FinalWin Prob.pScore
1447%95
95
1753%96
106
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
113.18484.9
IND logo IND
121.88786.0

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

PacersHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAIND
Q4 - 0:00.0IND95
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:03.0INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7)95
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:05.0MIAMISS Chalmers 26' 3PT Jump Shot95
0%
106
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:12.0INDMISS G. Hill 13' Jump Shot95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:35.0MIAMISS Deng 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:42.0MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:43.0INDMISS Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 0:59.0MIAWade 19' Jump Shot (20 PTS)95
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07INDG. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)93
0.1%
106
99.9%
Q4 - 1:07INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)93
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 1:22MIAWade 12' Running Jump Shot (18 PTS)93
0.2%
104
99.8%
Q4 - 1:29INDMiles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (25 PTS) (West 4 AST)91
0.1%
104
99.9%
Q4 - 1:49INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)91
0.6%
101
99.4%
Q4 - 1:52MIAWest BLOCK (1 BLK)91
0.7%
101
99.3%
Q4 - 2:13INDG. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS)91
1.4%
101
98.6%
Q4 - 2:39MIABosh 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Wade 7 AST)91
2.7%
98
97.3%
Q4 - 3:01INDG. Hill 29' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Miles 4 AST)88
1.8%
98
98.2%
Q4 - 3:21INDPACERS Rebound88
3.6%
95
96.4%
Q4 - 3:22MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot88
4.2%
95
95.8%
Q4 - 3:37MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8)88
8.6%
95
91.4%
Q4 - 3:37INDMISS Miles Free Throw 2 of 288
8.2%
95
91.8%
Q4 - 3:37INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (22 PTS)88
6.5%
95
93.5%
Q4 - 3:50MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 1 (15 PTS)88
8.1%
94
91.9%
Q4 - 4:02INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)85
4.1%
94
95.9%
Q4 - 4:02INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)85
4.4%
93
95.6%
Q4 - 4:02INDPACERS Rebound85
5.6%
92
94.4%
Q4 - 4:02INDMISS Miles 21' Jump Shot85
7.3%
92
92.7%
Q4 - 4:31MIABosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (Chalmers 6 AST)85
5.4%
92
94.6%
Q4 - 4:41INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)82
2.7%
92
97.3%
Q4 - 4:41INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)82
2.9%
91
97.1%
Q4 - 4:56MIADeng 8' Jump Shot (12 PTS)82
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 5:08MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
4.1%
90
95.9%
Q4 - 5:10INDMISS Allen 21' Jump Shot80
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 5:31INDWatson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)80
2.9%
90
97.1%
Q4 - 5:33INDMISS G. Hill 26' 3PT Jump Shot80
3.7%
90
96.3%
Q4 - 5:54MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)80
2.8%
90
97.2%
Q4 - 6:13INDAllen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)77
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 6:13INDAllen 1' Tip Shot (4 PTS)77
2.3%
90
97.7%
Q4 - 6:14INDMISS Scola 2' Layup77
3.7%
88
96.3%
Q4 - 6:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
2.9%
88
97.1%
Q4 - 6:26MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 276
2.8%
88
97.2%
Q4 - 6:40INDScola Dunk (5 PTS) (Miles 3 AST)76
3.0%
88
97.0%
Q4 - 6:43INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)76
3.9%
86
96.1%
Q4 - 6:44MIAWade REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)76
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 6:44MIAMISS Wade 1' Tip Shot76
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 6:45MIAMISS Wade 5' Jump Shot76
4.3%
86
95.7%
Q4 - 6:50MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)76
5.4%
86
94.6%
