FinalWin Prob.pScore
1142%102
107
1058%105
112
ORTG#PossPace
OKC logo OKC
105.9101103.7
DAL logo DAL
108.7103100.4

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

MavericksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

MavericksThunderQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventOKCDAL
Q4 - 0:00.0OKC107
0%
112
100%
Q4 - 0:04.0OKCJackson Running Dunk (21 PTS)107
0.6%
110
99.4%
Q4 - 0:08.0OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6)105
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALMISS Rondo Free Throw 2 of 2105
0.7%
110
99.3%
Q4 - 0:09.0DALMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 2105
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 0:12.0DALMAVERICKS Rebound105
0.3%
110
99.7%
Q4 - 0:12.0OKCMISS Morrow Putback Layup105
0.4%
110
99.6%
Q4 - 0:13.0OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)105
1.2%
110
98.8%
Q4 - 0:14.0OKCMISS Jackson 6' Fadeaway Jumper105
0.5%
110
99.5%
Q4 - 0:25.0OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:6)105
2.0%
110
98.0%
Q4 - 0:27.0DALMISS Rondo 4' Driving Jump Shot105
1.6%
110
98.4%
Q4 - 0:50.0OKCParsons STEAL (2 STL)105
1.9%
110
98.1%
Q4 - 1:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (30 PTS)105
5.2%
110
94.8%
Q4 - 1:05DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (29 PTS)105
5.6%
109
94.4%
Q4 - 1:17DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)105
10.0%
108
90.0%
Q4 - 1:18OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Driving Layup105
12.0%
108
88.0%
Q4 - 1:29DALRondo 1' Layup (15 PTS) (Nowitzki 2 AST)105
18.8%
108
81.2%
Q4 - 1:43DALMAVERICKS Rebound105
28.2%
106
71.8%
Q4 - 1:44OKCMISS Westbrook 17' Jump Shot105
31.7%
106
68.3%
Q4 - 2:00OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)105
40.5%
106
59.5%
Q4 - 2:01DALMISS Ellis 5' Floating Jump Shot105
38.1%
106
61.9%
Q4 - 2:28OKCJackson 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (19 PTS)105
28.3%
106
71.7%
Q4 - 2:53DALNowitzki 21' Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Ellis 5 AST)102
17.1%
106
82.9%
Q4 - 3:09OKCJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P6.T17)102
21.4%
104
78.6%
Q4 - 3:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (26 PTS)102
33.3%
104
66.7%
Q4 - 3:25DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (25 PTS)102
34.2%
103
65.8%
Q4 - 3:25OKCNowitzki STEAL (1 STL)102
39.1%
102
60.9%
Q4 - 3:48DALRondo 1' Reverse Layup (13 PTS)102
50.7%
102
49.3%
Q4 - 3:49DALRondo REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)102
59.1%
100
40.9%
Q4 - 3:51DALMISS Rondo 10' Running Jump Shot102
65.7%
100
34.3%
Q4 - 4:07OKCWestbrook 19' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Adams 2 AST)102
59.2%
100
40.8%
Q4 - 4:27DALNowitzki 20' Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Ellis 4 AST)100
50.8%
100
49.2%
Q4 - 4:43OKCWestbrook Driving Layup (16 PTS)100
59.4%
98
40.6%
Q4 - 4:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)98
50.8%
98
49.2%
Q4 - 4:59DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)98
51.8%
97
48.2%
Q4 - 4:59DALMAVERICKS Rebound98
59.4%
96
40.6%
Q4 - 4:59DALMISS Parsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot98
66.2%
96
33.8%
Q4 - 5:16DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)98
57.0%
96
43.0%
Q4 - 5:17OKCNowitzki BLOCK (2 BLK)98
59.6%
96
40.4%
Q4 - 5:38DALEllis 9' Driving Bank Shot (18 PTS)98
65.6%
96
34.4%
Q4 - 5:45OKCIbaka 2' Alley Oop Layup (26 PTS) (Westbrook 9 AST)98
72.1%
94
27.9%
Q4 - 5:50OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)96
65.7%
94
34.3%
Q4 - 5:51DALMISS Villanueva 3PT Jump Shot96
63.1%
94
36.9%
Q4 - 6:18OKCMorrow 20' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Jackson 3 AST)96
55.3%
94
44.7%
Q4 - 6:28OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)94
49.0%
94
51.0%
Q4 - 6:29DALMISS Villanueva 24' 3PT Jump Shot94
46.3%
94
53.7%
Q4 - 6:43DALMAVERICKS Rebound94
40.4%
94
59.6%
Q4 - 6:43OKCMISS Jackson 18' Jump Shot94
43.0%
94
57.0%
Q4 - 7:02DALRondo 15' Pullup Jump Shot (11 PTS)94
48.3%
94
51.7%
Q4 - 7:24OKCJackson 18' Fadeaway Jumper (16 PTS)94
