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
91.69586.9
MIA logo MIA
100.09484.3

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Scoring Margin

HeatRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q4OT19:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:002:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORMIA
OT1 - 0:00.0MIA87
0%
94
100%
OT1 - 0:13.0TORWinslow STEAL (1 STL)87
0.1%
94
99.9%
OT1 - 0:16.0MIAWade Dunk (30 PTS)87
0.2%
94
99.8%
OT1 - 0:17.0TORWade STEAL (2 STL)87
0.5%
92
99.5%
OT1 - 0:22.0MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)87
2.1%
92
97.9%
OT1 - 0:42.0TORDeRozan 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)87
13.4%
89
86.6%
OT1 - 0:59.0MIAJump Ball Deng vs. Patterson: Tip to Joseph85
9.8%
89
90.2%
OT1 - 0:59.0MIAMISS Wade 2' Finger Roll Layup85
8.1%
89
91.9%
OT1 - 1:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:8)85
7.0%
89
93.0%
OT1 - 1:22MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Jump Shot85
10.7%
89
89.3%
OT1 - 1:44MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)85
9.4%
89
90.6%
OT1 - 1:45TORMISS Carroll 12' Jump Shot85
10.9%
89
89.1%
OT1 - 2:01MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)85
17.5%
89
82.5%
OT1 - 2:01MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)85
18.8%
88
81.2%
OT1 - 2:06MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)85
22.7%
87
77.3%
OT1 - 2:07MIAMISS Dragic 1' Layup85
31.2%
87
68.8%
OT1 - 2:32TORJoseph 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (14 PTS)85
22.8%
87
77.2%
OT1 - 2:55MIAJohnson 8' Fadeaway Jumper (15 PTS)83
19.5%
87
80.5%
OT1 - 3:16TORJohnson STEAL (3 STL)83
24.2%
85
75.8%
OT1 - 3:36MIAWinslow 1' Tip Layup Shot (9 PTS)83
36.6%
85
63.4%
OT1 - 3:37TORPatterson Opposite Basket Turnover (P3.T15)83
44.6%
83
55.4%
OT1 - 3:38TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)83
54.4%
83
45.6%
OT1 - 3:39MIAMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot83
51.4%
83
48.6%
OT1 - 3:52MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)83
44.4%
83
55.6%
OT1 - 3:53TORMISS Patterson 8' Turnaround Hook Shot83
47.5%
83
52.5%
OT1 - 4:00TORRaptors Rebound83
54.5%
83
45.5%
OT1 - 4:01TORJohnson BLOCK (2 BLK)83
47.4%
83
52.6%
OT1 - 4:17TORRaptors Rebound83
54.5%
83
45.5%
OT1 - 4:18MIAMISS Wade 12' Fadeaway Jumper83
51.4%
83
48.6%
OT1 - 4:39TORRaptors Turnover: 5 Second Inbound (T#14)83
44.2%
83
55.8%
OT1 - 4:39TORRaptors Rebound83
54.6%
83
45.4%
OT1 - 4:41TORJohnson BLOCK (1 BLK)83
47.3%
83
52.7%
OT1 - 5:00MIAJump Ball Deng vs. Patterson: Tip to Joseph83
54.6%
83
45.4%
Q4 - 0:12.0MIAWade 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (28 PTS)83
65.2%
83
34.8%
Q4 - 0:19.0MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)83
79.2%
81
20.8%
Q4 - 0:20.0TORMISS Joseph 17' Fadeaway Jumper83
84.6%
81
15.4%
Q4 - 0:43.0TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)83
85.9%
81
14.1%
Q4 - 0:44.0TORMISS DeRozan 20' Jump Shot83
77.5%
81
22.5%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)83
81.8%
81
18.2%
Q4 - 1:08MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)83
83.2%
80
16.8%
Q4 - 1:30TORJoseph 18' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)83
85.6%
79
14.4%
Q4 - 1:43TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10)81
77.7%
79
22.3%
Q4 - 1:44MIAMISS Dragic 13' Jump Bank Shot81
74.6%
79
25.4%
Q4 - 1:58TORLowry Foul Turnover (P4.T13)81
66.8%
79
33.2%
Q4 - 2:15TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)81
78.2%
79
21.8%
Q4 - 2:16MIAMISS Wade 19' Fadeaway Jumper81
74.8%
79
25.2%
Q4 - 2:32TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)81
65.5%
79
34.5%
Q4 - 2:32TORRaptors Rebound81
78.4%
79
21.6%
Q4 - 2:33TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot81
