FinalWin Prob.pScore
557%108
116
2143%105
102
ORTG#PossPace
TOR logo TOR
126.19281.7
DEN logo DEN
110.992105.2

WIN PROBABILITY | PLAYS

Win Probability

NuggetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Scoring Margin

NuggetsRaptorsQ1Q2Q3Q49:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:009:006:003:00

Play-by-Play

Score / WinProb
ClockTeamEventTORDEN
Q4 - 0:00.0TOR116
100%
102
0%
Q4 - 0:11.0TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:7)116
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:12.0DENMISS Chandler 14' Fadeaway Jumper116
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:21.0TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (31 PTS) (Lowry 11 AST)116
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:35.0TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:7)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:37.0DENMISS Lawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0TORJohnson Free Throw 2 of 2 (13 PTS)113
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (12 PTS)112
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0TORRaptors Rebound111
99.9%
102
0.1%
Q4 - 0:51.0DENMISS Chandler 18' Jump Shot111
99.8%
102
0.2%
Q4 - 1:11TORLowry Out of Bounds Lost Ball Turnover (P2.T6)111
99.4%
102
0.6%
Q4 - 1:33DENFaried Foul Turnover (P2.T10)111
99.5%
102
0.5%
Q4 - 1:43DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:8)111
98.8%
102
1.2%
Q4 - 1:44TORMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.0%
102
1.0%
Q4 - 2:09DENLawson 14' Jump Shot (28 PTS)111
99.2%
102
0.8%
Q4 - 2:16DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)111
99.4%
100
0.6%
Q4 - 2:18TORMISS Williams 27' 3PT Jump Shot111
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 2:39TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:6)111
99.7%
100
0.3%
Q4 - 2:40DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Hook Shot111
99.6%
100
0.4%
Q4 - 2:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:12)111
99.4%
100
0.6%
Q4 - 2:49TORMISS Lowry 20' Jump Shot111
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 3:09TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:3)111
99.5%
100
0.5%
Q4 - 3:11DENMISS Faried 5' Running Hook Shot111
99.4%
100
0.6%
Q4 - 3:30TORJohnson 6' Hook Shot (11 PTS)111
99.1%
100
0.9%
Q4 - 3:51DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)109
97.8%
100
2.2%
Q4 - 3:51DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)109
98.0%
99
2.0%
Q4 - 3:59TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 1 (30 PTS)109
98.5%
98
1.5%
Q4 - 4:15TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
97.0%
98
3.0%
Q4 - 4:16DENMISS Chandler 5' Running Jump Shot106
96.6%
98
3.4%
Q4 - 4:25DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:11)106
95.6%
98
4.4%
Q4 - 4:27TORMISS Ross 15' Jump Shot106
96.1%
98
3.9%
Q4 - 4:52DENLawson 3' Driving Layup (26 PTS) (Afflalo 4 AST)106
97.1%
98
2.9%
Q4 - 5:11DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)106
96.7%
96
3.3%
Q4 - 5:12DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot106
97.4%
96
2.6%
Q4 - 5:25TORJohnson 2' Layup (9 PTS) (Lowry 10 AST)106
96.8%
96
3.2%
Q4 - 5:48DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (24 PTS)104
95.7%
96
4.3%
Q4 - 5:48DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (23 PTS)104
96.0%
95
4.0%
Q4 - 5:49DENLawson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)104
96.8%
94
3.2%
Q4 - 5:50DENMISS Lawson 3' Layup104
97.5%
94
2.5%
Q4 - 6:03TORJohnson Dunk (7 PTS) (Williams 2 AST)104
95.7%
94
4.3%
Q4 - 6:21DENChandler Discontinue Dribble Turnover (P3.T9)102
94.6%
94
5.4%
Q4 - 6:32TORLowry Free Throw 2 of 2 (27 PTS)102
92.6%
94
7.4%
Q4 - 6:32TORLowry Free Throw 1 of 2 (26 PTS)101
92.3%
94
7.7%
Q4 - 6:36TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:5)100
90.7%
94
9.3%
Q4 - 6:38DENMISS Lawson 24' 3PT Jump Shot100
89.7%
94
10.3%
Q4 - 6:50TORWilliams 3PT Jump Shot (28 PTS) (Lowry 9 AST)100
87.3%
94
12.7%
Q4 - 7:02TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:4)97
78.6%
94
21.4%
Q4 - 7:03DENMISS Robinson 26' 3PT Jump Shot97
77.1%
94
22.9%
Q4 - 7:13TORWilliams Free Throw 2 of 2 (25 PTS)97
73.1%
94
26.9%
Q4 - 7:13TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 2 (24 PTS)96
72.4%
94
27.6%
Q4 - 7:34DENChandler 7' Fadeaway Bank Shot (20 PTS)95
68.0%
94
32.0%
Q4 - 7:59TORLowry 1' Layup (25 PTS) (Ross 1 AST)95
73.1%
92
26.9%
Q4 - 8:06TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)93
67.2%
92
32.8%
Q4 - 8:07TORMISS Williams 2' Layup93
63.1%
92
