| ORTG | #Poss | Pace | |
|---|---|---|---|
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 MIL | 97.8 | 93 | 95.7 |
Scoring Opportunities
IND
77
+13
-15
90
MIL
81
+15
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.02 51.1%
MIL
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS
Win Probability
Scoring Margin
Play-by-Play
| Score / WinProb | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clock | Team | Event | IND | MIL |
| Q4 - 0:00.0 | IND | 94 100% | 91 0% | |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | IND | S. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (7 PTS) | 94 99.9% | 89 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:05.0 | IND | S. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS) | 93 99.8% | 89 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | IND | S. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS) | 92 99.0% | 87 1.0% |
| Q4 - 0:11.0 | IND | MISS S. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 | 91 98.8% | 87 1.2% |
| Q4 - 0:13.0 | MIL | Mayo 1' Layup (11 PTS) (Knight 6 AST) | 91 99.1% | 87 0.9% |
| Q4 - 0:15.0 | IND | Knight STEAL (4 STL) | 91 99.5% | 85 0.5% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 91 99.9% | 85 0.1% |
| Q4 - 0:18.0 | MIL | MISS Dudley 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 91 99.8% | 85 0.2% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | IND | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (11 PTS) | 91 98.9% | 85 1.1% |
| Q4 - 0:28.0 | IND | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (10 PTS) | 90 98.8% | 85 1.2% |
| Q4 - 0:34.0 | MIL | Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Mayo 1 AST) | 89 98.0% | 85 2.0% |
| Q4 - 0:37.0 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:4 Def:10) | 89 99.6% | 82 0.4% |
| Q4 - 0:38.0 | MIL | MISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 89 99.5% | 82 0.5% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | IND | Stuckey Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS) | 89 98.9% | 82 1.1% |
| Q4 - 0:47.0 | IND | Stuckey Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS) | 88 98.8% | 82 1.2% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIL | Middleton 1' Layup (11 PTS) | 87 97.9% | 82 2.1% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7) | 87 98.9% | 80 1.1% |
| Q4 - 0:49.0 | MIL | MISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 99.3% | 80 0.7% |
| Q4 - 0:55.0 | MIL | Antetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 87 98.6% | 80 1.4% |
| Q4 - 0:56.0 | IND | MISS Sloan 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 87 98.8% | 80 1.2% |
| Q4 - 1:16 | IND | Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 87 98.7% | 80 1.3% |
| Q4 - 1:19 | MIL | MISS Pachulia 1' Layup | 87 98.4% | 80 1.6% |
| Q4 - 1:26 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:10) | 87 97.2% | 80 2.8% |
| Q4 - 1:28 | IND | MISS Hibbert 9' Jump Shot | 87 97.6% | 80 2.4% |
| Q4 - 1:42 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:8) | 87 97.9% | 80 2.1% |
| Q4 - 1:45 | MIL | MISS Antetokounmpo 1' Layup | 87 97.4% | 80 2.6% |
| Q4 - 2:00 | IND | Sloan Driving Layup (10 PTS) | 87 96.2% | 80 3.8% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | MIL | Antetokounmpo Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 85 94.2% | 80 5.8% |
| Q4 - 2:18 | MIL | Antetokounmpo Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 85 94.7% | 79 5.3% |
| Q4 - 2:32 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (18 PTS) | 85 95.4% | 78 4.6% |
| Q4 - 2:32 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (17 PTS) | 84 95.0% | 78 5.0% |
| Q4 - 2:48 | IND | S. Hill REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 83 94.2% | 78 5.8% |
| Q4 - 2:49 | IND | MISS Hibbert 11' Hook Shot | 83 91.0% | 78 9.0% |
| Q4 - 3:11 | IND | Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 83 92.7% | 78 7.3% |
| Q4 - 3:12 | MIL | MISS Knight 6' Jump Shot | 83 91.4% | 78 8.6% |
| Q4 - 3:26 | IND | West Bad Pass Turnover (P4.T14) | 83 87.6% | 78 12.4% |
| Q4 - 3:38 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 83 89.1% | 78 10.9% |
| Q4 - 3:39 | IND | MISS Sloan Layup | 83 86.2% | 78 13.8% |
| Q4 - 4:03 | IND | S. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 83 89.6% | 78 10.4% |