54.5%
92
45.5%
Q4 - 7:31OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)92
48.3%
92
51.7%
Q4 - 7:32OKCMISS Westbrook 17' Pullup Jump Shot92
43.0%
92
57.0%
Q4 - 7:53DALHarris Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T12)92
48.4%
92
51.6%
Q4 - 8:15OKCAdams 1' Putback Layup (11 PTS)92
41.3%
92
58.7%
Q4 - 8:16OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)90
35.3%
92
64.7%
Q4 - 8:17OKCMISS Collison 3PT Jump Shot90
31.3%
92
68.7%
Q4 - 8:36DALVillanueva 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Rondo 7 AST)90
35.3%
92
64.7%
Q4 - 8:43DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)90
47.6%
89
52.4%
Q4 - 8:44OKCSmith BLOCK (2 BLK)90
49.6%
89
50.4%
Q4 - 8:46OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)90
54.1%
89
45.9%
Q4 - 8:47OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Layup90
49.6%
89
50.4%
Q4 - 9:08DALVillanueva 3' Driving Jump Shot (4 PTS)90
53.4%
89
46.6%
Q4 - 9:24OKCJackson Foul Turnover (P5.T15)90
59.1%
87
40.9%
Q4 - 9:27OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)90
64.9%
87
35.1%
Q4 - 9:28DALMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot90
63.1%
87
36.9%
Q4 - 9:36DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
59.1%
87
40.9%
Q4 - 9:36OKCMISS Smith 3' Driving Jump Shot90
60.9%
87
39.1%
Q4 - 9:56DALSmith Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)90
64.9%
87
35.1%
Q4 - 9:56DALSmith Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)90
66.7%
86
33.3%
Q4 - 9:57DALSmith REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)90
70.0%
85
30.0%
Q4 - 9:57DALMISS Rondo 2' Driving Reverse Layup90
73.5%
85
26.5%
Q4 - 10:07DALSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)90
68.3%
85
31.7%
Q4 - 10:08OKCMISS Perkins 11' Jump Shot90
69.8%
85
30.2%
Q4 - 10:17OKCSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)90
73.1%
85
26.9%
Q4 - 10:19DALMISS Ellis 25' 3PT Jump Shot90
71.7%
85
28.3%
Q4 - 10:36OKCSmith 8' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Collison 2 AST)90
68.4%
85
31.6%
Q4 - 10:50DALEllis 6' Driving Jump Shot (16 PTS)88
63.5%
85
36.5%
Q4 - 11:03DALJump Ball Jefferson vs. Perkins: Tip to Smith88
66.9%
83
33.1%
Q4 - 11:04OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 2 of 288
67.6%
83
32.4%
Q4 - 11:04OKCMISS Collison Free Throw 1 of 288
70.3%
83
29.7%
Q4 - 11:08DALEllis Lost Ball Turnover (P3.T11)88
71.7%
83
28.3%
Q4 - 11:22OKCPerkins Traveling Turnover (P2.T14)88
67.0%
83
33.0%
Q4 - 11:35DALRondo 3' Tip Shot (9 PTS)88
71.7%
83
28.3%
Q4 - 11:36DALRondo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
75.7%
81
24.3%
Q4 - 11:37DALMISS Ellis 5' Jump Shot88
78.4%
81
21.6%
Q4 - 11:44DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)88
75.7%
81
24.3%
Q4 - 11:45OKCMISS Smith 25' 3PT Jump Shot88
76.9%
81
23.1%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKC88
79.6%
81
20.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)88
79.6%
81
20.4%
Q3 - 0:00.0DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot88
78.5%
81
21.5%
Q3 - 0:29.0DALSmith REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)88
74.5%
81
25.5%
Q3 - 0:30.0DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot88
77.1%
81
22.9%
Q3 - 0:41.0OKCJackson 17' Pullup Jump Shot (14 PTS)88
74.5%
81
25.5%
Q3 - 0:52.0DALNowitzki Foul Turnover (P1.T10)86
70.4%
81
29.6%
Q3 - 1:09OKCIbaka 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS) (Jackson 2 AST)86
64.7%
81
35.3%
Q3 - 1:26OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)83
55.6%
81
44.4%
Q3 - 1:27DALMISS Nowitzki 15' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot83
54.1%
81
45.9%
Q3 - 1:39DALMAVERICKS Rebound83
50.6%
81
49.4%
Q3 - 1:39DALMISS Harris 1' Layup83
54.1%
81
45.9%
Q3 - 1:51OKCAdams Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)83
50.6%
81
49.4%
Q3 - 1:51OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)82
48.7%
81
51.3%
Q3 - 2:08OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)81
45.3%
81
54.7%
Q3 - 2:09DALMISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot81
43.8%
81
56.2%