36.9%
Q4 - 8:30TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:6)93
67.2%
92
32.8%
Q4 - 8:32DENMISS Faried Driving Layup93
65.5%
92
34.5%
Q4 - 8:38DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:10)93
61.3%
92
38.7%
Q4 - 8:40TORMISS Lowry 6' Jump Shot93
63.1%
92
36.9%
Q4 - 9:12DENFaried 2' Layup (17 PTS) (Chandler 3 AST)93
66.8%
92
33.2%
Q4 - 9:18DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)93
71.7%
90
28.3%
Q4 - 9:20TORChandler BLOCK (1 BLK)93
73.2%
90
26.8%
Q4 - 9:35TORRaptors Rebound93
76.5%
90
23.5%
Q4 - 9:37TORMISS Patterson 24' 3PT Jump Shot93
73.3%
90
26.7%
Q4 - 9:52DENHickson Traveling Turnover (P2.T8)93
76.5%
90
23.5%
Q4 - 10:12DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:7)93
71.0%
90
29.0%
Q4 - 10:14TORMISS Williams 25' 3PT Jump Shot93
72.4%
90
27.6%
Q4 - 10:26DENHickson Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)93
75.6%
90
24.4%
Q4 - 10:26DENMISS Hickson Free Throw 1 of 293
77.0%
89
23.0%
Q4 - 10:50TORWilliams 21' Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Lowry 8 AST)93
75.5%
89
24.5%
Q4 - 11:10TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:2)91
70.3%
89
29.7%
Q4 - 11:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:7 Def:9)91
65.5%
89
34.5%
Q4 - 11:12DENMISS Faried 3' Putback Layup91
68.9%
89
31.1%
Q4 - 11:14DENMISS Faried 3' Layup91
68.9%
89
31.1%
Q4 - 11:35TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (23 PTS) (Patterson 1 AST)91
65.5%
89
34.5%
Q4 - 11:51DENRobinson 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS)88
55.5%
89
44.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TOR88
60.5%
87
39.5%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORRaptors Rebound88
65.7%
87
34.3%
Q3 - 0:00.0TORMISS Patterson 55' 3PT Running Jump Shot88
62.2%
87
37.8%
Q3 - 0:03.0DENRobinson 17' Fadeaway Jumper (7 PTS)88
65.4%
87
34.6%
Q3 - 0:15.0TORWilliams 25' 3PT Jump Shot (21 PTS)88
69.9%
85
30.1%
Q3 - 0:39.0DENRobinson 1' Layup (5 PTS)85
60.7%
85
39.3%
Q3 - 0:40.0TORRobinson STEAL (1 STL)85
65.4%
83
34.6%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (22 PTS)85
69.9%
83
30.1%
Q3 - 0:49.0DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (21 PTS)85
70.7%
82
29.3%
Q3 - 0:57.0TORWilliams 25' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot (18 PTS)85
74.0%
81
26.0%
Q3 - 1:05TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:4 Def:1)82
65.3%
81
34.7%
Q3 - 1:06TORMISS Vasquez 5' Running Jump Shot82
62.1%
81
37.9%
Q3 - 1:21TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:5)82
65.3%
81
34.7%
Q3 - 1:22DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot82
63.9%
81
36.1%
Q3 - 1:38TORHansbrough 1' Layup (10 PTS) (Vasquez 6 AST)82
60.6%
81
39.4%
Q3 - 1:56DENArthur 21' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Robinson 1 AST)80
56.0%
81
44.0%
Q3 - 2:11DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)80
60.2%
79
39.8%
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Williams Free Throw 3 of 380
60.9%
79
39.1%
Q3 - 2:13TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 380
64.0%
79
36.0%
Q3 - 2:13TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 3 (15 PTS)80
67.6%
79
32.4%
Q3 - 2:28DENChandler Foul Turnover (P2.T7)79
60.5%
79
39.5%
Q3 - 2:39TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:3 Def:1)79
55.8%
79
44.2%
Q3 - 2:39TORHansbrough 1' Tip Shot (8 PTS)79
55.8%
79
44.2%
Q3 - 2:42TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:2 Def:1)77
51.4%
79
48.6%
Q3 - 2:42TORMISS Hansbrough 2' Tip Shot77
48.0%
79
52.0%
Q3 - 2:43TORMISS Williams 3' Layup77
48.0%
79
52.0%
Q3 - 3:08TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)77
51.9%
79
48.1%
Q3 - 3:09DENMISS Afflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot77
50.4%
79
49.6%
Q3 - 3:22DENHickson REBOUND (Off:3 Def:2)77
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q3 - 3:23DENMISS Chandler 27' 3PT Jump Shot77
50.4%
79
49.6%
Q3 - 3:39TORLawson STEAL (1 STL)77
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q3 - 3:43DENChandler Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T6)77
51.8%
79
48.2%
Q3 - 3:48DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:9)77
47.1%
79
52.9%
Q3 - 3:49TORMISS Lowry 7' Jump Shot77
48.5%
79
51.5%
Q3 - 4:09DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 1 (20 PTS)77
52.4%
79
47.6%
Q3 - 4:13TORLowry 2' Driving Layup (20 PTS)77
59.8%
76
40.2%
Q3 - 4:42DENFaried 2' Layup (15 PTS) (Chandler 2 AST)75
56.6%
76
43.4%
Q3 - 4:48DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:6)75
59.9%