| Q4 - 4:05 | MIL | MISS Mayo Layup | 83 88.4% | 78 11.6% |
| Q4 - 4:11 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:9) | 83 85.2% | 78 14.8% |
| Q4 - 4:12 | IND | MISS Scola Free Throw 2 of 2 | 83 85.9% | 78 14.1% |
| Q4 - 4:12 | IND | MISS Scola Free Throw 1 of 2 | 83 88.5% | 78 11.5% |
| Q4 - 4:28 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 83 89.8% | 78 10.2% |
| Q4 - 4:29 | MIL | MISS Bayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 88.6% | 78 11.4% |
| Q4 - 4:39 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 83 85.4% | 78 14.6% |
| Q4 - 4:40 | IND | MISS Sloan 17' Step Back Jump Shot | 83 86.9% | 78 13.1% |
| Q4 - 4:52 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 83 89.9% | 78 10.1% |
| Q4 - 4:53 | MIL | MISS Knight 16' Jump Shot | 83 88.7% | 78 11.3% |
| Q4 - 5:12 | MIL | Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 83 82.2% | 78 17.8% |
| Q4 - 5:14 | IND | MISS Copeland 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 83.8% | 78 16.2% |
| Q4 - 5:41 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 83 87.0% | 78 13.0% |
| Q4 - 5:42 | MIL | MISS Antetokounmpo 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 83 85.8% | 78 14.2% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:6) | 83 82.5% | 78 17.5% |
| Q4 - 5:51 | MIL | MISS Bayless 3' Jump Shot | 83 85.8% | 78 14.2% |
| Q4 - 6:11 | IND | Allen 4' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sloan 6 AST) | 83 80.1% | 78 19.9% |
| Q4 - 6:26 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 81 75.8% | 78 24.2% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | MIL | MISS Henson Free Throw 2 of 2 | 81 75.0% | 78 25.0% |
| Q4 - 6:27 | MIL | Henson Free Throw 1 of 2 (14 PTS) | 81 72.2% | 78 27.8% |
| Q4 - 6:34 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 81 75.0% | 77 25.0% |
| Q4 - 6:37 | IND | Antetokounmpo BLOCK (4 BLK) | 81 76.9% | 77 23.1% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | MIL | Henson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS) | 81 79.2% | 77 20.8% |
| Q4 - 7:01 | MIL | MISS Henson Free Throw 1 of 2 | 81 80.8% | 76 19.2% |
| Q4 - 7:17 | IND | Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (22 PTS) | 81 78.8% | 76 21.2% |
| Q4 - 7:44 | MIL | Henson Dunk (12 PTS) (Marshall 4 AST) | 78 68.8% | 76 31.2% |
| Q4 - 8:04 | IND | Scola Layup (14 PTS) | 78 72.7% | 74 27.3% |
| Q4 - 8:05 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 76 67.4% | 74 32.6% |
| Q4 - 8:07 | IND | MISS Sloan 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 76 63.4% | 74 36.6% |
| Q4 - 8:34 | MIL | Mayo Dunk (9 PTS) (Dudley 4 AST) | 76 67.5% | 74 32.5% |
| Q4 - 8:38 | IND | Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot (19 PTS) (Sloan 5 AST) | 76 72.8% | 72 27.2% |
| Q4 - 8:46 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 73 61.6% | 72 38.4% |
| Q4 - 8:49 | MIL | MISS Mayo 1' Layup | 73 59.7% | 72 40.3% |
| Q4 - 8:54 | MIL | Mayo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 73 55.3% | 72 44.7% |
| Q4 - 8:55 | IND | MISS Miles 19' Jump Shot | 73 57.3% | 72 42.7% |
| Q4 - 9:09 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 73 61.1% | 72 38.9% |
| Q4 - 9:10 | MIL | MISS Dudley 19' Jump Shot | 73 59.3% | 72 40.7% |
| Q4 - 9:38 | IND | Sloan 27' 3PT Jump Bank Shot (8 PTS) | 73 55.1% | 72 44.9% |
| Q4 - 9:52 | MIL | Bayless 19' Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 70 43.4% | 72 56.6% |
| Q4 - 10:07 | IND | Scola 5' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Allen 5 AST) | 70 49.2% | 70 50.8% |
| Q4 - 10:28 | MIL | Henson Reverse Layup (10 PTS) (Marshall 3 AST) | 68 43.8% | 70 56.2% |
| Q4 - 10:48 | IND | Allen Hook Shot (4 PTS) (Scola 1 AST) | 68 49.2% | 68 50.8% |
| Q4 - 11:10 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 66 43.9% | 68 56.1% |
| Q4 - 11:11 | MIL | MISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 66 42.2% | 68 57.8% |
| Q4 - 11:18 | IND | Bayless STEAL (2 STL) | 66 38.5% | 68 61.5% |
| Q4 - 11:32 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 66 43.9% | 68 56.1% |
| Q4 - 11:33 | MIL | MISS Bayless 17' Jump Shot | 66 42.2% | 68 57.8% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | IND | 66 38.5% | 68 61.5% | |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | IND | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 66 43.9% | 68 56.1% |