Q3 - 2:14DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)81
40.5%
81
59.5%
Q3 - 2:16OKCVillanueva BLOCK (2 BLK)81
42.0%
81
58.0%
Q3 - 2:26OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)81
45.3%
81
54.7%
Q3 - 2:27DALMISS Villanueva 1' Driving Reverse Layup81
43.8%
81
56.2%
Q3 - 2:44OKCBarea STEAL (1 STL)81
40.6%
81
59.4%
Q3 - 3:05DALParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (24 PTS)81
45.1%
81
54.9%
Q3 - 3:18OKCIbaka 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Westbrook 8 AST)81
53.6%
78
46.4%
Q3 - 3:22OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)78
45.1%
78
54.9%
Q3 - 3:23OKCMISS Jones 25' 3PT Jump Shot78
41.9%
78
58.1%
Q3 - 3:41DALVillanueva 5' Driving Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Barea 2 AST)78
45.1%
78
54.9%
Q3 - 3:53OKCIbaka 5' Driving Bank Shot (18 PTS)78
49.2%
76
50.8%
Q3 - 4:09OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
45.1%
76
54.9%
Q3 - 4:10DALMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot76
43.5%
76
56.5%
Q3 - 4:21DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)76
40.0%
76
60.0%
Q3 - 4:22OKCMISS Westbrook 14' Jump Shot76
41.5%
76
58.5%
Q3 - 4:31DALSmith Backcourt Turnover (P3.T9)76
45.1%
76
54.9%
Q3 - 4:34DALMAVERICKS Rebound76
40.0%
76
60.0%
Q3 - 4:35DALMISS Harris Free Throw 2 of 276
44.4%
76
55.6%
Q3 - 4:35DALHarris Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)76
41.6%
76
58.4%
Q3 - 4:40DALSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)76
44.2%
75
55.8%
Q3 - 4:41OKCSmith BLOCK (1 BLK)76
45.8%
75
54.2%
Q3 - 4:52OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)76
49.3%
75
50.7%
Q3 - 4:53DALMISS Ellis 13' Floating Jump Shot76
47.8%
75
52.2%
Q3 - 5:05OKCAdams Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)76
44.0%
75
56.0%
Q3 - 5:08OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)73
36.7%
75
63.3%
Q3 - 5:09OKCMISS Ibaka 20' Jump Shot73
33.7%
75
66.3%
Q3 - 5:22DALParsons 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS) (Harris 5 AST)73
36.7%
75
63.3%
Q3 - 5:39DALMAVERICKS Rebound73
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 5:39OKCMISS Westbrook 15' Floating Jump Shot73
45.4%
72
54.6%
Q3 - 5:49DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T8)73
48.7%
72
51.3%
Q3 - 5:59OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)73
44.0%
72
56.0%
Q3 - 5:59OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)72
43.4%
72
56.6%
Q3 - 5:59OKCThunder Rebound71
40.6%
72
59.4%
Q3 - 5:59OKCMISS Adams 10' Jump Shot71
37.4%
72
62.6%
Q3 - 6:15OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)71
40.4%
72
59.6%
Q3 - 6:17DALMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot71
39.1%
72
60.9%
Q3 - 6:39OKCWestbrook 14' Pullup Jump Shot (12 PTS)71
36.1%
72
63.9%
Q3 - 6:52OKCAdams REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)69
33.0%
72
67.0%
Q3 - 6:53DALMISS Ellis 22' Jump Shot69
31.8%
72
68.2%
Q3 - 7:07OKCIbaka 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Westbrook 7 AST)69
29.3%
72
70.7%
Q3 - 7:23DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (20 PTS) (Rondo 6 AST)66
23.7%
72
76.3%
Q3 - 7:35DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)66
26.2%
70
73.8%
Q3 - 7:36OKCMISS Ibaka Free Throw 2 of 266
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q3 - 7:36OKCIbaka Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)66
28.7%
70
71.3%
Q3 - 7:55DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Rondo 5 AST)65
26.6%
70
73.4%
Q3 - 8:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)65
29.4%
68
70.6%
Q3 - 8:12OKCMISS Roberson Free Throw 2 of 265
29.9%
68
70.1%
Q3 - 8:12OKCRoberson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)65
31.5%
68
68.5%
Q3 - 8:30OKCJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)64
29.9%
68
70.1%
Q3 - 8:32DALMISS Rondo 3PT Jump Shot64
28.8%
68
71.2%
Q3 - 8:55OKCIbaka Slam Dunk (12 PTS) (Westbrook 6 AST)64
26.4%
68
73.6%
Q3 - 9:09OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)62
24.1%
68
75.9%
Q3 - 9:09DALMISS Nowitzki 18' Jump Shot62
23.3%
68
76.7%