74
40.1%
Q3 - 4:49TORMISS Williams 21' Jump Shot75
61.4%
74
38.6%
Q3 - 5:04DENMozgov Traveling Turnover (P1.T5)75
64.3%
74
35.7%
Q3 - 5:15DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:8)75
59.9%
74
40.1%
Q3 - 5:16TORMISS Valanciunas Free Throw 2 of 275
60.5%
74
39.5%
Q3 - 5:16TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)75
63.1%
74
36.9%
Q3 - 5:27TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:3 Def:3)74
60.5%
74
39.5%
Q3 - 5:28TORMISS Lowry 13' Jump Shot74
57.3%
74
42.7%
Q3 - 5:47DENChandler 15' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Lawson 7 AST)74
60.5%
74
39.5%
Q3 - 5:56DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:7)74
63.8%
72
36.2%
Q3 - 6:05TORMISS Williams Free Throw 1 of 174
64.3%
72
35.7%
Q3 - 6:21DENAfflalo 25' 3PT Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Chandler 1 AST)72
60.6%
72
39.4%
Q3 - 6:42TORLowry 3' Jump Shot (18 PTS) (Williams 1 AST)72
67.3%
69
32.7%
Q3 - 6:47TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)70
64.3%
69
35.7%
Q3 - 6:49DENMISS Lawson 7' Running Jump Shot70
63.0%
69
37.0%
Q3 - 6:56DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)70
60.0%
69
40.0%
Q3 - 6:57TORMISS Ross 26' 3PT Jump Shot70
61.3%
69
38.7%
Q3 - 7:09TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)70
63.9%
69
36.1%
Q3 - 7:11DENMISS Mozgov 2' Reverse Layup70
62.7%
69
37.3%
Q3 - 7:17DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)70
59.9%
69
40.1%
Q3 - 7:18TORMISS Ross 10' Running Jump Shot70
61.1%
69
38.9%
Q3 - 7:29DENFaried 17' Jump Shot (13 PTS) (Lawson 6 AST)70
64.0%
69
36.0%
Q3 - 7:35DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)70
67.0%
67
33.0%
Q3 - 7:37TORMISS Lowry 34' 3PT Jump Shot70
68.1%
67
31.9%
Q3 - 8:06DENFaried Alley Oop Dunk (11 PTS) (Lawson 5 AST)70
70.5%
67
29.5%
Q3 - 8:12TORLowry 25' 3PT Jump Shot (16 PTS)70
73.0%
65
27.0%
Q3 - 8:23DENAfflalo 2' Driving Reverse Layup (6 PTS)67
67.3%
65
32.7%
Q3 - 8:43TORRoss Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)67
70.0%
63
30.0%
Q3 - 8:43TORMISS Ross Free Throw 1 of 266
69.6%
63
30.4%
Q3 - 8:57DENFaried 3' Running Hook Shot (9 PTS)66
70.5%
63
29.5%
Q3 - 9:18DENNUGGETS Rebound66
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 9:18DENMISS Faried 7' Running Bank Shot66
74.8%
61
25.2%
Q3 - 9:25DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:6)66
72.8%
61
27.2%
Q3 - 9:27TORMISS Ross 12' Jump Shot66
73.7%
61
26.3%
Q3 - 9:48DENLawson 8' Fadeaway Jumper (17 PTS)66
75.7%
61
24.3%
Q3 - 9:54TORLowry 2' Driving Finger Roll Layup (13 PTS)66
78.2%
59
21.8%
Q3 - 10:07DENChandler REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)64
75.6%
59
24.4%
Q3 - 10:07DENChandler 3' Tip Shot (16 PTS)64
75.6%
59
24.4%
Q3 - 10:09DENMISS Chandler 10' Running Jump Shot64
79.8%
57
20.2%
Q3 - 10:17TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)64
78.1%
57
21.9%
Q3 - 10:17TORValanciunas 2' Tip Shot (6 PTS)64
78.1%
57
21.9%
Q3 - 10:20TORMISS Johnson 4' Jump Shot62
73.7%
57
26.3%
Q3 - 10:45DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (15 PTS)62
75.6%
57
24.4%
Q3 - 10:45DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 1 of 262
76.1%
56
23.9%
Q3 - 10:52TORRoss Alley Oop Dunk (7 PTS) (Lowry 6 AST)62
75.6%
56
24.4%
Q3 - 10:56TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)60
72.9%
56
27.1%
Q3 - 10:58DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot60
72.0%
56
28.0%
Q3 - 11:10TORJohnson Traveling Turnover (P2.T3)60
70.0%
56
30.0%
Q3 - 11:31DENAfflalo 4' Jump Shot (4 PTS) (Lawson 4 AST)60
72.9%
56
27.1%
Q3 - 11:44DENNUGGETS Rebound60
75.4%
54
24.6%
Q3 - 11:44TORMISS Lowry 11' Jump Shot60
76.2%
54
23.8%
Q3 - 11:47TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)60
78.0%
54
22.0%
Q3 - 11:48TORMISS Ross 5' Jump Shot60
76.2%
54
23.8%
Q2 - 0:00.0DEN60
78.0%
54
22.0%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENNUGGETS Rebound60
75.4%
54
24.6%
Q2 - 0:00.0DENMISS Faried 48' 3PT Running Jump Shot60
77.2%
54
22.8%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORPatterson Free Throw 2 of 2 (8 PTS)60
75.3%
54
24.7%
Q2 - 0:01.0TORPatterson Free Throw 1 of 2 (7 PTS)59
74.7%
54
25.3%
Q2 - 0:11.0TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)58
72.0%
54
28.0%
Q2 - 0:14.0DENMISS Nurkic 7' Hook Shot58
71.4%
54
28.6%
Q2 - 0:32.0TORWilliams 15' Jump Shot (12 PTS)58
70.1%
54
29.9%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:6 Def:5)56
66.5%
54
33.5%
Q2 - 0:37.0DENMISS Faried 4' Jump Shot56
71.5%
52
28.5%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw Flagrant 2 of 256