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q4 - 2:34TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)81
78.4%
79
21.6%
Q4 - 2:35TORMISS Ross 4' Driving Layup81
69.8%
79
30.2%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)81
75.5%
79
24.5%
Q4 - 2:56MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)81
76.8%
78
23.2%
Q4 - 3:10TORPatterson 5' Jump Shot (7 PTS)81
80.6%
77
19.4%
Q4 - 3:16TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)79
76.0%
77
24.0%
Q4 - 3:17TORMISS Lowry 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
67.9%
77
32.1%
Q4 - 3:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 1 (26 PTS)79
71.3%
77
28.7%
Q4 - 3:47MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
83.5%
74
16.5%
Q4 - 3:48TORMISS Joseph 13' Fadeaway Jumper79
85.1%
74
14.9%
Q4 - 4:11MIAWade 6' Floating Jump Shot (23 PTS)79
88.6%
74
11.4%
Q4 - 4:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)79
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 4:19MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot79
93.6%
72
6.4%
Q4 - 4:25MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)79
91.7%
72
8.3%
Q4 - 4:26TORMISS Lowry 14' Fadeaway Jumper79
92.6%
72
7.4%
Q4 - 4:49MIADragic Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T12)79
94.4%
72
5.6%
Q4 - 4:59TORLowry 15' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)79
91.8%
72
8.2%
Q4 - 5:19MIARichardson 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Haslem 1 AST)77
85.7%
72
14.3%
Q4 - 5:33MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q4 - 5:34TORMISS Ross 2' Layup77
90.2%
70
9.8%
Q4 - 5:45TORRaptors Rebound77
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 5:46TORMISS Ross 1' Running Layup77
90.2%
70
9.8%
Q4 - 5:48TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)77
92.2%
70
7.8%
Q4 - 5:49MIAMISS Wade 12' Floating Jump Shot77
91.4%
70
8.6%
Q4 - 5:56MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
89.2%
70
10.8%
Q4 - 5:57TORMISS Patterson 6' Fadeaway Jumper77
90.2%
70
9.8%
Q4 - 6:24MIAWade 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot (21 PTS)77
90.4%
70
9.6%
Q4 - 6:40TORRoss 24' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)77
92.5%
68
7.5%
Q4 - 6:56TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)74
87.5%
68
12.5%
Q4 - 6:57MIAMISS Winslow Free Throw 2 of 274
87.0%
68
13.0%
Q4 - 6:57MIAWinslow Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)74
84.9%
68
15.1%
Q4 - 7:11TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)74
85.3%
67
14.7%
Q4 - 7:11TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)73
84.1%
67
15.9%
Q4 - 7:22MIAHaslem Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T11)72
81.9%
67
18.1%
Q4 - 7:42TORRoss 25' 3PT Running Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)72
77.0%
67
23.0%
Q4 - 7:47TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)69
66.4%
67
33.6%
Q4 - 7:48MIAMISS Dragic 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
64.3%
67
35.7%
Q4 - 8:12TORBiyombo 2' Layup (11 PTS) (Lowry 7 AST)69
58.7%
67
41.3%
Q4 - 8:33TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)67
52.3%
67
47.7%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot67
50.4%
67
49.6%
Q4 - 8:40MIADragic REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)67
46.0%
67
54.0%
Q4 - 8:41MIAMISS Dragic 2' Layup67
50.4%
67
49.6%
Q4 - 8:58TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
46.0%
67
54.0%
Q4 - 8:58TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 266
44.8%
67
55.2%
Q4 - 9:11MIAJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (9 PTS)66
46.3%
67
53.7%
Q4 - 9:30TORJoseph 22' Jump Shot (10 PTS)66
58.0%
64
42.0%
Q4 - 9:55MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (12 PTS)64
52.3%
64
47.7%
Q4 - 10:23TORPowell Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T11)64
