FinalWin Prob.pScore
1339%95
79
961%99
115
ORTG#PossPace
MIA logo MIA
85.99287.9
HOU logo HOU
121.19599.6

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

RocketsHeatQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventMIAHOU
Q4 - 0:00.0HOU79
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:10.0HOUCanaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:11.0MIAMISS Ennis 28' 3PT Jump Shot79
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUCanaan Free Throw 3 of 3 (8 PTS)79
0%
115
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUCanaan Free Throw 2 of 3 (7 PTS)79
0%
114
100%
Q4 - 0:27.0HOUMISS Canaan Free Throw 1 of 379
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:42.0HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)79
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 0:44.0HOUMISS Papanikolaou 6' Jump Shot79
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:01MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (14 PTS) (Ennis 2 AST)79
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:10MIADawkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:11HOUMISS Papanikolaou 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:20MIAWhiteside Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T21)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:40MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:41HOUMISS Dorsey Driving Slam Dunk77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 1:56MIAPapanikolaou STEAL (2 STL)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:15MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:16HOUMISS Terry 26' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:19HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:5 Def:2)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:20HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:25HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:26HOUMISS Papanikolaou 3' Jump Shot77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:38MIACole Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T19)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:40MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 2:42HOUMISS Canaan 4' Jump Shot77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 3:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)77
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 3:04MIAWhiteside Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)76
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 3:21HOUCanaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS)75
0%
113
100%
Q4 - 3:27HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)75
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 3:29MIAMISS Cole 4' Jump Shot75
0%
110
100%
Q4 - 3:46HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:46HOUSmith Tip Shot (12 PTS)75
0.1%
110
99.9%
Q4 - 3:48HOUMISS Papanikolaou 2' Alley Oop Layup75
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:04HOUCanaan REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)75
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:05HOUMISS Smith 21' Jump Shot75
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:24MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (10 PTS) (Cole 4 AST)75
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 4:46HOUCanaan 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)73
0.1%
108
99.9%
Q4 - 5:00MIAEnnis Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Cole 3 AST)73
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:15MIAHaslem REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:16HOUMISS Brewer 3PT Jump Shot71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25HOUDorsey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIAMISS Whiteside 4' Jump Hook Shot71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:25MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:27MIAMISS Ennis 18' Jump Shot71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 5:44HOUSmith 12' Fadeaway Jumper (10 PTS)71
0.1%
105
99.9%
Q4 - 6:01MIAWhiteside 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Dawkins 1 AST)71
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:30HOUSmith 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Canaan 1 AST)69
0.1%
103
99.9%
Q4 - 6:46HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 6:47MIAMISS Dawkins 26' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:06MIACole REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:07HOUMISS Canaan 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:11HOUCanaan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:12MIASmith BLOCK (1 BLK)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:25MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 2 of 269