| Q3 - 0:00.0 | MIL | MISS Henson Tip Shot | 66 42.2% | 68 57.8% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5) | 66 39.3% | 68 60.7% |
| Q3 - 0:01.0 | MIL | MISS Bayless Layup | 66 42.7% | 68 57.3% |
| Q3 - 0:26.0 | IND | Stuckey Free Throw Technical (7 PTS) | 66 39.2% | 68 60.8% |
| Q3 - 0:27.0 | IND | Stuckey 10' Pullup Jump Shot (6 PTS) | 65 34.5% | 68 65.5% |
| Q3 - 0:44.0 | MIL | Dudley 25' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Bayless 5 AST) | 63 30.0% | 68 70.0% |
| Q3 - 0:50.0 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 63 39.2% | 65 60.8% |
| Q3 - 0:51.0 | IND | MISS Allen 3' Hook Shot | 63 40.7% | 65 59.3% |
| Q3 - 1:02 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:4 Def:4) | 63 44.6% | 65 55.4% |
| Q3 - 1:04 | IND | MISS Allen 18' Jump Shot | 63 41.1% | 65 58.9% |
| Q3 - 1:15 | MIL | Henson Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T13) | 63 44.5% | 65 55.5% |
| Q3 - 1:17 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 63 39.7% | 65 60.3% |
| Q3 - 1:19 | MIL | MISS Mayo 15' Jump Shot | 63 43.0% | 65 57.0% |
| Q3 - 1:34 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 63 39.7% | 65 60.3% |
| Q3 - 1:35 | IND | MISS West 6' Jump Shot | 63 41.1% | 65 58.9% |
| Q3 - 1:48 | IND | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 63 44.5% | 65 55.5% |
| Q3 - 1:49 | MIL | MISS Henson 6' Hook Shot | 63 43.0% | 65 57.0% |
| Q3 - 2:04 | IND | West 4' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Allen 4 AST) | 63 39.9% | 65 60.1% |
| Q3 - 2:19 | MIL | Henson Foul Turnover (P1.T12) | 61 35.8% | 65 64.2% |
| Q3 - 2:25 | MIL | Dudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 31.5% | 65 68.5% |
| Q3 - 2:26 | IND | MISS Miles 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 32.7% | 65 67.3% |
| Q3 - 2:37 | MIL | Antetokounmpo Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T11) | 61 35.8% | 65 64.2% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 61 31.4% | 65 68.6% |
| Q3 - 2:52 | IND | MISS Allen 4' Hook Shot | 61 32.7% | 65 67.3% |
| Q3 - 2:55 | IND | Allen REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 61 35.8% | 65 64.2% |
| Q3 - 2:56 | IND | MISS West 15' Jump Shot | 61 32.7% | 65 67.3% |
| Q3 - 3:06 | IND | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 61 36.5% | 65 63.5% |
| Q3 - 3:07 | MIL | MISS Henson 7' Hook Shot | 61 35.1% | 65 64.9% |
| Q3 - 3:26 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7) | 61 32.2% | 65 67.8% |
| Q3 - 3:28 | IND | Henson BLOCK (2 BLK) | 61 33.4% | 65 66.6% |
| Q3 - 3:37 | IND | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 61 36.4% | 65 63.6% |
| Q3 - 3:38 | MIL | MISS Antetokounmpo 7' Fadeaway Jumper | 61 35.1% | 65 64.9% |
| Q3 - 3:46 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6) | 61 32.1% | 65 67.9% |
| Q3 - 3:47 | IND | MISS Stuckey 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 61 33.4% | 65 66.6% |
| Q3 - 4:07 | MIL | Knight 1' Layup (18 PTS) (Middleton 3 AST) | 61 37.2% | 65 62.8% |
| Q3 - 4:11 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5) | 61 40.3% | 63 59.7% |
| Q3 - 4:12 | IND | MISS S. Hill 17' Jump Shot | 61 41.8% | 63 58.2% |
| Q3 - 4:15 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 61 45.4% | 63 54.6% |
| Q3 - 4:15 | IND | MISS Miles 1' Layup | 61 41.8% | 63 58.2% |
| Q3 - 4:22 | MIL | Knight Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 61 45.4% | 63 54.6% |
| Q3 - 4:39 | IND | Miles 24' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS) (Stuckey 4 AST) | 61 40.3% | 63 59.7% |
| Q3 - 4:49 | IND | S. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 58 33.2% | 63 66.8% |
| Q3 - 4:52 | MIL | MISS Knight 1' Layup | 58 31.8% | 63 68.2% |
| Q3 - 4:56 | IND | Knight STEAL (3 STL) | 58 28.8% | 63 71.2% |
| Q3 - 5:19 | MIL | Henson Alley Oop Dunk (8 PTS) (Knight 5 AST) | 58 33.6% | 63 66.4% |
| Q3 - 5:32 | IND | Stuckey 8' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (West 4 AST) | 58 36.8% | 61 63.2% |
| Q3 - 5:37 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:3 Def:4) | 56 33.6% | 61 66.4% |
| Q3 - 5:38 | IND | MISS Stuckey 19' Jump Shot | 56 30.7% | 61 69.3% |
| Q3 - 5:50 | IND | MISS Miles Free Throw Technical | 56 33.6% | 61 66.4% |
| Q3 - 5:59 | IND | Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 56 33.6% | 61 66.4% |