57.3%
62
42.7%
Q4 - 10:35TORNogueira REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)64
63.1%
62
36.9%
Q4 - 10:36MIAMISS McRoberts 24' 3PT Jump Shot64
61.4%
62
38.6%
Q4 - 10:47TORJohnson STEAL (2 STL)64
57.4%
62
42.6%
Q4 - 10:56TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)64
63.2%
62
36.8%
Q4 - 10:57MIAMISS Dragic 16' Jump Shot64
61.4%
62
38.6%
Q4 - 11:06TORJoseph 12' Fadeaway Jumper (8 PTS)64
56.7%
62
43.3%
Q4 - 11:27MIAMcRoberts 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 4 AST)62
51.5%
62
48.5%
Q4 - 11:46MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)62
56.7%
60
43.3%
Q4 - 11:47TORMISS Ross 16' Jump Shot62
58.4%
60
41.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR62
62.2%
60
37.8%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound62
62.2%
60
37.8%
Q3 - 0:02.0TORMcRoberts BLOCK (2 BLK)62
57.9%
60
42.1%
Q3 - 0:22.0MIAWinslow 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)62
61.3%
60
38.7%
Q3 - 0:44.0TORCarroll 10' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)62
66.1%
58
33.9%
Q3 - 1:09MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 1 (10 PTS)60
60.8%
58
39.2%
Q3 - 1:20MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)60
73.5%
54
26.5%
Q3 - 1:21MIAMISS Winslow 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
76.1%
54
23.9%
Q3 - 1:40TORRoss Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)60
73.5%
54
26.5%
Q3 - 1:40TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)59
72.7%
54
27.3%
Q3 - 1:40TORRoss Free Throw 1 of 3 (6 PTS)58
71.8%
54
28.2%
Q3 - 2:09MIADragic 2' Driving Layup (6 PTS) (McRoberts 1 AST)57
64.2%
54
35.8%
Q3 - 2:30TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)57
68.1%
52
31.9%
Q3 - 2:50TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)54
59.9%
52
40.1%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot54
58.4%
52
41.6%
Q3 - 3:01MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)54
54.8%
52
45.2%
Q3 - 3:02TORMcRoberts BLOCK (1 BLK)54
56.3%
52
43.7%
Q3 - 3:30MIAWade 9' Floating Jump Shot (19 PTS)54
59.5%
52
40.5%
Q3 - 3:54TORCarroll 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Biyombo 1 AST)54
63.4%
50
36.6%
Q3 - 4:03TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
59.0%
50
41.0%
Q3 - 4:05MIAMISS Richardson 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
57.6%
50
42.4%
Q3 - 4:19MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)52
54.2%
50
45.8%
Q3 - 4:20TORMISS Joseph 1' Driving Layup52
55.7%
50
44.3%
Q3 - 4:48MIAJohnson 8' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)52
59.1%
50
40.9%
Q3 - 5:11TORJoseph 17' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)52
61.9%
48
38.1%
Q3 - 5:27MIAHEAT Turnover: Shot Clock (T#10)50
58.3%
48
41.7%
Q3 - 5:27MIAHEAT Rebound50
53.9%
48
46.1%
Q3 - 5:28MIAMISS Johnson 14' Jump Shot50
57.0%
48
43.0%
Q3 - 5:51TORCarroll 2' Running Finger Roll Layup (9 PTS)50
53.9%
48
46.1%
Q3 - 5:55MIAWade Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T9)48
50.2%
48
49.8%
Q3 - 6:09TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)48
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q3 - 6:34TORRaptors Rebound48
50.0%
48
50.0%
Q3 - 6:35MIAMISS Wade 6' Driving Floating Jump Shot48
48.7%
48
51.3%
Q3 - 6:53TORCarroll 9' Jump Bank Shot (7 PTS)48
45.6%
48
54.4%
Q3 - 7:21MIAStoudemire Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P3.T8)46
42.1%
48
57.9%
Q3 - 7:28TORJoseph 9' Turnaround Hook Shot (4 PTS)46
38.0%
48
62.0%
Q3 - 7:43TORRaptors Rebound44
34.9%
48
65.1%
Q3 - 7:44TORMISS Biyombo 7' Jump Shot44
32.2%
48
67.8%
Q3 - 8:05TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9)44
35.3%
48
64.7%
Q3 - 8:06MIAMISS Dragic 16' Step Back Jump Shot44
34.1%
48
65.9%