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:26HOUMISS Smith Free Throw 1 of 269
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:36HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:37MIAMISS Dawkins 25' 3PT Jump Shot69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:44MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45HOUMISS Motiejunas Tip Shot69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:45HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 7:46HOUMISS Motiejunas 3' Layup69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:02MIAEnnis 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Cole 2 AST)69
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:12HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T16)66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:17HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:18MIAMISS Dawkins 27' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)66
0.1%
101
99.9%
Q4 - 8:31HOUBrewer Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)66
0.1%
100
99.9%
Q4 - 8:34MIAMotiejunas STEAL (2 STL)66
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:46HOUTerry 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Brewer 3 AST)66
0.1%
99
99.9%
Q4 - 8:58MIABrewer STEAL (2 STL)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:07HOUSmith 7' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS)66
0.1%
96
99.9%
Q4 - 9:23HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:25HOUMISS Motiejunas 25' 3PT Jump Shot66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:50MIAEnnis 7' Floating Jump Shot (2 PTS)66
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:52MIAEnnis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 9:54MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:24HOUSmith Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T15)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:53MIACole 1' Driving Layup (6 PTS)64
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 10:57HOUPapanikolaou Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T14)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:13MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (6 PTS) (Ennis 1 AST)62
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:32MIAShaw. Williams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:36HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:49HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q4 - 11:51MIAMISS Granger 20' Jump Shot60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOU60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUMISS Papanikolaou 2' Layup60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0MIAPapanikolaou STEAL (1 STL)60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:01.0HOUBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)60
0.1%
94
99.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 260
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:09.0MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 260
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:12.0HOUPapanikolaou Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T13)60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:16.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:9)60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:17.0MIAMISS Cole 10' Floating Jump Shot60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:32.0HOUTerry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Papanikolaou 1 AST)60
0.1%
91
99.9%
Q3 - 0:37.0HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 0:38.0MIAMISS Cole 1' Running Reverse Layup60
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 0:55.0MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)60
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 0:56.0HOUMISS Howard 1' Alley Oop Layup60
0.2%
88
99.8%
Q3 - 1:21HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)60
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 1:22MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 1:36HOUSmith Slam Dunk (4 PTS) (Terry 3 AST)60
0.3%
88
99.7%
Q3 - 1:47HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:8)60
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 1:47MIAHeat Rebound60
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 2 of 260
0.4%
86
99.6%