72.1%
52
27.9%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENNurkic Free Throw Flagrant 1 of 2 (6 PTS)56
70.3%
52
29.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENFaried Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)56
74.7%
51
25.3%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Faried Free Throw 1 of 256
75.4%
50
24.6%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENFaried REBOUND (Off:5 Def:5)56
75.3%
50
24.7%
Q2 - 0:49.0DENMISS Chandler 16' Jump Shot56
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q2 - 0:58.0DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)56
75.3%
50
24.7%
Q2 - 0:59.0TORMISS Ross 25' 3PT Jump Shot56
75.8%
50
24.2%
Q2 - 1:17DENNurkic Free Throw 2 of 2 (5 PTS)56
76.5%
50
23.5%
Q2 - 1:17DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 2 (4 PTS)56
77.2%
49
22.8%
Q2 - 1:18DENFaried REBOUND (Off:4 Def:5)56
79.6%
48
20.4%
Q2 - 1:19DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot56
80.4%
48
19.6%
Q2 - 1:22DENNUGGETS Rebound56
79.6%
48
20.4%
Q2 - 1:22DENMISS Chandler 2' Layup56
80.4%
48
19.6%
Q2 - 1:25DENAfflalo REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)56
79.6%
48
20.4%
Q2 - 1:26TORMISS Lowry 20' Jump Shot56
80.0%
48
20.0%
Q2 - 1:47DENLawson 2' Driving Layup (14 PTS) (Nurkic 1 AST)56
80.7%
48
19.3%
Q2 - 1:53DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:4)56
83.4%
46
16.6%
Q2 - 1:54TORMISS Valanciunas 6' Running Jump Shot56
83.7%
46
16.3%
Q2 - 2:17DENNurkic 4' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Lawson 3 AST)56
84.2%
46
15.8%
Q2 - 2:25TORWilliams Free Throw 3 of 3 (10 PTS)56
85.9%
44
14.1%
Q2 - 2:25TORMISS Williams Free Throw 2 of 355
85.7%
44
14.3%
Q2 - 2:25TORWilliams Free Throw 1 of 3 (9 PTS)55
86.9%
44
13.1%
Q2 - 2:34DENChandler 25' 3PT Jump Shot (14 PTS) (Afflalo 3 AST)54
84.2%
44
15.8%
Q2 - 2:50TORWilliams Driving Dunk (8 PTS) (Lowry 5 AST)54
87.3%
41
12.7%
Q2 - 2:56TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)52
85.8%
41
14.2%
Q2 - 2:58DENMISS Chandler 17' Jump Shot52
85.4%
41
14.6%
Q2 - 3:22TORLowry 16' Fadeaway Jumper (11 PTS)52
83.7%
41
16.3%
Q2 - 3:38DENLawson Free Throw 2 of 2 (12 PTS)50
82.3%
41
17.7%
Q2 - 3:38DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (11 PTS)50
82.6%
40
17.4%
Q2 - 3:40DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
83.7%
39
16.3%
Q2 - 3:42TORMISS Lowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot50
84.3%
39
15.7%
Q2 - 3:52TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)50
85.5%
39
14.5%
Q2 - 3:54DENMISS Chandler 5' Running Jump Shot50
85.0%
39
15.0%
Q2 - 4:07TORWilliams 2' Layup (6 PTS)50
83.1%
39
16.9%
Q2 - 4:10DENAfflalo Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T4)48
81.5%
39
18.5%
Q2 - 4:18TORLowry 16' Jump Shot (9 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)48
79.6%
39
20.4%
Q2 - 4:34DENAfflalo 18' Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lawson 2 AST)46
77.8%
39
22.2%
Q2 - 4:54DENNUGGETS Rebound46
79.7%
37
20.3%
Q2 - 4:55TORMISS Johnson 25' 3PT Jump Shot46
80.3%
37
19.7%
Q2 - 5:09DENFaried Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T3)46
81.3%
37
18.7%
Q2 - 5:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:3 Def:5)46
79.5%
37
20.5%
Q2 - 5:13DENMISS Mozgov 18' Jump Shot46
80.7%
37
19.3%
Q2 - 5:30TORLowry Bad Pass Turnover (P1.T2)46
79.5%
37
20.5%
Q2 - 5:41DENChandler 6' Jump Shot (11 PTS) (Lawson 1 AST)46
81.3%
37
18.7%
Q2 - 5:59DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)46
82.9%
35
17.1%
Q2 - 6:00TORMISS Williams 26' 3PT Jump Shot46
83.4%
35
16.6%
Q2 - 6:10DENChandler Free Throw 2 of 2 (9 PTS)46
84.2%
35
15.8%
Q2 - 6:10DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 1 of 246
84.5%
34
15.5%
Q2 - 6:20TORJohnson Alley Oop Dunk (5 PTS) (Lowry 4 AST)46
83.9%
34
16.1%
Q2 - 6:35TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)44
82.7%
34
17.3%
Q2 - 6:37DENMISS Chandler Free Throw 2 of 244
82.4%
34
17.6%
Q2 - 6:37DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 2 (8 PTS)44
81.4%
34
18.6%
Q2 - 6:59TORPatterson 3PT Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Johnson 1 AST)44
82.4%
33
17.6%
Q2 - 7:10TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)41
78.8%
33
21.2%
Q2 - 7:12DENMISS Chandler 26' 3PT Jump Shot41
78.2%
33
21.8%
Q2 - 7:24TORWilliams 20' Jump Shot (4 PTS)41
76.8%
33
23.2%
Q2 - 7:36TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)39
75.1%
33
24.9%
Q2 - 7:37DENMISS Lawson 16' Step Back Jump Shot39
74.4%
33
25.6%