Q3 - 9:24OKCWestbrook 6' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS)62
21.4%
68
78.6%
Q3 - 9:36OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)60
19.2%
68
80.8%
Q3 - 9:37DALMISS Nowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot60
18.5%
68
81.5%
Q3 - 9:44DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
17.0%
68
83.0%
Q3 - 9:45OKCMISS Jones 5' Driving Hook Shot60
17.6%
68
82.4%
Q3 - 10:17DALRondo 1' Driving Layup (7 PTS)60
19.4%
68
80.6%
Q3 - 10:33OKCJones 9' Turnaround Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Roberson 1 AST)60
21.7%
66
78.3%
Q3 - 10:50DALBarea 1' Driving Layup (9 PTS)58
19.4%
66
80.6%
Q3 - 11:10DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
22.2%
64
77.8%
Q3 - 11:11OKCMISS Westbrook 8' Driving Jump Shot58
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 11:21OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)58
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 11:21DALMISS Parsons 3PT Jump Shot58
23.9%
64
76.1%
Q3 - 11:29DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)58
22.1%
64
77.9%
Q3 - 11:30OKCNowitzki BLOCK (1 BLK)58
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q3 - 11:47OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)58
24.7%
64
75.3%
Q3 - 11:47DALMISS Ellis 8' Jump Shot58
23.9%
64
76.1%
Q2 - 0:00.0DAL58
22.1%
64
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)58
22.1%
64
77.9%
Q2 - 0:00.0OKCMISS Jones 3PT Jump Shot58
22.9%
64
77.1%
Q2 - 0:26.0DALEllis Driving Finger Roll Layup (14 PTS) (Parsons 3 AST)58
24.9%
64
75.1%
Q2 - 0:29.0OKCRondo STEAL (2 STL)58
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q2 - 0:34.0OKCRoberson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)58
30.1%
62
69.9%
Q2 - 0:36.0DALMISS Ellis 2' Driving Layup58
29.5%
62
70.5%
Q2 - 0:55.0OKCSmith 1' Driving Layup (4 PTS)58
28.1%
62
71.9%
Q2 - 1:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS)56
25.1%
62
74.9%
Q2 - 1:11DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS)56
25.4%
61
74.6%
Q2 - 1:23OKCJones Driving Layup (8 PTS) (Smith 2 AST)56
28.8%
60
71.2%
Q2 - 1:30OKCSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)54
25.1%
60
74.9%
Q2 - 1:31DALMISS Rondo 7' Driving Bank Shot54
24.7%
60
75.3%
Q2 - 1:42OKCJackson 4' Driving Bank Shot (12 PTS)54
23.8%
60
76.2%
Q2 - 1:49OKCJones REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
20.6%
60
79.4%
Q2 - 1:50DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
20.3%
60
79.7%
Q2 - 1:57OKCParsons STEAL (1 STL)52
19.5%
60
80.5%
Q2 - 2:11DALParsons Free Throw 1 of 1 (18 PTS)52
21.4%
60
78.6%
Q2 - 2:15DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
25.9%
57
74.1%
Q2 - 2:17OKCMISS Jones 1' Driving Layup52
26.6%
57
73.4%
Q2 - 2:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (14 PTS)52
28.3%
57
71.7%
Q2 - 2:35DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (13 PTS)52
28.5%
56
71.5%
Q2 - 2:35DALMAVERICKS Rebound52
31.0%
55
69.0%
Q2 - 2:35OKCMISS Westbrook 1' Layup52
31.8%
55
68.2%
Q2 - 2:47OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4)52
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q2 - 2:48OKCMISS Adams Free Throw 2 of 252
31.3%
55
68.7%
Q2 - 2:48OKCMISS Adams Free Throw 1 of 252
32.6%
55
67.4%
Q2 - 2:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
33.5%
55
66.5%
Q2 - 2:57DALNowitzki Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
33.8%
54
66.2%
Q2 - 2:57DALNowitzki REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)52
36.6%
53
63.4%
Q2 - 2:57OKCMISS Westbrook 13' Jump Shot52
37.4%
53
62.6%
Q2 - 3:05DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T7)52
39.5%
53
60.5%
Q2 - 3:23OKCIbaka Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10)52
36.2%
53
63.8%
Q2 - 3:39DALRondo 1' Driving Layup (5 PTS) (Nowitzki 1 AST)52
39.5%
53
60.5%
Q2 - 3:52DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
41.9%
51
58.1%
Q2 - 3:53OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 252
42.4%
51
57.6%
Q2 - 3:53OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 1 of 252
44.4%
51
55.6%
Q2 - 3:56OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)52