Q3 - 1:47MIAMISS Whiteside Free Throw 1 of 260
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 2:01HOUHoward 3 Second Violation Turnover (P2.T12)60
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 2:15HOUROCKETS Rebound60
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 2:16MIAMISS Granger 25' 3PT Jump Shot60
0.5%
86
99.5%
Q3 - 2:30HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (28 PTS)60
0.6%
86
99.4%
Q3 - 2:30HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (27 PTS)60
0.6%
85
99.4%
Q3 - 2:52HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)60
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 2:52MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 2 of 260
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 2:52MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)60
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 3:04MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)59
0.9%
84
99.1%
Q3 - 3:05HOUMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot59
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 3:10HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)59
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 3:11HOUMISS Harden 19' Step Back Jump Shot59
0.8%
84
99.2%
Q3 - 3:33MIABosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Cole 1 AST)59
0.7%
84
99.3%
Q3 - 3:47HOUHarden 27' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (26 PTS)56
0.5%
84
99.5%
Q3 - 4:01HOUROCKETS Rebound56
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 4:02MIAMISS Wade 19' Jump Shot56
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 4:15HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T11)56
1.0%
81
99.0%
Q3 - 4:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)56
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 4:26MIAMISS Bosh Free Throw 1 of 255
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 4:26MIABosh REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)55
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 4:27MIAMISS Cole 16' Step Back Jump Shot55
0.8%
81
99.2%
Q3 - 4:51HOUHarden 2' Driving Layup (23 PTS)55
0.9%
81
99.1%
Q3 - 5:03HOUMotiejunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)55
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 5:04HOUMISS Harden 17' Fadeaway Jumper55
1.3%
79
98.7%
Q3 - 5:25MIAWade 1' Reverse Layup (15 PTS) (Bosh 2 AST)55
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 5:30MIABosh REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)53
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 5:31MIAMISS Wade 18' Jump Shot53
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 5:54MIAHeat Rebound53
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 5:55MIAMISS Bosh 26' 3PT Jump Shot53
0.9%
79
99.1%
Q3 - 6:08HOUMotiejunas Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)53
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 6:29MIABosh Poss Lost Ball Turnover (P4.T15)53
1.0%
79
99.0%
Q3 - 6:45HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)53
1.2%
79
98.8%
Q3 - 6:45HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)53
1.2%
78
98.8%
Q3 - 6:48HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)53
1.3%
77
98.7%
Q3 - 6:49MIAMISS Deng 22' Jump Shot53
1.4%
77
98.6%
Q3 - 7:11HOUMotiejunas 3' Layup (12 PTS) (Beverley 2 AST)53
1.7%
77
98.3%
Q3 - 7:27MIADeng Traveling Turnover (P4.T14)53
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 7:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)53
2.3%
75
97.7%
Q3 - 7:32HOUMISS Ariza 24' 3PT Jump Shot53
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 7:59MIAAriza STEAL (6 STL)53
2.0%
75
98.0%
Q3 - 8:15HOUAriza Foul Turnover (P3.T9)53
2.6%
75
97.4%
Q3 - 8:19HOUBeverley REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)53
2.2%
75
97.8%
Q3 - 8:20HOUMISS Motiejunas 8' Turnaround Hook Shot53
2.4%
75
97.6%
Q3 - 8:33MIABosh 3 Second Violation Turnover (P3.T12)53
2.1%
75
97.9%
Q3 - 8:48HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)53
2.5%
75
97.5%
Q3 - 8:48HOUMISS Motiejunas Free Throw 1 of 253
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 9:14HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)53
2.7%
74
97.3%
Q3 - 9:15MIAMISS Bosh 1' Reverse Layup53
2.9%
74
97.1%
Q3 - 9:24HOUBeverley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Ariza 4 AST)53
3.2%
74
96.8%
Q3 - 9:30MIAAriza STEAL (5 STL)53
4.1%
71
95.9%
Q3 - 9:46HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)53
4.8%
71
95.2%
Q3 - 10:01MIAAndersen 1' Reverse Layup (4 PTS) (Wade 3 AST)53
6.5%
68
93.5%