Q2 - 7:55TORHayes Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)39
72.8%
33
27.2%
Q2 - 7:55TORHayes Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)38
72.3%
33
27.7%
Q2 - 8:07DENChandler Free Throw 1 of 1 (7 PTS)37
70.5%
33
29.5%
Q2 - 8:21TORWilliams 5' Running Bank Shot (2 PTS)37
74.5%
30
25.5%
Q2 - 8:47DENChandler 16' Jump Shot (4 PTS)35
72.6%
30
27.4%
Q2 - 9:08DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:5)35
74.1%
28
25.9%
Q2 - 9:09TORMISS Lowry Free Throw 1 of 135
74.4%
28
25.6%
Q2 - 9:20DENLawson 15' Jump Shot (10 PTS) (Faried 2 AST)33
72.5%
28
27.5%
Q2 - 9:40TORJohnson 4' Running Jump Shot (3 PTS)33
74.2%
26
25.8%
Q2 - 9:55DENHickson REBOUND (Off:2 Def:2)31
72.5%
26
27.5%
Q2 - 9:55DENHickson Putback Dunk (2 PTS)31
72.5%
26
27.5%
Q2 - 9:58DENMISS Faried Driving Layup31
75.7%
24
24.3%
Q2 - 10:01DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:4)31
73.9%
24
26.1%
Q2 - 10:03TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
76.1%
24
23.9%
Q2 - 10:03TORMISS Vasquez 2' Layup31
74.6%
24
25.4%
Q2 - 10:05TORMISS Vasquez 4' Jump Shot31
74.6%
24
25.4%
Q2 - 10:25TORRaptors Rebound31
76.1%
24
23.9%
Q2 - 10:26TORMISS Vasquez 8' Running Jump Shot31
74.6%
24
25.4%
Q2 - 10:31TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)31
76.1%
24
23.9%
Q2 - 10:32DENMISS Faried 2' Layup31
75.4%
24
24.6%
Q2 - 10:49TORHansbrough 17' Jump Shot (6 PTS) (Vasquez 5 AST)31
73.9%
24
26.1%
Q2 - 11:14TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)29
71.7%
24
28.3%
Q2 - 11:15DENMISS Robinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot29
71.0%
24
29.0%
Q2 - 11:35TORHansbrough Dunk (4 PTS) (Vasquez 4 AST)29
69.6%
24
30.4%
Q2 - 11:40TORWilliams REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q2 - 11:42TORMISS Williams 1' Layup27
66.1%
24
33.9%
Q1 - 0:00.0DEN27
67.6%
24
32.4%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORHansbrough REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)27
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORHansbrough 7' Jump Shot (2 PTS)27
65.4%
24
34.6%
Q1 - 0:00.0TORGee BLOCK (1 BLK)25
61.6%
24
38.4%
Q1 - 0:18.0DENNurkic Foul Turnover (P1.T2)25
62.7%
24
37.3%
Q1 - 0:21.0DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)25
61.1%
24
38.9%
Q1 - 0:24.0TORMISS Hansbrough 6' Turnaround Jump Shot25
61.6%
24
38.4%
Q1 - 0:43.0DENRobinson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS)25
62.8%
24
37.2%
Q1 - 0:51.0TORPatterson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vasquez 3 AST)25
67.6%
21
32.4%
Q1 - 1:04TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
62.9%
21
37.1%
Q1 - 1:06DENMISS Nurkic Free Throw 2 of 222
62.7%
21
37.3%
Q1 - 1:06DENNurkic Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)22
61.4%
21
38.6%
Q1 - 1:06DENNUGGETS Rebound22
63.4%
20
36.6%
Q1 - 1:06DENMISS Arthur 26' 3PT Jump Shot22
64.5%
20
35.5%
Q1 - 1:12DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)22
63.4%
20
36.6%
Q1 - 1:14TORMISS Vasquez 9' Running Jump Shot22
63.9%
20
36.1%
Q1 - 1:36DENLawson 21' Step Back Jump Shot (8 PTS)22
65.0%
20
35.0%
Q1 - 1:59DENNurkic REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
67.6%
18
32.4%
Q1 - 2:01TORMISS Vasquez Free Throw 2 of 222
67.6%
18
32.4%
Q1 - 2:01TORMISS Vasquez Free Throw 1 of 222
69.0%
18
31.0%
Q1 - 2:01TORVasquez REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)22
69.2%
18
30.8%
Q1 - 2:05DENMISS Hickson 2' Layup22
68.7%
18
31.3%
Q1 - 2:19TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 1 (5 PTS)22
67.4%
18
32.6%
Q1 - 2:20TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)19
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q1 - 2:21TORMISS Vasquez 7' Jump Shot19
61.7%
18
38.3%
Q1 - 2:34TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)19
63.1%
18
36.9%
Q1 - 2:36DENMISS Arthur 19' Jump Shot19
62.5%
18
37.5%
Q1 - 2:47DENNUGGETS Rebound19
61.1%
18
38.9%
Q1 - 2:48DENMISS Arthur 15' Turnaround Jump Shot19
62.5%
18
37.5%
Q1 - 3:10TORLowry 16' Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Vasquez 2 AST)19
61.0%
18
39.0%
Q1 - 3:25TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)17
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q1 - 3:26DENMISS Arthur 24' 3PT Jump Shot17
58.3%
18
41.7%
Q1 - 3:32DENLawson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)17
56.7%
18
43.3%
Q1 - 3:35TORMISS Vasquez 26' 3PT Step Back Jump Shot17
57.4%
18
42.6%
Q1 - 3:47DENMozgov Dunk (6 PTS) (Afflalo 2 AST)17
59.1%
18
40.9%
Q1 - 4:03TORJohnson 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Lowry 3 AST)17