45.3%
51
54.7%
Q2 - 3:58DALMISS Rondo 17' Jump Shot52
44.3%
51
55.7%
Q2 - 4:16DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
41.8%
51
58.2%
Q2 - 4:18OKCMISS Westbrook 16' Jump Shot52
42.7%
51
57.3%
Q2 - 4:24OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)52
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q2 - 4:25OKCMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot52
42.7%
51
57.3%
Q2 - 4:31OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)52
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q2 - 4:32OKCMISS Morrow 25' 3PT Jump Shot52
42.7%
51
57.3%
Q2 - 4:43DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)52
44.7%
51
55.3%
Q2 - 4:43DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)52
45.3%
50
54.7%
Q2 - 4:55OKCWestbrook 1' Running Layup (8 PTS)52
47.5%
49
52.5%
Q2 - 4:59DALBarea Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T6)50
44.8%
49
55.2%
Q2 - 5:10OKCWestbrook 13' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS)50
41.8%
49
58.2%
Q2 - 5:16OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)48
39.1%
49
60.9%
Q2 - 5:18DALMISS Parsons 2' Driving Layup48
38.3%
49
61.7%
Q2 - 5:37OKCJackson 15' Pullup Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Westbrook 5 AST)48
36.5%
49
63.5%
Q2 - 5:56DALEllis Free Throw 2 of 2 (10 PTS)46
33.9%
49
66.1%
Q2 - 5:56DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 2 (9 PTS)46
34.4%
48
65.6%
Q2 - 6:11OKCJackson 6' Pullup Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Westbrook 4 AST)46
36.3%
47
63.7%
Q2 - 6:16DALSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T5)44
34.4%
47
65.6%
Q2 - 6:25OKCPerkins Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T9)44
31.4%
47
68.6%
Q2 - 6:26OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)44
34.4%
47
65.6%
Q2 - 6:27OKCMISS Westbrook Free Throw 2 of 244
31.8%
47
68.2%
Q2 - 6:27OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)44
33.5%
47
66.5%
Q2 - 6:37OKCWestbrook Free Throw Technical (3 PTS)43
31.9%
47
68.1%
Q2 - 6:49DALBarea 25' 3PT Jump Shot (7 PTS) (Ellis 3 AST)42
29.6%
47
70.4%
Q2 - 7:11OKCMorrow 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (7 PTS)42
34.1%
44
65.9%
Q2 - 7:15DALBarea Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T4)40
31.9%
44
68.1%
Q2 - 7:35OKCPerkins Free Throw 1 of 1 (3 PTS)40
29.5%
44
70.5%
Q2 - 7:47DALBarea Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)37
25.4%
44
74.6%
Q2 - 7:47DALBarea Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS)37
25.8%
43
74.2%
Q2 - 7:57DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)37
27.3%
42
72.7%
Q2 - 7:58OKCMISS Jackson 24' 3PT Jump Shot37
28.0%
42
72.0%
Q2 - 8:05OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)37
29.7%
42
70.3%
Q2 - 8:06DALMISS Barea 4' Driving Jump Shot37
29.0%
42
71.0%
Q2 - 8:15OKCMorrow 17' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Jackson 1 AST)37
27.5%
42
72.5%
Q2 - 8:21OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)35
25.5%
42
74.5%
Q2 - 8:22DALMISS Rondo 16' Jump Shot35
24.9%
42
75.1%
Q2 - 8:32OKCJackson 1' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)35
23.5%
42
76.5%
Q2 - 8:38OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)33
21.8%
42
78.2%
Q2 - 8:39DALMISS Nowitzki 19' Jump Shot33
21.2%
42
78.8%
Q2 - 8:48OKCCollison Foul Turnover (P1.T8)33
20.0%
42
80.0%
Q2 - 9:05DALNowitzki 19' Jump Shot (10 PTS)33
22.2%
42
77.8%
Q2 - 9:19OKCMorrow 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Collison 1 AST)33
23.7%
40
76.3%
Q2 - 9:22OKCCollison REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)30
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 9:23OKCMISS Perkins 8' Jump Shot30
19.2%
40
80.8%
Q2 - 9:37DALJefferson 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Rondo 3 AST)30
20.4%
40
79.6%
Q2 - 9:55OKCCollison 2' Running Reverse Layup (2 PTS) (Perkins 2 AST)30
21.9%
38
78.1%
Q2 - 10:09OKCPerkins REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 10:10DALMISS Harris 26' 3PT Pullup Jump Shot28
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 10:33DALJefferson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)28