Q4 - 6:54INDMISS Miles 27' 3PT Jump Shot76
4.8%
86
95.2%
Q4 - 7:15MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (16 PTS)76
5.0%
86
95.0%
Q4 - 7:27INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)74
4.0%
86
96.0%
Q4 - 7:27INDMISS Miles Free Throw 1 of 274
4.1%
85
95.9%
Q4 - 7:47INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)74
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 7:47MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)74
5.1%
85
94.9%
Q4 - 7:47MIAMISS Whiteside 1' Tip Shot74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 7:49MIAMISS Chalmers 1' Layup74
4.2%
85
95.8%
Q4 - 8:06INDCopeland Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T12)74
6.3%
85
93.7%
Q4 - 8:19INDPACERS Rebound74
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 8:19INDMISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot74
5.8%
85
94.2%
Q4 - 8:35MIAHeat Turnover: Shot Clock (T#12)74
4.9%
85
95.1%
Q4 - 8:35MIAHeat Rebound74
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 8:35MIAWatson BLOCK (1 BLK)74
5.3%
85
94.7%
Q4 - 9:00MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)74
6.2%
85
93.8%
Q4 - 9:02INDMISS Scola 10' Jump Shot74
7.1%
85
92.9%
Q4 - 9:18MIACole Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)74
6.0%
85
94.0%
Q4 - 9:18MIACole Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)73
5.7%
85
94.3%
Q4 - 9:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)72
4.8%
85
95.2%
Q4 - 9:27INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 9:31INDScola REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)72
3.8%
85
96.2%
Q4 - 9:32INDMISS Copeland 26' 3PT Jump Shot72
4.4%
85
95.6%
Q4 - 9:52MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T11)72
3.7%
85
96.3%
Q4 - 10:01INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (20 PTS)72
5.6%
85
94.4%
Q4 - 10:01INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (19 PTS)72
5.8%
84
94.2%
Q4 - 10:06INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)72
6.9%
83
93.1%
Q4 - 10:07MIAMISS Wade 13' Jump Shot72
7.3%
83
92.7%
Q4 - 10:25INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)72
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 10:25INDCopeland 1' Tip Shot (7 PTS)72
8.4%
83
91.6%
Q4 - 10:27INDMISS Copeland Layup72
11.9%
81
88.1%
Q4 - 10:41INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)72
10.3%
81
89.7%
Q4 - 10:43MIAMISS Granger 19' Jump Shot72
10.9%
81
89.1%
Q4 - 10:53INDWatson Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)72
12.6%
81
87.4%
Q4 - 11:04MIAGranger 11' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)72
11.2%
81
88.8%
Q4 - 11:32INDWatson 26' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS)70
9.3%
81
90.7%
Q4 - 11:38INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q4 - 11:39MIAMISS Wade 1' Layup70
14.2%
78
85.8%
Q4 - 11:43MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q4 - 11:44INDMISS Miles 7' Jump Shot70
15.3%
78
84.7%
Q3 - 0:00.0MIA70
13.4%
78
86.6%
Q3 - 0:00.0INDWest 26' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Miles 2 AST)70
16.2%
78
83.8%
Q3 - 0:07.0INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
23.9%
75
76.1%
Q3 - 0:08.0MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
25.0%
75
75.0%
Q3 - 0:33.0INDWest 18' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Watson 4 AST)70
27.7%
75
72.3%
Q3 - 0:43.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)70
32.0%
73
68.0%
Q3 - 0:44.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Jump Shot70
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q3 - 0:50.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
36.5%
73
63.5%
Q3 - 0:51.0INDMISS Miles Alley Oop Dunk70
35.1%
73
64.9%
Q3 - 0:57.0INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)70
31.9%
73
68.1%
Q3 - 0:58.0MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Jump Shot70
33.3%
73
66.7%
Q3 - 1:09INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)70
37.1%
73
62.9%
Q3 - 1:09INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)70
38.0%
72
62.0%