Q3 - 8:15MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)44
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q3 - 8:16TORMISS DeRozan 25' 3PT Jump Shot44
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q3 - 8:40TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8)44
35.2%
48
64.8%
Q3 - 8:41MIAMISS Johnson 7' Jump Shot44
34.1%
48
65.9%
Q3 - 8:59MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
31.5%
48
68.5%
Q3 - 9:00TORMISS Patterson 26' 3PT Jump Shot44
32.6%
48
67.4%
Q3 - 9:28MIAWade 2' Driving Layup (17 PTS)44
35.3%
48
64.7%
Q3 - 9:43TORCarroll 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Joseph 1 AST)44
38.5%
46
61.5%
Q3 - 9:54TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)42
35.3%
46
64.7%
Q3 - 9:55MIAMISS Stoudemire 2' Layup42
34.2%
46
65.8%
Q3 - 10:06MIAHEAT Rebound42
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q3 - 10:07MIAMISS Johnson 14' Fadeaway Jumper42
34.6%
46
65.4%
Q3 - 10:31TORPatterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)42
32.3%
46
67.7%
Q3 - 10:37MIAStoudemire Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)39
26.6%
46
73.4%
Q3 - 10:56TORDeRozan 14' Jump Shot (7 PTS)39
23.8%
46
76.2%
Q3 - 11:11MIAStoudemire Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)37
22.3%
46
77.7%
Q3 - 11:11MIAStoudemire Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)37
22.8%
45
77.2%
Q3 - 11:11TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw Technical37
24.6%
44
75.4%
Q3 - 11:29TORBiyombo Dunk (9 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)37
24.5%
44
75.5%
Q3 - 11:44TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)35
22.3%
44
77.7%
Q3 - 11:45MIAMISS Deng 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot35
21.5%
44
78.5%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA35
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIAHEAT Rebound35
19.8%
44
80.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORMISS Joseph 45' 3PT Jump Shot35
21.8%
44
78.2%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORJoseph REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 0:02.0MIAMISS Wade 25' 3PT Fadeaway Jumper35
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q2 - 0:24.0MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)35
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 0:25.0TORMISS Biyombo Dunk35
21.7%
44
78.3%
Q2 - 0:26.0TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)35
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 0:28.0TORMISS Carroll 24' 3PT Jump Shot35
21.7%
44
78.3%
Q2 - 0:34.0MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)35
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 0:39.0TORDeng STEAL (2 STL)35
21.2%
44
78.8%
Q2 - 0:51.0TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
22.8%
44
77.2%
Q2 - 0:52.0MIAMISS Dragic 14' Pullup Jump Shot35
22.3%
44
77.7%
Q2 - 1:04MIAHEAT Rebound35
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 1:05TORMISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot35
22.4%
44
77.6%
Q2 - 1:24MIADeng Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)35
23.2%
44
76.8%
Q2 - 1:24MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 1 of 235
23.7%
43
76.3%
Q2 - 1:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)35
24.3%
43
75.7%
Q2 - 1:30TORMISS DeRozan 9' Jump Shot35
24.7%
43
75.3%
Q2 - 1:54MIAWade 16' Jump Shot (15 PTS)35
25.5%
43
74.5%
Q2 - 2:05MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)35
29.1%
41
70.9%
Q2 - 2:06TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot35
29.9%
41
70.1%
Q2 - 2:28MIAJohnson 6' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
31.6%
41
68.4%
Q2 - 2:42MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
34.5%
39
65.5%
Q2 - 2:43TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot35