| Q3 - 6:00 | MIL | MISS O'Bryant 15' Jump Shot | 56 32.3% | 61 67.7% |
| Q3 - 6:16 | IND | Hibbert Foul Turnover (P3.T11) | 56 30.2% | 61 69.8% |
| Q3 - 6:28 | MIL | Middleton 1' Layup (9 PTS) (O'Bryant 2 AST) | 56 34.2% | 61 65.8% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (16 PTS) | 56 37.3% | 59 62.7% |
| Q3 - 6:41 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (15 PTS) | 55 36.6% | 59 63.4% |
| Q3 - 6:56 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 54 34.2% | 59 65.8% |
| Q3 - 6:57 | MIL | MISS Knight 15' Jump Shot | 54 32.9% | 59 67.1% |
| Q3 - 7:08 | IND | Sloan Running Layup (5 PTS) | 54 30.7% | 59 69.3% |
| Q3 - 7:35 | MIL | Knight 18' Jump Shot (16 PTS) | 52 27.9% | 59 72.1% |
| Q3 - 7:46 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:8) | 52 30.7% | 57 69.3% |
| Q3 - 7:48 | IND | MISS Hibbert 12' Jump Shot | 52 31.8% | 57 68.2% |
| Q3 - 8:14 | MIL | Middleton Layup (7 PTS) (Pachulia 1 AST) | 52 35.0% | 57 65.0% |
| Q3 - 8:29 | IND | Hibbert 1' Layup (14 PTS) | 52 37.8% | 55 62.2% |
| Q3 - 8:30 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4) | 50 34.9% | 55 65.1% |
| Q3 - 8:31 | IND | MISS S. Hill 1' Layup | 50 32.2% | 55 67.8% |
| Q3 - 8:46 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 50 34.9% | 55 65.1% |
| Q3 - 8:47 | IND | MISS Sloan 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 32.2% | 55 67.8% |
| Q3 - 9:02 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 50 35.0% | 55 65.0% |
| Q3 - 9:03 | MIL | MISS Middleton 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 50 34.0% | 55 66.0% |
| Q3 - 9:12 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4) | 50 31.7% | 55 68.3% |
| Q3 - 9:14 | IND | Antetokounmpo BLOCK (3 BLK) | 50 32.7% | 55 67.3% |
| Q3 - 9:43 | MIL | Knight 3' Layup (14 PTS) | 50 35.0% | 55 65.0% |
| Q3 - 9:55 | IND | Hibbert Dunk (12 PTS) (West 3 AST) | 50 38.2% | 53 61.8% |
| Q3 - 10:11 | MIL | O'Bryant Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T9) | 48 35.5% | 53 64.5% |
| Q3 - 10:26 | IND | S. Hill Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T10) | 48 32.2% | 53 67.8% |
| Q3 - 10:27 | MIL | Middleton Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T8) | 48 35.5% | 53 64.5% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 48 32.2% | 53 67.8% |
| Q3 - 10:41 | MIL | MISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot | 48 34.4% | 53 65.6% |
| Q3 - 10:57 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:3 Def:7) | 48 32.2% | 53 67.8% |
| Q3 - 10:58 | MIL | MISS Antetokounmpo 20' Jump Shot | 48 34.4% | 53 65.6% |
| Q3 - 11:23 | IND | West 1' Layup (4 PTS) | 48 33.0% | 53 67.0% |
| Q3 - 11:25 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3) | 46 30.1% | 53 69.9% |
| Q3 - 11:26 | IND | MISS Hibbert 10' Hook Shot | 46 28.1% | 53 71.9% |
| Q3 - 11:36 | IND | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 46 30.1% | 53 69.9% |
| Q3 - 11:38 | MIL | MISS O'Bryant 15' Jump Shot | 46 29.2% | 53 70.8% |
| Q3 - 11:48 | IND | Hibbert Foul Turnover (P2.T9) | 46 27.2% | 53 72.8% |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIL | 46 30.1% | 53 69.9% | |
| Q2 - 0:00.0 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7) | 46 27.2% | 53 72.8% |
| Q2 - 0:01.0 | IND | MISS Sloan 18' Jump Shot | 46 29.2% | 53 70.8% |
| Q2 - 0:05.0 | MIL | Pachulia 1' Layup (10 PTS) | 46 30.6% | 53 69.4% |
| Q2 - 0:06.0 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6) | 46 34.2% | 51 65.8% |
| Q2 - 0:07.0 | MIL | MISS Bayless 7' Jump Shot | 46 35.7% | 51 64.3% |
| Q2 - 0:30.0 | MIL | Antetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 46 34.2% | 51 65.8% |
| Q2 - 0:31.0 | MIL | MISS Bayless 27' 3PT Jump Shot | 46 35.7% | 51 64.3% |
| Q2 - 0:37.0 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6) | 46 34.1% | 51 65.9% |
| Q2 - 0:39.0 | IND | MISS Sloan 1' Layup | 46 34.8% | 51 65.2% |
| Q2 - 0:50.0 | MIL | Knight 14' Jump Shot (12 PTS) (Bayless 4 AST) | 46 36.4% | 51 63.6% |
| Q2 - 1:01 | IND | Hibbert 18' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (S. Hill 3 AST) | 46 41.0% | 49 59.0% |
| Q2 - 1:19 | MIL | Bayless 1' Layup (4 PTS) (Knight 4 AST) | 44 36.6% | 49 63.4% |
| Q2 - 1:24 | IND | Pachulia STEAL (1 STL) | 44 41.0% | 47 59.0% |