Q3 - 1:09INDWatson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)70
41.6%
71
58.4%
Q3 - 1:11MIAMiles BLOCK (1 BLK)70
43.1%
71
56.9%
Q3 - 1:29INDWatson Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)70
46.5%
71
53.5%
Q3 - 1:29INDWatson Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)70
47.5%
70
52.5%
Q3 - 1:32INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
51.3%
69
48.7%
Q3 - 1:33MIAMISS Cole 21' Jump Shot70
52.8%
69
47.2%
Q3 - 1:54INDMiles 28' 3PT Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Watson 3 AST)70
56.2%
69
43.8%
Q3 - 2:09MIAGranger 17' Turnaround Jump Shot (9 PTS)70
64.1%
66
35.9%
Q3 - 2:26MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)68
60.0%
66
40.0%
Q3 - 2:28INDMISS Hibbert 1' Layup68
58.6%
66
41.4%
Q3 - 2:29INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)68
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q3 - 2:31INDMISS S. Hill 1' Layup68
58.6%
66
41.4%
Q3 - 2:50INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
55.3%
66
44.7%
Q3 - 2:51MIAMISS Deng 26' 3PT Jump Shot68
56.8%
66
43.2%
Q3 - 3:14INDS. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)68
59.6%
66
40.4%
Q3 - 3:14INDS. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)68
60.4%
65
39.6%
Q3 - 3:23INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)68
63.5%
64
36.5%
Q3 - 3:24MIAMISS Bosh 27' 3PT Jump Shot68
64.8%
64
35.2%
Q3 - 3:49INDMiles 28' 3PT Jump Shot (15 PTS) (S. Hill 3 AST)68
67.8%
64
32.2%
Q3 - 4:10INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)68
73.5%
61
26.5%
Q3 - 4:10MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 268
74.0%
61
26.0%
Q3 - 4:10MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)68
76.1%
61
23.9%
Q3 - 4:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)67
74.2%
61
25.8%
Q3 - 4:21MIAMISS Bosh 16' Jump Shot67
71.4%
61
28.6%
Q3 - 4:49INDG. Hill 1' Layup (12 PTS)67
74.3%
61
25.7%
Q3 - 4:52INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)67
76.8%
59
23.2%
Q3 - 4:53INDMISS S. Hill 3' Jump Shot67
79.2%
59
20.8%
Q3 - 5:12MIADeng 11' Running Jump Shot (9 PTS)67
75.8%
59
24.2%
Q3 - 5:31INDS. Hill 3' Layup (2 PTS) (Hibbert 3 AST)65
73.2%
59
26.8%
Q3 - 5:58MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Deng 3 AST)65
75.9%
57
24.1%
Q3 - 6:24INDStuckey 15' Fadeaway Jumper (6 PTS)63
72.3%
57
27.7%
Q3 - 6:41MIAChalmers 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 6 AST)63
75.0%
55
25.0%
Q3 - 6:59MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
69.1%
55
30.9%
Q3 - 7:00INDMISS G. Hill 19' Jump Shot60
67.9%
55
32.1%
Q3 - 7:21MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)60
64.4%
55
35.6%
Q3 - 7:21MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)59
63.3%
55
36.7%
Q3 - 7:41INDStuckey 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (G. Hill 1 AST)58
61.2%
55
38.8%
Q3 - 7:54INDS. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
64.4%
53
35.6%
Q3 - 7:56MIAMISS Andersen 18' Jump Shot58
65.6%
53
34.4%
Q3 - 8:15INDWest Foul Turnover (P2.T10)58
67.7%
53
32.3%
Q3 - 8:20INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)58
63.8%
53
36.2%
Q3 - 8:20MIAMISS Wade 7' Jump Shot58
65.0%
53
35.0%
Q3 - 8:29MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)58
67.8%
53
32.2%
Q3 - 8:31INDMISS G. Hill 12' Jump Shot58
66.6%
53
33.4%
Q3 - 8:54MIABosh 19' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Wade 5 AST)58
63.8%
53
36.2%
Q3 - 9:10INDHibbert 10' Running Hook Shot (10 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST)56
60.0%
53
40.0%
Q3 - 9:27MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T10)56
63.3%
51
36.7%
Q3 - 9:40INDG. Hill 3' Layup (10 PTS) (Hibbert 2 AST)56
66.8%
51
33.2%
Q3 - 9:51INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)56
69.8%
49
30.2%
Q3 - 9:51MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot56
70.8%
49
29.2%
Q3 - 10:08INDWest Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)56
72.3%
49
27.7%
Q3 - 10:21MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)56
77.6%
46
22.4%
Q3 - 10:21MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 255