35.2%
39
64.8%
Q2 - 3:03MIAWade Running Dunk (13 PTS)35
37.8%
39
62.2%
Q2 - 3:07TORWade STEAL (1 STL)35
40.1%
37
59.9%
Q2 - 3:11TORRaptors Rebound35
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q2 - 3:11TORMISS DeRozan 8' Fadeaway Jumper35
41.1%
37
58.9%
Q2 - 3:28MIARichardson Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)35
43.5%
37
56.5%
Q2 - 3:28MIARichardson Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)35
44.3%
36
55.7%
Q2 - 3:29MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)35
45.9%
35
54.1%
Q2 - 3:30TORRichardson BLOCK (1 BLK)35
46.9%
35
53.1%
Q2 - 3:43TORCarroll REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)35
49.4%
35
50.6%
Q2 - 3:44MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup35
48.3%
35
51.7%
Q2 - 4:03TORCarroll 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)35
46.0%
35
54.0%
Q2 - 4:14MIAWade 4' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)32
40.5%
35
59.5%
Q2 - 4:38TORPowell 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)32
43.1%
33
56.9%
Q2 - 4:50MIAWade 13' Turnaround Fadeaway (9 PTS)29
37.8%
33
62.2%
Q2 - 5:11TORDeRozan Foul Turnover (P2.T6)29
40.6%
31
59.4%
Q2 - 5:28MIADeng 2' Layup (6 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)29
43.5%
31
56.5%
Q2 - 5:34MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)29
46.1%
29
53.9%
Q2 - 5:35TORMISS DeRozan 1' Layup29
47.0%
29
53.0%
Q2 - 5:36TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
49.0%
29
51.0%
Q2 - 5:37TORMISS DeRozan 16' Jump Shot29
47.0%
29
53.0%
Q2 - 5:52TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)29
49.0%
29
51.0%
Q2 - 5:53MIAMISS Wade 9' Jump Shot29
48.1%
29
51.9%
Q2 - 6:05TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)29
45.9%
29
54.1%
Q2 - 6:05TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)28
45.5%
29
54.5%
Q2 - 6:11TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)27
44.0%
29
56.0%
Q2 - 6:12MIAMISS Richardson 12' Jump Shot27
43.0%
29
57.0%
Q2 - 6:27TORLowry 2' Jump Shot (5 PTS)27
40.6%
29
59.4%
Q2 - 6:37TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)25
38.7%
29
61.3%
Q2 - 6:38MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot25
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 6:44MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
35.5%
29
64.5%
Q2 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Jump Shot25
37.7%
29
62.3%
Q2 - 7:07TORPowell Running Dunk (2 PTS)25
36.2%
29
63.8%
Q2 - 7:11MIADragic Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T5)23
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 7:16MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 7:17TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot23
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 7:24TORRaptors Rebound23
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 7:25TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
32.2%
29
67.8%
Q2 - 7:31MIAWinslow Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)23
33.9%
29
66.1%
Q2 - 7:47MIAHEAT Rebound23
31.4%
29
68.6%
Q2 - 7:48MIAMISS Johnson 18' Jump Shot23
33.2%
29
66.8%
Q2 - 8:18MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
31.7%
29
68.3%
Q2 - 8:19TORMISS Lowry 17' Jump Shot23
32.4%
29
67.6%
Q2 - 8:35TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)23
34.1%
29
65.9%
Q2 - 8:36MIAMISS Johnson Free Throw 1 of 123
33.8%
29
66.2%
Q2 - 8:56MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)23
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 8:57TORMISS Ross 16' Jump Shot23
37.1%
27
62.9%
Q2 - 9:16TORNogueira REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)23
39.1%
27
60.9%
Q2 - 9:17MIAMISS Johnson 24' 3PT Jump Shot23
38.2%
27
61.8%
Q2 - 9:29MIADragic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 9:30TORMISS Joseph 18' Fadeaway Jumper23