| Q2 - 1:42 | MIL | Pachulia 5' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Bayless 3 AST) | 44 42.7% | 47 57.3% |
| Q2 - 1:58 | IND | Miles 10' Jump Bank Shot (13 PTS) (Sloan 4 AST) | 44 47.2% | 45 52.8% |
| Q2 - 2:13 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 43.5% | 45 56.5% |
| Q2 - 2:14 | MIL | MISS Middleton 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 42 42.6% | 45 57.4% |
| Q2 - 2:35 | MIL | Antetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 42 40.6% | 45 59.4% |
| Q2 - 2:36 | IND | MISS Miles 3PT Jump Shot | 42 41.4% | 45 58.6% |
| Q2 - 2:54 | MIL | BUCKS Turnover: Shot Clock (T#7) | 42 43.4% | 45 56.6% |
| Q2 - 2:54 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 42 40.6% | 45 59.4% |
| Q2 - 2:54 | MIL | MISS Pachulia 16' Jump Shot | 42 42.5% | 45 57.5% |
| Q2 - 3:23 | IND | Hibbert 8' Hook Shot (8 PTS) | 42 40.7% | 45 59.3% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | MIL | Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (6 PTS) | 40 38.3% | 45 61.7% |
| Q2 - 3:43 | MIL | Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (5 PTS) | 40 38.9% | 44 61.1% |
| Q2 - 4:00 | IND | S. Hill 2' Layup (4 PTS) (Sloan 3 AST) | 40 40.7% | 43 59.3% |
| Q2 - 4:20 | MIL | Knight 3PT Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Bayless 2 AST) | 38 38.5% | 43 61.5% |
| Q2 - 4:33 | IND | Scola 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Stuckey 3 AST) | 38 43.9% | 40 56.1% |
| Q2 - 4:51 | MIL | Bayless Layup (2 PTS) | 36 41.2% | 40 58.8% |
| Q2 - 4:54 | IND | Bayless STEAL (1 STL) | 36 43.9% | 38 56.1% |
| Q2 - 5:04 | MIL | Knight Foul Turnover (P1.T6) | 36 47.1% | 38 52.9% |
| Q2 - 5:18 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 36 44.3% | 38 55.7% |
| Q2 - 5:20 | IND | Pachulia BLOCK (1 BLK) | 36 45.1% | 38 54.9% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | MIL | Pachulia Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 36 47.1% | 38 52.9% |
| Q2 - 5:35 | MIL | Pachulia Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 36 47.6% | 37 52.4% |
| Q2 - 5:41 | IND | Knight STEAL (2 STL) | 36 49.9% | 36 50.1% |
| Q2 - 5:42 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 36 52.7% | 36 47.3% |
| Q2 - 5:42 | IND | Henson BLOCK (1 BLK) | 36 50.7% | 36 49.3% |
| Q2 - 6:01 | MIL | Marshall Layup (2 PTS) | 36 53.0% | 36 47.0% |
| Q2 - 6:14 | IND | Stuckey 8' Pullup Jump Shot (2 PTS) | 36 55.2% | 34 44.8% |
| Q2 - 6:23 | IND | Miles REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 34 53.0% | 34 47.0% |
| Q2 - 6:24 | MIL | MISS Mayo 18' Jump Shot | 34 52.0% | 34 48.0% |
| Q2 - 6:38 | IND | Miles 29' 3PT Jump Shot (11 PTS) (S. Hill 2 AST) | 34 49.7% | 34 50.3% |
| Q2 - 6:47 | IND | Scola REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 31 44.8% | 34 55.2% |
| Q2 - 6:48 | MIL | MISS Marshall 3PT Jump Shot | 31 43.8% | 34 56.2% |
| Q2 - 6:59 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 31 41.6% | 34 58.4% |
| Q2 - 7:00 | IND | MISS Scola 3' Layup | 31 42.6% | 34 57.4% |
| Q2 - 7:21 | MIL | Mayo 3' Running Layup (7 PTS) | 31 44.9% | 34 55.1% |
| Q2 - 7:40 | IND | Scola Layup (8 PTS) (Allen 3 AST) | 31 47.3% | 32 52.7% |
| Q2 - 7:50 | MIL | Marshall Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T5) | 29 44.9% | 32 55.1% |
| Q2 - 8:03 | IND | Scola 5' Running Bank Shot (6 PTS) | 29 42.1% | 32 57.9% |
| Q2 - 8:30 | MIL | Dudley 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Henson 1 AST) | 27 39.8% | 32 60.2% |
| Q2 - 8:45 | MIL | Marshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 27 44.7% | 29 55.3% |
| Q2 - 8:46 | IND | MISS Copeland 3PT Jump Shot | 27 45.5% | 29 54.5% |
| Q2 - 8:59 | MIL | Henson 5' Hook Shot (6 PTS) (Marshall 2 AST) | 27 47.4% | 29 52.6% |
| Q2 - 9:10 | IND | Copeland Foul Turnover (P1.T5) | 27 49.7% | 27 50.3% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 27 52.6% | 27 47.4% |
| Q2 - 9:26 | IND | MISS Miles 3' Jump Shot | 27 50.6% | 27 49.4% |
| Q2 - 9:32 | MIL | Bayless Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4) | 27 52.6% | 27 47.4% |
| Q2 - 9:42 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 27 49.7% | 27 50.3% |
| Q2 - 9:43 | IND | MISS Allen 8' Jump Shot | 27 50.6% | 27 49.4% |
| Q2 - 10:03 | MIL | Henson Layup (4 PTS) (Dudley 3 AST) | 27 52.6% | 27 47.4% |
| Q2 - 10:14 | MIL | Dudley REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 27 54.6% | 25 45.4% |