76.9%
46
23.1%
Q3 - 10:39INDStuckey 16' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (West 3 AST)55
77.6%
46
22.4%
Q3 - 10:55MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 4 AST)55
80.0%
44
20.0%
Q3 - 11:20INDHibbert 11' Turnaround Jump Shot (8 PTS)53
76.9%
44
23.1%
Q3 - 11:45MIAWade 21' Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Deng 2 AST)53
79.2%
42
20.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0IND51
77.0%
42
23.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIABosh 5' Layup (7 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)51
74.4%
42
25.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#9)49
70.4%
42
29.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDPACERS Rebound49
68.4%
42
31.6%
Q2 - 0:06.0INDMISS Allen 1' Tip Shot49
69.8%
42
30.2%
Q2 - 0:07.0INDPACERS Rebound49
68.4%
42
31.6%
Q2 - 0:07.0INDMISS G. Hill 6' Jump Shot49
69.8%
42
30.2%
Q2 - 0:30.0MIAWhiteside Dunk (6 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)49
68.5%
42
31.5%
Q2 - 0:45.0INDG. Hill Free Throw Technical (8 PTS)47
64.8%
42
35.2%
Q2 - 0:46.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)47
67.7%
41
32.3%
Q2 - 0:47.0MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot47
66.2%
41
33.8%
Q2 - 0:54.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)47
67.8%
41
32.2%
Q2 - 0:55.0INDMISS West 2' Layup47
67.1%
41
32.9%
Q2 - 1:17MIAWest STEAL (1 STL)47
65.4%
41
34.6%
Q2 - 1:32INDHibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS)47
67.0%
41
33.0%
Q2 - 1:32INDHibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS)47
67.6%
40
32.4%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)47
71.0%
39
29.0%
Q2 - 1:51MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)46
70.3%
39
29.7%
Q2 - 2:02MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)45
67.0%
39
33.0%
Q2 - 2:03INDMISS G. Hill 22' Jump Shot45
66.1%
39
33.9%
Q2 - 2:18INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)45
64.3%
39
35.7%
Q2 - 2:19MIAMISS Wade 2' Layup45
65.1%
39
34.9%
Q2 - 2:39INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (4 PTS) (West 2 AST)45
67.0%
39
33.0%
Q2 - 2:59MIAWade 2' Layup (10 PTS)45
69.8%
37
30.2%
Q2 - 3:21INDMiles 16' Jump Bank Shot (12 PTS) (S. Hill 2 AST)43
66.6%
37
33.4%
Q2 - 3:24INDPACERS Rebound43
68.8%
35
31.2%
Q2 - 3:24INDMISS Hibbert Layup43
70.9%
35
29.1%
Q2 - 3:40MIABosh 15' Jump Shot (5 PTS)43
68.9%
35
31.1%
Q2 - 4:03INDMiles 27' 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST)41
65.6%
35
34.4%
Q2 - 4:21MIAWhiteside Putback Dunk (4 PTS)41
70.5%
32
29.5%
Q2 - 4:23MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)39
68.2%
32
31.8%
Q2 - 4:24MIAMISS Bosh 24' 3PT Jump Shot39
66.4%
32
33.6%
Q2 - 4:41MIADeng REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)39
68.2%
32
31.8%
Q2 - 4:43INDMISS Miles 18' Jump Shot39
67.4%
32
32.6%
Q2 - 4:49INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)39
65.6%
32
34.4%
Q2 - 4:50INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup39
67.4%
32
32.6%
Q2 - 4:51INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)39
65.6%
32
34.4%
Q2 - 4:53INDMISS Scola 1' Layup39
67.5%
32
32.5%
Q2 - 4:55INDScola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)39
65.6%
32
34.4%
Q2 - 4:57INDMISS Watson 19' Jump Shot39
67.5%
32
32.5%
Q2 - 5:07INDPACERS Rebound39
65.3%
32
34.7%
Q2 - 5:09INDMISS Copeland 20' Jump Shot39
67.1%
32
32.9%
Q2 - 5:30MIABosh 8' Jump Shot (3 PTS)39
65.3%
32
34.7%
Q2 - 5:53INDWatson 10' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS)37
62.7%
32
37.3%
Q2 - 6:08MIAWade 15' Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
64.6%
30
35.4%
Q2 - 6:24INDHibbert Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T8)35
62.7%
30
37.3%
Q2 - 6:39MIAGranger 20' Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)35
59.5%
30
40.5%
Q2 - 6:55INDScola 19' Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 2 AST)33
57.4%
30
42.6%
Q2 - 7:13MIACole 14' Floating Jump Shot (4 PTS)33
59.3%
28
40.7%
Q2 - 7:29INDWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)31