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q2 - 9:44TORNogueira REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)23
39.0%
27
61.0%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup23
38.2%
27
61.8%
Q2 - 9:50MIAWinslow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
36.3%
27
63.7%
Q2 - 9:52TORMISS Patterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot23
37.2%
27
62.8%
Q2 - 10:09TORRoss REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)23
39.2%
27
60.8%
Q2 - 10:10MIAMISS McRoberts 16' Jump Shot23
38.3%
27
61.7%
Q2 - 10:29TORLowry Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T5)23
36.4%
27
63.6%
Q2 - 10:48MIAJohnson 18' Step Back Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
39.2%
27
60.8%
Q2 - 11:15TORRoss 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)23
41.2%
25
58.8%
Q2 - 11:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
38.9%
25
61.1%
Q2 - 11:37MIAMISS Dragic 12' Turnaround Jump Shot21
38.2%
25
61.8%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA21
36.6%
25
63.4%
Q1 - 0:15.0MIAMcRoberts REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
37.1%
25
62.9%
Q1 - 0:16.0TORMISS Joseph 1' Driving Reverse Layup21
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q1 - 0:33.0TORRaptors Rebound21
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q1 - 0:34.0MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot21
38.2%
25
61.8%
Q1 - 0:47.0MIAHEAT Rebound21
37.0%
25
63.0%
Q1 - 0:48.0TORMISS Powell 2' Driving Reverse Layup21
37.5%
25
62.5%
Q1 - 1:00MIADeng 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Dragic 3 AST)21
38.7%
25
61.3%
Q1 - 1:07TORRaptors Turnover: Shot Clock (T#4)21
41.7%
23
58.3%
Q1 - 1:35MIARichardson 1' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Winslow 1 AST)21
43.3%
23
56.7%
Q1 - 1:50TORJoseph 1' Driving Reverse Layup (2 PTS)21
46.2%
21
53.8%
Q1 - 2:09MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P2.T3)19
43.7%
21
56.3%
Q1 - 2:32TORNogueira Cutting Dunk Shot (2 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)19
41.7%
21
58.3%
Q1 - 2:54MIAWinslow 2' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)17
39.2%
21
60.8%
Q1 - 3:04MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 3:05TORMISS Ross 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 3:16TORNogueira REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)17
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 3:17MIAMISS Richardson 18' Jump Shot17
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:25MIARichardson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 3:26TORMISS DeRozan 7' Jump Shot17
42.3%
19
57.7%
Q1 - 3:42TORNogueira REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
44.0%
19
56.0%
Q1 - 3:43MIAMISS McRoberts 9' Hook Shot17
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 3:55MIAHEAT Rebound17
41.6%
19
58.4%
Q1 - 3:56MIAMISS Wade 17' Jump Shot17
43.2%
19
56.8%
Q1 - 4:15TORDeRozan Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)17
41.5%
19
58.5%
Q1 - 4:15TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 216
41.2%
19
58.8%
Q1 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)16
41.9%
19
58.1%
Q1 - 4:28MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)16
42.3%
18
57.7%
Q1 - 4:35TORLowry Free Throw 3 of 3 (3 PTS)16
43.7%
17
56.3%
Q1 - 4:35TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 3 (2 PTS)15
43.3%
17
56.7%
Q1 - 4:35TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 3 (1 PTS)14
42.8%
17
57.2%
Q1 - 4:44MIAWinslow 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Richardson 1 AST)13
39.8%
17
60.2%
Q1 - 4:58TORDeng STEAL (1 STL)13
41.5%
15
58.5%
Q1 - 5:17MIAStoudemire 2' Finger Roll Layup (4 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)13
