Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Tuesday, January 6, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 21 | Pistons | 25% | 97 | 105 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 22 | Bucks | 43% | 103 | 96 |
Monday, January 5, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 5 | Mavericks | 56% | 104 | 96 |
 | 16 | Nets | 44% | 102 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Hornets | 41% | 99 | 104 |
 | 22 | Celtics | 59% | 103 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 9 | Bulls | 58% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 28 | Knicks | 19% | 90 | 83 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 29 | Timberwolves | 36% | 104 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 13 | Pelicans | 56% | 102 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 25 | Lakers | 19% | 100 | 94 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 38% | 100 | 91 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Sunday, January 4, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 53% | 103 | 87 |
| 25 | Lakers | 47% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 6 | Raptors | 49% | 107 | 109 |
| 11 | Suns | 51% | 108 | 125 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 57% | 100 | 95 |
| 28 | Knicks | 43% | 98 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Nets | 46% | 97 | 84 |
 | 15 | Heat | 54% | 98 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 21 | Pistons | 55% | 104 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Mavericks | 59% | 108 | 109 |
| 20 | Cavaliers | 41% | 105 | 90 |
Saturday, January 3, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Jazz | 53% | 104 | 101 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 47% | 103 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Hornets | 44% | 95 | 98 |
 | 26 | Magic | 56% | 97 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Celtics | 29% | 100 | 104 |
| 12 | Bulls | 71% | 107 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Heat | 39% | 95 | 79 |
| 9 | Rockets | 61% | 99 | 115 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 28% | 93 | 92 |
| 4 | Spurs | 72% | 101 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 53% | 102 | 85 |
| 22 | Nuggets | 47% | 101 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Hawks | 38% | 99 | 115 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 62% | 103 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 8% | 92 | 91 |
| 1 | Clippers | 92% | 111 | 127 |
Friday, January 2, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 33% | 95 | 102 |
| 3 | Thunder | 67% | 101 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Cavaliers | 51% | 101 | 91 |
| 28 | Hornets | 49% | 100 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Nets | 53% | 99 | 100 |
| 26 | Magic | 47% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Mavericks | 58% | 109 | 119 |
| 18 | Celtics | 42% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Pistons | 49% | 101 | 97 |
| 25 | Knicks | 51% | 102 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 52% | 103 | 83 |
| 13 | Pelicans | 48% | 102 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 51% | 99 | 94 |
| 23 | Bucks | 49% | 98 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 16% | 94 | 96 |
| 8 | Suns | 84% | 108 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Hawks | 62% | 101 | 98 |
| 24 | Jazz | 38% | 97 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 40% | 103 | 105 |
| 4 | Warriors | 60% | 107 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 64% | 104 | 109 |
| 27 | Lakers | 36% | 99 | 106 |
Thursday, January 1, 2015
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Kings | 59% | 107 | 110 |
| 29 | Timberwolves | 41% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nuggets | 27% | 99 | 101 |
| 8 | Bulls | 73% | 107 | 106 |
Wednesday, December 31, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 48% | 105 | 84 |
| 20 | Celtics | 52% | 106 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Heat | 47% | 95 | 95 |
| 17 | Pacers | 53% | 96 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Knicks | 15% | 98 | 78 |
| 1 | Clippers | 85% | 112 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 23% | 94 | 83 |
| 5 | Rockets | 77% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Bucks | 44% | 102 | 96 |
| 19 | Cavaliers | 56% | 104 | 80 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Suns | 31% | 99 | 134 |
| 2 | Thunder | 69% | 106 | 137 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Pelicans | 31% | 99 | 93 |
| 4 | Spurs | 69% | 105 | 95 |
Tuesday, December 30, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 11% | 91 | 86 |
| 2 | Warriors | 89% | 107 | 126 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 49% | 103 | 97 |
| 12 | Trail Blazers | 51% | 104 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 34% | 100 | 94 |