56.9%
28
43.1%
Q2 - 7:35MIAMiles STEAL (1 STL)31
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 7:49MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)31
57.0%
28
43.0%
Q2 - 7:50INDMISS Scola 16' Jump Shot31
56.1%
28
43.9%
Q2 - 8:00MIAGranger Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T7)31
54.1%
28
45.9%
Q2 - 8:18INDWatson 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Scola 2 AST)31
56.5%
28
43.5%
Q2 - 8:21MIAScola STEAL (2 STL)31
58.9%
26
41.1%
Q2 - 8:34MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)31
61.5%
26
38.5%
Q2 - 8:36INDMISS Copeland 3' Layup31
60.7%
26
39.3%
Q2 - 8:40INDCopeland REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
58.9%
26
41.1%
Q2 - 8:40INDMISS Copeland Free Throw 1 of 131
61.1%
26
38.9%
Q2 - 8:47MIACole 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)31
63.8%
24
36.2%
Q2 - 8:51INDMiles Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)29
61.5%
24
38.5%
Q2 - 9:05INDPACERS Rebound29
58.3%
24
41.7%
Q2 - 9:05MIAMISS Bosh 2' Layup29
59.2%
24
40.8%
Q2 - 9:21INDCopeland 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Watson 1 AST)29
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q2 - 9:32MIACole Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T5)29
65.5%
21
34.5%
Q2 - 9:39INDScola Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)29
68.0%
21
32.0%
Q2 - 9:39INDMISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 229
68.5%
20
31.5%
Q2 - 9:56MIAScola STEAL (1 STL)29
67.7%
20
32.3%
Q2 - 10:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
69.9%
20
30.1%
Q2 - 10:06INDMISS Copeland 16' Jump Shot29
69.2%
20
30.8%
Q2 - 10:19MIACole Illegal Screen Turnover (P1.T3)29
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q2 - 10:28INDWatson Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)29
69.9%
20
30.1%
Q2 - 10:42MIAGranger 16' Step Back Jump Shot (5 PTS)29
67.4%
20
32.6%
Q2 - 11:02MIACole REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
64.8%
20
35.2%
Q2 - 11:03MIAMISS Whiteside 11' Jump Shot27
63.2%
20
36.8%
Q2 - 11:17MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)27
64.8%
20
35.2%
Q2 - 11:18INDMISS Scola 17' Jump Shot27
64.1%
20
35.9%
Q2 - 11:39MIAGranger 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)27
62.5%
20
37.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIA24
58.0%
20
42.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAHeat Rebound24
58.0%
20
42.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot24
56.3%
20
43.7%
Q1 - 0:07.0MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)24
57.2%
20
42.8%
Q1 - 0:09.0INDMISS Scola 7' Jump Shot24
56.7%
20
43.3%
Q1 - 0:29.0MIAChalmers 20' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS)24
55.5%
20
44.5%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS)22
52.6%
20
47.4%
Q1 - 0:41.0INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)22
53.0%
19
47.0%
Q1 - 0:58.0MIAWhiteside 4' Layup (2 PTS)22
55.5%
18
44.5%
Q1 - 1:17INDAllen 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Scola 1 AST)20
52.5%
18
47.5%
Q1 - 1:34MIAGranger Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2)20
55.4%
16
44.6%
Q1 - 1:52MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)20
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 1:53INDMISS Allen 5' Layup20
56.6%
16
43.4%
Q1 - 2:07MIAAndersen 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)20
55.1%
16
44.9%
Q1 - 2:20MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)18
52.7%
16
47.3%
Q1 - 2:21INDMISS Miles 23' Jump Shot18
52.1%
16
47.9%
Q1 - 2:35MIAAndersen 2' Reverse Layup (6 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)18
50.6%
16
49.4%
Q1 - 2:52INDWest 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Miles 1 AST)16
48.2%
16
51.8%
Q1 - 3:06MIAAndersen Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)16
50.3%
14
49.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAAndersen Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)15
49.6%
14
50.4%
Q1 - 3:06MIAHeat Rebound14