Q3 - 10:27HOUHarden 25' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot (16 PTS)51
5.7%
68
94.3%
Q3 - 10:33HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)51
7.4%
65
92.6%
Q3 - 10:35MIAMISS Deng 19' Jump Shot51
7.7%
65
92.3%
Q3 - 10:49HOUHoward 6' Turnaround Hook Shot (23 PTS) (Motiejunas 3 AST)51
8.5%
65
91.5%
Q3 - 11:06MIADeng 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bosh 1 AST)51
10.1%
63
89.9%
Q3 - 11:21HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (21 PTS)49
8.9%
63
91.1%
Q3 - 11:21HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (20 PTS)49
9.4%
62
90.6%
Q3 - 11:30HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:7)49
10.1%
61
89.9%
Q3 - 11:31MIAMISS Bosh 18' Jump Shot49
10.4%
61
89.6%
Q3 - 11:41MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)49
11.4%
61
88.6%
Q3 - 11:42HOUMISS Ariza 26' 3PT Jump Shot49
11.0%
61
89.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0MIA49
10.0%
61
90.0%
Q2 - 0:01.0MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)49
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q2 - 0:02.0HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
11.6%
61
88.4%
Q2 - 0:25.0HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)49
10.9%
61
89.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0MIAMISS Wade 16' Pullup Bank Shot49
11.2%
61
88.8%
Q2 - 0:40.0HOUHarden Running Dunk (13 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)49
11.9%
61
88.1%
Q2 - 0:44.0HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
13.7%
59
86.3%
Q2 - 0:45.0MIAMISS Bosh 11' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot49
14.0%
59
86.0%
Q2 - 1:03HOUHarden Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)49
15.3%
59
84.7%
Q2 - 1:03HOUHarden Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)49
15.5%
58
84.5%
Q2 - 1:12HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)49
17.8%
57
82.2%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 2 of 249
17.9%
57
82.1%
Q2 - 1:12MIAMISS Andersen Free Throw 1 of 249
19.1%
57
80.9%
Q2 - 1:27HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 1 (19 PTS)49
18.8%
57
81.2%
Q2 - 1:27HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)49
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 1:27HOUHoward 1' Tip Shot (18 PTS)49
20.9%
56
79.1%
Q2 - 1:28HOUMISS Harden 2' Layup49
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 1:29HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)49
24.1%
54
75.9%
Q2 - 1:30HOUMISS Motiejunas 3PT Jump Shot49
25.0%
54
75.0%
Q2 - 1:40HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)49
24.0%
54
76.0%
Q2 - 1:41MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot49
24.4%
54
75.6%
Q2 - 2:07HOUBeverley 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Ariza 3 AST)49
26.0%
54
74.0%
Q2 - 2:20MIAWade 15' Floating Jump Shot (13 PTS)49
31.1%
51
68.9%
Q2 - 2:32HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)47
28.4%
51
71.6%
Q2 - 2:42MIABosh 2' Layup (10 PTS) (Wade 2 AST)47
26.1%
51
73.9%
Q2 - 2:58HOUBeverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harden 2 AST)45
23.6%
51
76.4%
Q2 - 3:12MIAGranger 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Wade 1 AST)45
28.5%
48
71.5%
Q2 - 3:28HOUSmith Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 2 AST)42
24.2%
48
75.8%
Q2 - 3:34HOUHarden REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)42
26.1%
46
73.9%
Q2 - 3:35MIAMISS Wade 21' Step Back Jump Shot42
26.9%
46
73.1%
Q2 - 4:03HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)42
28.7%
46
71.3%
Q2 - 4:14MIADeng 2' Layup (8 PTS) (Andersen 2 AST)42
31.1%
44
68.9%
Q2 - 4:24MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)40
28.8%
44
71.2%
Q2 - 4:25HOUMISS Beverley 22' Jump Shot40
28.0%
44
72.0%
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS)40
26.4%
44
73.6%
Q2 - 4:42MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS)39
25.9%
44
74.1%
Q2 - 4:47HOUAriza Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T7)38
24.3%
44
75.7%
Q2 - 4:57MIAAriza STEAL (4 STL)38
22.1%
44
77.9%
Q2 - 5:11MIAWade Free Throw Technical (9 PTS)38
24.5%
44
75.5%
Q2 - 5:16HOUHoward 6' Hook Shot (16 PTS)37
22.5%
44
77.5%
Q2 - 5:18HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)37
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 5:21HOUMISS Howard 7' Turnaround Bank Hook Shot37
25.9%
42
74.1%
Q2 - 5:39MIAWade 16' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS)37
24.5%
42
75.5%
Q2 - 5:53MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
22.4%
42
77.6%
Q2 - 5:53HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 235