61.0%
16
39.0%
Q1 - 4:09TORLowry REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 4:10DENMISS Lawson 19' Jump Shot15
58.4%
16
41.6%
Q1 - 4:34DENArthur REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)15
56.7%
16
43.3%
Q1 - 4:36TORMISS Patterson Free Throw 2 of 215
57.1%
16
42.9%
Q1 - 4:36TORMISS Patterson Free Throw 1 of 215
58.4%
16
41.6%
Q1 - 4:56DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (4 PTS)15
59.2%
16
40.8%
Q1 - 4:56DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 215
59.6%
15
40.4%
Q1 - 4:56DENMozgov REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)15
58.9%
15
41.1%
Q1 - 4:56DENMISS Afflalo 16' Jump Shot15
60.6%
15
39.4%
Q1 - 5:11TORVasquez 19' Jump Shot (2 PTS)15
58.8%
15
41.2%
Q1 - 5:26DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (3 PTS)13
57.0%
15
43.0%
Q1 - 5:26DENMISS Mozgov Free Throw 1 of 213
57.4%
14
42.6%
Q1 - 5:33TORValanciunas Dunk (4 PTS) (Lowry 2 AST)13
56.8%
14
43.2%
Q1 - 5:39DENHickson Lost Ball Turnover (P1.T1)11
54.9%
14
45.1%
Q1 - 5:42DENHickson REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)11
52.6%
14
47.4%
Q1 - 5:44DENMISS Lawson 26' 3PT Jump Shot11
54.2%
14
45.8%
Q1 - 6:04TORLowry 26' 3PT Jump Shot (3 PTS) (Vasquez 1 AST)11
53.0%
14
47.0%
Q1 - 6:14TORRaptors Rebound8
49.2%
14
50.8%
Q1 - 6:15DENMISS Lawson Free Throw 2 of 28
48.9%
14
51.1%
Q1 - 6:15DENLawson Free Throw 1 of 2 (6 PTS)8
47.6%
14
52.4%
Q1 - 6:31DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 6:33TORMISS Vasquez 21' Jump Shot8
49.6%
13
50.4%
Q1 - 6:46TORPatterson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)8
51.1%
13
48.9%
Q1 - 6:47DENMISS Afflalo 24' 3PT Jump Shot8
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 6:54DENFaried REBOUND (Off:2 Def:3)8
49.0%
13
51.0%
Q1 - 6:55DENMISS Lawson 20' Jump Shot8
50.5%
13
49.5%
Q1 - 7:07DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:2)8
49.4%
13
50.6%
Q1 - 7:08TORMISS Patterson 22' Jump Shot8
50.0%
13
50.0%
Q1 - 7:25DENLawson 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS) (Faried 1 AST)8
51.6%
13
48.4%
Q1 - 7:31TORAfflalo STEAL (1 STL)8
55.1%
10
44.9%
Q1 - 7:44DENFaried REBOUND (Off:1 Def:3)8
57.3%
10
42.7%
Q1 - 7:44DENFaried Putback Slam Dunk (4 PTS)8
57.3%
10
42.7%
Q1 - 7:46DENMISS Faried 3' Driving Layup8
60.4%
8
39.6%
Q1 - 7:55DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:3)8
58.9%
8
41.1%
Q1 - 7:57TORMISS Johnson 3PT Jump Shot8
59.6%
8
40.4%
Q1 - 8:16DENLawson 14' Jump Shot (2 PTS)8
61.4%
8
38.6%
Q1 - 8:40TORValanciunas Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)8
63.1%
6
36.9%
Q1 - 8:40TORValanciunas Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)7
62.7%
6
37.3%
Q1 - 8:40TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 8:40TORMISS Ross 15' Jump Shot6
60.0%
6
40.0%
Q1 - 8:59DENChandler 2' Reverse Layup (2 PTS)6
61.4%
6
38.6%
Q1 - 9:03DENChandler REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)6
63.1%
4
36.9%
Q1 - 9:04DENMISS Chandler 3' Layup6
64.4%
4
35.6%
Q1 - 9:12DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:2)6
63.1%
4
36.9%
Q1 - 9:13TORMISS Valanciunas 6' Jump Hook Shot6
63.7%
4
36.3%
Q1 - 9:31DENMozgov Free Throw 2 of 2 (2 PTS)6
65.0%
4
35.0%
Q1 - 9:31DENMozgov Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)6
65.4%
3
34.6%
Q1 - 9:44TORRoss 25' 3PT Jump Shot (5 PTS)6
66.6%
2
33.4%
Q1 - 9:50TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:1)3
63.3%
2
36.7%
Q1 - 9:52DENMISS Afflalo 15' Fadeaway Jumper3
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 10:13DENFaried REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)3
61.3%
2
38.7%
Q1 - 10:15TORMISS Johnson Free Throw 2 of 23
61.6%
2
38.4%
Q1 - 10:15TORJohnson Free Throw 1 of 2 (1 PTS)3
62.7%
2
37.3%
Q1 - 10:22TORRoss REBOUND (Off:1 Def:0)2
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 10:23TORMISS Johnson 20' Jump Shot2
60.1%
2
39.9%
Q1 - 10:41DENFaried 2' Layup (2 PTS) (Afflalo 1 AST)2
61.5%
2
38.5%
Q1 - 10:57TORRoss 4' Running Jump Shot (2 PTS) (Lowry 1 AST)2
63.1%
0
36.9%
Q1 - 11:10TORValanciunas REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:11DENMISS Chandler 4' Jump Shot0
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 11:18DENChandler REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
59.7%
0
40.3%
Q1 - 11:19TORMISS Valanciunas 14' Turnaround Jump Shot0
60.2%
0
39.8%
Q1 - 11:42TORJohnson REBOUND (Off:0 Def:1)0
61.3%
0
38.7%
Q1 - 11:44DENMISS Mozgov 3' Reverse Layup0
60.8%
0
39.2%
Q1 - 12:00DENJump Ball Mozgov vs. Valanciunas: Tip to Faried0
59.7%
0
40.3%