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 3:06MIAMISS Chalmers 11' Jump Shot14
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 3:15MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)14
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 3:15INDMISS Stuckey 17' Jump Shot14
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 3:34INDAllen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
45.8%
14
54.2%
Q1 - 3:35MIAMISS Deng 16' Jump Shot14
46.6%
14
53.4%
Q1 - 3:58INDMiles 29' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST)14
48.3%
14
51.7%
Q1 - 4:05INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)14
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 4:06MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot14
53.1%
11
46.9%
Q1 - 4:16INDG. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)14
54.8%
11
45.2%
Q1 - 4:22MIAWade 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)14
52.3%
11
47.7%
Q1 - 4:26INDHibbert Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)12
50.5%
11
49.5%
Q1 - 4:50MIADeng 21' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)12
47.9%
11
52.1%
Q1 - 5:06INDG. Hill 14' Step Back Jump Shot (7 PTS)10
45.8%
11
54.2%
Q1 - 5:34INDMiles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
47.7%
9
52.3%
Q1 - 5:35MIAMISS Wade 20' Jump Shot10
48.4%
9
51.6%
Q1 - 5:58MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)10
50.0%
9
50.0%
Q1 - 5:59INDMISS Hibbert 2' Layup10
49.3%
9
50.7%
Q1 - 6:14MIAChalmers Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)10
47.5%
9
52.5%
Q1 - 6:25INDG. Hill Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)10
49.6%
9
50.4%
Q1 - 6:28INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)10
53.4%
6
46.6%
Q1 - 6:30MIAG. Hill BLOCK (1 BLK)10
54.1%
6
45.9%
Q1 - 6:47MIABosh Free Throw Technical (1 PTS)10
55.6%
6
44.4%
Q1 - 6:48INDG. Hill 3' Layup (2 PTS)9
53.6%
6
46.4%
Q1 - 7:11MIAWade 13' Running Bank Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)9
55.1%
4
44.9%
Q1 - 7:24INDMiles Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)7
53.5%
4
46.5%
Q1 - 7:24INDMiles Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
53.8%
3
46.2%
Q1 - 7:30INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)7
55.1%
2
44.9%
Q1 - 7:31MIAMISS Chalmers 27' 3PT Jump Shot7
55.8%
2
44.2%
Q1 - 7:37MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 7:38INDMISS Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot7
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 8:01INDG. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)7
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 8:02MIAMISS Andersen 16' Jump Shot7
55.9%
2
44.1%
Q1 - 8:17MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)7
57.3%
2
42.7%
Q1 - 8:18INDMISS G. Hill 3PT Jump Shot7
56.7%
2
43.3%
Q1 - 8:40MIADeng 2' Layup (3 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)7
55.3%
2
44.7%
Q1 - 8:52INDWest Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)5
53.5%
2
46.5%
Q1 - 9:05INDHibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)5
51.4%
2
48.6%
Q1 - 9:05MIAMISS Deng Free Throw 2 of 25
51.7%
2
48.3%
Q1 - 9:05MIADeng Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)5
53.0%
2
47.0%
Q1 - 9:09MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)4
51.6%
2
48.4%
Q1 - 9:10INDMISS West 19' Jump Shot4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 9:20INDStuckey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 9:22INDMISS Stuckey 12' Jump Shot4
51.0%
2
49.0%
Q1 - 9:42MIAAndersen Alley Oop Layup (2 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)4
49.6%
2
50.4%
Q1 - 10:05INDHibbert 6' Hook Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST)2
47.8%
2
52.2%
Q1 - 10:20INDWest REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
49.4%
0
50.6%
Q1 - 10:21MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)2
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:21MIAMISS Andersen 2' Tip Shot2
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 10:23MIAMISS Deng 17' Jump Shot2
50.1%
0
49.9%