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 10:34OKCMISS Jackson 12' Turnaround Fadeaway Shot28
19.4%
38
80.6%
Q2 - 10:43OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)28
20.7%
38
79.3%
Q2 - 10:45DALMISS Rondo 7' Driving Bank Shot28
20.1%
38
79.9%
Q2 - 10:54OKCSmith 2' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Perkins 1 AST)28
18.8%
38
81.2%
Q2 - 11:07DALRondo 1' Driving Layup (3 PTS) (Harris 4 AST)26
17.8%
38
82.2%
Q2 - 11:11OKCHarris STEAL (1 STL)26
19.3%
36
80.7%
Q2 - 11:19DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Jefferson 1 AST)26
20.8%
36
79.2%
Q2 - 11:33OKCJackson Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)26
24.2%
33
75.8%
Q2 - 11:43OKCSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q2 - 11:44DALMISS Rondo 21' Jump Shot26
25.5%
33
74.5%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKC26
24.1%
33
75.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0OKCThomas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)26
26.0%
33
74.0%
Q1 - 0:00.0DALMISS Harris 3PT Jump Shot26
25.5%
33
74.5%
Q1 - 0:20.0OKCIbaka 20' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Smith 1 AST)26
24.7%
33
75.3%
Q1 - 0:32.0DALNowitzki 18' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Harris 3 AST)24
22.6%
33
77.4%
Q1 - 0:46.0OKCJones 5' Driving Jump Shot (6 PTS)24
24.7%
31
75.3%
Q1 - 1:01OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4)22
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q1 - 1:02DALMISS Parsons 9' Fadeaway Jumper22
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q1 - 1:13DALVillanueva REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q1 - 1:13OKCMISS Ibaka 24' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q1 - 1:29OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)22
22.9%
31
77.1%
Q1 - 1:30DALMISS Villanueva 6' Running Jump Shot22
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q1 - 1:38DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)22
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q1 - 1:40OKCMISS Westbrook 2' Layup22
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q1 - 1:42DALSmith Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)22
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q1 - 1:44DALSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)22
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q1 - 1:45OKCMISS Jackson 8' Jump Shot22
22.0%
31
78.0%
Q1 - 1:54OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)22
22.8%
31
77.2%
Q1 - 1:55DALMISS Ellis 6' Driving Jump Shot22
22.5%
31
77.5%
Q1 - 2:13DALSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)22
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q1 - 2:14OKCMISS Westbrook 21' Pullup Jump Shot22
22.1%
31
77.9%
Q1 - 2:20OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)22
23.2%
31
76.8%
Q1 - 2:21DALMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot22
22.7%
31
77.3%
Q1 - 2:34OKCIbaka 4' Turnaround Hook Shot (8 PTS) (Westbrook 3 AST)22
21.7%
31
78.3%
Q1 - 2:50DALParsons Running Slam Dunk (15 PTS) (Harris 2 AST)20
20.1%
31
79.9%
Q1 - 2:54OKCSmith STEAL (1 STL)20
21.7%
29
78.3%
Q1 - 3:20DALSmith Driving Slam Dunk (2 PTS) (Harris 1 AST)20
23.6%
29
76.4%
Q1 - 3:27OKCWestbrook Bad Pass Turnover (P3.T4)20
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q1 - 3:36OKCMorrow REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 3:37DALMISS Ellis 7' Driving Jump Shot20
26.3%
27
73.7%
Q1 - 3:53OKCWestbrook Foul Turnover (P2.T3)20
25.0%
27
75.0%
Q1 - 3:56DALEllis Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)20
26.9%
27
73.1%
Q1 - 4:04DALSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)20
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 4:05OKCMISS Westbrook 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q1 - 4:10OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:3 Def:0)20
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 4:11OKCMISS Jackson 13' Jump Shot20
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q1 - 4:22OKCThunder Rebound20