22.2%
42
77.8%
Q2 - 5:53HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 235
21.3%
42
78.7%
Q2 - 6:04HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)35
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 6:05MIAMISS Bosh 19' Jump Shot35
21.5%
42
78.5%
Q2 - 6:26MIAHeat Rebound35
23.0%
42
77.0%
Q2 - 6:27HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 2 of 235
22.7%
42
77.3%
Q2 - 6:27HOUMISS Howard Free Throw 1 of 235
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 6:45MIAWade Driving Slam Dunk (6 PTS)35
20.8%
42
79.2%
Q2 - 7:06HOUHoward 2' Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS)33
19.6%
42
80.4%
Q2 - 7:29MIAWhiteside Alley Oop Dunk (4 PTS) (Chalmers 5 AST)33
21.2%
40
78.8%
Q2 - 7:42HOUHoward 1' Turnaround Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Terry 2 AST)31
19.6%
40
80.4%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWhiteside REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)31
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 8:03MIAWhiteside 1' Tip Shot (2 PTS)31
21.4%
38
78.6%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 2 of 229
18.3%
38
81.7%
Q2 - 8:05MIAMISS Ennis Free Throw 1 of 229
19.4%
38
80.6%
Q2 - 8:32HOUHoward 7' Jump Hook Shot (10 PTS)29
19.8%
38
80.2%
Q2 - 8:49MIACole Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T9)29
21.4%
36
78.6%
Q2 - 9:00HOUPapanikolaou Layup (2 PTS) (Brewer 2 AST)29
23.2%
36
76.8%
Q2 - 9:04MIABrewer STEAL (1 STL)29
25.0%
34
75.0%
Q2 - 9:06HOUBrewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Terry 1 AST)29
27.3%
34
72.7%
Q2 - 9:14HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)29
31.1%
31
68.9%
Q2 - 9:15MIAMISS Granger 17' Jump Shot29
31.9%
31
68.1%
Q2 - 9:34HOUHoward 1' Layup (8 PTS)29
33.6%
31
66.4%
Q2 - 9:35HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)29
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 9:36HOUMISS Howard 2' Layup29
37.5%
29
62.5%
Q2 - 9:44HOUSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
35.6%
29
64.4%
Q2 - 9:45MIAMISS Bosh 17' Jump Shot29
36.4%
29
63.6%
Q2 - 10:02HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)29
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q2 - 10:02HOUHoward 1' Tip Shot (6 PTS)29
38.4%
29
61.6%
Q2 - 10:03HOUMISS Smith 2' Running Reverse Layup29
42.3%
27
57.7%
Q2 - 10:11HOUBrewer REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)29
40.3%
27
59.7%
Q2 - 10:13MIAMISS Shaw. Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot29
41.2%
27
58.8%
Q2 - 10:27HOUHoward 2' Jump Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Brewer 1 AST)29
43.2%
27
56.8%
Q2 - 10:50MIACole 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)29
45.1%
25
54.9%
Q2 - 11:20HOUSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)27
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q2 - 11:27HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)27
40.3%
25
59.7%
Q2 - 11:29MIAMISS Granger 14' Jump Shot27
41.0%
25
59.0%
Q2 - 11:48HOUHoward Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)27
42.7%
25
57.3%
Q2 - 11:48HOUHoward Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)27
43.6%
24
56.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOU27
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUROCKETS Rebound27
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0HOUMISS Brewer 24' 3PT Jump Shot27
46.8%
23
53.2%
Q1 - 0:13.0HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)27
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q1 - 0:13.0HOUMISS Harden 15' Step Back Jump Shot27
46.2%
23
53.8%
Q1 - 0:36.0MIACole 23' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
45.0%
23
55.0%
Q1 - 0:59.0HOUHarden 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)25
42.1%
23
57.9%
Q1 - 1:06HOUPapanikolaou REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)25
44.7%
21
55.3%
Q1 - 1:08HOUMISS Terry 3' Driving Layup25
46.0%
21
54.0%
Q1 - 1:26MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)25
44.8%
21
55.2%
Q1 - 1:26MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)24
44.3%
21
55.7%
Q1 - 1:45HOUBrewer 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Harden 1 AST)23
41.9%
21
58.1%
Q1 - 2:05MIABosh 10' Turnaround Fadeaway (6 PTS)23
46.7%
18
53.3%
Q1 - 2:25MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)21
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 2:26HOUMISS Terry 3PT Jump Shot21
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q1 - 2:50HOUROCKETS Rebound21
42.2%
18
57.8%
Q1 - 2:53MIAMISS Ennis 26' 3PT Jump Shot21
42.9%
18