| 22 | Jazz | 66% | 106 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Lakers | 37% | 105 | 111 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 63% | 110 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 33% | 100 | 87 |
| 8 | Mavericks | 67% | 106 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 48% | 105 | 106 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 52% | 106 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Spurs | 51% | 98 | 87 |
| 11 | Grizzlies | 49% | 97 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Nets | 24% | 96 | 96 |
| 5 | Bulls | 76% | 106 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Cavaliers | 33% | 99 | 101 |
| 9 | Hawks | 67% | 105 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Pistons | 49% | 100 | 109 |
| 25 | Magic | 51% | 101 | 86 |
Monday, December 29, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Kings | 46% | 101 | 99 |
| 19 | Nets | 54% | 102 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Bucks | 46% | 98 | 104 |
| 23 | Hornets | 54% | 100 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Bulls | 59% | 100 | 92 |
| 17 | Pacers | 41% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Magic | 35% | 93 | 102 |
| 14 | Heat | 65% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Wizards | 34% | 95 | 104 |
| 5 | Rockets | 66% | 101 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Jazz | 19% | 98 | 97 |
| 1 | Clippers | 81% | 110 | 101 |
Sunday, December 28, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Suns | 66% | 110 | 116 |
| 28 | Lakers | 34% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Raptors | 57% | 108 | 116 |
| 21 | Nuggets | 43% | 105 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Knicks | 27% | 97 | 79 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 73% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 42% | 102 | 107 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 58% | 105 | 112 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Rockets | 42% | 98 | 106 |
| 3 | Spurs | 58% | 100 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 24% | 100 | 103 |
| 7 | Cavaliers | 76% | 109 | 80 |
Saturday, December 27, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Knicks | 39% | 99 | 129 |
| 16 | Kings | 61% | 103 | 135 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Raptors | 31% | 104 | 110 |
| 1 | Clippers | 69% | 110 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Magic | 42% | 95 | 102 |
| 25 | Hornets | 58% | 98 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Celtics | 30% | 98 | 88 |
| 13 | Wizards | 70% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 49% | 95 | 103 |
| 17 | Heat | 51% | 96 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Pelicans | 27% | 99 | 100 |
| 3 | Bulls | 73% | 107 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 60% | 102 | 90 |
| 23 | Bucks | 40% | 99 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | 76ers | 28% | 93 | 71 |
| 22 | Jazz | 72% | 101 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Timberwolves | 8% | 96 | 97 |
| 2 | Warriors | 92% | 115 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Pacers | 43% | 95 | 110 |
| 18 | Nets | 57% | 98 | 85 |
Friday, December 26, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spurs | 47% | 101 | 90 |
| 14 | Pelicans | 53% | 102 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Nets | 45% | 103 | 109 |
| 19 | Celtics | 55% | 104 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cavaliers | 60% | 102 | 98 |
| 24 | Magic | 40% | 99 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Bucks | 27% | 96 | 107 |
| 9 | Hawks | 73% | 105 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 53% | 99 | 109 |
| 27 | Pistons | 47% | 98 | 119 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Rockets | 48% | 96 | 117 |
| 12 | Grizzlies | 52% | 97 | 111 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 33% | 94 | 75 |
| 11 | Thunder | 67% | 100 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 16% | 101 | 98 |
| 3 | Mavericks | 84% | 115 | 102 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Timberwolves | 27% | 102 | 102 |
| 20 | Nuggets | 73% | 111 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | 76ers | 22% | 93 | 93 |
| 15 | Trail Blazers | 78% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Suns | 59% | 106 | 115 |
| 21 | Kings | 41% | 103 | 106 |
Thursday, December 25, 2014
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Wizards | 60% | 100 | 102 |
| 26 | Knicks | 40% | 96 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Warriors | 37% | 105 | 86 |
| 1 | Clippers | 63% | 110 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Lakers | 19% | 98 | 93 |
| 5 | Bulls | 81% | 110 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Cavaliers | 63% | 102 | 91 |
| 19 | Heat | 37% | 98 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Thunder | 41% | 96 | 114 |
| 9 | Spurs | 59% | 99 | 106 |