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 4:23DALMISS Villanueva 25' 3PT Jump Shot20
26.5%
27
73.5%
Q1 - 4:38DALSmith REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)20
25.1%
27
74.9%
Q1 - 4:39OKCVillanueva BLOCK (1 BLK)20
25.7%
27
74.3%
Q1 - 4:54DALParsons 24' 3PT Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Ellis 2 AST)20
27.1%
27
72.9%
Q1 - 5:11OKCIbaka 1' Putback Layup (6 PTS)20
30.6%
24
69.4%
Q1 - 5:12OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:2 Def:0)18
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q1 - 5:13OKCMISS Jones 8' Driving Jump Shot18
27.8%
24
72.2%
Q1 - 5:20OKCJackson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)18
29.1%
24
70.9%
Q1 - 5:21DALMISS Ellis 6' Driving Jump Shot18
28.5%
24
71.5%
Q1 - 5:38OKCJones Dunk (4 PTS) (Westbrook 2 AST)18
27.2%
24
72.8%
Q1 - 5:49DALParsons 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (10 PTS) (Ellis 1 AST)16
25.7%
24
74.3%
Q1 - 5:55DALParsons REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)16
27.2%
22
72.8%
Q1 - 5:57DALMISS Barea 24' 3PT Jump Shot16
28.5%
22
71.5%
Q1 - 6:07OKCIbaka Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T2)16
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 6:24OKCThunder Rebound16
29.3%
22
70.7%
Q1 - 6:25DALMISS Parsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot16
28.8%
22
71.2%
Q1 - 6:41OKCIbaka 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)16
27.6%
22
72.4%
Q1 - 6:55OKCWestbrook REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)14
26.1%
22
73.9%
Q1 - 6:56DALMISS Ellis 3PT Jump Shot14
25.6%
22
74.4%
Q1 - 7:09OKCJackson 23' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Adams 1 AST)14
24.7%
22
75.3%
Q1 - 7:25DALParsons 25' 3PT Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Barea 1 AST)12
23.5%
22
76.5%
Q1 - 7:39OKCJackson 1' Driving Finger Roll Layup (2 PTS)12
26.2%
19
73.8%
Q1 - 7:52DALBarea 2' Driving Layup (2 PTS)10
24.9%
19
75.1%
Q1 - 8:14OKCAdams 7' Turnaround Bank Shot (4 PTS)10
26.4%
17
73.6%
Q1 - 8:32DALParsons 26' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Rondo 2 AST)8
25.0%
17
75.0%
Q1 - 8:37DALBarea REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)8
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 8:38DALMISS Ellis 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
29.1%
14
70.9%
Q1 - 8:56OKCAdams 6' Jump Bank Shot (2 PTS) (Westbrook 1 AST)8
27.9%
14
72.1%
Q1 - 9:06DALEllis REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 9:06DALEllis 1' Putback Layup (8 PTS)6
26.5%
14
73.5%
Q1 - 9:07DALMISS Rondo 3' Running Layup6
29.1%
12
70.9%
Q1 - 9:13DALEllis REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)6
27.9%
12
72.1%
Q1 - 9:14OKCMISS Westbrook 7' Turnaround Jump Shot6
28.4%
12
71.6%
Q1 - 9:29DALRondo Free Throw 2 of 2 (1 PTS)6
29.6%
12
70.4%
Q1 - 9:29DALMISS Rondo Free Throw 1 of 26
30.1%
11
69.9%
Q1 - 9:36OKCIbaka 1' Putback Layup (2 PTS)6
29.5%
11
70.5%
Q1 - 9:38OKCIbaka REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)4
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 9:39OKCMISS Jones 10' Turnaround Jump Shot4
26.9%
11
73.1%
Q1 - 9:54DALEllis Free Throw 1 of 1 (6 PTS)4
28.0%
11
72.0%
Q1 - 10:01OKCWestbrook Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)4
31.1%
8
68.9%
Q1 - 10:01OKCWestbrook Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
30.9%
8
69.1%
Q1 - 10:05DALRondo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T1)2
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 10:09OKCRondo STEAL (1 STL)2
28.0%
8
72.0%
Q1 - 10:32DALParsons 1' Running Layup (2 PTS) (Rondo 1 AST)2
29.7%
8
70.3%
Q1 - 10:39DALBarea REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
31.1%
6
68.9%
Q1 - 10:40OKCMISS Ibaka 21' Jump Shot2
31.6%
6
68.4%
Q1 - 10:57DALNowitzki 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parsons 2 AST)2
32.9%
6
67.1%
Q1 - 11:05DALRondo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)2
36.1%
3
63.9%
Q1 - 11:05OKCMISS Adams 7' Turnaround Hook Shot2
36.6%
3
63.4%