43.9%
15
56.1%
Q1 - 5:29TORBiyombo Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)13
45.8%
13
54.2%
Q1 - 5:29TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)12
45.1%
13
54.9%
Q1 - 5:29TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)11
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 5:30TORMISS DeRozan 4' Jump Bank Shot11
42.4%
13
57.6%
Q1 - 5:46MIAWade Out of Bounds - Bad Pass Turnover Turnover (P1.T2)11
43.9%
13
56.1%
Q1 - 6:00TORPatterson 8' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)11
41.7%
13
58.3%
Q1 - 6:26MIADragic 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS) (Johnson 2 AST)9
40.0%
13
60.0%
Q1 - 6:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)9
41.8%
11
58.2%
Q1 - 6:33TORMISS Carroll 12' Jump Shot9
42.4%
11
57.6%
Q1 - 6:56MIADragic Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)9
43.9%
11
56.1%
Q1 - 6:56MIADragic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)9
44.3%
10
55.7%
Q1 - 6:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)9
45.7%
9
54.3%
Q1 - 7:00TORMISS Lowry 9' Jump Shot9
46.4%
9
53.6%
Q1 - 7:21TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)9
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 7:22MIAMISS Dragic 19' Jump Shot9
47.2%
9
52.8%
Q1 - 7:32TORJohnson STEAL (1 STL)9
45.6%
9
54.4%
Q1 - 7:44MIAWade 9' Driving Bank Shot (5 PTS) (Dragic 2 AST)9
47.9%
9
52.1%
Q1 - 7:56MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)9
49.4%
7
50.6%
Q1 - 7:57TORMISS DeRozan 14' Jump Shot9
50.1%
7
49.9%
Q1 - 8:07TORRaptors Rebound9
51.8%
7
48.2%
Q1 - 8:08MIAMISS Johnson 16' Jump Shot9
51.2%
7
48.8%
Q1 - 8:23TORDeRozan 15' Jump Shot (4 PTS)9
49.7%
7
50.3%
Q1 - 8:41MIAStoudemire Traveling Turnover (P1.T1)7
48.0%
7
52.0%
Q1 - 8:55TORBiyombo Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)7
45.8%
7
54.2%
Q1 - 9:05MIADeng 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)4
42.4%
7
57.6%
Q1 - 9:18MIAJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
43.9%
5
56.1%
Q1 - 9:19TORMISS DeRozan Free Throw 1 of 14
44.2%
5
55.8%
Q1 - 9:35TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)2
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 9:35TORMISS Carroll 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup2
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 9:41TORBiyombo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 9:42MIAMISS Dragic 2' Driving Reverse Layup2
41.7%
5
58.3%
Q1 - 9:57MIAStoudemire REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
40.2%
5
59.8%
Q1 - 9:58TORMISS Lowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
40.9%
5
59.1%
Q1 - 10:15MIAWade 1' Running Dunk (3 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)2
42.4%
5
57.6%
Q1 - 10:19TORStoudemire STEAL (1 STL)2
43.9%
3
56.1%
Q1 - 10:40TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)2
46.0%
3
54.0%
Q1 - 10:41MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
45.4%
3
54.6%
Q1 - 11:03TORBiyombo Dunk (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)2
44.1%
3
55.9%
Q1 - 11:12MIAStoudemire 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Dragic 1 AST)0
42.2%
3
57.8%
Q1 - 11:21MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)0
44.1%
1
55.9%
Q1 - 11:22TORMISS Carroll 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
44.6%
1
55.4%
Q1 - 11:38TORDeRozan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.7%
1
54.3%
Q1 - 11:39MIAMISS Wade Free Throw 2 of 20
45.5%
1
54.5%
Q1 - 11:39MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)0
44.3%
1
55.7%
Q1 - 11:46MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
45.9%
0
54.1%
Q1 - 11:47TORMISS DeRozan 18' Jump Shot0
46.4%
0
53.6%
Q1 - 12:00MIAJump Ball Stoudemire vs. Biyombo: Tip to Patterson0
47.5%
0