| Q2 - 10:15 | IND | MISS Miles 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 55.5% | 25 44.5% |
| Q2 - 10:32 | MIL | Henson Dunk (2 PTS) (Marshall 1 AST) | 27 57.5% | 25 42.5% |
| Q2 - 10:38 | MIL | Marshall REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 27 59.5% | 23 40.5% |
| Q2 - 10:39 | MIL | MISS Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 27 61.4% | 23 38.6% |
| Q2 - 10:52 | IND | Allen 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Stuckey 2 AST) | 27 59.5% | 23 40.5% |
| Q2 - 11:10 | MIL | Mayo Bad Pass Turnover (P2.T3) | 25 56.9% | 23 43.1% |
| Q2 - 11:20 | IND | Scola Running Layup (4 PTS) (Allen 2 AST) | 25 54.5% | 23 45.5% |
| Q2 - 11:35 | MIL | Mayo 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Bayless 1 AST) | 23 52.2% | 23 47.8% |
| Q2 - 11:46 | MIL | Henson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 23 54.5% | 21 45.5% |
| Q2 - 11:47 | IND | MISS Copeland 24' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 55.3% | 21 44.7% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | 23 57.0% | 21 43.0% | |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 23 54.5% | 21 45.5% |
| Q1 - 0:00.0 | MIL | MISS Middleton 40' 3PT Jump Shot | 23 56.3% | 21 43.7% |
| Q1 - 0:02.0 | IND | Knight STEAL (1 STL) | 23 54.7% | 21 45.3% |
| Q1 - 0:15.0 | MIL | Mayo 24' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 3 AST) | 23 56.4% | 21 43.6% |
| Q1 - 0:27.0 | IND | Scola 1' Layup (2 PTS) (Allen 1 AST) | 23 61.6% | 18 38.4% |
| Q1 - 0:35.0 | IND | Allen REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 21 58.7% | 18 41.3% |
| Q1 - 0:37.0 | MIL | MISS Dudley 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 21 58.2% | 18 41.8% |
| Q1 - 0:48.0 | IND | Miles 18' Jump Shot (8 PTS) (Stuckey 1 AST) | 21 57.0% | 18 43.0% |
| Q1 - 1:06 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 19 54.1% | 18 45.9% |
| Q1 - 1:08 | MIL | MISS Mayo 26' 3PT Jump Shot | 19 53.6% | 18 46.4% |
| Q1 - 1:24 | IND | Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Sloan 2 AST) | 19 52.4% | 18 47.6% |
| Q1 - 1:41 | MIL | Middleton 1' Layup (5 PTS) (Dudley 2 AST) | 16 47.2% | 18 52.8% |
| Q1 - 1:44 | IND | Dudley STEAL (1 STL) | 16 50.1% | 16 49.9% |
| Q1 - 2:02 | MIL | Mayo Step Out of Bounds Turnover (P1.T2) | 16 52.1% | 16 47.9% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | IND | S. Hill Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS) | 16 49.9% | 16 50.1% |
| Q1 - 2:10 | IND | S. Hill Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS) | 15 49.5% | 16 50.5% |
| Q1 - 2:34 | MIL | Knight 19' Jump Shot (7 PTS) | 14 47.5% | 16 52.5% |
| Q1 - 2:57 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 14 49.9% | 14 50.1% |
| Q1 - 2:58 | IND | MISS West 10' Jump Shot | 14 50.6% | 14 49.4% |
| Q1 - 3:20 | IND | Sloan REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 52.3% | 14 47.7% |
| Q1 - 3:22 | MIL | MISS Pachulia Layup | 14 51.5% | 14 48.5% |
| Q1 - 3:30 | MIL | Middleton REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 14 49.8% | 14 50.2% |
| Q1 - 3:32 | IND | MISS Allen 15' Jump Shot | 14 50.5% | 14 49.5% |
| Q1 - 3:48 | MIL | Antetokounmpo 17' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Knight 2 AST) | 14 52.3% | 14 47.7% |
| Q1 - 4:02 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5) | 14 54.1% | 12 45.9% |
| Q1 - 4:03 | IND | MISS S. Hill 3PT Jump Shot | 14 54.9% | 12 45.1% |
| Q1 - 4:27 | MIL | Knight 19' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Dudley 1 AST) | 14 56.6% | 12 43.4% |
| Q1 - 4:42 | IND | West 17' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Sloan 1 AST) | 14 58.4% | 10 41.6% |
| Q1 - 4:56 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3) | 12 56.6% | 10 43.4% |
| Q1 - 4:58 | MIL | MISS Middleton 16' Jump Shot | 12 55.8% | 10 44.2% |
| Q1 - 5:09 | MIL | Antetokounmpo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 12 53.7% | 10 46.3% |
| Q1 - 5:10 | IND | MISS West 7' Jump Shot | 12 54.4% | 10 45.6% |
| Q1 - 5:25 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 12 56.0% | 10 44.0% |
| Q1 - 5:26 | MIL | MISS Knight 10' Jump Shot | 12 55.3% | 10 44.7% |
| Q1 - 5:42 | IND | Miles 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (S. Hill 1 AST) | 12 53.8% | 10 46.2% |