57.1%
Q1 - 2:59MIAGranger REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)21
44.3%
18
55.7%
Q1 - 3:00HOUMISS Harden 1' Driving Layup21
43.7%
18
56.3%
Q1 - 3:05MIAHarden STEAL (1 STL)21
41.7%
18
58.3%
Q1 - 3:25MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)21
44.2%
18
55.8%
Q1 - 3:26HOUMISS Motiejunas 7' Jump Shot21
43.5%
18
56.5%
Q1 - 3:45MIAGranger Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)21
41.8%
18
58.2%
Q1 - 3:45MIAGranger Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)20
41.5%
18
58.5%
Q1 - 4:04MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)19
39.7%
18
60.3%
Q1 - 4:05HOUMISS Ariza 1' Driving Layup19
38.9%
18
61.1%
Q1 - 4:21MIAChalmers 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Deng 1 AST)19
37.3%
18
62.7%
Q1 - 4:23MIADeng REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)16
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 4:24MIAMISS Chalmers 2' Driving Reverse Layup16
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 4:35MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)16
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 4:36HOUMISS Harden 25' 3PT Jump Shot16
32.9%
18
67.1%
Q1 - 4:45HOUAriza REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)16
31.4%
18
68.6%
Q1 - 4:46MIAMISS Wade 2' Driving Layup16
32.0%
18
68.0%
Q1 - 5:00HOUMotiejunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (9 PTS)16
33.6%
18
66.4%
Q1 - 5:19MIADeng 16' Pullup Bank Shot (6 PTS) (Andersen 1 AST)16
35.1%
16
64.9%
Q1 - 5:39HOUMotiejunas 7' Turnaround Hook Shot (7 PTS) (Ariza 2 AST)14
33.4%
16
66.6%
Q1 - 5:53MIAAndersen Alley Oop Dunk (2 PTS) (Chalmers 4 AST)14
35.1%
14
64.9%
Q1 - 6:01HOUBeverley Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5)12
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 6:07MIAWade Traveling Turnover (P2.T6)12
31.4%
14
68.6%
Q1 - 6:25HOUHarden 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (5 PTS)12
33.3%
14
66.7%
Q1 - 6:29MIAAriza STEAL (3 STL)12
34.9%
12
65.1%
Q1 - 6:32MIADeng REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)12
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 6:34MIAMISS Granger 26' 3PT Jump Shot12
35.5%
12
64.5%
Q1 - 6:50HOUMotiejunas Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)12
36.9%
12
63.1%
Q1 - 7:00HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)12
40.5%
9
59.5%
Q1 - 7:01MIAMISS Wade 17' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot12
40.9%
9
59.1%
Q1 - 7:21HOUMotiejunas Foul Turnover (P1.T4)12
42.4%
9
57.6%
Q1 - 7:31MIADeng REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)12
40.2%
9
59.8%
Q1 - 7:31MIADeng 1' Putback Layup (4 PTS)12
40.2%
9
59.8%
Q1 - 7:32MIAMISS Deng Layup10
37.2%
9
62.8%
Q1 - 7:38MIAChalmers REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)10
38.6%
9
61.4%
Q1 - 7:39HOUMISS Ariza 25' 3PT Jump Shot10
38.0%
9
62.0%
Q1 - 7:49MIADeng 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Chalmers 3 AST)10
36.6%
9
63.4%
Q1 - 8:00MIABosh REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
35.0%
9
65.0%
Q1 - 8:01HOUMISS Beverley 26' 3PT Jump Shot8
34.4%
9
65.6%
Q1 - 8:11MIAWade 16' Turnaround Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 2 AST)8
33.1%
9
66.9%
Q1 - 8:24HOUHoward Traveling Turnover (P1.T3)6
31.6%
9
68.4%
Q1 - 8:31MIABosh 21' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Chalmers 1 AST)6
29.8%
9
70.2%
Q1 - 8:52HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T2)4
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 9:04MIADeng Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)4
26.7%
9
73.3%
Q1 - 9:28HOUAriza 4' Driving Layup (2 PTS) (Motiejunas 1 AST)4
28.4%
9
71.6%
Q1 - 9:48HOUBeverley Free Throw Clear Path 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
29.8%
7
70.2%
Q1 - 9:48HOUBeverley Free Throw Clear Path 1 of 2 (1 PTS)4
30.2%
6
69.8%
Q1 - 9:49MIAAriza STEAL (2 STL)4
33.1%
5
66.9%
Q1 - 9:57MIAAndersen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)4
34.9%
5
65.1%
Q1 - 9:58HOUMISS Howard 5' Jump Hook Shot4
34.3%
5
65.7%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
33.0%
5
67.0%
Q1 - 10:13MIAWade Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
32.6%
5
67.4%
Q1 - 10:17HOUHarden Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
31.5%
5
68.5%
Q1 - 10:23HOUHoward REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
29.8%
5
70.2%
Q1 - 10:24MIAMISS Bosh 25' 3PT Jump Shot2
30.3%
5
69.7%
Q1 - 10:45HOUMotiejunas 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Ariza 1 AST)2
31.5%
5
68.5%
Q1 - 10:48MIAAriza STEAL (1 STL)2
33.0%