Q1 - 10:40MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
51.5%
0
48.5%
Q1 - 10:41INDMISS West 2' Layup2
50.9%
0
49.1%
Q1 - 11:03MIAWade 2' Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)2
49.5%
0
50.5%
Q1 - 11:13MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:13MIAMISS Wade 26' 3PT Jump Shot0
46.3%
0
53.7%
Q1 - 11:34INDPACERS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#1)0
47.5%
0
52.5%
Q1 - 11:34INDPACERS Rebound0
45.8%
0
54.2%
Q1 - 11:34INDMISS S. Hill 10' Jump Shot0
47.0%
0
53.0%
Q1 - 12:00INDJump Ball Hibbert vs. Bosh: Tip to Stuckey0
45.8%
0
54.2%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
IND
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
13
23
57%
IND
12
27
44%
Midrange
MIA
20
38
53%
IND
13
34
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
5
7.5
16
31%
47%
IND
10
15.0
18
56%
83%
Free Throws
MIA
14
18
78%
IND
26
30
87%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Wade2048%10.0 / 21
C. Bosh1860%9.0 / 15
L. Deng1558%7.5 / 13
D. Granger1478%7.0 / 9
C. Andersen1155%5.5 / 10
N. Cole660%3.0 / 5
H. Whiteside650%3.0 / 6
M. Chalmers550%2.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
IND logo Pacers
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Miles2560%12.5 / 21
G. Hill2067%10.0 / 15
C. Watson1192%5.5 / 6
D. West1071%5.0 / 7
R. Hibbert1056%5.0 / 9
S. Hill857%4.0 / 7
C. Copeland744%3.5 / 8
R. Stuckey660%3.0 / 5
L. Scola528%2.5 / 9
L. Allen440%2.0 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
73
+11
-11
84
IND
77
+18
-10
95
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
1.08 54.0%
IND
1.10 55.2%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
103.9
MIA 113.1
IND 121.8 +8.7
Pace
91.0
92.9
MIA 84.9
IND 86.0 +1.1
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
16.0
MIA 17.0
IND 16.7 +0.2
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
48.4%
MIA 52.6% +2.0%
IND 50.6%
TO %
15.2%
14.2%
MIA 12.4%
IND 11.5% +0.9%
ORB %
23.3%
24.0%
MIA 22.2%
IND 28.2% +6.0%
FTrt
30.6
26.6
MIA 23.4
IND 38.0 +14.6
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
58.6%
MIA 52.6%
IND 65.7% +13.1%
STL %
8.6%
6.6%
MIA 6.0% +1.4%
IND 4.6%
BLK %
8.0%
7.4%
MIA 13.1% +6.5%
IND 6.6%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
50.9%
MIA 54.0%
IND 55.2% +1.2%
Rim FG%
59.7%
55.7%
MIA 56.5% +12.1%
IND 44.4%
Mid FG%
40.9%
40.6%
MIA 52.6% +14.4%
IND 38.2%
3P %
33.5%
35.2%
MIA 31.3%
IND 55.6% +24.3%
FT %
74.1%
75.6%
MIA 77.8%
IND 86.7% +8.9%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
31.2%
MIA 29.9%
IND 34.2% +4.3%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
43.3%
MIA 49.4%
IND 43.0% +6.3%
3P Att. %
26.2%
25.5%
MIA 20.8%
IND 22.8% +2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsMIAIND
Possessions8487
Possession Minutes23.724.3
Points95106
Rebounds3639
Assists2023
Steals54
Blocks84
Turnovers (Team)11 (1)10 (2)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (3)11 (7)
Def. Rebounds (Team)28 (0)28 (2)
Field Goals38-7735-79
At-the-Rim FG13-2312-27
Midrange FG20-3813-34
2-Point FG33-6125-61
3-Point FG5-1610-18
Free Throws14-1826-30
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
38.0
20
48%
2
7
2
3
1
4
1
1
2-2
100%
9-18
50%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
37.7
18
60%
8
1
0
0
0
2
0
8
2-3
67%
5-10
50%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
32.7
5
50%
2
6
0
0
4
5
0
2
0-0
-
1-3
33%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
32.3
15
58%
3
3
0
0
0
0
0
3
3-5
60%
6-9
67%
0-2
0%
F · 6'10" 245 · 36
20.6
11
55%
7
0
0
2
0
2
3
4
5-6
83%
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
25.3
14
78%
3
0
1
0
2
4
0
3
0-0
-
4-5
80%
2-4
50%
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
23.2
6
60%
4
3
1
0
4
2
1
3
2-2
100%
2-3
67%
0-1
0%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
19.8
6
50%
7
0
1
3
0
2
3
4
0-0
-
3-6
50%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
10.3
0
0%
0
0
0
0
0
3
0
0
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
95
54%
36
20
5
8
11
0
8
28
14-18
78%
33-61
54%
5-16
31%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.