| Q1 - 5:58 | MIL | Knight 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Middleton 2 AST) | 9 49.8% | 10 50.2% |
| Q1 - 6:15 | IND | Sloan 27' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Miles 1 AST) | 9 53.5% | 7 46.5% |
| Q1 - 6:35 | MIL | Pachulia 11' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Middleton 1 AST) | 6 49.7% | 7 50.3% |
| Q1 - 6:37 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 6 51.5% | 5 48.5% |
| Q1 - 6:38 | MIL | MISS Pachulia 15' Jump Shot | 6 53.0% | 5 47.0% |
| Q1 - 6:47 | IND | Hibbert 4' Turnaround Jump Shot (6 PTS) (West 2 AST) | 6 51.5% | 5 48.5% |
| Q1 - 6:58 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 4 49.7% | 5 50.3% |
| Q1 - 6:59 | MIL | MISS Knight 4' Jump Shot | 4 49.1% | 5 50.9% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | MIL | BUCKS Rebound | 4 47.6% | 5 52.4% |
| Q1 - 7:02 | MIL | MISS O'Bryant 15' Jump Shot | 4 49.2% | 5 50.8% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS) | 4 47.6% | 5 52.4% |
| Q1 - 7:14 | IND | Hibbert Free Throw 1 of 2 (3 PTS) | 3 47.3% | 5 52.7% |
| Q1 - 7:29 | MIL | Antetokounmpo 3' Layup (2 PTS) (O'Bryant 1 AST) | 2 46.0% | 5 54.0% |
| Q1 - 7:36 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4) | 2 47.6% | 3 52.4% |
| Q1 - 7:37 | IND | MISS West 14' Turnaround Jump Shot | 2 48.3% | 3 51.7% |
| Q1 - 8:00 | MIL | Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Knight 1 AST) | 2 49.8% | 3 50.2% |
| Q1 - 8:10 | IND | Middleton STEAL (2 STL) | 2 53.8% | 0 46.2% |
| Q1 - 8:28 | MIL | Antetokounmpo Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1) | 2 55.8% | 0 44.2% |
| Q1 - 8:32 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3) | 2 53.7% | 0 46.3% |
| Q1 - 8:34 | IND | Antetokounmpo BLOCK (2 BLK) | 2 54.4% | 0 45.6% |
| Q1 - 8:37 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 2 55.8% | 0 44.2% |
| Q1 - 8:38 | MIL | MISS Antetokounmpo 3PT Jump Shot | 2 55.1% | 0 44.9% |
| Q1 - 8:51 | IND | Middleton STEAL (1 STL) | 2 53.7% | 0 46.3% |
| Q1 - 8:58 | IND | S. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2) | 2 55.8% | 0 44.2% |
| Q1 - 8:59 | MIL | MISS Pachulia 17' Jump Shot | 2 55.1% | 0 44.9% |
| Q1 - 9:21 | IND | Hibbert 10' Turnaround Hook Shot (2 PTS) (West 1 AST) | 2 53.7% | 0 46.3% |
| Q1 - 9:36 | IND | West REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 52.0% | 0 48.0% |
| Q1 - 9:38 | IND | MISS Stuckey Layup | 0 50.6% | 0 49.4% |
| Q1 - 9:57 | IND | S. Hill REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 52.0% | 0 48.0% |
| Q1 - 9:58 | MIL | MISS Knight 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 51.4% | 0 48.6% |
| Q1 - 10:18 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2) | 0 49.9% | 0 50.1% |
| Q1 - 10:20 | IND | Antetokounmpo BLOCK (1 BLK) | 0 50.5% | 0 49.5% |
| Q1 - 10:28 | IND | Stuckey REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 52.0% | 0 48.0% |
| Q1 - 10:29 | MIL | MISS Antetokounmpo 16' Jump Shot | 0 51.3% | 0 48.7% |
| Q1 - 10:42 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1) | 0 49.9% | 0 50.1% |
| Q1 - 10:43 | IND | MISS Stuckey 10' Jump Shot | 0 50.5% | 0 49.5% |
| Q1 - 10:56 | IND | Pacers Rebound | 0 52.0% | 0 48.0% |
| Q1 - 10:58 | MIL | MISS Knight Layup | 0 51.3% | 0 48.7% |
| Q1 - 11:04 | MIL | Knight REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 50.0% | 0 50.0% |
| Q1 - 11:05 | IND | MISS Stuckey 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 50.5% | 0 49.5% |
| Q1 - 11:29 | IND | Hibbert REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1) | 0 51.7% | 0 48.3% |
| Q1 - 11:30 | MIL | MISS O'Bryant 16' Jump Shot | 0 51.2% | 0 48.8% |
| Q1 - 11:42 | MIL | Pachulia REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0) | 0 50.0% | 0 50.0% |
| Q1 - 11:43 | MIL | MISS Middleton 25' 3PT Jump Shot | 0 51.2% | 0 48.8% |
| Q1 - 12:00 | MIL | Jump Ball Pachulia vs. Hibbert: Tip to Antetokounmpo | 0 50.0% | 0 50.0% |
SHOOTING
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.02 51.1%
MIL
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Scoring by Shot Type
At the Rim (within 5 feet)
IND
17
31
55%
MIL
23
34
68%
Midrange
IND
10
30
33%
MIL
8
31
26%
3PT | Effective 3PT
IND
8
12.0
20
40%
60%
MIL
7
10.5
24
29%
44%
Free Throws
IND
16
20
80%
MIL
8
10
80%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency Misses
Bars scaled to point value.