3
67.0%
Q1 - 11:09HOUHarden 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Beverley 1 AST)2
34.5%
3
65.5%
Q1 - 11:15MIAMotiejunas STEAL (1 STL)2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:19MIAWade REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
39.7%
0
60.3%
Q1 - 11:20HOUMISS Harden 24' 3PT Jump Shot2
39.2%
0
60.8%
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)2
38.1%
0
61.9%
Q1 - 11:43MIABosh Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)1
37.8%
0
62.2%
Q1 - 12:00HOUJump Ball Howard vs. Bosh: Tip to Chalmers0
36.3%
0
63.7%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.8%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
MIA
17
25
68%
HOU
20
35
57%
Midrange
MIA
9
26
35%
HOU
8
17
47%
3PT | Effective 3PT
MIA
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
HOU
13
19.5
31
42%
63%
Free Throws
MIA
15
25
60%
HOU
20
28
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
MIA logo Heat
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
C. Bosh1547%7.5 / 16
D. Wade1558%7.5 / 13
H. Whiteside1464%7.0 / 11
L. Deng1063%5.0 / 8
J. Ennis III750%3.5 / 7
N. Cole643%3.0 / 7
D. Granger536%2.5 / 7
C. Andersen467%2.0 / 3
M. Chalmers375%1.5 / 2
S. Williams0-0.0 / 3
A. Dawkins0-0.0 / 3
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
HOU logo Rockets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
J. Harden2870%14.0 / 20
D. Howard2364%11.5 / 18
D. Motiejunas1250%6.0 / 12
J. Smith1260%6.0 / 10
P. Beverley11110%5.5 / 5
C. Brewer1169%5.5 / 8
I. Canaan880%4.0 / 5
J. Terry660%3.0 / 5
T. Ariza220%1.0 / 5
K. Papanikolaou217%1.0 / 6
J. Dorsey0-0.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

MIA
71
+10
-21
81
HOU
79
+19
-16
98
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

MIA
0.98 48.8%
HOU
1.17 58.7%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
103.9
107.0
MIA 85.9 +35.2
HOU 121.1
Pace
91.0
96.6
MIA 87.9
HOU 99.6 +11.7
Avg. Poss. Time
16.3
14.6
MIA 16.4
HOU 14.5 +1.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.0%
51.2%
MIA 47.1%
HOU 57.2% +10.1%
TO %
15.2%
16.4%
MIA 21.0%
HOU 14.4% +6.6%
ORB %
23.3%
26.8%
MIA 20.5%
HOU 40.5% +20.0%
FTrt
30.6
31.2
MIA 36.8 +3.1
HOU 33.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
56.4%
60.0%
MIA 66.7% +15.5%
HOU 51.2%
STL %
8.6%
9.8%
MIA 6.5%
HOU 13.7% +7.2%
BLK %
8.0%
8.0%
MIA 5.8% +3.8%
HOU 2.0%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
52.2%
53.3%
MIA 48.8%
HOU 58.7% +9.9%
Rim FG%
59.7%
58.0%
MIA 68.0% +10.9%
HOU 57.1%
Mid FG%
40.9%
37.1%
MIA 34.6%
HOU 47.1% +12.5%
3P %
33.5%
34.8%
MIA 23.5%
HOU 41.9% +18.4%
FT %
74.1%
71.5%
MIA 60.0%
HOU 71.4% +11.4%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.1%
39.2%
MIA 36.8%
HOU 42.2% +5.4%
Mid Att. %
38.7%
21.6%
MIA 38.2%
HOU 20.5% +17.8%
3P Att. %
26.2%
39.2%
MIA 25.0%
HOU 37.3% +12.3%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.71 and 2.71.
Game TotalsMIAHOU
Possessions9295
Possession Minutes25.122.9
Points79115
Rebounds3348
Assists2021
Steals613
Blocks31
Turnovers (Team)21 (0)16 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)8 (2)17 (2)
Def. Rebounds (Team)25 (1)31 (3)
Field Goals30-6841-83
At-the-Rim FG17-2520-35
Midrange FG9-268-17
2-Point FG26-5128-52
3-Point FG4-1713-31
Free Throws15-2520-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
C · 6'11" 235 · 31
27.4
15
47%
4
2
0
0
4
2
2
2
6-8
75%
3-8
38%
1-4
25%
G · 6'4" 220 · 33
25.5
15
58%
4
3
0
0
2
0
0
4
5-5
100%
5-11
45%
0-0
-
F · 6'9" 220 · 30
24.4
10
63%
6
1
1
0
4
1
3
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 190 · 29
20.4
3
75%
1
5
1
0
0
4
0
1
0-0
-
0-1
0%
1-1
100%
F · 6'10" 245 · 36
19.6
4
67%
3
2
0
0
1
0
0
3
0-2
0%
2-2
100%
0-0
-
G · 6'2" 175 · 26
27.6
6
43%
2
4
0
0
3
4
0
2
0-0
-
3-7
43%
0-0
-
F · 6'7" 210 · 25
24.2
7
50%
2
2
1
1
2
1
1
1
0-2
0%
2-3
67%
1-3
33%
F-G · 6'9" 222 · 32
23.4
5
36%
1
0
2
0
2
1
0
1
2-2
100%
0-3
0%
1-3
33%
C · 7'0" 265 · 26
19.8
14
64%
6
0
0
2
3
2
2
4
2-6
33%
6-8
75%
0-0
-
F · 6'10" 230 · 29
10.3
0
0%
1
0
1
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
G · 6'5" 219 · 23
8.9
0
0%
1
1
0
0
0
1
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-3
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 35
8.5
0
0%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
#4 · · 6'10" 240 · 28
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#7 · C · 7'0" 255 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#13 · G · 6'1" 175 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
79
49%
33
20
6
3
21
0
8
25
15-25
60%
26-51
51%
4-17
24%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.