Q1 - 11:19DALEllis 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Parsons 1 AST)2
37.7%
3
62.3%
Q1 - 11:42OKCJones 10' Driving Hook Shot (2 PTS)2
41.4%
0
58.6%
Q1 - 12:00DALJump Ball Nowitzki vs. Adams: Tip to Ibaka0
39.5%
0
60.5%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.05 52.5%
DAL
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
OKC
21
34
62%
DAL
18
28
64%
Midrange
OKC
19
42
45%
DAL
11
29
38%
3PT | Effective 3PT
OKC
5
7.5
14
36%
54%
DAL
10
15.0
31
32%
48%
Free Throws
OKC
12
21
57%
DAL
24
28
86%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
OKC logo Thunder
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
S. Ibaka2687%13.0 / 15
R. Jackson2162%10.5 / 17
R. Westbrook1833%9.0 / 27
S. Adams1155%5.5 / 10
P. Jones III1045%5.0 / 11
A. Morrow975%4.5 / 6
I. Smith660%3.0 / 5
K. Perkins338%1.5 / 4
N. Collison233%1.0 / 3
A. Roberson150%0.5 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DAL logo Mavericks
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
D. Nowitzki3079%15.0 / 19
C. Parsons2681%13.0 / 16
M. Ellis1841%9.0 / 22
R. Rondo1539%7.5 / 19
J. Barea975%4.5 / 6
C. Villanueva732%3.5 / 11
G. Smith4100%2.0 / 2
R. Jefferson2100%1.0 / 1
D. Harris110%0.5 / 5
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

OKC
83
+15
-18
98
DAL
91
+10
-12
101
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

OKC
1.05 52.5%
DAL
1.10 54.9%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
108.1
109.3
OKC 105.9
DAL 108.7 +2.8
Pace
95.5
95.4
OKC 103.7 +3.4
DAL 100.4
Avg. Poss. Time
14.9
15.1
OKC 13.9 +0.5
DAL 14.3
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
49.2%
51.5%
OKC 52.8% +2.8%
DAL 50.0%
TO %
14.6%
13.0%
OKC 15.4%
DAL 10.7% +4.7%
ORB %
29.0%
23.7%
OKC 31.8% +16.6%
DAL 15.2%
FTrt
28.4
26.2
OKC 23.3
DAL 31.8 +8.5
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
52.8%
56.7%
OKC 46.7%
DAL 66.7% +20.0%
STL %
7.6%
8.4%
OKC 7.9% +0.1%
DAL 7.8%
BLK %
9.0%
7.6%
OKC 3.5%
DAL 7.9% +4.4%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2.02 and 2.02.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
51.9%
53.7%
OKC 52.5%
DAL 54.9% +2.4%
Rim FG%
55.9%
60.3%
OKC 61.8%
DAL 64.3% +2.5%
Mid FG%
40.6%
41.5%
OKC 45.2% +7.3%
DAL 37.9%
3P %
33.9%
35.2%
OKC 35.7% +3.4%
DAL 32.3%
FT %
75.4%
75.2%
OKC 57.1%
DAL 85.7% +28.6%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
38.2%
35.3%
OKC 37.8% +6.0%
DAL 31.8%
Mid Att. %
35.6%
35.1%
OKC 46.7%
DAL 33.0% +13.7%
3P Att. %
26.2%
29.6%
OKC 15.6%
DAL 35.2% +19.7%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsOKCDAL
Possessions101103
Possession Minutes23.424.6
Points107112
Rebounds5337
Assists2126
Steals88
Blocks26
Turnovers (Team)18 (0)12 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)14 (1)7 (3)
Def. Rebounds (Team)39 (2)30 (6)
Field Goals45-9039-88
At-the-Rim FG21-3418-28
Midrange FG19-4211-29
2-Point FG40-7629-57
3-Point FG5-1410-31
Free Throws12-2124-28
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
F · 6'10" 235 · 25
37.3
26
87%
10
0
0
0
2
3
4
6
1-2
50%
8-10
80%
3-4
75%
G · 6'3" 200 · 26
36.4
18
33%
9
9
5
0
5
5
3
6
6-9
67%
6-22
27%
0-1
0%
F · 6'11" 235 · 23
26.8
10
45%
2
0
0
0
0
1
0
2
0-0
-
5-9
56%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 21
25.5
11
55%
6
2
0
1
0
4
2
4
3-5
60%
4-8
50%
0-0
-
G · 6'7" 210 · 23
20.3
1
50%
4
1
0
1
1
2
0
4
1-2
50%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'3" 208 · 25
35.3
21
62%
4
3
2
0
6
1
0
4
0-0
-
9-14
64%
1-3
33%
G · 6'5" 210 · 29
22.1
9
75%
3
0
1
0
0
2
1
2
0-0
-
3-4
75%
1-2
50%
C · 6'10" 270 · 30
13.2
3
38%
6
2
0
0
2
3
2
4
1-1
100%
1-4
25%
0-0
-
G · 6'0" 175 · 26
11.6
6
60%
3
2
0
0
1
3
0
3
0-0
-
3-4
75%
0-1
0%
F · 6'10" 255 · 34
10.7
2
33%
5
2
0
0
1
1
2
3
0-2
0%
1-1
100%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 235 · 27
0.8
0
0%
1
0
0
0
0
0
0
1
0-0
-
0-0
-
0-0
-
G · 6'5" 185 · 23
F · 6'10" 232 · 21
#35 · F · 6'11" 240 · 26
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#33 · F · 6'10" 255 · 23
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
107
53%
53
21
8
2
18
0
14
39
12-21
57%
40-76
53%
5-14
36%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.