Total Points
| Pacers| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| C. Miles | 22 | 79% | 11.0 / 14 | |
| R. Hibbert | 18 | 64% | 9.0 / 14 | |
| L. Scola | 14 | 70% | 7.0 / 10 | |
| R. Stuckey | 11 | 61% | 5.5 / 9 | |
| D. Sloan | 10 | 45% | 5.0 / 11 | |
| S. Hill | 7 | 35% | 3.5 / 10 | |
| D. West | 6 | 38% | 3.0 / 8 | |
| L. Allen | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| C. Copeland | 0 | - | 0.0 / 3 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
Total Points
| Bucks| PLAYER | PTS | TS% | TSM / TSA | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| B. Knight | 20 | 56% | 10.0 / 18 | |
| J. Henson | 14 | 64% | 7.0 / 11 | |
| Z. Pachulia | 12 | 50% | 6.0 / 12 | |
| K. Middleton | 11 | 55% | 5.5 / 10 | |
| O. Mayo | 11 | 46% | 5.5 / 12 | |
| J. Dudley | 9 | 75% | 4.5 / 6 | |
| G. Antetokounmpo | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| J. Bayless | 6 | 33% | 3.0 / 9 | |
| K. Marshall | 2 | 50% | 1.0 / 2 | |
| J. O'Bryant III | 0 | - | 0.0 / 4 |
TS Makes
TS Misses
MATCHUP
Scoring Opportunities
IND
77
+13
-15
90
MIL
81
+15
-12
96
Base
ORB
TOV
Scoring Efficiency
IND
1.02 51.1%
MIL
0.95 47.4%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Efficiency & Pace | This Game | |
| Efficiency | 103.9 103.1 | IND 102.2 MIL 97.8 +4.3 |
| Pace | 92.9 93.7 | IND 89.5 MIL 95.7 +6.3 |
| Avg. Poss. Time | 16.0 14.8 | IND 16.1 MIL 15.0 +1.1 |
| Four Factors | This Game | |
| EFG % | 48.4% 49.9% | IND 48.1% +1.5% MIL 46.6% |
| TO % | 14.2% 16.8% | IND 14.3% MIL 12.2% +2.1% |
| ORB % | 24.0% 25.5% | IND 23.3% +1.1% MIL 22.2% |
| FTrt | 26.6 25.8 | IND 24.7 +13.5 MIL 11.2 |
| Misc. Stats | This Game | |
| AST % | 58.6% 62.7% | IND 68.6% MIL 73.7% +5.1% |
| STL % | 6.6% 10.1% | IND 7.6% MIL 10.8% +3.2% |
| BLK % | 7.4% 8.6% | IND 4.6% MIL 11.5% +6.9% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Reg Season Avg | Game Stats | |
|---|---|---|
| Shooting Efficiency | This Game | |
| TS% | 50.9% 52.1% | IND 51.1% +3.7% MIL 47.4% |
| Rim FG% | 55.7% 56.4% | IND 54.8% MIL 67.6% +12.8% |
| Mid FG% | 40.6% 40.4% | IND 33.3% +7.5% MIL 25.8% |
| 3P % | 35.2% 36.3% | IND 40.0% +10.8% MIL 29.2% |
| FT % | 75.6% 75.7% | IND 80.0% MIL 80.0% |
| Shot Distribution | This Game | |
| Rim Att. % | 31.2% 39.8% | IND 38.3% +0.1% MIL 38.2% |
| Mid Att. % | 43.3% 37.8% | IND 37.0% MIL 34.8% +2.2% |
| 3P Att. % | 25.5% 22.3% | IND 24.7% MIL 27.0% +2.3% |
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
| Game Totals | IND | MIL |
|---|---|---|
| Possessions | 92 | 93 |
| Possession Minutes | 24.7 | 23.3 |
| Points | 94 | 91 |
| Rebounds | 45 | 43 |
| Assists | 24 | 28 |
| Steals | 7 | 10 |
| Blocks | 3 | 7 |
| Turnovers (Team) | 15 (0) | 12 (1) |
| Fouls | ||
| Off. Rebounds (Team) | 10 (3) | 10 (5) |
| Def. Rebounds (Team) | 35 (2) | 33 (1) |
| Field Goals | 35-81 | 38-89 |
| At-the-Rim FG | 17-31 | 23-34 |
| Midrange FG | 10-30 | 8-31 |
| 2-Point FG | 27-61 | 31-65 |
| 3-Point FG | 8-20 | 7-24 |
| Free Throws | 16-20 | 8-10 |
| Fast Break Pts | ||
| 2nd Chance Pts | ||
| Points in Paint | ||
| Pts off Turnovers | ||
| Bench Points | ||
| Biggest Lead |
BOXSCORE
Access to boxscore predictions requires a premium subscription.
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.
Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.
Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.
Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.
Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.