Win probabilities use a game-optimized version of EPM
for which each underlying stat considers
opponent strength and game context (home-court, rest, if playoff game).
Check the game detail page to see boxscore predictions and player minutes used.
There is more uncertainty for predictions before the season starts and further in the future.
Wednesday, February 1, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 3 | Bulls | 51% | 93 | 82 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 11 | Magic | 78% | 98 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 26 | Raptors | 24% | 84 | 64 |
 | 15 | Celtics | 76% | 93 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 29 | Pistons | 29% | 94 | 96 |
| 23 | Nets | 71% | 101 | 99 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 1 | Heat | 62% | 100 | 97 |
 | 17 | Bucks | 38% | 96 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 25 | Hornets | 49% | 93 | 103 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 4 | Thunder | 46% | 97 | 95 |
 | 7 | Mavericks | 54% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 | 19 | Timberwolves | 58% | 99 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 | 30 | Bobcats | 8% | 84 | 68 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Tuesday, January 31, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| 26 | Raptors | 35% | 90 | 77 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Celtics | 65% | 95 | 93 |
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 30% | 93 | 99 | |
| 15 | Pacers | 70% | 100 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Pistons | 21% | 92 | 86 |
 | 18 | Knicks | 79% | 103 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 11% | 85 | 73 |
 | 5 | Lakers | 89% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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Monday, January 30, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Magic | 34% | 89 | 69 |
| 9 | 76ers | 66% | 94 | 74 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulls | 75% | 99 | 98 |
| 27 | Wizards | 25% | 90 | 88 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Hornets | 14% | 85 | 95 | |
| 1 | Heat | 86% | 100 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Pistons | 25% | 91 | 82 |
| 17 | Bucks | 75% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 38% | 94 | 83 |
| 10 | Grizzlies | 62% | 98 | 73 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 30% | 97 | 120 |
| 13 | Rockets | 70% | 104 | 108 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 58% | 100 | 89 |
| 20 | Jazz | 42% | 97 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Mavericks | 51% | 98 | 122 |
| 19 | Suns | 49% | 97 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 47% | 99 | 100 |
| 5 | Clippers | 53% | 101 | 112 |
Sunday, January 29, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Bulls | 40% | 94 | 93 |
| 1 | Heat | 60% | 97 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Cavaliers | 29% | 88 | 88 |
| 16 | Celtics | 71% | 96 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 35% | 94 | 94 |
| 23 | Nets | 65% | 99 | 73 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 39% | 91 | 106 |
| 9 | Magic | 61% | 95 | 85 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Spurs | 41% | 94 | 100 |
| 10 | Mavericks | 59% | 97 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 59% | 92 | 94 |
| 24 | Hornets | 41% | 89 | 72 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 55% | 97 | 106 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 45% | 95 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Clippers | 37% | 100 | 109 |
| 4 | Nuggets | 63% | 104 | 105 |
Saturday, January 28, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Pistons | 19% | 88 | 74 |
| 10 | 76ers | 81% | 99 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 51% | 95 | 102 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 49% | 94 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Knicks | 38% | 96 | 84 |
| 14 | Rockets | 62% | 100 | 97 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Lakers | 61% | 97 | 89 |
| 17 | Bucks | 39% | 94 | 100 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 29% | 95 | 93 |
| 18 | Jazz | 71% | 103 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 55% | 98 | 84 |
| 19 | Suns | 45% | 96 | 86 |
Friday, January 27, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 13% | 86 | 72 |
| 7 | 76ers | 87% | 101 | 89 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 51% | 88 | 87 |
| 17 | Celtics | 49% | 87 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Hawks | 68% | 96 | 107 |
| 27 | Pistons | 32% | 89 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 47% | 100 | 99 | |
| 24 | Cavaliers | 53% | 101 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Knicks | 23% | 93 | 89 |
| 1 | Heat | 77% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 | Bucks | 27% | 91 | 100 |
| 4 | Bulls | 73% | 99 | 107 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Magic | 55% | 91 | 67 |
| 25 | Hornets | 45% | 89 | 93 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 24% | 92 | 76 |
| 12 | Rockets | 76% | 102 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Spurs | 55% | 99 | 79 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 45% | 97 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Jazz | 33% | 91 | 101 |
| 9 | Mavericks | 67% | 97 | 116 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 21% | 93 | 81 |
| 8 | Nuggets | 79% | 104 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Suns | 31% | 95 | 71 |
| 5 | Trail Blazers | 69% | 102 | 109 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Thunder | 61% | 102 | 120 |
| 18 | Warriors | 39% | 98 | 109 |
Thursday, January 26, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Celtics | 30% | 85 | 91 |
| 6 | Magic | 70% | 92 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Grizzlies | 43% | 96 | 91 |
| 9 | Clippers | 57% | 98 | 98 |
Wednesday, January 25, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Nets | 22% | 93 | 97 | |
| 9 | 76ers | 78% | 103 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 35% | 93 | 75 |