52.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
13
27
48%
MIA
21
28
75%
Midrange
TOR
14
37
38%
MIA
14
37
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
6
9.0
20
30%
45%
MIA
1
1.5
15
7%
10%
Free Throws
TOR
15
19
79%
MIA
21
25
84%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Joseph1441%7.0 / 17
T. Ross1464%7.0 / 11
D. Carroll1359%6.5 / 11
B. Biyombo1381%6.5 / 8
K. Lowry1036%5.0 / 14
D. DeRozan925%4.5 / 18
P. Patterson744%3.5 / 8
N. Powell583%2.5 / 3
L. Nogueira2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade3058%15.0 / 26
G. Dragic1544%7.5 / 17
J. Johnson1550%7.5 / 15
L. Deng950%4.5 / 9
J. Winslow975%4.5 / 6
A. Stoudemire675%3.0 / 4
J. Richardson643%3.0 / 7
J. McRoberts225%1.0 / 4
T. Johnson250%1.0 / 2
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
81
+16
-14
97
MIA
83
+10
-11
93
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
0.90 44.8%
MIA
1.00 50.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
102.2
105.0
TOR 91.6 +8.4
MIA 100.0
Pace
90.1
90.2
TOR 86.9 +2.6
MIA 84.3
Avg. Poss. Time
16.1
16.3
TOR 16.6 +0.5
MIA 17.1
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
46.3%
50.0%
TOR 42.9%
MIA 45.6% +2.7%
TO %
13.2%
13.2%
TOR 16.3%
MIA 11.7% +4.6%
ORB %
25.1%
23.0%
TOR 17.5% +1.7%
MIA 15.8%
FTrt
30.1
26.4
TOR 22.6
MIA 31.3 +8.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
45.8%
44.4%
TOR 36.4%
MIA 41.7% +5.3%
STL %
8.2%
5.9%
TOR 7.4%
MIA 9.6% +2.2%
BLK %
6.7%
9.4%
TOR 3.1%
MIA 7.8% +4.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Playoff Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
49.0%
51.9%
TOR 44.8%
MIA 50.0% +5.2%
Rim FG%
57.3%
60.8%
TOR 48.1%
MIA 75.0% +26.9%
Mid FG%
38.1%
40.2%
TOR 37.8%
MIA 37.8%
3P %
29.8%
35.8%
TOR 30.0% +23.3%
MIA 6.7%
FT %
73.7%
76.5%
TOR 78.9%
MIA 84.0% +5.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
32.9%
32.1%
TOR 32.1%
MIA 35.0% +2.9%
Mid Att. %
38.9%
44.1%
TOR 44.0% +2.2%
MIA 46.3%
3P Att. %
28.2%
23.8%
TOR 23.8% +5.1%
MIA 18.8%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORMIA
Possessions9594
Possession Minutes26.226.8
Points8794
Rebounds3939
Assists1215
Steals79
Blocks25
Turnovers (Team)14 (4)11 (1)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)7 (9)6 (4)
Def. Rebounds (Team)32 (5)33 (3)
Field Goals33-8436-80
At-the-Rim FG13-2721-28
Midrange FG14-3714-37
2-Point FG27-6435-65
3-Point FG6-201-15
Free Throws15-1921-25
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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7 Toronto Raptors
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
Patrick Patterson
F · 6'9" 230 · 27
40.9
7
44%
4
0
0
0
3
1
2
2
0-0
-
2-4
50%
1-4
25%
DeMarre Carroll
F · 6'8" 215 · 30
37.6
13
59%
3
0
1
0
0
4
0
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
1-3
33%
DeMar DeRozan
G · 6'6" 220 · 27
33.6
9
25%
3
0
0
0
3
2
1
2
1-4
25%
4-16
25%
0-1
0%
Kyle Lowry
G · 6'0" 196 · 30
32.4
10
36%
7
9
4
0
4
6
0
7
6-7
86%
2-5
40%
0-6
0%
Bismack Biyombo
C · 6'9" 255 · 24
31.3
13
81%
13
1
1
2
1
2
3
10
5-5
100%
4-6
67%
0-0
-
Cory Joseph
G · 6'2" 200 · 25
36.5
14
41%
1
1
0
0
0
2
0
1
0-0
-
7-16
44%
0-1
0%
Terrence Ross
G-F · 6'7" 206 · 25
27.5
14
64%
3
1
0
0
2
3
1
2
3-3
100%
1-6
17%
3-4
75%
Lucas Nogueira
C · 7'0" 220 · 24
13.4
2
100%
5
0
0
0
0
2
0
5
0-0
-
1-1
100%
0-0
-
Norman Powell
G · 6'4" 215 · 23
11.8
5
83%
0
0
1
0
1
1
0
0
0-0
-
1-2
50%
1-1
100%
Luis Scola
F · 6'9" 241 · 36
James Johnson
F · 6'8" 240 · 29
Delon Wright
G · 6'5" 190 · 24
Jason Thompson
F-C · 6'11" 250 · 30
Bruno Caboclo
#20 · F · 6'9" 205 · 21
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
Jonas Valanciunas
#17 · C · 6'11" 265 · 24
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
265
87
45%
39
12
7
2
14
0
7
32
15-19
79%
27-64
42%
6-20
30%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.