SHOOTING

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.13 56.3%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Scoring by Shot Type

At the Rim (within 5 feet)
TOR
21
32
66%
DEN
18
36
50%
Midrange
TOR
12
33
36%
DEN
15
34
44%
3PT | Effective 3PT
TOR
10
15.0
23
43%
65%
DEN
4
6.0
17
24%
35%
Free Throws
TOR
20
32
63%
DEN
24
34
71%
Makes
Effective 3P Makes
%
Efficiency
Misses
Bars scaled to point value.

Total Points

|
TOR logo Raptors
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
L. Williams3174%15.5 / 21
K. Lowry3071%15.0 / 21
A. Johnson1372%6.5 / 9
T. Hansbrough1063%5.0 / 8
T. Ross836%4.0 / 11
P. Patterson857%4.0 / 7
J. Valančiūnas750%3.5 / 7
J. Johnson550%2.5 / 5
G. Vasquez29%1.0 / 11
C. Hayes2100%1.0 / 1
TS Makes
TS Misses

Total Points

|
DEN logo Nuggets
PLAYERPTSTS%TSM / TSA
T. Lawson2864%14.0 / 22
W. Chandler2045%10.0 / 22
K. Faried1743%8.5 / 20
A. Afflalo941%4.5 / 11
N. Robinson975%4.5 / 6
T. Mozgov850%4.0 / 8
J. Nurkić675%3.0 / 4
J. Hickson350%1.5 / 3
D. Arthur217%1.0 / 6
TS Makes
TS Misses