| 28 | Wizards | 65% | 99 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Knicks | 54% | 102 | 81 |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 46% | 100 | 91 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Heat | 74% | 100 | 101 |
| 29 | Pistons | 26% | 92 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Pacers | 23% | 88 | 95 |
| 2 | Bulls | 77% | 98 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Bucks | 38% | 96 | 105 |
| 10 | Rockets | 62% | 100 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 22% | 89 | 91 | |
| 5 | Thunder | 78% | 99 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 25% | 90 | 105 |
| 6 | Mavericks | 75% | 100 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 43% | 94 | 83 |
| 11 | Spurs | 57% | 97 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 24% | 93 | 111 |
| 19 | Jazz | 76% | 102 | 106 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nuggets | 76% | 108 | 122 |
| 27 | Kings | 24% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Clippers | 32% | 93 | 91 |
| 4 | Lakers | 68% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 53% | 101 | 93 |
| 20 | Warriors | 47% | 100 | 101 |
Tuesday, January 24, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 | Knicks | 67% | 102 | 111 |
| 30 | Bobcats | 33% | 96 | 78 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Magic | 43% | 92 | 102 |
| 15 | Pacers | 57% | 94 | 83 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 17% | 94 | 85 |
| 1 | Heat | 83% | 106 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 27% | 92 | 99 |
| 14 | Suns | 73% | 100 | 96 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 37% | 95 | 84 |
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 63% | 99 | 97 |
Monday, January 23, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 | Wizards | 15% | 90 | 83 |
| 9 | 76ers | 85% | 104 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Magic | 59% | 91 | 56 |
| 16 | Celtics | 41% | 88 | 87 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 | Nets | 15% | 89 | 95 | |
| 4 | Bulls | 85% | 103 | 110 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Hawks | 52% | 93 | 97 |
| 18 | Bucks | 48% | 92 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Spurs | 62% | 95 | 104 |
| 25 | Hornets | 38% | 91 | 102 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Pistons | 14% | 89 | 79 |
| 1 | Thunder | 86% | 103 | 99 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Rockets | 51% | 101 | 107 |
| 22 | Timberwolves | 49% | 100 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 30% | 91 | 87 |
| 7 | Mavericks | 70% | 99 | 93 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Kings | 17% | 93 | 89 |
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 83% | 106 | 101 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Grizzlies | 54% | 99 | 91 |
| 21 | Warriors | 46% | 98 | 90 |
Sunday, January 22, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Celtics | 67% | 95 | 100 |
| 27 | Wizards | 33% | 89 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Raptors | 26% | 92 | 91 |
| 17 | Clippers | 74% | 100 | 103 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 | Bobcats | 31% | 96 | 87 |
| 23 | Nets | 69% | 103 | 97 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 26% | 92 | 91 |
| 1 | Heat | 74% | 101 | 82 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Pacers | 32% | 91 | 98 |
| 5 | Lakers | 68% | 97 | 96 |
Saturday, January 21, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 | Cavaliers | 26% | 91 | 94 |
| 14 | Hawks | 74% | 99 | 121 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Nuggets | 55% | 104 | 119 |
| 17 | Knicks | 45% | 103 | 114 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | 76ers | 32% | 94 | 92 |
| 1 | Heat | 68% | 100 | 113 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Trail Blazers | 74% | 101 | 91 |
| 30 | Pistons | 26% | 92 | 94 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Thunder | 66% | 104 | 84 |
| 23 | Nets | 34% | 99 | 74 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 | Bobcats | 12% | 86 | 89 |
| 3 | Bulls | 88% | 102 | 95 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 | Kings | 24% | 91 | 95 |
| 13 | Grizzlies | 76% | 101 | 128 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Mavericks | 74% | 95 | 83 |
| 25 | Hornets | 26% | 87 | 81 | |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Spurs | 38% | 97 | 102 |
| 10 | Rockets | 62% | 101 | 105 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 | Timberwolves | 36% | 96 | 98 |
| 19 | Jazz | 64% | 101 | 108 |
Friday, January 20, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Trail Blazers | 72% | 100 | 94 |
| 26 | Raptors | 28% | 93 | 84 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Hawks | 37% | 91 | 76 |
| 9 | 76ers | 63% | 96 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Nuggets | 76% | 106 | 108 |
| 30 | Wizards | 24% | 97 | 104 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 | Suns | 35% | 91 | 79 |
| 10 | Celtics | 65% | 96 | 71 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Bucks | 41% | 96 | 100 |
| 18 | Knicks | 59% | 99 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Grizzlies | 66% | 98 | 98 |
| 28 | Pistons | 34% | 93 | 81 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Bulls | 65% | 96 | 114 |
| 23 | Cavaliers | 35% | 91 | 75 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Lakers | 40% | 92 | 80 |
| 6 | Magic | 60% | 95 | 92 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 | Kings | 22% | 93 | 88 |
| 11 | Spurs | 78% | 103 | 86 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 | Timberwolves | 35% | 97 | 101 |
| 14 | Clippers | 65% | 102 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Pacers | 52% | 98 | 94 |
| 22 | Warriors | 48% | 97 | 91 |
Thursday, January 19, 2012
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Lakers | 41% | 96 | 87 |
| 4 | Heat | 59% | 98 | 98 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 | Hornets | 21% | 90 | 88 | |
| 11 | Rockets | 79% | 101 | 90 |
| Final | Win Prob. | pScore | Score | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mavericks | 57% | 98 | 94 |
| 19 | Jazz | 43% | 95 | 91 |