MATCHUP

Scoring Opportunities

TOR
86
+16
-6
102
DEN
82
+20
-10
102
Base
ORB
TOV

Scoring Efficiency

TOR
1.13 56.3%
DEN
0.98 49.0%
Points per Opportunity/ True Shooting %

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Efficiency & PaceThis Game
Efficiency
111.2
104.8
TOR 126.1 +15.2
DEN 110.9
Pace
92.8
95.9
TOR 81.7
DEN 105.2 +23.5
Avg. Poss. Time
15.8
14.4
TOR 17.6
DEN 13.7 +3.9
Four FactorsThis Game
EFG %
50.8%
47.9%
TOR 54.5% +9.7%
DEN 44.8%
TO %
13.0%
14.3%
TOR 5.6% +3.3%
DEN 8.9%
ORB %
25.6%
26.5%
TOR 27.7%
DEN 32.6% +4.9%
FTrt
29.5
27.8
TOR 36.4
DEN 39.1 +2.7
Misc. StatsThis Game
AST %
54.7%
57.7%
TOR 53.5% +4.9%
DEN 48.6%
STL %
8.0%
8.0%
TOR 4.3% +1.0%
DEN 3.3%
BLK %
7.2%
7.2%
TOR 7.1% +4.0%
DEN 3.1%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.

Reg Season Avg

Game Stats
Shooting EfficiencyThis Game
TS%
53.8%
50.8%
TOR 56.3% +7.3%
DEN 49.0%
Rim FG%
59.4%
56.1%
TOR 65.6% +15.6%
DEN 50.0%
Mid FG%
40.5%
37.9%
TOR 36.4%
DEN 44.1% +7.7%
3P %
35.2%
32.5%
TOR 43.5% +20.0%
DEN 23.5%
FT %
78.7%
73.5%
TOR 62.5%
DEN 70.6% +8.1%
Shot DistributionThis Game
Rim Att. %
35.0%
38.2%
TOR 36.4%
DEN 41.4% +5.0%
Mid Att. %
34.9%
33.4%
TOR 37.5% +1.6%
DEN 39.1%
3P Att. %
30.2%
28.4%
TOR 26.1% +6.6%
DEN 19.5%
Season averages charted by z-score with a range of -2 and 2.
Game TotalsTORDEN
Possessions9292
Possession Minutes27.021.0
Points116102
Rebounds4449
Assists2318
Steals43
Blocks52
Turnovers (Team)6 (0)10 (0)
Fouls
Off. Rebounds (Team)13 (3)15 (5)
Def. Rebounds (Team)31 (2)34 (2)
Field Goals43-8837-87
At-the-Rim FG21-3218-36
Midrange FG12-3315-34
2-Point FG33-6533-70
3-Point FG10-234-17
Free Throws20-3224-34
Fast Break Pts
2nd Chance Pts
Points in Paint
Pts off Turnovers
Bench Points
Biggest Lead

BOXSCORE

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PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
G · 6'0" 196 · 29
37.7
30
71%
7
11
1
1
2
4
0
7
3-4
75%
9-15
60%
3-5
60%
G · 6'7" 206 · 24
35.3
8
36%
8
1
0
0
1
1
1
7
1-2
50%
2-7
29%
1-3
33%
F · 6'9" 240 · 28
25.7
13
72%
4
1
0
2
0
3
2
2
3-3
100%
5-7
71%
0-1
0%
F · 6'8" 240 · 28
18.7
5
50%
3
1
1
1
2
3
0
3
1-2
50%
2-2
100%
0-2
0%
C · 6'11" 265 · 23
17.2
7
50%
6
0
1
0
0
3
3
3
3-4
75%
2-5
40%
0-0
-
G · 6'1" 175 · 28
34.3
31
74%
5
2
1
0
0
4
2
3
5-9
56%
7-11
64%
4-7
57%
F · 6'9" 230 · 26
26.6
8
57%
2
1
0
0
0
1
0
2
2-4
50%
0-1
0%
2-4
50%
· 6'9" 250 · 29
19.9
10
63%
7
0
0
1
0
2
4
3
0-0
-
5-8
63%
0-0
-
G · 6'6" 217 · 28
18.0
2
9%
2
6
0
0
1
1
1
1
0-2
0%
1-9
11%
0-1
0%
F-C · 6'6" 240 · 32
6.6
2
100%
0
0
0
0
0
1
0
0
2-2
100%
0-0
-
0-0
-
G-F · 6'7" 215 · 27
C · 6'11" 260 · 29
C · 7'0" 220 · 22
#10 · G-F · 6'6" 220 · 25
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
#5 · F · 6'9" 205 · 19
INACTIVE | INACTIVE
PLAYER MIN PTS TS% REB AST STL BLK TOV PF ORB DRB FT FT% 2P 2P% 3P 3P%
TOTAL
240
116
56%
44
23
4
5
6
0
13
31
20-32
63%
33-65
51%
10-23
43%
Predictions are shown with muted text (and below actual stats once the game is recorded).
indicates prediction hit.

Predictions may update within 20 minutes of the game starting given official updates about inactive players.

Predictions are made for players independently. This means total predicted player minutes and points may not align with the minutes available or the overall predicted game score. This prioritizes predicting individual boxscore stats.

Boxscore predictions are optimized for the immediate future, i.e. uncertainty increases further into the future, particularly with minutes predictions.

Boxscore predictions use estimates of player skill in each stat and at each point in time given a player's career up to that point, how quickly each stat stabalizes, and how important factors uniquely affect each stat. Read more about Skills here.